Sustainable Futures最新文献_第7页

The effect of commitment to sustainable supply chain management and reverse logistics on performance in context of UAE food industry 承诺可持续供应链管理和逆向物流对阿联酋食品行业绩效的影响

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100442

Ahmed Attia

The objective of the study is to assess the impact of commitment to sustainable supply chain management and commitment to sustainable reverse logistics on the capabilities of sustainable reverse logistics and operational performance. This will be achieved by gathering and analyzing data from the food industry in the UAE. A proposed research model illustrates the anticipated correlation between sustainable commitment to sustainable supply chain management, commitment to sustainable reverse logistics, sustainable reverse logistics capacity, and operational performance. The gathered data was validated and examined by various methodologies, including confirmatory analysis, reliability analysis, linear regression, correlation analysis, and structural equation modeling. The research model and hypotheses were tested based on data obtained through an online survey conducted among 315 enterprises operating in the food industry in the UAE. The statistical analysis of the gathered data confirms the presence of a favorable correlation between the commitment to sustainable supply chain management, the commitment to sustainable reverse logistics, and the sustainable reverse logistics capability. Furthermore, the statistical study provides evidence for the favorable correlation between sustainable reverse logistics capability and operational performance. The sample size may limit the generalizability of the study's findings. This paper proposes an effective operational framework for the food business in the UAE. The findings indicate that effectively implementing a commitment to sustainable supply chain management and a commitment to sustainable reverse logistics will enhance sustainable reverse logistics capability and operational performance. This study is part of a limited number of studies that aim to assess the influence of companies' commitment to sustainable supply chains and reverse logistics on performance in the Gulf region and the Middle East. The findings of this study highlight the significance of companies' dedication to sustaining supply chains due to their positive effect on enhancing performance and mitigating environmental pollution. This study underscores the need to establish enduring reverse logistics capabilities from a managerial standpoint. Managers should realize that possessing these talents is crucial for creating and strengthening a firm's competitive performance.

本研究的目的是评估可持续供应链管理承诺和可持续逆向物流承诺对可持续逆向物流能力和运营绩效的影响。这将通过收集和分析阿联酋食品行业的数据来实现。提出的研究模型说明了可持续供应链管理的可持续承诺、可持续逆向物流的承诺、可持续逆向物流能力和运营绩效之间的预期相关性。通过验证性分析、可靠性分析、线性回归、相关分析和结构方程建模等多种方法对收集到的数据进行验证和检验。通过对阿联酋315家食品行业企业的在线调查数据，对研究模型和假设进行了检验。对收集到的数据进行统计分析，证实了可持续供应链管理承诺、可持续逆向物流承诺与可持续逆向物流能力之间存在良好的相关关系。此外，统计研究还提供了可持续逆向物流能力与经营绩效之间良好相关关系的证据。样本量可能会限制研究结果的普遍性。本文提出了一个有效的运作框架的食品业务在阿联酋。研究结果表明，有效实施可持续供应链管理承诺和可持续逆向物流承诺将提高可持续逆向物流能力和运营绩效。本研究是旨在评估公司对可持续供应链和逆向物流的承诺对海湾地区和中东业绩影响的有限研究的一部分。本研究的结果强调了企业致力于维持供应链的重要性，因为它们对提高绩效和减轻环境污染具有积极作用。这项研究强调需要从管理角度建立持久的逆向物流能力。管理者应该意识到，拥有这些人才对于创造和加强公司的竞争绩效至关重要。

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引用次数: 0

Oil palm circular mobility and human capital outcomes: strengthening sustainable development goals 油棕循环流动和人力资本成果：加强可持续发展目标

