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Are dairy farmers willing to pay for improved forage varieties? Experimental evidence from Kenya 奶农是否愿意为改良牧草品种付费?肯尼亚的实验证据
IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102615
Jamleck Osiemo , Kenneth Waluse Sibiko , Stanley Karanja Ng'ang'a , An M.O. Notenbaert

Though improved forage varieties have the potential to supply high quality feed for livestock and optimize livestock nutrition and production, demand for them in developing countries is low. To inform interventions aiming to increase demand for the improved forages such as pricing, we assessed farmers’ willingness to pay (WTP) for different improved seeds and two types of dried feed in Meru County Kenya. We used a mix of sampling strategies to recruit 356 dairy farmers into the study. We used the Becker-De-Groote Marschak (BDM) mechanism to elicit WTP, and a mixed effects model in the analysis. We find that the WTP for the forage products (except one) was below the market prices, and that the WTP differed significantly between farmers in cooperatives and those that were not. For related varieties, none is significantly superior to other varieties in terms of WTP. We also find that farmers who had prior exposure to the forages, larger farm sizes, mainly practiced zero grazing, and owned the livestock were more likely to bid above the market prices. Our results underscore the need for strategies that can lower the prices of the improved forages such as reducing the costs associated with their production, certification, storage, and transportation. Training farmers especially on the benefits of the improved traits can potentially increase the likelihood of farmers paying premiums for the improved traits, an important ingredient for the commercialization of the improved forage products at scale.

虽然改良牧草品种具有为牲畜提供优质饲料和优化牲畜营养与生产的潜力,但发展中国家对改良牧草品种的需求却很低。为了给旨在增加改良牧草需求的干预措施(如定价)提供信息,我们评估了肯尼亚梅鲁县农民对不同改良种子和两种干饲料的支付意愿(WTP)。我们采用了多种抽样策略,招募了 356 名奶牛场主参与研究。我们使用贝克尔-德-格罗特-马沙克(BDM)机制来激发WTP,并在分析中使用了混合效应模型。我们发现,饲草产品(除一种外)的 WTP 都低于市场价格,而且加入合作社的奶农与未加入合作社的奶农之间的 WTP 有显著差异。就相关品种而言,没有一个品种的购买意愿明显优于其他品种。我们还发现,以前接触过牧草、农场规模较大、主要实行零放牧以及拥有牲畜的农民更有可能出价高于市场价格。我们的研究结果表明,需要采取能够降低改良牧草价格的策略,如降低与生产、认证、储存和运输相关的成本。对农民进行培训,特别是关于改良性状益处的培训,有可能增加农民为改良性状支付溢价的可能性,这也是改良牧草产品实现规模商业化的重要因素。
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引用次数: 0
The impacts of widespread agricultural interventions on yields and food security in Ethiopia☆ 广泛的农业干预措施对埃塞俄比亚产量和粮食安全的影响☆。
IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102626
Victor Cordonnier , Katia Alejandra Covarrubias , Ana Paula de la O Campos

In the past decades, the Government of Ethiopia implemented widespread interventions with the objective of modernizing the agricultural sector and stimulating transformative growth. This paper assesses the agricultural yields and food security impacts of those interventions. Combining project and remote-sensing data with a nationally representative household panel survey, we identify impacts by exploiting the temporal and geographic variation in the roll-out of the interventions implemented by the Ethiopian Agricultural Transformation Agency from 2011 to 2016. Results show that large-scale agricultural interventions are associated with higher agricultural yields and better food security outcomes. These outcomes underscore the linkages that persist between agricultural development and food security for rural households living in mostly agrarian economies and the potential for systems-wide interventions to catalyze agricultural transformation.

