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Impact of crop commercialization on smallholder farmers’ resilience to shocks: Evidence from panel data for rural Southeast Asia 作物商业化对小农抵御冲击能力的影响:来自东南亚农村地区面板数据的证据
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102709
Manh Hung Do, Trung Thanh Nguyen

We assess the impact of crop commercialization on the resilience to shocks of smallholder farmers and examine which groups of smallholders are more resilient from crop commercialization. We use balanced panel of 1,370 smallholders from Thailand and 1,497 smallholders from Vietnam collected in three survey waves for the empirical analysis. We employ a generalized structural equation model to estimate the (latent) variable of smallholders’ resilience. Then, we apply fixed-effects estimations with an instrumental variable and a control function approach to address the endogeneity concerns of crop commercialization in assessing the impact of commercialization on the resilience of smallholders. The results show that crop commercialization has a positive effect on smallholders’ resilience capacity. To examine which groups of smallholders are more resilient from crop commercialization, we apply an unconditional quantile regression model. The results show that crop commercialization has the highest impact on smallholders in 10th and 25th quantile groups of resilience capacity. Thus, crop commercialization should be stimulated to improve smallholders’ resilience to shocks. Besides, improving infrastructure for transportation and information and communication technology at the village level and the effectiveness of public governance at the national level could lead to a better resilience of smallholders.

我们评估了农作物商业化对小农户抵御冲击能力的影响,并研究了哪些小农户群体更能抵御农作物商业化的冲击。我们使用在三次调查中收集的来自泰国的 1,370 个小农户和来自越南的 1,497 个小农户的平衡面板进行实证分析。我们采用广义结构方程模型来估计小农户抗逆力的(潜在)变量。然后,在评估商业化对小农户抗逆力的影响时,我们采用固定效应估算法、工具变量法和控制函数法来解决作物商业化的内生性问题。结果表明,农作物商业化对小农户的抗灾能力有积极影响。为了研究哪些小农户群体从农作物商业化中获得更强的抗逆能力,我们采用了无条件量化回归模型。结果显示,农作物商业化对抗灾能力处于第 10 和第 25 个量级的小农户影响最大。因此,应鼓励作物商业化,以提高小农户抵御冲击的能力。此外,改善村一级的交通和信息通信技术基础设施以及提高国家一级公共治理的效率,也能提高小农户的抗冲击能力。
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引用次数: 0
Development of the Food Systems Literacy Competencies Framework for youth: A modified Delphi study with experts 为青年制定食品系统扫盲能力框架:经修改的德尔菲专家研究
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102702
Alicia E. Martin , Jess Haines , Evan D.G. Fraser

Food systems have changed drastically in the last 50 years, are continuously globalizing, and are constantly responding to environmental, social, economic and political challenges. While a primary goal of food systems is to provide food security, food insecurity rates have continued to rise in recent years. To deal with these systemic problems, food systems experts call for food systems literacy. However, there are no common frameworks outlining what people should know about food systems, making it challenging to relay information into education and to the general population. As such, the aim of this research was to identify competencies for food systems literacy for youth in Canada. We conducted a 2-round modified Delphi study to achieve consensus on a list of key competencies for food systems literacy. Delphi studies allow for broad consultation of expert judgements to achieve consensus on complex issues. This resulted in a list of 50 key competencies for food systems literacy (out of 131 tested) across themes for Indigenous food systems, food systems activities (i.e., production to waste as well as some overarching and technology themes), sustainability, food security and governance. This Framework of competencies is the first of its kind and will be useful for directing how food systems can be integrated into education as well as be a guide for food systems literacy evaluation tools.

粮食系统在过去 50 年里发生了翻天覆地的变化,不断全球化,并不断应对环境、社会、经济和政治挑战。虽然粮食系统的首要目标是提供粮食安全,但近年来粮食不安全率持续上升。为了解决这些系统性问题,粮食系统专家呼吁开展粮食系统扫盲。然而,目前还没有一个共同的框架来概括人们应该了解粮食系统的哪些知识,这使得将信息传递到教育和普通民众中具有挑战性。因此,本研究的目的是确定加拿大青少年的粮食系统扫盲能力。我们进行了两轮修改后的德尔菲研究,以就粮食系统扫盲的关键能力清单达成共识。德尔菲研究可以广泛征求专家意见,就复杂问题达成共识。最终,在土著粮食系统、粮食系统活动(即从生产到浪费以及一些总体和技术主题)、可持续性、粮食安全和治理等主题中,制定了一份粮食系统素养的 50 项关键能力清单(共测试了 131 项)。该能力框架是首个此类框架,将有助于指导如何将粮食系统纳入教育,并为粮食系统素养评估工具提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
Market food environments and child nutrition 市场食品环境与儿童营养
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102704
Vivien Hülsen , Makaiko G. Khonje , Matin Qaim

