Food Policy最新文献_第3页

Food waste behaviour prediction and policy recommender system: data-driven machine learning approaches 食物浪费行为预测和政策建议系统：数据驱动的机器学习方法

IF 6 1区经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Food Policy

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103032

Mehdi A. Kamran , Reza Babazadeh , AmirReza Gharibi , Osman El-Said , Samira Afsharfar , Jokha Al Saqri

The rising economic, environmental, and social consequences of food waste necessitate comprehensive studies to identify the primary drivers of household food waste (HFW) and to develop effective strategies for reducing it. This study predicts Food Waste Behavior (FWB) using a two-phase approach. In the first phase, an extensive literature review, complemented by expert opinions, is conducted to identify the most influential factors contributing to HFW. A Structural Equation Model (SEM) is then developed and validated using data obtained from a customized survey of 300 Omani households to establish the theoretical relationships among these factors. Next, IF–THEN rules derived from expert input through a structured Delphi process were used to assign FWB levels to all possible combinations of identified indicators via a Full Factorial Design (FFD). This dataset was then used to train several machine learning (ML) models—including Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)—to predict FWB in households. Among these models, MLP and SVM exhibited the best performance, achieving 99% classification accuracy.

In the second phase, the focus turns to policy intervention, achieved by creating an intelligent policy recommendation system. This system is informed by a detailed review of global food waste policies, supplemented by expert insights, and customized for the Omani context. The policy recommendation tool offers tailored strategies, including incentives, aimed at improving awareness and reducing HFW behaviors. This AI-based decision support system assists policymakers in crafting and implementing targeted interventions to reduce HFW in Oman. Although validated with data from Oman, the framework is adaptable to other countries. With local survey data, the ML models can be retrained to assess FWB and recommend context-specific mitigation policies, offering a scalable, data-driven tool for global use.

食物浪费的经济、环境和社会后果日益严重，需要进行全面的研究，以确定家庭食物浪费（HFW）的主要驱动因素，并制定有效的减少战略。本研究采用两阶段方法预测食物浪费行为。在第一阶段，进行广泛的文献综述，并辅以专家意见，以确定对HFW最有影响的因素。然后，利用对300个阿曼家庭的定制调查数据，开发并验证了结构方程模型（SEM），以建立这些因素之间的理论关系。接下来，通过结构化德尔菲过程从专家输入中得出的IF-THEN规则被用于通过全析因设计（FFD）将FWB水平分配给所有可能的识别指标组合。然后，该数据集用于训练几个机器学习（ML）模型，包括决策树（DT）、随机森林（RF）、k近邻（KNN）、支持向量机（SVM）、多层感知器（MLP）、光梯度增强机（LightGBM）和自适应神经模糊推理系统（ANFIS），以预测家庭中的FWB。其中，MLP和SVM表现最好，分类准确率达到99%。在第二阶段，重点转向政策干预，通过创建智能政策推荐系统来实现。该系统以对全球食物浪费政策的详细审查为依据，辅以专家见解，并根据阿曼的情况进行定制。政策建议工具提供了量身定制的战略，包括激励措施，旨在提高认识和减少HFW行为。这种基于人工智能的决策支持系统有助于决策者制定和实施有针对性的干预措施，以减少阿曼的HFW。尽管该框架得到了阿曼数据的验证，但也适用于其他国家。利用本地调查数据，可以对ML模型进行重新训练，以评估FWB并建议针对具体情况的缓解策略，从而提供可扩展的数据驱动工具，供全球使用。

{"title":"Food waste behaviour prediction and policy recommender system: data-driven machine learning approaches","authors":"Mehdi A. Kamran , Reza Babazadeh , AmirReza Gharibi , Osman El-Said , Samira Afsharfar , Jokha Al Saqri","doi":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103032","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103032","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rising economic, environmental, and social consequences of food waste necessitate comprehensive studies to identify the primary drivers of household food waste (HFW) and to develop effective strategies for reducing it. This study predicts Food Waste Behavior (FWB) using a two-phase approach. In the first phase, an extensive literature review, complemented by expert opinions, is conducted to identify the most influential factors contributing to HFW. A Structural Equation Model (SEM) is then developed and validated using data obtained from a customized survey of 300 Omani households to establish the theoretical relationships among these factors. Next, IF–THEN rules derived from expert input through a structured Delphi process were used to assign FWB levels to all possible combinations of identified indicators via a Full Factorial Design (FFD). This dataset was then used to train several machine learning (ML) models—including Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)—to predict FWB in households. Among these models, MLP and SVM exhibited the best performance, achieving 99% classification accuracy.</div><div>In the second phase, the focus turns to policy intervention, achieved by creating an intelligent policy recommendation system. This system is informed by a detailed review of global food waste policies, supplemented by expert insights, and customized for the Omani context. The policy recommendation tool offers tailored strategies, including incentives, aimed at improving awareness and reducing HFW behaviors. This AI-based decision support system assists policymakers in crafting and implementing targeted interventions to reduce HFW in Oman. Although validated with data from Oman, the framework is adaptable to other countries. With local survey data, the ML models can be retrained to assess FWB and recommend context-specific mitigation policies, offering a scalable, data-driven tool for global use.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":321,"journal":{"name":"Food Policy","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 103032"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145920756","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Legal responsibility and regulatory compliance with food information on e-grocery platforms: an Italian case study offering insights for future policies and consumer protection in the European context 电子杂货平台上食品信息的法律责任和监管合规：一个意大利案例研究，为欧洲背景下的未来政策和消费者保护提供见解