在过去几十年中,埃塞俄比亚政府实施了广泛的干预措施,目的是实现农业部门的现代化并刺激转型增长。本文评估了这些干预措施对农业产量和粮食安全的影响。我们将项目和遥感数据与一项具有全国代表性的家庭面板调查相结合,利用埃塞俄比亚农业转型局在 2011 年至 2016 年期间实施的干预措施在时间和地域上的变化来确定其影响。结果表明,大规模农业干预措施与更高的农业产量和更好的粮食安全结果相关联。这些结果凸显了农业发展与生活在以农业为主的经济体中的农村家庭的粮食安全之间持续存在的联系,以及全系统干预措施促进农业转型的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Does organic farming jeopardize food security of farm households in Benin? 有机农业是否会危及贝宁农户的粮食安全?
IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102622
Ghislain B.D. Aïhounton , Arne Henningsen

The prevalence of organic farming and other sustainability standards is increasing around the globe. While effects of organic farming on productivity, income, and poverty alleviation have been analyzed in numerous empirical studies, its effects on food security are barely understood. Using data from smallholder cotton farmers in Benin, we aim to empirically investigate how adopting organic farming affects their food security. According to our results, organic farming is conditionally associated with a notably lower experienced food security and a slightly lower dietary diversity and consumption of vitamin A-rich foods. Evaluating pathways, we find that the negative conditional association between organic farming and food security is a result of a lower household income of organic farms due to lower income from cotton farming given a smaller land area cultivated with cotton, while a larger land area cultivated with food crops cannot fully compensate for the reduced income from cotton farming. This alarming result illustrates the need for evaluating and eventually improving programs for organic farming in developing countries to ensure that good intentions for more sustainable production practices do not jeopardize the livelihoods of vulnerable smallholder farmers.

有机耕作和其他可持续标准在全球范围内日益盛行。许多实证研究分析了有机农业对生产力、收入和减贫的影响,但对其对粮食安全的影响却知之甚少。我们利用贝宁小农棉农的数据,旨在通过实证研究了解采用有机耕作对他们的粮食安全有何影响。根据我们的研究结果,有机农业与明显较低的经验粮食安全以及略低的膳食多样性和富含维生素 A 的食物消费量有条件地相关。通过对路径进行评估,我们发现有机农业与粮食安全之间的负相关是由于棉花种植面积较小,棉花种植收入较低,导致有机农场的家庭收入较低,而种植粮食作物的较大土地面积并不能完全弥补棉花种植收入的减少。这一令人担忧的结果说明,有必要对发展中国家的有机农业计划进行评估并最终加以改进,以确保更可持续的生产实践的良好愿望不会危及弱势小农的生计。
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引用次数: 0
Government fertilizer subsidies, input use, and income: The case of Senegal 政府化肥补贴、投入品使用和收入:塞内加尔案例
IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102623
Aymeric Ricome , Jesus Barreiro-Hurle , Cheickh Sadibou Fall

Most Sub-Saharan countries implement input subsidy programs (ISPs) in an attempt to increase fertilizer use, crop yields and farmers’ income and to improve household food security. Senegal is no exception and has had an ISP in place for the last 15 years. This article assesses how access to subsidized fertilizer under the ISP is associated with changes in fertilizer and manure use and gross margin. Using household-level data from two agroecological zones, we employ an endogenous switching regression framework to control for the potential endogeneity of access to subsidized fertilizer. We find that access to subsidized fertilizer is associated with an increase in the total use of fertilizer of +39 % but also with a reduction in the use of commercial fertilizer of 18 %. Access to subsidized fertilizer is also associated with a reduction in the likelihood of using manure of 5 % and an increase in farmers’ total gross margin of 11 %. Results are heterogeneous across agroecological zones, with a strong crowding-out of commercial fertilizer where widely available to farmers. In this case, revising the design of the ISP could lead to improved efficiency.

