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France’s security strategy for the 21st century 21世纪法国的安全战略
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.21638/spbu06.2022.101
R. Zieba
After the end of the Cold War, France issued the first document defining its national security strategy only in 1994. In the following years, despite its involvement in NATO and European Union enlargement, France did not publish any documents defining its security strategy. Only when Europe and the world found themselves in the process of reconfiguration of the international order at the end of the first decade of the 21st century did France begin to issue extensive documents defining its defense and national security strategy. As international terrorism became the greatest threat to France, the first document published in 2006 dealt with its position regarding this global phenomenon. Subsequently, White Papers on Defense and National Security were published in 2008 and 2013, followed by the Strategic Review of Defense and National Security in 2017. These documents define threats and challenges to the security of France, as well as its goals, and means and methods for strengthening it. They make up a broad understanding of the security of the state, society and the individuals, and international security. They show the programming of France as a European and world power. The author draws attention to some similarities and differences with the national security strategy of the Russian Federation. The analysis is conducted using the neorealist approach.
冷战结束后,法国直到1994年才发布了第一份确定其国家安全战略的文件。在接下来的几年里,尽管法国参与了北约和欧盟的东扩,但它没有发表任何确定其安全战略的文件。直到21世纪第一个十年结束时,欧洲和世界才发现自己处于国际秩序重构的过程中,法国才开始发布大量文件,确定其国防和国家安全战略。随着国际恐怖主义成为法国面临的最大威胁,2006年发表的第一份文件阐述了法国对这一全球现象的立场。随后,分别于2008年和2013年发表《国防与国家安全白皮书》,2017年发表《国防与国家安全战略评估报告》。这些文件确定了对法国安全的威胁和挑战,以及加强法国安全的目标、手段和方法。它们构成了对国家、社会和个人安全以及国际安全的广泛理解。它们展示了法国作为欧洲和世界强国的规划。作者提请注意与俄罗斯联邦国家安全战略的一些异同。分析是用新现实主义的方法进行的。
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引用次数: 2
China’s strategy toward Central Asia: interests, principles and policy tools 中国的中亚战略:利益、原则和政策工具
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/spbu06.2019.102
Feng Yujun
In nearly 30 years since the collapse of the Soviet Union, China and the five Central Asian countries have formed a strategic partnership of equal trust and mutual benefit. China’s interests in Central Asia focus on maintaining security in border areas, combating terrorism and extremism, gaining access to stable energy supplies, and expanding overseas markets and investment returns. In the course of its communication with the Central Asian countries, China claims its deep commitment to such principles as peaceful coexistence of all nations, non-use of pressure, military force or threats, mutual respect, refraining from establishing a sphere of influence and promotion of regional peace and development. The main policy tools for China to pursue its grand strategy in Central Asia include properly handling border issues, eliminating potential conflicts, developing good-neighborly and friendly relations with Central Asian countries. In order to achieve mutual benefit and win-win situation, China will continuously upgrade the level of strategic partnership, actively develop economic cooperation and energy cooperation with Central Asian countries. In addition, China will develop comprehensive cooperation with Central Asian countries through the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, balancing the interrelationships with Russia, the United States and other international actors (including some intergovernmental organizations) in Central Asia.
