Global Environmental Change最新文献_第3页

Air pollution under formal institutions: The role of distrust environment 正规体制下的空气污染：不信任环境的作用

IF 8.6 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102950

Xiaojuan Hou , Ruojun Xiang , Ming Jin

Formal trust is an important formal institution that may significantly impact the environment. This study uses regional distrust environment as a reverse proxy variable for formal trust and studies the impact of formal trust on corporate sulfur dioxide emissions. This study finds that the environment of distrust significantly increases the sulfur dioxide emission levels of enterprises, which means that formal trust affects the environmental management strategies of enterprises. This study also finds that some other formal institutional factors, which include marketization, the development of intermediate organizations, the legal system environment, and GDP levels, have moderating effects on the impact of distrust environment on corporate sulfur dioxide emissions. In addition, climatic conditions including temperature, humidity, and precedence, as well as the location of the enterprise, have certain moderation effects. Mechanism analysis indicates that distrust environment affects corporate sulfur dioxide emissions through the increase in coal sulfur content in enterprise production, the decrease in exhaust gas processing capacity, the reduction in financing capacity, and the decline in social and environmental responsibilities. Finally, this study finds through further analysis that the local government appears to have noticed this negative impact, and the regions with a distrust environment tend to increase their environmental regulation intensity.

正式信任是一种重要的正式制度，可能对环境产生重大影响。本研究以地区不信任环境作为正式信任的反向替代变量，研究正式信任对企业二氧化硫排放的影响。本研究发现，不信任环境会显著增加企业的二氧化硫排放水平，这说明正式信任会影响企业的环境管理策略。本研究还发现，其他一些正式制度因素，包括市场化、中间组织发展、法律制度环境和 GDP 水平，对不信任环境对企业二氧化硫排放的影响具有调节作用。此外，气候条件包括温度、湿度、先期以及企业所在地也有一定的调节作用。机理分析表明，不信任环境通过企业生产中煤炭含硫量的增加、废气处理能力的下降、融资能力的降低、社会和环境责任的下降等途径影响企业二氧化硫排放。最后，本研究通过进一步分析发现，地方政府似乎已经注意到了这种负面影响，不信任环境地区往往会加大环境监管力度。

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引用次数: 0

A globally just and inclusive transition? Questioning policy representations of the European Green Deal 全球公正和包容的过渡？质疑欧洲绿色交易的政策表述

IF 8.6 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102946

Håkon da Silva Hyldmo , Ståle Angen Rye , Diana Vela-Almeida

Climate change mitigation policies around the world are increasingly formulated as ‘green deals’ characterized by comprehensive packages of (‘green’) economic and societal reforms intended to bring about a just and inclusive transition to a low-carbon economy. This paper takes as its starting point what we see as a fundamental tension underlying the logic of these policies: despite making ambitious claims about the ethical merits of the transition they aim to bring about, their implementation depends on the extraction of massive amounts of raw materials. Most of these materials will be sourced from the Global South, where the negative ecological and social impacts will be felt. Empirically we explore how this tension is reflected in the European Green Deal, the most comprehensive of the green deal initiatives to date. Analyzing 195 policy documents from the European Union, we find that the role played by the European Green Deal in driving negative impacts beyond its borders is effectively silenced in official discourse. This enables the propagation of a narrative that justifies the dominant paradigm of green growth by portraying the European Green Deal as undertaking a globally ‘just transition’ that ‘do no harm’ and ‘leaves no one behind’. However, it also results in discursive contradictions and inconsistencies that undermine the logic and legitimacy of the European Green Deal. These contradictions and inconsistencies, we argue, provide a possible entry point for efforts to improve the just and inclusive outcomes from the European Green Deal.

世界各地的气候变化减缓政策越来越多地被制定为 "绿色交易"，其特点是全面的一揽子（"绿色"）经济和社会改革，旨在实现向低碳经济的公正、包容的过渡。本文的出发点是我们认为这些政策的逻辑背后存在的根本矛盾：尽管这些政策雄心勃勃地宣称其旨在实现的转型具有道德价值，但其实施却依赖于大量原材料的开采。这些材料大多来自全球南部地区，对那里的生态和社会都会产生负面影响。欧洲绿色交易是迄今为止最全面的绿色交易倡议，我们通过实证研究探讨了这一矛盾在欧洲绿色交易中的体现。通过分析欧盟的 195 份政策文件，我们发现欧洲绿色协议在推动负面影响超越其边界方面所扮演的角色在官方话语中被有效压制。这使得欧洲绿色交易被描述为在全球范围内进行 "公正过渡"，"不造成伤害 "且 "不遗漏任何人"，从而为绿色增长的主流范式提供了依据。然而，这也造成了话语上的矛盾和不一致，破坏了欧洲绿色交易的逻辑和合法性。我们认为，这些矛盾和不一致为努力改善欧洲绿色交易的公正性和包容性成果提供了一个可能的切入点。

