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Wind-speed forecasting model based on DBN-Elman combined with improved PSO-HHT 基于DBN-Elman结合改进PSO-HHT的风速预报模型
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2023.10.002
Wei Liu , Feifei Xue , Yansong Gao , Wumaier Tuerxun , Jing Sun , Yi Hu , Hongliang Yuan

Random and fluctuating wind speeds make it difficult to stabilize the wind-power output, which complicates the execution of wind-farm control systems and increases the response frequency. In this study, a novel prediction model for ultrashort-term wind-speed prediction in wind farms is developed by combining a deep belief network, the Elman neural network, and the Hilbert-Huang transform modified using an improved particle swarm optimization algorithm. The experimental results show that the prediction results of the proposed deep neural network is better than that of shallow neural networks. Although the complexity of the model is high, the accuracy of wind-speed prediction and stability are also high. The proposed model effectively improves the accuracy of ultrashort-term wind-speed forecasting in wind farms.

随机和波动的风速使风电输出难以稳定,这使风电场控制系统的执行复杂化并增加了响应频率。在本研究中,将深度置信网络、Elman神经网络和使用改进的粒子群优化算法修改的Hilbert-Huang变换相结合,开发了一种新的风电场短期风速预测模型。实验结果表明,所提出的深度神经网络的预测结果优于浅层神经网络。尽管该模型的复杂性很高,但风速预测的准确性和稳定性也很高。该模型有效地提高了风电场短期风速预测的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
A fuzzy control and neural network based rotor speed controller for maximum power point tracking in permanent magnet synchronous wind power generation system 基于模糊控制和神经网络的永磁同步风力发电系统最大功率点跟踪转子转速控制器
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2023.10.004
Min Ding , Zili Tao , Bo Hu , Meng Ye , Yingxiong Ou , Ryuichi Yokoyama

When the wind speed changes significantly in a permanent magnet synchronous wind power generation system, the maximum power point cannot be easily determined in a timely manner. This study proposes a maximum power reference signal search method based on fuzzy control, which is an improvement to the climbing search method. A neural network-based parameter regulator is proposed to address external wind speed fluctuations, where the parameters of a proportional-integral controller is adjusted to accurately monitor the maximum power point under different wind speed conditions. Finally, the effectiveness of this method is verified via Simulink simulation

在永磁同步风力发电系统中,当风速发生显著变化时,无法及时确定最大功率点。本文提出了一种基于模糊控制的最大功率参考信号搜索方法,该方法是对爬升搜索方法的改进。提出了一种基于神经网络的参数调节器来解决外部风速波动问题,其中调整比例积分控制器的参数,以准确监测不同风速条件下的最大功率点。最后,通过Simulink仿真验证了该方法的有效性
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引用次数: 0
Research on the bi-layer low carbon optimization strategy of integrated energy system based on Stackelberg master slave game 基于Stackelberg主从博弈的集成能源系统双层低碳优化策略研究
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2023.08.002
Lizhen Wu , Cuicui Wang , Wei Chen , Tingting Pei

With increasing reforms related to integrated energy systems (IESs), each energy subsystem, as a participant based on bounded rationality, significantly influences the optimal scheduling of the entire IES through mutual learning and imitation. A reasonable multiagent joint operation strategy can help this system meet its low-carbon objectives. This paper proposes a bilayer low-carbon optimal operational strategy for an IES based on the Stackelberg master-slave game and multiagent joint operation. The studied IES includes cogeneration, power-to-gas, and carbon capture systems. Based on the Stackelberg master-slave game theory, sellers are used as leaders in the upper layer to set the prices of electricity and heat, while energy producers, energy storage providers, and load aggregators are used as followers in the lower layer to adjust the operational strategy of the system. An IES bilayer optimization model based on the Stackelberg master-slave game was developed. Finally, the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) condition and linear relaxation technology are used to convert the bilayer game model to a single layer. CPLEX, which is a mathematical program solver, is used to solve the equilibrium problem and the carbon emission trading cost of the system when the benefits of each subject reach maximum and to analyze the impact of different carbon emission trading prices and growth rates on the operational strategy of the system. As an experimental demonstration, we simulated an IES coupled with an IEEE 39-node electrical grid system, a six-node heat network system, and a six-node gas network system. The simulation results confirm the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed model.

