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FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT, INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY, AND TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY DYNAMICS IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 撒哈拉以南非洲的外国直接投资、信息技术和全要素生产率动态
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231154273
S. Asongu, N. Odhiambo
The potential for information technology penetration in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is very high compared to other regions. Unfortunately, productivity levels in the area are also deficient. This study investigates the importance of information technology in influencing the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on total factor productivity (TFP) dynamics. The focus is on 25 countries in SSA. Information technology is measured with mobile phone and internet penetration, while the engaged TFP productivity dynamics are TFP, real TFP, welfare TFP, and real welfare TFP. The empirical evidence is based on the Generalized Method of Moments. The findings show that except regressions about real TFP growth for which the estimations do not pass post-estimation diagnostic tests, it is apparent that information technology modulates FDI to positively influence TFP dynamics (i.e., TFP, welfare TFP, and welfare real TFP). Policy and theoretical implications are discussed.
与其他区域相比,信息技术在撒哈拉以南非洲的渗透潜力非常大。不幸的是,该地区的生产力水平也很低。本文探讨了信息技术在影响外商直接投资(FDI)对全要素生产率(TFP)动态影响中的重要性。重点是南亚地区的25个国家。信息技术以手机和互联网普及率衡量,参与TFP生产率动态为TFP、真实TFP、福利TFP和真实福利TFP。经验证据是基于广义矩量法。研究结果表明,除了关于实际TFP增长的回归(其估计未通过后估计诊断测试)之外,很明显,信息技术调节FDI对TFP动态(即TFP,福利TFP和福利真实TFP)产生积极影响。讨论了政策和理论意义。
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引用次数: 4
THE STILLBORN UNITED KINGDOM‒UNITED STATES TRADE AGREEMENT 胎死腹中的英美贸易协定
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-05 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231160775
S. Khorana, W. Kerr
With Brexit done and the desire to alter U.S. trade policy in the wake of the election of President Donald Trump, both British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and President Trump were optimistic that a trade agreement between the United Kingdom and the United States could be swiftly negotiated. This proved not to be the case despite the efforts of both leaders. We use an Open Economy Politics lens to examine the political and economic forces at work in both the United Kingdom and the United States during the tenure of the Trump administration that led to the initiative being stillborn and why the original optimism was misplaced.
随着英国脱欧的完成,以及唐纳德·特朗普当选总统后改变美国贸易政策的愿望,英国首相鲍里斯·约翰逊和特朗普总统都乐观地认为,英国和美国之间的贸易协定可以迅速谈判。尽管两国领导人都做出了努力,但事实证明情况并非如此。我们使用开放经济政治的视角来审视特朗普政府任期内英国和美国的政治和经济力量,这些力量导致该倡议胎死胎死,以及为什么最初的乐观是错误的。
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引用次数: 2
JUST ANOTHER CIVIL WAR? 只是另一场内战?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-03 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231154296
Sidita Kushi
When do Western powers intervene militarily on behalf of suffering strangers? Political elites’ perceptions of international conflicts may alter options for third-party management. Examining the precedent-setting case of the Kosovo Crisis via multi-language fieldwork, NATO archives, and content analysis, I discuss how Kosovo moved from the periphery of Western attention to becoming the litmus test of the Western security response. Contrary to literature that focuses on humanitarian norms or geopolitical interests as drivers of this NATO intervention, I argue that the Kosovo Crisis “earned” a humanitarian military intervention due to shifting favorable conflict perceptions, which encouraged Western institutional involvement. Such interactions between perceptions and intervention may apply to other global crises.