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引用次数: 0

“Scale and access to the Green climate Fund: Big challenges for small island developing States” "绿色气候基金的规模和获取：小岛屿发展中国家面临的巨大挑战"

IF 8.6 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102943

Pia Treichel , Michai Robertson , Emily Wilkinson , Jack Corbett

Small island developing States (SIDS) are among the first and the most severely impacted by climate change and thus have been designated as a priority for adaptation finance. But despite their urgent need and prima facie case for climate justice, SIDS have been proportionally less successful than other vulnerable country groups in accessing climate funding via the Green Climate Fund (GCF). This research extends existing studies that seek to understand the SIDS-specific challenges to accessing international public climate finance by developing a new explanation based on data collected via a multi-methods research design which draws on interviews with SIDS negotiators and officials, surveys, and roundtables, as well as content analysis of GCF and UNFCCC documents. Drawing on ideas about the social construction of scale and the emerging literature on the financialization of international development funding, we argue that SIDS’ limited access to climate funding from the GCF is the consequence of assumptions in development models of the benefits of largeness, with largeness equated with value for money. The perceived advantages of large-scale programs compound the injustice of climate change for SIDS, whose communities have contributed little to the problem yet struggle to gain access to meaningful levels of assistance. Improving access to climate finance for SIDS will require changes to the systems of access and this cannot happen unless ideas about the costs and benefits of different scales are disrupted.

小岛屿发展中国家（SIDS）是最早受到气候变化影响的国家之一，也是受影响最严重的国家之一，因此被指定为适应资金的优先对象。但是，尽管小岛屿发展中国家有迫切的需求，而且气候正义的初步证据确凿，但在通过绿色气候基金（GCF）获得气候资金方面，小岛屿发展中国家的成功比例却低于其他弱势国家群体。这项研究扩展了现有的研究，试图了解小岛屿发展中国家在获得国际公共气候资金方面所面临的具体挑战，并通过多种方法的研究设计收集数据，利用对小岛屿发展中国家谈判者和官员的访谈、调查和圆桌会议，以及对绿色气候基金和《联合国气候变化框架公约》文件的内容分析，做出新的解释。借鉴关于规模的社会建构的观点和关于国际发展资金金融化的新兴文献，我们认为，小岛屿发展中国家从全球合作框架获得气候资金的机会有限，这是发展模式中关于规模效益的假设的结果，规模等同于资金价值。人们所认为的大规模项目的优势加剧了气候变化对小岛屿发展中国家的不公，这些国家的社区对气候变化问题的影响微乎其微，但却难以获得有意义的援助。要改善小岛屿发展中国家获得气候资金的机会，就必须改变获得资金的制度，除非打破关于不同规模的成本和效益的观念，否则就不可能实现这一点。

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引用次数: 0

The energy system transition pathway towards carbon reduction using a model-coupling approach 利用模型耦合方法实现能源系统向碳减排过渡的途径

IF 8.6 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102945

Jiali Zheng , Xiaoqing Hou , Jiaming Yang , Lianyang Jiao , D’Maris Coffman , Shouyang Wang

The energy system transition is widely regarded as an important strategy to achieve carbon reduction and is aligned with China's commitment to reach peak carbon emissions by 2030. Unfortunately, most modelling approaches in the existing literature do not pay sufficient attention to inter-sectoral dynamics. By using a model-coupling approach, this paper aims to study inter-sectoral energy consumption flows from 2000 to 2021 and to explore energy system transition pathways at the national and city levels. The results show that historically heavy industries have consistently maintained a high share of energy consumption and emissions accounting for 49.9 % and 60.7 % respectively by 2021, mainly caused by direct energy-resource inputs rather than post-processing inputs. In the scenario analyses, compared to the baseline scenario, the national EES scenario can reduce energy consumption by 6.7 % and emissions by 24.6 % in 2030, while the EES_CCS scenario can further reduce emissions by 48.4 %. Furthermore, the energy consumption and CO₂ emissions across cities are influenced by the industrial structure, the degree of electrification, and the amount of new energy installed.

