Global Environmental Change最新文献_第2页

Doubling of flood-induced bridge asset failure loss in Mozambique under 2050 climate 2050年气候条件下，莫桑比克洪水引起的桥梁资产损失将翻一番

IF 9.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103103

Yaning Qiao , Yaru Guo , Sebastian Rowan , Ricardo Medina , Xavier Espinet , Jonathan Cullen , Fanran Meng , Zhi Cao

Mozambique, often impacted by severe flooding, faces challenges with its bridge networks, particularly due to climate change. Existing methods for evaluating flood-induced bridge asset failure loss lack a comprehensive national level risk assessment that includes a full spectrum of flood events and bridge-specific details. We introduce a new framework that quantifies flood-induced bridge failure loss nationally, incorporating climate change using an equivalent flood return period approach. This framework provides a continuous risk analysis, addressing the shortcomings of discrete flood return periods. Our analysis of 1,210 bridges in Mozambique indicates an annual expected values of bridge asset failure losses equivalent to 0.6 % of its 2021 Gross Domestic Product (GDP), or 83 million dollars. Under a high emission scenario, this loss could increase to 162 million dollars by 2050. The findings highlight the vulnerability of Mozambique’s bridges to floods with return periods of 500 to 1000 years, suggesting the need for revisions of bridge design codes. The framework’s utility extends beyond Mozambique; Other Global South countries can apply it to assess their bridge asset failure risks and strategically enhance bridge resilience. This method improves infrastructure management by identifying high-risk areas and justifying resource allocation for adaptation, enabling proactive responses to flood-induced challenges and enhancing climate resilience.

莫桑比克经常受到严重洪水的影响，其桥梁网络面临挑战，特别是由于气候变化。现有的评估洪水引起的桥梁资产破坏损失的方法缺乏全面的国家层面的风险评估，包括洪水事件的全部范围和桥梁的具体细节。我们引入了一个新的框架，在全国范围内量化洪水引起的桥梁破坏损失，并使用等效洪水重现期方法纳入气候变化。该框架提供了一个连续的风险分析，解决了离散洪水回归期的缺点。我们对莫桑比克1210座桥梁的分析表明，桥梁资产失效损失的年预期价值相当于其2021年国内生产总值（GDP）的0.6%，即8300万美元。在高排放情景下，到2050年，这一损失可能增加到1.62亿美元。研究结果强调了莫桑比克桥梁在500年到1000年的洪水面前的脆弱性，这表明需要修订桥梁设计规范。该框架的效用超出了莫桑比克；其他全球南方国家可以将其应用于评估其桥梁资产失效风险，并从战略上增强桥梁弹性。该方法通过识别高风险地区、合理分配适应资源、主动应对洪水引发的挑战和增强气候适应能力，改善了基础设施管理。

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引用次数: 0

Who do we trust on climate change, and why? 在气候变化问题上，我们应该信任谁？为什么？

IF 9.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103096

Sarah MacInnes , Matthew J. Hornsey , Christian Bretter , Samuel Pearson , Kelly S. Fielding , David Bersoff

Trust in climate communicators is a critical determinant of whether the public accepts and acts upon climate change information. Yet most research to date has focused on who is trusted, with less attention to why certain messengers are deemed trustworthy. Using survey data from 6479 participants across 13 countries, this study examines (1) which sources of climate information are trusted, (2) what features make a communicator trustworthy, and (3) how these judgments differ between climate change believers and skeptics. Scientists were the most trusted sources among climate believers, but overall, the most trusted sources are informal and identity-based: “friends and family” and “people like me.” Across the sample, trust was predicted not only by demographic variables but also by specific communicator features: most notably clarity, shared values, sincerity, and being respectful of opposing views. Believers and skeptics prioritized different features, underscoring that trust is not a universal response but shaped by ideological identity. These findings reveal the layered and audience-contingent nature of trust in climate communication. By identifying the features that drive trust across different audiences, this study offers practical guidance for communicators interested in tailoring messages and messengers to more effectively engage the public on climate action.

