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China’s technology acquisition for military innovation: spectrum of legality in strategic competition 中国军事创新技术获取:战略竞争中的合法性频谱
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14799855.2023.2241396
A. Herlevi, Rose Rodgers
ABSTRACT The People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) acquires foreign technology to upgrade its military capabilities. We describe how PRC-affiliated actors acquire technology according to a legal, extra-legal, and illegal taxonomy based on laws in the United States and highlight each activity using illustrative examples. Policymakers in advanced industrial countries lack comprehensive data and do not have accurate estimates of the size of the problem for activities such as technology licensing, investing in technology companies, or talent programs. For intellectual property theft, the economic estimates are high but assessing the impact on military innovation remains fraught with measurement errors. Devising appropriate policy responses requires a complete inventory of methods used across the spectrum of legality to decide on technology protection priorities and allocate resources accordingly.
中华人民共和国(PRC)通过获取国外技术来提升其军事能力。我们描述了中国附属行为者如何根据基于美国法律的合法、法外和非法分类获得技术,并使用说明性示例强调了每项活动。发达工业国家的政策制定者缺乏全面的数据,对技术许可、技术公司投资或人才计划等活动的问题规模没有准确的估计。对于知识产权盗窃,经济估计很高,但评估对军事创新的影响仍然充满了测量误差。制定适当的政策反应,需要完整地列出所有法律范围内用于决定技术保护优先事项和相应分配资源的方法。
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引用次数: 0
China’s 40-Year Quest to Build a Car to Call its Own: Where is the Innovation? 中国40年造车之路:创新在哪里?
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/14799855.2023.2241374
Michael J. Dunne, Weiyue Chen
ABSTRACT Over the last several decades, China has developed itself to a large manufacturer and started its way to be an innovator. In this article, we are interested in whether China is on the right track of making true innovation in automobile industry. Through a micro view, we looked at the history of the automobile industry and went through specific firm cases like NIO and BYD. As software and electronic vehicle (EV) become more essential to automotive business, technology firms enter automobile industry; China has an opportunity to compete with other global automakers if it can catch this important industry change. Nevertheless, in the future we can explore more questions like how strong China can be in doing original innovation compared to other countries.
在过去的几十年里,中国已经发展成为一个制造大国,并开始了创新之路。在这篇文章中,我们感兴趣的是中国是否在正确的轨道上进行真正的汽车工业创新。我们从微观的角度看了汽车行业的历史,并研究了像蔚来和比亚迪这样的具体公司案例。随着软件和电动汽车(EV)对汽车业务的重要性日益增强,技术公司进入汽车行业;如果中国能抓住这一重要的行业变化,就有机会与其他全球汽车制造商竞争。然而,在未来,我们可以探索更多的问题,比如与其他国家相比,中国在原始创新方面有多强。
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引用次数: 0
China’s economic statecraft in the Taiwan Strait 中国在台湾海峡的经济策略
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-28 DOI: 10.1080/14799855.2023.2204058
Yuan-kang Wang
ABSTRACT Economic statecraft is the use of economic tools to achieve political goals. This article assesses China’s economic statecraft toward Taiwan and argues that its efficacy appears limited. I identify from the literature three causal mechanisms by which economic ties can be converted into political influence: leverage creation, interest transformation, and identity formation. I propose an analytical framework that incorporates the three causal mechanisms and conceptualizes the effectiveness of economic statecraft as an outcome of the strategic interactions between the sender’s strategies and the target’s countermeasures. Ultimately, the political impact of economic statecraft depends not just on how the sender deploys carrots and sticks but also on how the target government responds to external influence attempts.
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引用次数: 1
China’s Minimalist Global Military Posture: Great Power Lite? 中国极简主义的全球军事姿态:大国生活?
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/14799855.2023.2178084
Andrew Scobell
ABSTRACT What explains the mismatch between China’s vast economic presence, significant diplomatic engagement around the world, and its miniscule global military posture? China’s global defense footprint – as measured by overseas deployments and basing – is extremely modest compared to that of many other great powers. While military activity and the construction of military installations in the Asia-Pacific have both expanded noticeably in recent decades, China appears far more reticent to project or station armed forces beyond its immediate neighborhood. Domestic normative factors can explain Chinese hesitancy to increase its global military posture while geostrategic factors can explain the elevated regional activity and clustering of new bases around China’s periphery.