Child malnutrition remains a widespread public health problem in sub-Saharan Africa. Providing access to nutritious foods for all is key, but it is not clear how this can be achieved in various local contexts. Here, we analyze the role of markets and food environments for child diets and nutrition in Malawi along a rural-urban continuum. We develop a new methodology to characterize food environments in terms of the variety of fresh and processed foods available in local market settings. Geocoded data of market food variety are combined with individual-level child diet and anthropometric data collected through a household survey. We find large differences in food environments, diets, and nutrition outcomes between urban, rural, and remote locations. The spatially-explicit analysis shows that market food variety is positively associated with dietary diversity and negatively associated with stunting, also after controlling for confounding factors. Strikingly, processed food variety has more favorable associations with child nutrition than fresh food variety, suggesting that lightly and moderately processed foods are important sources of nutrients in the local settings. Our findings stress the importance of improving the functioning of markets for nutritious foods, especially in rural areas. Conceptually, we add to the literature on measuring food environments.

儿童营养不良仍然是撒哈拉以南非洲地区普遍存在的公共卫生问题。为所有人提供营养食品是关键所在,但如何在不同的地方环境中实现这一目标却并不清楚。在此,我们分析了市场和食品环境对马拉维城乡儿童饮食和营养的影响。我们开发了一种新方法,根据当地市场上新鲜食品和加工食品的种类来描述食品环境的特征。市场食品种类的地理编码数据与通过家庭调查收集的个人层面的儿童饮食和人体测量数据相结合。我们发现,城市、农村和偏远地区的食品环境、饮食和营养结果存在很大差异。空间显性分析表明,市场食品种类与膳食多样性呈正相关,而与发育迟缓呈负相关,在控制了混杂因素后也是如此。引人注目的是,与新鲜食品种类相比,加工食品种类与儿童营养的关系更为有利,这表明在当地环境中,轻度和中度加工食品是重要的营养来源。我们的研究结果强调了改善营养食品市场功能的重要性,尤其是在农村地区。从概念上讲,我们为有关食品环境测量的文献增添了新的内容。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of food hubs on food security and sustainability: Food hubs perspectives from Leeds, UK 粮食中心对粮食安全和可持续性的影响:英国利兹的粮食中心视角
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102705
Effie Papargyropoulou , Gemma Bridge , Sonja Woodcock , Emma Strachan , Joanna Rowlands , Elizabeth Boniface

In the context of rising food insecurity, food hubs such as food pantries, food banks, community agriculture supported schemes, social supermarkets, community kitchens and cafes, have proliferated both in number and in the roles they perform. Food hubs have a range of benefits in the communities that they serve as well as the wider food system. However, more empirical evidence is required to build a compelling case for policy support. Using the area of Leeds, UK as a case study, and taking a mixed methods approach (i.e. evidence synthesis, mapping, survey and interviews) we present the food hubs’ perspectives on the benefits that they offer to food security, sustainability, resilience and food justice. Food hubs reflect on how their activities enhance sustainability, strengthen local food systems, support local economies, and improve the health, wellbeing and agency of their communities. In doing so, food hubs contribute to regional, national and global priorities on food security, health, sustainability, justice and resilience. However, to scale up or out their positive impact, food hubs require support to transition away from emergency food provision to longer-term, holistic and financially viable models that focus on community wellbeing and empowerment, healthy diets, local economies and environmental sustainability.

在粮食不安全问题日益严重的背景下,食品储藏室、食品银行、社区农业支持计划、社会超市、社区厨房和咖啡馆等食品中心的数量和作用都在激增。食品中心对其服务的社区以及更广泛的食品系统都有一系列好处。然而,需要更多的经验证据来为政策支持提供令人信服的理由。以英国利兹地区为案例,采用混合方法(即证据综合、绘图、调查和访谈),我们介绍了粮食中心对粮食安全、可持续性、复原力和粮食公正所带来益处的看法。粮食中心反思了它们的活动如何提高可持续性、加强地方粮食系统、支持地方经济以及改善社区的健康、福祉和能动性。在此过程中,粮食中心为地区、国家和全球在粮食安全、健康、可持续性、正义和复原力方面的优先事项做出了贡献。然而,为了扩大其积极影响,粮食中心需要得到支持,以便从紧急粮食供应过渡到长期、全面和财政上可行的模式,重点关注社区福祉和赋权、健康饮食、地方经济和环境可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Animal disease outbreaks and upstream soybean trade 动物疫病爆发与上游大豆贸易
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102685
Wuit Yi Lwin, K. Aleks Schaefer, Amy D. Hagerman