IF 6 1区经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Food Policy

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103013

Andrea Gori, Martina Sartoni, Andrea Armani, Roberta Nuvoloni

In recent years, e-grocery has grown across the European Union (EU), with regulations imposing the provision of mandatory information for prepacked food products (PFPs) even in online sales. However, recent studies have shown that e-grocery platforms do not always fully comply with these requirements. Thus, this study aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of e-grocery services offered by major large-scale retailers (LSRs) in Italy, focusing on: i) territorial coverage at the provincial level; ii) the legal responsibility in the provision of mandatory information; and iii) the degree of compliance of 414 PFPs with EU and national legislations concerning mandatory food information. Results revealed greater diffusion of e-grocery services in Northern and Central-Northern Italy, with relevant disparities in the South and islands, reflecting structural and infrastructural market differences that are consistent with patterns observed across EU. All the analyzed platforms were owned and directly managed by the LSRs, thereby assigning them a central responsibility in ensuring compliance with current regulations. The analysis of the information provided on PFPs revealed a high percentage of compliance (92.8%), but also a non-negligible proportion of non-compliant products (7.2%), aligning with other EU researches. These findings highlight the need for clearer, and more accessible online food information to support compliance to regulations and consumer trust. The study also offers valuable insights and recommendations for stakeholders across the EU regarding regulatory compliance in online food sales, with important implications for consumer protection, enforcement practices, and the development of future policies in the continuously evolving context of digital food commerce.

近年来，电子杂货在整个欧盟（EU）蓬勃发展，相关法规规定，即使在在线销售中，也必须为预包装食品（pfp）提供强制性信息。然而，最近的研究表明，电子杂货平台并不总是完全符合这些要求。因此，本研究旨在全面概述意大利主要大型零售商（lsr）提供的电子杂货服务，重点关注：i)省一级的区域覆盖；Ii)提供强制性信息的法律责任；以及iii) 414种pfp符合欧盟和有关强制性食品信息的国家立法的程度。结果显示，电子杂货服务在意大利北部和中北部的扩散程度更高，而在南部和岛屿上存在相关差异，反映了结构和基础设施市场差异，这些差异与整个欧盟观察到的模式一致。所有分析的平台都由lsr拥有并直接管理，从而赋予它们确保遵守当前法规的核心责任。对pfp提供的信息的分析显示，合规比例很高（92.8%），但也有不可忽略的不合规产品比例（7.2%），与其他欧盟研究一致。这些发现强调需要更清晰、更容易获取的在线食品信息，以支持遵守法规和消费者的信任。该研究还为整个欧盟的利益相关者提供了关于在线食品销售法规遵从性的宝贵见解和建议，对消费者保护、执法实践以及在不断发展的数字食品商业背景下制定未来政策具有重要意义。

{"title":"Legal responsibility and regulatory compliance with food information on e-grocery platforms: an Italian case study offering insights for future policies and consumer protection in the European context","authors":"Andrea Gori, Martina Sartoni, Andrea Armani, Roberta Nuvoloni","doi":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103013","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In recent years, e-grocery has grown across the European Union (EU), with regulations imposing the provision of mandatory information for prepacked food products (PFPs) even in online sales. However, recent studies have shown that e-grocery platforms do not always fully comply with these requirements. Thus, this study aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of e-grocery services offered by major large-scale retailers (LSRs) in Italy, focusing on: i) territorial coverage at the provincial level; ii) the legal responsibility in the provision of mandatory information; and iii) the degree of compliance of 414 PFPs with EU and national legislations concerning mandatory food information. Results revealed greater diffusion of e-grocery services in Northern and Central-Northern Italy, with relevant disparities in the South and islands, reflecting structural and infrastructural market differences that are consistent with patterns observed across EU. All the analyzed platforms were owned and directly managed by the LSRs, thereby assigning them a central responsibility in ensuring compliance with current regulations. The analysis of the information provided on PFPs revealed a high percentage of compliance (92.8%), but also a non-negligible proportion of non-compliant products (7.2%), aligning with other EU researches. These findings highlight the need for clearer, and more accessible online food information to support compliance to regulations and consumer trust. The study also offers valuable insights and recommendations for stakeholders across the EU regarding regulatory compliance in online food sales, with important implications for consumer protection, enforcement practices, and the development of future policies in the continuously evolving context of digital food commerce.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":321,"journal":{"name":"Food Policy","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 103013"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145681104","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The impacts of nutrient- and health-optimal diets on the food system in Switzerland 营养和健康最佳饮食对瑞士食品系统的影响

