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Transitioning to a Hyperledger Fabric Quantum-Resistant Classical Hybrid Public Key Infrastructure 过渡到超级账本结构抗量子经典混合公钥基础设施
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-07-31 DOI: 10.31585/JBBA-2-2-(4)2019
Robert Campbell
This research has two parts; the first is to identify enterprise Hyperledger Fabric (HLF) blockchain cybersecurity vulnerabilities, threats, and legal obligations in a Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) world. HLF is a permissioned blockchain designed by IBM and uses Public Key Infrastructure (PKI), for digital signatures, and digital identities (X.509 certificates), which are critical to the operational security of its network. On 24 January 2019, Aetna, Anthem, Health Care Service Corporation, PNC Bank, and IBM announced collaboration to establish a blockchain-based ecosystem for the healthcare industry [1]. Quantum computing poses a devasting impact on PKI and estimates of its large-scale commercial arrival should not be underestimated and cannot be predicted. The HIPAA (Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act) and General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), requires “reasonable” measures to be taken to protect Protected Health Information (PHI), and Personally Identifiable Information (PII). However, HLF’s ecosystem is not post-quantum resistant, and all data that is transmitted over its network is vulnerable to immediate or later decryption by large scale quantum computers. The second part of this research is the independent evaluation and testing of National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), based Second Round Candidate PQC, lattice-based digital signature scheme, qTESLA. It’s, second-round submission is much improved, however; its algorithm characteristics and parameters are such that it is unlikely to be a quantum-resistant “as is,” simple “plug-and-play” function and replacement for HLF’s PKI. This work also proposes qTESLA’s public keys be used to create a quantum-resistantclassical hybrid PKI near-term replacement.
本研究分为两个部分;第一个是确定企业超级账本结构(HLF)区块链网络安全漏洞、威胁和后量子加密(PQC)世界中的法律义务。HLF是由IBM设计的许可区块链,并使用公钥基础设施(PKI)进行数字签名和数字身份(X.509证书),这对其网络的操作安全性至关重要。2019年1月24日,Aetna、Anthem、Health Care Service Corporation、PNC Bank和IBM宣布合作建立一个基于区块链的医疗行业生态系统[1]。量子计算对PKI造成了毁灭性的影响,对其大规模商业到来的估计不应被低估,也无法预测。HIPAA(健康保险流通与责任法案)和通用数据保护条例(GDPR)要求采取“合理”措施来保护受保护的健康信息(PHI)和个人身份信息(PII)。然而,HLF的生态系统并不具有后量子抗性,通过其网络传输的所有数据都容易被大规模量子计算机立即或稍后解密。本研究的第二部分是美国国家标准与技术研究院(NIST)的独立评估和测试,基于第二轮候选PQC,基于格子的数字签名方案,qTESLA。然而,第二轮的提交有了很大的改进;它的算法特征和参数是这样的,它不太可能成为一个抗量子的“现状”,简单的“即插即用”功能,也不太可能取代HLF的PKI。这项工作还建议使用qTESLA的公钥来创建一个抗量子的经典混合PKI的近期替代品。
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引用次数: 9
Singapore’s Open Digital Token Offering Embrace: Context & Consequences 新加坡开放数字代币发行拥抱:背景与后果
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-06-28 DOI: 10.31585/JBBA-2-2-(3)2019
R. Greene, David Lee Kuo Chuen
The overall global public’s ability to purchase some portion of a digital token project’s initial batch of tokens is the defining feature of an open digital token offering. Using a dataset that differentiates this token distribution model from other varieties – a distinction often underemphasised in regional analyses of digital token sale trends – this research estimates 2017-18 open digital token offering activity by jurisdiction, finding that Singapore-registered projects accounted for 21 percent of Q3/Q4 2018 dollar-volume, more than any other country. Conversely, by late 2018, previous hubs of this distribution model represented a much smaller share. Reasons for Singapore’s rise as a global hub of the open digital token offering are explored, with a particular focus on examining contrasting regulatory approaches to distinguishing between this token distribution model and traditional securities offerings. Notably, 11 percent of Singapore-registered Q3/Q4 2018 token offering dollar-volume was purely-private, versus 94 percent in the U.S. Policy considerations related to this distribution method and the open digital token offering are presented, as are contrasting outcomes: this research estimates that over 70 percent of Singapore’s one-to-two-year-old open token offerings resulted in operational networks or minimum-viable-products, versus fewer than 40 percent of U.S. private sales. Also, about 40 percent of smart contract platform projects that conducted 2017-18 token sales were Singapore-registered – many more than in any other country. For reasons explored in this research, these findings support the view that open digital token offerings benefit projects aiming to concurrently raise funds, build up a user-base, and incentivise technologists to contribute to project development. Moreover, risks to retail participants posed by this distribution method are manageable. Singapore’s policy approach towards open digital token offerings has benefited the Lion City, which was likely home to more digital token projects that conducted 2018 token sales than any other city in the world.
