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Use of biosolids from wastewater treatment plants and other organic fertilizers in agriculture—a preliminary results of a case study in banana cultivation in the Dominican Republic 废水处理厂的生物固体和其他有机肥料在农业中的应用——多米尼加共和国香蕉种植案例研究的初步结果
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1236924
Atuey J. Martínez Durán, V. A. Rodríguez Núñez, José del C. Castillo Jáquez
The use of biosolids from wastewater treatment plants in agriculture is considered relevant for the promotion of sustainable agricultural practices, the improvement of soil fertility, and the reduction of dependence on synthetic chemical products. The Dominican Republic is today the world's largest producer of organic bananas and the main exporter of organic and fair-trade bananas to Europe. The biosolids generated in the wastewater treatment plants in the Dominican Republic currently have no use. In other countries, biosolids are used for agriculture, although biosolids have different characteristics in each place and their potential must be analyzed. In the Dominican Republic, there is no research that analyzes biosolids and their impact on agriculture. This research aims to compare the nutritional composition of bananas in plantations fertilized with different doses of biosolids and other organic fertilizers.For this test, five blocks were prepared with organic fertilization, another with potassium sulfate, and a control block. Laboratory analysis was used to determine the characteristics of the biosolids used and also to know the nutritional composition of bananas of the Williams variety.The results, when compared, show the impact that each of these fertilizers has or can have on the production of organic bananas in the Dominican Republic.The use of dose Y of the biosolid, characterized by the application of 16 kilograms of biosolid per plant, is the most recommended to fertilize the banana since the collected fruits presented the most optimal nutritional values.
在农业中使用废水处理厂的生物固体被认为与促进可持续农业实践、提高土壤肥力和减少对合成化学产品的依赖有关。多米尼加共和国如今是世界上最大的有机香蕉生产国,也是向欧洲出口有机和公平贸易香蕉的主要国家。多米尼加共和国废水处理厂产生的生物固体目前没有任何用途。在其他国家,生物固体被用于农业,尽管每个地方的生物固体都有不同的特征,必须分析其潜力。在多米尼加共和国,没有任何研究分析生物固体及其对农业的影响。本研究旨在比较种植园中施用不同剂量生物固体和其他有机肥料的香蕉的营养成分。在这个试验中,用有机肥料制备了五个块,另一个用硫酸钾制备,还有一个对照块。实验室分析用于确定所用生物固体的特性,并了解威廉姆斯品种香蕉的营养成分。经过比较,结果显示了每种肥料对多米尼加共和国有机香蕉生产的影响。最推荐使用剂量为Y的生物固体,每株植物施用16公斤生物固体,因为收集到的水果具有最理想的营养价值。
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引用次数: 1
Reducing flood risk and improving system resiliency in Sacramento, California: overcoming obstacles and emerging solutions 减少加州萨克拉门托的洪水风险和提高系统弹性:克服障碍和新兴解决方案
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1188321
A. Pawley, David Moldoff, Joshua Brown, Stephanie Freed
Sacramento, the capital of California, has a population of over 2 million and is one of the most flood prone regions in the nation. Its problems exemplify those of many urban communities built near riverine and deltaic systems, that are subject to climate change. The city and its surrounding communities are protected by an elaborate system of levees and flood bypasses; but aging infrastructure, expected increases in extreme wet weather, and projected sea level rise are increasing the risk of levee failures. We explore how flood management approaches including social/institutional (non-structural), traditional structural, and ecological based approaches are being implemented in the Lower Sacramento/North Delta Region amid significant obstacles, to build resilient flood management systems. We review four case studies, one structural levee project and three multi-benefit projects that are only recently being implemented. We also examine the barriers, constraints, and challenges for implementing flood protection projects, and how project proponents are collectively working through these obstacles. We conclude that significant progress has been made in building flood resiliency since the 2008 Central Valley Flood Protection Act and the release of the 2012 Central Valley Flood Protection Plan. Informational tools and policies are being developed to educate the public and prepare for floods. Structural levee investments are substantial and are being implemented through partnerships. Statewide policies and investments are increasingly supporting multi-benefit projects that incorporate ecological restoration/enhancement while expanding flood volume capacity. Progress on implementing multi-benefit projects has been slow, due to land acquisition, easements, funding, regulatory and construction challenges; however, solutions to these impediments are emerging to facilitate more rapid progress. It is essential to continue and intensify the progress made in the last two decades, by learning from past projects, and improving on existing pathways to implement sustainable projects at a faster rate.