IF 6 1区经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Food Policy

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103014

Utkur Djanibekov , Albert von Ow , Alba Reguant-Closa , Daria Loginova , Cédric Furrer , Mélanie Douziech , Stefan Mann , Thomas Nemecek

Current dietary choices deviate from the recommended diet and are unhealthy. Food consumption is interlinked with the food system, and improving dietary choices will have an impact on the food system. The objective of this study is to analyze the impact of nutrient- and health-optimized diets for an average Swiss consumer on the food system. We analyze three scenarios, including projected future diets and diets that optimize nutrient and health indices. We use the Swiss Sustainable Food System model, which is an ex-ante dynamic programming model. The model considers agricultural production, processing, trade, storage, and consumption stages of the food system. The results show that the projected future diet yields slightly better nutrient intake, but slightly fewer health benefits compared to current diets. Diets optimizing nutrient intake and health impacts yield substantial health benefits. Diets optimizing nutrient intake and health impacts increase the consumption of plant-based products by 55% and 78% respectively, in terms of calories, in contrast to the reference scenario, whereas they reduce the consumption of animal-based products by 35% and 43% respectively, in terms of calories. To meet the demand for these dietary shifts, agricultural production should change by increasing the area of crops producing plant-based foods and decreasing livestock numbers. Import dependency increases with diets designed to improve the health of the population. Environmental outcomes result in trade-offs, with greenhouse gas and nitrogen emissions decreasing, while water use and pesticide risks in surface water and semi-natural habitats increase.

目前的饮食选择偏离了推荐的饮食，是不健康的。粮食消费与粮食系统是相互关联的，改善饮食选择将对粮食系统产生影响。本研究的目的是分析营养和健康优化饮食对普通瑞士消费者对食品系统的影响。我们分析了三种情景，包括预测的未来饮食和优化营养和健康指数的饮食。我们使用瑞士可持续食品系统模型，这是一个事前动态规划模型。该模型考虑了粮食系统的农业生产、加工、贸易、储存和消费阶段。结果表明，与目前的饮食相比，预计的未来饮食会带来略好的营养摄入，但对健康的益处略少。优化营养摄入和健康影响的饮食产生了实质性的健康益处。与参考情景相比，优化营养摄入和健康影响的饮食使植物性产品的卡路里摄入量分别增加了55%和78%，而动物性产品的卡路里摄入量分别减少了35%和43%。为了满足这些饮食变化的需求，农业生产应该通过增加生产植物性食品的作物面积和减少牲畜数量来改变。进口依赖随着旨在改善人口健康的饮食而增加。环境结果导致权衡，温室气体和氮排放减少，而地表水和半自然栖息地的用水和农药风险增加。

{"title":"The impacts of nutrient- and health-optimal diets on the food system in Switzerland","authors":"Utkur Djanibekov , Albert von Ow , Alba Reguant-Closa , Daria Loginova , Cédric Furrer , Mélanie Douziech , Stefan Mann , Thomas Nemecek","doi":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Current dietary choices deviate from the recommended diet and are unhealthy. Food consumption is interlinked with the food system, and improving dietary choices will have an impact on the food system. The objective of this study is to analyze the impact of nutrient- and health-optimized diets for an average Swiss consumer on the food system. We analyze three scenarios, including projected future diets and diets that optimize nutrient and health indices. We use the Swiss Sustainable Food System model, which is an ex-ante dynamic programming model. The model considers agricultural production, processing, trade, storage, and consumption stages of the food system. The results show that the projected future diet yields slightly better nutrient intake, but slightly fewer health benefits compared to current diets. Diets optimizing nutrient intake and health impacts yield substantial health benefits. Diets optimizing nutrient intake and health impacts increase the consumption of plant-based products by 55% and 78% respectively, in terms of calories, in contrast to the reference scenario, whereas they reduce the consumption of animal-based products by 35% and 43% respectively, in terms of calories. To meet the demand for these dietary shifts, agricultural production should change by increasing the area of crops producing plant-based foods and decreasing livestock numbers. Import dependency increases with diets designed to improve the health of the population. Environmental outcomes result in trade-offs, with greenhouse gas and nitrogen emissions decreasing, while water use and pesticide risks in surface water and semi-natural habitats increase.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":321,"journal":{"name":"Food Policy","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 103014"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145681105","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Food surplus and the development of food banks in Africa 非洲粮食过剩和粮食银行的发展

