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A model of temporal and spatial river network evolution with climatic inputs 气候输入下河网时空演化模式
Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1174570
Allen G. Hunt, Behzad Ghanbarian, Boris Faybishenko
Predicting the temporal and spatial evolution of the river network is part of the Earth's critical zone investigations, which has become an important endeavor. However, modeling integration of the river network and critical zone over millions of years is rare. We address the problem of how to predict integrated river length development as a function of time within a framework of addressing the critical zone depth as a function of time. In case of groundwater-river interaction, we find a non-linear spatio-temporal scaling relationship between time, t , and total river length L , given by t ≈ L p with power p being near 1.2. The basis of our model is the presumption that groundwater flow paths are relevant to river integration. As river integration may proceed over disconnected basins with irregular relief, the relevant optimal subsurface flow paths are proposed to be defined within a 3D network, with optimal path exponent 1.43. Because the 2D model of the river length has already been shown to relate to a power of the Euclidean distance across a drainage basin with the predicted universal optimal path exponent from percolation theory, D opt = 1.21, the optimal groundwater paths should relate to the surface river length with an exponent equaling the ratio 1.43/1.21 = 1.18. To define a predictive relationship for the river length, we need to use specific length and time scales. We assume that the fundamental specific length scale is a characteristic particle size (which is commonly used to define the pore scale flow network), and the fundamental time scale is the ratio of the particle size to the regional groundwater flow rate. In this paper, we consider cases of predicting spatio-temporal scaling of drainage organization in the southwestern USA–the Amargosa, Mojave, Gila (and its tributaries) and the Rio Grande, and Pecos Rivers. For the Mojave and Gila Rivers, theoretical results for time scales of river integration since ca. 10 Ma are quite predictive, though the predicted time scales exceed observation for the Rio Grande and Pecos.
河网时空演变预测是地球关键带研究的重要内容之一,已成为地球关键带研究的重要内容。然而,对河网和临界带进行数百万年的综合建模是罕见的。在解决临界带深度作为时间函数的框架内,我们解决了如何预测作为时间函数的综合河流长度发展的问题。在地下水-河流相互作用的情况下,我们发现时间、t和河流总长度L之间存在非线性时空标度关系,即t≈L p,幂p接近1.2。我们的模型的基础是假设地下水流道与河流整合有关。考虑到河流整合可能在不规则地形的断连流域进行,建议在三维网络中定义相应的最优地下流道,最优路径指数为1.43。由于河流长度的二维模型已经被证明与跨流域的欧几里得距离的幂有关,并与渗流理论预测的通用最优路径指数D opt = 1.21有关,因此最优地下水路径应该与地表河流长度有关,其指数等于1.43/1.21 = 1.18。为了确定河流长度的预测关系,我们需要使用特定的长度和时间尺度。我们假设基本比长尺度为特征粒径(通常用于定义孔隙尺度流网络),基本时间尺度为粒径与区域地下水流速之比。本文以美国西南部的阿玛戈萨河、莫哈韦河、吉拉河(及其支流)、里奥格兰德河和佩科斯河为例,对流域组织的时空尺度进行了预测。对于莫哈韦河和吉拉河来说,大约10 Ma以来河流整合的时间尺度的理论结果具有很强的预测性,尽管预测的时间尺度超过了格兰德河和佩科斯河的观测结果。
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引用次数: 0
The contribution of remote sensing and input feature selection for groundwater level prediction using LSTM neural networks in the Oum Er-Rbia Basin, Morocco 遥感和输入特征选择对摩洛哥Oum Er-Rbia盆地LSTM神经网络地下水位预测的贡献
Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1241451
Tarik Bouramtane, Marc Leblanc, Ilias Kacimi, Hamza Ouatiki, Abdelghani Boudhar
The planning and management of groundwater in the absence of in situ climate data is a delicate task, particularly in arid regions where this resource is crucial for drinking water supplies and irrigation. Here the motivation is to evaluate the role of remote sensing data and Input feature selection method in the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural network for predicting groundwater levels of five wells located in different hydrogeological contexts across the Oum Er-Rbia Basin (OER) in Morocco: irrigated plain, floodplain and low plateau area. As input descriptive variable, four remote sensing variables were used: the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals (IMERGE) Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) precipitation, Moderate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), MODIS land surface temperature (LST), and MODIS evapotranspiration. Three LSTM models were developed, rigorously analyzed and compared. The LSTM-XGB-GS model, was optimized using the GridsearchCV method, and uses a single remote sensing variable identified by the input feature selection method XGBoost. Another optimized LSTM model was also constructed, but uses the four remote sensing variables as input (LSTM-GS). Additionally, a standalone LSTM model was established and also incorporating the four variables as inputs. Scatter plots, violin plots, Taylor diagram and three evaluation indices were used to verify the performance of the three models. The overall result showed that the LSTM-XGB-GS model was the most successful, consistently outperforming both the LSTM-GS model and the standalone LSTM model. Its remarkable accuracy is reflected in high R 2 values (0.95 to 0.99 during training, 0.72 to 0.99 during testing) and the lowest RMSE values (0.03 to 0.68 m during training, 0.02 to 0.58 m during testing) and MAE values (0.02 to 0.66 m during training, 0.02 to 0.58 m during testing). The LSTM-XGB-GS model reveals how hydrodynamics, climate, and land-use influence groundwater predictions, emphasizing correlations like irrigated land-temperature link and floodplain-NDVI-evapotranspiration interaction for improved predictions. Finally, this study demonstrates the great support that remote sensing data can provide for groundwater prediction using ANN models in conditions where in situ data are lacking.
在缺乏现场气候数据的情况下规划和管理地下水是一项微妙的任务,特别是在干旱地区,地下水资源对饮用水供应和灌溉至关重要。本文的目的是评估遥感数据和输入特征选择方法在长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络中的作用,以预测位于摩洛哥Oum Er-Rbia盆地(OER)不同水文地质背景下的5口井的地下水位:灌溉平原,洪泛区和低高原地区。本文采用综合多卫星检索(IMERGE)全球降水测量(GPM)降水、中分辨率成像光谱辐射计(MODIS)归一化植被指数(NDVI)、MODIS地表温度(LST)和MODIS蒸散发4个遥感变量作为输入描述变量。建立了三种LSTM模型,并进行了严格的分析和比较。LSTM-XGB-GS模型使用GridsearchCV方法进行优化,并使用输入特征选择方法XGBoost识别的单个遥感变量。构建了另一个优化的LSTM模型,该模型采用4个遥感变量作为输入(LSTM- gs)。此外,建立了一个独立的LSTM模型,也将这四个变量作为输入。利用散点图、小提琴图、泰勒图和三个评价指标验证了三种模型的性能。总体结果表明,LSTM- xgb - gs模型是最成功的,始终优于LSTM- gs模型和独立LSTM模型。其显著的准确性体现在较高的r2值(训练期间为0.95 ~ 0.99,测试期间为0.72 ~ 0.99),最低的RMSE值(训练期间为0.03 ~ 0.68 m,测试期间为0.02 ~ 0.58 m)和MAE值(训练期间为0.02 ~ 0.66 m,测试期间为0.02 ~ 0.58 m)。LSTM-XGB-GS模型揭示了水动力学、气候和土地利用如何影响地下水预测,强调了灌溉土地温度联系和漫滩- ndi -蒸散发相互作用等相关性,以改进预测。最后,本研究表明,在缺乏原位数据的情况下,遥感数据可以为利用人工神经网络模型进行地下水预测提供巨大的支持。
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引用次数: 1
Social movements in defense of public water services: the case of Spain 捍卫公共供水服务的社会运动:以西班牙为例
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1200440
J. V. D. Berge, Luca Scheunpflug, J. Vos, R. Boelens
In several cities and regions in Spain there has been a fight against privatization of water supply in the past decade. Some cities have decided to re-municipalise water supply and debates about implementing the human right to water and sanitation have been held in many parts of Spain, following the success of the Right2Water European Citizens' Initiative. This paper examines how the European “Right2Water” movement influenced struggles for access to and control over water in Spain from a political ecology perspective. It explores how “Right2Water” fuelled the debate on privatization and remunicipalization of water services and what heritage it has left in Spain. We unfold relationships with and between water movements in Spain—like the Red Agua Publica—and relationships with other networks—like the indignados movement and subsequently how water protests converged with austerity protests. In different places these struggles took different shapes. By deploying five case studies (Madrid, Valladolid, Terrassa, Barcelona, and Andalucía), we look at how the human right to water and sanitation framework served as a tool for social and water justice movements. Struggles for water justice in Spain are ongoing and we seek to identify the temporarily outcomes of these struggles, and whether power balances in Spain's water services provision have shifted in the past decade.