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100448

Herdis Herdiansyah , Randi Mamola

The circular mobility of oil palm continues to evolve in tandem with the rapid development of the global supply chain. The mobility of oil palm in developing countries is reportedly beginning to shape the supremacy of farmers’ capacity building by pursuing the strengthening of human capital to influence sustainable human resources. This study examines the correlation between the circular mobility of oil palm and human capital outcomes, such as farm labor attendance, school participation, health status, and consumption purchasing power. Our research introduces income pathway as a contribution to the correlation analysis of the full-scale strengthening of farmers’ human capital outcomes. Our data set utilizes three rounds of household surveys for production and non-production farmers within the oil palm growth zone in the Indonesian province of North Sumatra, South Sumatra, Central Kalimantan, and West Kalimantan. Using two-stage least squares regression analysis and Spearman correlation, findings indicate positive evidence of a correlation among the circular mobility of oil palm, farm labor attendance, and school participation. This research discovers a negative relationship between health status and farmers’ consumption purchasing power in the involvement of circular mobility of oil palm. Strengthening the consumption of production and non-production farmers reinforces the correlation with differences in health status measured by infant mortality and nutritional adequacy, strengthening farmers’ consumption purchasing power. The current study finds that farmers’ income determines the level of enhancing their human capital actively engaged in the economic benefits of the circular mobility of oil palm activities so as to increase the achievement of sustainable development goals. Findings reinforce the implications of whether or not the circular mobility of oil palm can penetrate sustainable production, distribution, and consumption, particularly in strengthening the welfare of intragenerational farmers’ human capital.

随着全球供应链的快速发展，油棕的循环流动性也在不断发展。据报告，油棕在发展中国家的流动性开始形成农民能力建设的主导地位，力求加强人力资本，以影响可持续的人力资源。本研究探讨油棕循环流动与人力资本成果（如农场劳动出勤率、学校参与、健康状况和消费购买力）之间的相关性。我们的研究引入了收入路径作为对农民人力资本成果全面强化的相关性分析的贡献。我们的数据集采用了三轮家庭调查，针对印度尼西亚北苏门答腊省、南苏门答腊省、中加里曼丹省和西加里曼丹省油棕种植区的生产和非生产农民。使用两阶段最小二乘回归分析和Spearman相关，研究结果表明油棕的循环流动性，农场劳动力出勤率和学校参与率之间存在正相关证据。本研究发现，参与油棕循环流动的农户健康状况与消费购买力呈负相关。加强生产农民和非生产农民的消费，加强了以婴儿死亡率和营养充足性衡量的健康状况差异之间的相关性，增强了农民的消费购买力。本研究发现，农民的收入水平决定了其人力资本积极参与油棕循环流动活动的经济效益水平，从而提高可持续发展目标的实现。研究结果强化了油棕的循环流动是否可以渗透到可持续生产、分销和消费中，特别是在加强代际农民人力资本福利方面的意义。

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引用次数: 0

Green awakening: The rising influence of minority shareholders And ESG in shaping China's sustainable future 绿色觉醒：中小股东和ESG在塑造中国可持续未来中的影响力日益增强

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100441

Shanshan Yue , Norkhairul Hafiz Bajuri , Guang Ye , Farid Ullah

This study examines the impact of minority shareholder protection (MSP) on environmental innovation (EI) in China's A-share market, with ESG ratings as a moderating factor. While existing studies often emphasize minority shareholders’ tendency to prioritize short-term gains, we find that MSP positively affects EI performance, using a decade-long panel dataset (2013–2022) comprising 33,718 firm-year observations. Empirical findings also reveal that high ESG ratings can effectively amplify this effect. Specifically, ESG ratings encourage minority shareholders to remain silent no more. Additionally, results using international ESG standards highlight the suitability of local standards for developing countries. Regional analysis reveals heterogeneity in the effectiveness of ESG ratings across China, with the strongest effects observed in the middle region, where ESG ratings act more like a regulatory tool, pushing corporate actions to align with sustainability goals. Two-step GMM estimations further validate the robustness of these results. This study offers three key contributions. First, it expands the understanding of MSP as a driver of sustainability by demonstrating its role in fostering EI, a perspective often overlooked in previous studies. Second, it introduces the novel moderating role of ESG ratings, showing how they can shift minority shareholders’ focus toward long-term sustainability goals. Third, by analyzing regional heterogeneity, this research highlights the unique dynamics of ESG effectiveness in transitional economies like China. Integrating stakeholder and signaling theories, this study underscores the transformative potential of combining robust MSP mechanisms with credible ESG signals for achieving sustainable innovation.

