Sustainable Futures最新文献_第3页

Contribution of road transport infrastructure in mitigating the inward–immiserizing growth in Cameroon: An externality approach in computable general equilibrium analysis 道路交通基础设施对缓解喀麦隆内向型增长的贡献：可计算一般均衡分析中的外部性方法

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100298

The issue of immiserizing growth has been largely discussed in the literature since 1958. It describes a country context contending with high volume of exports relatively to its imports on the international market that benefits from high economic growth but losses in households’ welfare. This study aims to investigate the contribution of transport infrastructure to tackle immiserizing growth in developing countries, focusing on the Cameroon economy, a contending with a significant lack in the development of road transport infrastructure. Further, the study enriches the debate on the wider economic impacts, closely related to immiserizing growth. The loss of welfare is observed upstream to the investigations, as a response to the application of two types of fiscal policies: the import tariff and the capital income tax. Through a dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, the effect of road transport infrastructure is explored, using the externalities approach. This is an innovative methodology recently applied to access the economic impacts of infrastructure investment making a difference between productive and non-productive infrastructure investments. The findings reveal that productive transport infrastructure not only reduces the wider economic impact by improving households’ welfare but also enhances economic growth. A 10 percent increase in road transport infrastructure investment funded by import tariff leads to a welfare improvement of 1.94% and 1.66% in both short and long terms compared to respective losses of 0.58% and 0.15% if the generated financial funds are allocated in non-productive infrastructure such as monuments, defense etc. The similar tendency is observed for the capital income tax funding. Thus, policymakers are recommended to accentuate the road construction, in order to shorten the complex interplay between public decisions and households’ living conditions.

自 1958 年以来，相关文献主要讨论的是 "不公平增长 "问题。它描述的是一个国家在国际市场上的出口量相对于进口量较高，从高经济增长中获益，但家庭福利受到损失。本研究旨在调查交通基础设施对解决发展中国家不公平增长问题的贡献，重点是喀麦隆经济，该国在发展道路交通基础设施方面存在严重不足。此外，这项研究还丰富了与 "吝啬增长 "密切相关的更广泛经济影响的讨论。调查发现，福利损失是对实施进口关税和资本所得税这两类财政政策的反应。通过动态可计算一般均衡（CGE）模型，利用外部性方法探讨了道路交通基础设施的影响。这是一种创新方法，最近被用于获取基础设施投资对经济的影响，从而区分生产性和非生产性基础设施投资。研究结果表明，生产性交通基础设施不仅能通过改善家庭福利来减少更广泛的经济影响，还能促进经济增长。由进口关税资助的道路交通基础设施投资每增加 10%，短期和长期的福利改善率分别为 1.94% 和 1.66%，而如果将所产生的财政资金用于纪念碑、国防等非生产性基础设施，则福利损失率分别为 0.58% 和 0.15%。资本所得税资金也有类似的趋势。因此，建议决策者重视道路建设，以缩短公共决策与家庭生活条件之间复杂的相互作用。

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引用次数: 0

Research on provincial implied carbon emissions in China under the shared responsibility driven by new quality productivity: A new approach 新优质生产力驱动下的责任共担--中国省级隐含碳排放研究：一种新方法

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100303

The allocation of responsibility for carbon emissions among involved parties has garnered significant attention. This study proposes a comprehensive sharing coefficient methodology known as CVAT (direct carbon emissions, value added, and technology level) to enhance the accuracy and equity of responsibility sharing driven by the new productivity standard. This study utilizes the environmental expansion multi-region input-output (EEMRIO) model to assess China's implicit provincial carbon emissions over the previous two decades. The study investigates the characteristics of the implied carbon transfer network using social network analysis (SNA) techniques. Key findings include: (1) The CVAT method's determination of responsibility sharing coefficients aligns with fairness and efficiency principles, resulting in a more equitable distribution of implied carbon emission responsibilities conducive to achieving fair carbon emission reduction. (2) Over the research period, national implied carbon emissions exhibited an upward trajectory, increasing from 3.305 billion tons in 2002 to 9.726 billion tons in 2017, with Shandong, Hebei, and Jiangsu provinces ranking among the top emitters in China. (3) Eastern coastal and western regions function as net carbon transfer out regions, while the central, northeast, and southwest regions act as net carbon transfer in regions. (4) The implied carbon transfer network demonstrated relative stability throughout the study period, with Shandong, Hebei, Jiangsu, and Inner Mongolia emerging as major carbon transfer provinces. The study's outcomes hold significant implications for the impartial and accurate assessment of carbon emission responsibilities and the advancement of global carbon emission reduction efforts.