在过去的十年里,西班牙的几个城市和地区一直在反对供水私有化。一些城市已决定将供水重新市民化,在Right2Water欧洲公民倡议取得成功后,西班牙许多地方举行了关于落实用水和卫生设施人权的辩论。本文从政治生态学的角度考察了欧洲“水权”运动如何影响西班牙为获取和控制水而进行的斗争。它探讨了“Right2Water”如何引发了关于供水服务私有化和重新公有化的辩论,以及它在西班牙留下了什么遗产。我们揭示了与西班牙的水运动之间的关系,如红色阿瓜publica,以及与其他网络的关系,如愤怒者运动,以及随后的水抗议如何与紧缩抗议融合在一起。在不同的地方,这些斗争采取了不同的形式。通过部署五个案例研究(马德里、巴利亚多利德、特拉萨、巴塞罗那和Andalucía),我们考察了享有水和卫生设施的人权框架如何成为社会和水正义运动的工具。西班牙的水正义斗争正在进行中,我们试图确定这些斗争的暂时结果,以及西班牙供水服务提供的权力平衡在过去十年中是否发生了变化。
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引用次数: 0
Water security and agricultural systems in the Galapagos Islands: vulnerabilities under uncertain future climate and land use pathways 加拉帕戈斯群岛的水安全和农业系统:在不确定的未来气候和土地利用途径下的脆弱性
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1245207
H. Paltan, Fátima L. Benítez, Manuel Narvaez, Cristina Mateus, Carlos F. Mena
The Galapagos Islands, a hotspot of ecological richness, face challenging climatic and development conditions which undermine regional water security. Yet, the way by which these conditions may change in the future is highly uncertain. In this study, we applied for the first time an uncertainty-based approach in the Galapagos Islands to understand thresholds and potential scenarios of risks to water security of agricultural catchments in the Galapagos Island. We applied a water systems model to the agricultural catchments as well as climate and land use scenarios to estimate physical changes in water availability and implications for drought and extreme flow thresholds. Our results highlight the key role of baseflow and its important sensitivity to precipitation changes in determining water security states in the Islands. In fact, a decrease in just about 25% of total water flows, from historical conditions, in the Islands would drive drought conditions resembling those of the emergency state of 2016. We also note that under a land use scenario which promotes sustainable practices, the robustness of the Islands to climate variations increases. Our study then provides the basis for an application of uncertainty-based approaches to enhance resilience of the agricultural water systems as well as other systems. Our results also emphasize the need to design flexible and comprehensive policies in the water, agricultural and interconnected sectors which consider the interlinkages of climate with other social and economic variables.
