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Coercive environmentalism and political legitimacy in the age of climate change: the case of fisheries in Uganda 气候变化时代的强制性环境保护主义和政治合法性:乌干达渔业的案例
IF 9.1 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-08-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103045
Godfreyb Ssekajja
One would expect the growing environmental validation of coercion to jolt scholars out of the ’dogmatic slumber’ in which the preeminence of participatory procedures and inalienable rights is often taken for granted. Yet, as climate change is increasingly invoked to justify coercive environmentalism, the political consequences of this emerging paradigm remain underexamined. The perceived effectiveness of authoritarian regimes, such as China, in addressing ecological crises is contributing to a shift from participatory to coercive approaches. This trend not only raises the risk of democratic backsliding but also poses concerns about implications for political legitimacy. This paper examines the relationship between coercive governance, environmental crisis management, and political legitimacy. It uses field surveys and interviews to assess how the 2015 deployment of soldiers to enforce fisheries regulations influences support for regime institutions and evaluations of regime performance. The findings show that the militarized policy undermines legitimacy, as indicated by both the widespread opposition it generates and the negative assessments of government, stemming from heightened social inequalities—within and between communities—and reduced community involvement in fisheries management. Additionally, while many participants perceive improved fisheries protection, this does not equate to enhanced legitimacy, as these perceptions do not translate into support for the policy or the government overall. Instead, increased conflict—both between fishers and soldiers, and among the fishers themselves—along with reports of heightened personal insecurity, further suggests that the policy undermines legitimacy. This evidence of failure to secure widespread legitimacy implies that, for long-term sustainability, coercive measures must eventually give way to strategies that foster communal ownership and active participation.
人们会期望越来越多的环境对强制的认可能把学者们从“教条主义的睡眠”中惊醒,在这种睡眠中,参与性程序和不可剥夺的权利往往被认为是理所当然的。然而,随着气候变化越来越多地被用来为强制性环境保护主义辩护,这种新兴模式的政治后果仍未得到充分研究。专制政权(如中国)在解决生态危机方面的有效性正在促成从参与式方法向强制性方法的转变。这一趋势不仅增加了民主倒退的风险,还引发了对政治合法性影响的担忧。本文探讨了强制性治理、环境危机管理和政治合法性之间的关系。它使用实地调查和访谈来评估2015年部署士兵执行渔业法规如何影响对政权机构的支持和对政权绩效的评估。研究结果表明,军事化政策破坏了合法性,这一点可以从它引发的广泛反对和对政府的负面评价中看出,这源于社区内部和社区之间加剧的社会不平等,以及社区参与渔业管理的减少。此外,虽然许多参与者认为渔业保护得到了改善,但这并不等同于提高了合法性,因为这些看法并没有转化为对政策或政府整体的支持。相反,不断增加的冲突——包括渔民和士兵之间的冲突,以及渔民自己之间的冲突——以及个人不安全感加剧的报道,进一步表明该政策破坏了合法性。这种未能确保广泛合法性的证据意味着,为了长期可持续性,强制性措施最终必须让位于促进社区所有权和积极参与的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Social capital as a policy catalyst: Enhancing municipal investment in climate risk reduction and adaptation 社会资本作为政策催化剂:加强市政在减少和适应气候风险方面的投资
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103041
Pablo Neudörfer , Patricio Valdivieso
Does social capital guide municipalities toward improved investment in disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation? This article investigates whether communities with high vulnerability to climate change risks and strong social capital traits are more likely to invest in preparedness for climate change disasters. We leverage the exogenous variation of local downpours in Chile from 2009 to 2018 as a catalyst for increased awareness to examine the effects of social capital on public investment in adaptation. Our findings reveal that linking and bridging social capital levels affect preparedness as communities experience more downpours, while bonding social capital levels have no effect. These results suggest that linking and bridging could steer policymakers toward increased investment, contributing to more resilient and sustainable communities in the face of climate change. Furthermore, social capital may have the potential to shift policymakers’ focus from popular short-term disaster relief spending to long-term preparedness investments.