碳排放责任在相关方之间的分配问题备受关注。本研究提出了一种称为 CVAT（直接碳排放量、增加值和技术水平）的综合分担系数方法，以提高新生产力标准下责任分担的准确性和公平性。本研究利用环境扩张多地区投入产出（EEMRIO）模型，评估了中国过去二十年各省的隐性碳排放量。研究利用社会网络分析（SNA）技术调查了隐含碳转移网络的特征。主要发现包括(1）CVAT 方法确定的责任分担系数符合公平和效率原则，使隐含碳排放责任分配更加公平，有利于实现公平的碳减排。(2）在研究期内，全国隐含碳排放量呈现上升趋势，从 2002 年的 33.05 亿吨增加到 2017 年的 97.26 亿吨，其中山东、河北、江苏三省排放量居全国前列。(3）东部沿海地区和西部地区为碳净转移输出地区，中部、东北和西南地区为碳净转移输入地区。(4）隐含的碳转移网络在整个研究期间表现出相对稳定性，山东、河北、江苏和内蒙古成为主要的碳转移省份。该研究成果对公正、准确地评估碳排放责任和推进全球碳减排工作具有重要意义。

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引用次数: 0

Developing customer service quality: Influences of job stress and management process alignment in banking industry 提高客户服务质量：银行业工作压力和管理流程调整的影响

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100311

Job stress and management process alignment can influence work attitudes and productivity; however, there is still no empirical evidence addressing how these factors influence customer service quality in banking industry. Thus, this research aims to explore how job stress and management process alignment influence commitment and employee performance which develop customer service quality. 650 bank employees who were working at different banks in Cambodia were asked to join the survey process via a survey questionnaire. Researchers applied a path analysis technique to analyze the collected data. This research found that job stress and management process alignment significantly influenced organizational commitment. Meanwhile, job stress, management process alignment, and organizational commitment significantly influenced employee performance. Furthermore, customer service quality was significantly influenced by employee performance, except organizational commitment. Finally, employee performance mediated the relationship between organizational commitment and customer service quality. These key findings revealed workers’ insights which could be an evidence-based strategy for banks to issue an effective working policy to develop better customer service quality.

工作压力和管理流程协调会影响工作态度和生产率；然而，目前仍没有实证证据证明这些因素如何影响银行业的客户服务质量。因此，本研究旨在探讨工作压力和管理流程一致性如何影响承诺和员工绩效，从而提高客户服务质量。研究人员通过调查问卷邀请了 650 名在柬埔寨不同银行工作的银行员工参与调查。研究人员采用路径分析技术对收集到的数据进行了分析。研究发现，工作压力和管理过程一致性对组织承诺有显著影响。同时，工作压力、管理流程一致性和组织承诺对员工绩效有明显影响。此外，除组织承诺外，客户服务质量也受到员工绩效的明显影响。最后，员工绩效在组织承诺和客户服务质量之间起到了中介作用。这些重要发现揭示了员工的见解，可作为银行发布有效工作政策以提高客户服务质量的实证策略。

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引用次数: 0

Evaluation and prediction of water-energy-food nexus under land use changes in the Yellow River Basin, China 中国黄河流域土地利用变化下水-能源-粮食关系的评价与预测

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100307

Scientific understanding of the changes in the Water-Energy-Food (WEF) nexus is crucial for regional development. As the spatial foundation of human activities, land use plays a pivotal role in shaping WEF nexus relations. However, little research has fully explored the impacts of land use changes within the WEF nexus from the human activities perspective. In this study, a novel theoretical framework was developed according to the logic flow “human activities-land use–WEF nexus”. Based on the LUI, the WEF score, and the ICCD between land use changes and WEF, the WEF score of various scenarios was forecasted using the ARIMA model. The findings revealed the various land use structures and LUI among nine provinces, with more intensive land use in lower reaches. During two decades, a discernible increase in both WEF system scores and ICCD was found in YRB. The WEF scores of all provinces had surpassed the threshold of 0.3 for two decades, and Inner Mongolia grew the fastest from 0.223 to 0.524. The ICCD of nine provinces evolved with fluctuations, from an imminent unbalanced or near coordination level in 2000 to primary coordination or moderate coordination level in 2020. The optimal land use scenarios varied across provinces, attributed to factors such as resource and environmental constraints (Qinghai and Sichuan), specialized agriculture or industry (Gansu, Ningxia, and Inner Mongolia), differentiated zonal characteristics (Shaanxi and Shanxi), and rapid industrialization and urbanization (Henan and Shandong). To attain sustainable development within the YRB, it is imperative to formulate differentiated land use strategies in each province, and universal strategies should also be established for each land use type.