对气候传播者的信任是公众是否接受气候变化信息并据此采取行动的关键决定因素。然而，到目前为止，大多数研究都集中在谁是值得信任的，而很少关注为什么某些信使被认为是值得信任的。利用来自13个国家的6479名参与者的调查数据，本研究检验了(1)哪些气候信息来源是可信的，(2)哪些特征使传播者值得信赖，以及(3)气候变化信仰者和怀疑论者的这些判断有何不同。科学家是气候信仰者中最信任的消息来源，但总体而言，最受信任的消息来源是非正式的、基于身份的：“朋友和家人”以及“像我这样的人”。在整个样本中，信任不仅由人口统计变量预测，还由具体的沟通者特征预测：最明显的是清晰、共同的价值观、真诚和尊重反对意见。信仰者和怀疑论者优先考虑不同的特征，强调信任不是一种普遍的反应，而是由意识形态认同形成的。这些发现揭示了气候传播中信任的层次性和受众偶然性。通过确定推动不同受众之间信任的特征，本研究为有意定制信息和信使以更有效地吸引公众参与气候行动的传播者提供了实用指导。

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引用次数: 0

Advancing sustainability in data-sparse landscapes using a water-energy-food nexus approach 利用水-能源-粮食关系方法促进数据稀疏景观的可持续性

IF 9.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103104

Donald O. Akanga , Nathan J. Moore , Kyla M. Dahlin , Dan Wanyama

Increasing pressure on natural resources in the last decades has led to a growing need for balance between preserving ecosystems and meeting human needs. However, sustainability is frustratingly difficult to measure due to its spatially specific nature and data deficiencies. Water, energy, and food (WEF) are critical sectors required to sustain human livelihoods. Yet, these sectors are highly susceptible to pressures associated with climate change and other anthropogenic pressures which in turn threaten socio-ecological sustainability. Vulnerable populations in developing countries are disproportionately affected by these pressures. For example, changes in precipitation (water) influence agricultural yields (food), which in turn increase human influence on the environment in terms of energy consumption (more use of charcoal and wood). Using a WEF nexus framework, we assess the socio-ecological sustainability of the Greater Mau Forest Complex, an important yet fragile ecosystem in southwest Kenya, from 1990 to 2021. By integrating remote sensing, field interviews, and historical crop yield data, we address challenges of data scarcity in assessing socio-ecological systems. Our analysis reveals shifting landscape composition and corresponding climate trends over the past three decades, alongside their parallels with socio-ecological balance and community vulnerability to climate change. We find compounding effects of prolonged dry conditions, erratic onset of growing seasons, declining crop productivity, and intensifying dependence on bioenergy – factors that interact to destabilize the WEF nexus. Our findings underscore the urgency of nexus-based interventions to enhance resilience in ecologically sensitive regions.

在过去的几十年里，自然资源面临的压力越来越大，因此越来越需要在保护生态系统和满足人类需求之间取得平衡。然而，由于其空间特殊性和数据不足，可持续性难以衡量。水、能源和粮食（WEF）是维持人类生计所需的关键部门。然而，这些部门极易受到与气候变化和其他人为压力有关的压力的影响，这些压力反过来又威胁到社会生态的可持续性。发展中国家的弱势群体受到这些压力的影响尤为严重。例如，降水（水）的变化影响农业产量（粮食），这反过来又增加了人类在能源消耗方面对环境的影响（更多地使用木炭和木材）。利用世界经济论坛联系框架，我们评估了1990年至2021年肯尼亚西南部一个重要但脆弱的生态系统——大茂森林复合体的社会生态可持续性。通过整合遥感、实地访谈和历史作物产量数据，我们解决了评估社会生态系统中数据稀缺的挑战。我们的分析揭示了过去三十年来景观组成的变化和相应的气候趋势，以及它们与社会生态平衡和社区对气候变化的脆弱性的相似之处。我们发现，长期的干旱条件、生长季节的不稳定、作物生产力的下降以及对生物能源的依赖加剧，这些因素相互作用，破坏了世界经济论坛关系的稳定。我们的研究结果强调了采取基于网络的干预措施来增强生态敏感地区的恢复力的紧迫性。

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引用次数: 0

Public spending on health care, education, and sanitation is linked to lower deforestation in the Peruvian Amazon: new empirical support for the climate debt framework 医疗、教育和卫生方面的公共支出与秘鲁亚马逊地区森林砍伐减少有关：气候债务框架的新经验支持