社会资本是否引导市政当局改善对减少灾害风险和适应气候变化的投资?本文调查了气候变化风险高脆弱性和社会资本特征强的社区是否更有可能投资于气候变化灾害的准备工作。我们利用2009年至2018年智利当地降雨的外生变化作为催化剂,提高人们对社会资本对适应公共投资的影响的认识。我们的研究结果表明,当社区经历更多的暴雨时,连接和桥接社会资本水平会影响准备工作,而连接社会资本水平则没有影响。这些结果表明,联系和衔接可以引导政策制定者增加投资,有助于在气候变化面前建立更具弹性和可持续性的社区。此外,社会资本可能有潜力将决策者的重点从流行的短期救灾支出转向长期备灾投资。
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引用次数: 0
Projected land-use change emissions surpass climate change-induced carbon sinks in Sub-Saharan African biomes 预计的土地利用变化排放超过了撒哈拉以南非洲生物群落中气候变化引起的碳汇
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103039
Dabwiso Sakala, Maria J. Santos
Land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) and climate change (CC) effects on carbon dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) have the potential to transition the region’s carbon balance from sink to source. Future shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) for SSA show high vulnerability to CC, high urbanisation, and cropland and pasture demands expected to rise in the coming decades. Yet the realisations of these pathways may be biome-specific as these are expected to behave differently when it comes to carbon dynamics and also be affected by different demands. Here, we examine the impacts of LULCC and CC on Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE), Net Primary Productivity (NPP), and carbon turnover time of six SSA biomes, namely tropical rainforest, montane forest, moist savanna, dry savanna, temperate grassland and semi-desert, between 2015–2100 for the five SSPs. We performed four simulations where we (i) kept LULCC and CC constant, (ii) varied LULCC and kept CC constant, (iii) kept LULCC constant and varied CC, and (iv) varied both LULCC and CC and calculated their effect on NEE, NPP and carbon turnover time. We find that LULCC effects supersede those of CC, resulting in a net carbon source despite the sink effect of CC. LULCC alone drives major carbon losses across all scenarios, with moist and dry savannas resulting in the strongest carbon sources with cumulative NEE values of 74.93 and 44.85 PgC by 2100 under SSP4. In contrast, CC alone led to consistent carbon sinks across all scenarios in the semi-desert and tropical rainforest, with the strongest sinks observed under SSP5 (−8.36 PgC and − 3.77 PgC, respectively). Moist savanna also acted as a sink under SSP5 (−4.82 PgC) and SSP3 (−1.73 PgC). Combined effects largely reflect LULCC trends, confirming its dominant role in shaping future carbon dynamics. We further observe that intensifying LULCC may decrease biome carbon turnover time by 50 %, especially in tropical rainforests under SSP3 and SSP4. These results suggest that the CC-induced carbon sinks will unlikely dampen the increasing emissions from LULCC in SSA that may not be offset by 2100. Ultimately, our study demonstrates that sustaining SSA as a carbon sink will require urgent, biome-specific land management policies that integrate socioeconomic realities with the region’s evolving climate and development pathways.
撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)土地利用和土地覆盖变化(LULCC)和气候变化(CC)对碳动态的影响有可能使该地区的碳平衡从汇向源转变。SSA未来的共享社会经济路径(ssp)显示出对CC、高度城市化以及预计在未来几十年将增加的耕地和牧场需求的高度脆弱性。然而,这些途径的实现可能是特定于生物群落的,因为当涉及到碳动力学时,这些途径的行为预计会有所不同,也会受到不同需求的影响。2015-2100年,研究了热带雨林、山地森林、湿润稀树草原、干燥稀树草原、温带草原和半荒漠6种SSA生物群落的净生态系统交换(NEE)、净初级生产力(NPP)和碳周转期的变化。我们进行了四种模拟,分别是(i)保持LULCC和CC不变,(ii)改变LULCC并保持CC不变,(iii)保持LULCC不变并改变CC,以及(iv)同时改变LULCC和CC并计算它们对新能源经济、NPP和碳转换时间的影响。研究发现,在SSP4情景下,到2100年,湿热带稀树草原和干热带稀树草原的累积NEE值分别为74.93和44.85 PgC,其净碳损失主要来自于LULCC。相比之下,在半沙漠和热带雨林的所有情景中,CC单独导致了一致的碳汇,其中SSP5情景下的碳汇最强(分别为- 8.36 PgC和- 3.77 PgC)。湿润稀树草原在SSP5 (- 4.82 PgC)和SSP3 (- 1.73 PgC)条件下也具有汇的作用。综合效应在很大程度上反映了LULCC趋势,证实了其在塑造未来碳动态中的主导作用。我们进一步观察到,在SSP3和SSP4下,LULCC的强化可使生物群落碳周转时间减少50%,特别是在热带雨林中。这些结果表明,碳汇不太可能抑制SSA中LULCC增加的排放,到2100年可能无法抵消。最后,我们的研究表明,维持SSA作为碳汇将需要紧急的、针对生物群落的土地管理政策,将社会经济现实与该地区不断变化的气候和发展路径结合起来。
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引用次数: 0
Uncovering decolonial pedagogies for learning agroecological transitions: comparative analysis of South America cases 揭示学习农业生态转型的非殖民化教学法:对南美案例的比较分析
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103042
Michelle Bonatti , Renata Guimarães Reynaldo , Berta Martín-López , Sergio Bolivar , María Cordero-Fernández , Giovanna Chavez Miguel , Adriana Martin , Janika Hämmerle , Barbara Schröter , Carla Erismann , Teresa da Silva Rosa , Jon Hellin , Izabella Schlindwein , Álvaro Acevedo Osorio , Leonardo Medina , Carla Baldivieso , Luca Eufemia , Johanna Jacobi , Ana Maria Lobo Guerrero , Stefan Sieber
Agroecological transitions represent strategic pathways for transforming agricultural systems to meet urgent global sustainability goals. These transitions encompass fundamental changes in social-ecological relationships, knowledge systems, and power dynamics within food systems. However, the mechanisms facilitating such transitions remain insufficiently understood, particularly regarding the diversity and efficacy of pedagogical models employed in existing agroecological initiatives. This knowledge gap is especially pronounced within Global South contexts, especially Latin America, where decolonial approaches hold particular relevance and tradition within effective agroecology initiatives. Using a decolonial lens, this study explores the pedagogical models used in community-led agroecological initiatives in Brazil, Colombia, and Peru. Drawing on semi-structured interviews and workshops (n 140), alongside participant observations, we applied a qualitative archetypes analysis to examine three community-led agroecology initiatives. We identified three distinct but interconnected contextual narratives: a. Living Pedagogies; b. Resistance Pedagogies; and c. Hybrid Pedagogies. Despite these different contextual narratives, they share clear patterns, which allowed us to identify one major archetype − the South pedagogies archetype. The decolonial pedagogy found can be fundamental to accelerate agroecological transitions. Traditional communities in Colombia and Peru have preserved and evolved their agroecology knowledge systems through generations of collective learning, offering profound insights into sustainable food production that transcend the limitations of Western scientific methodologies. In parallel, decolonial pedagogies in the Brazilian case were essential to promote urban agroecological transition that started during the 2000s. These findings inform agroecological transition development based on learning processes that value multiple ways of being.