苏联解体近30年来,中国与中亚五国建立了平等互信、互利共赢的战略伙伴关系。中国在中亚的利益主要集中在维护边境地区安全、打击恐怖主义和极端主义、获得稳定的能源供应、扩大海外市场和投资回报等方面。在与中亚国家交往的过程中,中国始终坚持各国和平共处、不使用压力、武力或威胁、相互尊重、不建立势力范围、促进地区和平与发展等原则。中国实施中亚大战略的主要政策手段是妥善处理边境问题,消除潜在冲突,发展与中亚国家的睦邻友好关系。为实现互利共赢,中国将不断提升与中亚国家战略伙伴关系水平,积极发展与中亚国家的经济合作和能源合作。此外,中国将通过上海合作组织发展与中亚国家的全面合作,平衡与俄罗斯、美国和其他国际行为体(包括一些政府间组织)在中亚的相互关系。
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引用次数: 3
Political Influence of Online Platforms: YouTube’s Place in European Politics 网络平台的政治影响:YouTube在欧洲政治中的地位
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.21638/spbu06.2021.206
Y. Kolotaev, Konrad Kollnig
Social media platforms are today one of the primary means of political expression and campaigning. The growing entanglement of politics with the online sphere raises interest in how these new types of media shape the social and political reality. While previous research tends to focus on Twitter and Facebook, limited works exists on the political influence of YouTube. This is even though YouTube is the second-most visited website and provides unique ways of engaging users and disseminating political messages through the combination of rich communication functionality with immersive audio-visual media content. Unfortunately, the influence of social media platforms such as YouTube on politics is difficult to analyse, due a lack of transparency and qualitative data. Independent researchers and the public have limited ways to access meaningful statistics about the video service. This article derives a taxonomy to classify YouTube’s ways of political influence from a case-study-driven analysis of YouTube in the European political landscape. Our taxonomy aligns with traditional theoretical concepts from media effects theory, particularly framing, priming and agenda-setting. We provide a brief discussion of the current regulatory landscape in the EU, and highlight gaps that might need improvement. We conclude by considering the question of whether YouTube is a political actor.
如今,社交媒体平台是政治表达和竞选活动的主要手段之一。政治与网络领域的纠缠日益加深,引发了人们对这些新型媒体如何塑造社会和政治现实的兴趣。虽然之前的研究倾向于关注Twitter和Facebook,但关于YouTube的政治影响的研究有限。尽管YouTube是访问量第二高的网站,并且通过将丰富的沟通功能与沉浸式视听媒体内容相结合,提供吸引用户和传播政治信息的独特方式。不幸的是,由于缺乏透明度和定性数据,YouTube等社交媒体平台对政治的影响很难分析。独立研究人员和公众获取有关视频服务的有意义统计数据的途径有限。本文通过对YouTube在欧洲政治格局中的案例分析,推导出一种分类方法,对YouTube的政治影响方式进行分类。我们的分类与媒体效应理论的传统理论概念保持一致,特别是框架、启动和议程设置。我们对欧盟当前的监管格局进行了简要的讨论,并强调了可能需要改进的差距。最后,我们考虑YouTube是否是一个政治行动者的问题。
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引用次数: 0
The “images of Versailles” and the transformations of international relations in Europe after 1989–1990: views of Western European and US experts “凡尔赛的形象”与1989-1990年后欧洲国际关系的转变:西欧和美国专家的观点
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/spbu06.2019.302
I. Magadeev
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引用次数: 0
Evolution of the US — Russia relations in the area of international information security: A retrospective study 美俄关系在国际信息安全领域的演变:回顾研究
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.21638/spbu06.2022.203
E. Zinovieva, Inna O. Yanikeeva
In November 2021, Russia and the United States submitted a draft joint resolution on international information security to the UNGA First Committee, which was a significant victory for Russian diplomacy in the formation of an international information security regime. For a long time, Russian-American relations in the field of international information security have been developing on the basis of a confrontational model, while these two states are the most active actors in the global information sphere. The general trends in the formation of an international information security regime depend on the nature of relations between countries. The article presents a historical analysis of cooperation between Moscow and Washington in the digital environment and assesses the impact of the historical experience of interaction on the prospects for the development of bilateral cooperation in the field of international information security. Methodologically, the authors base the research from the theory of defensive realism, according to which the factor of perception of the priority of threats to international information security is an important factor in bilateral interaction. The more significant threats are perceived from the point of view of national security, the more likely is the development and deepening of international cooperation aimed at shaping the rules of conduct in this area. The article examines the evolution of threats to international information security in historical retrospect. Based on the perception of the priority of threats, the evolution of the formats of bilateral interaction in the field of international information security is shown. It has been proved that the perception of the priority of threats in the field of international information security contributes to the development and deepening of bilateral cooperation, which in the future can develop into a full-fledged regime of international information security, based on the rules of responsible behavior of states in the global information space.
