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تقدير دوال الطلب على الصادرات السعودية غير النفطية دراسة حالة "الكيماويات العضوية" 评估“有机化学品”案例研究对沙特阿拉伯非石油出口需求的影响
Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.31559/gjeb2023.13.1.3
ضرار عبد الحميد التوم العتيبي
تتمثل المشكلة البحثية في ما هو واقع الصادرات السعودية من الكيماويات العضوية؟ وما هو الوضع التنافسي للصادرات السعودية من الكيماويات العضوية في أهم الأسواق المستوردة لها؟ وتم استخدام نموذج الطلب شبه الأمثل لأهم 3 منتجات تندرج تحت القسم الرئيسي للمواد الكيميائية العضوية كود 29 وهي: الهيدروكربونات الحلقية كود 2902، الكحولات اللاحلقية ومشتقاتها كود 2905، والإيثرات ومشتقاتها كود 2909، للفترة (2000- 2021). وكانت أهم النتائج كالآتي: زادت قيمة الصادرات السعودية من الهيدروكربونات الحلقية إلى حوالي 2.8 مليار دولار عام 2021، وتعتبر الصين وبلجيكا أهم الدول المستوردة بحوالي 48.68%، 12.32% على الترتيب كمتوسط للفترة (2017- 2021).
研究问题是沙特阿拉伯有机化学品出口的现实是什么?沙特阿拉伯的有机化学品在其主要进口市场中的竞争地位是什么?对主要有机化学品第29项下的3种主要产品采用了最理想的需求模式:环氧碳化物,代码2902,环氧树脂及其衍生物,代码2905,醚和衍生物,代码2909(2000- 2021年)。最重要的结果是:沙特阿拉伯的环碳氢化合物出口价值在2021年增加到约28亿美元,中国和比利时是主要进口国,平均为2017- 2021年)为48.68%,12.32%。
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引用次数: 0
Conceptual Framework Depicting the Interrelationship between A Country's Welfare Regime and its Health System 描述一国福利制度与卫生系统相互关系的概念框架
Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.31559/gjeb2023.13.1.7
S. Gani, Bernadene de Clercq
The effectiveness of healthcare systems varies greatly, and the ability to achieve important health objectives varies between welfare regimes and nations. In order to improve our understanding of how health systems perform under various welfare regimes, this paper offers a framework that establishes this relationship. As a result, the purpose of this paper is to present a framework that could be utilized to construct a connection between a country’s welfare system and its health system. The first stage is to establish the parameters of welfare regimes based on the notions of governance and power usage. The study goes on to discuss the concept of the health system, the performance of the health system, and how these concepts relate to welfare regimes. Within these constraints, health system performance focuses on three essential objectives: strengthening responsiveness to the population's expectations, ensuring fairness of financial contribution, and improving health. Once the fundamental objectives of health systems have been identified, they must be measured, and a conceptual relationship between welfare regimes and health systems must be established. By developing a framework for the interactions between welfare regimes and the health system, it is possible to understand the primary factors affecting the functioning of health system as well as to consider important policy issues and formulations.
