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The welfare state in Western Balkan countries: Challenges and options 西巴尔干国家的福利国家:挑战与选择
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/stnv190624004m
G. Matković
The aim of the article is to assess the challenges facing Western Balkan welfare states and the available strategic options for enhancing social protection and human development in the region. The analyses of challenges encompassed the relevant EU and national statistics. For each challenge, channels were analysed, through which the impact on the welfare state was reflected. Both challenges and options were assessed against the experience of more advanced societies, especially EU
本文的目的是评估西巴尔干福利国家面临的挑战,以及加强该地区社会保护和人类发展的现有战略选择。对挑战的分析包括有关的欧盟和国家统计数据。对于每个挑战,分析了渠道,通过这些渠道反映了对福利国家的影响。挑战和选择都是根据更先进的社会,特别是欧盟的经验进行评估的
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引用次数: 10
Active aging and prerequisites for silver entrepreneurship in Serbia 主动老化和塞尔维亚白银创业的先决条件
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/stnv181215003i
Valentina Ivanić
This article identifies links between the active aging process and the “silver economy” at the European Union level. It also defines economic and societal prerequisites for “silver entrepreneurship”, which Serbia, as a small, transition, factor-driven economy can exploit. Previous research has shown there are two ways in which older people can be involved in the silver economy: as producers (“silver entrepreneurs”), or as consumers. Demand for data about silver entrepreneurship has been driven by macroeconomists, notably those devoted to issues around fiscal instability, rather than by the urgent need to consider this phenomenon as one driven by growth and competitiveness. Existing research has identified two forms of silver entrepreneurship: opportunity-based and necessity-based. Opportunity-based silver entrepreneurship is inherent in economies with high GDP per capita. Across the EU-28 nations, the average GDP per capita in purchasing power standard (PPS) in 2017 was recorded as 29,299 EUR. This figure was used as a proxy measurement of living standards. However, in the smaller transition economies of Southeast Europe, this figure is a lot lower. In 2017, the average GDP per capita in PPS in Serbia was 4,800 EUR. In order to identify the economic factors necessary for silver entrepreneurship at both the company and individual levels in Serbia, we derived data from a range of sources. These included the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia, the Labour Force Survey 2017, the Pension and Disability Insurance Fund, and the Minis-try of Trade, Tourism and Telecommunications. Data relating to the Uncertainty Avoidance Index for Serbia (UAI) were derived from research organized by the Regional Cooperation Council and GfK. The author then calculated the UAI for Serbia. The collected data showed how the UAI for Serbia has changed over time, declining from a value of 92 in 1993 to 60 in 2016. Statistics about pensions in Serbia show that only military retirees, who have an average monthly pension of 46,494 RSD, can cover the minimum consumer basket costs of 36,090 RSD.
本文确定了主动老龄化过程与欧盟层面的“银发经济”之间的联系。它还定义了“白银创业”的经济和社会先决条件,塞尔维亚作为一个小型的、转型的、要素驱动的经济体可以利用这些条件。先前的研究表明,老年人可以通过两种方式参与到银发经济中来:作为生产者(“银发企业家”),或者作为消费者。对银发企业家数据的需求是由宏观经济学家推动的,尤其是那些致力于研究财政不稳定问题的宏观经济学家,而不是将这种现象视为增长和竞争力驱动的迫切需要。现有的研究已经确定了两种形式的银发企业家精神:基于机会和基于需求。基于机会的银发企业家精神是高人均GDP经济体所固有的。在欧盟28国中,2017年按购买力标准(PPS)计算的人均国内生产总值(GDP)为29,299欧元。这个数字被用作衡量生活水平的替代指标。然而,在较小的东南欧转型经济体中,这一数字要低得多。2017年,塞尔维亚PPS的人均GDP为4800欧元。为了确定塞尔维亚公司和个人层面的白银创业所需的经济因素,我们从一系列来源获得了数据。这些机构包括塞尔维亚共和国统计局、2017年劳动力调查、养恤金和残疾保险基金以及贸易、旅游和电信部。与塞尔维亚不确定性避免指数(UAI)有关的数据来自区域合作理事会和GfK组织的研究。然后,作者计算了塞尔维亚的UAI。收集的数据显示了塞尔维亚的UAI随时间的变化,从1993年的92下降到2016年的60。塞尔维亚关于养老金的统计数据表明,只有平均每月养老金为46,494 RSD的军人退休人员才能支付最低消费篮子成本36,090 RSD。
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引用次数: 0
Life satisfaction of returnee scholarship holders in Serbia 塞尔维亚留学回国奖学金获得者生活满意度调查
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/stnv1902071v
Nena A. Vasojević, S. Kirin
Educated and talented people drive progress in every country. That?s why no country can neglect these people; that would mean losing one?s own potential. This paper emphasises the importance of educating scholarship students abroad as a means of developing and accumulating human resources and a key determinant of sustainable development in the modern world. Investing in the education of the best students (scholarship holders) is an investment in the future, which brings multiple benefits on a social, economic, and political level. Migration is an important phenomenon that attracts public attention, especially when it comes to highly educated experts leaving their home country in search of better education. Highly