萨克拉门托是加利福尼亚州的首府,人口超过200万,是美国最容易发生洪水的地区之一。它的问题体现了许多建在河流和三角洲系统附近的城市社区的问题,这些社区容易受到气候变化的影响。这座城市及其周围的社区受到精心设计的防洪堤和防洪旁路系统的保护;但是,老化的基础设施、极端潮湿天气的预期增加以及预计的海平面上升正在增加防洪堤倒塌的风险。我们探讨了如何在下萨克拉门托/北三角洲地区实施洪水管理方法,包括社会/制度(非结构性)、传统结构和基于生态的方法,以建立具有弹性的洪水管理系统。我们回顾了四个案例研究,一个结构堤坝项目和三个最近才实施的多效益项目。我们还研究了实施防洪项目的障碍、限制和挑战,以及项目支持者如何共同努力克服这些障碍。我们的结论是,自2008年《中央河谷防洪法案》和2012年《中央河谷防洪计划》发布以来,在防洪建设方面取得了重大进展。正在制定信息工具和政策,以教育公众并为洪水做好准备。结构性堤坝投资数额巨大,正在通过伙伴关系实施。全州范围内的政策和投资越来越多地支持包括生态恢复/增强和扩大洪水容量在内的多效益项目。由于土地征用、地役权、资金、监管和建设方面的挑战,实施多利益项目的进展缓慢;然而,正在出现解决这些障碍的办法,以促进更迅速的进展。必须继续和加强过去二十年取得的进展,从过去的项目中吸取教训,改进现有的途径,以更快的速度实施可持续项目。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Advances and emerging methods in tracer hydrogeology 社论:示踪水文地质的进展和新兴方法
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-07-31 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1243114
O. Schilling, L. J. Halloran, H. Delottier, Y. Sano, R. Therrien
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引用次数: 0
Leptospirosis: toward a better understanding of the environmental lifestyle of Leptospira 钩端螺旋体病:为了更好地了解钩端螺旋体的环境生活方式
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-07-27 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1195094
Grégoire Davignon, Julie Cagliero, L. Guentas, Emilie Bierque, P. Genthon, P. Gunkel-Grillon, F. Juillot, Malia Kainiu, C. Laporte-Magoni, M. Picardeau, Nazha Selmaoui-Folcher, Marie-Estelle Soupé-Gilbert, C. Tramier, Jessica Vilanova, K. Wijesuriya, Roman Thibeaux, C. Goarant
Leptospira is a complex bacterial genus which biodiversity has long been overlooked. In the recent years however, environmental studies have contributed to shed light on its original and current environmental habitat. Although very fragile bacteria in laboratories, Leptospira have been shown to successfully occupy a range of soil and freshwater habitats. Recent work has strongly suggested that biofilm formation, a multicellular lifestyle regulated by the second messenger c-di-GMP, might be one strategy developed to overcome the multiple challenges of environmental survival. Within the genus, a minority of pathogenic species have developed the ability to infect mammals and be responsible for leptospirosis. However, most of them have retained their environmental survival capacity, which is required to fulfill their epidemiological cycle. Indeed, susceptible hosts, such as human, suffer from various symptoms, while reservoir hosts stay asymptomatic and release bacteria in the environment. In this review, we discuss how c-di-GMP might be a central regulator allowing pathogenic Leptospira to fulfill this complex life cycle. We conclude by identifying knowledge gaps and propose some hypotheses that should be researched to gain a holistic vision of Leptospira biology.