如何解释中国庞大的经济存在、在全球范围内的重要外交参与与其微不足道的全球军事姿态之间的不匹配?中国的全球防务足迹——以海外部署和基地来衡量——与许多其他大国相比是极其温和的。近几十年来,虽然亚太地区的军事活动和军事设施建设都显著扩大,但中国在向周边地区以外部署或部署武装力量方面似乎要谨慎得多。国内规范因素可以解释中国对增加其全球军事姿态的犹豫,而地缘战略因素可以解释中国周边地区活动的增加和新基地的聚集。
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引用次数: 0
The uninvited guest: understanding Islamic State’s alliances and rivalries in the Afghanistan-Pakistan region 不请自来的客人:了解伊斯兰国在阿富汗-巴基斯坦地区的联盟和对手
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/14799855.2023.2173581
Amira Jadoon, Nakissa Jahanbani, Emma Fruchtman
ABSTRACT Transnational jihadist organizations, such as the Islamic State, have sought to reinforce their reputations by establishing new global affiliates. Islamic State affiliates, in particular, have leveraged preexisting militant infrastructures in new locations to create strategic partnerships with some militant organizations, while delegitimizing and attacking others as rivals. In this context, we pose the following question: what factors explain whether local groups will cooperate with an emergent transnational affiliate, or engage in a rivalry? We present a theoretical framework, which depicts how state sponsorship of militant groups, and the persistent rivalry between Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State, can combine to influence new inter-group relationships. Applying our typology to the case of Islamic State Khorasan in the Afghanistan-Pakistan region, we demonstrate that the more adversarial a local militant group’s relationship with the Pakistani state, and the weaker its historical relational proximity to Al-Qaeda, the more likely the group is to cooperate with ISK.
跨国圣战组织,如伊斯兰国,试图通过建立新的全球分支机构来加强他们的声誉。特别是伊斯兰国的分支机构,利用在新地点已有的武装基础设施,与一些武装组织建立战略伙伴关系,同时将其他武装组织视为竞争对手并加以攻击。在这种背景下,我们提出了以下问题:什么因素解释了当地集团是会与新兴的跨国子公司合作,还是会参与竞争?我们提出了一个理论框架,描述了国家对激进组织的支持,以及基地组织和伊斯兰国之间的持续竞争,如何结合起来影响新的团体间关系。将我们的类型学应用到阿富汗-巴基斯坦地区呼罗珊伊斯兰国的案例中,我们证明了当地激进组织与巴基斯坦政府的关系越敌对,与基地组织的历史关系越弱,该组织就越有可能与ISK合作。
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引用次数: 0
China’s Security Strategy in Pakistan: Lessons for Washington 中国在巴基斯坦的安全战略:给华盛顿的教训
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/14799855.2023.2176224
Yelena Biberman, Jared Schwartz, Farhan Zahid
ABSTRACT Over the past eight years, Beijing drastically furthered its interests with the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) while reducing terrorism threats from AfPak-based groups. All this despite the repression of Muslim minority Uyghurs in the Pakistan-bordering Xinjiang region. What has been China’s security strategy in Pakistan? What lessons are there for the United States? Drawing on fieldwork in China and Pakistan, as well as interviews with Chinese, Pakistani, and US officials, journalists, and local experts, this article shows that Beijing’s security strategy in Pakistan rests on four pillars: (1) military invisibility; (2) economic visibility; (3) indiscriminate diplomacy, and (4) geopolitical alignment. This is the opposite of what has been Washington’s approach, which can be characterized as militarily visible, economically invisible, diplomatically selective, and generally at odds with Pakistan’s regional interests.