随着综合能源系统改革的不断深入,各个能源子系统作为基于有限理性的参与者,通过相互学习和模仿,对整个综合能源系统的最优调度产生重要影响。合理的多智能体联合运行策略有助于实现该系统的低碳目标。本文提出了一种基于Stackelberg主从博弈和多智能体联合操作的双层低碳IES最优运行策略。所研究的IES包括热电联产、电制气和碳捕获系统。基于Stackelberg主从博弈理论,在上层以卖方作为领导者来设定电力和热能的价格,在下层以能源生产商、储能供应商和负荷聚合商作为追随者来调整系统的运行策略。建立了基于Stackelberg主从博弈的IES双层优化模型。最后,利用Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT)条件和线性松弛技术将双层博弈模型转化为单层博弈模型。CPLEX是一种数学程序求解器,用于求解各主体收益达到最大时系统的均衡问题和碳排放交易成本,并分析不同的碳排放交易价格和增长率对系统运行策略的影响。作为实验演示,我们模拟了一个与IEEE 39节点电网系统、六节点热网系统和六节点燃气网络系统耦合的IES。仿真结果验证了该模型的有效性和可行性。
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引用次数: 0
A collaborative approach to integrated energy systems that consider direct trading of multiple energy derivatives 考虑多种能源衍生品直接交易的综合能源系统的协作方法
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2023.08.004
Jianhui Wang , Guangqing Bao , Peizhi Wang , Shoudong Li

The cooperative model of a multi-subject Regional Integrated Energy System (RIES) is no longer limited to the trading of traditional energy, but the trading of new energy derivatives such as Green Certificates (GC), Service Power (SP), and CO2 will be more involved in the energy allocation of the cooperative model. This study was conducted for the multi- entity RIES cooperative model considering the trading of electronics, GC, SP, and CO2. First, a cooperative framework including wind-photovoltaic generation system (WG), combined heat and power system (CHP), and power-carbon-hydrogen load (PCH) is proposed, and the mechanism of energy derivatives trading is also analyzed. Then, the sub-models of each agent in the cooperative model are established separately so that WG has the capability of GC generation, CHP has the capability of GC and CO2 absorption, and PCH can realize the effective utilization of CO2. Then, the WG–CHP–PCH cooperative model is established and equated into two sub-problems of cooperative benefit maximization and transaction payment negotiation, which are solved in a distributed manner by the alternating directed multiplier method (ADMM). Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed cooperative model and distributed solution is verified by simulation. The simulation results show that the WG–CHP–PCH cooperative model can substantially improve the operational efficiency of each agent and realize the efficient redistribution of energy and its derivatives. In addition, the dynamic parameter adjustment algorithm (DP) is further applied in the solving process to improve its convergence speed. By updating the step size during each iteration, the computational cost, the number of iterations, and the apparent oscillations are reduced, and the convergence performance of the algorithm is improved.

多主体区域综合能源系统(RIES)的合作模式不再局限于传统能源的交易,绿色证书(GC)、服务电力(SP)、二氧化碳等新能源衍生品的交易将更多地参与到合作模式的能源配置中。本研究以考虑电子、GC、SP、CO2交易的多实体RIES合作模型为研究对象。首先,提出了包括风电光伏发电系统(WG)、热电联产系统(CHP)和电力-碳氢负荷(PCH)在内的合作框架,并对能源衍生品交易机制进行了分析。然后,分别建立协作模型中各agent的子模型,使WG具有GC生成能力,CHP具有GC和CO2吸收能力,PCH实现CO2的有效利用。然后,建立了WG-CHP-PCH合作模型,并将其等效为合作利益最大化和交易支付协商两个子问题,采用交替定向乘数法(ADMM)进行分布式求解。最后,通过仿真验证了所提出的协作模型和分布式解决方案的有效性。仿真结果表明,WG-CHP-PCH协同模型能够大幅提高各agent的运行效率,实现能量及其衍生物的高效再分配。在求解过程中进一步采用了动态参数调整算法(DP),提高了算法的收敛速度。通过更新每次迭代的步长,减少了算法的计算量、迭代次数和表观振荡,提高了算法的收敛性能。
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引用次数: 0
A review of uncertain factors and analytic methods in long-term energy system optimization models 长期能源系统优化模型中的不确定因素及分析方法综述
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2023.08.006
Siyu Feng , Hongtao Ren , Wenji Zhou

