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Challenges for compound coastal flood risk management in a warming climate: a case study of the Gulf Coast of the United States 气候变暖对复合型沿海洪水风险管理的挑战:美国墨西哥湾沿岸案例研究
IF 2.9 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2024.1405603
Michael Lewis, Hamed Moftakhari, Paola Passalacqua
Compound flooding (CF) events, driven by coincident/concurrent and mutually reinforcing factors such as heavy rainfall, storm surges, and river discharge, pose severe threats to coastal communities around the Globe. Moreover, the exacerbating influence of climate change and sea-level rise further amplifies these risks. This study delves into the complex and multifaceted issue of compound coastal flooding in two freshwater-influenced systems on the Gulf Coast of the United States – Southeast Texas and South Alabama. We first conduct a robust statistical analysis to evaluate the significance of non-stationarity, multi-dimensionality, and non-linearity of interactions among various drivers of CF. Second, to assess the extent to which current flood resilience policies and guidelines account for these characteristics of CF events, we perform a critical review of existing policy documents. The results of the statistical analysis reveal significant compounding and shifts in the statistics of flood drivers that emphasize the pressing need for a multi-mechanism, non-stationary approach to flood hazard assessment. We also found an evident lack of appropriate language/recommendation in policy documents of solid tools that systematically take non-stationarity, multi-dimensionality, and non-linearity of CF into account. By identifying the gaps between current policy measures and the detected complexities of CF, we seek to provide insights that can inform more effective flood resilience policies and design guidelines. Through this robust analysis, we aspire to bridge the divide between research and policy.
由暴雨、风暴潮和河流泄洪等同时/并发且相互加强的因素引发的复合洪水(CF)事件对全球沿海社区构成严重威胁。此外,气候变化和海平面上升的影响加剧了这些风险。本研究深入探讨了美国墨西哥湾沿岸两个受淡水影响的水系--得克萨斯州东南部和阿拉巴马州南部的复合型沿海洪水这一复杂而多面的问题。首先,我们进行了稳健的统计分析,以评估 CF 的各种驱动因素之间的非平稳性、多维性和非线性相互作用的重要性。其次,为了评估目前的抗洪政策和指导方针在多大程度上考虑了 CF 事件的这些特征,我们对现有的政策文件进行了严格审查。统计分析的结果表明,洪水驱动因素的统计数据具有显著的复合性和变化性,这强调了采用多机制、非稳态方法进行洪水灾害评估的迫切需要。我们还发现,政策文件中明显缺乏适当的语言/建议,没有系统地考虑 CF 的非平稳性、多维性和非线性的可靠工具。通过找出当前政策措施与所发现的 CF 复杂性之间的差距,我们试图提供见解,为更有效的抗洪政策和设计准则提供依据。通过这种强有力的分析,我们希望弥合研究与政策之间的鸿沟。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic water resource management: pump stations in Fayoum City, Egypt 战略性水资源管理:埃及法尤姆市的泵站
IF 2.9 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2024.1386303
Sultan Kotb, Li Cheng, Mohamed Amin, Mohamed Monir Elzoghby, Ahmed Nasr
Water scarcity presents significant challenges to sustainable development, particularly in arid regions like Fayoum City, Egypt, which faces particular water challenges due to its unique topography. This study explores the pivotal role of pump stations and wastewater reuse in mitigating water scarcity and promoting sustainable water management practices. Utilizing a comprehensive mixed-method approach, including desk research, field surveys, stakeholder interviews, and integrating the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) into a decision-making framework. The study categorizes pump stations into priority ranking groups based on the evaluation of the following criteria: efficiency, operating hours, working unit ratio, and discharge capacity. The investigation reveals that the 72 pump stations in Fayoum City play a vital role in regulating water levels, optimizing distribution, and facilitating the reuse of irrigation wastewater. Despite operational challenges, such as manpower shortages and maintenance issues, these stations are crucial for sustaining agricultural productivity and addressing water scarcity concerns, including the prevention of recurring inundation events like the one in 2012. Moreover, the study underscores the potential of wastewater reuse as a sustainable solution to water scarcity, particularly in meeting agricultural water demands and mitigating water balance issues, such as inundation. Based on the findings, the study proposes actionable recommendations, including upgrading high-priority pump stations, evaluating lower-priority ones, enhancing canal infrastructure, and promoting water-efficient irrigation methods. In conclusion, this study provides valuable insights into the pivotal role of pump stations and wastewater reuse in addressing water scarcity challenges in arid regions. By implementing the proposed recommendations, Fayoum City can optimize its water management practices, ensure water security, and support the long-term development of the region.