IF 9.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103089

Ashwin Ravikumar , Sara Zhu

This paper offers the first empirical assessment of the relationship between deforestation and spending on social services centered in the Peruvian Amazon. We use a spatially explicit regression model to analyze the relationship between social spending and deforestation at the district level across the Peruvian Amazon. We find that districts with higher levels of spending on health care, education, and sanitation exhibit less deforestation on average, implying that unconditional funding for social services can serve as the basis for sound ecological policy. We then use further ethnographic, interview, and focus group data from the Amazonian districts of Echarate, Puerto Bermúdez, and Callería to shed light on how funding social services work to reduce deforestation. While Echarate and Puerto Bermúdez are similar in terms of ecology and population density, Echarate has a much higher budget due to natural gas levies. Respondents in Echarate indicated that a more robust social service net made deforestation and cash crop expansion less attractive. By contrast, in Puerto Bermúdez, many people aspired to an agrarian capitalist future with expanded cash crop plantations and hired labor as a means to build a better future for their families. Meanwhile, the case of Callería shows how conventional approaches to conservation have been fundamentally orthogonal to people’s basic needs. We conclude by encouraging political ecologists and scholars of convivial conservation approaches like Conservation Basic Income to critically support unconditional funding for basic services as part of a global just transition, aligned with the climate debt framework.

本文首次对以秘鲁亚马逊地区为中心的森林砍伐与社会服务支出之间的关系进行了实证评估。我们使用空间显式回归模型分析了秘鲁亚马逊地区社会支出与森林砍伐之间的关系。我们发现，医疗、教育和卫生支出水平较高的地区平均森林砍伐较少，这意味着无条件为社会服务提供资金可以作为健全生态政策的基础。然后，我们进一步使用来自埃查拉特、波多黎各Bermúdez和Callería亚马逊地区的人种学、访谈和焦点小组数据，以阐明如何为社会服务提供资金以减少森林砍伐。虽然Echarate和Puerto Bermúdez在生态和人口密度方面相似，但由于天然气税，Echarate的预算要高得多。印度的答复者表示，一个更健全的社会服务网络会降低毁林和经济作物扩张的吸引力。相比之下，在波多黎各Bermúdez，许多人渴望农业资本主义的未来，扩大经济作物种植园，雇佣劳动力，作为为家庭建立更美好未来的手段。与此同时，Callería的案例表明，传统的保护方法与人们的基本需求是如何从根本上不相干的。最后，我们鼓励政治生态学家和研究保护基本收入（conservation Basic Income）等生态保护方法的学者，严格支持无条件资助基本服务，作为全球公正转型的一部分，与气候债务框架保持一致。

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引用次数: 0

Enhancing climate resilience of global dryland maize to cope with future 50-year climate warming 提高全球旱地玉米气候适应能力，应对未来50年气候变暖

IF 9.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103088

Jing Wang , Bao-Zhong Wang , Fei Mo , Yinglong Chen , Mohammad Ashraf , Yang Wang , Jian-Ming Li , Hai-Xia Duan , Yajie Song , Levis Kavagi , Hong-Yan Tao , You-Cai Xiong

It is crucial to enhance climate resilience of global dryland maize to cope with future 50-year warming scenarios (2030–2079), including SSP2-4.5 (medium emission) and SSP5-8.5 (high emission). We first calibrated and validated the AquaCrop model using observational data of field production with plastic film mulching (water-saving) and without mulching (CK) across 2019 and 2020. Subsequently, we used the validated AquaCrop model to simulate and predict maize biomass and seed yield based on different sowing dates and mulching patterns, employing historical climate data (1995–2019) and projected data under future climate scenarios. The results indicated that, relative to historical period, biomass and seed yields would decline by 5.9 % and 16.5 % under CK, but increase by 22.2 % and 21.0 % under plastic film mulching over the next 50 years under global warming, respectively. The stability and sustainability index of biomass yield would decline in CK, yet significantly increase under mulching. Seed yield would decline from SSP2-4.5 to SSP5-8.5, while biomass yield would elevate significantly. Relative to historical period, under plastic film mulching, optimal planting date window (OPDW) for seed production would be averagely extended by 2.8 days under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, which is significantly shorter than the averagely extended OPDW for biomass production under future climate scenarios (7.6 days). Mulching strategy enables crops to better adapt to severe fluctuations of precipitation, temperature, and solar radiation than CK. Therefore, biomass-led, rather than seed-led, mulching production strategy promises future climate resilience and sustainability of global dryland maize, particularly under high emission scenario.