医疗保健系统的有效性差异很大,实现重要健康目标的能力因福利制度和国家而异。为了更好地理解卫生系统在各种福利制度下的表现,本文提供了一个建立这种关系的框架。因此,本文的目的是提出一个框架,可以用来构建一个国家的福利体系和卫生体系之间的联系。第一阶段是根据治理和权力使用的概念建立福利制度的参数。该研究继续讨论了卫生系统的概念、卫生系统的绩效,以及这些概念与福利制度的关系。在这些限制条件下,卫生系统的绩效侧重于三个基本目标:加强对民众期望的响应,确保财政捐助的公平性,以及改善健康。一旦确定了卫生系统的基本目标,就必须对其进行衡量,并在福利制度和卫生系统之间建立概念关系。通过制定福利制度与卫生系统之间互动的框架,可以了解影响卫生系统运作的主要因素,并考虑重要的政策问题和制定方法。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Corporate Governance on the Financial Performance of Listed Companies: Evidence from Saudi Arabia 公司治理对上市公司财务绩效的影响:来自沙特阿拉伯的证据
Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.31559/gjeb2023.13.1.9
A. Aldaarmi
This study investigates the role of corporate governance regulations on the financial performance within listed companies in Saudi Arabia. 120 organisations were selected from Saudi Stock Exchange, Tadawul, over a period of four years between 2016 to 2019 for 565 observations. The data were gathered about the intendent variable of board independence, board size, board meeting, board interlocking, in addition to firm size and leverage as moderators. The independent variable was Tobin’s q. The result of this study shows that there is a negative relationship between board size and board interlocking on one hand and financial performance of the listed companies on the other hand. Other independent variables of independent directorships and frequency of board meeting were shown to have a positive effect on financial performance. The outcome of this study supports the theoretical foundations of stakeholder theory about the importance of reducing the monopoly of the agents (directors on board) over the decisions of the company. Such reduction of the effect of directors can be done through maximising the number of meetings accompanied by maximising the number of independent directors on board. Also, by reducing board interlocking, the influence of directors will shrink while increasing board size will slow down the process of taking decisions which affect companies’ performance.
本研究调查了公司治理法规对沙特阿拉伯上市公司财务绩效的作用。在2016年至2019年的四年时间里,从沙特证券交易所(Tadawul)选择了120家组织,进行了565次观察。数据收集了董事会独立性、董事会规模、董事会会议、董事会联锁等因变量,以及公司规模和杠杆率作为调节因子。自变量为Tobin’s q。本研究的结果表明,董事会规模和董事会连锁与上市公司的财务绩效之间存在负相关关系。独立董事和董事会会议频率等其他自变量对财务绩效有正向影响。本研究的结果支持了利益相关者理论的理论基础,即减少代理(董事会董事)对公司决策的垄断的重要性。减少董事的影响可以通过最大限度地增加会议次数,同时最大限度地增加独立董事的人数来实现。此外,通过减少董事会联锁,董事的影响力将会缩小,而增加董事会规模将减缓影响公司业绩的决策过程。
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引用次数: 0
أثر جودة قرارات الإدارة العليا في مقاومة التغيير لدى الأكاديميين 高级管理层决策质量对学术界抵制变革的影响
Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.31559/gjeb2023.13.1.1
فداء عبدالحميد قرمش
هدفت الدراسة إلى تحديد أثر جودة قرارات الإدارة العليا في مقاومة التغيير لدى الأكاديميين في جامعة الاستقلال، وذلك لما لجودة القرارات المتخذة من اهمية لمتخذ القرار والمؤسسة التي يمثلها في مواجهة المشكلات والتحديات المختلفة التي تواجهها المؤسسة في ظل البيئات الديناميكية، وتعزيز الفرص أمامها لتحقيق التقدم في مواجهة المؤسسات التعليمية الأخرى المنافسة لها. لقد تمثل مجتمع الدراسة بجامعة الاستقلال، ولتحقيق أهداف الدراسة قامت الباحثة بتطوير أداة الدراسة (الاستبانة)، والتي تكونت من (34) فقرة، وقد استهدفت الأكاديميين في هذه الجامعة. وتوصلت الدراسة إلى وجود أثر ذا دلالة إحصائية عند مستوى دلالة (α ≤ 0.05) لجودة قرارات الادارة العليا بأبعادها في مقاومة التغيير بأبعادها مجتمعة. وفي ضوء نتائج الدراسة اوصت الباحثة بالآتي: ضرورة إشراك الأكاديميين عند اتخاذ القرارات المتعلقة بأقسامهم، والحرص أن تحظى هذه القرارات بالقبول مما ينعكس بشكل إيجابي على أدائهم، وكذلك تشجيعهم من خلال تقديم الحوافز والمزايا لضمان التزامهم بخطة التغيير.