全球公众购买数字代币项目初始代币的一部分的能力是开放数字代币产品的定义特征。该研究使用了一个将这种代币分布模型与其他品种区分开来的数据集——这一区别在数字代币销售趋势的区域分析中往往被低估——该研究估计了2017-18年按司法管辖区划分的开放数字代币发行活动,发现新加坡注册的项目占2018年第三季度/第四季度美元交易量的21%,高于其他任何国家。相反,到2018年底,这种分销模式的前几个中心所占的份额要小得多。本文探讨了新加坡作为开放数字代币发行的全球中心崛起的原因,特别侧重于研究对比的监管方法,以区分这种代币发行模式和传统证券发行。值得注意的是,在新加坡注册的2018年第三季度/第四季度代币发行美元交易量中,有11%是纯私人的,而在美国,与这种分配方法和开放数字代币发行相关的政策考虑为94%,对比结果是:这项研究估计,超过70%的新加坡一到两年的开放代币发行导致运营网络或最低可行产品,而美国私人销售的比例不到40%。此外,在2017-18年进行代币销售的智能合约平台项目中,约有40%是在新加坡注册的,比其他任何国家都要多。由于本研究探讨的原因,这些发现支持这样一种观点,即开放的数字代币产品有利于旨在同时筹集资金,建立用户基础并激励技术人员为项目开发做出贡献的项目。此外,这种分销方式给零售参与者带来的风险是可控的。新加坡对开放数字代币发行的政策方针使狮城受益,狮城可能是2018年进行代币销售的数字代币项目的所在地,比世界上任何其他城市都要多。
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引用次数: 7
Cryptocurrency Investing Examined 研究加密货币投资
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-05-28 DOI: 10.31585/JBBA-2-2-(2)2019
J. Liew, R. Li, T. Budavári, Avinash Sharma
In this work we examine the largest 100 cryptocurrency return series ranging from 2015 to early 2018. We concentrate our analysis on daily returns and find several interesting stylized facts. First, principal components analysis reveals a complex return generating process. As we examine our data in the most recent year, we find that surprisingly more than one principal component appears to explain the cross-sectional variation in returns. Second, similar to hedge fund returns, cryptocurrency returns suffer from the “beta-in-the-tails” hidden risk. Third, we find that predicting cryptocurrency movements with machine learning and artificial intelligence algorithms is marginally attractive with variation in predictability power per cryptocurrency. Fourth, lower volatile cryptocurrencies are slightly more predictable than more volatile ones. Fifth, evidence exists that efficacy of distinct information sets varies across machine learning algorithms, showing that predictability may be much more complex given a set of machine learning algorithms. Finally, short-term predictability is very tenuous, which suggests that near-term cryptocurrency markets are semi-strong form efficient and therefore, day trading cryptocurrencies may be very challenging.Keywords: cryptocurrency, blockchain, machine learning, bitcoin, beta-in-the-tails, risks
在这项工作中,我们研究了2015年至2018年初期间最大的100个加密货币回报系列。我们将分析集中在日收益上,并发现了几个有趣的程式化事实。首先,主成分分析揭示了一个复杂的收益生成过程。当我们检查最近一年的数据时,我们发现令人惊讶的是,不止一个主成分似乎可以解释收益率的横截面变化。其次,与对冲基金的回报类似,加密货币的回报也存在“尾部贝塔”(beta-in- tail)隐性风险。第三,我们发现用机器学习和人工智能算法预测加密货币的走势在每个加密货币的可预测能力变化的情况下是有吸引力的。第四,波动性较低的加密货币比波动性较大的加密货币更具可预测性。第五,有证据表明,不同信息集的有效性因机器学习算法而异,这表明,给定一组机器学习算法,可预测性可能要复杂得多。最后,短期可预测性非常微弱,这表明短期加密货币市场是半强势的,因此,日内交易加密货币可能非常具有挑战性。关键词:加密货币,区块链,机器学习,比特币,beta-in- tail,风险