educated experts have been leaving Serbia for several decades, which poses an obvious problem for local society. The topic of permanent migration is dominant both in foreign and domestic literature, but studies on the temporary migration of highly educated students (scholarship holders) is almost nonexistent. The aim of this paper is to point out the value of returnee scholarship holders and the importance of creating the appropriate conditions for them to stay in the country. A survey conducted on a group of 96 returnee scholarship holders identified factors that affect their satisfaction with living in Serbia. The survey involved experts from Serbia who were educated abroad as scholarship holders, where they acquired academic titles and are now employed: as faculty teachers (32); as researchers at scientific institutes (24); in the private sector (21); at universities (12); in state administrative departments (5); and in medical institutions (2). The criterion for selecting this group of respondents was that they had stayed abroad as scholarship holders, whether they used scholarships from domestic (24) or foreign (72) funds. Scholarship students go abroad mostly because of their personal aspirations for training, gaining new experiences, and because of the inability to study the desired discipline in their country, as was the case for 74 respondents. The main reasons for deciding to return are family (25) and the belief that they have a good chance to work in Serbia (18), while 16 respondents could not stay abroad. In this paper, we used the factor analysis method. The main factors that create satisfaction with life in Serbia are isolated. These factors are: satisfaction with work and a set of factors that strongly correlate with it (the ability to make decisions, the implementation of acquired knowledge, peer acceptance), as well as the recognition of their diploma in Serbia without any difficulties. By improving these factors, there might be a significant increase in the chance that returnee scholarship holders remain in Serbia for a long time. Based on this, it would be wise to build a strategy on how to encourage returnee scholarship holders to stay in the country. The results obtained in thi
受过良好教育和有才能的人推动着每个国家的进步。了吗?为什么任何国家都不能忽视这些人;那就意味着失去一个?我自己的潜力。本文强调了在国外培养奖学金学生作为发展和积累人力资源的手段和现代世界可持续发展的关键决定因素的重要性。对优秀学生(奖学金获得者)的教育投资是对未来的投资,会在社会、经济和政治层面带来多重利益。移民是一个引起公众关注的重要现象,尤其是那些受过高等教育的专家离开他们的祖国寻求更好的教育。几十年来,受过高等教育的专家一直在离开塞尔维亚,这给当地社会带来了一个明显的问题。永久移民的话题在国内外文献中都占主导地位,但对高学历学生(奖学金获得者)临时移民的研究几乎没有。本文的目的是指出海归奖学金获得者的价值和为他们在国内创造适当条件的重要性。对96名获得奖学金的回国人员进行的一项调查确定了影响他们在塞尔维亚生活满意度的因素。调查涉及塞尔维亚的专家,他们作为奖学金获得者在国外接受教育,在那里获得了学术头衔,现在受雇:教员(32人);作为科研机构的研究人员(24);私营部门(21);在大学(12);国家行政部门(5人);在医疗机构工作(2人)。选择这一群体的标准是,无论他们使用的是国内基金(24人)还是国外基金(72人)的奖学金,他们都曾以奖学金持有人的身份留在国外。74名受访者表示,获得奖学金的学生出国主要是因为他们个人渴望接受培训,获得新的经验,以及无法在自己的国家学习所需的学科。决定回国的主要原因是家庭(25人)和相信他们有很好的机会在塞尔维亚工作(18人),而16名受访者无法留在国外。在本文中,我们使用因子分析法。在塞尔维亚,让人们对生活感到满意的主要因素是孤立的。这些因素是:对工作的满意度和一系列与工作密切相关的因素(决策能力、所学知识的实施、同伴接受),以及在塞尔维亚毫无困难地承认他们的文凭。通过改善这些因素,可能会大大增加获得回国奖学金的人长期留在塞尔维亚的机会。在此基础上,制定一个鼓励海归奖学金获得者留在国内的战略是明智的。本研究获得的结果对寻求一种战略作出了贡献,这种战略将吸引、参与和留住该国受过教育的人。
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引用次数: 3
Religions and low fertility today 今天的宗教和低生育率
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/stnv190814005r
M. Rasevic
Our understanding of whether, to what extent, and under which conditions religions nowadays influence birth levels depends on research. It is important to seek answers to two fundamental questions. The first question is about the role of religiosity and religious affiliation in the deterministic cause of low fertility and family planning in recent times. The second question deals with the influence of religious institutions on birth levels and the exercise of reproductive rights at the global level and within certain population groups over recent decades. To that end, the paper provides an overview of theoretical examinations of the connection between religions and fertility, empirical studies addressing low completed fertility, birth control, or sexual behaviour in relation to religiosity or religious affiliation of individuals, as well as the influence of religious institutions on fertility transition and the respect of human rights in this field. A review of the recent studies of various populations characterised by low birth levels shows that religiosity, especially practising religion, encourages people to uphold traditional values, attitudes, and behaviours that are directly or indirectly related to the concepts of marriage and childbearing. Moreover, it sheds light on some examples of religious institutions? concrete opposition to progress in this area, while also highlighting contradictory cases of religions supporting pro-found contemporary changes in reproductive behaviour.