水资源短缺给可持续发展带来了巨大挑战,尤其是在埃及法尤姆市这样的干旱地区,该市因其独特的地形而面临着特殊的水资源挑战。本研究探讨了泵站和废水回用在缓解水资源短缺和促进可持续水资源管理实践中的关键作用。本研究采用综合的混合方法,包括案头研究、实地调查、利益相关者访谈,并将层次分析法(AHP)纳入决策框架。研究根据对以下标准的评估,将泵站分为优先等级组:效率、运行时间、工作单位比率和排水能力。调查显示,法尤姆市的 72 座泵站在调节水位、优化配水和促进灌溉废水回用方面发挥着重要作用。尽管存在人力短缺和维护问题等运营挑战,但这些泵站对于维持农业生产力和解决缺水问题至关重要,包括防止像 2012 年那样的洪水泛滥事件再次发生。此外,该研究还强调了废水回用作为解决缺水问题的可持续方案的潜力,特别是在满足农业用水需求和缓解洪水等水平衡问题方面。根据研究结果,本研究提出了可操作的建议,包括升级改造优先级高的泵站、评估优先级较低的泵站、加强运河基础设施以及推广节水灌溉方法。总之,本研究就泵站和废水回用在应对干旱地区缺水挑战中的关键作用提供了宝贵的见解。通过实施所提出的建议,法尤姆市可以优化其水资源管理方法,确保水资源安全,并支持该地区的长期发展。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive analysis of groundwater balance and assessment of safe yield using a probabilistic groundwater model for the Dead Sea Basin 利用死海盆地地下水概率模型进行地下水平衡预测分析和安全产量评估
IF 2.9 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2024.1380877
Dima Al Atawneh, J Sreekanth, Nick Cartwright, Edoardo Bertone, Rebecca Doble
Groundwater in the Middle East and North Africa region is a critical component of the water supply budget due to a (semi-)arid climate and hence limited surface water resources. Despite the significance, factors affecting the groundwater balance and overall sustainability of the resource are often poorly understood. This often includes recharge and discharge characteristics, groundwater extraction and impacts of climate change. The present study investigates the groundwater balance in the Dead Sea Basin aquifer in Jordan using a groundwater flow model developed using the MODFLOW.The study aimed to simulate groundwater balance components and their effect on estimation of the aquifer's safe yield, and to also undertake a preliminary analysis of the impact of climate change on groundwater levels in the aquifer. Model calibration and predictive analysis was undertaken using a probabilistic modeling workflow. Spatially heterogeneous groundwater recharge for the historical period was estimated as a function of rainfall by simultaneously calibrating the recharge and aquifer hydraulic property parameters.The model indicated that annual average recharge constituted 5.1% of the precipitation over a simulation period of 6 years. The effect of groundwater recharge and discharge components were evaluated in the context of estimation of safe yield of the aquifer. The average annual safe yield is estimated as ~8.0 mm corresponding to the 80% of the calibrated recharge value. Simulated groundwater levels matched well with the declining trends in observed water levels which are indicative of unsustainable use. Long-term simulation of groundwater levels indicated that current conditions would result in large drawdown in groundwater levels by the end of the century. Simulation of climate change scenarios using projected estimates of rainfall and evaporation indicates that climate change scenarios would further exacerbate groundwater levels by relatively small amounts. These findings highlight the need to simulate the groundwater balance to better understand the water availability and future sustainability.