科学认识水-能源-粮食（WEF）关系的变化对于地区发展至关重要。作为人类活动的空间基础，土地利用在形成水-能源-粮食关系中发挥着关键作用。然而，很少有研究从人类活动的角度充分探讨 WEF 关系中土地利用变化的影响。本研究根据 "人类活动-土地利用-世界环境基金关系 "的逻辑流建立了一个新的理论框架。根据土地利用变化、世界环境基金得分以及土地利用变化与世界环境基金之间的 ICCD，利用 ARIMA 模型预测了不同情景下的世界环境基金得分。研究结果显示，九个省份的土地利用结构和土地利用水平各不相同，下游地区的土地利用更为密集。在 20 年间，长三角地区的 WEF 系统得分和 ICCD 都出现了明显的增长。二十年来，所有省份的 WEF 分数都超过了 0.3 的临界值，其中内蒙古增长最快，从 0.223 上升到 0.524。9 个省份的 ICCD 出现波动，从 2000 年的濒临不平衡或接近协调水平发展到 2020 年的初级协调或中度协调水平。各省的最佳土地利用方案不尽相同，原因包括资源和环境约束（青海和四川）、特色农业或工业（甘肃、宁夏和内蒙古）、分区特征（陕西和山西）以及快速工业化和城市化（河南和山东）。为了实现长三角地区的可持续发展，各省必须制定差异化的土地利用战略，并为每种土地利用类型制定通用战略。

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引用次数: 0

Raising the future together: Assessing the impact of the Chics program on primary caregivers in low-income daycares 共育未来：评估 Chics 计划对低收入托儿所主要照顾者的影响

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100306

Parental involvement in a child's school is crucial during early childhood, a critical period for skill-forming and neurodevelopment. However, the impact of early childhood programs on parents is understudied. This study evaluates the Chics program – which includes teacher training, an improved curriculum, and support meetings – on parental involvement in low-income daycares in South Africa, focusing on parents’ wellbeing, unity, knowledge, and agency. Focus groups and surveys with 126 parents showed the program had positive changes in parental unity, life satisfaction, and agency, encouraging community projects. The results could advice other programs to cost-effectively increase parental involvement in daycare centres.

幼儿期是技能形成和神经发育的关键时期，家长对孩子学校的参与至关重要。然而，幼儿教育项目对家长的影响却鲜有研究。本研究评估了 Chics 计划（包括教师培训、改进课程和支持会议）对南非低收入托儿所家长参与的影响，重点关注家长的幸福感、团结、知识和能动性。对 126 名家长进行的焦点小组讨论和调查显示，该计划在家长的团结、生活满意度和能动性方面产生了积极的变化，并鼓励开展社区项目。这些结果可以为其他计划提供建议，从而以具有成本效益的方式提高日托中心的家长参与度。

引用次数: 0

Embracing multi-functionality in European infrastructure projects: A system of systems perspective 将多功能纳入欧洲基础设施项目：系统的系统视角

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100308

Infrastructure projects undergo multiple changes throughout their lifecycle, adapting to new mobilities, technologies and environments. We build on the System of Systems (SoS) theoretical concept to understand the implications of such infrastructure transformations, specifically when projects move from a single purpose to hosting multiple functions. Using multiple case studies in Europe, we investigate which functions will likely be added to the original infrastructure and the rationale for adding these functions. Therefore, we expand upon the theoretical concepts of circularity, resilience, and social sustainability, wherein multifunctional infrastructure adapts, renews, and complements existing infrastructure.