大多数撒哈拉以南国家都实施了投入补贴计划 (ISP),以提高化肥使用量、作物产量和农民收入,并改善家庭粮食安全状况。塞内加尔也不例外,在过去 15 年中一直在实施投入品补贴计划。本文评估了在综合服务计划下获得化肥补贴与化肥和粪肥使用量及毛利率变化之间的关系。利用来自两个农业生态区的家庭层面数据,我们采用了内生转换回归框架来控制获得补贴化肥的潜在内生性。我们发现,获得补贴化肥与化肥总使用量增加 39% 相关,但也与商业化肥使用量减少 18% 相关。获得补贴化肥还能使使用粪肥的可能性降低 5%,并使农民的总毛利率提高 11%。各农业生态区的结果各不相同,在农民广泛使用商业化肥的地方,商业化肥的挤出效应很强。在这种情况下,修改 ISP 的设计可提高效率。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the inhibitory effect and intervention mechanism of food traceability system on reducing hog farmers’ overuse of animal antibiotics in China 评估食品可追溯体系对减少中国生猪养殖户过度使用动物抗生素的抑制作用和干预机制
IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102619
Ruishi Si , Xin Liu , Sitong Pan , Qian Lu , Mingyue Liu

The use of animal antibiotics is a double-edged sword. It can be used for disease treatment, health protection, and growth promoters. It also creates antibiotic residues and resistance, poses risks, and damages food safety, ecosystems, and public health. Under the pressure of disease risk and expected losses, farmers' overuse of animal antibiotics exacerbates this dual objective incompatibility. In this study, we employ the endogenous switching regression (ESR) model and the mediating effect method to empirically analyze the inhibitory effect and intervention mechanism of the food traceability system (FTS) on reducing farmers’ overuse of antibiotics by using the survey data of hog farmers from China. This paper measures the “dose” unit of antibiotics farmers use regarding cost and the active ingredients of antibiotics per kilogram of treated infected hogs. The study finds evidence that the FTS exerts a significant inhibitory effect on the overuse of antibiotics by farmers. The counterfactual hypothesis unveils that non-participation in the FTS by the involved farmers will increase the cost of antibiotics overuse by 0.080 yuan/kg, while if the farmers currently not participating are to engage with the FTS, the price will decrease by 0.126 yuan/kg. This effect persists across control variables controlled in turn and the unit doses of active ingredients of tetracycline, sulfonamides, β-lactam, chloramphenicol, and macrolide antibiotics. Moreover, our results reveal that the inhibitory effects of the FTS on over-the-counter and broad-spectrum antibiotics are more significant than on prescription and narrow-spectrum antibiotics. The results show that the inhibition effect of the FTS on the overuse of antibiotics by free-range, professional, and large-scale farmers exhibits an approximately inverse-U curvilinear relationship. Besides, the intervention mechanism of the FTS on the overuse of antibiotics by farmers mainly consists of social reputation maintenance, liability traceability for antibiotic residues, and biosafety enhancement, and the proportion of their mediating effects in the total impact are 24.22%, 21.84%, and 10.87%, respectively. Our empirical study has yielded several implications, such as strengthening the FTS construction, improving farmers’ antibiotic use skills, promoting standardized breeding levels, and increasing the market premium for food products that adhere to antibiotic residue standards. These outcomes not only contribute to the improvement of livestock production safety but also reduce the problem of antibiotic overuse.