中东和北非地区气候(半)干旱,地表水资源有限,因此地下水是供水预算的重要组成部分。尽管意义重大,但人们对影响地下水平衡和资源总体可持续性的因素往往知之甚少。这通常包括补给和排泄特征、地下水开采和气候变化的影响。本研究使用 MODFLOW 开发的地下水流模型对约旦死海盆地含水层的地下水平衡进行了调查。研究旨在模拟地下水平衡的组成部分及其对含水层安全产水量估算的影响,并对气候变化对含水层地下水位的影响进行初步分析。模型校准和预测分析采用概率建模工作流程进行。通过同时校准补给量和含水层水力特性参数,估算出历史时期空间异质性地下水补给量与降雨量的函数关系。在估算含水层安全产水量时,对地下水补给和排泄成分的影响进行了评估。年平均安全产水量估计为 ~8.0 毫米,相当于校准补给值的 80%。模拟的地下水位与观测到的水位下降趋势非常吻合,这表明地下水的使用是不可持续的。对地下水水位的长期模拟表明,到本世纪末,目前的条件将导致地下水水位大幅下降。利用对降雨量和蒸发量的预测估算模拟气候变化情景表明,气候变化情景将进一步加剧地下水位,但幅度相对较小。这些发现突出表明,有必要对地下水平衡进行模拟,以更好地了解水的可用性和未来的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of social capital to improve rural households’ resilience against flooding: evidence from Iran 社会资本对提高农村家庭抗洪能力的影响:来自伊朗的证据
IF 2.9 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2024.1393226
Moslem Savari, Ahmad Jafari, Abbas Sheheytavi
Floods have significantly affected many regions worldwide, imposing economic, social, and psychological consequences on human societies, in recent decades. Rural communities in Iran are particularly vulnerable to floods, and without effective risk reduction systems, the impact can be exacerbated. In this context, this study aims to investigate the role of social capital in enhancing the resilience of rural households against floods in the southwest of Iran. The statistical population includes all rural households in Shushtar County that have experienced floods at least once. The primary tool for data collection was a questionnaire and obtained data were analyzed using structural equation modeling. In examining the situation of confrontation between different groups of people based on the state of social capital and resilience, it can be said that men, older people and people with higher income had more resilience and social capital to deal with floods. In addition, the results revealed that components of social capital (social networks, social solidarity, social trust, social awareness, participation and collection action) explained 68.1% of the variance in the resilience of rural households against floods. Overall, our findings can provide new insights for policymakers in the area, contributing to the reduction of flood impacts and promoting safer living conditions in flood-prone areas.
近几十年来,洪水严重影响了全球许多地区,给人类社会带来了经济、社会和心理后果。伊朗的农村社区尤其容易受到洪水的影响,如果没有有效的降低风险系统,洪水的影响会更加严重。在此背景下,本研究旨在调查社会资本在提高伊朗西南部农村家庭抗洪能力方面的作用。统计人口包括舒什塔尔县至少经历过一次洪灾的所有农村家庭。数据收集的主要工具是调查问卷,所得数据采用结构方程模型进行分析。在根据社会资本和抗灾能力的状况研究不同人群之间的对抗情况时,可以说男性、老年人和收入较高的人在应对洪灾时具有更强的抗灾能力和社会资本。此外,研究结果显示,社会资本的组成部分(社会网络、社会团结、社会信任、社会意识、参与和集合行动)解释了农村家庭抗洪能力变异的 68.1%。总之,我们的研究结果可以为该地区的政策制定者提供新的见解,有助于减少洪水的影响,促进洪水易发地区更安全的生活条件。
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引用次数: 0
Improving monthly precipitation prediction accuracy using machine learning models: a multi-view stacking learning technique 利用机器学习模型提高月降水量预测精度:多视角堆叠学习技术
IF 2.9 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2024.1378598
Mounia El Hafyani, Khalid El Himdi, Salah-Eddine El Adlouni
This research paper explores the implementation of machine learning (ML) techniques in weather and climate forecasting, with a specific focus on predicting monthly precipitation. The study analyzes the efficacy of six multivariate machine learning models: Decision Tree, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), AdaBoost, XGBoost, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). Multivariate time series models incorporating lagged meteorological variables were employed to capture the dynamics of monthly rainfall in Rabat, Morocco, from 1993 to 2018. The models were evaluated based on various metrics, including root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R2). XGBoost showed the highest performance among the six individual models, with an RMSE of 40.8 (mm). In contrast, Decision Tree, AdaBoost, Random Forest, LSTM, and KNN showed relatively lower performances, with specific RMSEs ranging from 47.5 (mm) to 51 (mm). A novel multi-view stacking learning approach is introduced, offering a new perspective on various ML strategies. This integrated algorithm is designed to leverage the strengths of each individual model, aiming to substantially improve the precision of precipitation forecasts. The best results were achieved by combining Decision Tree, KNN, and LSTM to build the meta-base while using XGBoost as the second-level learner. This approach yielded a RMSE of 17.5 millimeters. The results show the potential of the proposed multi-view stacking learning algorithm to refine predictive results and improve the accuracy of monthly precipitation forecasts, setting a benchmark for future research in this field.