提高全球旱地玉米应对未来50年气候变暖情景（2030-2079）的气候适应能力至关重要，包括SSP2-4.5（中等排放）和SSP5-8.5（高排放）。我们首先使用2019年和2020年覆盖地膜（节水）和不覆盖地膜（CK）的田间生产观测数据对AquaCrop模型进行了校准和验证。随后，我们使用经过验证的AquaCrop模型，利用1995-2019年的历史气候数据和未来气候情景下的预测数据，对不同播种日期和覆盖方式的玉米生物量和种子产量进行了模拟和预测。结果表明：在全球变暖的背景下，未来50 a，对照历史时期，CK处理的生物量和种子产量将分别下降5.9%和16.5%，而地膜覆盖将分别增加22.2%和21.0%。生物量产量的稳定性和可持续性指数在对照处理下呈下降趋势，在覆盖条件下呈显著上升趋势。种子产量从SSP2-4.5下降到SSP5-8.5，生物量产量显著提高。与历史时期相比，在地膜覆盖下，SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5情景下，种子生产的最佳种植日期窗（OPDW）平均延长了2.8 d，显著短于未来气候情景下生物质生产的最佳种植日期窗（OPDW）的平均延长（7.6 d）。覆盖策略使作物比CK能更好地适应降水、温度和太阳辐射的剧烈波动。因此，生物量主导而非种子主导的覆膜生产战略保证了全球旱地玉米未来的气候适应能力和可持续性，特别是在高排放情景下。

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引用次数: 0

How do developing countries estimate their climate finance needs under the Paris Agreement? 发展中国家如何估计其在《巴黎协定》下的气候资金需求？

IF 9.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103087

Abdulrasheed Isah , Florian Egli , Anna Stünzi , Tobias Schmidt

Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) are central to the Paris Agreement, serving as both pledges of climate ambition and platforms for articulating climate finance needs. However, how developing countries quantify these needs and the influencing factors remain poorly understood. Using an inductive research design based on expert interviews, we identify domestic and international factors influencing how countries estimate finance needs in their NDCs. Political institutions and the strategic perceptions of policymakers regarding NDCs – either as negotiation tools or investment plans – influence the specificity of climate finance needs estimates. Limited technical capacity and stakeholder engagement are important constraints in several countries. Meanwhile, international factors such as negotiating groups and consultants contribute to more detailed costing of climate finance when enabled by supportive policy environments. We propose a typology describing the spectrum of NDC archetypes, reflecting the interaction between domestic and international factors, as well as bottom-up and top-down estimation approaches. Our findings underscore that climate finance quantification is both technical and political, with implications for transparency and resource mobilization potential of future NDCs. Policymakers should remove barriers to obtaining granular sectoral and climate data, demonstrate political commitment, and strengthen collaborations with subnational levels. Capacity-building initiatives should strengthen the institutional and stakeholder foundations of detailed NDCs. Climate finance consultants should prioritize knowledge transfer and sustained collaboration with domestic institutions.

国家自主贡献（NDCs）是《巴黎协定》的核心，既是气候雄心的承诺，也是阐明气候资金需求的平台。然而，发展中国家如何量化这些需求和影响因素仍然知之甚少。采用基于专家访谈的归纳研究设计，我们确定了影响各国如何估计其国家自主贡献资金需求的国内和国际因素。政治制度和决策者对国家自主贡献的战略认识——无论是作为谈判工具还是作为投资计划——都会影响气候融资需求估算的特殊性。在一些国家，有限的技术能力和利益攸关方参与是重要的制约因素。与此同时，在支持性政策环境的支持下，谈判小组和顾问等国际因素有助于更详细地计算气候融资成本。我们提出了一个描述NDC原型光谱的类型学，反映了国内和国际因素之间的相互作用，以及自下而上和自上而下的估计方法。我们的研究结果强调，气候资金量化既涉及技术层面，也涉及政治层面，对未来国家自主贡献的透明度和资源调动潜力都有影响。决策者应消除获取行业和气候数据的障碍，展示政治承诺，并加强与次国家层面的合作。能力建设倡议应加强详细的国家自主贡献的体制和利益攸关方基础。气候融资顾问应优先考虑知识转移和与国内机构的持续合作。

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引用次数: 0

Heatwaves and violence against women: a spatial analysis of female homicides in Brazil 热浪与对妇女的暴力：巴西女性凶杀案的空间分析

IF 9.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103085

Luan Marca , Marco Tulio Aniceto Franca , Jessica Antunes Oliveira , Kamila da Silva Baum

This study examines the association between heatwaves and female homicides in Brazil, using data from 5,341 municipalities (representing 95% of the country) from 2001 to 2021. Spatial econometric models are applied, and the results reveal a positive association between rising temperatures and the incidence of female homicides, with notable “hot spots” of domestic violence in the Northeast and Southeast regions. The preferred model explains approximately 43% of the variation in female homicides, reinforcing the robustness of the estimates. The research also shows that lower gender wage gaps and higher job stability are associated with reduced rates of female homicides. Overall, the findings indicate that climatic stressors such as heatwaves are associated with increased risks of violence against women, particularly in contexts of socioeconomic vulnerability. The study highlights that public policies aimed at addressing climate-related risks and promoting women’s economic empowerment may contribute to reducing this form of violence in a warming climate.

