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NOTE FROM THE EDITOR 编辑注
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231172864
E. Norman
" Words Matter: Presidents Obama and Trump, Twitter, and U.S. Soft Power. Graph [9] concentrate on the issues that soured the initial optimism for a U.S.-U.K. free trade agreement between President Trump and Prime Minister Johnson which did not come to its planned fruition by 2020. EN Social Media Foreign Policy Twitter Soft Power Obama Trump Boris Johnson Humanitarian Intervention President Clinton Bosnia Kosovo China Sri-Lanka Kazakhstan South Korea ASEAN Sub-Saharan Africa Information Technology. NOTE FROM THE EDITOR: Presidential Tweets, the U.S.-U.K. Free Trade Agreement, Humanitarian Intervention, and China's Bilateral Relations. [Extracted from the article] Copyright of World Affairs is the property of Sage Publications Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full . (Copyright applies to all s.)
“文字很重要:奥巴马总统和特朗普总统、推特和美国软实力。图表[9]集中讨论了一些问题,这些问题破坏了最初对特朗普总统和约翰逊首相之间达成的美国-英国自由贸易协定的乐观情绪,该协定计划在2020年之前没有实现。EN社交媒体外交政策推特软实力奥巴马特朗普鲍里斯·约翰逊人道主义干预总统克林顿波斯尼亚科索沃中国斯里兰卡哈萨克斯坦韩国东盟撒哈拉以南非洲信息技术。编者按:总统推文、美国-英国自由贸易协定、人道主义干预和中国双边关系。【摘自文章】《世界事务》版权归Sage Publications股份有限公司所有,未经版权持有人明确书面许可,不得将其内容复制或通过电子邮件发送到多个网站或发布到listserv。但是,用户可以打印、下载或通过电子邮件发送文章供个人使用。这可能会被删节。对复印件的准确性不作任何保证。用户应参考材料的原始发布版本以获取完整信息。(版权适用于所有人。)
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引用次数: 0
THE REPUBLICAN TRUMP VOTER 共和党的特朗普选民
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-29 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231176818
Kofi Arhin, Daniel Stockemer, M. Normandin
With its emphasis on anti-immigration rhetoric and actions, protectionism, as well as populism, Donald Trump has transformed the Republican Party into a party that closely resembles populist radical right-wing parties in Europe. In this article, we first illustrate how the Republican Party has transformed into a radical right-wing party. Second, we examine the degree to which the Trump voter has the same or similar characteristics as the prototypical radical right-wing voter. To do so, we compare some key features of voters for the Alternative for Germany (AfD) and Trump voters. Through original survey research, we find that the two voter types are alike. Both AfD and Trump voters espouse anti-immigrant sentiment, reject globalization, and position themselves on the right on a left-right ideological scale. This implies that, both from a supply and demand side perspective, the Trump Republican Party has become a prototypical radical right-wing party.
唐纳德·特朗普强调反移民的言论和行动、保护主义和民粹主义,把共和党变成了一个与欧洲民粹主义激进右翼政党非常相似的政党。在本文中,我们首先说明共和党是如何转变为一个激进的右翼政党的。其次,我们考察了特朗普选民与典型的激进右翼选民具有相同或相似特征的程度。为此,我们比较了德国新选择党(AfD)和特朗普选民的一些关键特征。通过原始的调查研究,我们发现这两种选民类型是相似的。德国新选择党和特朗普的选民都支持反移民情绪,拒绝全球化,并在意识形态上把自己定位在左右左右。这意味着,无论是从供给侧还是从需求侧来看,特朗普共和党都已成为一个典型的激进右翼政党。
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引用次数: 0
IN A SECURITY DILEMMA 在安全困境中
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-29 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231177711
Thomas Ameyaw-Brobbey
China's economic growth and related assertiveness are causing significant changes in the Asia Pacific strategic environment, producing policy responses from the region's major powers, and gaining linkage with 1914 Europe. This article revisits the analogy, made in 2014, between the Asia Pacific today and Europe of 1914 to theoretically explain Asia Pacific's strategic environment vis-à-vis China's rise and the responses of four Asia Pacific powers—the United States, Australia, India, and Japan. Using the notion of “security dilemma,” I argue that a perceived threat of China's newfound confidence expressed in military aggressions creates distrust, fear, and uncertainty in the Asia Pacific, resembling Germany and its ambitions in the first half of twentieth century Europe. However, the similarity does not necessarily mean that the two environments and periods would produce similar outcomes because the strategic conditions are different. Asia Pacific today is more constrained in alliances than twentieth century Europe. I conclude by critiquing the balance of power to propose a power-sharing mechanism in the region to ensure peace.