加拉帕戈斯群岛是生态丰富的热点,面临着挑战性的气候和发展条件,破坏了区域水安全。然而,这些情况在未来的变化方式是非常不确定的。在这项研究中,我们首次在加拉帕戈斯群岛应用了一种基于不确定性的方法,以了解加拉帕戈斯岛农业集水区水安全风险的阈值和潜在情景。我们将水系统模型应用于农业集水区以及气候和土地利用情景,以估计水资源可用性的物理变化以及对干旱和极端流量阈值的影响。我们的研究结果强调了基流及其对降水变化的重要敏感性在决定群岛水安全状态方面的关键作用。事实上,与历史条件相比,群岛总水量仅减少约25%,就会导致类似于2016年紧急状态的干旱情况。我们还注意到,在促进可持续做法的土地利用情景下,岛屿对气候变化的稳健性增强。然后,我们的研究为应用基于不确定性的方法来提高农业供水系统和其他系统的复原力提供了基础。我们的研究结果还强调,需要在水、农业和相互关联的部门制定灵活和全面的政策,考虑气候与其他社会和经济变量的相互关联。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Advances in observations and modeling of snow, forest-snow processes and snow hydrology 社论:雪、森林雪过程和雪水文的观测和建模进展
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1274748
Ning Sun, N. Cristea
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Emerging talents in water science 社论:水科学领域的新兴人才
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1275554
Ankit Agarwal, Alban Kuriqi, John C. Matthews
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: World Water Day 2022: importance of WASH, equal access opportunities, and WASH resilience - A social-inclusion perspective 社论:2022年世界水日:讲卫生运动的重要性、平等获取机会和讲卫生运动的复原力——从社会包容的角度
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-08-22 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1258088
J. Wilbur, S. Cavill, J. Willetts
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing water use efficiency in precision irrigation: data-driven approaches for addressing data gaps in time series 提高精准灌溉用水效率:解决时间序列数据缺口的数据驱动方法
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-08-22 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1237592
Mohammad Zeynoddin, S. Gumiere, H. Bonakdari
Real-time soil matric potential measurements for determining potato production's water availability are currently used in precision irrigation. It is well known that managing irrigation based on soil matric potential (SMP) helps increase water use efficiency and reduce crop environmental impact. Yet, SMP monitoring presents challenges and sometimes leads to gaps in the collected data. This research sought to address these data gaps in the SMP time series. Using meteorological and field measurements, we developed a filtering and imputation algorithm by implementing three prominent predictive models in the algorithm to estimate missing values. Over 2 months, we gathered hourly SMP values from a field north of the Péribonka River in Lac-Saint-Jean, Québec, Canada. Our study evaluated various data input combinations, including only meteorological data, SMP measurements, or a mix of both. The Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) model proved the most effective among the tested models. It outperformed the k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) model and the Evolutionary Optimized Inverse Distance Method (gaIDW). The ELM model, with five inputs comprising SMP measurements, achieved a correlation coefficient of 0.992, a root-mean-square error of 0.164 cm, a mean absolute error of 0.122 cm, and a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.983. The ELM model requires at least five inputs to achieve the best results in the study context. These can be meteorological inputs like relative humidity, dew temperature, land inputs, or a combination of both. The results were within 5% of the best-performing input combination we identified earlier. To mitigate the computational demands of these models, a quicker baseline model can be used for initial input filtering. With this method, we expect the output from simpler models such as gaIDW and kNN to vary by no more than 20%. Nevertheless, this discrepancy can be efficiently managed by leveraging more sophisticated models.