A larger number of uncertain factors in energy systems influence their evolution. Owing to the complexity of energy system modeling, incorporating uncertainty analysis to energy system modeling is essential for future energy system planning and resource allocation. This study focusses on long-term energy system optimization model. The important uncertain parameters in the model are analyzed and divided into policy, economic, and technical factors. This study specifically addresses the challenges related to carbon emission reduction and energy transition. It involves collecting and organizing relevant research on uncertainty analysis of long-term energy systems. Various energy system uncertainty modeling methods and their applications from the literature are summarized in this review. Finally, important uncertainty factors and uncertainty modeling methods for long-term energy system modeling are discussed, and future research directions are proposed.

能源系统中大量的不确定因素影响着它们的演化。由于能源系统建模的复杂性,将不确定性分析纳入能源系统建模对未来能源系统规划和资源配置至关重要。本研究的重点是长期能源系统优化模型。对模型中的重要不确定参数进行了分析,并将其划分为政策因素、经济因素和技术因素。本研究特别针对与碳减排和能源转型相关的挑战。它包括收集和组织长期能源系统不确定性分析的相关研究。本文综述了文献中各种能源系统不确定性建模方法及其应用。最后,讨论了能源系统长期建模的重要不确定性因素和不确定性建模方法,并提出了未来的研究方向。
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引用次数: 1
Modeling and small-signal stability analysis of doubly-fed induction generator integrated system 双馈感应发电机集成系统建模及小信号稳定性分析
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2023.08.005
Tianming Gu , Puyu Wang , Dingyuan Liu , Ao Sun , Dejian Yang , Gangui Yan

Owing to their stability, doubly-fed induction generator (DFIG) integrated systems have gained considerable interest and are the most widely implemented type of wind turbines and due to the increasing escalation of the wind generation penetration rate in power systems. In this study, we investigate a DFIG integrated system comprising four modules: (1) a wind turbine that considers the maximum power point tracking and pitch-angle control, (2) induction generator, (3) rotor/ grid-side converter with the corresponding control strategy, and (4) AC power grid. The detailed small-signal modeling of the entire system is performed by linearizing the dynamic characteristic equation at the steady-state value. Furthermore, a dichotomy method is proposed based on the maximum eigenvalue real part function to obtain the critical value of the parameters. Root-locus analysis is employed to analyze the impact of changes in the phase-locked loop, short-circuit ratio, and blade inertia on the system stability. Lastly, the accuracy of the small-signal model and the real and imaginary parts of the calculated dominant poles in the theoretical analysis are verified using PSCAD/EMTDC.

由于其稳定性,双馈感应发电机(DFIG)集成系统已经获得了相当大的兴趣,并且是最广泛实施的风力涡轮机类型,并且由于风力发电在电力系统中的渗透率不断上升。在本研究中,我们研究了一个由四个模块组成的DFIG集成系统:(1)考虑最大功率点跟踪和俯俯角控制的风力发电机,(2)感应发电机,(3)转子/电网侧变流器及其相应的控制策略,以及(4)交流电网。通过在稳态值处线性化动态特性方程,对整个系统进行了详细的小信号建模。在此基础上,提出了一种基于最大特征值实部函数的二分法来获取参数的临界值。采用根轨迹分析,分析锁相环、短路比、叶片惯量的变化对系统稳定性的影响。最后,利用PSCAD/EMTDC验证了理论分析中小信号模型和计算的主导极实部和虚部的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Substation clustering based on improved KFCM algorithm with adaptive optimal clustering number selection 基于自适应最优聚类数选择改进KFCM算法的变电站聚类
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2023.08.010
Yanhui Xu , Yihao Gao , Yundan Cheng , Yuhang Sun , Xuesong Li , Xianxian Pan , Hao Yu