本研究利用2001年至2021年巴西5341个城市（占全国95%）的数据，研究了热浪与巴西女性凶杀案之间的关系。应用空间计量模型分析发现，气温上升与女性凶杀发生率呈正相关，东北和东南地区家庭暴力“热点”显著。首选模型解释了大约43%的女性凶杀案的差异，加强了估计的稳健性。研究还表明，性别工资差距的缩小和工作稳定性的提高与女性凶杀率的降低有关。总体而言，研究结果表明，热浪等气候压力因素与妇女遭受暴力侵害的风险增加有关，特别是在社会经济脆弱的背景下。该研究强调，旨在应对气候相关风险和促进妇女经济赋权的公共政策可能有助于在气候变暖的情况下减少这种形式的暴力。

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引用次数: 0

Synergistic long-range decision support for integrated green-grey flood management 绿灰洪水综合治理的协同远程决策支持

IF 9.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103086

Ghazi Al-Rawas , Mohammad Reza Nikoo , Mohammad Reza Hassani , Seyyed Farid Mousavi Janbehsarayi , Mohammad Hossein Niksokhan

This study presents a novel framework for evaluating the long-term resiliency of flood management strategies in complex nonurban-urban watersheds, with a focus on the synergy between grey and green infrastructure. The methodology involves simulating hydrological conditions of both upstream and downstream areas using the SWMM model, followed by a two-stage scenario generation approach. The first stage optimizes the implementation of detention dams in the upstream nonurban region, while the second stage focuses on optimizing Green Infrastructure (GI) in the downstream urban area. By integrating grey and green flood control measures, a total of 2500 combined scenarios were generated and tested under extreme hurricane conditions to assess their resilience and economic feasibility. The results highlight that higher investments in both detention dams and GI significantly enhance system resiliency, and leads to faster recovery after flood events. Strategies with greater infrastructure investment maintained higher performance throughout sequential flood events, and exhibited smaller reductions in effectiveness during peak events. Conversely, lower-cost strategies experienced greater performance degradation. Then, using resilience performance threshold, we identified high-performing strategies and employed the Condorcet method to select the optimal scenario that balances long-term resiliency with cost-effectiveness. The selected strategy reduced peak flow at the urban area’s entrance by 85.7% and decreased local urban flood volume by 65.5%. Our research underscores the critical role of integrated grey-green infrastructure in achieving long-term flood resilience. Also, this framework provides decision-makers with actionable insights for designing cost-effective, high-resilience flood management strategies that consider both economic and community benefits.

本研究提出了一个新的框架，用于评估复杂的非城市-城市流域洪水管理策略的长期弹性，重点关注灰色和绿色基础设施之间的协同作用。该方法包括使用SWMM模型模拟上游和下游地区的水文条件，然后采用两阶段情景生成方法。第一阶段优化上游非城市区域滞洪坝的实施，第二阶段重点优化下游城市区域的绿色基础设施（GI）。通过整合灰色和绿色防洪措施，共生成了2500个组合方案，并在极端飓风条件下进行了测试，以评估其弹性和经济可行性。研究结果表明，对滞洪坝和地理特征的更高投资显著提高了系统的弹性，并导致洪水事件后更快的恢复。基础设施投资较大的策略在连续的洪水事件中保持较高的性能，并且在高峰事件期间显示出较小的有效性降低。相反，低成本策略的性能下降更大。然后，利用弹性绩效阈值，我们确定了高绩效策略，并采用Condorcet方法选择了平衡长期弹性和成本效益的最佳方案。所选择的策略使城市入口处的峰值流量减少了85.7%，使当地城市洪流量减少了65.5%。我们的研究强调了综合灰绿色基础设施在实现长期抗洪能力方面的关键作用。此外，该框架为决策者提供了可操作的见解，以设计成本效益高、高弹性的洪水管理策略，同时考虑到经济和社区效益。