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引用次数: 32
Full Text PDF of The JBBA Vol 2, Issue 1, May 2019 《JBBA》第2卷第1期,2019年5月全文PDF
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-05-04 DOI: 10.31585/jbba-2-1-(8)2019
N. Naqvi
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引用次数: 0
The Application of Behavioural Heuristicsto Initial Coin Offerings Valuation and Investment 行为启发式在首次代币发行估值和投资中的应用
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-04-12 DOI: 10.31585/JBBA-2-1-(7)2019
Maxwell Stanley
Blockchain projects have seen a rush of investment in the form of Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) in 2016 and 2017, yet little is understood about how to valuate these projects. This research explored the application of behavioural heuristics to ICO valuation and investing. Identified were six variables that may impact investment decision making due to key behavioural biases. These variables - coin value, market capitalisation, ease of understanding, market sentiment, maximum ICO bonus level, and pre ICO social media levels - were analysed using Pearson’s Correlation against return on investment (ROI). The data was collected from numerous ICO websites and Twitter. Fundamental analysis was taken from Coincheckup due to it being a major source of information for many retail investors and using a well-defined methodology. Sentiment data was collected from Twitter and assessed using Crimson Hexagon’s social sentiment analysis tool. Ease of understanding was evaluated using AWS Blockchain business canvas. All information was compiled into a single dataset and the top 47 projects in terms of ROI were utilised for this research. Ease of understanding was found to be significantly correlated with ROI. Ease of understanding was then combined with fundamental analysis to develop a hybrid model of evaluation for cryptocurrency projects. This model substantially outperformed fundamental analysis alone, with a 33.6% improvement on ROI. In conclusion, current methods of fundamental analysis for blockchain projects are an inadequate method for capturing their full potential future value. Investors lacking appropriate tools and with limited knowledge and experience - along with the relatively recent advent of cryptocurrencies - are being influenced by behavioural factors such as ease of understanding. It is therefore important that investors and entrepreneurs alike take such factors into consideration.