IF 6 1区经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Food Policy

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103015

Daniel N. Warshawsky

Food banks have developed across the world to reduce food insecurity and food waste. In Africa, thirty-five countries have food bank systems in operation. As food banks increase across the continent, more research is needed to analyze the development of food banks in African contexts. It is in many of these lower-income regions with underdeveloped infrastructure, lack of a strong formalized corporate food industry, weak or corrupt government institutions, and extreme poverty where food banks may be less likely to succeed. To this end, this paper examines case studies of food bank systems in Kenya, Ethiopia, Ghana, and Uganda to understand the logics of African food banking and the rationale for food bank development across the continent. Findings in this research suggest global food banking networks are central players in the development of African food banks as they guide the structure and growth of local food banks. Even with this assistance, most African food banks collect food in an ad hoc manner, rather than a systematic approach to food recovery. In addition, most African food banks have weak or non-existent connections with government or retailers. African food banks are also overdependent on global food banking networks for funding and technical support. In all, these data point to a relatively uneven food banking landscape, as the food bank model based on corporate surplus may be limited in the African context. Although there is discussion of an emerging African food banking network, the African food bank model remains unclear at this point.

粮食银行在世界各地发展，以减少粮食不安全和粮食浪费。在非洲，有35个国家建立了食品银行系统。随着食物银行在整个非洲大陆的增加，需要更多的研究来分析非洲背景下食物银行的发展。在许多低收入地区，基础设施不发达，缺乏强大的正规食品企业，政府机构薄弱或腐败，以及极端贫困，食品银行可能不太可能成功。为此，本文考察了肯尼亚、埃塞俄比亚、加纳和乌干达食品银行系统的案例研究，以了解非洲食品银行的逻辑以及整个非洲大陆食品银行发展的基本原理。这项研究的结果表明，全球食品银行网络是非洲食品银行发展的核心参与者，因为它们指导着当地食品银行的结构和增长。即使有了这种援助，大多数非洲粮食银行还是以一种临时的方式收集粮食，而不是以系统的方式回收粮食。此外，大多数非洲食品银行与政府或零售商的联系薄弱或根本不存在。非洲粮食银行还过度依赖全球粮食银行网络提供资金和技术支持。总之，这些数据表明了一个相对不均衡的食品银行格局，因为基于企业盈余的食品银行模式在非洲的背景下可能是有限的。尽管有一个新兴的非洲食品银行网络的讨论，非洲食品银行的模式在这一点上仍然不清楚。

{"title":"Food surplus and the development of food banks in Africa","authors":"Daniel N. Warshawsky","doi":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103015","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103015","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Food banks have developed across the world to reduce food insecurity and food waste. In Africa, thirty-five countries have food bank systems in operation. As food banks increase across the continent, more research is needed to analyze the development of food banks in African contexts. It is in many of these lower-income regions with underdeveloped infrastructure, lack of a strong formalized corporate food industry, weak or corrupt government institutions, and extreme poverty where food banks may be less likely to succeed. To this end, this paper examines case studies of food bank systems in Kenya, Ethiopia, Ghana, and Uganda to understand the logics of African food banking and the rationale for food bank development across the continent. Findings in this research suggest global food banking networks are central players in the development of African food banks as they guide the structure and growth of local food banks. Even with this assistance, most African food banks collect food in an ad hoc manner, rather than a systematic approach to food recovery. In addition, most African food banks have weak or non-existent connections with government or retailers. African food banks are also overdependent on global food banking networks for funding and technical support. In all, these data point to a relatively uneven food banking landscape, as the food bank model based on corporate surplus may be limited in the African context. Although there is discussion of an emerging African food banking network, the African food bank model remains unclear at this point.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":321,"journal":{"name":"Food Policy","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 103015"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145733353","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

GLP-1 use and protein demand GLP-1的使用和蛋白质需求

IF 6 1区经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Food Policy

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103026

Justin D. Bina , Glynn T. Tonsor , Timothy J. Richards

The use of glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists for weight loss is reshaping food demand, particularly for protein. This research estimates how GLP-1 use alters protein demand curves using methods of causal inference applied to structural demand modeling. Data from a public survey are balanced via matching to address endogenous selection into GLP-1 treatment. Demand shifts and rotations are then estimated using a discrete choice model and an Almost Ideal Demand System. GLP-1 use increases willingness-to-pay for most evaluated protein products, though the effects vary by product and outlet. Own-price elasticities for several retail products become up to 0.22 more inelastic. Our findings of shift effects of GLP-1 use on protein demand indicate externalities that are internal to the U.S. food system and that extend beyond simple consumption changes.