本研究论文探讨了机器学习(ML)技术在天气和气候预报中的应用,重点是预测月降水量。研究分析了六种多元机器学习模型的功效:决策树、随机森林、K-近邻(KNN)、AdaBoost、XGBoost 和长短时记忆(LSTM)。我们采用了包含滞后气象变量的多元时间序列模型来捕捉摩洛哥拉巴特从 1993 年到 2018 年的月降雨量动态。根据均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和判定系数(R2)等各种指标对模型进行了评估。在六个单独模型中,XGBoost 的性能最高,RMSE 为 40.8(毫米)。相比之下,决策树、AdaBoost、随机森林、LSTM 和 KNN 的性能相对较低,具体 RMSE 在 47.5(毫米)到 51(毫米)之间。本文介绍了一种新颖的多视角堆叠学习方法,为各种 ML 策略提供了新的视角。这种综合算法旨在充分利用每个单独模型的优势,从而大幅提高降水预报的精度。将决策树、KNN 和 LSTM 结合起来建立元基,同时使用 XGBoost 作为二级学习器,取得了最佳效果。这种方法的均方根误差为 17.5 毫米。这些结果表明了所提出的多视图堆叠学习算法在完善预测结果和提高月降水量预报准确性方面的潜力,为该领域的未来研究树立了标杆。
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引用次数: 0
A one health approach for monitoring antimicrobial resistance: developing a national freshwater pilot effort 监测抗菌药耐药性的统一健康方法:开展国家淡水试点工作
IF 2.9 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2024.1359109
Alison M. Franklin, Daniel L. Weller, Lisa M. Durso, Mark Bagley, Benjamin C. Davis, Jonathan G. Frye, Christopher J. Grim, Abasiofiok M. Ibekwe, Michael A. Jahne, Scott P. Keely, Autumn L Kraft, Betty R. McConn, Richard M. Mitchell, Andrea R. Ottesen, Manan Sharma, Errol A. Strain, Daniel A. Tadesse, Heather Tate, Jim E. Wells, Clinton F. Williams, Kim L. Cook, Claudine Kabera, Patrick F. McDermott, Jay L. Garland
Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a world-wide public health threat that is projected to lead to 10 million annual deaths globally by 2050. The AMR public health issue has led to the development of action plans to combat AMR, including improved antimicrobial stewardship, development of new antimicrobials, and advanced monitoring. The National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System (NARMS) led by the United States (U.S) Food and Drug Administration along with the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and U.S. Department of Agriculture has monitored antimicrobial resistant bacteria in retail meats, humans, and food animals since the mid 1990’s. NARMS is currently exploring an integrated One Health monitoring model recognizing that human, animal, plant, and environmental systems are linked to public health. Since 2020, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has led an interagency NARMS environmental working group (EWG) to implement a surface water AMR monitoring program (SWAM) at watershed and national scales. The NARMS EWG divided the development of the environmental monitoring effort into five areas: (i) defining objectives and questions, (ii) designing study/sampling design, (iii) selecting AMR indicators, (iv) establishing analytical methods, and (v) developing data management/analytics/metadata plans. For each of these areas, the consensus among the scientific community and literature was reviewed and carefully considered prior to the development of this environmental monitoring program. The data produced from the SWAM effort will help develop robust surface water monitoring programs with the goal of assessing public health risks associated with AMR pathogens in surface water (e.g., recreational water exposures), provide a comprehensive picture of how resistant strains are related spatially and temporally within a watershed, and help assess how anthropogenic drivers and intervention strategies impact the transmission of AMR within human, animal, and environmental systems.