西方大国什么时候代表受苦受难的陌生人进行军事干预?政治精英对国际冲突的看法可能会改变第三方管理的选择。通过多语言实地调查、北约档案和内容分析,我研究了科索沃危机的先例,讨论了科索沃如何从西方关注的边缘走向西方安全反应的试金石。与关注人道主义规范或地缘政治利益作为北约干预驱动因素的文献相反,我认为科索沃危机“赢得”了人道主义军事干预,因为有利的冲突观念发生了转变,这鼓励了西方机构的参与。感知和干预之间的这种互动可能适用于其他全球危机。
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引用次数: 0
NOTE FROM THE EDITOR 编辑的笔记
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/00438200221150905
E. Norman
Welcome to the first 2023 issue of volume 186 of World Affairs! I am delighted to present to our readers a very full lineup of articles, commentaries, and a letter to the editor in this issue—all spanning a wide range of extremely pressing topics in current affairs. These include: the Paris Agreement and climate change responsibilities, the Ukraine war, human rights violations and the UN Human Rights Council, gray zone warfare, and Moscow’s anti-Western turn, among others. The first two in-depth articles this time examine and problematize the place of legal technicalities and their interpretation in international agreements and organizations and how these can often affect government policy adversely. In “The UN Human Rights Council’s Universal Periodic Review as a Rhetorical Battlefield of Nations,” Schimmel (2023) questions the efficacy of the Universal Periodic Review (UPR) in providing sufficient incentives for countries to bring their policies more in line with international human rights law. Taking the case of Saudi Arabia, and moving well beyond it, the author offers a compelling set of arguments showing that many states that habitually violate human rights as a matter of policy use the UPR strategically and rhetorically as mechanism to defend, downplay, and deny their continuing human rights violations. While Schimmel acknowledges the value and positive aspects of the UPR in detail, his findings suggest that, at best, it has not
欢迎收看《世界事务》第186卷2023年第一期!我很高兴向读者介绍本期的文章、评论和致编辑的一封信,内容涉及时事中一系列极其紧迫的话题。其中包括:《巴黎协定》和气候变化责任、乌克兰战争、侵犯人权和联合国人权理事会、灰色地带战争以及莫斯科的反西方转变等。这一次的前两篇深入文章探讨了法律技术细节及其解释在国际协议和组织中的地位,以及这些细节如何经常对政府政策产生不利影响。在“联合国人权理事会的普遍定期审议是国家的修辞战场”一文中,Schimmel(2023)质疑普遍定期审议在为各国使其政策更符合国际人权法提供足够激励方面的有效性。以沙特阿拉伯为例,作者提出了一系列令人信服的论点,表明许多习惯性地将侵犯人权作为政策问题的国家从战略和修辞上利用普遍定期审议作为辩护、淡化和否认其持续侵犯人权行为的机制。尽管Schimmel详细承认普遍定期审议的价值和积极方面,但他的调查结果表明,它充其量并没有
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引用次数: 0
BOOK REVIEW: COVID-19 Collaborations: Researching Poverty and Low-Income Family Life during the Pandemic 书评:新冠肺炎合作:研究大流行病期间的贫困和低收入家庭生活
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-20 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231155168
Shivani Thakur
Bringing together an array of contributors, in COVID-19 Collaborations: Researching Poverty and Low-Income Family Life During the Pandemic, editors Kayleigh Garthwaite, Rosalie Warnock, Anna Tarrant, Maddy Power, and Ruth Patrick present a poignant collection of pandemic experiences. This very current compilation serves as both a guide for navigating the next crisis and an informative analysis of the pandemic’s effects. In the United Kingdom, there are about 14.5 million individuals who are poor and a comparable number receive public assistance. That represents about 22 percent of the population. However, when it comes to making decisions about public policy and engaging in debate, the works collected in this volume underline that this group of people is all too frequently seen as a single homogeneous mass. COVID-19 Collaborations examines the lives of people who are classified as being of “poor income,” assessing their performance before the epidemic when the lockdown was at its worst and following the transition to the “new normal” in 2021. The book does this by refuting the generalizations that are prevalent in public discourse about people with low earnings and confronts the reality of the stigmatization this group endures. The focus of the collection is the “COVID-19 and Family members on a Low Income: Investigating Together” collective, that is simply one part of the wider “Covid Realities” research initiative—which was supported by the Nuffield Foundation to record the experiences of families with low incomes during the pandemic. Over 4,000 parents and caregivers from all around the United Kingdom participated in this federation.
