Environmental Modelling & Software最新文献

Linear control-oriented models are important to represent canal dynamics for designing controllers. This study focuses on hydraulic control structure (gate) modelling to address the complex interdependent behavior inherent in irrigation canals. A comprehensive mathematical model that incorporates the water level with gate-opening to model discharge is introduced for single and multiple canal pool scenarios. The proposed model captures the hydraulic coupling within and among canal pools, a key finding. The model is evaluated extensively under uniform and non-uniform flows across three distinct canals, highlighting the model's applicability to various systems. The uncertainty inherent within the nominal model is also assessed for varying operating conditions and hydraulic parameters. The proposed model is compared with the existing and the Saint-Venant (SV) model, showing improved accuracy in water-level predictions. This advancement in hydraulic modelling contributes to adaptable canal models essential in developing robust controllers to enhance water management in irrigation canals.

Although traditional physical models have been used to analyse groundwater systems, the emergence of novel machine learning models can improve the accuracy of the predictions. Deep learning has been prominent in environmental and climate change problems. In this paper, we present a framework for utilising deep learning models to predict groundwater levels based on nearby streamflow and rainfall data. We address the missing data problem using a Bayesian linear regression model within the deep learning framework. Our deep learning framework utilises models such as long-short term memory (LSTM) networks and convolutional neural networks (CNN) for multi-step ahead time series prediction. We examine the fluctuations in groundwater levels at various boreholes located near Middle Creek in New South Wales, Australia. We use the National Collaborative Research Infrastructure Strategy (NCRIS) groundwater database and utilise Bayesian linear regression to impute missing data. We investigate the accuracy of the selected models for individual and regional basins and univariate and multivariate strategies. Our results show that the LSTM-based regional model with multivariate strategy using rainfall data provided the best accuracy.

Simulation models are a fundamental tool for investigating hydrological processes and for water resource management. In this study, we introduce PyCoSMoS, a Python toolbox that enables researchers to simulate observed univariate time series mimicking hydroclimatic processes. This toolbox preserves arbitrary marginal distribution and autocorrelation functions, while significantly reducing computational burden. PyCoSMoS is built upon the mixed-Uniform CoSMoS method recently proposed by Papalexiou et al. (2023). The toolbox is designed to minimize the user’s input, requiring only observed time series, marginal distribution, correlation function, and the number of lags. The output provides both visual and quantitative comparisons between the observed and simulated time series. We evaluate the performance of the package using various synthetic case studies and the results demonstrate satisfactory accuracy. Furthermore, we apply the toolbox to three real case studies: precipitation, temperature, and relative humidity, for which the toolbox can successfully simulate the observed time series in each case.

Geological bodies prone to disasters, such as glaciers, landslides, and land subsidence, undergo three-dimensional (3-D) movement. Spaceborne Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) satellites commonly capture relative directional motion for Earth observation. However, this begs the question of how to track the 3-D movement of geological bodies. Presented here, the 3-D Deformation Inversion toolbox MATLAB-based concurrently processes ascending and descending SAR-derived datasets acquired from either Pixel Offset Tracking (POT) or Differential Interferometric SAR (DInSAR) methodology, in addition, generates long-term 3-D deformation and interactive point time series and line section information, also dynamic map visualizations. It is the ability to calculate the least squares solution using truncated or multi-order Tikhonov regularized Singular Value Decomposition (SVD). Three various scenarios are employed to assess processing capabilities. The L-curve method finds the optimal calculation parameters tailored to various objects. The toolbox's effectiveness and applicability enhance the potential for evolutionary dynamic analysis in geoscience.

Detecting and monitoring surface deformation using radar satellite data is vital in geohazard assessment. Sentinel-1 has provided unprecedented spatial and temporal resolution, but data processing is complicated and poses computational challenges. Although software and tools exist, each with its own limitations. SNAP-ESA is notable for its user-friendly interface and stable performance in Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR). However, SNAP-ESA lacks a flexible approach for generating interferometric time series stacks for Persistent Scatterer Interferometry (PSI) and Small Baseline Subset (SBAS) techniques and faces computational challenges over large areas. Here, we present an automated Python workflow, SNAPWF, using SNAP-ESA to enable efficient PSI and SBAS interferometric time series stacks generation using flexible network graphs. SNAPWF has been implemented on a dedicated geospatial computing platform, enabling efficient performance over large areas. Results confirm its ability to generate PSI and SBAS interferometric stacks using full Sentinel-1 scenes and achieve results comparable to existing software.