钩端螺旋体是一种复杂的细菌属,其生物多样性长期被忽视。然而,近年来的环境研究有助于揭示其原始和现在的环境栖息地。虽然钩端螺旋体在实验室中非常脆弱,但已经证明它成功地占据了一系列土壤和淡水栖息地。最近的研究强烈表明,生物膜的形成是一种由第二信使c-di-GMP调节的多细胞生活方式,可能是克服环境生存的多重挑战的一种策略。在钩端螺旋体属中,少数致病性物种已发展出感染哺乳动物并导致钩端螺旋体病的能力。然而,它们中的大多数保留了环境生存能力,这是完成其流行病学周期所必需的。事实上,易感宿主,如人类,会出现各种症状,而宿主则保持无症状,并在环境中释放细菌。在这篇综述中,我们讨论了c-di-GMP可能是一个中心调节剂,允许致病性钩端螺旋体完成这个复杂的生命周期。最后,我们通过识别知识差距,并提出一些假设,应该研究,以获得钩端螺旋体生物学的整体视野。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a general protocol for rapid response research on water quality disturbances and its application for monitoring the largest wildfire recorded in New Mexico, USA 制定水质扰动快速反应研究的一般方案,并将其应用于监测美国新墨西哥州有记录以来最大的野火
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-07-24 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1223338
P. Tunby, J. Nichols, Asmita Kaphle, A. Khandelwal, David Van Horn, R. González‐Pinzón
Anthropogenic and natural disasters (e.g., wildfires, oil spills, mine spills, sewage treatment facilities) cause water quality disturbances in fluvial networks. These disturbances are highly unpredictable in space-time, with the potential to propagate through multiple stream orders and impact human and environmental health over days to years. Due to challenges in monitoring and studying these events, we need methods to strategize the deployment of rapid response research teams on demand. Rapid response research has the potential to close the gap in available water quality data and process understanding through time-sensitive data collection efforts. This manuscript presents a protocol that can guide researchers in preparing for and researching water quality disturbance events. We tested and refined the protocol by assessing the longitudinal propagation of water quality disturbances from the 2022 Hermit's Peak—Calf Canyon, NM, USA, the largest in the state's recorded history. Our rapid response research allowed us to collect high-resolution water quality data with semi-continuous sensors and synoptic grab sampling. The data collected have been used for traditional peer-reviewed publications and pragmatically to inform water utilities, restoration, and outreach programs.
人为和自然灾害(例如,野火、石油泄漏、矿井泄漏、污水处理设施)造成河流网的水质紊乱。这些干扰在时空中是高度不可预测的,有可能通过多个流顺序传播,并在数天至数年内影响人类和环境健康。由于在监测和研究这些事件方面存在挑战,我们需要根据需要制定快速反应研究小组部署战略的方法。快速反应研究有可能缩小现有水质数据的差距,并通过对时间敏感的数据收集工作来了解过程。本文提出了一个方案,可以指导研究人员准备和研究水质干扰事件。我们通过评估2022年美国NM隐士峰-卡夫峡谷水质扰动的纵向传播来测试和完善该协议,这是该州有记录以来最大的一次。我们的快速反应研究使我们能够通过半连续传感器和天气抓取采样收集高分辨率水质数据。收集的数据已用于传统的同行评议出版物,并务实地为水务公司、修复和推广项目提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Determining return levels of extreme daily precipitation, reservoir inflow, and dry spells 确定极端日降水量、水库流入量和干旱期的回归水平
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-07-24 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1141786
T. Milojevic, J. Blanchet, M. Lehning
Return level calculations are widely used to determine the risks that extreme events may pose to infrastructure, including hydropower site operations. Extreme events (e.g., extreme precipitation and droughts) are expected to increase in frequency and intensity in the future, but not necessarily in a homogenous way across regions. This makes localized assessment important for understanding risk changes to specific sites. However, for sites with relatively small datasets, selecting an applicable method for return level calculations is not straightforward. This study focuses on the application of traditional univariate extreme value approaches (Generalized Extreme Value and Generalized Pareto) as well as two more recent approaches (extended Generalized Pareto and Metastatistical Extreme Value distributions), that are specifically suited for application to small datasets. These methods are used to calculate return levels of extreme precipitation at six Alpine stations and high reservoir inflow events for a hydropower reservoir. In addition, return levels of meteorological drought and low inflow periods (dry spells) are determined using a non-parametric approach. Return levels for return periods of 10- and 20- years were calculated using 10-, 20-, and 40- years of data for each method. The results show that even shorter timeseries can give similar return levels as longer timeseries for most methods. However, the GEV has greater sensitivity to sparse data and tended to give lower estimates for precipitation return levels. The MEV is only to be preferred over GPD if the underlying distribution fits the data well. The result is used to assemble a profile of 10- and 20-year return levels estimated with various statistical approaches, for extreme high precipitation/inflow and low precipitation/inflow events. The findings of the study may be helpful to researchers and practitioners alike in deciding which statistical approach to use to assess local extreme precipitation and inflow risks to individual reservoirs.