能源系统转型被广泛认为是实现碳减排的重要战略，与中国到 2030 年达到碳排放峰值的承诺相一致。遗憾的是，现有文献中的大多数建模方法并未充分关注部门间的动态变化。本文采用模型耦合方法，旨在研究 2000 年至 2021 年的部门间能源消费流，并探索国家和城市层面的能源系统转型路径。结果表明，历史上重工业一直保持着较高的能源消耗和排放份额，到 2021 年分别占 49.9% 和 60.7%，这主要是由直接的能源资源投入而不是后处理投入造成的。在情景分析中，与基准情景相比，国家 EES 情景在 2030 年可减少 6.7% 的能耗和 24.6% 的排放，而 EES_CCS 情景可进一步减少 48.4% 的排放。此外，各城市的能源消耗和二氧化碳排放量还受到产业结构、电气化程度和新能源装机量的影响。

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引用次数: 0

Enormous inter-country inequality of embodied carbon emissions and its driving forces in South America 南美洲国家间体现碳排放的巨大不平等及其驱动力

IF 8.6 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102944

Zhenyu Wang , Huaxi Peng , Jing Meng , Heran Zheng , Jie Li , Jingwen Huo , Yuxin Chen , Quan Wen , Xiaotian Ma , Dabo Guan

South America is a crucial developing region under significant pressure to reduce emissions and achieve carbon neutrality. This study fills a vital gap by comprehensively analysing the continent’s carbon emissions from both production and consumption perspectives. Utilizing the most up-to-date global Multi-Regional Input-Output (MRIO) models, we examine the emissions embodied in the internal and external trade of nine major South American countries, tracing the emission flows from their origins to final consumers and analyzing the socio-economic drivers behind these patterns. Our analysis reveals that regions bearing heavier burdens of energy-intensive production often face exacerbated economic disparities. Trade-related emissions are embodied in heavy industry and transportation, and the share of emissions attributable to developing countries is continuously climbing. Brazil is the sole net-exporter of emissions, while Colombia has become a significant net importer. Energy intensity offsets the increase in carbon emissions caused by per capita consumption, especially in Brazil. Meanwhile, Colombia experiences an increase in emissions due to its energy structure, whereas a general trend towards decreasing emissions is noted elsewhere. The impact of the industrial chain is mainly domestic and extends forward along the supply chain. Interestingly, the consumption structure reduces emissions in Argentina and Bolivia, but increases them in other countries. Key emission mitigation initiatives include Brazil enhancing its leadership in bioenergy, Chile intensifying the development of green industrial chains for high-emission sectors, and Uruguay advancing its wind energy projects to increase clean energy exports, etc. These measures could facilitate targeted and effective decarbonization while promoting equitable and sustainable economic development across South America.

南美洲是一个重要的发展中地区，面临着减排和实现碳中和的巨大压力。本研究从生产和消费两个角度全面分析了南美大陆的碳排放量，填补了这一重要空白。利用最新的全球多地区投入产出（MRIO）模型，我们研究了南美洲九个主要国家在内部和外部贸易中所体现的排放量，追踪了从排放源到最终消费者的排放流，并分析了这些模式背后的社会经济驱动因素。我们的分析表明，能源密集型生产负担较重的地区往往面临着经济差距加剧的问题。与贸易有关的排放体现在重工业和运输业中，发展中国家的排放比例不断攀升。巴西是唯一的排放净出口国，而哥伦比亚已成为重要的净进口国。能源强度抵消了人均消费造成的碳排放量的增加，尤其是在巴西。与此同时，哥伦比亚的能源结构导致排放量增加，而其他地区的排放量总体呈下降趋势。产业链的影响主要在国内，并沿着供应链向前延伸。有趣的是，消费结构减少了阿根廷和玻利维亚的排放量，但却增加了其他国家的排放量。主要的减排举措包括巴西加强其在生物能源领域的领导地位，智利加强高排放行业绿色产业链的发展，乌拉圭推进风能项目以增加清洁能源出口等。这些措施可以促进有针对性和有效的去碳化，同时促进整个南美洲公平和可持续的经济发展。

