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Review and Comparison of Classical Entrepreneurial Intention Models 经典创业意向模型的回顾与比较
Pub Date : 2023-02-02 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v6i1.4709
Jiaer Fei, W. Liu
The study of entrepreneurial models carries significance in guiding the development of entrepreneurial activities. On the basis of a literature review, this paper reviews and analyzes six classic and widely influential entrepreneurial models: entrepreneurial event model (EEM), entrepreneurial intention model (EIM), revised EIM, theory of planned behavior (TPB), economic psychological model (EPM), and structural model of entrepreneurial intention (SMEI). This paper aims to discuss the similarities and differences of these entrepreneurial intention models and their applications in different contexts, which carries important theoretical and practical significance for further research on entrepreneurial behavior and intention.
创业模式研究对指导创业活动的开展具有重要意义。在文献综述的基础上,本文回顾和分析了六个经典的、具有广泛影响的创业模型:创业事件模型(EEM)、创业意向模型(EIM)、修正型EIM、计划行为理论(TPB)、经济心理模型(EPM)和创业意向结构模型(SMEI)。本文旨在探讨这些创业意向模型的异同及其在不同情境下的应用,对进一步研究创业行为和创业意向具有重要的理论和现实意义。
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引用次数: 0
Innovative Development Path of the Pension Model Under the Background of the Aging Society: Taking Chongqing as an Example 老龄化社会背景下养老模式的创新发展路径——以重庆为例
Pub Date : 2023-01-13 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v6i1.4568
Aihong Wang
The aging society has dawned on China, and the pension industry is now considered to be a sunrise industry. In 2020, the number of people over the age of 65 in Chongqing had reached more than 5.47 million. At present, the mainstream home-based care, children support, and institutional care cannot fully meet the needs of the elderly for food, housing, medical care, nursing, and entertainment. The value curve model from “Blue Ocean Strategy” is used to look for innovative, differentiated competitive strategies. Through community-sharing pension institutions, it is believed that a new model that provides lower prices and more professional medical care services for the elderly, enriches the spiritual world of the elderly with rich entertainment activities, and connects social services through an elderly studio to meet the needs of the elderly for self-realization can be introduced.
老龄化社会已经在中国显现,养老产业现在被认为是一个朝阳产业。2020年,重庆65岁以上人口已超过547万。目前,主流的居家养老、子女抚养、机构养老等方式,还不能完全满足老年人对饮食、住房、医疗、护理、娱乐等方面的需求。运用“蓝海战略”中的价值曲线模型寻找创新的、差异化的竞争战略。通过社区共享型养老机构,相信可以引入一种新的模式,为老年人提供更低的价格和更专业的医疗保健服务,以丰富的娱乐活动丰富老年人的精神世界,并通过老年工作室连接社会服务,满足老年人自我实现的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between Altman’s Z-Score and Stock Performance Based on Airline Companies Listed in the United States Altman Z-Score与股票绩效关系的实证分析——以美国上市航空公司为例
Pub Date : 2022-12-27 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i6.4529
Yaofeng Hu, Zha Qi, Di Wang, Yan Wendy Wu
This research looks at any relevance between Altman’s Z-score and the stock market performance of airline companies in the United States (US). Nearly a thousand pieces of data on various aspects of operation and financial status from 81 airline companies in the US are available. Additionally, stock return is used as an indicator of firm stock performance in this paper. In order to satisfy the purpose of determining the relationship between Z-score and stock performance as well as what may be inferred from high stock returns with regard to Z-score, two different regression processes are carried out. The first regression tests the relationship between Z-score and stock return, while the second regression examines whether there is a difference in Z-scores between well-performing airline companies and poorly performing ones using dummy variables. The results reveal that there is a significant positive correlation between the Z-scores of US airline companies and their stock performance; besides, high stock returns potentially imply relatively high Z-scores and vice versa. Therefore, one of the crucial steps that US airline companies must make is to strengthen their balance sheets in order to draw investors to make investments in their businesses.