农业生态转型是改变农业系统以实现紧迫的全球可持续性目标的战略途径。这些转变包括社会生态关系、知识系统和粮食系统内权力动态的根本变化。然而,促进这种转变的机制仍然没有得到充分的了解,特别是在现有农业生态倡议中采用的教学模式的多样性和有效性方面。这种知识差距在全球南方的背景下尤其明显,特别是在拉丁美洲,在那里,非殖民化方法在有效的生态农业倡议中具有特殊的相关性和传统。本研究从非殖民化的角度探讨了巴西、哥伦比亚和秘鲁社区主导的农业生态倡议中使用的教学模式。利用半结构化访谈和研讨会(140年)以及参与者的观察,我们应用定性原型分析来检查三个社区主导的农业生态倡议。我们确定了三种不同但相互关联的语境叙事:a.生活教学法;b.抵抗教学法;c.混合教学法。尽管有这些不同的背景叙述,但它们都有明确的模式,这使我们能够确定一个主要的原型-南方教学法原型。所发现的非殖民化教学法对于加速农业生态转型至关重要。哥伦比亚和秘鲁的传统社区通过几代人的集体学习,保存和发展了他们的农业生态知识体系,为可持续粮食生产提供了超越西方科学方法限制的深刻见解。与此同时,巴西的非殖民化教学法对于促进2000年代开始的城市农业生态转型至关重要。这些发现为基于重视多种生存方式的学习过程的农业生态转型发展提供了信息。
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引用次数: 0
Overshoot, potential air pollution co-benefits and food shortages 超载、潜在的空气污染和粮食短缺
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103040
Li-Jing Liu , Qiao-Mei Liang , Felix Creutzig , Hua Tong , Yu-Xuan Xiao , Xiang-Yan Qian , Hao Wang , Si-Yi Wei , Xiao-Chen Yuan , Biying Yu , Lan-Cui Liu , Yi-Ming Wei
Achieving the 1.5°C target will entail a temporary overshoot, with peak temperatures potentially exceeding 1.7°C before declining towards the end of the century. This study examines how different economic growth patterns, energy transitions, and non-CO2 mitigation strategies influence this trajectory. Our simulations reveal that achieving this target requires confining cumulative CO2 emissions to 220–370 GtCO2 by 2100, with a peak around 2060 of 530–650 GtCO2. Key to success is the transition to net-zero CO2 by 2060 and the implementation of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies. Effective reductions in CH4 and N2O are vital for minimizing additional warming. Significant co-benefits include improved air quality, with SO2 and NOx emissions decreasing by 60–80 %, enhancing public health. However, aggressive climate policies and resulting high fertilizer prices may reduce food crop yields by up to 16.8 %, highlighting the need to integrate climate and agricultural strategies to balance emission reductions with food security and achieve long-term climate and sustainability goals. The deployment of CDR technologies with low land footprint, such as direct air capture, could help alleviate land-based trade-offs.
实现1.5°C的目标将导致暂时的超调,峰值温度可能超过1.7°C,然后在本世纪末下降。本研究考察了不同的经济增长模式、能源转型和非二氧化碳减排战略如何影响这一轨迹。我们的模拟显示,要实现这一目标,需要到2100年将累计二氧化碳排放量限制在220-370亿吨二氧化碳,并在2060年左右达到530-650亿吨二氧化碳的峰值。成功的关键是到2060年过渡到净零二氧化碳,并实施二氧化碳去除(CDR)技术。有效减少CH4和N2O对于最小化额外变暖至关重要。显著的共同效益包括改善空气质量,二氧化硫和氮氧化物排放量减少60 - 80%,促进公众健康。然而,激进的气候政策和由此导致的高化肥价格可能会使粮食作物产量减少16.8%,这突出表明需要将气候和农业战略结合起来,以平衡减排与粮食安全,实现长期气候和可持续性目标。部署具有低土地足迹的CDR技术,例如直接空气捕获,可以帮助减轻基于陆地的权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Heatwave adaptation conditioned by everyday life: Analysing interacting changes to daily activities during Pacific Northwest summers 日常生活条件下的热浪适应:分析太平洋西北夏季日常活动的相互作用变化
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103026
Shiv G. Yücel, Tim Schwanen
As heatwaves increase in intensity, frequency, and duration, there is an urgent need for adaptation to limit their adverse effects on health, well-being, and livelihoods. Heat exposure and adaptive responses during heatwaves are tightly linked to mobility behaviours – the subject of a rapidly growing body of literature. However, knowledge of the processes which shape and constrain opportunities to seek cooling remains limited, as academic research has yet to examine how people alter the various activities of everyday life in response to heatwaves. Addressing this gap, the current paper models these interdependent activity changes simultaneously, shedding light on behavioural adaptations during heatwaves and the underlying structures which condition them. Combining Google Community Mobility Reports, ERA5 climate re-analysis, and socio-economic data across the Pacific Northwest region of North America, the analysis uses a multi-variate multi-level model to examine how anchor (home, work, transit), essential (grocery/pharmacy), and discretionary (retail/recreation, parks) activity change together during summer heatwaves. Focusing on a climatically diverse region and modelling heatwaves as distinct multi-day events, these interdependent responses are explored with the climatic, temporal, and contextual features of heatwaves. Four main conclusions about behavioural adaptation to heatwaves are drawn: (1) A region’s typical climate impacts workplace rigidity and adaptations to non-work activities during heatwaves; (2) Absolute and relative intensities have distinct yet comparably large impacts on behavioural responses; (3) Adaptation evolves over time, both between and within heatwaves; (4) Urban form and socio-economic disparities influence activity trade-offs during heatwaves. By contextualizing heatwaves within people’s everyday lives, this study highlights the diverse, dynamic, and yet constrained processes by which adaptation occurs.