中国的经济增长和相关的自信正在导致亚太战略环境的重大变化,产生了该地区大国的政策反应,并与1914年的欧洲建立了联系。本文回顾了2014年对当今亚太地区和1914年欧洲的类比,从理论上解释了亚太地区相对于中国崛起的战略环境以及美国、澳大利亚、印度和日本这四个亚太大国的反应。使用“安全困境”的概念,我认为,中国在军事侵略中新获得的信心所带来的威胁在亚太地区造成了不信任、恐惧和不确定性,类似于德国及其在20世纪上半叶欧洲的野心。然而,这种相似性并不一定意味着这两个环境和时期会产生相似的结果,因为战略条件不同。今天的亚太地区在联盟方面比二十世纪的欧洲更受约束。最后,我批评了在该地区建立权力分享机制以确保和平的力量平衡。
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引用次数: 0
RETERRITORIALIZING THAILAND'S TRANSNATIONAL SPACE?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231176821
Wanaporn Techagaisiyavanit, Srisombat Chokprajakchat, Dhanakorn Mulaphong
Studies surrounding transnational repression have taken an interest in the relationships between targeted citizens and their countries of origin, such as strategies used against individuals, and the legitimacy of exercising such extraterritorial powers. However, the role of the host state in facilitating this transnational repressive control is yet another area that requires greater academic attention. This article argues that a host state's policy silence and legal loopholes regarding the protection of political exiles against transnational repression practices can allow the country of origin to aggressively exercise control over the diaspora population beyond borders, causing spatial encroachment symbolically and materially in the host state. We use Thailand as a case study by examining certain areas of policy spaces that have potential impacts on the growth of transnational repression practices. The study concludes that the host state's reactions to such practices have strong implications for the expansion of repressive transnational powers.
围绕跨国镇压的研究关注的是目标公民与其原籍国之间的关系,例如针对个人的策略,以及行使这种域外权力的合法性。然而,东道国在促进这种跨国镇压控制方面的作用是另一个需要更多学术关注的领域。这篇文章认为,东道国在保护政治流亡者免受跨国镇压方面的政策沉默和法律漏洞,可能会使原籍国积极控制境外的散居人口,在东道国造成象征性和物质性的空间侵占。我们以泰国为例,研究了对跨国镇压行为的发展有潜在影响的政策空间的某些领域。该研究得出结论,东道国对这种做法的反应对压制性跨国势力的扩张有着强烈的影响。
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引用次数: 0
DOES SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA'S RAPID POPULATION GROWTH HAVE POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE EFFECTS ON AGGREGATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT? 撒哈拉以南非洲的快速人口增长对国内总投资有积极影响还是消极影响?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231168288
Mwoya Byaro, A. Kinyondo, Deusdedit A. Lemnge
This study examines the effect of population growth on aggregate domestic investments in 45 Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries over the period 2000–2020. It applies the Quantile Method of Moments with fixed effects (i.e., MM-QR), which has the ability to identify both negative and positive effects while controlling for trade, HIV/AIDS prevalence, and economic growth. The findings show that SSA’s rapid population growth has a positive and statistically significant effect on aggregate domestic investments. Findings from this study show that an increase in population growth in the 10th to 60th quantiles is associated with an increase of domestic investment in SSA. This suggests that, as the population grows in SSA, it generates demand for domestic investments such as healthcare services, education, and other social services. Our findings also show that trade is positive and significant across all quantiles (10th to 90th). We find evidence that disease risks, such as the prevalence of HIV/AIDS, slowed the increase in domestic investment in the region across all quantiles (10th to 90th). We conclude by arguing that, since SSA's population growth will double in the near future, the region is bound to become world's next investment hub. In order to enable long-term domestic investments in the region, future policy options should take the challenges of population growth into account.