抗菌素耐药性(AMR)是一个全球性的公共卫生威胁,预计到 2050 年,每年将导致全球 1000 万人死亡。AMR这一公共卫生问题促使人们制定了抗击AMR的行动计划,包括改进抗菌药物管理、开发新的抗菌药物和先进的监测手段。自 20 世纪 90 年代中期以来,由美国食品和药物管理局、美国疾病控制中心和美国农业部领导的国家抗菌素耐药性监测系统(NARMS)一直在监测零售肉类、人类和食用动物中的抗菌素耐药性细菌。NARMS 目前正在探索一种综合的 "一个健康 "监测模式,该模式认识到人类、动物、植物和环境系统与公共健康息息相关。自 2020 年以来,美国环境保护局一直领导着一个跨机构的 NARMS 环境工作组 (EWG),在流域和国家范围内实施地表水 AMR 监测计划 (SWAM)。NARMS 环境工作组将环境监测工作的发展分为五个方面:(i) 确定目标和问题,(ii) 设计研究/采样设计,(iii) 选择 AMR 指标,(iv) 建立分析方法,以及 (v) 制定数据管理/分析/元数据计划。在制定该环境监测计划之前,我们对科学界和文献中的共识进行了审查和仔细考虑。SWAM 项目产生的数据将有助于制定强有力的地表水监测计划,目的是评估与地表水中 AMR 病原体相关的公共卫生风险(如娱乐用水暴露),全面了解耐药菌株在流域内的空间和时间关系,并帮助评估人为因素和干预策略如何影响 AMR 在人类、动物和环境系统中的传播。
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引用次数: 0
How three-dimensional forest structure regulates the amount and timing of snowmelt across a climatic gradient of snow persistence 三维森林结构如何调节积雪持续性气候梯度中的融雪量和融雪时间
IF 2.9 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2024.1374961
Ravindra Dwivedi, J. Biederman, P. Broxton, Jessie K. Pearl, Kangsan Lee, B. Svoma, Willem J. D. van Leeuwen, Marcos D. Robles
Across the western United States, forests are changing rapidly, with uncertain impacts on snowmelt water resources. Snow partitioning is controlled by forest effects on interception, radiation, and sublimation. Yet, models often lack snow measurements with sufficiently high spatial and temporal resolution across gradients of forest structure to accurately represent these fine-scale processes. Here, we utilize four Snowtography stations in Arizona, in the lower Colorado River Basin, with daily measurements over 3–5 years at ~110 positions distributed across gradients of forest structure resulting from wildfires and mechanical thinning. We combine Snowtography with lidar snapshots of forest and snow to train a high-resolution snow model and run it for 6 years to quantify how forest structure regulates snowpack and snowmelt. These study sites represent a climate gradient from lower/warmer ephemeral snowpack (~2,100 m asl) to higher/colder seasonal snowpack (~2,800 m asl). Forest cover reduced snowpack and snowmelt through canopy sublimation. Forest advanced snowmelt timing at lower/warmer sites but delayed it at higher/colder sites. Within canopy gaps, shaded cool edges had the greatest peak snow water equivalent (SWE). Surprisingly, sunny/warm gap edges produced more snowmelt than cool edges, because high radiation melted snow quickly, reducing exposure to sublimation. Therefore, peak SWE is not an ideal proxy for snowmelt volume from ephemeral snowpacks, which are becoming more prevalent due to warming. The results imply that forest management can influence the amount and timing of snowmelt, and that there may be decision trade-offs between enhancing forest resilience through delayed snowmelt and maximizing snowmelt volumes for downstream water resources.