我们对宗教是否、在多大程度上以及在何种条件下影响出生水平的理解取决于研究。寻求两个基本问题的答案很重要。第一个问题是关于宗教信仰和宗教信仰在近代低生育率和计划生育的决定性原因中的作用。第二个问题涉及近几十年来宗教机构对全球一级和某些人口群体的出生水平和生殖权利行使的影响。为此目的,该文件概述了对宗教与生育率之间关系的理论研究、针对完成人生育率低、节育或与个人宗教信仰或宗教信仰有关的性行为的实证研究,以及宗教机构对生育率过渡的影响和尊重这一领域的人权。最近对以低出生率为特征的各种人口进行的研究表明,宗教信仰,特别是从事宗教活动,鼓励人们坚持与婚姻和生育概念直接或间接有关的传统价值、态度和行为。此外,它还揭示了一些宗教机构的例子。具体反对在这一领域取得进展,同时也强调宗教支持支持当代生殖行为变化的矛盾情况。
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引用次数: 1
What characteristics in the youth labour market of Serbia are likely to result in employment? 塞尔维亚青年劳动力市场的哪些特点可能导致就业?
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/stnv190823006p
Dejana Pavlović, D. Bjelica, Ivana S. Domazet
In stark contrast to certain EU member countries, Serbia faces a high youth unemployment rate of over 30% (34.9% in 2016, 32.8% in 2017 and 31% in 2018). This paper provides a logistic regression analysis of what characteristics among youth (15-30 years of age) contribute to the likelihood of their employment in Serbia. While youth is internationally defined as being between the ages of 15-24, this paper broadens it to 15-30, as it is defined in Serbia (RS) for the purposes of youth employment/unemployment and for the country?s ?National Youth Strategy from 2015 to 2025.? The study was conducted using micro data from the Labour Force Survey provided on request from the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia. The indicators that affect whether a young person will be employed or not are: the financial background of the participant?s household, earnings, age, gender, and total years of work experience. Theoretically, although it may be anticipated that unemployed individuals who have greater work experience find it easier to find a job, employment does seem to automatically generate longer working hours. The results of the research are both practical and scientific, as they may not only assist policy-makers in the process of writing strategies on youth employment, but also bear groundwork for further study.
与某些欧盟成员国形成鲜明对比的是,塞尔维亚的青年失业率高达30%以上(2016年为34.9%,2017年为32.8%,2018年为31%)。本文对青年(15-30岁)的哪些特征有助于他们在塞尔维亚就业的可能性进行了逻辑回归分析。虽然青年在国际上的定义是介于15-24岁之间,但本文将其扩大到15-30岁,因为塞尔维亚(RS)的定义是为了青年就业/失业以及国家?《2015 - 2025年国家青年战略》这项研究是根据塞尔维亚共和国统计局的要求提供的《劳动力调查》的微观数据进行的。影响年轻人就业与否的指标有:参与者的经济背景?美国家庭、收入、年龄、性别和总工作经验。从理论上讲,虽然可以预料到工作经验丰富的失业者更容易找到工作,但就业似乎确实会自动产生更长的工作时间。本文的研究结果既具有实用性,又具有科学性,不仅可以为政策制定者制定青年就业策略提供参考,也为进一步的研究奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 4
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