使用胰高血糖素样肽-1 （GLP-1）受体激动剂减肥正在重塑食物需求，特别是对蛋白质的需求。本研究使用应用于结构需求模型的因果推理方法估计GLP-1使用如何改变蛋白质需求曲线。来自公众调查的数据通过匹配来平衡，以解决GLP-1治疗的内生选择。然后使用离散选择模型和几乎理想需求系统估计需求转移和旋转。GLP-1的使用增加了大多数评估蛋白产品的支付意愿，尽管效果因产品和出口而异。一些零售产品的自有价格弹性增加了0.22。我们关于GLP-1使用对蛋白质需求的转移效应的发现表明，外部性是美国食品系统内部的，并且超出了简单的消费变化。

引用次数: 0

The impact of Nutri-Score on elderly consumers’ perceptions nutrition - score对老年消费者认知的影响

IF 6 1区经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Food Policy

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103007

Vincenza Volpe , Alessia Lombardi , Riccardo Vecchio

The growing aging population presents significant public health challenges worldwide, particularly in terms of nutrition and diet-related diseases. In Italy, where more than a quarter of the population is aged 65 and older, this issue is especially pressing. Many elderly individuals struggle to make nutritionally informed choices due to limited awareness and knowledge about food quality. This study examines the impact of the Nutri-Score (NS) label on the perceived healthiness of food products among Italian older adults. Applying a within-subjects experimental design, 557 elderly consumers, partially or fully responsible for household food shopping, evaluated five commonly consumed products—pasta, extra virgin olive oil, mozzarella cheese, canned tuna in olive oil, and milk chocolate bar—both with and without the NS label. Findings reveal that the NS significantly impacts health perceptions and decreases taste expectations across food products. Additionally, individual characteristics such as dietary habits and NS knowledge influence these changes. Policy makers and stakeholders should further explore the appropriateness of NS as an effective method to guide elderly consumers toward healthier food choices.

日益增长的老龄化人口给全球公共卫生带来了重大挑战，特别是在营养和饮食相关疾病方面。在意大利，超过四分之一的人口年龄在65岁及以上，这个问题尤为紧迫。由于对食品质量的认识和知识有限，许多老年人很难做出营养知情的选择。本研究考察了营养评分（NS）标签对意大利老年人食品健康感知的影响。采用受试者内实验设计，557名老年消费者，部分或全部负责家庭食品采购，评估了五种常见的消费产品-意大利面，特级初榨橄榄油，马苏里拉奶酪，橄榄油金枪鱼罐头和牛奶巧克力棒-有和没有NS标签。研究结果表明，NS显著影响健康观念，并降低对食品味道的期望。此外，个人特征，如饮食习惯和NS知识也会影响这些变化。政策制定者和利益相关者应进一步探讨膳食营养指标作为引导老年消费者选择更健康食品的有效方法的适用性。

{"title":"The impact of Nutri-Score on elderly consumers’ perceptions","authors":"Vincenza Volpe , Alessia Lombardi , Riccardo Vecchio","doi":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The growing aging population presents significant public health challenges worldwide, particularly in terms of nutrition and diet-related diseases. In Italy, where more than a quarter of the population is aged 65 and older, this issue is especially pressing. Many elderly individuals struggle to make nutritionally informed choices due to limited awareness and knowledge about food quality. This study examines the impact of the Nutri-Score (NS) label on the perceived healthiness of food products among Italian older adults. Applying a within-subjects experimental design, 557 elderly consumers, partially or fully responsible for household food shopping, evaluated five commonly consumed products—pasta, extra virgin olive oil, mozzarella cheese, canned tuna in olive oil, and milk chocolate bar—both with and without the NS label. Findings reveal that the NS significantly impacts health perceptions and decreases taste expectations across food products. Additionally, individual characteristics such as dietary habits and NS knowledge influence these changes. Policy makers and stakeholders should further explore the appropriateness of NS as an effective method to guide elderly consumers toward healthier food choices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":321,"journal":{"name":"Food Policy","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 103007"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145576696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Inside the black box: how consistent are global food security crisis analyses? 黑箱内部：全球粮食安全危机分析的一致性如何？