回报水平计算被广泛用于确定极端事件可能对基础设施造成的风险,包括水电站的运行。预计未来极端事件(如极端降水和干旱)的频率和强度都将增加,但各区域之间的频率和强度不一定相同。这使得局部评估对于了解特定地点的风险变化非常重要。然而,对于数据集相对较小的站点,选择一种适用的方法来计算回归水平并不是直截了当的。本研究的重点是传统的单变量极值方法(广义极值和广义帕累托)以及最近的两种方法(扩展广义帕累托和亚稳态极值分布)的应用,这两种方法特别适合于小数据集的应用。利用这些方法计算了高寒地区6个站点的极端降水回归水位和某水电站水库的高入库事件。此外,使用非参数方法确定气象干旱和低流入期(干旱期)的回归水平。每种方法使用10年、20年和40年的数据计算10年和20年的回归期的回归水平。结果表明,对于大多数方法来说,即使较短的时间序列也可以给出与较长时间序列相似的返回水平。然而,GEV对稀疏数据更敏感,对降水回归水平的估计往往较低。只有当底层分布与数据非常吻合时,MEV才会优于GPD。结果被用来组合一个10年和20年的回归水平剖面,用各种统计方法估计,极端高降水/流入和低降水/流入事件。研究结果可能有助于研究人员和从业者决定使用哪种统计方法来评估局部极端降水和个别水库的流入风险。
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引用次数: 0
Forest gap effects on snow storage in the transitional climate of the Eastern Cascade Range, Washington, United States 美国华盛顿州东喀斯喀特山脉过渡气候中森林间隙对积雪的影响
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-07-20 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1115264
S. Dickerson‐Lange, Emily R. Howe, Kenna Patrick, R. Gersonde, J. Lundquist
Forest thinning and gap creation are being implemented across the western United States of America (USA) to reduce wildfire and forest mortality risk as the climate warms. The Eastern Cascades in Washington, USA, is in a transitional zone between maritime and continental climate conditions and represents a data gap in observations describing the relationship between forest density and snowpack. We collected 3 years of snow observations across a range of forest densities to characterize how forest management efforts in this region may influence the magnitude and duration of snow storage. Observations indicate that peak snow storage magnitude in small gaps ranges from the same to over twice that observed in unburned forest plots in the Eastern Cascades. However, differences in snow duration are generally small. Across all Eastern Cascade sites and years, we observed a median difference of snow storage lasting 7 days longer in gaps as compared to nearby forest plots. A notable exception to this pattern occurred at one north-facing site, where snow lasted 30 days longer in the gap. These observations of similar snow storage duration in the Eastern Cascades are attributed to minimal differences in canopy snow interception processes between forests and gaps at some sites, and to higher ablation rates that counterbalance the higher snow accumulation in the gaps at other sites. At the north-facing site, more snow accumulated in the gap, and ablation rates in the open gap were similar to the shaded forest due to the aspect of the site. Thus, snow storage duration was much longer in the gap. Together, these data suggest that prescriptions to reduce forest density through thinning and creating gaps may increase the overall amount of snow storage by reducing loss due to sublimation and melting of canopy-intercepted snow. However, reducing forest density in the Eastern Cascades is unlikely to buffer climate-induced shortening of snow storage duration, with the possible exception of gap creation in north-facing forests. Lastly, these observations fill a spatial and climatic data gap and can be used to support hydrological modeling at spatial and temporal scales that are relevant to forest management decisions.