实时土壤基质势测量用于确定马铃薯生产的水分有效性,目前用于精确灌溉。众所周知,基于土壤基质潜力(SMP)管理灌溉有助于提高水分利用效率和减少作物对环境的影响。然而,SMP监测带来了挑战,有时会导致收集的数据存在空白。本研究试图解决这些数据缺口在SMP时间序列。利用气象和野外测量,我们开发了一种滤波和imputation算法,通过在算法中实现三个突出的预测模型来估计缺失值。在2个多月的时间里,我们收集了加拿大quacemenbecc - saint - jean的psamribonka河以北的一个油田的每小时SMP值。我们的研究评估了各种数据输入组合,包括仅气象数据、SMP测量或两者的混合。结果表明,极限学习机(ELM)模型是最有效的。它优于k近邻(kNN)模型和进化优化逆距离方法(gaIDW)。ELM模型的相关系数为0.992,均方根误差为0.164 cm,平均绝对误差为0.122 cm, Nash-Sutcliffe效率为0.983。ELM模型需要至少五个输入才能在研究环境中获得最佳结果。这些可以是气象输入,如相对湿度、露水温度、土地输入,或两者的组合。结果与我们之前确定的最佳输入组合相差不到5%。为了减轻这些模型的计算需求,可以使用更快的基线模型进行初始输入滤波。使用这种方法,我们期望简单模型(如gaIDW和kNN)的输出变化不超过20%。然而,这种差异可以通过利用更复杂的模型来有效地管理。
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引用次数: 0
Incorporating bubble evolution and transport in constitutive relationships for quasi- and non-equilibrium two-phase flows in porous media 结合多孔介质中准平衡和非平衡两相流的气泡演化和输运本构关系
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1167872
D. Meisenheimer, D. Wildenschild
There is a need to better understand the presence and transport of bubbles in multi-phase subsurface porous media so that these processes can be accurately described, and more efficient engineered solutions can be developed. To this end, constitutive relationships between geometric state variables (fluid-fluid curvature, Jnw; non-wetting phase volume, Vn; fluid-fluid interfacial area, anw; and Euler characteristic, χn) have become increasingly more common in efforts to uniquely predict the state of a two-fluid flow system. Both lattice Boltzmann simulations and fast X-ray microtomography (μCT) imaging experiments have shown that a geometric state function using the non-dimensionalized invariant properties of saturation, specific interfacial area, and Euler characteristic can uniquely predict the mean curvature of the system for both quasi- and non-equilibrium conditions, however, the presence of bubble evolution and the subsequent transport phenomena have not been explored. This study investigates whether the geometric state function remains unique with the inclusion of bubble generation and transport under quasi- and non-equilibrium two-fluid flow. The data presented here suggests that bubble formation and entrapment occur in a manner that cannot be predicted by the more traditional capillary pressure-saturation-interfacial area, Pc(Sw, anw), relationship, and further extensions to the constitutive relationship are needed to fully capture these mechanisms.
需要更好地了解气泡在多相地下多孔介质中的存在和传输,以便准确描述这些过程,并开发更有效的工程解决方案。为此,几何状态变量(流体-流体曲率Jnw、非润湿相体积Vn、流体-流体界面面积anw和欧拉特性χn)之间的本构关系在唯一预测双流体流动系统状态的努力中变得越来越普遍。晶格Boltzmann模拟和快速X射线显微成像(μCT)实验都表明,使用饱和度、比界面面积和欧拉特性的无量纲不变特性的几何状态函数可以唯一地预测准非平衡和非平衡条件下系统的平均曲率,气泡演化的存在和随后的传输现象尚未被探索。本研究调查了在准非平衡和非平衡双流体流动下,包含气泡产生和传输的几何状态函数是否保持唯一。这里提供的数据表明,气泡的形成和截留是以一种无法通过更传统的毛细管压力-饱和界面面积Pc(Sw,anw)关系预测的方式发生的,并且需要对本构关系的进一步扩展来完全捕捉这些机制。
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引用次数: 0
The role of network structure in integrated water management: a case study of collaboration and influence for adopting nature-based solutions 网络结构在水资源综合管理中的作用:采用基于自然的解决方案的协作和影响案例研究
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-08-14 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1011952
C. Castro, C. Carney, M. D. de Brito