本研究考察了2000-2002年期间45个撒哈拉以南非洲国家人口增长对国内总投资的影响。它应用了具有固定效应的矩的量化方法(即MM-QR),该方法能够在控制贸易、艾滋病毒/艾滋病流行率和经济增长的同时识别负面和正面影响。研究结果表明,SSA的人口快速增长对国内总投资产生了积极且具有统计学意义的影响。这项研究的结果表明,第10至第60分位数的人口增长与SSA的国内投资增加有关。这表明,随着SSA人口的增长,它产生了对国内投资的需求,如医疗服务、教育和其他社会服务。我们的研究结果还表明,贸易在所有分位数(第10位至第90位)都是积极和显著的。我们发现有证据表明,疾病风险,如艾滋病毒/艾滋病的流行,减缓了该地区所有分位数(第10位至第90位)国内投资的增长。最后,我们认为,由于撒哈拉以南非洲的人口增长将在不久的将来翻一番,该地区势必成为世界下一个投资中心。为了能够在该地区进行长期国内投资,未来的政策选择应该考虑到人口增长的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
SYMMETRIC INTERESTS AND ATTENTION PATTERNS IN ASYMMETRY 不对称中的对称兴趣与注意模式
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-20 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231167831
Thomas Ameyaw-Brobbey, Dennis Senam Amable
This article uses the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to examine the asymmetric relationship between China and Kazakhstan under a proposed framework—symmetric interest. It breaks from the domination–submission, divergent stakes, interests, patterns, and misperception perspectives characterizing asymmetry to show how asymmetric relations in a non-external security context elucidate peaceful relations. Under what conditions do asymmetric relationships defy misperception and confrontation to produce peaceful cooperation? How is the BRI likely to manage China's asymmetric relationship with Kazakhstan? The study argues that asymmetric relations within domestic security and other non-external military security issue areas engender peaceful cooperation. This peaceful cooperation emerges because the stakes and interests of the parties become more symmetrical in absolute terms; thus managing misperceptions and associated confrontation. We propose a framework of symmetric interest and employ the cases of China and Kazakhstan to test the hypotheses and support the conclusion. Beyond providing an alternative perspective in the asymmetry literature, we lastly offer a discussion of the policy relevance.
本文利用“一带一路”倡议(BRI)来考察中国和哈萨克斯坦在提议的框架下的不对称关系——对称利益。它打破了不对称的支配-服从、分歧的利害关系、利益、模式和误解观点,展示了非外部安全背景下的不对称关系如何阐明和平关系。在什么条件下,不对称关系能够克服误解和对抗,实现和平合作?“一带一路”倡议将如何处理中哈不对称关系?该研究认为,国内安全和其他非外部军事安全问题领域的不对称关系产生和平合作。这种和平合作的出现,是因为各方的利害关系和利益在绝对意义上变得更加对称;从而管理误解和相关的对抗。我们提出了一个利益对称的框架,并以中国和哈萨克斯坦的案例来检验假设并支持结论。除了在不对称文献中提供另一种视角外,我们最后还提供了政策相关性的讨论。
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引用次数: 1
HARMONIZATION TO EXCEPTIONALISM 调和到例外主义
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-20 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231168319
Veena Ramachandran
The article engages in a critical reading of the political pattern of Sino-Sri Lankan bilateral engagement. China offers an alternate global order for Sri Lanka by underscoring political discourses like “harmonious world” and “building a community with a shared destiny or future for mankind.” Through these discourses, China attempts to present a “fair and equitable” international system to small states such as Sri Lanka to mobilize them against the universalization of the liberal order. This is part of China's goal to challenge the universalization of liberal values to indicate the Chinese economic and political model as aspirational for developing countries. However, it culminates as the “hegemony of harmony,” as China dictates the terms to protect its national interests, dissimulating cultural relativism and exceptionalism as the foundation of the Chinese-led global order. This article employs historical and descriptive analysis to explain the political nature of Sino-Sri Lankan engagement, elucidating China's specific strategies to harmonize Sri Lanka.
文章对中斯双边交往的政治模式进行了批判性解读。中国通过强调“和谐世界”和“构建人类命运共同体”等政治话语,为斯里兰卡提供了另一种全球秩序。通过这些话语,中国试图向斯里兰卡等小国展示一个“公平公正”的国际体系,动员它们反对自由秩序的普遍化。这是中国挑战自由主义价值观普遍化的目标的一部分,以表明中国的经济和政治模式是发展中国家的理想。然而,它最终以“和谐霸权”而告终,因为中国规定了保护其国家利益的条款,将文化相对主义和例外主义伪装成中国领导的全球秩序的基础。本文运用历史和描述性分析的方法来解释中斯交往的政治性质,阐明中国协调斯里兰卡的具体策略。
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引用次数: 0
WORDS MATTER 词汇问题
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-05 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231161631
Stephen Collins, J. DeWitt
Twitter is regarded today as an essential communication platform of U.S. diplomacy. Of all diplomatic tweets, those published by U.S. presidents carry the greatest weight and hold great potential to influence perceptions of the country. In this study, we conduct cross-presidential comparative analyses on an original dataset of over 2,000 tweets published by the first two presidents of the Twitter era. In particular, we test the commonly held notion that the substance and tone of Barack Obama's communication reflected positively on America's image abroad, with the potential to expand soft power—a vital foreign policy asset—while Donald Trump's communication reflected negatively on America's image, potentially eroding the nation's image and its soft power. Findings demonstrate that what and how presidents communicate on Twitter may produce profound and disparate impacts on America's image abroad and on U.S. soft power.