随着气候变暖,美利坚合众国西部正在实施森林疏伐和森林缺口创建,以降低野火和森林死亡风险。美国华盛顿的东喀斯喀特山脉位于海洋和大陆气候条件之间的过渡地带,在描述森林密度和积雪之间关系的观测中存在数据差距。我们收集了3年来对一系列森林密度的积雪观测,以描述该地区的森林管理工作如何影响积雪的大小和持续时间。观测结果表明,小间隙中的峰值积雪量从与东喀斯喀特山脉未燃烧林地中观测到的峰值积雪大小相同到两倍以上。然而,雪持续时间的差异通常很小。在东喀斯喀特山脉的所有地点和年份,我们观察到,与附近的林地相比,间隙中持续7天的雪量存在中值差异。这种模式的一个显著例外发生在一个朝北的地点,那里的雪在缺口中持续了30天以上。在东喀斯喀特山脉观察到的类似的积雪持续时间归因于一些地点森林和缺口之间的冠层积雪拦截过程差异最小,以及抵消其他地点缺口中较高积雪的较高消融率。在朝北的场地,更多的雪堆积在缺口中,由于场地的形状,开阔缺口的消融率与荫蔽森林相似。因此,雪在间隙中的储存时间要长得多。总之,这些数据表明,通过疏伐和形成缺口来降低森林密度的处方可能会通过减少树冠截留雪升华和融化造成的损失来增加总的积雪量。然而,降低东喀斯喀特山脉的森林密度不太可能缓冲气候导致的积雪储存时间缩短,朝北森林可能会出现缺口。最后,这些观测填补了空间和气候数据的空白,可用于支持与森林管理决策相关的空间和时间尺度的水文建模。
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引用次数: 0
Interactive effects of catchment mean water residence time and agricultural area on water physico-chemical variables and GHG saturations in headwater streams 流域平均水停留时间和农业面积对水源水体理化变量和温室气体饱和度的交互影响
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-07-17 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1220544
R. Mwanake, G. Gettel, E. Wangari, K. Butterbach‐Bahl, R. Kiese
Greenhouse gas emissions from headwater streams are linked to multiple sources influenced by terrestrial land use and hydrology, yet partitioning these sources at catchment scales remains highly unexplored. To address this gap, we sampled year-long stable water isotopes (δ18O and δ2H) from 17 headwater streams differing in catchment agricultural areas. We calculated mean residence times (MRT) and young water fractions (YWF) based on the seasonality of δ18O signals and linked these hydrological measures to catchment characteristics, mean annual water physico-chemical variables, and GHG % saturations. The MRT and the YWF ranged from 0.25 to 4.77 years and 3 to 53%, respectively. The MRT of stream water was significantly negatively correlated with stream slope (r2 = 0.58) but showed no relationship with the catchment area. Streams in agriculture-dominated catchments were annual hotspots of GHG oversaturation, which we attributed to precipitation-driven terrestrial inputs of dissolved GHGs for streams with shorter MRTs and nutrients and GHG inflows from groundwater for streams with longer MRTs. Based on our findings, future research should also consider water mean residence time estimates as indicators of integrated hydrological processes linking discharge and land use effects on annual GHG dynamics in headwater streams.