在整个美国西部,森林正在迅速发生变化,对融雪水资源的影响尚不确定。森林对截流、辐射和升华的影响控制着雪的分区。然而,模型往往缺乏跨越森林结构梯度的足够高空间和时间分辨率的积雪测量数据,因此无法准确反映这些精细尺度的过程。在这里,我们利用亚利桑那州科罗拉多河流域下游的四个 Snowtography 站,在野火和机械疏伐造成的森林结构梯度上的约 110 个位置进行了 3-5 年的每日测量。我们将 Snowtography 与森林和积雪的激光雷达快照相结合,训练出一个高分辨率积雪模型,并将其运行 6 年,以量化森林结构如何调节积雪和融雪。这些研究地点代表了从较低/较温暖的短时积雪(海拔约 2100 米)到较高/较寒冷的季节性积雪(海拔约 2800 米)的气候梯度。森林覆盖通过树冠升华减少了积雪量和融雪量。在较低/较热的地点,森林会提前融雪时间,但在较高/较冷的地点,森林会推迟融雪时间。在树冠间隙内,阴凉边缘的峰值雪水当量(SWE)最大。令人惊讶的是,阳光充足/温暖的树冠隙边缘比凉爽的边缘产生了更多的融雪,这是因为高辐射迅速融化了积雪,减少了雪的升华。因此,峰值 SWE 并不是短时积雪融雪量的理想代表,而由于气候变暖,短时积雪的融雪量正变得越来越大。研究结果表明,森林管理可以影响融雪量和融雪时间,在通过延迟融雪提高森林恢复力与为下游水资源最大限度地增加融雪量之间,可能存在决策权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling and prediction of aeration efficiency of the venturi aeration system using ANN-PSO and ANN-GA 利用 ANN-PSO 和 ANN-GA 对文丘里曝气系统的曝气效率进行建模和预测
IF 2.9 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2024.1401689
Anamika Yadav, Subha M. Roy, Abhijit Biswas, Bhagaban Swain, Sudipta Majumder
The significance of this study involves the optimisation of the aeration efficiency (AE) of the venturi aerator using an artificial neural network (ANN) technique integrated with an optimisation algorithm, i.e., particle swarm optimisation (PSO) and genetic algorithm (GA). To optimise the effects of operational factors on aeration efficiency by utilising a venturi aeration system, aeration experiments were conducted in an experimental tank with dimensions of 90cm×55cm×45cm. The operating parameters of the venturi aerator include throat length (TL), effective outlet pipe (EOP), and flow rate (Q) to estimate the efficacy of the venturi aerator in terms of AE. A 3–6-1 ANN model was developed and integrated with the PSO and GA techniques to find out the best possible optimal operating variables of the venturi aerator. The coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) determined from the experimental and estimated data were used to assess and compare the performance of the ANN-PSO and ANN-GA modelling. It is shown that ANN-PSO provides a better result as compared to ANN-GA. The operational parameters, TL, EOP, and Q, were determined to have the most optimum values at 50 mm, 6 m, and 0.6 L/s, respectively. The optimised aeration efficiency of the venturi was found to be 0.105 kg O2/kWh at optimum operational circumstances. In fact, the neural network having an ideal design of (3-6-1) and a correlation coefficient value that is extremely close to unity has validated the results indicated above.