Animal disease outbreaks have been extremely disruptive to global livestock industries in recent years. In light of the modern integration of international supply chains, to what extent have these disruptions been experienced by upstream stakeholders? This research investigates the upstream impacts of global animal disease outbreaks in the international soybean market. We employ a two-step procedure to deduce the impacts of animal disease on upstream soybean trade. We first use a standard, econometric gravity model to empirically estimate the relationship between observed trade and livestock production patterns (accounting for each country’s economic masses and trade frictions). We then conduct a counterfactual analysis with our estimated gravity relationships to assess the value of lost soybean trade using a global repository of disease-specific animal mortality data. Our results indicate that between 2005–2020, animal disease outbreaks have cost the international soybean market approximately $5 billion in lost trade. The average exporter loses as much as 2% of its export potential each year. These losses are primarily attributable to cattle disease outbreaks in East Asia and South America. Foot-and-mouth disease alone has cost the soybean trade market approximately $4 billion in lost trade over our sample period.

近年来,动物疾病的爆发对全球畜牧业造成了极大的破坏。鉴于国际供应链的现代化整合,上游利益相关者在多大程度上受到了这些干扰?本研究调查了全球动物疫情爆发对国际大豆市场上游的影响。我们采用两步程序来推断动物疫病对上游大豆贸易的影响。首先,我们使用标准的计量经济学引力模型,对观察到的贸易与牲畜生产模式之间的关系进行实证估算(考虑到各国的经济总量和贸易摩擦)。然后,我们利用估算出的引力关系进行反事实分析,使用全球特定疾病动物死亡率数据来评估大豆贸易损失的价值。我们的分析结果表明,2005-2020 年间,动物疫病爆发给国际大豆市场造成了约 50 亿美元的贸易损失。平均每个出口国每年损失高达 2% 的出口潜力。这些损失主要归因于东亚和南美爆发的牛病。在我们的抽样调查期内,仅口蹄疫一项就给大豆贸易市场造成了约 40 亿美元的贸易损失。
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引用次数: 0
Robust policy frameworks for strengthening the resilience and sustainability of agri-food global value chains 加强农业食品全球价值链的复原力和可持续性的有力政策框架
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102714
Titus Awokuse , Sunghun Lim , Fabio Santeramo , Sandro Steinbach

Agri-food global value chains (GVCs) have transformed food production and trade, fostering efficiency and specialization across international borders and also introducing new challenges. This paper synthesizes insights from a special issue focused on agri-food GVCs, addressing four critical areas essential for enhancing the resilience and sustainability of these chains. We explore how trade connections and specialization can drive economic growth, emphasizing the importance of GVC integration. We also examine the role of transportation and infrastructure in ensuring global trade efficiency, highlighting the need for strategic investments to support robust supply chains. Additionally, we assess the impact of trade policies on sustainability, market disruptions, and overall efficiency, underscoring the importance of regulatory frameworks that promote both economic and environmental goals. Finally, we consider the implications of domestic and trade policies on welfare and equity, particularly in developing regions where inclusive growth remains a pressing concern. By identifying these essential areas for robust policy frameworks, this paper provides actionable insights for enhancing the resilience and sustainability of the global food system, which can inform policies that enhance the benefits of agri-food GVC integration while mitigating their risks.

农业食品全球价值链(GVCs)改变了粮食生产和贸易,提高了效率,促进了国际间的专业化分工,同时也带来了新的挑战。本文综述了以农业食品全球价值链为重点的特刊中的观点,探讨了对提高这些价值链的复原力和可持续性至关重要的四个关键领域。我们探讨了贸易联系和专业化如何推动经济增长,强调了全球价值链一体化的重要性。我们还探讨了运输和基础设施在确保全球贸易效率方面的作用,强调了进行战略投资以支持强大供应链的必要性。此外,我们还评估了贸易政策对可持续性、市场混乱和整体效率的影响,强调了同时促进经济和环境目标的监管框架的重要性。最后,我们考虑了国内和贸易政策对福利和公平的影响,尤其是在发展中地区,因为这些地区的包容性增长仍然是一个紧迫问题。通过确定健全政策框架的这些重要领域,本文为增强全球粮食系统的复原力和可持续性提供了可操作的见解,这些见解可为制定政策提供参考,从而提高农业-食品全球价值链一体化的效益,同时降低其风险。
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引用次数: 0
Emerging outsource agricultural services enable farmer adaptation in agrifood value chains: A product cycle perspective 新兴的农业外包服务使农民能够适应农业食品价值链:产品周期视角
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102711
Thomas Reardon , Titus Awokuse , Ben Belton , Lenis Saweda O. Liverpool-Tasie , Bart Minten , Genevieve Nguyen , Sara Qanti , Johan Swinnen , Rob Vos , David Zilberman