基础设施项目在其整个生命周期中会经历多重变化，以适应新的移动性、技术和环境。我们以 "系统的系统"（SoS）理论概念为基础，来理解这种基础设施转型的影响，特别是当项目从单一目的转变为承载多种功能时。通过对欧洲多个案例的研究，我们探讨了哪些功能可能会被添加到原有的基础设施中，以及添加这些功能的理由。因此，我们扩展了循环性、复原力和社会可持续性的理论概念，其中多功能基础设施对现有基础设施进行调整、更新和补充。

引用次数: 0

Food security in Pakistan: Investigating the spillover effect of Russia-Ukraine conflict 巴基斯坦的粮食安全：调查俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突的溢出效应

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100300

This is study investigates inter-connectedness of Russia-Ukraine conflict with wheat prices in Pakistan through oil prices, exchange rate, economic policy uncertainty. This objective is realized by employing cross-quantilogram, rolling window multiple correlation, and TVP-Var approaches on weekly data from 7 to 1–2021 to 9–3–2023. The estimated results of cross-quantilogram, rolling window multiple correlation reveal significant positive co-movement between Russian and Ukraine conflict and wheat prices. The major variables responsible for the spillover effect are oil prices, depreciation of exchange rate, and economic policy uncertainty. The finding urges to stabilize exchange rate and economic policy uncertainty along with finding alternative cheap energy sources.

本研究通过石油价格、汇率和经济政策的不确定性，探讨俄乌冲突与巴基斯坦小麦价格之间的相互联系。为实现这一目标，对 2021 年 1 月 7 日至 2023 年 3 月 9 日的每周数据采用了交叉量纲、滚动窗口多重相关性和 TVP-Var 方法。交叉量纲、滚动窗口多重相关性的估计结果显示，俄罗斯和乌克兰冲突与小麦价格之间存在显著的正相关关系。造成溢出效应的主要变量是石油价格、汇率贬值和经济政策的不确定性。研究结果敦促稳定汇率和经济政策不确定性，同时寻找替代性廉价能源。

引用次数: 0

Pathways to China's carbon neutrality and clean energy transition: Evidence from the three decades long stricter environmental regulations 中国碳中和与清洁能源转型之路：长达三十年之久的严格环境法规的证据

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100296

This study highlights the ongoing debate surrounding China's slow low-carbon transition despite a rapid shift towards clean energy. However, this debate is crucial for finding pathways to China's pledge to carbon neutrality. Using Auto-Regression Distributed Lag model over the time series data spanning 1990–2020, study attempts to add to the literature by exploring the nexus betwixt environmental regulations, renewable energy transition, and carbon dioxide emissions along with incumbent macroeconomic factors i.e., economic growth and trade. The findings conclude that stringent environmental regulations spur renewable energy transition and combat carbon dioxide emissions. However, energy intensive growth suggests China's priority for development targets ˗ leading to continued increase in fossil fuels despite the remarkable increase in renewable energy resources in country's total energy mix. Moreover, trade remains the crucial component of economic growth but found helping for renewable energy transition in the short-run. The two-way causality between these factors validate the regression results. Whereas the inelastic and insignificant relationship between stringent environmental regulations, renewables, and carbon dioxide emissions in the long run – highlights prospective challenges in terms of efficiency, management, and subsidy-related issues. Thus, the study suggest that trade liberalization helps the country to achieve its carbon abatement goals. However, further market based policy reforms toward stricter environmental regulations are needed for innovation driven efficiency in the energy sector.

本研究强调，尽管中国正在快速向清洁能源转型，但围绕中国低碳转型缓慢的争论仍在持续。然而，这场争论对于找到中国实现碳中和的途径至关重要。本研究利用 1990-2020 年时间序列数据的自回归分布滞后模型，探讨了环境法规、可再生能源转型、二氧化碳排放与现有宏观经济因素（即经济增长和贸易）之间的关系，试图为相关文献增添新的内容。研究结果表明，严格的环境法规能促进可再生能源的转型并减少二氧化碳的排放。然而，能源密集型增长表明中国的优先发展目标˗，导致化石燃料的持续增长，尽管可再生能源资源在中国的总能源结构中显著增加。此外，贸易仍然是经济增长的重要组成部分，但在短期内有助于可再生能源的转型。这些因素之间的双向因果关系验证了回归结果。而从长期来看，严格的环境法规、可再生能源和二氧化碳排放之间的关系缺乏弹性且不显著，这凸显了在效率、管理和补贴相关问题方面的挑战。因此，研究表明，贸易自由化有助于该国实现碳减排目标。然而，为了提高能源部门的创新驱动效率，还需要进一步进行基于市场的政策改革，制定更严格的环境法规。