2021年11月,俄罗斯和美国向联大第一委员会提交了国际信息安全联合决议草案,这是俄罗斯外交在构建国际信息安全机制方面取得的重大胜利。长期以来,俄美在国际信息安全领域的关系一直在对抗模式的基础上发展,两国是全球信息领域最活跃的行动者。国际信息安全机制形成的总体趋势取决于国家间关系的性质。本文对莫斯科和华盛顿在数字环境下的合作进行了历史分析,并评估了互动的历史经验对国际信息安全领域双边合作发展前景的影响。在方法论上,作者基于防御现实主义理论进行研究,根据该理论,对国际信息安全威胁优先级的感知因素是双边互动的重要因素。从国家安全的角度看,威胁越严重,就越有可能发展和深化旨在制定这一领域行为规则的国际合作。文章回顾了国际信息安全威胁的历史演变。基于对威胁优先级的认识,展示了国际信息安全领域双边互动形式的演变。事实证明,对国际信息安全领域威胁的优先次序的认识有助于双边合作的发展和深化,未来可以发展成为基于全球信息空间国家负责任行为规则的完整的国际信息安全制度。
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引用次数: 0
Why Yalta-Potsdam order has not been revised? 为什么没有修改雅尔塔-波茨坦订单?
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/spbu06.2019.210
N. Tsvetkova
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引用次数: 0
David Chandler’s analysis of resilience-thinking and political realism in international relation 大卫·钱德勒对国际关系中的弹性思维与政治现实主义的分析
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/spbu06.2019.104
N. Gudalov
Resilience is an increasingly popular concept used to explore how systems respond to various challenges. It has been actively used in International Relations. Here, resilience has been analyzed in predominantly postmodernist terms. Yet, I take resilience-thinking, as explored by one of its leading scholars, David Chandler, and show that it has some affinities with political realism, understood, contra stereotypes, as a complex tradition of political reflection. I also apply the insights gained to the recent overarching turn to resilience in the EU’s external action. The article demonstrates that the novel stress of resilience-thinking on the complexity of the contemporary world is very important, but that it is useful to contextualize it and relate it, if in part, to the age-old concerns of the realist tradition, and to identify similar strengths and problems in both approaches. Both resilience-thinking and realism have drawn our attention to the plural aspect of politics. However, they may face problems concerning elements of relativism, a claim to know the ‘reality’ best, the use of fixed categories, irresponsibility, and the reification of an understanding of reality as a permanent crisis. All these strengths and problems will likely play out in the EU’s external action and even its internal development.
弹性是一个越来越流行的概念,用于探索系统如何应对各种挑战。它在国际关系中得到了积极的应用。在这里,人们主要用后现代主义的术语来分析弹性。然而,我以由其主要学者之一大卫·钱德勒(David Chandler)所探索的弹性思维为例,表明它与政治现实主义有一些相似之处,被理解为一种复杂的政治反思传统,与刻板印象相反。我还将这些见解应用于最近欧盟对外行动的总体转向弹性。本文表明,弹性思维对当代世界复杂性的新强调是非常重要的,但将其置于背景中并将其部分地与现实主义传统的古老关切联系起来,并确定两种方法中相似的优势和问题是有用的。弹性思维和现实主义都把我们的注意力吸引到了政治的多元方面。然而,他们可能会面临一些问题,包括相对主义的元素、声称最了解“现实”、使用固定的范畴、不负责任,以及把对现实的理解具体化为一种永久的危机。所有这些优势和问题都可能在欧盟的对外行动甚至内部发展中发挥作用。
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引用次数: 0
How physicians influenced Dutch nuclear weapon policies: A civil society case-study 医生如何影响荷兰的核武器政策:一个民间社会案例研究
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.21638/spbu06.2021.407
P. Buijs
This case study describes activities from the Dutch Association for Medical Polemology (IPPNW- affiliate NVMP-Physicians for Peace) from 1969 onwards, focused primarily on recent strategies, employed by civil society, to influence Dutch policies regarding the urgency of abolishing nuclear weapons due to their unacceptable medical and humanitarian consequences. By itself and together with other civil society organisations, NVMP promoted an active Dutch nuclear disarmament policy, specifically regarding the Non-Proliferation Treaty with its Article- VI Global Zero-obligations, and the United Nations’ Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW). Several achievements of the NVMP are highlighted, from the Medical Appeal (2015) to the 50th anniversary Congress (Hague Peace Palace, November 26, 2019) and its aftermath. After presenting his major findings and conclusions, the author shares some experience- based, policy-oriented recommendations about the specific physicians’ position and their medical-humanitarian message, followed by suggestions on strategies for reaching out to politicians, decision-makers, and statesmen that can help IPPNW affiliates elsewhere, and other civil society organizations, who are promoting a nuclear weapon-free world. Finally, the author petitions to repeat successful early 1980s Russian-American IPPNW initiatives, which were directly aimed at their political leaders. The article concludes with the presentation of one initiative.