Outsource agricultural service enterprises emerged a century ago in high-income countries and in the past several decades in developing regions. We contribute by analyzing and illustrating the emergence of these services from the perspective of phases of the Product Cycle. These services help farmers adapt to international and domestic agrifood value chains: (1) in the commoditization phase, e.g., with rice combine harvesting services in China and Myanmar for domestic and export markets; (2) in the early product differentiation phase into quality traits, e.g., with horticultural services to Ethiopian and Indonesian farmers for urban wholesale markets; (3) in the advanced product differentiation phase into environmental traits, e.g., with A-Z services to help French farmers grow eco-labeled vegetables for supermarkets. These services addressed farmers’ shortfalls in information, skills, labor, and equipment. The services are supplied by medium/large farmers with excess capacity say of a combine; by wholesalers who want to reduce search costs and risks; by input “agro-dealers”; and by agribusinesses servicing their outgrowers. In new cases shown in France, outsource firms partner with farm input companies such as Bayer or with robot/drone companies. Governments have – and can do much more to – support the emergence of these services such as in developing regions today through: (1) promotion of a business ecosystem, based on policies of investment in hard and soft infrastructure, favoring the coadaptation of these firms with farmers’ needs; (2) policies facilitating access, such as through import liberalization, of equipment and seeds and chemicals.

一个世纪前,高收入国家出现了外包农业服务企业,过去几十年来,发展中地区也出现了这种企业。我们从产品周期各阶段的角度分析和说明了这些服务的出现。这些服务帮助农民适应国际和国内农业食品价值链:(1) 在商品化阶段,例如,在中国和缅甸为国内和出口市场提供水稻联合收割服务;(2) 在早期产品差异化阶段,例如,为埃塞俄比亚和印度尼西亚农民提供园艺服务,帮助他们进入城市批发市场;(3) 在高级产品差异化阶段,例如,为法国农民提供 A-Z 服务,帮助他们为超市种植生态标签蔬菜。这些服务解决了农民在信息、技能、劳动力和设备方面的不足。提供这些服务的有:能力过剩(如联合收割机)的大中型农户;希望降低搜索成本和风险的批发商;投入品 "农业经销商";以及为其外围种植户提供服务的农业企业。在法国的新案例中,外包公司与拜耳等农业投入公司或机器人/无人机公司合作。各国政府已经而且还可以做更多的工作,通过以下方式支持这些服务的出现,例如在今天的发展中地区:(1) 在软硬基础设施投资政策的基础上,促进商业生态系统的发展,使这些公司与农民的需求相适应;(2) 通过进口自由化等政策,促进设备、种子和化学品的准入。
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引用次数: 0
Technology-driven transformations in agri-food global value chains: The role of incumbent firms from a corporate venture capital perspective 农业食品全球价值链中的技术驱动转型:从企业风险投资的角度看现有企业的作用
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102684
Pablo Mac Clay , Roberto Feeney , Jorge Sellare

Agri-food global value chains (GVCs) are failing to provide healthy and affordable diets within planetary boundaries. Many cutting-edge technologies are being developed to address the sustainability challenges throughout agri-food GVCs. While several studies seek to analyze the impacts of specific innovations on socioeconomic and environmental dimensions, the relationship between industry structure and the process of technological change has not received much attention in the value chain literature. Here, we focus on the entrepreneurial landscape of innovation in agri-food GVCs to 1) identify which technologies have been receiving most support from investors and 2) analyze the corporate strategies of the largest agri-food multinational companies regarding their investments in new technologies. Using Crunchbase as our primary data source and machine learning for natural language processing, we have identified around 15,500 companies developing innovations linked to agri-food GVCs, from farming to last-mile delivery. However, our analyses show an imbalanced scene in which downstream technologies capture most investors’ interest. Then, we use these results to explore the direction of investments by dominant agri-food firms, where we identify three trends: upgrading strategies to improve their core activities, defensive strategies to control technologies competing with their core business, and corporate portfolio strategies to seize profit opportunities.