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引用次数: 0

Do Islamic work ethics matter? Impact of aversive leadership on employees’ emotional and psychological health through the lens of conservation of resource theory 伊斯兰工作伦理重要吗？从资源保护理论的角度看厌恶型领导对员工情绪和心理健康的影响

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100309

Aversive leadership remains a relatively underexplored area in organizational behavior. This study advances the field by identifying emotional exhaustion as a key mechanism linking aversive leadership to employees’ psychological health outcomes, including psychological well-being, psychological strain, and psychological detachment. It also examines the role of Islamic work ethics (IWE) as a moderator in the relationship between aversive leadership and emotional exhaustion. Supported by conservation of resource (COR) theory, which posits that stressful workplace situations, such as aversive leadership, lead to resource depletion resulting in emotional exhaustion and poor psychological health, this study finds that individuals with strong personal resources, such as IWE, are better equipped to cope with these negative outcomes. Data were collected from 260 employees in service sector organizations of Pakistan using self-administrated questionnaires. The results supported direct and indirect effects, as well as the moderating role of IWE. This study provides valuable insights for policymakers in addressing the negative impacts of aversive leadership and offers organizations guidance on selecting and nurturing supportive and positive leaders. Such leaders can foster a healthier and more productive work environment.

在组织行为学中，逆向领导仍是一个探索相对不足的领域。本研究通过确定情绪衰竭是将厌恶型领导与员工的心理健康结果（包括心理健康、心理压力和心理疏离）联系起来的关键机制，推进了这一领域的研究。研究还探讨了伊斯兰工作伦理（IWE）在厌恶型领导与情感衰竭之间的调节作用。资源保护（COR）理论认为，工作场所的压力情况（如厌恶性领导）会导致资源枯竭，从而造成情绪衰竭和心理健康状况不佳，本研究在此理论的支持下发现，拥有强大个人资源（如 IWE）的个体能够更好地应对这些负面结果。本研究使用自我管理的调查问卷收集了巴基斯坦服务行业组织 260 名员工的数据。研究结果支持直接和间接效应，以及 IWE 的调节作用。这项研究为政策制定者解决厌恶型领导的负面影响提供了宝贵的见解，并为组织选择和培养支持型、积极型领导提供了指导。这样的领导可以营造一个更健康、更富有成效的工作环境。

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引用次数: 0

Fiscal policy and deforestation 财政政策与毁林

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures

Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100305

We investigate the impact of fiscal policy on deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon and Atlantic Forests. We first construct a theoretical dynamic model to examine the effects of government spending and tax revenues on the environment. We then run a VAR model to test the implications of fiscal policies on Brazilian deforestation, using data from June 1998 to May 2022. Our results suggest that government expenditures reduce deforestation in both forests. Moreover, deficit-inducing and balanced-budget fiscal policy shocks have dampening effects on deforestation, with the latter being more effective. This is good news for developing countries like Brazil. They can combat deforestation through fiscal policy in a way that doesn't worsen their fiscal situation. Our findings were unaltered when we considered the effects of a simulated fiscal policy based on spending on public goods only (social assistance, science and technology, defense, education, health, national security, and transportation).

我们研究了财政政策对巴西亚马逊和大西洋森林砍伐森林的影响。我们首先构建了一个理论动态模型，考察政府支出和税收对环境的影响。然后，我们利用 1998 年 6 月至 2022 年 5 月的数据，运行 VAR 模型来检验财政政策对巴西森林砍伐的影响。我们的结果表明，政府支出减少了两种森林的砍伐。此外，赤字诱导型和平衡预算型财政政策冲击对森林砍伐都有抑制作用，后者更为有效。这对巴西等发展中国家来说是个好消息。他们可以通过财政政策打击毁林行为，同时又不会恶化其财政状况。如果我们只考虑基于公共产品（社会援助、科技、国防、教育、卫生、国家安全和交通）支出的模拟财政政策的效果，我们的发现也不会改变。

引用次数: 0