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引用次数: 0

Global wildfire activity re-visited 重新审视全球野火活动

IF 8.6 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102894

Opha Pauline Dube

Investments in wildfire management are increasing globally; however, frequent and intense fires continue to threaten humans and natural systems. Moreover, comprehensive assessments of fire damage and cost are lacking. Current fire risk is considered moderate compared to that under global warming of 1.5 °C. Several works link rising fire risk to the fire exclusion paradigm, land use, and climate change. The multifaceted nature of the global wildfire activity requires holistic, integrative perspectives to stimulate novel solutions. This review elucidated the transformative changes in the human-fire relationship that led to the globalization of the fire exclusion policies and emergence of a complex global fire activity. The use of fire in the impetus toward industrialization and its management thereafter was at the expense of millions dispossessed of their land, curtailing development of their knowledge domains, introducing inequality, and poverty, which enhanced the reliance on fire as a tool to meet the livelihood needs within a fire exclusion policy environment. Industrialization marked the beginning of climate change-fire positive feedback loops that enhanced vulnerability worldwide. Current evidence shows that not all frequently burnt areas are major sources of emissions. The potential to use fire exclusion for emission reduction could downplay further the role of fire in carbon storage, ecological processes and land use fire needs, increasing reliance on “covert fire use practices,” and exacerbating incidents of large fires that surpass fire suppression capabilities given the contribution of climate change on fire risk. The globally complex fire activity points to the need for adaptive, participatory, multi-level, polycentric governance approaches.

全球在野火管理方面的投资正在不断增加；然而，频繁而猛烈的火灾仍在威胁着人类和自然系统。此外，目前还缺乏对火灾损失和成本的全面评估。与全球变暖 1.5 ℃ 的情况相比，目前的火灾风险被认为是中等的。一些著作将不断上升的火灾风险与火灾排斥模式、土地利用和气候变化联系起来。全球野火活动的多面性要求从整体、综合的角度来激发新的解决方案。本综述阐明了人类与火灾关系的转变，这种转变导致了禁火政策的全球化和复杂的全球火灾活动的出现。在推动工业化的过程中对火的使用以及此后对火的管理是以牺牲数百万被剥夺土地的人的利益为代价的，这限制了他们知识领域的发展，带来了不平等和贫困，从而加强了对火的依赖，使其成为在禁火政策环境下满足生计需求的一种工具。工业化标志着气候变化--火灾正反馈循环的开始，这加剧了全球的脆弱性。目前的证据表明，并非所有经常被烧毁的地区都是主要的排放源。考虑到气候变化对火灾风险的影响，将火灾排除用于减排可能会进一步淡化火灾在碳储存、生态过程和土地使用火灾需求中的作用，增加对 "隐蔽性用火方式 "的依赖，并加剧超过灭火能力的大型火灾事件。全球复杂的火灾活动表明，需要采取适应性、参与性、多层次、多中心的治理方法。

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引用次数: 0

Agricultural resilience: Impact of extreme weather events on the adoption of rural insurance in Brazil 农业复原力：极端天气事件对巴西采用农村保险的影响

IF 8.6 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2024-10-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102938

Elizângela Aparecida dos Santos , Elena Beatriz Piedra-Bonilla , Gabriela Madureira Barroso , Jordão Vieira Silva , Seyede Parvin Hejazirad , José Barbosa dos Santos

Brazil’s agricultural, livestock, and forestry production is essential, feeding more than 10% of the global population. However, climate change and extremes affect quality and production, challenging the Sustainable Development Goals of eradicating hunger and poverty. Extreme weather events generate economic and social costs, driving the use of adaptation strategies, with rural insurance being one of the main instruments to manage these risks. This study analyzes the impact of extreme weather events on rural insurance contracting in Brazil, using daily precipitation and temperature data to calculate extreme weather indices and perform panel regressions. The analysis of Minimum Comparable Areas (MCAs) between 2006 and 2016 showed that events such as “Frost” and “Hot Days” significantly increased insurance contracting, especially in the South and Central-West regions. The results highlight the importance of extreme variables and the need to consider regional differences and insurance alternatives. Despite the importance of insurance, increasing financial unviability suggests the need for additional strategies, such as crop diversification, community solidarity, and conservation of agricultural practices.

