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Toshiba and Luckin Coffee: A Study of the Reasons for Committing Financial Fraud 东芝和瑞幸咖啡:财务欺诈的原因研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-27 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i5.4423
Xinyan Jiang
Financial fraud, which has become a global issue, is a subject of discussion, surpassing time. Financial fraud significantly undermines investors’ confidence and affects the health of capital markets. Hence, it is valuable to explore the reasons for committing financial fraud and propose solutions to this issue. This paper focuses on two financial fraud cases in recent years, Toshiba in 2015 and Luckin Coffee in 2020, analyzes and compares the reasons for the financial fraud in terms of pressure and opportunity factors, as well as proposes comprehensive suggestions for dealing with the corporate financial fraud issue.
金融欺诈已成为世界性问题,是超越时间的讨论话题。金融欺诈严重损害投资者的信心,影响资本市场的健康。因此,探讨财务造假的原因并提出解决方案是很有价值的。本文以2015年东芝公司和2020年瑞幸咖啡公司这两起近年来发生的财务舞弊案件为研究对象,从压力因素和机会因素两方面对财务舞弊的原因进行分析和比较,并对企业财务舞弊问题的处理提出综合建议。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Two-Way FDI on the Industrial Structure in Shandong Province Under the Background of “New and Old Kinetic Energy Conversion” “新旧动能转换”背景下双向FDI对山东省产业结构的影响
Pub Date : 2022-10-26 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i5.4448
Zhiqing Xia, G. Song, Zahid I. Hussain
This paper uses the panel data of 17 cities in Shandong Province from 2003 to 2018 to construct a panel model to empirically study the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the industrial structure. The results show that two-way investment, financial industry development, and policy variables have significant roles in promoting the advancement of the industrial structure in the province. In the future implementation of the “Going Global” strategy in Shandong Province, the cooperation between two-way investment and the financial industry should be strengthened, the level of regional financial development should be improved, and the impact of two-way investment on the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure should be reinforced.
本文利用2003 - 2018年山东省17个地市的面板数据,构建面板模型,实证研究外商直接投资对产业结构的影响。结果表明,双向投资、金融业发展和政策变量对我省产业结构的推进作用显著。在山东省未来实施“走出去”战略中,应加强双向投资与金融业的合作,提高区域金融发展水平,增强双向投资对产业结构优化升级的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Opportunities of Qingdao Winery as a New Ecotourism Destination 青岛酒庄作为新型生态旅游目的地的经济机遇
Pub Date : 2022-10-26 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i5.4309
Yang Meng
The consumer psychology of consumers is constantly changing. Under the abundant material life, the emotional and personalized needs of consumers for products are highly valued. Winery tourism is a new ecotourism project. Its high-end and fashionable characteristics do not only meet consumers’ demand for personalized tourism, but also their pursuit for high-quality and fashionable leisure ways; thus, it has broad development prospects. At present, Qingdao winery tourism has begun to take shape, but in it faces problems in its development, especially in terms of resource integration and brand development. Therefore, taking the development of Qingdao winery tourism as an example, this paper puts forward several development countermeasures and policy objectives as well as provides a scientific analysis basis for the development of Qingdao winery tourism.
消费者的消费心理是不断变化的。在丰富的物质生活下,消费者对产品的情感和个性化需求受到高度重视。酒庄旅游是一个新兴的生态旅游项目。其高端、时尚的特点既满足了消费者对个性化旅游的需求,也满足了消费者对高品质、时尚休闲方式的追求;因此,它具有广阔的发展前景。目前,青岛酒庄旅游已初具规模,但在发展中还面临着一些问题,特别是在资源整合和品牌发展方面。因此,本文以青岛酒庄旅游的发展为例,提出了若干发展对策和政策目标,为青岛酒庄旅游的发展提供科学的分析依据。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Project Portfolio Management on Enterprise Strategic Objectives 项目组合管理对企业战略目标的影响
Pub Date : 2022-10-26 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i5.4449
Qiting Song
In today’s era, with the increase in the number of enterprise innovations, enterprises must adopt project portfolio management for various innovations, select alternative projects from the perspective of enterprise strategy. This paper primarily explores the use of project portfolio management in enterprise project management, hoping to improve the quality of enterprise project management and the utilization efficiency of project portfolio management in enterprise project management.