Extreme events have the potential to significantly impact transportation infrastructure performance. For example, in the case of bridges, climate change impacts the river discharge, hence scouring patterns, which in turn, affects the bridge foundation stability. Therefore, extreme events (river flow) forecasting is mandatory in bridge reliability analysis. This paper approaches this river flow forecasting problem by developing a Markov-Switching Autoregressive model coupled with a conditional hidden seasonal Markov component. In addition, the proposed model is also combined with the deep machine learning neural networks method to forecast river flow from a dataset or from simulations. The proposed method is illustrated by using realistic data: historic river flow values of the Thames River. The results indicate that the proposed model well represented the extreme events within the dataset. In terms of river flow forecasting, the results indicate that the forecasts improve when the training period changes from 20 years to 40 years.

A Bayesian Belief Network was developed to simulate phosphorus (P) loss in an Irish agricultural catchment. Septic tanks and farmyards were included to represent all P sources and assess their effect on model performance. Bayesian priors were defined using daily discharge and turbidity, high-resolution soil P data, expert opinion, and literature. Calibration was done against seven years of daily Total Reactive P concentrations. Model performance was assessed using percentage bias, summary statistics, and visually comparing distributions. Bias was within acceptable ranges, the model predicted mean and median P concentrations within the data error, with simulated distributions more variable than the observations. Considering the risk of exceeding regulatory standards, predictions showed lower P losses than observations, likely due to simulated distributions being left-skewed. We discuss model advantages and limitations, the benefits of explicitly representing uncertainty, and priorities for data collection to fill knowledge gaps present even in a highly monitored catchment.

Cellular automata (CA) based models are practical tools to simulate the spatiotemporal landscape evolution induced by the land use/-cover change (LUCC). Existing models are struggling to comprehensively handle the spatiotemporal driving relationships amid the nonlinear LUCC process. Besides, the landscape patterns are not considered in most models, making them struggled to support the development strategies. Aiming at overcoming these obstacles, a novel land use/-cover change model concerning spatiotemporal dependency and properties related to landscape evolution (STAPLE) is proposed in this paper. A potential generating module establishing the nonlinear spatiotemporal driving relationship and a spatial allocating module employing a landscape-based CA are integrated for realistic LUCC simulations. As a case study, the proposed model is applied in Zhengzhou, China to assess its performance. It is indicated that the STAPLE model achieves a higher simulation accuracy, and the landscape properties are effectively manipulated. It provides a reproducible tool for policy-makers to explore a low-ecological-risk landscape under different future scenarios and achieve sustainable developments.

Multi-source heterogeneous, multi-modal, and multi-type open scientific data (e.g., thematic sharing sites, metadata, journal articles, etc.) on earth surface systems (EES) provide important data sources for knowledge mining, discovery, and accurate recommendations, and also pose increasing challenges, resulting in the need to develop appropriate tools to address these challenges and support decision-making. This paper constructs an interoperable software system to store, visualize, and publish open science data of ESS. Utilizing an open scientific data catalogue repository encompassing EES information as foundational input and employing an integrated modeling methodology, this system endeavors to synthesize heterogeneous surface data of diverse linguistic, sourced, and typological origins. The objective is to facilitate multidimensional data retrieval and precise data auto-recommendation, thereby fostering the dissemination of scientific data and facilitating value-added services within EES domain. The tool may be used by stakeholders including researchers, data analysts, policymakers and national authorities to support decision-making on questions ranging from locating the location of open data related to the topic, to discovering high-quality data, selecting the data with the better overall evaluation. Along with a description of the system/platform design process, its structure, and the constituent models, key results are presented relating to the user interface, and several application examples. Software systems can help modelers to use the best features of a single software tool to answer open scientific data-related questions that seek to discovery, use, comparison or synthesis within or across topics of ESS.

Forest biomass is an essential indicator of forest ecosystem carbon cycle and global climate change research, and traditional machine learning cannot explain the mechanism of feature variable impact on forest aboveground biomass (AGB). Therefore, we proposed an interpretable bamboo forest AGB prediction method based on Shaply Additive exPlanation (SHAP) and XGBoost model to explain the impact mechanism of feature variables on AGB. The bamboo forest AGB is estimated using the monthly and annual scale leaf area index (LAI), enhanced vegetation index (EVI), ratio vegetation index (RVI), precipitation (Pre), maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin) and solar radiation (Rad) data. The results showed that the method could be effectively predict AGB, and precipitation more important than temperature. The framework revealed the threshold effect, exceeded the threshold value, the impacts of LAI_Ann, EVI_Ann, and Pre_11 on AGB were stable. The SHAP interaction value between LAI_Ann and EVI_Ann decreased with increasing EVI_Ann and LAI_Ann. By contrast, when Pre_11 increased, the SHAP interaction value between LAI_Ann and Pre_11 increased with increasing LAI_Ann. The framework could also be easily implemented, providing an interpretable machine learning model of forest AGB.