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Public campaign financing’s effects on judicial legitimacy: Evidence from a survey experiment 公共竞选资金对司法合法性的影响——来自一项调查实验的证据
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680231180357
Tiger Bjornlund, Alyx Mark
Although judicial elections are considered a method of keeping state courts—otherwise insulated from public pressure—accountable, the private financing of judicial campaigns has been met with significant criticism. In particular, the perception that campaign contributions can buy favorable case outcomes for contributors to judicial candidates may pose problems for judicial legitimacy. While some scholars and advocacy groups have advanced proposals which seek to eliminate private financing from judicial elections, research has yet to demonstrate a link between the public’s evaluations of a court’s legitimacy and the campaign financing system the state employs. In this paper, we present the results of a survey experiment that examines the public’s evaluations of judicial legitimacy under different campaign financing schemes. We find evidence supportive of our core hypothesis: respondents viewed courts with publicly financed elections as more legitimate than those with privately financed elections. This study helps to reinforce the viability of public financing by empirically demonstrating that the public views a state supreme court elected using the public financing model as more legitimate and less susceptible to donor pressure than one selected using privately financed models.
尽管司法选举被认为是一种让州法院——否则就不会受到公众压力——承担责任的方法,但私人为司法活动提供资金却遭到了严重的批评。特别是,认为竞选捐款可以为司法候选人的捐助者购买有利的案件结果的看法,可能会给司法合法性带来问题。虽然一些学者和倡导团体提出了一些建议,试图消除司法选举中的私人资金,但研究尚未证明公众对法院合法性的评价与国家采用的竞选资金制度之间存在联系。在本文中,我们提出了一项调查实验的结果,该实验考察了公众对不同竞选融资方案下司法合法性的评价。我们发现了支持我们核心假设的证据:受访者认为,由公共资助选举的法院比由私人资助选举的法院更合法。本研究通过实证证明,公众认为使用公共融资模式选出的州最高法院比使用私人融资模式选出的州最高法院更合法,更不容易受到捐助者压力的影响,从而有助于加强公共融资的可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Rents, refugees, and the populist radical right 租金、难民和民粹主义激进右翼
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680231167680
A. Held, Pauliina Patana
The recent successes of populist radical right (PRR) parties have caused major upheavals across European political landscapes. Yet, the roots of their rising popularity continue to be widely debated. We contribute to these debates by advancing a thus far underexplored argument of rising rent burden as key to understanding contemporary PRR vote and nativist attitudes. Rising rents lie at the heart of growing concerns related to housing (un)affordability and (over)burden across Western democracies, directly affecting the economic and social well-being of substantial numbers of citizens. PRR parties, we argue, stand to gain from politicizing such concerns in distinct economic and nativist terms, especially amidst challenges like the European refugee crisis, which provoked an urgent need to house unprecedented inflows of refugees. Drawing on individual-level panel data from Germany, we uncover a strong relationship between rising rents, PRR vote, and hostile attitudes toward refugees. In calling attention to rising rents, our study adds important insights into scholarship on the politics of housing markets not only from the perspective of home ownership and housing assets, but also rents. In so doing, we also refine understandings of the conditions under which economic factors shape PRR support
民粹主义激进右翼政党最近的成功在欧洲政治格局中引发了重大动荡。然而,他们越来越受欢迎的根源仍在广泛争论。我们为这些辩论做出了贡献,提出了一个迄今为止未被充分探索的论点,即租金负担的增加是理解当代PRR投票和本土主义态度的关键。租金上涨是西方民主国家对住房负担能力和负担过重日益担忧的核心,直接影响到大量公民的经济和社会福祉。我们认为,PRR政党将从不同的经济和本土主义角度将这些担忧政治化中获益,尤其是在欧洲难民危机等挑战中,这引发了对前所未有的难民流入的迫切需求。根据德国的个人层面小组数据,我们发现了租金上涨、PRR投票和对难民的敌对态度之间的密切关系。我们的研究不仅从住房所有权和住房资产的角度,而且从租金的角度,为住房市场政治的学术研究增添了重要的见解。在这样做的过程中,我们还完善了对经济因素影响PRR支持的条件的理解
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引用次数: 0
Introducing the MMAD Repressive Actors Dataset 介绍MMAD抑制参与者数据集
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680231163384
E. Rød, Jan Rustemeyer, Sabine Otto
We present the MMAD Repressive Actors Dataset (MMAD-RA). The MMAD-RA is a new data source that provides systematic information on the repressive actors present at protest events in autocracies, including their type, tactics, and level of violence. The data is temporally and geographically fine-grained, allowing for analysis between and within more than 60 countries from 2003 to 2012. The MMAD-RA enables analysis of the variation in repressive actors deployed to protests and their behavior, as well as how these actors impact protest dynamics and outcomes across political and socio-economic contexts. We believe the data will be a valuable resource for pushing forward research on how repressive actors engage with mass protests.