这项研究的目的是确定高级管理层决定的质量对独立大学学术界抵制变革的影响,因为所作决定的质量对于决策者及其所代表的机构在动态环境下面对该机构面临的各种问题和挑战的重要性,并促进它们在与其他竞争的教育机构取得进展的机会。独立大学的学派代表了独立大学,为了实现研究的目标,研究人员开发了一个由34个段落组成的研究工具,其目标是独立大学的学者。研究发现存在以统计表明在信号水平的效果(α≤0.05)高级管理层的质量决定抵制变革层面层面的总和。根据研究结果,研究人员建议:学术界参与有关其部门的决策,确保这些决定得到接受,这将对他们的业绩产生积极影响,并通过激励和好处鼓励他们遵守《变革议程》。
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引用次数: 0
المهارات الإدارية وتأثيرها في إدارة الصراع التنظيمي- دراسة استطلاعية لآراء عينة من الأفراد العاملين في هيئة الطرق والجسور ومصارف المياه والنقل بولاية الخرطوم 管理技能及其在管理组织冲突中的影响——喀土穆州道路、桥梁、水库和交通管理局工作人员样本调查
Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.31559/gjeb2023.13.1.2
محمد علي محمد يوسف
هدفت الدراسة إلى التعرف على المهارات الإدارية وتأثيرها في إدارة الصراع التنظيمي/ دراسة استطلاعية لآراء عينة من الأفراد العاملين في هيئة الطرق والجسور ومصارف المياه والنقل بولاية الخرطوم. وتمثلت أهميتها في تسليط الضؤ حول ضرورة استخدام المهارات الإدارية كأسلوب إداري فعال في بئيات الأعمال المختلفة بالمنظمات. واتضحت مشكلتها في أن نشؤ ظاهرة الصراع التنظيمي بمنظمات الأعمال أضحت عقبة تعاني منها الكثير من المنظمات في الوقت الحالي نتيجة لتعدد وتنوع أسبابها وأن هذه النزعات والصراعات التنظيمية رغم اختلاف أسبابها وأنواعها وحدتها فإنها تؤدي بلا شك إلى نتائج سلبية بصورة مباشرة أو غير مباشرة في أداء الأعمال بالمنظمات. اعتمدت الدراسة على الاستبانة كاداة رئيسة في جمع بياناتها الأولية. استخدمت الدراسة أسلوب العينة العشوائية حيث تم توزيع عدد (30) استمارة على عدد من العاملين برئاسة الهيئة بنسبة استرجاع بلغت (88%) من مجموع العاملين برئاسة الهيئة البالغ عددهم (84) موظف. استخدمت الدراسة المنهج الوصفي التحليلي وبرنامج SPSS في تحليل بياناتها الاساسية. توصلت الدراسة إلى مجموعة من النتائج أهمها: وجود علاقة ذات دلالة إحصائية بين المهارات الإدارية (الاداركية، الفنية والإنسانية) وإدارة الصراع التنظيمي بهيئة الطرق والجسور ومصارف المياه والنقل بولاية الخرطوم. أن قلة الموارد وندرتها تؤدي إلى نشؤ ظاهرة الصراع التنظيمي بالمنظمات. وفي الختام أوصت الدراسة بمايلي: ضرورة استخدام مهارات (الحوار، الاقناع والتسوية، والتواصل الفعال) في إدارة الصراع التنظيمي بمنظمات الأعمال. ضرورة توفير كافة المستلزمات والموارد التي تساعد في الحد من نشؤ ظاهرة الصراع التنظيمي بمنظمات الأعمال.