在当今时代,随着企业创新的增多,企业必须对各种创新采用项目组合管理,从企业战略的角度选择备选项目。本文主要探讨项目组合管理在企业项目管理中的运用,希望能够提高企业项目管理的质量,提高项目组合管理在企业项目管理中的运用效率。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the Relationship Between Macroeconomic Indicators and Stock Market Value 宏观经济指标与股票市值关系研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-26 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i5.4243
Yu Meng, Baowen Li, Jing Yang, Yong Wang, Jianxun Niu
The article first addresses the following questions: “Why does gross domestic product (GDP) rises, but the stock market value falls?”; “Among the macroeconomic factors, which factor has a greater impact on the promotion of investment value in the securities market?”. With these questions in mind, we put forward a hypothesis emphasizing on the impact of macroeconomic factors on the value of the stock market based on existing research and used the regression method to verify this hypothesis. The following conclusions were drawn: (1) variables that have a positive nonlinear relationship with stock market value include balance of payments surplus, rising GDP level, M1, the whole society’s fixed asset investment, and national per capita disposable income; (2) variables that have a negative nonlinear relationship with stock market value include deposit, loan interest rate, new RMB loan amount, consumer price index (CPI), and producer price index; (3) deposit reserve ratio has an S-shaped curve relationship with stock market value; (4) exchange rate has an inverted U-shaped curve relationship with stock market value.
文章首先回答了以下问题:“为什么国内生产总值(GDP)上升,而股票市值下降?”“在宏观经济因素中,哪一个因素对证券市场投资价值的提升影响更大?”考虑到这些问题,我们在现有研究的基础上提出了一个强调宏观经济因素对股票市场价值影响的假设,并使用回归方法对这一假设进行了验证。结果表明:(1)国际收支顺差、GDP水平上升、M1、全社会固定资产投资、国民人均可支配收入与股市价值呈非线性正相关关系;(2)存款、贷款利率、新增人民币贷款额、居民消费价格指数(CPI)、生产者价格指数与股票市值呈非线性负相关关系的变量;(3)存款准备金率与股票市值呈s型曲线关系;(4)汇率与股票市值呈倒u型曲线关系。
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引用次数: 0
ARIMA and Facebook Prophet Model in Google Stock Price Prediction 谷歌股价预测中的ARIMA和Facebook先知模型
Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i5.4386
Beijia Jin, Shuning Gao, Zheng Tao
We use the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and Facebook Prophet model to predict the closing stock price of Google during the COVID-19 pandemic as well as compare the accuracy of these two models’ predictions. We first examine the stationary of the dataset and use ARIMA(0,1,1) to make predictions about the stock price during the pandemic, then we train the Prophet model using the stock price before January 1, 2021, and predict the stock price after January 1, 2021, to present. We also make a comparison of the prediction graphs of the two models. The empirical results show that the ARIMA model has a better performance in predicting Google’s stock price during the pandemic.
我们使用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型和Facebook Prophet模型来预测2019冠状病毒病大流行期间谷歌的收盘价,并比较这两个模型预测的准确性。我们首先检查数据集的平稳性,并使用ARIMA(0,1,1)对大流行期间的股票价格进行预测,然后使用2021年1月1日之前的股票价格训练Prophet模型,并预测2021年1月1日之后的股票价格至今。并对两种模型的预测图进行了比较。实证结果表明,ARIMA模型对疫情期间谷歌股价的预测效果较好。
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引用次数: 2
Research on the “New University” Management System from the Perspective of Finance 财务视角下的“新型大学”管理体制研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i5.4411
Minfang Li
Since the release of the “Outline of the National Medium- and Long-Term Education Reform and Development Plan (2010–2020),” “new universities” have garnered widespread attention. The system and mechanism of these “new universities” are different from those of traditional universities. They have their own ways of running schools, management systems, and personnel training methods, all of which bring a different kind of pressure to government management. Looking from a financial perspective, this is also the key research subject of finance and financial personnel. We put forward implementation suggestions for the construction of the “new university” management system based on the experience summed up in the work and contribute to the country’s higher education.