本案例研究描述了荷兰医学论战协会(IPPNW-附属机构nmp -和平医生协会)自1969年以来开展的活动,主要侧重于民间社会最近采取的战略,以影响荷兰关于废除核武器的紧迫性的政策,因为核武器造成了不可接受的医疗和人道主义后果。NVMP本身并与其他民间社会组织一起,推动了荷兰积极的核裁军政策,特别是关于《不扩散条约》及其第六条全球零义务和《联合国禁止核武器条约》(TPNW)的政策。会议重点介绍了国家抗疫方案的几项成就,从医疗呼吁(2015年)到50周年大会(2019年11月26日,海牙和平宫)及其后续活动。在介绍了他的主要发现和结论之后,作者就医生的具体立场及其医疗人道主义信息分享了一些基于经验、面向政策的建议,随后提出了与政治家、决策者和政治家接触的策略建议,这些建议可以帮助世界其他地方的IPPNW附属机构和其他促进无核武器世界的民间社会组织。最后,作者请求重复1980年代早期成功的俄美IPPNW倡议,这些倡议直接针对其政治领导人。文章最后提出了一项倡议。
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引用次数: 0
The geopolitical origins of Russian strategic culture and its enlightenment in China 俄国战略文化的地缘政治渊源及其对中国的启示
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.21638/spbu06.2022.402
Lizhi Qin
The main challenge for Russia in the post-Cold War era is that the geographical space available for strategic autonomy has been greatly compressed. Due to the checks and balances of Western powers, the security panic of neighboring countries, and the decline of its own strength after the disintegration of the Soviet Union, it is difficult to maintain the Strategic control model. Russia is torn between imperial historical traditions and nation-state strategic narratives. Will Russia return to the imperial age? The investigation of the geopolitical mechanism of Russian strategic culture is helpful to study and judge its regular behavior pattern. Continental identity, flanking position, and terrestrial claim tradition are three variables which have shaped Russia’s strategic culture. At the same time, the pursuit of sea power, the yearning for modernization in the heartland, and the wise shrinking of tough external forces have verified the logic that Russia’s strategic culture will be adjust dynamically with the change of relative power status and strategic environment. Russian strategic culture shapes strategic motivation dominated by fear and exerts indirect and nonlinear influence on strategic behavior including strategic intention. Risk aversion/risk-taking, the two decision-making preferences for dealing with geopolitical risks, are caused by differences in the degree of fear of power status and the external environment. Through the historical practice of Russian strategic culture investigation, the author believes that: if the current and future development trends show a negative expected trend, then Russia will make necessary revisions to the existing historical experience to suit the current strategic situation. The process-tracking study of Russian imperial history since Peter the Great also verifies the theoretical inferences of this study from case studies. The study of Russian strategic culture will help to promote the deepening and expansion of cooperation between China and Russia. Although the cooperation between the two countries started from the geopolitical pressure of the global strategic offensive of the United States, the beneficial dialogue and communication at the strategic and cultural level can transcend the historical normalcy of the cooperation between the two countries forced by the external geopolitical threats and shape the strategic stability of China and Russia.