巴西的农业、畜牧业和林业生产至关重要，养活了全球 10%以上的人口。然而，气候变化和极端天气影响了质量和产量，给消除饥饿和贫困的可持续发展目标带来了挑战。极端天气事件造成了经济和社会成本，推动了适应战略的使用，而农村保险则是管理这些风险的主要手段之一。本研究利用每日降水和气温数据计算极端天气指数并进行面板回归，分析了极端天气事件对巴西农村保险签约的影响。对 2006 年至 2016 年间最小可比区（MCA）的分析表明，"霜冻 "和 "高温日 "等事件显著增加了保险签约，尤其是在南部和中西部地区。结果凸显了极端变量的重要性，以及考虑地区差异和保险替代方案的必要性。尽管保险很重要，但越来越多的财务不可行性表明，需要采取额外的战略，如作物多样化、社区团结和农业实践保护。

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引用次数: 0

Does Climate Change Exacerbate Gender Inequality in Cognitive Performance? 气候变化会加剧认知能力方面的性别不平等吗？

IF 8.6 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102941

Huan Chen , Yanni Yu

While a considerable amount of research has been conducted on the cognitive effects of climate change, relatively less attention has been given to gender disparities in these effects. This paper utilizes nationally representative data from China to explore how climate change influences cognitive performance across genders. Our findings suggest that women demonstrate a notably stronger capacity to adapt to elevated temperatures. Mechanism analysis reveals that women’s superior adaptation is primarily evident in memory and application skills rather than in comprehension. Moreover, sleep quality and mental health are identified as indirect contributors to these gender differences. Further demographic analysis shows that disparities in the impact of temperature on cognitive performance are more pronounced in urban settings, poorer households, among the elderly, and in colder counties, compared to rural areas, affluent households, younger adults, and warmer counties.

关于气候变化对认知的影响已有大量研究，但对这些影响中的性别差异的关注相对较少。本文利用中国具有全国代表性的数据，探讨气候变化如何影响不同性别的认知表现。我们的研究结果表明，女性对温度升高的适应能力明显更强。机理分析表明，女性的超强适应能力主要体现在记忆和应用技能上，而不是理解能力上。此外，睡眠质量和心理健康也是造成这些性别差异的间接因素。进一步的人口分析表明，与农村地区、富裕家庭、年轻成年人和较温暖的县城相比，温度对认知能力影响的差异在城市环境、贫困家庭、老年人和较寒冷的县城更为明显。

引用次数: 0

Measuring the contribution of nature-based solutions beyond climate adaptation in cities 衡量基于自然的解决方案在城市气候适应之外的贡献

IF 8.6 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102939

Sean Goodwin , Marta Olazabal , Antonio J. Castro , Unai Pascual

Measuring the contribution of urban nature-based solutions (NbS) to climate change adaptation is an essential, though complex, step towards understanding who benefits from them, as well as when, where, how and why. However, urban NbS are also framed as being able to meet multiple objectives relating to biodiversity conservation as well as associated social challenges. The complexity of addressing multiple challenges, combined with conflicting visions of what climate adaptation means at the local level, further burdens the identification of clear and relevant goals, processes and information to track progress (i.e. contributions) towards urban adaptation. To explore and question how current on-the-ground practices address this complexity, we analysed a global dataset of indicators (n = 750 indicators) from 74 NbS projects in 61 cities across 40 countries based on an assessment of the literature regarding information and processes used for evaluating urban NbS for adaptation. This was combined with interviews with local actors who evaluate these NbS projects (n = 15). Our results indicate that current urban NbS projects do not appear to balance climate adaptation with other goals, nor do they uniformly conform to prevailing technical standards of quality of traditional monitoring, evaluation and learning processes. Currently NbS projects tend to primarily prioritise shorter-term high-quality ecological indicators, mostly related to biodiversity, while generally other longer-term social and technical indicators lack quality despite capturing a diversity of potential medium- to long-term contributions of NbS. Various political and social factors that influence the way urban NbS to adaptation are evaluated typically go beyond evaluation purposes and range from using indicators to promote NbS as cost-effective solutions or particular political agendas. The diversity of what makes good information and processes to measure contributions to urban adaptation bolsters calls for establishing processes for flexible, commonly agreed-upon guiding principles. We suggest locally grounded recommendations to help identify fit-for-purpose information and processes to evaluate the potential of urban NbS to address interconnected climate, biodiversity, and societal challenges.