随着热浪的强度、频率和持续时间的增加,迫切需要进行适应,以限制其对健康、福祉和生计的不利影响。热浪期间的热暴露和适应性反应与移动行为密切相关,这是一个快速增长的文献主体。然而,对形成和限制寻求降温机会的过程的了解仍然有限,因为学术研究尚未研究人们如何改变日常生活中的各种活动以应对热浪。为了解决这一差距,目前的论文同时模拟了这些相互依存的活动变化,揭示了热浪期间的行为适应以及影响它们的潜在结构。结合谷歌社区流动性报告、ERA5气候再分析和北美太平洋西北地区的社会经济数据,该分析使用多变量多层次模型来研究夏季热浪期间固定(家庭、工作、交通)、基本(杂货店/药房)和可自由选择(零售/娱乐、公园)活动如何共同变化。以气候多样性区域为重点,将热浪作为不同的多日事件进行建模,通过热浪的气候、时间和背景特征探索这些相互依赖的响应。结果表明:(1)典型气候对工作场所的刚性和对热浪期间非工作活动的适应有影响;(2)绝对强度和相对强度对行为反应的影响不同但也相当大;(3)适应随着时间的推移而演变,在热浪之间和内部都是如此;(4)城市形态和社会经济差异影响热浪期间的活动权衡。通过将热浪置于人们日常生活的背景下,本研究强调了适应发生的多样化、动态但受限的过程。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond property rights: all roads lead to sustainable grassland management 超越产权:所有的道路都通向可持续的草原管理
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103029
Lu Yu , Siyuan Qiu , Qi Chen , Lingling Hou
The impacts of property rights on the sustainable management of natural resources have long been debated, yet a consensus remains elusive. Empirical observations reveal puzzling inconsistency: as similar property regimes produce varying outcomes, whereas different property regimes can lead to similar results. A key reason for this inconsistency is that previous studies have often overlooked the complex causal relationships between property rights and other social, economic and natural factors affecting natural resource uses. This study focuses on pastoral areas in China and explores how grassland property rights, together with adaptive grassland management strategies, and wider socio-economic factors, jointly shape grassland ecosystems. Using data from 129 villages across four major pastoral provinces, we employed fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) to explore the diverse pathways leading to grassland sustainability or degradation and to investigate the complex causal relationships among the factors. This study offers the first empirical, village-level evidence on how property rights affect grassland quality, drawing on data from a nationwide village survey. The results reveal that the relationship between property rights and grassland quality is shaped by the complex interaction between property rights and the broader socioecological context. Beyond the property rights solution, adaptive management strategies emerges as crucial alternatives for enhancing sustainability of grassland, particularly in the face of climate disaster or in communities with limited grassland resources.