动物抗生素的使用是一把双刃剑。它可用于治疗疾病、保护健康和促进生长。同时,它也会产生抗生素残留和抗药性,带来风险,损害食品安全、生态系统和公众健康。在疾病风险和预期损失的压力下,农民过度使用动物抗生素加剧了这种双重目标的不兼容性。在本研究中,我们运用内生转换回归(ESR)模型和中介效应方法,通过对中国生猪养殖户的调查数据,实证分析了食品溯源系统(FTS)对减少养殖户过度使用抗生素的抑制作用和干预机制。本文测量了养殖户使用抗生素的 "剂量 "单位,即每公斤处理感染生猪的成本和抗生素的有效成分。研究发现的证据表明,FTS 对养殖户过度使用抗生素有显著的抑制作用。反事实假设揭示,参与农户不参与 FTS 将使过度使用抗生素的成本增加 0.080 元/公斤,而如果目前未参与的农户参与 FTS,价格将下降 0.126 元/公斤。在依次控制四环素类、磺胺类、β-内酰胺类、氯霉素类和大环内酯类抗生素有效成分的单位剂量等控制变量的情况下,这一效应依然存在。此外,我们的研究结果表明,FTS 对非处方药和广谱抗生素的抑制作用比对处方药和窄谱抗生素的抑制作用更显著。结果表明,FTS 对散养农户、专业农户和规模化农户过度使用抗生素的抑制作用呈现近似于反 U 型的曲线关系。此外,FTS 对农户过度使用抗生素的干预机制主要包括社会声誉维护、抗生素残留责任追溯和生物安全提升,其中介效应占总影响的比例分别为 24.22%、21.84% 和 10.87%。我们的实证研究产生了若干影响,如加强FTS建设、提高农民抗生素使用技能、促进标准化养殖水平、提高符合抗生素残留标准的食品的市场溢价等。这些成果不仅有助于提高畜牧业生产的安全性,还能减少抗生素过度使用的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Recall characteristics and food safety process control 召回特点和食品安全过程控制
IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102618
Michael Ollinger

The Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS) initiated 1,073 recalls of meat and poultry products that could cause severe illness or death over 2000–2019. These recalls led to substantial drops in demand that vary by the characteristics of the recall (Zhou and Liu, 2023) and incentivized firms to invest in food safety (Ollinger and Houser, 2020, Ollinger and Bovay, 2020). Following Zhou and Liu (2023) and Ollinger and Houser, 2020, Ollinger and Bovay, 2020, this paper examines differences in food safety process control for establishments with different recall characteristics and contrasts that performance with establishments without recalls. Results show that (1) Salmonella share relative to an establishment’s own mean Salmonella share outperforms Salmonella share alone in estimating the likelihood of a recall, (2) 27 percent rather than 12 percent of establishments would have failed to meet the Salmonella standard if a proposed but not yet mandated more stringent standard had been in effect, and (3) most establishments return to normal operating conditions after a recall, but establishments with multiple recalls struggle to regain control of food safety, suggesting they may benefit from an audit of their food safety systems by FSIS or an auditor.

食品安全检验局(FSIS)在 2000-2019 年间对可能导致严重疾病或死亡的肉类和家禽产品实施了 1,073 次召回。这些召回导致需求大幅下降,而需求的下降因召回的特点而异(Zhou 和 Liu,2023 年),并激励企业投资于食品安全(Ollinger 和 Houser,2020 年;Ollinger 和 Bovay,2020 年)。继 Zhou 和 Liu(2023 年)、Ollinger 和 Houser,2020 年、Ollinger 和 Bovay,2020 年之后,本文研究了具有不同召回特征的企业在食品安全流程控制方面的差异,并将其表现与未召回的企业进行对比。结果表明:(1) 在估计召回的可能性方面,沙门氏菌比例相对于企业自身的平均沙门氏菌比例要优于单纯的沙门氏菌比例;(2) 如果建议但尚未强制实施的更严格标准生效,27%而不是 12%的企业会不符合沙门氏菌标准、(3) 大多数企业在召回后会恢复到正常的经营状态,但多次召回的企业很难重新控制食品安全,这表明它们可能会受益于食品安全局或审计员对其食品安全系统的审计。
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引用次数: 0
Trends in the school lunch program: Changes in selection, nutrition & health 学校午餐计划的趋势:选择、营养和健康方面的变化
IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102608
Therese Bonomo , Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach

There has been significant national attention to the issue of childhood obesity, leading policymakers to reform the National School Lunch Program (NSLP) to include stricter nutritional requirements. We use data on school lunch menus to document improvements in the nutritional quality of school meals between 1991 and 2010. We then evaluate how this change in nutritional content maps into obesity outcomes, using panel data on a nationally representative cohort of children, tracking them from kindergarten entry in fall 2010 through the end of fifth grade in spring 2016. We find little evidence that participation in the school lunch program leads to weight gain, as measured by changes in obesity, overweight, and BMI. These results suggest that improvements in the nutritional content of school lunches have been largely successful in reversing the previously negative relationship between school lunches and childhood obesity.