《COVID-19合作:研究大流行期间的贫困和低收入家庭生活》一书的编辑Kayleigh Garthwaite、Rosalie Warnock、Anna Tarrant、Maddy Power和Ruth Patrick汇集了一系列撰稿人,展示了大流行期间的惨痛经历。这份最新汇编既是应对下一次危机的指南,也是对大流行影响的翔实分析。在联合王国,大约有1 450万人是穷人,有相当数量的人接受公共援助。这大约占人口的22%。然而,当涉及到公共政策决策和参与辩论时,本卷中收集的作品强调了这一群体经常被视为单一的同质群体。COVID-19合作研究了被归类为“低收入”人群的生活,评估了他们在疫情爆发前(封锁最严重的时候)和2021年向“新常态”过渡后的表现。这本书通过反驳在公共话语中普遍存在的关于低收入人群的概括来做到这一点,并面对这个群体所承受的耻辱的现实。该系列的重点是“Covid -19和低收入家庭成员:共同调查”,这只是更广泛的“Covid现实”研究计划的一部分,该计划由纳菲尔德基金会支持,旨在记录大流行期间低收入家庭的经历。来自英国各地的4000多名家长和看护人参加了这个联合会。
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引用次数: 1
PRESIDENT CLINTON'S INTERVENTION INTO BOSNIA, 1995 1995年,克林顿总统干预波斯尼亚
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-16 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231155197
E. J. Szandzik
This article analyzes Clinton's decision to intervene in Bosnia in 1995. The methodology used is a historical analysis of primary and secondary source material and an interpretation of that material. The available evidence shows that after not intervening in Rwanda, Clinton evolved toward a more assertive foreign policy. Clinton eventually fought against pressures to employ a containment strategy in Bosnia, pushed to lift the arms embargo on the Bosnian Muslims, and strike at the Bosnian Serbs. After multiple failed attempts at diplomacy to accomplish these goals, Clinton managed to achieve his objectives through indirect methods. He set the stage for a major military offensive against Bosnian Serb forces before the massacre at Srebrenica, which is an important correction to the traditional narrative on the topic. Clinton then initiated a massive U.S.-led bombing campaign, achieved military objectives, negotiated a peace agreement, and deployed U.S. troops to enforce the peace agreement.
本文分析了克林顿1995年对波斯尼亚进行干预的决定。所使用的方法是对主要和次要来源材料的历史分析以及对该材料的解释。现有证据表明,在没有干预卢旺达之后,克林顿的外交政策变得更加强硬。克林顿最终顶住压力,在波斯尼亚采取遏制战略,推动解除对波斯尼亚穆斯林的武器禁运,并打击波斯尼亚塞族人。在为实现这些目标而进行的多次外交尝试失败后,克林顿设法通过间接方法实现了他的目标。在斯雷布雷尼察大屠杀之前,他为对波斯尼亚塞族部队的大规模军事进攻奠定了基础,这是对该主题传统叙事的重要纠正。克林顿随后发起了一场由美国领导的大规模轰炸行动,实现了军事目标,谈判达成了和平协议,并部署了美国军队来执行和平协议。
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引用次数: 1
BOOK REVIEW: 1000 Years of Joys and Sorrows 书评:一千年的悲欢离合
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-12 DOI: 10.1177/00438200231154279
N. Schimmel
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引用次数: 1
THE PARIS AGREEMENT'S APPROACH TOWARD CLIMATE CHANGE LOSS AND DAMAGE 《巴黎协定》应对气候变化损失和损害的方法
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-08 DOI: 10.1177/00438200221147936
A. Amini, Mohammad Abedi, Elnaz Nesari, Ehsan Daryadel, M. Kolahi, H. Mianabadi, J. Fisher
Article 8 of the Paris Agreement introduces obligations upon the Parties to the Agreement “with respect to Loss and Damage associated with adverse impacts of climate change.” According to Paragraph 52 of the Conference of the Parties’ Decision, Article 8 is not a basis for liability or compensation. Therefore, the problem is whether violation of obligations leads to a state responsibility. Using a dogmatic method, this research contends that “recognizing the significance of averting, minimizing, and addressing Loss and Damage” means acceptance of responsibility for a breach of obligations. Although the means of seeking reparation would not be compensation, States are obliged to eliminate sources of damage and take precautionary measures to address loss and damage. Notwithstanding this, placing the issue of loss and damage under the Agreement into a separate article can reflect to a great extent the significance of the matter.