这项研究旨在确定管理技能及其在管理组织冲突中的影响,这是对喀土穆州道路、桥梁、水库和交通管理局工作人员样本的调查研究。其重要性在于阐明在组织的不同商业环境中使用管理技能作为有效管理方法的必要性。其问题很明显,由于原因的多样性和多样性,商业组织中组织冲突现象的出现已成为许多组织目前面临的障碍,这些趋势和组织冲突尽管原因、类型和统一性不同。毫无疑问,它们会直接或间接地导致组织运作中的负面结果。这项研究将问卷作为收集原始数据的主要工具。这项研究使用了随机抽样方法,向管理局领导的部分员工分发了30份表格,回收率为管理局领导的84名员工总数的88%。这项研究使用元分析方法和SPSS软件来分析其基础数据。这项研究得出了一系列最重要的结果:喀土穆州道路、桥梁、排水和运输管理局的行政技能(认知、技术和人道主义)与组织冲突管理之间存在统计上的显着关系。资源的缺乏和稀缺导致了组织冲突现象的出现。最后,这项研究建议:在管理商业组织的组织冲突时,需要使用技能(对话、说服和解决、有效沟通)。需要提供有助于减少商业组织组织冲突现象出现的所有需求和资源。
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引用次数: 0
Inflation and Unemployment in the South African Democratic Era: Is There Any Trade-off? 南非民主时代的通货膨胀与失业:是否存在取舍?
Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.31559/gjeb2023.13.1.8
M. Jeza, L. Greyling, KD Ilesanmi
South Africa has consistently suffered double-digit unemployment rates and unstable price levels, with a resultant stifling of economic growth rates. As a result, South Africa’s central bank policymakers have come under scrutiny regarding the adopted policy framework, which seems to be failing the economy with the growing unemployment rate and overall price level increments to prevail and triggering worsened standards of living for citizens. To close the gap in the existing literature, this study examined the trade-off between inflation and unemployment rates in South Africa and its implication on the economy post-1994. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag modelling technique was adopted by this study, where quarterly data spanning from 1994Q1 to 2019Q4 was analysed. Findings dismiss the existence of both the Phillips Curve and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in South Africa as the inflation and unemployment rates as no Granger causality running from unemployment to inflation was observed from 1994Q1 to 2019Q4, even though there was a negative causality running from inflation, meaning that during these years, increases in the inflation rate resulted in marginal decreases in the unemployment rate. A recommendation to policymakers would be to focus less on inflation targeting, as it was discovered to have a small influence on the unemployment rate. Rather, given the finding that GDP was positively related to inflation, allowing inflation to move more freely could enable stable economic growth that has the potential of reducing unemployment. This study further recommends that the SARB bank should go for targeting output instead.
南非一直处于两位数的失业率和不稳定的价格水平,从而抑制了经济增长率。其结果是,南非央行的政策制定者对所采用的政策框架进行了审查,该政策框架似乎使经济失败,失业率不断上升,总体物价水平普遍上升,并导致公民生活水平下降。为了缩小现有文献中的差距,本研究考察了南非通货膨胀率和失业率之间的权衡及其对1994年后经济的影响。本研究采用自回归分布滞后建模技术,分析了1994年第一季度至2019年第四季度的季度数据。研究结果排除了菲利普斯曲线和新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线在南非的存在,因为从1994年第一季度到2019年第四季度,没有观察到从失业到通货膨胀的格兰杰因果关系,尽管通货膨胀存在负因果关系,这意味着在这些年中,通货膨胀率的上升导致失业率的边际下降。对政策制定者的建议是,减少对通胀目标的关注,因为人们发现它对失业率的影响很小。相反,考虑到GDP与通胀呈正相关的发现,允许通胀更自由地移动,可以实现稳定的经济增长,从而有可能降低失业率。这项研究进一步建议SARB银行转而以产出为目标。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of COVID-19 on the Financial Performance of Firms in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia 2019冠状病毒病对沙特阿拉伯王国企业财务绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.31559/gjeb2023.13.1.4
Abdulrahman Atllah Alharbi
COVID-19 pandemic has been highly detrimental to both the overall economy and the financial performances of firms in all sectors. It has placed increased pressure on the manufacturing capacity and supply chains throughout the world, but it has also provided new opportunities for the logistics industry to make advancements in ecommerce. This study analyses the financial performance of 130 Saudi firms that listed on the Saudi Stock Exchange in order to explore those dynamics which belong to the following sectors (energy, material, industrials, consumer discretionary, communication services, consumer staples, healthcare, financial, information technology and utilities). To facilitate comparison between several ratios in 2019 and 2020, the Wilcoxon Signed Rank test was conducted. This study determined that there was no improvement to any of the 130 listed firms in the sample during this time, which is reassuring for businesses in Saudi Arabia, as over the same period, the Saudi Economy shrunk. These findings are useful for businesses to plan for Covid-19 like disruptions in the future.