俄罗斯在后冷战时代面临的主要挑战是,战略自治的地理空间已被大大压缩。由于西方列强的制衡、周边国家的安全恐慌以及苏联解体后自身实力的下降,战略控制模式难以维持。俄罗斯在帝国历史传统和民族国家战略叙事之间左右为难。俄罗斯会回到帝国时代吗?考察俄罗斯战略文化的地缘政治机制,有助于研究和判断其规律的行为模式。大陆认同、侧翼位置和陆地主张传统是塑造俄罗斯战略文化的三个变量。同时,对海权的追求、对中心地带现代化的向往、对强大外部力量的明智收缩,都验证了俄罗斯战略文化将随着相对实力地位和战略环境的变化而动态调整的逻辑。俄罗斯战略文化塑造了以恐惧为主导的战略动机,对包括战略意图在内的战略行为产生间接的、非线性的影响。风险规避/冒险是应对地缘政治风险的两种决策偏好,是由对权力地位的恐惧程度和外部环境的差异造成的。通过对俄罗斯战略文化考察的历史实践,笔者认为:如果当前和未来的发展趋势呈现出消极的预期趋势,那么俄罗斯将对现有的历史经验进行必要的修正,以适应当前的战略形势。对彼得大帝以来俄罗斯帝国历史的过程跟踪研究也从个案研究中验证了本文的理论推论。对俄罗斯战略文化的研究有助于促进中俄合作的深化和拓展。虽然两国的合作始于美国全球战略攻势的地缘政治压力,但在战略和文化层面的有益对话和沟通可以超越外部地缘政治威胁所迫使的两国合作的历史常态,塑造中俄的战略稳定。
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引用次数: 0
Technology platform competition between the United States and China: Decoupling and sanctions against Huawei 中美技术平台竞争:脱钩与对华制裁
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.21638/spbu06.2021.401
S. Tkachenko, Natalia Zhiglinskaya Wyrsch, Zheng Cui
Decoupling, defined as the deliberate and state-directed severing of economic ties between the world’s two largest economies (the USA and China), is one of the most studied phenomena of contemporary international relations. The growing confrontation between the political systems and military machines of the United States and China extends into the economic sphere and increasingly affects the field of high technology. A number of experts consider the conflict of the modern superpowers for the leading position in the field of the new technologies as a manifestation of techno-nationalism, a new type of mercantilism that plays a key role in industrial policy and world trade of the leading economies of the planet. The article is focused on the new generation of interstate conflict, in which the technological giants act as proxy institutions of U. S. and Chinese state power. The distinctive feature of this new type of conflict is its overtly nonviolent nature. It manifests itself in the use by both sides of tools borrowed from economic sanctions and trade wars of the past. The China — US rivalry in the development and implementation of the latest technologies is a non-military reincarnation of the thermonuclear arms race of the Cold War era. Nowadays the most economically powerful states of the planet, led by the USA, choose instruments of economic coercion to protect the existing status quo in the global system. Such measures allow them to adapt elements of the arms race and power rivalry of past eras to modern conditions.
脱钩,被定义为世界上最大的两个经济体(美国和中国)之间有意和国家主导的经济联系的切断,是当代国际关系中研究最多的现象之一。美国和中国的政治制度和军事机器之间日益加剧的对抗延伸到经济领域,并日益影响到高技术领域。一些专家认为,现代超级大国争夺新技术领域领先地位的冲突是技术民族主义的表现,是一种新型的重商主义,在全球主要经济体的产业政策和世界贸易中起着关键作用。这篇文章关注的是新一代的国家间冲突,在这场冲突中,科技巨头充当了美国和中国国家权力的代理机构。这种新型冲突的显著特点是其明显的非暴力性质。这表现在双方都在使用从过去的经济制裁和贸易战中借来的工具。中美在发展和应用最新技术方面的竞争,是冷战时期热核军备竞赛的非军事版。如今,以美国为首的世界上经济最强大的国家,选择经济胁迫的工具来保护全球体系的现有现状。这些措施使它们能够使过去时代的军备竞赛和权力竞争的因素适应现代条件。
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引用次数: 0
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Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. International relations
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