The premise and basis of load modeling are substation load composition inquiries and cluster analyses. However, the traditional kernel fuzzy C-means (KFCM) algorithm is limited by artificial clustering number selection and its convergence to local optimal solutions. To overcome these limitations, an improved KFCM algorithm with adaptive optimal clustering number selection is proposed in this paper. This algorithm optimizes the KFCM algorithm by combining the powerful global search ability of genetic algorithm and the robust local search ability of simulated annealing algorithm. The improved KFCM algorithm adaptively determines the ideal number of clusters using the clustering evaluation index ratio. Compared with the traditional KFCM algorithm, the enhanced KFCM algorithm has robust clustering and comprehensive abilities, enabling the efficient convergence to the global optimal solution

负荷建模的前提和基础是变电站负荷组成查询和聚类分析。然而,传统的核模糊c -均值(KFCM)算法存在人工聚类数选择和收敛于局部最优解的局限性。为了克服这些局限性,本文提出了一种自适应最优聚类数选择的改进KFCM算法。该算法结合遗传算法强大的全局搜索能力和模拟退火算法的鲁棒局部搜索能力,对KFCM算法进行了优化。改进的KFCM算法利用聚类评价指标比自适应确定理想聚类数。与传统的KFCM算法相比,增强的KFCM算法具有鲁棒的聚类能力和综合能力,能够快速收敛到全局最优解
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引用次数: 0
A cooperative model of photovoltaic and electricity-to- hydrogen including green certificate trading under the conditional value at risk 有条件风险价值下包含绿色证书交易的光伏与电改氢合作模式
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2023.08.003
Haobo Rong , Honghai Kuang

Cooperation in energy systems is no longer limited to the distribution of electricity, and more attention is paid to the trading of green certificates (GCs). This paper proposed a cooperative method for photovoltaic (PV) and electric-to- hydrogen (EH) trading, including GC trading under risk management. First, a novel PV and EH model is established and the cooperation mechanism is analyzed. Meanwhile, PV and EH models were risk-controlled using the conditional value at risk to reduce the impact of the uncertainty of PV electricity and EH loads. Then, the PV-EH cooperative model was established based on cooperative game theory; this was then divided into two subproblems of “cooperative benefit maximization” and “transaction payment negotiation,” and the above two subproblems were solved distributively by alternating direction multiplier method (ADMM). Only energy transactions and price negotiations were conducted between the PV and EH, which can protect the privacy and confidentiality of each entity. Finally, the effectiveness of the cooperation model was verified using a practical engineering case. The simulation results show that the cooperation of the PV-EH can significantly improve the operational efficiency of each entity and the overall efficiency of the cooperation and realize the efficient redistribution of electricity and GC.

能源系统的合作不再局限于电力分配,更多地关注绿色证书的交易。提出了一种基于风险管理的光伏发电与电制氢交易的合作方法,包括气相色谱交易。首先,建立了新型PV - EH模型,并分析了合作机制。同时,利用条件风险值对PV和EH模型进行风险控制,以减少PV电力和EH负荷不确定性的影响。然后,基于合作博弈论建立PV-EH合作模型;然后将其分解为“合作利益最大化”和“交易支付协商”两个子问题,并采用交替方向乘数法(ADMM)对这两个子问题进行分配求解。光伏和EH之间仅进行能源交易和价格谈判,这可以保护每个实体的隐私和机密性。最后,通过工程实例验证了合作模型的有效性。仿真结果表明,PV-EH的合作可以显著提高各实体的运行效率和合作的整体效率,实现电力和GC的高效再分配。
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引用次数: 0
Construction and application of knowledge graph for grid dispatch fault handling based on pre-trained model 基于预训练模型的电网调度故障处理知识图的构建与应用
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2023.08.009
Zhixiang Ji , Xiaohui Wang , Jie Zhang , Di Wu