自《国家中长期教育改革和发展规划纲要(2010-2020年)》发布以来,“新型大学”引起了广泛关注。这些“新型大学”的体制机制不同于传统大学。他们有自己的办学方式、管理制度、人才培养方式,这些都给政府管理带来了另一种压力。从财务的角度来看,这也是财务和财务人员重点研究的课题。根据工作中总结的经验,提出构建“新型大学”管理体制的实施建议,为国家高等教育事业做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting Google’s Stock Price with LSTM Model 用LSTM模型预测谷歌股价
Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i5.4361
Tianlei Zhu, Yuexin Liao, Zheng Tao
Stock market has a profound impact on the market economy, Hence, the prediction of future movement of stocks is of great significance to investors. Therefore, an efficient prediction system can solve this problem to a great extent. In this paper, we used the stock price of Google Inc. as a prediction object, selected 3810 adjusted closing prices, and used long short-term memory (LSTM) method to predict the future price trend of the stock. We built a three-layer LSTM model and divided the entire data into a test set and a training set according to the ratio of 8 to 2. The final results show that while the LSTM model can predict the stock trend of Google Inc. very well, it cannot predict the specific price accurately.
股票市场对市场经济有着深远的影响,因此,对股票未来走势的预测对投资者来说意义重大。因此,一个高效的预测系统可以在很大程度上解决这一问题。本文以Google Inc.的股价作为预测对象,选取3810个调整后的收盘价,采用长短期记忆(LSTM)方法预测该股票未来的价格走势。我们构建了一个三层LSTM模型,并将整个数据按照8:2的比例划分为一个测试集和一个训练集。最终结果表明,LSTM模型可以很好地预测Google Inc.的股票走势,但不能准确预测具体价格。
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引用次数: 4
A Study of the Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on the Efficiency of Public Health Expenditure 财政分权对公共卫生支出效率的影响研究
Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i5.4104
Xiaoman Wu, Ting Geng, Xiaojie Peng
In this present-day global pandemic that has not been completely resolved, health is a major concern among people, and correspondingly, people are demanding higher standards for public health products and services provided by the government. In this paper, we measure the technical efficiency of public health expenditure in each province by using the data envelopment analysis (DEA) model, and examine the impact of decentralization on the efficiency of public health expenditure under the fiscal decentralization system using the panel data from 31 provinces from 2012–2019 in a panel model subject to fixed effects.
在这场尚未完全解决的全球大流行中,健康是人们最关心的问题,相应地,人们对政府提供的公共卫生产品和服务提出了更高的要求。本文采用数据包络分析(DEA)模型对各省公共卫生支出的技术效率进行测度,并利用2012-2019年31个省份的面板数据,采用固定效应面板模型检验财政分权体制下地方分权对公共卫生支出效率的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of Amazon’s Stock Price Based on ARIMA, XGBoost, and LSTM Models 基于ARIMA、XGBoost和LSTM模型的亚马逊股价预测
Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.26689/pbes.v5i5.4432
Zhe Zhu, Kexin He
Finding the best model to predict the trend of stock prices is an issue that has always garnered attention, and it is also closely related to investors’ investment dynamics. Even the commonly used autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and long short-term memory (LSTM) have their own advantages and disadvantages. We use mean squared error (MSE) to judge the most suitable model for predicting Amazon’s stock price from many aspects and find that LSTM is the model with the best fitting effect and the closest to the real curve. However, the LSTM model still needs to improve in terms of performance so as to reduce the bias. We anticipate the discovery of more models that are apt for predicting stocks in the future.
寻找预测股价走势的最佳模型是一个一直备受关注的问题,也与投资者的投资动态密切相关。即使是常用的自回归积分移动平均(ARIMA)、极端梯度增强(XGBoost)和长短期记忆(LSTM)也有各自的优缺点。我们利用均方误差(mean squared error, MSE)从多个方面来判断最适合预测亚马逊股价的模型,发现LSTM是拟合效果最好、最接近真实曲线的模型。但是,LSTM模型在性能上还需要改进,以减少偏差。我们期望在未来发现更多适合预测股票的模型。
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引用次数: 2
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Proceedings of Business and Economic Studies
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