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The potential use of nature-based solutions as natural hazard mitigation measure for linear infrastructure in the Nordic Countries 将基于自然的解决方案作为北欧国家线性基础设施自然灾害缓解措施的可能性
IF 4.8 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1186/s40677-024-00287-4
Vittoria Capobianco, Rosa Maria Palau, Anders Solheim, Kjersti Gisnås, Graham Gilbert, Per Danielsson, Peter van der Keur
Reliable infrastructure is vital for Nordic societies, but they face escalating climate risks. Climate change is increasing magnitude and frequency of floods, storms, and landslides, making adaptive solutions crucial. This review explores Nature-Based Solutions (NbS) for mitigating natural hazards along Nordic linear infrastructure. The motivation of the review comes as result of a preliminary survey conducted among to the main infrastructure managers in the Fennoscandian peninsula. The objective was to pinpoint the natural hazards that pose greatest concern under future climate scenarios, as well as to understand which specific information is needed to adopt NbS Floods, erosion, landslides and rockfalls emerged as primary hazards of concern for the infrastructure owners, hence the review process was focused only on NbS aimed at mitigating the effects of these specific hazards. A total of 78 documents were identified from the review process and were integrated with examples and case studies from other relevant on-going and past projects. Despite only a few of the NbS identified in these documents were directly implemented for linear infrastructure such as roads and railways, and none dealing with electric grids, several NbS were identified to have a potential for implementation for Nordic linear infrastructure. A list of NbS options, not all implemented along linear infrastructure but with potential for it, is provided. This list is meant to serve as “vade mecum” for a quick and easy access to NbS as mitigation options for linear infrastructure managers in the Nordic Countries. The NbS are classified in green, blue, green/blue and hybrid approaches, and supported by examples of case studies both in the Nordic Countries as well as countries having similar climates. This review underlines the challenges and opportunities of adopting NbS. Challenges such as the lack of expertise, space and climate constraints, and path dependency on adoption of traditional infrastructure must be addressed to mainstream NbS. The review highlights the importance of standardization, European guidelines, and technical manuals in promoting NbS adoption among infrastructure managers, as well as the necessity of accounting for the wider co-benefits of NbS, including carbon sequestration, biodiversity and ecosystem services.This paper contributes to the understanding of NbS as potential natural hazards mitigation options for Nordic infrastructure networks in the face of evolving climate risks, providing valuable insights for infrastructure managers and policymakers alike.
可靠的基础设施对北欧社会至关重要,但它们面临着不断升级的气候风险。气候变化增加了洪水、风暴和山体滑坡的规模和频率,使适应性解决方案变得至关重要。本综述探讨了北欧线性基础设施沿线减轻自然灾害的基于自然的解决方案(NbS)。在对芬诺斯坎半岛的主要基础设施管理者进行初步调查后,我们提出了本综述的动机。洪水、侵蚀、山体滑坡和落石是基础设施所有者关注的主要灾害,因此审查过程只关注旨在减轻这些特定灾害影响的非核心系统。在审查过程中,共确定了 78 份文件,并与其他正在进行的和过去的相关项目中的实例和案例研究相结合。尽管这些文件中确定的 NbS 只有少数直接用于公路和铁路等线性基础设施,没有涉及电网的,但仍确定了几项有可能用于北欧线性基础设施的 NbS。本文件提供了一份 NbS 选项清单,这些选项并非都已在线性基础设施中实施,但具有实施的潜力。这份清单旨在作为 "手册",方便北欧国家的线性基础设施管理者快速、轻松地获取作为缓解方案的 NbS。NbS分为绿色、蓝色、绿色/蓝色和混合方法,并辅以北欧国家以及气候相似国家的案例研究。本综述强调了采用 NbS 所面临的挑战和机遇。要将 NbS 纳入主流,就必须应对缺乏专业知识、空间和气候限制以及采用传统基础设施的路径依赖等挑战。本综述强调了标准化、欧洲指南和技术手册在促进基础设施管理者采用 NbS 方面的重要性,以及考虑 NbS 更广泛的共同效益(包括碳固存、生物多样性和生态系统服务)的必要性。本文有助于人们了解 NbS 作为北欧基础设施网络在面对不断变化的气候风险时潜在的自然灾害缓解方案,为基础设施管理者和政策制定者提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Consequences of slope instability and existing practices of mitigation in hydropower projects of Nepal 尼泊尔水电工程边坡不稳定的后果和现有的缓解措施