我们提出了MMAD抑制参与者数据集(MMAD-RA)。MMAD-RA是一个新的数据源,它提供了有关专制国家抗议活动中镇压行为体的系统信息,包括他们的类型、策略和暴力程度。这些数据在时间和地理上都很精细,可以在2003年至2012年期间在60多个国家之间和国家内部进行分析。MMAD-RA能够分析被部署到抗议活动中的镇压行为体的变化及其行为,以及这些行为体如何影响政治和社会经济背景下的抗议动态和结果。我们相信,这些数据将是推动研究镇压行为体如何参与大规模抗议活动的宝贵资源。
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引用次数: 0
Apprentices or outsiders? Age-driven heterogeneities in access to political capital and reelection 学徒还是局外人?年龄驱动的政治资本获取和连任的异质性
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680231186840
Michal Grahn
Norms about what constitutes an ideal politician are shown to negatively affect the demand for young political candidates within political parties because they favor qualities that young people have yet to acquire. We ask whether this “youth bias” continues to shape the political opportunities of those young persons who get elected. Drawing on comprehensive, original data encompassing all Czech MPs elected between 1996 and 2021, we analyze potential age-driven heterogeneities in access to valuable political resources and reelection, both of which are subject to party gatekeeping. We find that young MPs are given a privileged access to assignments that facilitate learning about the legislative business and reelection, despite being more likely to cast a dissenting vote at roll call. These results suggest that young MPs, unlike some other political outgroups, are not marginalized by their superiors despite exhibiting certain traits typically associated with political outgroups.
关于什么是理想政治家的规范被证明会对政党内部对年轻政治候选人的需求产生负面影响,因为它们倾向于年轻人尚未具备的素质。我们想知道,这种“青年偏见”是否会继续影响那些当选青年的政治机会。根据涵盖1996年至2021年期间当选的所有捷克议员的全面原始数据,我们分析了在获得宝贵政治资源和连任方面潜在的年龄驱动的异质性,这两者都受到政党把关的影响。我们发现,年轻的议员有权获得有助于了解立法事务和连任的任务,尽管他们更有可能在点名时投反对票。这些结果表明,与其他一些政治外群体不同,年轻的议员并没有被上级边缘化,尽管他们表现出了一些通常与政治外群体相关的特征。
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引用次数: 0
The power of history: How a victimization narrative shapes national identity and public opinion in China 历史的力量:受害叙事如何塑造中国的民族认同和舆论
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680231154837
Yiqing Xu, Jiannan Zhao
We study the effect of a victimization narrative on national identity and public opinion in China experimentally. Previous research has suggested that governments can shape public opinion by guiding citizens’ collective memories of historical events, but few studies have established a clear causal link. By conducting an online survey experiment among 1890 urban Chinese citizens, we examine the causal impact of historical narratives on political attitudes. We find that, compared to control conditions, a narrative focusing on China’s humiliating past in the late Qing significantly reinforces respondents’ attachment to the victim side of the Chinese national identity, raises suspicion of the intention of foreign governments in international disputes, stimulates preference for more hawkish foreign policies, and strengthens support for China’s current political system. These effects are particularly strong among respondents without a college degree.
实验研究了受害叙事对中国民族认同和公众舆论的影响。先前的研究表明,政府可以通过引导公民对历史事件的集体记忆来塑造公众舆论,但很少有研究建立明确的因果关系。通过对1890年中国城市居民的在线调查实验,我们考察了历史叙事对政治态度的因果影响。我们发现,与对照条件相比,关注中国清末耻辱历史的叙述显著强化了受访者对中国民族认同中受害者一方的依恋,引发了对外国政府在国际争端中的意图的怀疑,刺激了对更强硬的外交政策的偏好,并加强了对中国现行政治制度的支持。这种影响在没有大学学历的受访者中尤为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Theory as guide to the analysis of polygyny and conflict: A response to Ash (2022) 理论作为分析一夫多妻制与冲突的指南:对Ash的回应(2022)
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680221144244
Clara Neupert-Wentz, Carlo Koos
Ash (2022, "Ash" hereafter), in this journal, re-assesses our 2020 article “Polygynous Neighbors, Excess Men, and Intergroup Conflict in Africa.” The article analyzed the relationship between polygyny (one man marrying several wives) and intergroup conflict events in Africa. Ash includes assessments that support our original results, though others lead Ash to call our findings into question. While some of Ash’s data transformations are reasonable robustness tests, others seem to be insufficiently rooted in theory and ignore statistical power. Specifically, using fatality counts as an outcome requires theorization, in particular against the backdrop of different underlying theoretical mechanisms, issues of measurement accuracy, and other statistical considerations. Overall, we argue that there are good theoretical and statistical reasons why some of the operationalizations in Ash are not appropriate substitutes for our outcome variable. We appreciate the re-assessment but dismiss the claim in Ash that its findings give sufficient evidence to change the conclusion in our article.