儿童肥胖问题一直备受全国关注,这促使政策制定者对全国学校午餐计划(NSLP)进行改革,以纳入更严格的营养要求。我们利用学校午餐菜单的数据记录了 1991 年至 2010 年间学校午餐营养质量的改善情况。然后,我们利用具有全国代表性的儿童群体的面板数据,从 2010 年秋季的幼儿园入学到 2016 年春季的五年级结束,对营养成分的变化如何映射到肥胖结果进行了评估。我们发现,从肥胖、超重和体重指数的变化来看,几乎没有证据表明参加学校午餐计划会导致体重增加。这些结果表明,学校午餐营养成分的改善在很大程度上成功地扭转了之前学校午餐与儿童肥胖之间的负面关系。
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引用次数: 0
The organizational challenge of international agricultural research: The fifty-year odyssey of the CGIAR 国际农业研究的组织挑战:国际农业研究磋商组织的五十年历程
IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102617
John Lynam , Derek Byerlee , Joyce Lewinger Moock

Over its 50-year history, CGIAR has with increasing frequency revisited the question of how best to organize its research to address growing complexity of agricultural, food, and ecological systems, a multiplying set of development goals, changes in global science, increasing diversity of funding, and evolving capacities of partner organizations. We review this evolution over four periods noting inevitable trade-offs and tensions in a system of autonomous centers and sovereign donors, in developing common research strategies, appropriate lines of management, and aligning resources around agreed priorities. As a result, organizational changes have not met expectations and funding has continued to fragment around short-term payoffs at the expense of producing global public goods over the long term. The paper concludes with suggestions for building on the lessons of organizational reform to improve the collective action performance of funders and centers to drive and sustain needed changes.

在其 50 年的历史中,国际农业研究磋商组织越来越频繁地重新审视如何以最佳方 式组织其研究工作,以应对农业、粮食和生态系统日益复杂的问题、一系列不断增加的 发展目标、全球科学的变化、资金来源的日益多样化以及伙伴组织能力的不断发展。我们回顾了这四个时期的演变,注意到在一个由自主中心和主权捐助者组成的系统中,在制定共同的研究战略、适当的管理路线以及围绕商定的优先事项调整资源时,不可避免地会出现权衡和紧张关系。因此,组织变革没有达到预期目标,资金继续围绕短期回报分散,牺牲了长期的全球公益服务。本文最后就如何借鉴组织改革的经验教训,提高资助者和中心的集体行动绩效,以推动和维持所需的变革提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
How do regional and demographic differences in diets affect the health and environmental impact in China? 饮食的地区和人口差异如何影响中国的健康和环境?
IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102607
Hongyi Cai , Sander Biesbroek , Zhiyao Chang , Xin Wen , Shenggen Fan , Pieter van 't Veer , Elise F. Talsma