IF 4.8 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1186/s40677-024-00289-2
Sanjeev Regmi, Ranjan Kumar Dahal
Nepal has witnessed several instances of slope instability associated with Hydroelectric Projects in the recent decades. Despite this, slope instability tends to receive less attention compared to other hazards. The objective of this study is to investigate fourteen hydroelectric projects with the aim of identifying the types and causes of slope failures. Additionally, it seeks to offer a comprehensive understanding of slope stability conditions and challenges encountered during construction at project sites. To accomplish this, the study employs Key Informant Interviews with Questionnaires to delve into the slope stability concerns within Nepal’s hydropower projects. The findings are then validated through an extensive review of pertinent literature. To conduct a thorough assessment of slope stability, the study relies on on-site observations, measurements, investigations, and both in-situ and laboratory tests. It becomes evident that the careful selection of study sites, the application of geotechnical methods, and the establishment of regular monitoring are pivotal for ensuring favorable slope stability outcomes. A majority of respondents concur that cutslope is the primary factor causing slope instability with 44.4% answering affirmatively. An independent t-test reveals there is no significant difference between the variables. Moreover, the correlation which is closed to 1 suggests that perception of respondents are interconnected and tend to vary in a synchronized manner. Participants in the study widely acknowledge numerical modeling methods as a means to overcome the limitations of slope stability studies.
近几十年来,尼泊尔发生了多起与水电项目相关的斜坡失稳事件。尽管如此,与其他灾害相比,斜坡失稳往往很少受到关注。本研究旨在调查 14 个水电项目,以确定斜坡崩塌的类型和原因。此外,本研究还力求全面了解斜坡稳定性条件以及项目现场施工过程中遇到的挑战。为了实现这一目标,本研究采用了关键知情人访谈和问卷调查的方式,深入研究尼泊尔水电项目中的边坡稳定性问题。然后,通过广泛查阅相关文献,对研究结果进行验证。为了对边坡稳定性进行全面评估,研究依赖于现场观察、测量、调查以及现场和实验室测试。显而易见,谨慎选择研究地点、应用岩土工程方法以及建立定期监测机制对于确保取得有利的斜坡稳定性结果至关重要。大多数受访者都认为切坡是造成边坡不稳定的主要因素,44.4%的受访者给出了肯定的答案。独立 t 检验表明,变量之间没有显著差异。此外,接近 1 的相关性表明,受访者的看法是相互关联的,并趋于同步变化。研究参与者普遍认为数值模拟方法是克服斜坡稳定性研究局限性的一种手段。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring time series models for landslide prediction: a literature review 滑坡预测时间序列模型探索:文献综述
IF 4.8 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1186/s40677-024-00288-3
Kyrillos M. P. Ebrahim, Ali Fares, Nour Faris, Tarek Zayed
Landslides pose significant geological hazards, necessitating advanced prediction techniques to protect vulnerable populations. Reviewing landslide time series analysis predictions is found to be missing despite the availability of numerous reviews. Therefore, this paper systematically reviews time series analysis in landslide prediction, focusing on physically based causative models, highlighting data preparation, model selection, optimizations, and evaluations. The review shows that deep learning, particularly the long-short-term memory (LSTM) model, outperforms traditional methods. However, the effectiveness of these models hinges on meticulous data preparation and model optimization. While the existing literature offers valuable insights, we identify key areas for future research, including the impact of data frequency and the integration of subsurface characteristics in prediction models.