源头河流的温室气体排放与受陆地土地利用和水文影响的多种来源有关,但在集水区范围内对这些来源的划分仍有待探索。为了解决这一差距,我们从17条不同流域农业区的源头溪流中采样了长达一年的稳定水同位素(δ18O和δ2H)。我们根据δ18O信号的季节性计算了平均停留时间(MRT)和年轻水分量(YWF),并将这些水文测量与集水区特征、年均水物理化学变量和GHG%饱和度联系起来。MRT和YWF分别为0.25至4.77年和3至53%。河水的MRT与河流坡度呈显著负相关(r2=0.58),但与集水区无关。以农业为主的集水区的溪流是温室气体过饱和的年度热点,我们将其归因于降水驱动的溶解性温室气体陆地输入(MRT较短的溪流)和营养物质,以及地下水对MRT较长的溪流的温室气体流入。根据我们的研究结果,未来的研究还应考虑将水平均停留时间估计值作为综合水文过程的指标,将排放和土地利用对源头溪流年度温室气体动态的影响联系起来。
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引用次数: 1
Anchoring tools to communities: insights into perceptions of flood informational tools from a flood-prone community in Louisiana, USA 锚定社区工具:美国路易斯安那州一个洪水易发社区对洪水信息工具的看法
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-07-17 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1087076
E. Habib, B. Miles, L. Skilton, Mohamed Elsaadani, A. Osland, Emma Willis, Robert Miller, Trung Do, Stephen R. Barnes
The lack of community-relevant flood informational resources and tools often results in inadequate and divergent understandings of flood risk and can impede communities' ability to function cohesively in the face of increasing flood threats. The current study reports on a set of workshops that the authors conducted with various groups (citizens, city engineers and planners, realtors and builders, and media representatives) within a flood prone community to evaluate how novel hydroinformatic tools that include hydrodynamic modeling, geospatial visualization, and socioeconomic analysis can enhance understanding of flood risk and engagement in flood risk mitigation among diverse community members. The workshops were designed to help identify stakeholder preferences regarding key functionality needed for integrated hydroinformatic technologies and socioeconomic analyses for flood risk reduction. Workshop participants were asked to use and comment on examples of prototype flood risk informational tools, such as: (1) flood damage estimation tool, (2) drivability and emergency accessibility tool, and (3) community-scale social and economic metrics tool. Data gathered from workshops were analyzed using qualitative analysis based on a grounded-theory approach. Data were coded by hand based on themes identified by the research team and incorporated deviant case analysis to ensure minority opinions was represented. The study results are focused on the following main themes and how flood tools can address them: (1) improving the understanding of flood risk and engagement in flood risk mitigation, (2) reducing the gap between individual and community risk, (3) challenges in communicating flood risk information, (4) enhancing relevance to and engagement of the community, and (5) enabling actionable information. Our research demonstrates the need for community-anchored tools and technologies that can illustrate local context, include local historical and simulated events at multiple levels of community impact, enable analyses by flood professionals while also providing simplified tools of use by citizens, and allow individuals to expand their knowledge beyond their homes, businesses, and places of work.