本研究着眼于Altman Z-score与美国航空公司股票市场表现之间的相关性。来自美国81家航空公司的运营和财务状况各方面的近千条数据可供使用。此外,本文还将股票收益作为企业股票绩效的一个指标。为了确定Z-score与股票业绩之间的关系,以及从高股票收益中可以推断出的Z-score,我们进行了两种不同的回归过程。第一个回归检验了z分数与股票回报之间的关系,而第二个回归检验了使用虚拟变量的表现良好的航空公司和表现不佳的航空公司之间的z分数是否存在差异。结果表明:美国航空公司的z分数与其股票表现存在显著的正相关关系;此外,高股票回报可能意味着相对较高的z分数,反之亦然。因此,美国航空公司必须采取的关键步骤之一是加强其资产负债表,以吸引投资者对其业务进行投资。
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引用次数: 0
A Study of the Role of the Board of Directors in Corporate Governance Based on UK Listed Companies 董事会在公司治理中的作用研究——以英国上市公司为例
Pub Date : 2022-12-27 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i6.4424
Xinyan Jiang
Companies are directed and controlled by corporate governance. It acts on the company internally and externally. The board of directors is responsible for the governance of the company; that is to say, the board of directors is the brain of the company, while corporate governance is the blood distributed throughout the company, which not only supplies blood to the whole, but also reflects the situation. Therefore, with regard to the role of the board of directors in corporate governance, this paper objectively analyzes the importance of the board of directors in corporate governance from theory to practice and from the internal composition of the board of directors to the impact of the board’s actions on the enterprise as a whole based on United Kingdom (UK) listed companies.
公司受公司治理的指导和控制。它对公司的内部和外部都有影响。董事会负责公司的治理;也就是说,董事会是公司的大脑,而公司治理则是分布在公司各处的血液,既供给整体血液,又反映情况。因此,关于董事会在公司治理中的作用,本文以英国上市公司为例,从理论到实践,从董事会内部构成到董事会行为对整个企业的影响,客观分析了董事会在公司治理中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Volatility Prediction via Hybrid LSTM Models with GARCH Type Parameters 基于GARCH类型参数的混合LSTM模型的波动率预测
Pub Date : 2022-12-09 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i6.4509
Mingyu Liu, Jing Ye, Lijie Yu
Since the establishment of financial models for risk prediction, the measurement of volatility at risky market has improved, and its significance has also grown. For high-frequency financial data, the degree of investment risk, which has always been the focus of attention, is measured by the variance of residual sequence obtained following model regression. By integrating the long short-term memory (LSTM) model with multiple generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models, a new hybrid LSTM model is used to predict stock price volatility. In this paper, three GARCH models are used, and the model that can best fit the data is determined.
自风险预测的金融模型建立以来,风险市场波动率的度量得到了改进,其意义也越来越大。对于高频金融数据,投资风险程度一直是人们关注的焦点,通过模型回归得到的残差序列方差来衡量投资风险程度。将长短期记忆(LSTM)模型与多个广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)模型相结合,建立了一种新的混合LSTM模型来预测股票价格波动。本文使用了三种GARCH模型,确定了最能拟合数据的模型。
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引用次数: 1
Application of Hidden Markov Models in Stock Forecasting 隐马尔可夫模型在股票预测中的应用
Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i6.4453
Menghan Yu, Panji Wang, Tong Wang
In this paper, we tested our methodology on the stocks of four representative companies: Apple, Comcast Corporation (CMCST), Google, and Qualcomm. We compared their performance to several stocks using the hidden Markov model (HMM) and forecasts using mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). For simplicity, we considered four main features in these stocks: open, close, high, and low prices. When using the HMM for forecasting, the HMM has the best prediction for the daily low stock price and daily high stock price of Apple and CMCST, respectively. By calculating the MAPE for the four data sets of Google, the close price has the largest prediction error, while the open price has the smallest prediction error. The HMM has the largest prediction error and the smallest prediction error for Qualcomm’s daily low stock price and daily high stock price, respectively.
在本文中,我们在四家代表性公司的股票上测试了我们的方法:苹果、康卡斯特公司(Comcast Corporation)、谷歌和高通。我们使用隐马尔可夫模型(HMM)和使用平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)的预测来比较它们与几只股票的表现。为简单起见,我们考虑这些股票的四个主要特征:开盘价、收盘价、最高价和最低价。在使用HMM进行预测时,HMM对Apple和CMCST的日低股价和日高股价的预测效果最好。通过计算Google四组数据集的MAPE,收盘价的预测误差最大,开盘价的预测误差最小。HMM对高通的日低股价和日高股价的预测误差最大,预测误差最小。
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引用次数: 0
Current State, Shortcomings, and Strategies to Improve China’s Waste Recycling Network: Optimization of Regional Site Selection for Waste Disposal Systems Based on Supply Chain Management 中国垃圾回收网络的现状、不足与改进策略:基于供应链管理的垃圾处理系统区域选址优化
Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i6.4496
Tingrui Yi
Based on the basic supply chain model, the status quo of waste recycling in China is examined by analyzing and comparing the changes in the waste recycling network and the problems of siting in relation to China’s waste disposal system.