山体滑坡是重大地质灾害,需要先进的预测技术来保护脆弱人群。尽管已有大量评论,但对滑坡时间序列分析预测的评论却被认为是缺失的。因此,本文系统回顾了滑坡预测中的时间序列分析,重点关注基于物理的成因模型,突出数据准备、模型选择、优化和评估。综述显示,深度学习,尤其是长短期记忆(LSTM)模型,优于传统方法。然而,这些模型的有效性取决于细致的数据准备和模型优化。虽然现有文献提供了有价值的见解,但我们也指出了未来研究的关键领域,包括数据频率的影响和预测模型中地下特征的整合。
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引用次数: 0
Shear strength parameters identification of loess interface based on borehole micro static cone penetration system 基于钻孔微静态锥入系统的黄土界面剪切强度参数识别
IF 4.8 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1186/s40677-024-00286-5
Hengxing Lan, Zhanting Song, Han Bao, Yangfan Ma, Changgen Yan, Shijie Liu, Juntian Wang
Loess is prone to large deformation and flow slide due to natural and artificial interfaces inside. The strength of these interfaces controls the mechanical properties of loess. Obtaining their mechanical parameters through in-situ testing is essential for evaluating the mechanical stability in loess engineering with interfaces. By developing a borehole micro static cone penetration system and creating various types of loess with interfaces, extensive borehole penetration model tests were conducted to observe changes in cone tip resistance during penetration. The response surface method was used to analyze the impact of various test conditions on the calculated resistance. A three-dimensional surface fitting method was employed to establish the relationship between penetration parameters and shear strength parameters, which was validated through in-situ testing. The developed borehole micro static cone penetration system achieves overall miniaturization while providing significant penetration power and ensuring an effective penetration distance. Cone tip resistance development during penetration can be divided into three stages: initial, rapid increase, and slow increase. The transition times between these stages vary for different soils. Calculated resistance is positively correlated with dry density and normal stress and negatively correlated with water content. A quadratic positive correlation was established between calculated resistance and shear strength parameters during penetration. In composite soils, the interaction between water content and normal stress is strong. Compared to intact soil samples, the shear strength parameters of composite soils are more prominently influenced by water content. A system for testing interface mechanical parameters was innovatively developed, fulfilling the need to obtain interface shear strength parameters for deep soil. This study can provide support for ensuring the long-term stability of the loess slope or subgrade with interfaces.
由于黄土内部存在天然和人工界面,黄土容易发生大变形和流动滑动。这些界面的强度控制着黄土的机械性能。通过原位测试获得其力学参数对于评估有界面黄土工程的力学稳定性至关重要。通过开发钻孔微型静态锥体贯入系统和创建各种类型的带界面黄土,进行了大量的钻孔贯入模型试验,以观察贯入过程中锥体顶端阻力的变化。采用响应面法分析了各种试验条件对计算阻力的影响。采用三维曲面拟合方法建立了贯入参数与剪切强度参数之间的关系,并通过原位测试进行了验证。所开发的钻孔微型静态锥入系统实现了整体微型化,同时提供了巨大的穿透力,并确保了有效的穿透距离。贯入过程中锥尖阻力的发展可分为三个阶段:初始阶段、快速增加阶段和缓慢增加阶段。不同土壤在这三个阶段之间的过渡时间各不相同。计算阻力与干密度和法向应力呈正相关,与含水量呈负相关。在渗透过程中,计算阻力与剪切强度参数之间呈二次正相关。在复合土中,含水量和法向应力之间的相互作用很强。与完整土样相比,复合土的剪切强度参数受含水量的影响更为显著。该研究创新性地开发了界面力学参数测试系统,满足了获取深层土界面剪切强度参数的需求。该研究可为确保有界面的黄土边坡或路基的长期稳定性提供支持。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing analyst decisions for seismic source discrimination with an optimized learning model 利用优化学习模型加强分析人员的震源判别决策
IF 3.8 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1186/s40677-024-00284-7
Mohamed S. Abdalzaher, Sayed S. R. Moustafa, W. Farid, Mahmoud M. Salim
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引用次数: 0
Detecting information from Twitter on landslide hazards in Italy using deep learning models 利用深度学习模型从 Twitter 上检测意大利滑坡灾害信息
IF 4.8 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1186/s40677-024-00279-4
Rachele Franceschini, Ascanio Rosi, Filippo Catani, Nicola Casagli