新冠肺炎疫情对整体经济和所有行业企业的财务表现都极为不利。它给世界各地的制造能力和供应链带来了越来越大的压力,但也为物流业在电子商务方面取得进步提供了新的机会。本研究分析了130家在沙特证券交易所上市的沙特公司的财务业绩,以探索属于以下行业的动态(能源、材料、工业、非必需消费品、通信服务、消费必需品、医疗保健、金融、信息技术和公用事业)。为了便于比较2019年和2020年的几个比率,进行了Wilcoxon符号秩检验。这项研究确定,在此期间,样本中的130家上市公司中的任何一家都没有改善,这让沙特阿拉伯的企业感到放心,因为在同一时期,沙特经济萎缩。这些发现有助于企业规划未来类似新冠肺炎的中断。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating Stochastic Volatility during Periods of Financial Distress: Evidence from International Financial Markets 金融危机时期的随机波动性研究——来自国际金融市场的证据
Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.31559/gjeb2023.13.1.5
Samuel Tabot Enow
Capturing the dynamic properties of financial market volatility has always been very auspicious in asset pricing. The mean reverting properties of financial markets are of paramount importance for investment decision makers with far reaching implications. The purpose of this study was to investigate stochastic volatility in international financial markets during periods of financial distress. Accordingly, a Heston model was used to stochastic volatility in the CAC 40, DAX, JSE, Nasdaq Index and the Nikkei-225 during the 2007-2008 financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic. This study used January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2021 and December 1, 2007 to June 30, 2009 as the sample period representing the Covid-19 pandemic and financial crisis respectively. The findings of this study revealed the extortionate stochastic volatility during the Covid-19 pandemic compared to the financial crisis. There will be slightly higher than normal arbitrage opportunities and mispricing in most financial markets as a result of the pandemic.
在资产定价中,捕捉金融市场波动的动态特性一直是非常有利的。金融市场的均值回归特性对于具有深远影响的投资决策者来说至关重要。本研究的目的是研究金融危机时期国际金融市场的随机波动性。因此,在2007-2008年金融危机和新冠肺炎大流行期间,Heston模型被用于CAC 40、DAX、JSE、纳斯达克指数和Nikkei-225的随机波动。本研究使用2020年1月1日至2021年12月31日和2007年12月1日到2009年6月30日分别作为代表新冠肺炎大流行和金融危机的样本期。这项研究的结果揭示了与金融危机相比,新冠肺炎大流行期间的过度随机波动。由于疫情,大多数金融市场的套利机会和定价错误将略高于正常水平。
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引用次数: 0
Proposing New Hybrid Models for Multicriteria Inventory ABC Classification 多准则库存ABC分类的新混合模型
Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.31559/gjeb2023.13.1.6
F. Zowid
The literature is abundant with research studies that have been developed to provide an efficient model which has never been studied for multicriteria inventory classification MCIC problems. Therefore, this study proposes two hybrid inventory classification systems. Recently, the TOPSIS model has been widely developed, initially examined, and found very efficient to the (MCIC) due to its advantages and simplicity of use. In contrast, to the best of our knowledge, the PROMETHEE II and COPRAS models for determining (criteria weights) parameter values and classification, resulting in low/or competitive inventory cost and high service level. The proposed models utilize two sets of weights of CRITIC and Spearman’s rho (SR) tools for learning and optimizing PROMETHEE II and COPARS. In addition, a performance analysis is validated using a real-world dataset composed of 63 stock-keeping units (SKUs). The performance is compared to existing six MCIC classification models. The results reflect performances of the proposed models. Additionally, the comparative analysis indicates that the COPRAS model is the most preferred. Finally, the performance of the proposed models can be a great support for the overall supply chain system and decisions.