缺乏与社区相关的洪水信息资源和工具往往导致对洪水风险的理解不足和分歧,并可能阻碍社区在面对日益严重的洪水威胁时团结一致地发挥作用。目前的研究报告了作者与洪水易发社区内的各个群体(公民、城市工程师和规划者、房地产经纪人和建筑商以及媒体代表)举办的一系列研讨会,以评估包括水动力学建模、地理空间可视化、,社会经济分析可以增强不同社区成员对洪水风险的理解和参与洪水风险缓解。研讨会旨在帮助确定利益相关者对综合水文信息技术和减少洪水风险的社会经济分析所需关键功能的偏好。研讨会参与者被要求使用原型洪水风险信息工具并对其进行评论,例如:(1)洪水损失估计工具,(2)可驾驶性和紧急可达性工具,以及(3)社区规模的社会和经济指标工具。从研讨会收集的数据采用基于扎根理论的定性分析方法进行分析。数据是根据研究团队确定的主题手工编码的,并纳入异常案例分析,以确保少数人的意见得到代表。研究结果集中在以下主要主题以及洪水工具如何应对这些主题:(1)提高对洪水风险的理解和参与洪水风险缓解,(2)缩小个人和社区风险之间的差距,(3)沟通洪水风险信息的挑战,(4)增强与社区的相关性和参与度,以及(5)使能可操作的信息。我们的研究表明,需要以社区为基础的工具和技术,这些工具和技术可以说明当地的背景,包括多个社区影响级别的当地历史和模拟事件,使洪水专业人员能够进行分析,同时也为公民提供简化的使用工具,并使个人能够将知识扩展到家庭、企业和工作场所之外。
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引用次数: 0
Application of machine learning and deep neural networks for spatial prediction of groundwater nitrate concentration to improve land use management practices 机器学习和深度神经网络在地下水硝酸盐浓度空间预测中的应用,以改善土地利用管理实践
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1193142
D. Karimanzira, J. Weis, Andreas Wunsch, Linda Ritzau, T. Liesch, M. Ohmer
The prediction of groundwater nitrate concentration's response to geo-environmental and human-influenced factors is essential to better restore groundwater quality and improve land use management practices. In this paper, we regionalize groundwater nitrate concentration using different machine learning methods (Random forest (RF), unimodal 2D and 3D convolutional neural networks (CNN), and multi-stream early and late fusion 2D-CNNs) so that the nitrate situation in unobserved areas can be predicted. CNNs take into account not only the nitrate values of the grid cells of the observation wells but also the values around them. This has the added benefit of allowing them to learn directly about the influence of the surroundings. The predictive performance of the models was tested on a dataset from a pilot region in Germany, and the results show that, in general, all the machine learning models, after a Bayesian optimization hyperparameter search and training, achieve good spatial predictive performance compared to previous studies based on Kriging and numerical models. Based on the mean absolute error (MAE), the random forest model and the 2DCNN late fusion model performed best with an MAE (STD) of 9.55 (0.367) mg/l, R2 = 0.43 and 10.32 (0.27) mg/l, R2 = 0.27, respectively. The 3DCNN with an MAE (STD) of 11.66 (0.21) mg/l and largest resources consumption is the worst performing model. Feature importance learning from the models was used in conjunction with partial dependency analysis of the most important features to gain greater insight into the major factors explaining the nitrate spatial variability. Large uncertainties in nitrate prediction have been shown in previous studies. Therefore, the models were extended to quantify uncertainty using prediction intervals (PIs) derived from bootstrapping. Knowledge of uncertainty helps the water manager reduce risk and plan more reliably.
预测地下水硝酸盐浓度对地质环境和人类影响因素的响应,对于更好地恢复地下水质量和改善土地利用管理实践至关重要。在本文中,我们使用不同的机器学习方法(随机森林(RF)、单峰2D和3D卷积神经网络(CNN)以及多流早期和晚期融合2D CNN)对地下水硝酸盐浓度进行了区域化,以便可以预测未观测区域的硝酸盐状况。细胞神经网络不仅考虑了观察井网格细胞的硝酸盐值,还考虑了它们周围的值。这还有一个额外的好处,那就是让他们能够直接了解周围环境的影响。在德国试点地区的数据集上测试了模型的预测性能,结果表明,与之前基于克里格和数值模型的研究相比,一般来说,所有机器学习模型在贝叶斯优化超参数搜索和训练后,都实现了良好的空间预测性能。基于平均绝对误差(MAE),随机森林模型和2DCNN后期融合模型表现最好,MAE(STD)分别为9.55(0.367)mg/l,R2=0.43和10.32(0.27)mg/l,R2=0.27。MAE(STD)为11.66(0.21)mg/l且资源消耗最大的3DCNN是性能最差的模型。模型中的特征重要性学习与最重要特征的部分相关性分析结合使用,以更好地了解解释硝酸盐空间变异性的主要因素。先前的研究表明,硝酸盐预测存在很大的不确定性。因此,模型被扩展为使用自举导出的预测区间(PI)来量化不确定性。对不确定性的了解有助于水务经理降低风险并更可靠地制定计划。
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Frontiers in Water
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