阿什(2022年,以下简称“阿什”)在本期杂志上重新评估了我们2020年的文章《非洲的一夫多妻制邻居、过剩男性和族群间冲突》。文章分析了非洲一夫多妻制(一个男人娶几个妻子)与族群间冲突事件的关系。阿什包括了支持我们最初结果的评估,尽管其他评估让阿什对我们的发现提出了质疑。虽然Ash的一些数据转换是合理的稳健性测试,但其他数据转换似乎没有充分扎根于理论,忽视了统计能力。具体来说,使用死亡率计数作为结果需要理论化,特别是在不同的潜在理论机制、测量精度问题和其他统计考虑的背景下。总的来说,我们认为,有很好的理论和统计原因,为什么一些操作化在Ash不适合替代我们的结果变量。我们赞赏Ash的重新评估,但不同意它的发现提供了足够的证据来改变我们文章的结论。
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引用次数: 0
Thinking generically and specifically in International Relations survey experiments 国际关系调查实验的一般与具体思考
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680231165871
Clara H. Suong, Scott Desposato, E. Gartzke
Does treatment abstraction affect treatment effects in International Relations survey experiments in countries outside of the US? We assess whether treatment effects are conditional on the anonymity of country actors among respondents in Brazil, China, Sweden, Japan, and Ukraine. We examine whether the effects of the United Nations’ approval of military force and regime type of the target country on support for war are moderated by respondents’ compliance with our abstraction encouragement. We find that around 20% of the respondents across all samples think of specific countries and do not comply with our abstraction encouragement. However, we fail to find evidence of a change in the average treatment effects by non-compliance, implying that the treatment effects are not likely to be conditional on respondents’ compliance (thinking of specific cases) or schema inconsistency (thinking of specific cases that are implausible given the context). At the same time, we find that treatment inconsistency (thinking of specific cases that are inconsistent with the assigned treatments) can affect the main treatment effects.
在美国以外国家的国际关系调查实验中,治疗抽象化是否会影响治疗效果?我们评估了在巴西、中国、瑞典、日本和乌克兰的受访者中,治疗效果是否以国家行为者的匿名性为条件。我们研究了联合国批准目标国家的军事力量和政权类型对战争支持的影响是否受到受访者遵守我们抽象鼓励的影响。我们发现,在所有样本中,大约20%的受访者想到了特定的国家,不符合我们的抽象鼓励。然而,我们没有发现不依从性导致平均治疗效果发生变化的证据,这意味着治疗效果不太可能以受访者的依从性(对特定病例的思考)或模式不一致(对特定案例的思考在上下文中是不可信的)为条件。同时,我们发现治疗不一致(思考与指定治疗不一致的特定病例)会影响主要治疗效果。
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引用次数: 1
Unexpected, but consistent and pre-registered: Experimental evidence on interview language and Latino views of COVID-19 意外但一致且预先登记:关于新冠肺炎采访语言和拉丁裔观点的实验证据
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680231168736
Efrén O. Pérez, Jessica HyunJeong Lee, Ana L Oaxaca Carrasco, Cole Matthews, Madison Ritsema
Much uncertainty remains about effective messaging to boost public support for COVID-19 mitigation efforts, especially among people of color. We investigate the relationship between interview language and expressed support for COVID-19 public health protocols among Latinos: America’s largest ethnic group. Prior work establishes that interview language shapes opinions by cognitively structuring which considerations people use to express attitudes. Yet other work suggests interview language shapes opinions by activating specific cultural norms associated with a tongue. We predicted that interviewing in Spanish (versus English) would boost support for COVID-19 protocols by activating pro-social norms known to be strongly associated with that language. We uncover null support for this prediction in a pre-registered experiment on bilingual Latino adults (N = 1645). Instead, we find that Latinos assigned to interview in Spanish report weaker support for COVID-19 protocols, regardless of which cultural norms are primed. We discuss implications for COVID-19 attitudes in linguistically diverse polities.