Mass media are a new and important source of information for any natural disaster, mass emergency, pandemic, economic or political event, or extreme weather event affecting one or more communities in a country. Several techniques have been developed for data mining in social media for many natural events, but few of them have been applied to the automatic extraction of landslide events. In this study, Twitter has been investigated to detect data about landslide events in Italian-language. The main aim is to obtain an automatic text classification on the basis of information about natural hazards. The text classification for landslide events in Italian-language has still not been applied to detect this type of natural hazard. Over 13,000 data were extracted within Twitter considering five keywords referring to landslide events. The dataset was classified manually, providing a solid base for applying deep learning. The combination of BERT + CNN has been chosen for text classification and two different pre-processing approaches and bert-model have been applied. BERT-multicase + CNN without preprocessing archived the highest values of accuracy, equal to 96% and AUC of 0.96. Two advantages resulted from this studio: the Italian-language classified dataset for landslide events fills that present gap of analysing natural events using Twitter. BERT + CNN was trained to detect this information and proved to be an excellent classifier for the Italian language for landslide events.
对于影响一个国家一个或多个社区的任何自然灾害、大规模紧急事件、流行病、经济或政治事件或极端天气事件,大众媒体都是一个新的重要信息来源。针对许多自然事件的社交媒体数据挖掘已开发出多种技术,但其中很少有技术被应用于滑坡事件的自动提取。在这项研究中,对 Twitter 进行了调查,以检测意大利语的山体滑坡事件数据。主要目的是在自然灾害信息的基础上获得自动文本分类。意大利语中的山体滑坡事件文本分类仍未应用于检测此类自然灾害。我们从 Twitter 中提取了 13,000 多条数据,并考虑了与滑坡事件相关的五个关键词。该数据集经过人工分类,为应用深度学习提供了坚实的基础。文本分类选择了 BERT + CNN 的组合,并应用了两种不同的预处理方法和 BERT 模型。BERT-multicase+CNN(无预处理)的准确率最高,达到 96%,AUC 为 0.96。该工作室有两个优势:意大利语的滑坡事件分类数据集填补了目前使用 Twitter 分析自然事件的空白。BERT + CNN 经过训练,可以检测到这些信息,并证明是一种出色的意大利语山体滑坡事件分类器。
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引用次数: 0
Proposal of a method to analyze children’s flood risk exposure and risk perception using GPS tracking data and questionnaire survey 利用 GPS 跟踪数据和问卷调查分析儿童洪水风险暴露和风险认知的方法建议
IF 4.8 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1186/s40677-024-00283-8
Jun Sakamoto, Suresh Laudari, Masaki Fujioka, Tadashi Hara
Climate change has made the relationship between disaster and sustainable development more critical. Especially in developing countries, disasters frequently devastate local communities and hinder progress. Children are at a higher risk during catastrophes; however, their knowledge of disaster risk is limited. Education for disaster risk reduction can bring the necessary changes for a safe society. School disaster prevention education can raise awareness through lectures and games, but interactive dialogues between students and teachers can be more effective. Also, GPS tracking can be a valuable tool for understanding people’s behavior during disasters. This study proposes a method to analyze the relationship between students’ daily behavior and their experiences of flood damage and preparedness for disaster risk. It is a simple method using questionnaires and GPS loggers and can be applied in mountainous areas in developing countries where equipment is inadequate. The proposed method will be used to understand the current state of disaster risk among children and identify disaster risk reduction issues. The study area lies in Paluntar Municipality, Gorkha district, Nepal. Forty-five students from two schools in the region participated in the study. The results showed that students who commute to school in areas inundated by heavy rainfall in recent years were not adequately prepared for disasters, even though they had experienced flood damage in the past and were significantly more concerned about future harm. Our field observations and interviews of teacher-student relationships showed that students were very attentive to their teachers’ instruction. Teachers understand the dangers of heavy rainfall and how to prepare for it, but students need to learn how to deal with it. In other words, the school staff’s disaster education to the students effectively reduces disasters. Early warning is needed when severe floods are expected during the rainy season.