IF 6 1区经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Food Policy

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103028

Erin Lentz , Kathy Baylis , Hope Michelson , Chungmann Kim

The world relies on analyses by the United Nations-facilitated Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) to identify where populations are food insecure and to quantify the severity of these crises. IPC sub-national analyses are designed to be comparable over space and time in the more than 30 countries in which the IPC operates. Humanitarian agencies appear to regard these findings as authoritative and comparable, and as of 2024, used IPC analyses to guide more than six billion dollars of annual aid allocations. We study the consistency and comparability of IPC food insecurity analyses across time and space. Drawing on 1,849 IPC subnational analyses covering 742 million people from fifteen countries between 2019 and 2023, we show that IPC analyses face significant challenges related to data availability and food security measurement, resulting from underlying food security indicators that are often discordant. We find that the vast majority of IPC subnational analyses are consistent with IPC technical guidance, but that this guidance permits a wide range of classifications for a given set of food security indicators. We also find evidence that IPC subnational analyses vary in the way they use food security data, often weighing food security indicators differently across locations. While variation in how analyses use food security indicators can plausibly reflect varying contextual factors across countries, we find evidence that analyses weight indicators differently across time for the same location. Finally, we show that analyses do not treat closely correlated food security indicators as substitutes, suggesting inconsistency in the treatment of food security indicators across analyses. We discuss implications of these findings for policy and for the interpretation and use of IPC analyses by researchers and policymakers.

世界依靠联合国促进的粮食安全阶段综合分类（IPC）的分析来确定哪些人口处于粮食不安全状态，并量化这些危机的严重程度。IPC的次国家分析旨在对IPC开展业务的30多个国家进行空间和时间上的比较。人道主义机构似乎认为这些调查结果具有权威性和可比性，截至2024年，利用IPC分析指导了每年60多亿美元的援助分配。我们研究IPC粮食不安全分析的一致性和可比性，跨越时间和空间。根据2019年至2023年期间涵盖15个国家7.42亿人口的1849项IPC次国家分析，我们发现IPC分析面临着数据可用性和粮食安全衡量方面的重大挑战，原因是潜在的粮食安全指标往往不一致。我们发现，绝大多数IPC次国家分析与IPC技术指南一致，但该指南允许对给定的一套粮食安全指标进行广泛的分类。我们还发现，有证据表明，IPC次国家分析在使用粮食安全数据的方式上存在差异，往往在不同地点对粮食安全指标的衡量不同。虽然分析如何使用粮食安全指标的差异可能合理地反映了各国不同的背景因素，但我们发现有证据表明，在同一地点，不同时间对权重指标的分析不同。最后，我们表明，分析没有将密切相关的粮食安全指标作为替代品，这表明在处理粮食安全指标的分析中存在不一致。我们讨论了这些发现对政策的影响，以及对研究人员和政策制定者解释和使用IPC分析的影响。

{"title":"Inside the black box: how consistent are global food security crisis analyses?","authors":"Erin Lentz , Kathy Baylis , Hope Michelson , Chungmann Kim","doi":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103028","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103028","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The world relies on analyses by the United Nations-facilitated Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) to identify where populations are food insecure and to quantify the severity of these crises. IPC sub-national analyses are designed to be comparable over space and time in the more than 30 countries in which the IPC operates. Humanitarian agencies appear to regard these findings as authoritative and comparable, and as of 2024, used IPC analyses to guide more than six billion dollars of annual aid allocations. We study the consistency and comparability of IPC food insecurity analyses across time and space. Drawing on 1,849 IPC subnational analyses covering 742 million people from fifteen countries between 2019 and 2023, we show that IPC analyses face significant challenges related to data availability and food security measurement, resulting from underlying food security indicators that are often discordant. We find that the vast majority of IPC subnational analyses are consistent with IPC technical guidance, but that this guidance permits a wide range of classifications for a given set of food security indicators. We also find evidence that IPC subnational analyses vary in the way they use food security data, often weighing food security indicators differently across locations. While variation in how analyses use food security indicators can plausibly reflect varying contextual factors across countries, we find evidence that analyses weight indicators differently across time for the same location. Finally, we show that analyses do not treat closely correlated food security indicators as substitutes, suggesting inconsistency in the treatment of food security indicators across analyses. We discuss implications of these findings for policy and for the interpretation and use of IPC analyses by researchers and policymakers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":321,"journal":{"name":"Food Policy","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 103028"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145786431","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Intraseasonal Variations in Time Use, Food Security, and Health Outcomes among Women in Rural Malawi 马拉维农村妇女时间使用、粮食安全和健康结果的季节性变化

IF 6 1区经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Food Policy

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103011

Bertha Lilian Mkandawire , Ken Miura

The sequential nature of agriculture poses significant challenges to rural women in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in managing health and balancing farm and domestic work across different periods of the agricultural cycle. Despite its importance, empirical evidence on these intraseasonal dynamics remains limited. This study investigates intraseasonal variations in time use, food security, and anthropometric outcomes among female caregivers in 300 farm households in rural Malawi, using panel data collected at four points during the 2022/2023 agricultural season. Results show that women’s work hours increase during the lean period, reducing leisure time. Food insecurity also worsens during this period, contributing to declines in women’s nutritional status, particularly as measured by mid-upper arm circumference. Fluctuations in body weight further suggest community-wide structural dynamics within the agricultural season beyond individual health, labor supply, and household food insecurity. Overall, the findings underscore the need for policies that account for within-season variation—particularly the pre-harvest hunger period—to improve food security, nutritional outcomes, and, ultimately, women’s welfare in rural Malawi.