《巴黎协定》第8条规定了《协定》缔约方在“与气候变化不利影响有关的损失和损害”方面的义务。根据《缔约方大会决定》第52段,第8条不是责任或赔偿的依据。因此,问题在于违反义务是否会导致国家责任。本研究采用教条主义的方法,认为“认识到避免、尽量减少和解决损失和损害的重要性”意味着接受对违反义务的责任。虽然寻求赔偿的手段不是赔偿,但各国有义务消除损害来源,并采取预防措施处理损失和损害。尽管如此,将《协定》下的损失和损害问题单独列入一条,可以在很大程度上反映该事项的重要性。
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引用次数: 2
COMMENTARY – HISTORICAL ESOTERICISM AS A COGNITION METHOD 解说&历史密教作为一种认识方法
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.1177/00438200221135638
Andreas Umland
A number of para-academic tendencies in Russian social science helped prepare the Ukraine war. In addition to propaganda and disinformation campaigns by the Kremlin, an intellectual deformation of the Russian elite by the Manichean ideas of such theorists as Lev Gumilyov and Aleksandr Dugin is partly responsible for Russia's increasing secession from Europe. Post-Soviet public discourse has become infected with an array of speculative, often conspiratorial, and sometimes occultist or racist theories. Their proponents have crowded out acknowledged social scientists and historians from intellectual and media debates. This parallel public discourse has been developing since the beginning of glasnost, 35 years ago, and became one of the determinants of Russia's attack on Ukraine in 2014.
俄罗斯社会科学中的一些准学术倾向有助于为乌克兰战争做准备。除了克里姆林宫的宣传和虚假信息运动外,列夫·古米廖夫和亚历山大·杜金等理论家的摩尼教思想对俄罗斯精英的智力变形也是俄罗斯日益脱离欧洲的部分原因。后苏联时期的公共话语已经被一系列推测性的、往往是阴谋性的、有时是神秘主义或种族主义的理论所感染。他们的支持者将公认的社会科学家和历史学家从知识分子和媒体的辩论中挤出。自35年前开放以来,这种平行的公共话语一直在发展,并成为2014年俄罗斯袭击乌克兰的决定因素之一。
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引用次数: 2
UNDERSTANDING GRAY ZONE WARFARE FROM MULTIPLE PERSPECTIVES 从多角度理解灰色地带战争
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-08 DOI: 10.1177/00438200221141101
T. Azad, M. W. Haider, Muhammad Sadiq
This study examines the dynamics of gray zone warfare by analyzing its conceptualization in the literature and through its practice in several recent examples. Ever-increasing changes in the characteristics of contemporary warfare have complicated the security environment of the 21st century. Modern warfare inclines toward non-kinetic dimensions based on the principles of hybridity, soft power, and ambiguity. This changing nature of warfare has been defined and categorized in diverse ways, leading to numerous perspectives revealing more confusion than clarity. The terms “hybrid warfare,” “gray zone warfare,” “unrestricted warfare,” and “ambiguous warfare” have received unprecedented attention in recent years. A key contemporary challenge is to differentiate between war and peace because gray zone warfare occupies the space in between both these situations. Many contemporary conflicts are neither black nor white; instead, they fall in the middle of the two: the gray zone. These factors underscore the significance of evaluating and understanding the concept of gray zone warfare. The United States considers Russia, China, and Iran as revisionist states that employ gray zone warfare in various domains to challenge the United States-led world order. South Asia is also a manifested playground of gray zone warfare. The research further distinguishes between gray zone warfare and hybrid warfare and proposes strategies for countering this threat.
本研究通过分析文献中灰色地带战争的概念,并通过最近几个例子中的实践,来检验其动态。当代战争特征的不断变化使21世纪的安全环境变得复杂。现代战争倾向于基于混合性、软实力和模糊性原则的非动力学维度。战争的这种不断变化的性质已经以不同的方式被定义和分类,导致了许多视角显示出更多的混乱而非清晰。近年来,“混合战争”、“灰色地带战”、“无限制战争”和“模糊战争”等术语受到了前所未有的关注。当代的一个关键挑战是区分战争与和平,因为灰色地带战争占据了这两种情况之间的空间。许多当代冲突既不是黑的也不是白的;相反,它们处于两者的中间:灰色地带。这些因素强调了评估和理解灰色地带战争概念的重要性。美国认为俄罗斯、中国和伊朗是修正主义国家,在各个领域使用灰色地带战争来挑战美国领导的世界秩序。南亚也是灰色地带战争的明显场所。该研究进一步区分了灰色地带战争和混合战争,并提出了应对这种威胁的策略。
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引用次数: 1
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World Affairs
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