气候变化使灾害与可持续发展之间的关系变得更加重要。特别是在发展中国家,灾害经常摧毁当地社区,阻碍进步。儿童在灾难中面临的风险更高,但他们对灾害风险的了解却很有限。减少灾害风险教育可以为社会安全带来必要的变化。学校防灾教育可以通过讲座和游戏提高认识,但师生之间的互动对话可能更有效。此外,GPS 跟踪也是了解人们在灾害期间行为的重要工具。本研究提出了一种方法来分析学生的日常行为与他们对洪水损害的体验和对灾害风险的准备之间的关系。这是一种使用调查问卷和 GPS 记录仪的简单方法,可用于设备不足的发展中国家山区。拟议的方法将用于了解儿童的灾害风险现状,并确定减少灾害风险的问题。研究地区位于尼泊尔高尔察县帕伦塔尔市。来自该地区两所学校的 45 名学生参与了研究。研究结果表明,在近几年暴雨淹没地区上下学的学生对灾害的准备不足,尽管他们过去曾经历过洪水灾害,但他们对未来灾害的担忧程度明显更高。我们对师生关系进行的实地观察和访谈显示,学生们对老师的教学非常专注。教师了解暴雨的危害以及如何做好准备,但学生需要学习如何应对暴雨。换句话说,学校教职员工对学生的灾害教育能有效减少灾害。当雨季预计会发生严重洪灾时,需要及早预警。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing landslide susceptibility mapping using a positive-unlabeled machine learning approach: a case study in Chamoli, India 利用正向无标记机器学习方法加强滑坡易发性绘图:印度查莫利的案例研究
IF 4.8 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1186/s40677-024-00281-w
Danrong Zhang, Dipali Jindal, Nimisha Roy, Prashanth Vangla, J. David Frost
The Indian Himalayas' susceptibility to landslides, particularly as a location where climate change effects may be event catalysts, necessitates the development of dependable landslide susceptibility maps (LSM). This study diverges from traditional binary classification models, framing LSM as a positive-unlabeled learning problem. This approach acknowledges that regions without recorded landslides are not necessarily at low risk but could simply have not experienced landslides yet. The study utilizes novel positive-unlabeled learning-enhanced algorithms—Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbor, and Decision Tree—to create LSM for Chamoli district, India. Eleven causative factors for landslides are identified, including elevation, aspect, slope, geology, geomorphology, distance to lineament, lithology, NDVI, distance to river, distance to road and residential land use. To address spatial correlation biases, instead of randomly splitting the dataset, the study adopts spatial splitting to get the training and testing datasets. The study reveals that positive-unlabeled learning substantially improves the Area Under Curve and recall, leading to a more conservative LSM compared to binary classification methods. Analysis shows that the southern region of Chamoli exhibits high recall but lower accuracy, suggesting a latent high landslide susceptibility despite a lack of historical landslides in this region. The study also quantifies the impact of human activity on landslide risk, indicating an elevated threat to life and the local economy, especially in Chamoli's southwestern areas.