本研究的意义在于利用人工神经网络(ANN)技术与优化算法(即粒子群优化(PSO)和遗传算法(GA))相结合,优化文丘里曝气器的曝气效率(AE)。为了利用文丘里曝气系统优化运行因素对曝气效率的影响,在一个尺寸为 90 厘米×55 厘米×45 厘米的实验池中进行了曝气实验。文丘里曝气器的运行参数包括喉管长度(TL)、有效出口管(EOP)和流量(Q),以估算文丘里曝气器的曝气效率。开发了一个 3-6-1 ANN 模型,并与 PSO 和 GA 技术相结合,以找出文丘里曝气器的最佳运行变量。根据实验数据和估计数据确定的判定系数(R2)、均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)用于评估和比较 ANN-PSO 和 ANN-GA 模型的性能。结果表明,与 ANN-GA 相比,ANN-PSO 能提供更好的结果。运行参数 TL、EOP 和 Q 的最佳值分别为 50 毫米、6 米和 0.6 升/秒。在最佳运行条件下,文丘里管的最优曝气效率为 0.105 kg O2/kWh。事实上,理想设计为(3-6-1)的神经网络和极其接近于统一的相关系数值验证了上述结果。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Hydro-informatics for sustainable water management in agrosystems, volume II 编辑:水文信息学促进农业系统可持续水资源管理》,第 II 卷
IF 2.9 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2024.1424944
P. Célicourt, Alain N. Rousseau, S. Gumiere, Matteo Camporese
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引用次数: 0
Investigating meteorological wet and dry transitions in the Dutch Meuse River basin 荷兰默兹河流域干湿转换气象调查
IF 2.9 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2024.1394563
Srividya Hariharan Sudha, Elisa Ragno, Oswaldo Morales-Nápoles, Matthijs Kok
The Netherlands has traditionally focused on managing flood risk. However, the frequent occurrence of droughts in recent years has brought attention to managing both extremes. Transitions between these opposite extremes pose additional challenges to water management, requiring a trade-off between water storage during dry periods and flood control during wet periods. In this study, we develop a framework to define wet and dry meteorological events and study their transitions using timeseries of meteorological data namely, precipitation, temperature and potential evapotranspiration. The magnitudes of event characteristics are retained, which presents a different approach to the normalized climate indices (like the Standardized Precipitation Index) commonly used in literature. We apply this framework to the Dutch part of the Meuse River basin in northwestern Europe using climate observations between 1951 and 2022. Our analysis shows a statistically significant increase in the amount of water lost from potential evapotranspiration compared to water gained from precipitation between April and September of the water year and an increase in the length of this drying period over the past decades. Such trends in the drying period are related to variability in potential evapotranspiration caused by rising temperatures in the region, indicating the potential for increased water shortage in Spring and Summer due to future temperature increases. We also identify abrupt transitions between opposite extreme events where there is a lack of water at the end of the second event as meteorological situations that challenge water management due to overlapping impacts like flash flooding, less time for water storage, and reduced water availability. We see such conditions occur in 6% of the wet-dry transitions and 20% of the dry-wet transitions, highlighting meteorological scenarios to which the hydrological response of the catchment can be simulated to increase our understanding of the combined risk of floods and droughts.
荷兰历来注重洪水风险的管理。然而,近年来频繁发生的干旱使人们开始关注两种极端情况的管理。在这两个极端之间的过渡给水管理带来了额外的挑战,需要在干旱时期的蓄水和潮湿时期的防洪之间进行权衡。在这项研究中,我们建立了一个框架来定义干湿气象事件,并利用气象数据的时间序列(即降水、温度和潜在蒸散量)来研究它们之间的过渡。我们保留了事件特征的大小,这与文献中常用的归一化气候指数(如标准化降水指数)不同。我们利用 1951 年至 2022 年期间的气候观测数据,将这一框架应用于欧洲西北部默兹河流域的荷兰部分。我们的分析表明,在过去几十年中,潜在蒸散损失的水量与水年 4 月至 9 月期间从降水中获得的水量相比有显著的统计学增长,而且这一干燥期的长度也在增加。干燥期的这种趋势与该地区气温升高导致的潜在蒸散量变化有关,表明未来气温升高有可能导致春夏季缺水加剧。我们还发现,由于山洪暴发、蓄水时间减少和可用水量减少等叠加影响,在相反的极端事件之间会出现突然过渡,即在第二个极端事件结束时出现缺水,这也是对水资源管理构成挑战的气象状况。我们发现,在 6% 的干湿转换和 20% 的干湿转换中都出现了这种情况,这突出说明了可以模拟集水区水文响应的气象情景,以增加我们对洪水和干旱综合风险的了解。
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Frontiers in Water
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