本研究考察了中国a股市场中小股东保护（MSP）对环境创新（EI）的影响，并将ESG评级作为调节因素。虽然现有的研究经常强调小股东优先考虑短期收益的倾向，但我们发现MSP对EI绩效有积极影响，使用了一个长达十年的面板数据集（2013-2022），包括33,718个公司年的观察结果。实证结果也表明，高ESG评级可以有效放大这一效应。具体来说，ESG评级鼓励小股东不再保持沉默。此外，使用国际ESG标准的结果强调了当地标准对发展中国家的适用性。区域分析显示，ESG评级在中国各地的有效性存在差异，在中部地区的影响最大，在中部地区，ESG评级更像是一种监管工具，推动企业行动与可持续发展目标保持一致。两步GMM估计进一步验证了这些结果的稳健性。这项研究提供了三个关键贡献。首先，它通过展示其在培养EI中的作用，扩展了对MSP作为可持续性驱动因素的理解，这一观点在以前的研究中经常被忽视。其次，它介绍了ESG评级的新调节作用，展示了它们如何将小股东的注意力转向长期可持续性目标。第三，通过分析区域异质性，本研究突出了中国等转型经济体ESG有效性的独特动态。通过整合利益相关者和信号理论，本研究强调了将稳健的MSP机制与可靠的ESG信号相结合以实现可持续创新的变革潜力。

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引用次数: 0

Vision for Indonesia's 2050 power generation: Scenarios of hydrogen integration, nuclear energy prospects, and coal phase-out impact 印尼2050年发电展望：氢能整合情景、核能前景和煤炭淘汰影响

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100438

Tito Wijayanto, Dzikri Firmansyah Hakam, Prodia Nur Kemala

Indonesia's energy sector faces critical challenges due to its heavy reliance on coal as the dominant power source, which contributes to environmental degradation and rising CO₂ emissions, resulting into transition needs for renewable energy as targeted inside Nationally Determined Contribution (NDCs) 2060. In addition to these, hydrogen energy also shows great potential for Indonesia's energy needs. However, to date there are no extensive research in Indonesia that simulate the effect of hydrogen incorporation and coal phase-out policy for 2050 power generation system, making this research a critical contribution to the exploration of Indonesia's energy landscape. This study utilizes the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP). There are four simulated power generation scenarios in this study: the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, the hydrogen incorporation (HYD) scenario, the coal phase-out (CPO) scenario and the progressive (PRO) scenario. The analysis indicates that the BAU scenario emerges as the most cost-effective approach for meeting Indonesia's future electricity demand. However, due to its inability to fulfill NDCs, the CPO scenario is shown to be more viable from practical and cost perspectives, requiring 406.9 GW capacity and USD 114.6 billion investment. On the contrary, The HYD scenario largely aligns Indonesia's hydrogen target, potentially contributing 1–5 % of energy demand and reducing coal reliance. Additionally, while the PRO scenario has the highest investment cost (USD 151.4 billion), it also provides the lowest plant capacities (367.1 GW), offering the highest output-to-capacity ratio. The result suggests the necessity to enact government collaboration and construct feasibility analysis to implement renewable energy development.