A higher diet quality has been associated with lower environmental impacts, but not consistently. Considering the cultural diversity of dietary habits and the heterogeneity of socioeconomic development in China, we aimed to evaluate the association between diet quality and environmental impacts across demographic subgroups and regions. This study used dietary consumption data from the China Health Nutrition Survey 2011. Diet quality was measured with the Chinese Healthy Eating Index 2016 (CHEI2016). Diet-related environmental impact (Greenhouse Gas Emissions (GHGE), Total Water Use (TWU), and Land Use (LU)) were estimated using the Chinese Food Life Cycle Assessment Database. Multilevel regression models were used to quantify the association of the CHEI2016 score and the diet-related environmental impacts across heterogeneous population subgroups. A one-standard deviation increase in CHEI2016 score was associated with an increase of 9.7% in GHGE, 9.1% in TWU, and 6.4% in LU. This occurs because increasing the consumption of under-consumed foods (dairy products and fruit), partially offsets the environmental benefits of reduced meat consumption. Demographic subgroups characterized by either higher educated or a higher income exhibited a larger proportion of animal-based foods within their diet, consequently leading to higher diet-related environmental impacts. When expressed per standard deviation increase in CHEI2016, the dietary environmental impacts rose fastest in the Metropolitan area and slowest in the Northeast. Diets with higher CHEI2016 scores are associated with higher diet-related environmental impacts among Chinese adults but this varies per region. The development of sustainable diet strategies needs to account for potential trade-off between the health and environmental goals, and dietary habits of consumers in different regions and subpopulations.

膳食质量越高,对环境的影响就越小,但这一点并不一致。考虑到中国膳食习惯的文化多样性和社会经济发展的异质性,我们旨在评估不同人口亚群和地区的膳食质量与环境影响之间的关联。本研究使用了 2011 年中国健康营养调查的膳食消费数据。膳食质量采用 2016 中国健康饮食指数(CHEI2016)进行测量。与膳食相关的环境影响(温室气体排放(GHGE)、总用水量(TWU)和土地使用量(LU))通过中国食品生命周期评估数据库进行估算。多层次回归模型用于量化CHEI2016得分与不同人群亚群的膳食相关环境影响之间的关联。CHEI2016得分每增加一个标准差,GHGE、TWU和LU分别增加9.7%、9.1%和6.4%。这是因为增加消费不足的食品(乳制品和水果)的消费量,部分抵消了减少肉类消费带来的环境效益。受教育程度较高或收入较高的人口亚群的膳食中动物性食物所占比例较大,从而导致与膳食相关的环境影响较高。如果以CHEI2016每增加一个标准差来表示,大都会地区的膳食环境影响上升最快,而东北部地区上升最慢。在中国成年人中,CHEI2016 分数越高的膳食与膳食相关的环境影响越大,但各地区的情况有所不同。制定可持续膳食战略需要考虑健康与环境目标之间的潜在权衡,以及不同地区和亚人群消费者的膳食习惯。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of universal free school meals on children’s food hardship 普及免费校餐对儿童饮食困难的影响
IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102606
Saied Toossi

In the United States, the federal government subsidized universal free school meals (UFSM) nationwide during the COVID-19 pandemic. This policy ended in June 2022. In response, several state governments subsidized extensions of UFSM statewide into the 2022–2023 school year. I leverage variation in state extensions of UFSM to examine the policy’s impact on school meal participation and rates of food insufficiency. Using data from the Household Pulse Survey and a difference-in-differences approach, I find that children in states that did not extend UFSM were 12.6 percentage points less likely (38.3% reduction over the sample mean) to participate in school meal programs and 1.5 percentage points more likely (9.8% increase over the sample mean) to experience food insufficiency relative to those in states that did.

在 COVID-19 大流行期间,美国联邦政府在全国范围内补贴全民免费校餐(UFSM)。这项政策于 2022 年 6 月结束。作为回应,一些州政府在全州范围内将免费校餐补贴延长至 2022-2023 学年。我利用各州延长 "全美学生膳食计划 "的不同情况来研究该政策对学校膳食参与率和食物不足率的影响。利用家庭脉搏调查(Household Pulse Survey)的数据和差分法(differences-in-differences approach),我发现与那些延长了校餐计划的州相比,那些没有延长校餐计划的州的儿童参加校餐计划的可能性要低 12.6 个百分点(比样本平均值低 38.3%),而那些延长了校餐计划的州的儿童出现食物不足的可能性要高 1.5 个百分点(比样本平均值高 9.8%)。
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引用次数: 0
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Food Policy
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