农业食品全球价值链(GVCs)未能在地球范围内提供健康和负担得起的饮食。目前正在开发许多尖端技术,以应对整个农业食品全球价值链的可持续性挑战。虽然有一些研究试图分析特定创新对社会经济和环境层面的影响,但在价值链文献中,产业结构与技术变革过程之间的关系并没有得到太多关注。在此,我们将重点关注农业食品全球价值链中的企业创新情况,以便:1)确定哪些技术得到了投资者的最大支持;2)分析最大的农业食品跨国公司在新技术投资方面的企业战略。我们利用 Crunchbase 作为主要数据源,并通过机器学习进行自然语言处理,确定了约 15500 家开发与农业食品全球价值链(从种植到最后一英里配送)相关的创新技术的公司。然而,我们的分析表明,下游技术吸引了大多数投资者的兴趣,这是一种不平衡的现象。然后,我们利用这些结果探讨了占主导地位的农业食品公司的投资方向,并在此基础上确定了三种趋势:改善核心业务的升级战略、控制与其核心业务竞争的技术的防御战略以及抓住盈利机会的企业组合战略。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding firm networks in global agricultural value chains 了解全球农业价值链中的企业网络
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102689
Anne Beck , Sunghun Lim , Daria Taglioni

This paper explores the evolution and resilience of global value chains (GVCs) in the agrifood sector, which intensified since the 1994 Uruguay Round Agreement. Using unique data from the FactSet database, along with Fortune 500 lists, we conduct a comprehensive analysis of approximately 17,500 agribusiness companies worldwide, examining over 150,000 supplier and customer connections from 2014 to 2022. Our findings reveal that large corporations, acting as central nodes, have increased their network centrality in GVCs, particularly through geographic diversification and a concentrated supply strategy. The study also indicates a correlation between the complexity and depth of firm-to-firm linkages and increased resilience, suggesting that firms with greater connectivity are less likely to exit the industry. This analysis not only contributes new insights into the structure and dynamics of agribusiness networks but also highlights the role of firm linkages in navigating recent disruptive global events such as the US-China Trade War, COVID-19 pandemic, extreme weather episodes, and geopolitical tensions.

本文探讨了农业食品行业全球价值链(GVCs)的演变和恢复力,自 1994 年乌拉圭回合协议签订以来,全球价值链不断加强。利用 FactSet 数据库的独特数据以及《财富》世界 500 强企业名单,我们对全球约 17500 家农业综合企业进行了全面分析,研究了 2014 年至 2022 年期间超过 15 万个供应商和客户连接。我们的研究结果表明,作为中心节点的大型企业提高了其在全球价值链中的网络中心地位,特别是通过地域多元化和集中供应战略。研究还表明,企业与企业之间联系的复杂性和深度与复原力的增强之间存在相关性,这表明,联系性更强的企业退出该行业的可能性更小。这项分析不仅为农业综合企业网络的结构和动态提供了新的见解,而且还强调了企业联系在应对中美贸易战、COVID-19 大流行病、极端天气事件和地缘政治紧张局势等近期破坏性全球事件中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Did product certification and e-commerce benefit agricultural producers in China? 产品认证和电子商务是否使中国的农业生产者受益?
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102688
Shuang Liu , Yanhong Jin , Fengtian Zheng

This study investigates the impacts of product certification and e-commerce on various production and profitability outcomes for grain and cash crop producers in China, using nationally representative survey data. Employing multinomial endogenous switching regression (MESR) estimations, we find that agricultural producers who adopt e-commerce, product certification, or both strategies have significant price premium, increased sales revenue, and greater profitability, despite the increased production costs, with cash crop producer and large-scale producers gaining more benefits. Additionally, we find a synergistic effect: agricultural producers benefit more from adopting both product certification and e-commerce simultaneously than the sum of the effects of adopting two strategies separately. This positive reinforcement between the two strategies is more pronounced among cash crop producers compared to grain crop producers, as well as among larger-scale producers compared to their small-scale counterparts. These findings provide valuable policy implications for assisting agricultural producers in adopting suitable strategies, thereby enhancing their competitiveness and profitability within the global value chains of agri-food.

本研究利用具有全国代表性的调查数据,研究了产品认证和电子商务对中国粮食和经济作物生产者的各种生产和盈利结果的影响。通过多项式内生转换回归(MESR)估计,我们发现,采用电子商务、产品认证或同时采用这两种策略的农业生产者,尽管生产成本增加,但价格溢价显著,销售收入增加,盈利能力增强,其中经济作物生产者和大规模生产者获益更多。此外,我们还发现了一种协同效应:农业生产者同时采用产品认证和电子商务的收益要高于分别采用两种战略的收益总和。经济作物生产者与粮食作物生产者相比,以及大规模生产者与小规模生产者相比,这两种策略之间的正强化作用更为明显。这些发现为帮助农业生产者采取适当的战略,从而提高他们在全球农业食品价值链中的竞争力和盈利能力提供了宝贵的政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
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