Integrated water management (IWM) involves a range of policies, actions, and organizational processes that go beyond traditional hydrology to consider multifaceted aspects of complex water resource systems. Due to its transdisciplinary nature, IWM comprises input from diverse stakeholders, each with unique perceptions, values, and experiences. However, stakeholders from differing backgrounds may disagree on best practices and collective paths forward. As such, successful IWM must address key governance principles (e.g., information flow, collective decision-making, and power relations) across social and institutional scales. Here, we sought to demonstrate how network structure impacts shared decision-making within IWM.We explored a case study in Houston, Texas, USA, where decision-making stakeholders from various sectors and levels of governance engaged in a participatory modeling workshop to improve adoption of nature-based solutions (NBS) through IWM. The stakeholders used fuzzy cognitive mapping (FCM) to define an IWM model comprising multifaceted elements and their interrelationships, which influenced the adoption of NBS in Houston. We applied grounded theory and inductive reasoning to categorize tacit belief schemas regarding how stakeholders viewed themselves within the management system. We then used FCM-based modeling to explore how unique NBS policies would translate into more (or less) NBS adoption. Finally, we calculated specific network metrics (e.g., density, hierarchy, and centrality indices) to better understand the structure of human-water relations embedded within the IWM model. We compared the tacit assumptions about stakeholder roles in IWM against the quantitative degrees of influence and collectivism embedded within the stakeholder-defined model.Our findings revealed a mismatch between stakeholders' external belief statements about IWM and their internal assumptions through cognitive mapping and participatory modeling. The case study network was characterized by a limited degree of internal coordination (low density index), high democratic potential (low hierarchy index), and high-efficiency management opportunities (high centrality index), which transcended across socio-institutional scales. These findings contrasted with several of the belief schemas described by stakeholders during the group workshop. We describe how ongoing partnership with the stakeholders resulted in an opportunity for adaptive learning, where the NBS planning paradigm began to shift toward trans-scale collaboration aimed at high-leverage management opportunities. We emphasize how network analytics allowed us to better understand the extent to which key governance principles drove the behavior of the IWM model, which we leveraged to form deeper stakeholder partnerships by identifying hidden opportunities for governance transformation.
综合水资源管理(IWM)涉及一系列政策、行动和组织过程,超越了传统的水文学,考虑复杂水资源系统的多方面。由于其跨学科的性质,综合管理包括来自不同利益相关者的投入,每个利益相关者都有独特的看法、价值观和经验。然而,来自不同背景的利益相关者可能对最佳做法和共同前进的道路存在分歧。因此,成功的IWM必须处理跨社会和制度尺度的关键治理原则(例如,信息流、集体决策和权力关系)。在这里,我们试图证明网络结构如何影响IWM中的共享决策。我们在美国德克萨斯州休斯顿探索了一个案例研究,来自不同部门和各级治理的决策利益相关者参与了一个参与式建模研讨会,以通过IWM改善基于自然的解决方案(NBS)的采用。利益相关者使用模糊认知映射(FCM)定义了一个包含多方面元素及其相互关系的IWM模型,这影响了休斯顿NBS的采用。我们运用扎根理论和归纳推理对利益相关者在管理系统中如何看待自己的隐性信念图式进行分类。然后,我们使用基于fcm的建模来探索独特的国家统计局政策如何转化为更多(或更少)的国家统计局采用。最后,我们计算了具体的网络指标(如密度、层次和中心性指数),以更好地理解嵌入在IWM模型中的人水关系结构。我们将IWM中利益相关者角色的隐性假设与利益相关者定义模型中嵌入的定量影响程度和集体主义进行了比较。通过认知映射和参与式建模,我们的研究结果揭示了利益相关者对IWM的外部信念陈述与其内部假设之间的不匹配。案例研究网络具有有限的内部协调性(低密度指数)、高民主潜力(低层级指数)和高效率管理机会(高中心性指数),并超越了社会制度尺度。这些发现与利益相关者在小组研讨会上描述的几个信念图式形成了对比。我们描述了与利益相关者的持续伙伴关系如何导致适应性学习的机会,其中NBS规划范式开始转向旨在实现高杠杆管理机会的跨规模协作。我们强调网络分析如何使我们能够更好地理解关键治理原则驱动IWM模型行为的程度,我们通过识别治理转换的隐藏机会来利用IWM模型形成更深层次的涉众伙伴关系。
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引用次数: 0
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Frontiers in Water
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