在过去的八年中,北京在减少来自巴基斯坦组织的恐怖主义威胁的同时,大幅推进了中巴经济走廊(CPEC)的利益。尽管在与巴基斯坦接壤的新疆地区,穆斯林少数民族维吾尔人受到镇压,但这一切都取得了进展。中方在巴基斯坦的安全战略是什么?美国从中吸取了什么教训?根据在中国和巴基斯坦的实地调查,以及对中国、巴基斯坦和美国官员、记者和当地专家的采访,本文表明,北京在巴基斯坦的安全战略建立在四个支柱上:(1)军事隐身;(2)经济能见度;(3)不分青红皂白的外交;(4)地缘政治结盟。这与华盛顿的做法相反,华盛顿的做法可以被描述为军事上可见,经济上不可见,外交上有选择性,总体上与巴基斯坦的地区利益不一致。
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引用次数: 0
The hard school of amphibious warfare: examining the lessons of the 20th century’s major amphibious campaigns for contemporary Chinese strategy 两栖作战的硬派:考察20世纪主要两栖战役对当代中国战略的启示
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/14799855.2022.2148525
L. Goldstein
ABSTRACT Increasing tensions across the Taiwan Strait have prompted many strategists to debate the nature of China’s amphibious warfare capabilities. While it is often noted that Beijing’s armed forces lack major, recent experience in that domain, this research reveals that Chinese strategists have undertaken intensive and systematic investigation of foreign experiences, including with respect to the most classic cases, such as the Normandy invasion. This study represents a first attempt to survey such Chinese strategic writings, in an effort to better understand the lessons that Chinese strategists take from these foreign campaigns. Themes that emerge from this Chinese literature include an emphasis on undersea warfare capabilities as a critical enabler for amphibious invasion, but an even greater prominence for air supremacy. The most persistent theme in this Chinese literature surrounds intelligence preparation, deception and, above all, surprise. Such findings have important policy implications for Asian security.
台湾海峡日益紧张的局势促使许多战略家就中国两栖作战能力的性质展开辩论。虽然人们经常注意到北京的武装部队在这一领域缺乏重要的近期经验,但这项研究表明,中国的战略家已经对国外的经验进行了深入和系统的调查,包括最经典的案例,如诺曼底入侵。这项研究是对此类中国战略著作进行调查的首次尝试,旨在更好地理解中国战略家从这些海外战役中吸取的教训。从这些中国文献中出现的主题包括强调水下作战能力是两栖入侵的关键促成因素,但更突出的是制空权。在这些中国文学作品中,最持久的主题围绕着情报准备、欺骗和最重要的惊喜。这些发现对亚洲安全具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 1
Geography, governance, guns: characterising Islamist terrorist sanctuaries in Maritime Southeast Asia (2014 – 2021) 地理、治理、枪支:东南亚海上伊斯兰恐怖分子庇护所的特征(2014 - 2021)
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-12 DOI: 10.1080/14799855.2022.2132854
Kenneth Yeo
ABSTRACT Sanctuaries are strategic assets that are both the means and end objectives of terrorist groups. Groups with sanctuaries are often more devastating than groups without. Hence, it is critical to investigate the cause of persistent terrorist sanctuaries. The literature on terrorist sanctuaries identified history, geography, and governance as key factors contributing to the persistent terrorist sanctuaries. This article supplements existing arguments by contextualizing history, geography, and governance while discussing the role of terrorist capabilities. Hence, in the context of maritime Southeast Asia, the data suggest that the combination of the geographical features at the Sulu-Celebes Seas, the relationship between Terrorist-Territory-Tribe, and access to firearms significantly improves the group’s ability to hold territory.
庇护所是恐怖组织的战略资产,是恐怖组织的手段和最终目标。有避难所的群体往往比没有避难所的群体更具破坏性。因此,调查恐怖分子庇护所持续存在的原因至关重要。有关恐怖分子庇护所的文献认为,历史、地理和治理是导致恐怖分子庇护所持续存在的关键因素。本文在讨论恐怖分子能力的作用的同时,通过将历史、地理和治理背景化来补充现有的论点。因此,在东南亚海洋的背景下,数据表明,苏禄-西里伯斯海的地理特征、恐怖分子-领土-部落之间的关系以及获得枪支的机会大大提高了该组织控制领土的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Singapore’s relations with the Gulf: from defensive to positive engagement 新加坡与海湾国家的关系:从防御到积极接触
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.1080/14799855.2022.2106130
Li-Chen Sim
ABSTRACT In the early 2000s, the Middle East was not high on the list of Singapore’s priorities. Of late, however, a more purposeful engagement with the Gulf is evident. This paper adopts an approach grounded in foreign policy analysis to analyze the extent to which Singapore’s engagement with the Gulf is shaped by security-related developments in the latter. It draws largely upon qualitative analysis, interviews, and quantitative data from sources in Singapore. Section one provides the relevant theoretical overview according to which domestic sources, in this case Singapore’s strategic culture of “vulnerability,” frames the conduct of foreign policy. Section two examines Singapore-Gulf relations along three security-related pathways – public order, economic prosperity, and domestic energy mix – and the extent to which they are filtered by the city-state’s “vulnerability.” Section three concludes with some thoughts about the outlook for maintaining the momentum in relations between interlocutors on the fringes of Asia.