2016年和2017年,区块链项目以首次代币发行(ico)的形式出现了投资热潮,但人们对如何评估这些项目知之甚少。本研究探讨了行为启发式在ICO估值和投资中的应用。由于关键的行为偏差,确定了可能影响投资决策的六个变量。这些变量——币价值、市值、易理解程度、市场情绪、ICO最高奖金水平和ICO前的社交媒体水平——使用Pearson’s Correlation against investment return (ROI)进行分析。这些数据是从众多ICO网站和Twitter上收集的。基本面分析来自Coincheckup,因为它是许多散户投资者的主要信息来源,并使用了明确的方法。情绪数据是从Twitter上收集的,并使用Crimson Hexagon的社会情绪分析工具进行评估。使用AWS区块链业务画布评估易于理解性。所有信息被汇编成一个单一的数据集,在投资回报率方面排名前47位的项目被用于这项研究。易理解性与ROI显著相关。然后,将易于理解与基础分析相结合,开发了一种用于加密货币项目评估的混合模型。该模型的表现明显优于单独的基本面分析,ROI提高了33.6%。总而言之,目前区块链项目的基础分析方法不足以捕捉其全部潜在的未来价值。缺乏适当工具、知识和经验有限的投资者,以及相对较新出现的加密货币,正受到易理解性等行为因素的影响。因此,投资者和企业家都必须考虑到这些因素。
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引用次数: 6
Parameters for Building Sustainable Blockchain Application Initiatives 建立可持续区块链应用计划的参数
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-04-08 DOI: 10.31585/JBBA-2-1-(6)2019
Lewis Laidin, K. Papadopoulou, N. Dane
Despite the demand and interest for the blockchain technology, there are still major challenges for blockchain application initiatives (projects and ventures) to be sustainable and reliable. While starting a non-blockchain initiative already comes with its own sets of challenges and has around 50% failure rate, starting a blockchain initiative rises the rate to 90% due to additional variables and confusion on top of this. Such a situation deters innovators and eventually dampens innovation, requiring priority for actions. This paper attempts to contribute by compiling and outlining the various key variables to be considered, as a set of parameters for blockchain initiators. Through secondary data collection: literature reviews, report studies and primary data collection: interventional and observational case study, interviews with blockchain researchers, businesses and entrepreneurs, this paper categorises variables into blockchain-related and business-related categories, outlining consideration points for each of the variables. By summarising and integrating the variables and referring to theories of innovation and adoption, it is concluded that concept validation entailing both initiative feasibility and user- demand, is of key importance for blockchain innovations.
尽管人们对区块链技术有需求和兴趣,但区块链应用计划(项目和企业)要实现可持续和可靠,仍然面临重大挑战。虽然启动一个非区块链计划已经有了自己的一系列挑战,并且失败率约为50%,但由于额外的变量和混乱,启动一个区块链计划的失败率将上升到90%。这种情况阻碍了创新者,最终抑制了创新,需要优先采取行动。本文试图通过编译和概述要考虑的各种关键变量作为区块链发起者的一组参数来做出贡献。通过二次数据收集:文献综述、报告研究和一次数据收集:干预和观察案例研究,对区块链研究人员、企业和企业家的访谈,本文将变量分为与区块链相关的类别和与业务相关的类别,概述了每个变量的考虑点。通过总结和整合变量,并参考创新和采用理论,得出的结论是,涉及倡议可行性和用户需求的概念验证对区块链创新至关重要。
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引用次数: 2
Evaluation of Post-Quantum Distributed Ledger Cryptography 后量子分布式账本密码学评价
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-03-16 DOI: 10.31585/JBBA-2-1-(4)2019
Robert Campbell
This paper evaluates the current cybersecurity vulnerability of the prolific use of Elliptical Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (**ECDSA**) cryptography in use by the Bitcoin Core, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, and enterprise blockchains such as Multi-Chain and Hyperledger projects Fabric, and Sawtooth Lake. These blockchains are being used in media, health, finance, transportation and government with little understanding, acknowledgment of the risk and no known plans for mitigation and migration to safer public-key cryptography. The second aim is to evaluate ECDSA against the threat of **Quantum Computing** and propose the most practical National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Post-Quantum Cryptography candidate algorithm lattice-based cryptography countermeasure that can be implemented near-term and provide a basis for a coordinated industry-wide lattice-based public-key implementation. Commercial quantum computing research and development is rapid and unpredictable, and it is difficult to predict the arrival of fault-tolerant quantum computing. The current state of covert and classified quantum computing research and advancement is unknown and therefore, it would be a significant risk to blockchain and Internet technologies to delay or wait for the publication of draft standards. Since there are many hurdles Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) must overcome for standardisation, coordinated large-scale testing and evaluation should commence promptly.