由于严重依赖煤炭作为主要电力来源，印度尼西亚的能源部门面临严峻挑战，这导致环境恶化和二氧化碳排放增加，导致对可再生能源的过渡需求成为国家自主贡献（NDCs） 2060的目标。除此之外，氢能也显示出印尼能源需求的巨大潜力。然而，到目前为止，印度尼西亚还没有广泛的研究模拟氢结合和煤炭淘汰政策对2050年发电系统的影响，这使得这项研究对探索印度尼西亚的能源格局做出了重要贡献。本研究利用低排放分析平台（LEAP）。本研究中有四种模拟发电情景：照常运营（BAU）情景、含氢（HYD）情景、煤炭淘汰（CPO）情景和渐进（PRO）情景。分析表明，BAU方案是满足印尼未来电力需求的最具成本效益的方法。然而，由于无法实现国家自主贡献，从实际和成本的角度来看，CPO方案更可行，需要406.9 GW的容量和1146亿美元的投资。相反，HYD方案在很大程度上符合印度尼西亚的氢目标，可能贡献1 - 5%的能源需求，并减少对煤炭的依赖。此外，虽然PRO方案的投资成本最高（1514亿美元），但它也提供了最低的工厂容量（367.1吉瓦），提供了最高的输出容量比。结果表明，实施可再生能源开发需要政府合作和构建可行性分析。

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引用次数: 0

From green demand to deceptive practices: A cross-cultural study the impact of consumer green preferences on corporate greenwashing behavior in China, Republic of Korea, and Malaysia 从绿色需求到欺骗行为：中国、韩国和马来西亚消费者绿色偏好对企业洗绿行为影响的跨文化研究

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100440

Zhibin Tao

In the wave of globalization, the interaction between consumer green preferences and corporate greenwashing behavior is not only about business ethics and market integrity but also about the sustainable development of human society. However, research in this field is still in its infancy, particularly in terms of cross-cultural comparison. This study aims to delve into how consumer green preferences influence corporate greenwashing behavior, particularly within the three representative cross-cultural contexts of China, Republic of Korea, and Malaysia. The goal is to promote the healthy development of green consumption globally and contribute to building a future where humans and nature coexist harmoniously. Utilizing valid survey data from 1433 enterprises across these three countries, and employing SEM and fsQCA methods, the empirical test results indicate that among the three countries: (1) Consumer green preferences lead to corporate engagement in greenwashing behavior. (2) Consumer green preferences lead to market competitive pressure. (3) Market competitive pressure results in corporate greenwashing behavior. (4) Market competitive pressure plays a significant mediating role in the process by which consumer green preferences influence corporate greenwashing behavior. (5) Regulatory environment plays a moderating role in some of the impact paths across different countries, and in some impact paths, the moderating effect is absent. (6) The analysis results using the fsQCA method show that there are 4 different configurations leading to strong greenwashing behavior in enterprises in China, 3 in Republic of Korea, and 4 in Malaysia, and the most influential and explanatory configurations and paths have been identified. This study, with a global perspective, not only advances the theoretical innovation at the academic forefront of corporate governance and sustainability, but it also offers practical intelligent navigation for the strategic global layout of businesses. For policymakers, the findings of this research provide a solid theoretical foundation and forward-looking guidelines for constructing a green, fair, and sustainable market regulatory framework and governance system, holding significant value in guiding future research directions.

在全球化浪潮中，消费者绿色偏好与企业“漂绿”行为之间的互动关系不仅关系到商业道德和市场诚信，而且关系到人类社会的可持续发展。然而，这一领域的研究还处于起步阶段，特别是在跨文化比较方面。本研究旨在探讨消费者的绿色偏好如何影响企业的“漂绿”行为，特别是在中国、韩国和马来西亚这三个具有代表性的跨文化背景下。目标是推动全球绿色消费健康发展，为构建人与自然和谐共处的未来做出贡献。利用三国1433家企业的有效调查数据，运用SEM和fsQCA方法，实证检验结果表明：①消费者的绿色偏好导致企业参与洗绿行为；(2)消费者绿色偏好导致市场竞争压力。(3)市场竞争压力导致企业洗绿行为。(4)市场竞争压力在消费者绿色偏好影响企业洗绿行为的过程中起着显著的中介作用。(5)监管环境在不同国家的部分影响路径上起调节作用，在部分影响路径上不存在调节作用。(6) fsQCA方法分析结果显示，导致企业强烈洗绿行为的配置中，中国有4种，韩国有3种，马来西亚有4种，并确定了最具影响力和解释性的配置和路径。本研究以全球视角推进了公司治理与可持续发展的学术前沿理论创新，也为企业全球战略布局提供了实用的智能导航。对于政策制定者而言，本研究结果为构建绿色、公平、可持续的市场监管框架和治理体系提供了坚实的理论基础和前瞻性指导，对指导未来的研究方向具有重要价值。