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引用次数: 0

The politics of coastal erosion in Sicily: Concrete infrastructures and the economy of disaster 西西里岛海岸侵蚀的政治：混凝土基础设施和灾难经济

IF 9.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103076

Silja Klepp

This paper analyses how coastal governance and coastal protection infrastructure in Sicily are driven by specific interests that produce and stabilise unsustainable coastal protection practices and contribute to a coastal ‘disaster capitalism’. The driving logics of the coastal ‘disaster economy’ are rooted in mafia socionatures and rationalities of speculation and are reinforced by the widespread belief that coastal protection requires large-scale cement infrastructure. This belief is based on a dualistic divide between nature and culture and on narratives of controlling the sea. As these narratives appear to be consensual in Sicily, unsustainable coastal protection infrastructures become not only possible, but publicly desirable. The article is based on an analytical lens of political ecology and on extensive ethnographic research. I have also developed a tentative transformative research approach. This approach is based on the idea of shaping more just and sustainable coastal futures through public engagement and through art-based methods. Together with photographer Barbara Dombrowski, our vision was to create a space where the issue of coastal erosion could be discussed with reference to the photographs. The photos were taken during a joint research trip and in collaboration with local people. Alongside the ethnographic analysis, the photographs offer a fresh perspective on coastal erosion, one that emphasises the political and economic interests of powerful actors rather than the engineering perspectives that otherwise dominate. The photographs are currently being exhibited at various locations in Sicily, alongside public panel discussions.

本文分析了西西里岛的海岸治理和海岸保护基础设施是如何受到特定利益的驱动的，这些利益产生并稳定了不可持续的海岸保护实践，并促成了沿海的“灾难资本主义”。沿海“灾难经济”的驱动逻辑植根于黑手党社会和投机的理性，并被普遍认为沿海保护需要大规模水泥基础设施的信念所强化。这种信念是基于自然与文化的二元分裂，以及控制海洋的叙事。由于这些叙述在西西里岛似乎是共识，不可持续的沿海保护基础设施不仅成为可能，而且成为公众的愿望。本文以政治生态学的分析视角和广泛的民族志研究为基础。我还开发了一种试探性的变革性研究方法。这种方法是基于通过公众参与和以艺术为基础的方法来塑造更公正和可持续的沿海未来的想法。与摄影师Barbara Dombrowski一起，我们的愿景是创造一个可以参考照片讨论海岸侵蚀问题的空间。这些照片是在一次联合研究旅行中与当地人合作拍摄的。除了民族志分析，这些照片还提供了一个关于海岸侵蚀的新视角，它强调了强大角色的政治和经济利益，而不是其他主导的工程视角。这些照片目前正在西西里岛的不同地点展出，同时还有公众小组讨论。

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引用次数: 0

Emerging pathways in climate litigation: Transnational justice and the Global South 气候诉讼的新途径：跨国司法和全球南方

IF 9.1 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Global Environmental Change

Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103084

Harikrishnan Ramesh Varma , Rahul B. Hiremath , Ravi Sharma

The Global South asserts its influence in the global climate discourse, challenging entrenched power structures and advocating for equitable solutions to climate change. Climate litigation is increasingly being used as a tool to address climate-related harms. Traditional climate litigation frameworks narrowly define ‘Global South Docket’ as cases filed within domestic courts of the Global South, overlooking transnational cases that address harm in the Global South but are filed in international courts or Global North jurisdictions. To address this gap, we introduce the concept of a Latent Global South Docket, encompassing cases with significant ties to the Global South regardless of jurisdiction. Through the systematic clustering of 831 cases filed between 1994 and 2023, the study identifies the emerging pathways in transnational climate litigation that underline the critical intersection of climate justice and sustainable development.

全球南方主张其在全球气候话语中的影响力，挑战根深蒂固的权力结构，倡导公平解决气候变化问题。气候诉讼越来越多地被用作解决气候相关危害的工具。传统的气候诉讼框架将“全球南方诉讼”狭隘地定义为在全球南方国家的国内法院提起的案件，忽略了在国际法院或全球北方司法管辖区提起的涉及全球南方国家损害的跨国案件。为了解决这一差距，我们引入了潜在的全球南方摘要的概念，包括与全球南方有重大联系的案件，而不管管辖权如何。通过对1994年至2023年间提交的831起案件的系统聚类，该研究确定了跨国气候诉讼的新途径，这些途径强调了气候正义与可持续发展的关键交叉点。

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