印度喜马拉雅山易发生山体滑坡,特别是作为气候变化影响可能成为事件催化剂的地区,有必要开发可靠的山体滑坡易发性地图(LSM)。本研究有别于传统的二元分类模型,将 LSM 定义为一个正向无标记学习问题。这种方法承认,没有山体滑坡记录的地区并不一定是低风险地区,而可能只是尚未经历过山体滑坡。该研究利用新颖的正向无标记学习增强算法--随机森林、K-近邻和决策树--为印度 Chamoli 地区创建了 LSM。确定了山体滑坡的 11 个致因因素,包括海拔、坡向、坡度、地质、地貌、与线状物的距离、岩性、NDVI、与河流的距离、与道路的距离和住宅用地。为解决空间相关性偏差问题,该研究采用空间分割法来获得训练数据集和测试数据集,而不是随机分割数据集。研究发现,正向无标记学习大大提高了曲线下面积和召回率,与二元分类方法相比,LSM 更为保守。分析表明,查莫利南部地区的召回率较高,但准确率较低,这表明尽管该地区历史上没有发生过山体滑坡,但潜在的山体滑坡易发性较高。该研究还量化了人类活动对滑坡风险的影响,表明滑坡对生命和当地经济的威胁增大,尤其是在查莫利的西南部地区。
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引用次数: 0
A 4-years of radar-based observation of bow echo over Bandung basin Indonesia 印度尼西亚万隆盆地上空为期 4 年的弓形回波雷达观测
IF 3.8 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1186/s40677-024-00282-9
G. A. Nugroho, Halimurrahman, A. Awaludin, I. Fathrio, N. J. Trilaksono, E. Maryadi, T. Sinatra, F. Renggono, Didi Satiadi, Erwin Makmur, Agie Wandala Putra, N. Cholianawati, A. Indrawati, Tesalonika Angela Putri Madethen, R. I. Hapsari
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引用次数: 0
Mechanism of a rainfall-induced landslide in a large-scale flume experiment on a weathered granite sand 风化花岗岩砂地大型水槽实验中降雨诱发滑坡的机理
IF 4.8 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1186/s40677-024-00280-x
Ngoc Ha Do, Satoshi Goto, Hirotaka Ochiai, Shiho Asano, Huy Loi Doan, Thanh Binh Huynh, Junji Yoshida
A large-scale flume experiment was performed to evaluate the mechanism of landslide occurrence due to rainfall using weathered granite sand. The dimensions of the flume were 9 m (length), 1 m (width), and 1 m (depth). The weathered granite sand from the actual landslide site at Da Nang City, Vietnam was used. The pore water pressure was measured by a pore-water pressure transducer at two depths (middle and bottom) to determine the process of rainwater infiltration into the soil. The surface deformation was measured with extensometers at three positions of the slope. The deformation of the entire slope was determined by the 160 cylindrical-shaped makers evenly spaced in the slope and three cameras. The results showed that the rainfall infiltrated into the slope process, increasing from negative pore water pressure to approximately 0. The maximum shear strain contour has been plotted in total and in time increments. The shear band was detected from the time increments maximum shear strain contour. The localization in the shear band formed just before failure. To the best of our knowledge, this is the largest scale laboratory test ever conducted to calculate the shear band. Moreover, it was found that the failure occurred when the sand was in an unsaturated phase. Failure does not seem to depend on the increase in pore water pressure but on the maximum shear strain. This feature can be used to explain the phenomenon of landslides that occur even when the groundwater level does not increase but large deformation occurs.
为了评估降雨导致的山体滑坡的发生机理,利用风化花岗岩砂进行了大规模水槽实验。水槽的尺寸为 9 米(长)、1 米(宽)和 1 米(深)。使用的风化花岗岩砂来自越南岘港市的实际滑坡地点。用孔隙水压力传感器测量了两个深度(中间和底部)的孔隙水压力,以确定雨水渗入土壤的过程。用伸长计测量了斜坡三个位置的表面变形。整个斜坡的变形是通过在斜坡上均匀分布的 160 个圆柱形测力计和三台照相机测定的。结果显示,降雨渗入斜坡的过程中,孔隙水压力从负值增加到大约 0。从时间增量最大剪切应变等值线图中检测到了剪切带。剪切带的局部在破坏前形成。据我们所知,这是迄今为止为计算剪切带而进行的规模最大的实验室试验。此外,我们还发现,破坏是在砂处于非饱和阶段时发生的。破坏似乎并不取决于孔隙水压力的增加,而是取决于最大剪切应变。这一特征可用来解释即使地下水位没有上升但发生大变形时也会发生山体滑坡的现象。
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引用次数: 0
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Geoenvironmental Disasters
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