With the construction of new power systems, the power grid has become extremely large, with an increasing proportion of new energy and AC/DC hybrid connections. The dynamic characteristics and fault patterns of the power grid are complex; additionally, power grid control is difficult, operation risks are high, and the task of fault handling is arduous. Traditional power-grid fault handling relies primarily on human experience. The difference in and lack of knowledge reserve of control personnel restrict the accuracy and timeliness of fault handling. Therefore, this mode of operation is no longer suitable for the requirements of new systems. Based on the multi-source heterogeneous data of power grid dispatch, this paper proposes a joint entity–relationship extraction method for power-grid dispatch fault processing based on a pre-trained model, constructs a knowledge graph of power-grid dispatch fault processing and designs, and develops a fault-processing auxiliary decision-making system based on the knowledge graph. It was applied to study a provincial dispatch control center, and it effectively improved the accident processing ability and intelligent level of accident management and control of the power grid.

随着新型电力系统的建设,电网已经变得非常庞大,新能源和交直流混合连接的比例越来越高。电网的动态特性和故障模式复杂;电网控制难度大,运行风险大,故障处理任务繁重。传统的电网故障处理主要依靠人的经验。控制人员知识储备的差异和不足制约了故障处理的准确性和及时性。因此,这种操作方式已不再适合新系统的要求。基于电网调度多源异构数据,提出了一种基于预训练模型的电网调度故障处理联合实体关系提取方法,构建了电网调度故障处理知识图并进行了设计,开发了基于知识图的故障处理辅助决策系统。应用于某省级调度控制中心的研究,有效提高了电网事故处理能力和事故管控的智能化水平。
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引用次数: 0
Daily rolling estimation of carbon emission cost of coal-fired units considering long-cycle interactive operation simulation of carbon-electricity market 考虑碳电市场长周期交互运行模拟的燃煤机组碳排放成本日滚动估算
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloei.2023.08.007
Mingjie Ma , Lili Hao , Zhengfeng Wang , Zi Yang , Chen Xu , Guangzong Wang , Xueping Pan , Jun Li

The high overlap of participants in the carbon emissions trading and electricity markets couples the operations of the two markets. The carbon emission cost (CEC) of coal-fired units becomes part of the power generation cost through market coupling. The accuracy of CEC calculation affects the clearing capacity of coal-fired units in the electric power market. Study of carbon–electricity market interaction and CEC calculations is still in its initial stages. This study analyzes the impact of carbon emissions trading and compliance on the operation of the electric power market and defines the cost transmission mode between the carbon emissions trading and electric power markets. A long-period interactive operation simulation mechanism for the carbon–electricity market is established, and operation and trading models of the carbon emissions trading market and electric power market are established. A daily rolling estimation method for the CEC of coal- fired units is proposed, along with the CEC per unit electric quantity of the coal-fired units. The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method are verified through an example simulation, and the factors influencing the CEC are analyzed.

碳排放交易和电力市场参与者的高度重叠使得这两个市场的运作相互耦合。燃煤机组的碳排放成本通过市场耦合成为发电成本的一部分。CEC计算的准确性直接影响到燃煤机组在电力市场上的出清能力。碳-电市场相互作用和CEC计算的研究仍处于初级阶段。本研究分析了碳排放交易与合规对电力市场运行的影响,并界定了碳排放交易与电力市场之间的成本传递模式。建立碳电市场长期互动运行模拟机制,建立碳排放交易市场和电力市场运行交易模型。提出了一种燃煤机组电力负荷的日滚动估计方法,并给出了燃煤机组单位电量的电力负荷。通过算例仿真验证了所提方法的可行性和有效性,并分析了影响CEC的因素。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Global Energy Interconnection
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