基于基本供应链模型,通过分析和比较中国垃圾回收网络的变化和与中国垃圾处理系统相关的选址问题,考察中国垃圾回收的现状。
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引用次数: 0
Discussion on Local Asset Management Companies’ Approach to Revitalizing Uncompleted Real Estate Projects: Taking ZS Asset Management Company as an Example 地方资产管理公司盘活未完成房地产项目的途径探讨——以ZS资产管理公司为例
Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i6.4532
Xicheng Yao
In recent years, with the vigorous development of the real estate market, the price and scale of real estate have been growing explosively year by year. At the same time, the continuous macro-control of the state and the debt of real estate enterprises are both thundering. The high turnover and leverage operation mode is challenged, and uncompleted real estate projects are constantly emerging. Uncompleted residential buildings are considered scars to developers or cities where these projects are located. If this issue can be solved, uncompleted residential building projects can be revitalized, and the parties involved will also benefit from it. Asset management companies play a key role in the revitalization of uncompleted real estate projects by injecting new vitality into these projects and obtaining relevant policy support from the local government for the pain points and difficulties in these projects, thus promoting the revitalization of uncompleted projects. In order to discuss the approach taken by local asset management companies to revitalize uncompleted real estate projects, this paper takes ZS Asset Management Company as an example.
近年来,随着房地产市场的蓬勃发展,房地产的价格和规模呈逐年爆发式增长。与此同时,国家持续的宏观调控和房企的债务都在轰鸣。高周转、杠杆化的经营模式受到挑战,房地产未完工项目不断涌现。未完工的住宅楼被认为是开发商或项目所在城市的伤疤。如果这个问题能够得到解决,那么未完成的住宅建筑项目就可以得到振兴,相关各方也会从中受益。资产管理公司在未完成房地产项目的振兴中发挥着关键作用,为未完成房地产项目注入新的活力,针对未完成房地产项目的痛点和难点,获得当地政府的相关政策支持,从而促进未完成房地产项目的振兴。为了探讨地方资产管理公司对未完成房地产项目的盘活方式,本文以ZS资产管理公司为例。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the Impact of Financial Development on Industrial Structure Upgrading: Evidence from China’s Provincial Panel Data 金融发展对产业结构升级的影响研究——来自中国省级面板数据的证据
Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i6.4480
Lina Wang
On the basis of analyzing the mechanism of the impact of financial development on industrial structure upgrading, this paper comprehensively considers the state of the industrial structure among provinces from three dimensions: rationalization, optimization, and equalization. This research finds that financial development promotes the rationalization and optimization of industrial structure but has no significant effect on the equalization of industrial structure.
本文在分析金融发展对产业结构升级影响机理的基础上,从合理化、优化化、均等化三个维度综合考虑了各省产业结构的现状。研究发现,金融发展促进了产业结构的合理化和优化,但对产业结构的均等化没有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
Main Contents and Problems of the U.S. “Chip Act” and China’s Response in the Context of WTO 美国“芯片法案”的主要内容、问题及中国在WTO背景下的应对
Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i6.4456
Tehong Ye
With the rise of unilateral protectionism and the blockage of World Trade Organization (WTO) multilateral trading system reform, the United States (U.S.) provides huge financial support to its semiconductor industry through the “Chip Act.” Besides, the U.S. attempts to improve the competitiveness of its semiconductor industry and dominate the international semiconductor market by setting up a series of “guardrails provisions” to curb the development of “foreign countries of concern,” such as China. Through documentary analysis, the main contents of the “Chip Act” are clarified, and its justiciability and compliance are analyzed from the perspective of WTO rules. In terms of actionability, the “Chip Act” meets the general conditions of subsidies and possesses the traits of specificity but at the same time causes damage to other countries’ industries, thus constituting an actionable subsidy. In terms of compliance, the discriminatory provisions of the “Chip Act” violate the principle of non-discrimination. Accordingly, China should actively respond under the WTO framework by promoting the resolution of the Appellate Body crisis and the reform of the dispute settlement mechanism as well as participating in subsidy reform negotiations and contributing Chinese solutions; China should also take the initiative to apply countervailing rules to the “Chip Act” while improving its own trade remedy system.
在单边保护主义抬头、世界贸易组织(WTO)多边贸易体制改革受阻的情况下,美国通过《芯片法案》为本国半导体产业提供巨额资金支持。此外,美国还试图通过制定一系列“护栏条款”来遏制中国等“关注的外国”的发展,从而提高本国半导体产业的竞争力,主导国际半导体市场。通过文献分析,明确了《芯片法案》的主要内容,并从WTO规则的角度对其可诉性和合规性进行了分析。从可诉性上看,《芯片法》符合补贴的一般条件,具有特殊性,但同时对他国产业造成损害,构成可诉补贴。在合规性方面,《芯片法》的歧视性条款违反了非歧视原则。因此,中国应在WTO框架下积极应对,推动解决上诉机构危机和争端解决机制改革,参与补贴改革谈判,贡献中国方案;中国也应在完善自身贸易救济制度的同时,主动对《芯片法》适用反补贴规则。
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引用次数: 0
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Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies
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