产权对自然资源可持续管理的影响长期以来一直存在争议,但仍难以达成共识。经验观察揭示了令人困惑的不一致:相似的财产制度产生不同的结果,而不同的财产制度可能导致相似的结果。造成这种不一致的一个关键原因是,以前的研究往往忽视了产权与影响自然资源利用的其他社会、经济和自然因素之间复杂的因果关系。本研究以中国牧区为研究对象,探讨草原产权、适应性草原管理策略和更广泛的社会经济因素如何共同塑造草原生态系统。本文采用模糊集定性比较分析(fsQCA)方法,对中国4个主要牧区129个村庄的数据进行了分析,探讨了导致草地可持续性或退化的多种途径,并探讨了各因素之间复杂的因果关系。本研究首次在村级层面提供了关于产权如何影响草地质量的实证证据,并利用了一项全国性村庄调查的数据。结果表明,产权与草地质量之间的关系是由产权与更广泛的社会生态背景之间复杂的相互作用形成的。除了产权解决方案之外,适应性管理战略成为加强草地可持续性的重要替代方案,特别是在面临气候灾害或草地资源有限的社区。
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引用次数: 0
Pathways to just conservation: A crisp-set qualitative comparative analysis of environmental defender mobilization in conservation conflicts 公正保护之路:保护冲突中环境保护者动员的脆集定性比较分析
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103030
Raphael Anammasiya Ayambire , Jeremy Pittman , Gideon Abagna Azunre , Cynthia Itbo Musah , Romeo Agominab , Abdul-Salam Jahanfo Abdulai , Owusu Amponsah , Stephen Appiah Takyi
Conservation policies intended to address biodiversity loss and climate change are increasingly linked to land dispossession, human rights violations, and the criminalization of environmental defenders. While prior research has highlighted the risks defenders face, less is known about the strategies and conditions that enable them to succeed. This study uses crisp-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (csQCA) of 25 conservation conflict cases from the Environmental Justice Atlas to identify the pathways through which defenders effectively resist unjust conservation practices. We identify four causal pathways to successful mobilization: two epistemic strategies, where defenders use alternative knowledge mobilization to either strengthen legal claims or build broad coalitions; one preventive strategy focused on early mobilization; and a comprehensive strategy drawing on nearly all conditions, except direct action. Across all pathways, alternative knowledge mobilization, such as defender-led health studies and ecological assessments, plays a central role in successful mobilization, while direct action tactics were notably absent in all successful pathways. These findings challenge assumptions about confrontation as a necessary ingredient for effective resistance and advance new insights into how knowledge politics shape just outcomes in conservation conflicts. As the global conservation community intensifies efforts to safeguard biodiversity and uphold the rights of affected communities, centering the strategies and experiences of environmental defenders is essential to ensuring equitable and effective conservation.
旨在解决生物多样性丧失和气候变化问题的保护政策越来越多地与土地剥夺、侵犯人权和将环境维护者定罪联系在一起。虽然先前的研究强调了防御者面临的风险,但对使他们成功的策略和条件知之甚少。本研究采用脆集定性比较分析(csQCA)对来自环境正义地图集的25个保护冲突案例进行分析,以确定捍卫者有效抵制不公正保护行为的途径。我们确定了成功动员的四种因果途径:两种认知策略,捍卫者使用替代知识动员来加强法律主张或建立广泛的联盟;一项预防战略侧重于早期动员;以及一项综合战略,考虑到除了直接行动之外的几乎所有条件。在所有途径中,替代性知识动员,如捍卫者主导的健康研究和生态评估,在成功的动员中起着核心作用,而在所有成功的途径中明显缺乏直接行动策略。这些发现挑战了对抗是有效抵抗的必要因素的假设,并提出了知识政治如何在保护冲突中塑造公正结果的新见解。随着全球保护界加强保护生物多样性和维护受影响社区权利的努力,以环境维护者的战略和经验为中心,对于确保公平和有效的保护至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change anxiety: A meta-analysis 气候变化焦虑:荟萃分析
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103015
Clara Kühner , Corinna Gemmecke , Joachim Hüffmeier , Hannes Zacher
Climate change anxiety is increasingly prevalent, attracting both scientific and societal interest. However, the potential antecedents and consequences of this phenomenon are not comprehensively understood. This meta-analysis synthesizes 94 studies including 170,747 adult participants from 27 countries, examining 33 correlates of climate change anxiety. We find that: (1) certain groups are more likely to experience climate change anxiety, including younger individuals, women, and individuals with higher levels of neuroticism, as well as people with left-leaning political views, individuals highly concerned about the future or the environment, and those exposed to perceived climate change consequences or frequent climate change information; (2) belief in climate change, climate change risk perceptions, and perceived consensus among climate scientists are positively associated with climate change anxiety; (3) climate change anxiety is negatively related to well-being, but positively related to climate action, with associations surpassing those of generalized anxiety. Implications for supporting vulnerable groups, channeling climate change anxiety into action, and recommendations for future research are discussed.