对于多准则库存分类的MCIC问题,已有大量的研究为其提供了一个高效的模型。因此,本研究提出了两种混合库存分类系统。近年来,TOPSIS模型得到了广泛的发展和初步检验,并发现由于其优点和使用简单,对MCIC非常有效。相比之下,据我们所知,PROMETHEE II和COPRAS模型用于确定(标准权重)参数值和分类,导致低/或有竞争力的库存成本和高服务水平。所提出的模型利用两组CRITIC和Spearman的rho (SR)工具的权重来学习和优化PROMETHEE II和COPARS。此外,使用由63个库存单位(sku)组成的真实数据集验证性能分析。并与现有的6种MCIC分类模型进行了性能比较。结果反映了所提模型的性能。此外,对比分析表明COPRAS模型是最优选的模型。最后,提出的模型的性能可以为整个供应链系统和决策提供很大的支持。
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引用次数: 0
An assessment of business environments and their effects on small and medium enterprises in Kaduna State-Nigeria 评估尼日利亚卡杜纳州的商业环境及其对中小企业的影响
Pub Date : 2023-01-04 DOI: 10.58934/jgeb.v4i13.147
Suwaiba Shehu Ibrahim, Bruce Frank Ambore, Musa Kallamu Hassan, H. Gambo
This paper assessed the impact of some external business environment on Small and Medium Enterprises of Kaduna state of Nigeria. The study population embraced SMEs registered with Small and Medium Enterprise Development Agency of Nigeria in Kaduna State with the total of 904. Taro Yamane formula was used to obtain a sample size of 400. The study takes on survey design. Findings revealed that infrastructural facilities have a significant and positive effect on SME’s service quality (0.142: p= 0.067<0.05).The government taxation policy have a significant and positive effect on sales revenue (0.146: p= 0.314<0.05). On the government/institutional support variable, result shows that it have a positive but no significant influence on job creation (0.544: p= 0.000>0.05). The analysis of insecurity and market growth shows a negative and significant effect of insecurity on SMEs market growth potentials (0.038: p= 0.769<0.05). At tail end, infrastructural facilities, taxation policy, and insecurity had a significant effect on service quality, sales revenue, and market growth respectively, government/institutional support have no significant effect on job creation. It was recommended that in order to supplement on the whole performance, SMEs should always make sure adequate scan of the external business environment to identify possible threats and opportunities surrounded by their working environment, In addition the government should charge a lower tax to augment increase in revenue base of SMEs. Also, infrastructural facilities in Kaduna state, should be given appropriate concentration, in the same vein, there is a need for the government to endorse extra attempt in conditions of policy arrangement and accomplishment.
本文评估了一些外部商业环境对尼日利亚卡杜纳州中小企业的影响。研究对象包括在卡杜纳州尼日利亚中小企业发展局注册的中小企业,总数为904家。采用Yamane太郎公式,样本量为400。这项研究采用了调查设计。研究发现,基础设施对中小企业服务质量有显著的正向影响(0.142:p= 0.0670.05)。对不安全感与市场成长性的分析表明,不安全感对中小企业市场成长性有显著的负向影响(0.038:p= 0.769<0.05)。在尾端,基础设施、税收政策和不安全感分别对服务质量、销售收入和市场增长有显著影响,政府/制度支持对创造就业没有显著影响。建议为了补充整体绩效,中小企业应始终确保充分扫描外部商业环境,以识别其工作环境周围可能存在的威胁和机会。此外,政府应收取较低的税收,以增加中小企业的收入基础。此外,应该适当集中卡杜纳州的基础设施,同样,政府需要在政策安排和成就的条件下支持额外的尝试。
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Global Journal of Economics and Business
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