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Institutions and the transition to adulthood: Implications for fertility tempo in low-fertility settings. 制度和向成年的过渡:对低生育率环境中生育节奏的影响。
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.1553/populationyearbook2008s57
Ronald R Rindfuss, Sarah R Brauner-Otto

The number of countries experiencing very low fertility has been rising in recent years, garnering increasing academic, political and media attention. There is now widespread academic agreement that the postponement of fertility is a major contributing factor in the very low levels of fertility that have occurred, and yet most policy discussions have been devoted to increasing the numbers of children women have. We discuss factors in three institutions-the educational system, the labour market and the housing market-that may inadvertently have led to childbearing postponement. We highlight important components of the timing of childbearing, including its changing place within the transition to adulthood across countries and the significance of the demands of childbearing versus childrearing. Using illustrations from Europe, North America, Japan, Australia and New Zealand, we argue that the following all lead to younger childbearing: 1) an open education system whereby it is relatively easy to return to school after having dropped out for a while; 2) a shorter, smoother, easier school-to-work transition; 3) easier re-entry into the labour market after having taken time out for childrearing or any other reason; 4) greater capability of integrating childrearing into a career; 5) easier ability to obtain a mortgage with a moderately small down payment, moderately low interest rate and a long time period over which to repay the loan; and 6) easier ability to rent a dwelling unit at an affordable price. Conversely, reversing any or all of these factors would lead, other things being equal, to postponement of childbearing.

近年来,生育率极低的国家数量不断增加,引起了学术界、政界和媒体越来越多的关注。现在学术界普遍同意,推迟生育是造成生育率极低的一个主要因素,然而,大多数政策讨论都致力于增加妇女生育子女的数目。我们讨论了三个方面的因素——教育系统、劳动力市场和住房市场——它们可能在不经意间导致了生育推迟。我们强调了生育时间的重要组成部分,包括其在各国向成年过渡中的变化位置,以及生育与抚养孩子的需求的重要性。以欧洲、北美、日本、澳大利亚和新西兰的例子为例,我们认为以下都导致了晚育:1)一个开放的教育系统,在辍学一段时间后相对容易重返学校;2)更短、更顺畅、更容易的从学校到工作的过渡;3)在因育儿或其他原因休假后更容易重新进入劳动力市场;4)更有能力把孩子和事业结合起来;5)较容易获得首付适中、利率适中、还款期限较长的抵押贷款;6)更容易以负担得起的价格租到住房。相反,在其他条件相同的情况下,逆转这些因素中的任何一个或全部都会导致推迟生育。
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引用次数: 0
On the age dynamics of learned societies-taking the example of the Austrian Academy of Sciences. 论学术团体的年龄动态——以奥地利科学院为例。
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.1553/populationyearbook2007s107
Gustav Feichtinger, Maria Winkler-Dworak, Inga Freund, Alexia Prskawetz, Fernando Riosmena

In a hierarchical organisation of stable size the annual intake is strictly determined by the number of deaths and a statutory retirement age (if there is one). In this paper we reconstruct the population of the Austrian Academy of Sciences from 1847 to 2005. For the Austrian Academy of Sciences we observe a shift of its age distribution towards older ages, which on the one hand is due to rising life expectancy, i.e., a rising age at death, as well as to an increased age at entry on the other hand. Therefore the number of new entrants has been fluctuating considerably-especially reflecting several statutory changes-and the length of tenure before reaching the age limit has declined during the second half of the last century.Based on alternative scenarios of the age distribution of incoming members-including a young, an old, the 'current' and a mixed-age model-we then project the population of the Austrian Academy and its ageing forward in time. Our results indicate that the 'optimum policy' would be to elect either young or old aged new members.

在规模稳定的等级组织中,每年的招聘人数严格取决于死亡人数和法定退休年龄(如果有法定退休年龄的话)。本文对1847年至2005年奥地利科学院的人口进行了重建。就奥地利科学院而言,我们观察到其年龄分布向年龄较大的方向转变,这一方面是由于预期寿命延长,即死亡年龄增加,另一方面是由于入职年龄增加。因此,新入职人员的数量一直波动很大,特别是反映了几项法律的变化,而且在上世纪下半叶,达到年龄限制之前的任期长度有所下降。根据新成员年龄分布的不同情况——包括年轻人、老年人、“当前”和混合年龄模型——我们预测了奥地利科学院的人口及其老龄化趋势。我们的研究结果表明,“最优政策”是选择年轻或年老的新成员。
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引用次数: 0
Intergenerational inequalities in mortality-adjusted disposable incomes 经死亡率调整的可支配收入的代际不平等
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.1553/populationyearbook2019s037
Hippolyte d’Albis, Ikpidi Badji
This article analyses the development of inequalities between the generations in France using a composite indicator including income and life expectancy. Mortalityadjusted disposable income has greatly increased over the generations. However, a breakdown by sex shows that this increasing trend is attributable to rapid growth in women’s income, while men’s income has stagnated for all cohorts born since 1946.
本文使用包括收入和预期寿命在内的综合指标分析了法国代际不平等的发展。经过几代人的努力,经死亡率调整后的可支配收入大幅增加。然而,按性别分列的情况显示,这种增长趋势是由于妇女收入的迅速增长,而1946年以来出生的所有年龄组的男子收入停滞不前。
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引用次数: 1
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Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
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