关于加强公众对新冠肺炎缓解工作的支持的有效信息,尤其是有色人种的支持,仍存在许多不确定性。我们在美国最大的种族群体拉丁裔中调查了采访语言和对新冠肺炎公共卫生协议的支持之间的关系。先前的研究表明,面试语言通过认知结构来塑造观点,人们用这些考虑来表达态度。然而,其他研究表明,面试语言通过激活与语言相关的特定文化规范来塑造观点。我们预测,用西班牙语(而不是英语)进行采访将通过激活已知与该语言密切相关的亲社会规范来促进对新冠肺炎协议的支持。我们在一项针对双语拉丁裔成年人的预先注册实验中发现了对这一预测的零支持(N=1645)。相反,我们发现,接受西班牙语采访的拉丁裔人报告说,无论哪种文化规范已经准备就绪,他们对新冠肺炎协议的支持都较弱。我们讨论了新冠肺炎在语言多样的政治中对态度的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Age-group identity and political participation 年龄群体认同与政治参与
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680231166838
Samuel Trachtman, Sarah F. Anzia, Charlotte Hill
In many ways, American democracy seems to work better for older citizens than younger citizens, and one explanation is that young adults vote at much lower rates than their older counterparts. Yet while the existence of the age gap in turnout is well established, there remains uncertainty as to what drives it. In this paper, we explore age as a potentially important group identity and evaluate whether strength of age-group identity predicts political participation. Adapting established measures in the social identity literature, we surveyed a representative sample of American adults to gauge how strongly they identified with others in their age group. We find that, on average, younger adults identify less strongly than senior citizens with others their age. However, for young adults, age-group identity is as strong as another form of group identity that has gotten considerable attention in the literature: political party identity. The strength of age-group identity also predicts both voting and participating in climate change protests, especially for young adults. Age-group identity is a stronger predictor of climate protest participation for young Republicans than young Democrats—suggesting there may be potential for a bipartisan coalition of young people active on the issue of climate change.
在许多方面,美国的民主似乎对老年人比年轻人更有效,一种解释是年轻人的投票率比老年人低得多。然而,尽管在投票率上存在年龄差距是众所周知的,但其背后的原因仍不确定。在本文中,我们探讨年龄作为一个潜在的重要群体认同,并评估是否年龄群体认同的强度预测政治参与。根据社会认同文献中已有的衡量标准,我们调查了美国成年人的代表性样本,以衡量他们对同龄人的认同感有多强。我们发现,平均而言,年轻人对同龄人的认同感不如老年人强烈。然而,对于年轻人来说,年龄群体认同与另一种在文学中受到相当关注的群体认同一样强烈:政党认同。年龄群体认同的强弱也预示着投票和参与气候变化抗议活动,尤其是年轻人。与年轻的民主党人相比,年龄群体身份更能预测年轻共和党人对气候抗议的参与,这表明在气候变化问题上活跃的年轻人可能会形成一个两党联盟。
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引用次数: 0
Infectious disease and political violence: Evidence from malaria and civil conflicts in Sub-Saharan Africa 传染病和政治暴力:来自撒哈拉以南非洲疟疾和国内冲突的证据
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680231182763
Haohan Chen, Zifeng Wang, Enze Han
As an infectious disease, malaria consumes around 250 million yearly clinical cases and with more than half a million annual deaths. It has shown tremendous burden for the economic and social life of many countries around the world, particularly in the tropical and developing nations. The conventional wisdom claims that the prevalence of malaria infection either prolongs or should be positively correlated with outbreaks of civil conflicts. We contend that malaria infection should deter civil conflict occurrences because warming parties should avoid engaging each other in areas with rampant malaria infection. We test the hypothesis with 20 years of geo-referenced panel data of conflict event and malaria risk from Sub-Sahara Africa. Our result renders strong support for our hypothesis that areas with more malaria infection tends to have less civil conflicts.
作为一种传染病,疟疾每年消耗约2.5亿临床病例,每年造成50多万人死亡。它给世界上许多国家,特别是热带国家和发展中国家的经济和社会生活带来了巨大的负担。传统观点认为,疟疾感染的流行要么延长了国内冲突的爆发,要么应该与冲突的爆发呈正相关。我们认为,疟疾感染应该阻止国内冲突的发生,因为气候变暖的各方应避免在疟疾感染猖獗的地区相互交战。我们用撒哈拉以南非洲地区冲突事件和疟疾风险的20年地理参考面板数据来检验这一假设。我们的研究结果有力地支持了我们的假设,即疟疾感染率高的地区往往内乱较少。
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