气候变化焦虑日益普遍,吸引了科学界和社会的兴趣。然而,这一现象的潜在前因后果尚未得到全面了解。这项荟萃分析综合了94项研究,包括来自27个国家的170747名成年人,研究了33种与气候变化焦虑相关的因素。研究发现:(1)特定群体更容易经历气候变化焦虑,包括年轻人、女性和神经质程度较高的个体,以及政治观点左倾的个体、对未来或环境高度关注的个体、暴露于气候变化后果感知或频繁信息的个体;(2)气候变化信念、气候变化风险认知、气候科学家共识感知与气候变化焦虑呈显著正相关;(3)气候变化焦虑与幸福感呈负相关,与气候行动呈正相关,关联度高于广泛性焦虑。讨论了支持弱势群体、将气候变化焦虑转化为行动的意义以及对未来研究的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Enabling sustainable transitions in coal and carbon-intensive regions 促进煤炭和碳密集地区的可持续转型
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-06-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103022
Diana Mangalagiu, Jenny Lieu, Fulvio Biddau, Amanda Martinez Reyes, Baiba Witajewska-Baltvilka
Low-carbon transitions are particularly acute in coal and carbon-intensive regions (CCIRs), which face not only technological and economic barriers but also deep socio-political and cultural obstacles in moving away from carbon lock-in. Transforming these regions requires destabilizing and reconfiguring high-carbon regimes, often demanding structural changes across technological, socio-economic, political, and cultural domains. Despite increased attention to the decline of unsustainable energy systems, much research and policy remain short-sighted, often overlooking paradoxes, trade-offs, and spill-over effects during transitions. This Special Issue addresses the complexity of sustainability transitions in CCIRs from an interdisciplinary social science perspective, drawing on nine original contributions from the TIPPING+ project. The collection introduces advanced concepts, methods, and empirical evidence to better understand and navigate transitions in CCIRs, focusing on Social-Ecological Tipping Points. Through diverse case studies across Europe, Asia, and North America, the articles examine the interplay of forces shaping transition trajectories and highlight their non-linear, multi-scalar, and justice-sensitive nature. The Special Issue introduces frameworks for diagnosing transition states and identifying tipping dynamics, with attention to timing, territoriality, and equity. It further analyzes how political, economic, and governance conditions, as well as place-based narratives and cultural framings, influence the destabilization of carbon lock-ins and the legitimacy and direction of change. Collectively, the articles reframe transitions in CCIRs as embedded, justice-centred, and culturally contested processes, providing actionable insights for research, policy, and planning in sustainability transformations.
低碳转型在煤炭和碳密集型地区尤为严重,这些地区在摆脱碳锁定方面不仅面临技术和经济障碍,还面临深刻的社会政治和文化障碍。改变这些地区需要破坏和重新配置高碳制度,通常需要在技术、社会经济、政治和文化领域进行结构性变革。尽管越来越多的人关注不可持续能源系统的衰落,但许多研究和政策仍然目光短浅,往往忽视了过渡期间的悖论、权衡和溢出效应。本期特刊从跨学科社会科学的角度探讨了ccir可持续转型的复杂性,借鉴了TIPPING+项目的九篇原创文章。该系列介绍了先进的概念、方法和经验证据,以更好地理解和引导ccir的转变,重点是社会生态临界点。通过欧洲、亚洲和北美的不同案例研究,文章考察了形成转型轨迹的各种力量的相互作用,并强调了它们的非线性、多标量和正义敏感性。本期特刊介绍了诊断过渡状态和识别引爆动态的框架,并注意时间、地域和公平性。它进一步分析了政治、经济和治理条件,以及基于地方的叙述和文化框架,如何影响碳锁定的不稳定性以及变化的合法性和方向。总的来说,这些文章将ccir的转型重新定义为嵌入的、以正义为中心的、文化上有争议的过程,为可持续性转型的研究、政策和规划提供了可操作的见解。
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Global Environmental Change
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