衡量城市自然解决方案（NbS）对适应气候变化的贡献是了解谁从中受益以及何时、何地、如何和为何受益的重要一步，尽管这一步非常复杂。然而，城市自然解决方案也被认为能够满足与生物多样性保护相关的多重目标以及相关的社会挑战。应对多重挑战的复杂性，再加上对气候适应在地方层面的意义的不同看法，进一步加重了确定明确的相关目标、流程和信息以跟踪城市适应进展（即贡献）的负担。为了探索和质疑当前的实地实践如何解决这一复杂问题，我们分析了全球指标数据集（n = 750 个指标），这些指标来自 40 个国家 61 个城市的 74 个国家适应性试点项目，并基于对用于评估城市国家适应性试点项目的信息和流程的文献评估。此外，我们还采访了评估这些NbS项目的当地参与者（n = 15）。我们的结果表明，目前的城市非营利性社会项目似乎并没有平衡气候适应与其他目标，也没有统一符合传统监测、评估和学习过程质量的普遍技术标准。目前，净减排项目倾向于优先考虑较短期的高质量生态指标，主要是与生物多样性相关的指标，而其他较长期的社会和技术指标一般都缺乏质量，尽管它们捕捉到了净减排潜在的中长期贡献的多样性。影响城市非核心资源适应评估方式的各种政治和社会因素通常超出了评估目的，包括利用指标将非核心资源作为具有成本效益的解决方案或特定政治议程进行推广。由于衡量城市适应贡献的信息和流程多种多样，因此需要制定灵活、共同认可的指导原则。我们提出了一些立足于本地的建议，以帮助确定符合目的的信息和流程，从而评估城市非传统服务在应对相互关联的气候、生物多样性和社会挑战方面的潜力。

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引用次数: 0

Linking production, processing, and consumption of plant-based protein alternatives in Europe 将欧洲植物蛋白替代品的生产、加工和消费联系起来

IF 8.6 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102940

Catharina J.E. Schulp , Ciska Ulug , Anne Elise Stratton , Tim G. Williams , Peter H. Verburg

To confront current sustainability challenges, the European Commission aims to transition towards plant-based diets as well as shorter, regionalized value chains. Legume-based meat and dairy alternatives (LBAs) are seen as an important tool in the food system transition, replacing protein from animals with high-protein plant-based sources. However, regionalized LBA value chains require the co-occurrence of legume producers, LBA manufacturers, and consumers, and we lack understanding of the current status and future potential for such value chains in Europe. In this article, we integrate publicly-available datasets with a web-derived inventory of LBA manufacturer locations to map the regional strength of LBA value chains across Europe. Using manufacturers’ visions and employee interviews, we complement the spatial analysis with an exploratory assessment of how actors perceive their role in a plant-based food system transition.

Regions in north-western Europe demonstrate (moderately) strong value chains for regionalized LBAs, yet few regions contain all three value chain nodes. The absence of LBA manufacturers is the most widespread barrier for more regional value chains (particularly in Eastern Europe), suggesting a need for infrastructure and policies that incentivize innovation in the value chain and new connections between legume producers, processors, LBA manufacturers, and consumers. LBA manufacturers in our sample express diverse values and therefore could play complementary roles in sustainability transitions. However, global manufacturers are markedly less likely to have visions related to systemic change. Together, our results showcase the potential to expand regionalized LBA value chains to improve sustainability throughout the EU, but regionalisation may not be possible everywhere, highlighting the need for a cross-scale and context-specific approach to plant-based protein transitions.

为应对当前的可持续性挑战，欧盟委员会的目标是向植物性饮食以及更短、区域化的价值链过渡。以豆类为基础的肉类和乳制品替代品（LBAs）被视为食品系统转型的重要工具，可以用高蛋白植物来源替代动物蛋白质。然而，区域化的豆类肉类和乳制品价值链需要豆类生产商、豆类肉类和乳制品生产商以及消费者的共同参与，而我们对欧洲此类价值链的现状和未来潜力缺乏了解。在本文中，我们整合了公开数据集和从网络上获取的豆类生产商位置清单，以绘制欧洲豆类价值链的区域优势图。利用制造商的愿景和员工访谈，我们对参与者如何看待他们在植物性食品系统转型中的角色进行了探索性评估，从而对空间分析进行了补充。缺乏 LBA 生产商是更多区域价值链（尤其是在东欧）面临的最普遍障碍，这表明需要基础设施和政策来激励价值链创新，并在豆类生产商、加工商、LBA 生产商和消费者之间建立新的联系。在我们的样本中，LBA 生产商表达了不同的价值观，因此可以在可持续性转型中发挥互补作用。然而，全球生产商明显不太可能具有与系统性变革相关的愿景。总之，我们的研究结果展示了扩大区域化 LBA 价值链的潜力，以改善整个欧盟的可持续性，但区域化不一定在所有地方都能实现，这凸显了对植物性蛋白质转型采取跨规模、针对具体情况的方法的必要性。

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引用次数: 0