农业的顺序性给撒哈拉以南非洲的农村妇女带来了重大挑战，特别是在管理健康和在农业周期的不同时期平衡农场和家庭工作方面。尽管它很重要，但关于这些季节内动态的经验证据仍然有限。本研究调查了马拉维农村300个农户中女性看护者在时间利用、粮食安全和人体测量结果方面的季节性变化，使用的是在2022/2023农业季节的四个时间点收集的面板数据。结果表明，女性在精益期的工作时间增加，休闲时间减少。在此期间，粮食不安全状况也在恶化，导致妇女营养状况下降，特别是以上臂中部围围衡量。体重的波动进一步表明，除了个人健康、劳动力供应和家庭粮食不安全之外，整个社区在农业季节的结构动态也是如此。总体而言，研究结果强调需要制定政策，考虑到季节内的变化，特别是收获前的饥饿期，以改善马拉维农村地区的粮食安全、营养状况，并最终改善妇女的福利。

{"title":"Intraseasonal Variations in Time Use, Food Security, and Health Outcomes among Women in Rural Malawi","authors":"Bertha Lilian Mkandawire , Ken Miura","doi":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The sequential nature of agriculture poses significant challenges to rural women in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in managing health and balancing farm and domestic work across different periods of the agricultural cycle. Despite its importance, empirical evidence on these intraseasonal dynamics remains limited. This study investigates intraseasonal variations in time use, food security, and anthropometric outcomes among female caregivers in 300 farm households in rural Malawi, using panel data collected at four points during the 2022/2023 agricultural season. Results show that women’s work hours increase during the lean period, reducing leisure time. Food insecurity also worsens during this period, contributing to declines in women’s nutritional status, particularly as measured by mid-upper arm circumference. Fluctuations in body weight further suggest community-wide structural dynamics within the agricultural season beyond individual health, labor supply, and household food insecurity. Overall, the findings underscore the need for policies that account for within-season variation—particularly the pre-harvest hunger period—to improve food security, nutritional outcomes, and, ultimately, women’s welfare in rural Malawi.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":321,"journal":{"name":"Food Policy","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 103011"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145620574","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Voices in the loop: policy networks shaping circular food consumption 循环中的声音：形成循环食品消费的政策网络

IF 6 1区经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Food Policy

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103030

Gizem Yeter , Margherita Masi , Emanuele Dolfi , Ernesto S. Marrocco , Yari Vecchio , Piermichele La Sala , Felice Adinolfi

The circular economy has emerged as a viable alternative to the existing linear model for achieving sustainable food production and consumption. To identify the present structure of the circular economy at the policy level within the food sector, we engaged individuals involved in policymaking, referred to as a policy network. This paper presents the primary perspectives of the policy network on the adaptation and implementation of circular food consumption practices by using the Q methodology. This analysis examines the complex interplay of governance, incentives, collaborative engagement, and community-oriented strategies in achieving circularity in food consumption. Our results revealed four distinct yet complementary factor groups indicating that the transition towards circular food consumption practices should be built on societal models that emphasize resilience, shared responsibility, and shared governance, thus delivering not only a sustainable food system but also a more equitable one. In conclusion, the findings indicate that the transition entails more than a mere technical adjustment or behavioral change; it represents a complex transformation shaped by the values, priorities, and capacities of the involved policy networks.

循环经济已成为实现可持续粮食生产和消费的现有线性模式的可行替代方案。为了在食品行业的政策层面确定循环经济的当前结构，我们聘请了参与政策制定的个人，称为政策网络。本文通过使用Q方法介绍了政策网络对循环食品消费实践的适应和实施的主要观点。本分析考察了在实现食品消费循环过程中，治理、激励、合作参与和面向社区的战略之间复杂的相互作用。我们的研究结果揭示了四个不同但互补的因素组，表明向循环食品消费实践的过渡应建立在强调弹性、共同责任和共同治理的社会模式之上，从而不仅提供可持续的粮食系统，而且提供更公平的粮食系统。总之，调查结果表明，过渡需要的不仅仅是技术调整或行为改变；它代表了一种由相关政策网络的价值观、优先事项和能力决定的复杂转变。