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引用次数: 0

Applying circular economy strategies in mitigating the perfect storm: The built environment context 循环经济策略在缓解完美风暴中的应用：建筑环境背景

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100444

Love Opeyemi David , Clinton Aigbavboa , Omoseni Adepoju , Nwulu Nnamdi

The simultaneous insecurity of water, energy, and food resources, known as the Perfect Storm, requires a mitigating solution for resource security and sustainability. Hence, given the existing gap in the built environment regarding the lack of a clear relationship between the circular economy concept and its contribution to mitigating the perfect storm, this paper utilizes a qualitative research methodology of Systematic Literature Review (SLR) and Bibliometric Analysis. The paper analyzed how the circular economy concept within the built environment can effectively reduce resource pressure, thereby mitigating the perfect storm. The research findings show that nine (9) successful circular economy strategies are used in the built environment. In using the concept of circular economy in the built environment to mitigate the perfect storm, the paper proposed four (4) circular economy solutions with areas of applications and how they contribute to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG). These are material efficiency in building construction & circular economy strategies, Resource efficiency, organizational capital development in construction 4.0, and adoption of smart city principles, which address resource insecurity. The paper concluded that the study had widened the application of the circular economy concept from the need for production processes in the manufacturing sector to the prevention of unsustainable activities in the built environment and how it can aid in managing resources like water, energy, and food resources. The study also provided two policy recommendations: circular economy supply chain policies for the built environment and circular economy financing for sustainable materials.

水、能源和粮食资源同时不安全，被称为“完美风暴”，需要一个缓解资源安全和可持续性的解决方案。因此，鉴于循环经济概念与其对缓解完美风暴的贡献之间缺乏明确的关系，在建筑环境中存在差距，本文采用了系统文献综述（SLR）和文献计量分析的定性研究方法。本文分析了循环经济理念如何在建筑环境中有效地减少资源压力，从而缓解完美风暴。研究结果表明，在建筑环境中采用了九种成功的循环经济策略。为了在建筑环境中使用循环经济的概念来缓解完美风暴，本文提出了四(4)种循环经济解决方案，包括应用领域以及它们如何为可持续发展目标（SDG）做出贡献。这些是建筑施工中的材料效率& &；循环经济战略、资源效率、建筑4.0中的组织资本发展，以及解决资源不安全问题的智慧城市原则的采用。该论文的结论是，这项研究扩大了循环经济概念的应用范围，从制造业生产过程的需要到建筑环境中不可持续活动的预防，以及它如何有助于管理水、能源和粮食资源等资源。研究还提出了两项政策建议：针对建筑环境的循环经济供应链政策和针对可持续材料的循环经济融资。

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引用次数: 0

Strategic green alliances: Integrating green dynamic capabilities, AI, and electronic entrepreneurial innovation for sustainability 战略绿色联盟：整合绿色动态能力、人工智能和电子创业创新，实现可持续发展

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100433

Fadi Abdelfattah , Khalid Dahleez , Hussam Al Halbusi , Mohammed Salah

This study investigates the strategic integration of Green Dynamic Capabilities (GDC), artificial intelligence (AI), and electronic entrepreneurial innovation to promote sustainability within entrepreneurial ventures. Addressing a significant research gap, it examines how GDC fosters green innovation (RQ-1), the influence of green innovation on electronic entrepreneurial innovation (RQ-2), and the amplifying effect of AI adoption on these relationships (RQ-3). Utilizing a purposive sampling approach, data were collected from 214 Omani entrepreneurs through structured surveys. The findings reveal that GDC positively impacts green innovation, enhancing electronic entrepreneurial innovation. Moreover, AI adoption significantly moderates these relationships, amplifying the positive effects when AI integration is high. This underscores the pivotal role of AI in enhancing both GDC and green innovation efforts. The study contributes to academic knowledge by forging connections between GDC, green innovation, and AI adoption, offering actionable insights for businesses seeking sustainable practices and innovative solutions. The implications suggest that integrating AI technologies can maximize the benefits of GDC for electronic entrepreneurial innovation, emphasizing environmental responsibility and innovation-driven growth.