推特如今被视为美国外交的重要沟通平台。在所有外交推文中,美国总统发布的推文分量最大,有很大潜力影响人们对国家的看法。在这项研究中,我们对推特时代前两任总统发布的2000多条推文的原始数据集进行了跨总统比较分析。特别是,我们测试了一种普遍认为的观点,即巴拉克·奥巴马的沟通内容和语气积极反映了美国在国外的形象,有可能扩大软实力——这是一项重要的外交政策资产——而唐纳德·特朗普的沟通对美国的形象产生了负面影响,可能会侵蚀美国的形象和软实力。研究结果表明,总统在推特上的交流内容和方式可能会对美国的海外形象和美国软实力产生深远而不同的影响。
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引用次数: 2
FEMALE CANDIDATES AND THE BANGLADESH PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS 女性候选人和孟加拉国议会选举
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-13 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231161383
M. R. Khan, Fardaus Ara
The number of female MPs elected by direct vote in Bangladesh's Parliament is abysmally low due to the low level of female candidates in the parliamentary elections. This study addresses the underrepresentation of female candidates in the election following the supply- and demand-side model of Norris and Lovenduski. We focus on the continuing patriarchal social and political culture, dynastic politics, campaign funding, and violence as supply-side factors and political parties and nominations, quotas/reserved seats, and rule compliance as demand-side factors that affect the candidate nomination process in Bangladesh. The article is based on semi-structured interviews with female and male MPs of the Bangladesh Parliament and aspirant female politicians who hold different party positions. The study argues that the patriarchal nature of politics and culture controls the supply and demand-side factors of candidate selection and discriminates against female candidates to vie in the general constituencies.
由于议会选举中女性候选人的比例较低,孟加拉国议会中通过直接投票选出的女议员人数极低。这项研究遵循Norris和Lovenduski的供需侧模型,解决了女性候选人在选举中代表性不足的问题。我们关注持续的父权制社会和政治文化、王朝政治、竞选资金和暴力作为供应方因素,政党和提名、配额/保留席位以及规则遵守情况作为需求方因素,影响孟加拉国的候选人提名过程。这篇文章基于对孟加拉国议会男女议员以及担任不同党派职位的有抱负的女性政治家的半结构化采访。该研究认为,政治和文化的父权性质控制着候选人选择的供需因素,并歧视女性候选人在普通选民中的竞争。
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引用次数: 1
SOUTH KOREA AS A MIDDLE POWER IN EAST ASIA? 韩国是东亚的中等强国?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231159150
Florencia Rubiolo, Franco L. Aguirre
This article addresses South Korea's foreign policy toward ASEAN from a middle power approach. Using role theory, we argue that South Korea is developing a regional role to diversify its traditional ties, mitigate local constraints, and materialize its regional interests. We analyze the economic and political dimensions according to the share of trade and investment flows to the region and the development of cooperation initiatives and institutional ties. In the latter, we focus on Moon's presidency and the New Southern Policy, including a reference to the official development assistance. We also address its role in the South China Sea conflict to examine the strategic restrictions in this scenario. We state two main constraints: the need to keep the United States as a safety-guarantee partner and the critical role of China as an economic partner. Finally, we explore the challenges that a power competition scenario poses for Seoul within Southeast Asia.
本文从一个中等大国的角度来探讨韩国对东盟的外交政策。运用角色理论,我们认为韩国正在发展一种区域角色,以使其传统关系多样化,减轻地方限制,并实现其区域利益。我们根据该地区贸易和投资流动的份额以及合作倡议和机构关系的发展来分析经济和政治层面。在后者中,我们关注文在寅的总统任期和新南方政策,包括提到官方发展援助。我们还讨论了它在南中国海冲突中的作用,以研究这种情况下的战略限制。我们提出了两个主要限制:需要保持美国作为安全保障伙伴的地位,以及中国作为经济伙伴的关键作用。最后,我们探讨了东南亚地区权力竞争给首尔带来的挑战。
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引用次数: 1
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World Affairs
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