21世纪初,中东问题并不是新加坡优先考虑的问题。然而,最近,与海湾地区更有目的的接触是显而易见的。本文采用一种基于外交政策分析的方法来分析新加坡与海湾地区的接触在多大程度上受到海湾地区安全相关发展的影响。它在很大程度上借鉴了定性分析、访谈和来自新加坡的定量数据。第一节提供了相关的理论概述,根据国内来源,在这里是新加坡的“脆弱性”战略文化,框架外交政策的行为。第二部分考察了新加坡与海湾国家在三条安全相关途径上的关系——公共秩序、经济繁荣和国内能源结构——以及这些关系在多大程度上被这个城市国家的“脆弱性”所过滤。第三部分总结了对保持亚洲边缘对话者之间关系势头前景的一些思考。
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引用次数: 1
Manhandling and mediation: unpacking the repressive repertoire in Kazakhstan’s 2016 anti-land reform protests 粗暴对待与调解:解读哈萨克斯坦2016年反土地改革抗议活动中的镇压手段
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-02-02 DOI: 10.1080/14799855.2022.2034787
Vera Heuer, Brent Hierman
ABSTRACT Regimes generally possess multifaceted repressive repertoires. When faced with societal challengers, a regime can utilize overt or covert forms of coercion as well as indirect forms of repression, known as channeling. Using case material from Central Asia, this article investigates the interplay between channeling and coercion in two contexts: 1) the regulation of civil liberties; and 2) Kazakhstan’s efforts to demobilize a protest wave. Through an overview of freedom of assembly laws across the region, we demonstrate that most Central Asian states mix coercive and channeling tactics to limit opportunities for contentious acts. We then analyze Kazakhstan’s repressive reactions to a single coherent national protest wave (the 2016 anti-land reform protest). Our analysis reveals that in response to the threat of these protests, the Kazakhstani regime utilized coercive and channeling tactics in roughly equal measure. We show that the most prominent form of channeling attempted was elite mediation, whereby officials personally encouraged protesters to relocate to non-public spaces and/or offered to articulate collective grievances to higher authorities in exchange for protest dispersal. Through evaluating the role of channeling in this wave we demonstrate how non-democratic regimes can maintain regime stability when challenged without relying solely on overt forms of coercion.
政权通常拥有多方面的镇压手段。当面对社会挑战时,一个政权可以利用公开或隐蔽的强制形式以及间接的镇压形式,即所谓的疏导。本文利用中亚的案例材料,从两个方面考察了疏导与强制之间的相互作用:1)公民自由的监管;2)哈萨克斯坦为平息抗议浪潮所做的努力。通过对整个地区集会自由法的概述,我们表明,大多数中亚国家混合了强制和引导策略,以限制有争议行为的机会。然后,我们分析了哈萨克斯坦对单一连贯的全国抗议浪潮(2016年反土地改革抗议)的镇压反应。我们的分析显示,为了应对这些抗议活动的威胁,哈萨克斯坦政权以大致相同的方式使用了强制和引导策略。我们表明,最突出的疏导形式是精英调解,即官员亲自鼓励抗议者迁移到非公共场所和/或提出向上级当局表达集体不满,以换取抗议活动的驱散。通过评估疏导在这一浪潮中的作用,我们证明了非民主政权在受到挑战时如何能够在不完全依赖公开形式的胁迫的情况下保持政权稳定。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Security
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