本研究探讨了绿色动态能力（GDC）、人工智能（AI）和电子创业创新的战略整合，以促进创业企业的可持续性。为了解决一个重大的研究缺口，它研究了GDC如何促进绿色创新（RQ-1），绿色创新对电子创业创新的影响（RQ-2），以及人工智能采用对这些关系的放大效应（RQ-3）。利用有目的的抽样方法，通过结构化调查收集了214名阿曼企业家的数据。研究发现，GDC正向影响绿色创新，促进电子创业创新。此外，人工智能的采用显著调节了这些关系，当人工智能整合程度高时，其积极影响会被放大。这凸显了人工智能在促进GDC和绿色创新方面的关键作用。该研究通过建立GDC、绿色创新和人工智能应用之间的联系，为寻求可持续实践和创新解决方案的企业提供可操作的见解，从而为学术知识做出贡献。研究结果表明，整合人工智能技术可以最大限度地提高GDC对电子创业创新的效益，强调环境责任和创新驱动增长。

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引用次数: 0

The impact of energy prices on electric vehicle adoption: From a perspective of consumer expectations 能源价格对电动汽车采用的影响：基于消费者预期的视角

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100437

Xiaolei Zhao , Xuemei Li , Anqi Wang , Jianjun Fang

The rapid adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) is critical to achieving sustainable transportation, yet the role of energy prices in shaping consumer decisions remains underexplored, particularly in terms of their relative effects. This study provides a methodological and empirical contribution to understanding the role of energy prices in electric vehicle (EV) adoption, a critical factor in advancing sustainable transportation. It employs a discrete choice model integrated with a regression discontinuity design to analyse the differential impacts of gasoline and electricity prices on EV adoption across 50 Chinese cities from 2010 to 2020. Methodologically, this approach allows for precise estimation of the causal effects of energy prices while controlling for potential confounding factors. Empirically, the study quantifies the relative influence of gasoline prices, which are found to have a significantly larger impact—approximately 3.5 to 6 times greater than electricity prices—on consumer adoption behaviour. Furthermore, it introduces an innovative framework to address consumer misperceptions of future electricity costs, estimating that up to 37 % of optimal EV subsidies are allocated to correcting these misjudgements. These findings offer novel insights for shaping more effective and sustainable transportation policies, bridging the gap between economic theory and real-world consumer behaviour.

电动汽车（ev）的迅速普及对于实现可持续交通至关重要，但能源价格在塑造消费者决策中的作用仍未得到充分探讨，特别是在其相对影响方面。该研究为理解能源价格在电动汽车（EV）采用中的作用提供了方法和实证贡献，这是促进可持续交通的关键因素。该研究采用离散选择模型与回归不连续设计相结合，分析了2010年至2020年中国50个城市汽油和电力价格对电动汽车采用的差异影响。在方法上，这种方法可以精确估计能源价格的因果关系，同时控制潜在的混杂因素。根据经验，该研究量化了汽油价格的相对影响，发现汽油价格对消费者采用行为的影响要大得多——大约是电价的3.5到6倍。此外，它引入了一个创新的框架来解决消费者对未来电力成本的误解，估计多达37%的最佳电动汽车补贴被分配给纠正这些错误判断。这些发现为制定更有效和可持续的交通政策提供了新的见解，弥合了经济理论与现实世界消费者行为之间的差距。