{"title":"Voices in the loop: policy networks shaping circular food consumption","authors":"Gizem Yeter , Margherita Masi , Emanuele Dolfi , Ernesto S. Marrocco , Yari Vecchio , Piermichele La Sala , Felice Adinolfi","doi":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103030","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103030","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The circular economy has emerged as a viable alternative to the existing linear model for achieving sustainable food production and consumption. To identify the present structure of the circular economy at the policy level within the food sector, we engaged individuals involved in policymaking, referred to as a policy network. This paper presents the primary perspectives of the policy network on the adaptation and implementation of circular food consumption practices by using the Q methodology. This analysis examines the complex interplay of governance, incentives, collaborative engagement, and community-oriented strategies in achieving circularity in food consumption. Our results revealed four distinct yet complementary factor groups indicating that the transition towards circular food consumption practices should be built on societal models that emphasize resilience, shared responsibility, and shared governance, thus delivering not only a sustainable food system but also a more equitable one. In conclusion, the findings indicate that the transition entails more than a mere technical adjustment or behavioral change; it represents a complex transformation shaped by the values, priorities, and capacities of the involved policy networks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":321,"journal":{"name":"Food Policy","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 103030"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145836544","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Shocking social safety: Evidence from violence and drought in North-east Nigeria 令人震惊的社会安全：来自尼日利亚东北部暴力和干旱的证据

IF 6 1区经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Food Policy

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103005

Wolfgang Stojetz , Piero Ronzani , Jeanne Pinay , Marco d’Errico , Tilman Brück

Polycrises created by violent conflict and climate change are ubiquitous. Yet, the impacts of conflict and climatic shocks on human behavior and welfare have largely been studied in isolation. This paper studies the joint impact of conflict and climatic shocks on households’ social safety nets in fragile settings. Drawing on unique panel survey data from 1,293 households in North-east Nigeria, we document that experiencing a violence shock increases the strength of households’ social safety nets (SSN) when they do not experience a simultaneous drought shock. Yet, experiencing a violence shock decreases SSN strength when they experience a drought shock in addition. This perilous interaction between violence and drought shocks is concentrated in poorer local environments. When the local level of economic resources is high, in relative terms, the positive impact of a violence shock on SSN is dominant. However, when the level of economic resources is low, the influence of droughts shocks rises substantially and experiencing both a drought and a violence shock diminishes social safety drastically. The effect is driven primarily by the exhaustion of informal networks such as kinship- and neighbor-based transfers. Our findings emphasize the need for concerted social protection programs that not only account for the compounding vulnerability from poverty, conflict and climatic change but also recognize the fragility of informal support systems that form the backbone of resilience in fragile settings.

暴力冲突和气候变化造成的多重危机无处不在。然而，冲突和气候冲击对人类行为和福利的影响在很大程度上是孤立研究的。本文研究了冲突和气候冲击对脆弱环境下家庭社会安全网的共同影响。根据来自尼日利亚东北部1293个家庭的独特面板调查数据，我们证明，当家庭没有同时经历干旱冲击时，经历暴力冲击会增加家庭社会安全网（SSN）的强度。然而，经历暴力冲击时，当他们经历干旱冲击时，SSN强度会降低。暴力和干旱冲击之间这种危险的相互作用集中在较贫穷的地方环境。当当地经济资源水平较高时，相对而言，暴力冲击对社会安全保障的正向影响占主导地位。然而，当经济资源水平较低时，干旱冲击的影响会大大增加，同时经历干旱和暴力冲击会大大减少社会安全。这种影响主要是由非正式网络（如基于亲属关系和邻居的转移）的枯竭所驱动的。我们的研究结果强调，需要制定协调一致的社会保护计划，不仅要考虑到贫困、冲突和气候变化带来的脆弱性，还要认识到在脆弱环境中构成复原力支柱的非正式支持系统的脆弱性。

{"title":"Shocking social safety: Evidence from violence and drought in North-east Nigeria","authors":"Wolfgang Stojetz , Piero Ronzani , Jeanne Pinay , Marco d’Errico , Tilman Brück","doi":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.103005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Polycrises created by violent conflict and climate change are ubiquitous. Yet, the impacts of conflict and climatic shocks on human behavior and welfare have largely been studied in isolation. This paper studies the joint impact of conflict and climatic shocks on households’ social safety nets in fragile settings. Drawing on unique panel survey data from 1,293 households in North-east Nigeria, we document that experiencing a violence shock increases the strength of households’ social safety nets (SSN) when they do not experience a simultaneous drought shock. Yet, experiencing a violence shock <em>decreases</em> SSN strength when they experience a drought shock in addition. This perilous interaction between violence and drought shocks is concentrated in poorer local environments. When the local level of economic resources is high, in relative terms, the positive impact of a violence shock on SSN is dominant. However, when the level of economic resources is low, the influence of droughts shocks rises substantially and experiencing both a drought and a violence shock diminishes social safety drastically. The effect is driven primarily by the exhaustion of informal networks such as kinship- and neighbor-based transfers. Our findings emphasize the need for concerted social protection programs that not only account for the compounding vulnerability from poverty, conflict and climatic change but also recognize the fragility of informal support systems that form the backbone of resilience in fragile settings.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":321,"journal":{"name":"Food Policy","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 103005"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145786428","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0