本文评估了当前比特币核心、以太坊、比特币现金和企业区块链(如多链和超级账本项目Fabric和锯齿湖)使用的椭圆曲线数字签名算法(**ECDSA**)加密技术的大量使用所带来的网络安全漏洞。这些区块链被用于媒体、卫生、金融、交通和政府,但人们对风险知之甚少,也没有任何已知的缓解计划,也没有向更安全的公钥加密迁移。第二个目标是评估ECDSA对量子计算的威胁,并提出最实用的美国国家标准与技术研究所(NIST)后量子加密候选算法基于格的加密对策,该对策可以在近期实施,并为协调的全行业基于格的公钥实施提供基础。商业量子计算的研究和发展是快速和不可预测的,很难预测容错量子计算的到来。秘密和机密量子计算研究和进展的现状是未知的,因此,延迟或等待标准草案的发布将对区块链和互联网技术构成重大风险。由于后量子密码学(PQC)的标准化需要克服许多障碍,因此应迅速开展协调的大规模测试和评估。
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引用次数: 28
JBBA: Creating a Global Impact JBBA:创造全球影响力
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.31585/jbba-2-2-(post-265)2019
N. Naqvi
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引用次数: 0
Blockchain Research: Engaging at Scale with the Communities that Matter 区块链研究:大规模参与重要社区
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.31585/jbba-2-2-(post-266)2019
N. Naqvi
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引用次数: 0
Valuation Method of Equity-based Security Token Offerings (STO) for Start-Up Companies 初创公司基于股权的证券型通证产品(STO)的估值方法
Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.31585/JBBA-2-1-(2)2019
J. Pazos
The major difficulty to value equity security token offerings (STOs) is the gap in the corpus of finance theory to quantify the discount rate for start-up companies. In this paper, we develop a novel valuation method of equity-based securities token offerings (STO) for start-up companies. The closed-form discount rate function discovered in this paper is time-dependent and piecewise. The first part of the function is exponential; the second part is a power function. The reason is that, in the early years, the probability of survival of start-up firms descends more rapidly than in late years. The probability of survival function discovered has a remarkably good fit with empirical data- for the total of firms and ten industry sectors for which data is available. For the total of firms, we found that the highest discount rate has a 27.0 to 31.8% range when the liquidation value of the non-surviving start-up project is zero; this is considerably higher than observed discount rates of projects for mature firms (7.5%) but considerably less than some published discount rates for start-up projects financed by Venture Capital firms (40.6 to 70% range). To demonstrate the model, we work a valuation example in section six. A valuation method for equity STOs will help to develop a more transparent market for start-ups wanting to raise capital. Most importantly, our results show that for many start-up firms, equity STOs could be an economical alternative to raise capital.
对股权证券型通证产品(sto)进行估值的主要困难是金融理论语料库在量化初创公司的贴现率方面存在差距。在本文中,我们为创业公司开发了一种新的基于股权的证券代币发行(STO)估值方法。本文所发现的闭型贴现率函数是时变的、分段的。函数的第一部分是指数的;第二部分是幂函数。原因是,在创业初期,初创公司的生存几率比后期下降得更快。所发现的生存概率函数与经验数据非常吻合——对于所有公司和十个可获得数据的行业部门而言。对于所有企业,我们发现当破产创业项目的清算价值为零时,最高的贴现率为27.0 ~ 31.8%;这远高于观察到的成熟公司项目贴现率(7.5%),但远低于一些公布的由风险投资公司资助的初创项目贴现率(40.6%至70%不等)。为了演示该模型,我们在第6节中使用一个估值示例。股权sto的估值方法将有助于为希望筹集资金的初创企业建立一个更透明的市场。最重要的是,我们的研究结果表明,对于许多初创公司来说,股权sto可能是一种经济的融资选择。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
The Journal of The British Blockchain Association
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