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引用次数: 0

Closing the loop on water supply and sanitation: The dynamic links between population, ecosystems, and economic interactions 关闭供水和卫生的循环：人口、生态系统和经济互动之间的动态联系

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100434

Jean M P De Paula , Francisco S Pinto , Amílcar Arantes , Rui C Marques

Water Supply and Sanitation (WSS) services face challenges as high investment costs, contextual characteristics and constraints, and conflicting interests. Increasing the access and demands evolve the focus to specific requirements, possibly diverting WSS from their core purposes and functional needs to deliver the services. Guarantee human basic needs in our interconnected and complex society has become challenging. This study proposes a comprehensive approach to expose feedback loops related to WSS effects and dependencies. Notably, a Causal Loop Diagram (CLD) shows a novelly way to qualify decision making processes and public policies associating the feedback loops relating overall goal to the sectorial needs, promoting the (re)concile of collective and individual values enrolled. Bringing the financial dependence close to WSS´s their role in health uncovers critical links to the environment and economic development, particularly the population growth, the ecosystem consequences, and the economic feedback dependence. To validate the CLD-to-WSS model, expert judgment was integrated into the modeling process, and further research can build on this knowledge, identifying evidence to support the process, bridging perceptions to quantitative results comprehensively.

供水和卫生服务面临着投资成本高、环境特征和约束以及利益冲突等挑战。增加访问和需求会将焦点转移到特定的需求上，可能会使WSS偏离其核心目的和交付服务的功能需求。在我们这个相互联系和复杂的社会中，保障人类的基本需求已成为一项挑战。本研究提出了一种全面的方法来揭示与WSS效应和依赖性相关的反馈回路。值得注意的是，因果循环图（CLD）展示了一种新颖的方式来限定决策过程和公共政策，将总体目标与部门需求相关的反馈循环联系起来，促进所登记的集体和个人价值的（重新）调和。将经济依赖与WSS在健康中的作用联系起来，揭示了环境和经济发展的关键联系，特别是人口增长、生态系统后果和经济反馈依赖。为了验证CLD-to-WSS模型，专家判断被整合到建模过程中，进一步的研究可以建立在这些知识的基础上，识别支持该过程的证据，将感知与定量结果全面联系起来。

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引用次数: 0

Transport emission modelling based on a bottom-up approach to facilitate sustainable transport planning 基于自下而上方法的交通排放模型，以促进可持续的交通规划

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100435

Anna Charly , Brian Caulfield

Modelling road transport emissions is critical in designing sustainable policies. Traditional emission models follow a top-down approach by distributing the emissions for a region based on the vehicle stock. This research envisions a bottom-up approach based on the link traffic volume, fleet, and emission factors to develop an improved model for link-based transport emissions. The proposed model is integrated with the National Transport Model for Ireland and considers CO₂, NO_X and PM_2.5 emissions from all vehicles and fuel types, including electric vehicles (EVs). Further, the impact of increasing EV trip share outside the major urban regions is evaluated. Analysis showed that emissions generated by a single vehicle were much higher in rural areas than urban ones. Results indicate that replacing a conventional car with an EV in rural counties could reduce up to 3.4 kg of CO₂ during a morning peak hour instead of 2.2 kg in urban areas.

道路运输排放模拟对于设计可持续政策至关重要。传统的排放模型采用自顶向下的方法，根据车辆的数量分布一个地区的排放量。本研究设想了一种基于链路交通量、车队和排放因素的自下而上的方法，以开发基于链路的运输排放的改进模型。拟议的模型与爱尔兰国家运输模型相结合，并考虑了所有车辆和燃料类型（包括电动汽车）的二氧化碳、氮氧化物和PM2.5排放。此外，还评估了在主要城市地区以外增加电动汽车出行份额的影响。分析表明，农村地区一辆汽车的排放量远高于城市地区。结果表明，在农村地区，用电动汽车取代传统汽车可以在早高峰时段减少高达3.4公斤的二氧化碳排放，而在城市地区则为2.2公斤。

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