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The effects of partisan framing on COVID-19 attitudes: Experimental evidence from early and late pandemic 党派框架对COVID-19态度的影响:来自大流行早期和晚期的实验证据
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680221096049
Amber Wichowsky, Meghan Condon
Political polarization has dominated news coverage of Americans’ responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. In this research note, we report findings from two experimental studies, in which we present respondents with news stories about COVID-19 mitigation measures that emphasize partisan difference or accord. The stories present the same numeric facts about public opinion, but highlight either the partisan gap that existed at the time of the study, or the fact that large majorities of both Republicans and Democrats supported the measures at the time. Results from our first study, conducted late April 2020, show that a media frame drawing attention to shared concern across party lines produced a less polarized response to social-distancing restrictions than a frame that drew attention to partisan difference. Our findings suggest that the extensive media coverage about the red-blue divide in COVID-19 opinions reinforced partisan polarization. These results, however, did not replicate in a second study conducted much later in the pandemic. Qualitative data collected across the two studies demonstrate the degree to which polarization had rapidly become a dominant narrative in Americans’ thinking about COVID-19.
政治两极分化主导了美国人应对新冠肺炎大流行的新闻报道。在本研究报告中,我们报告了两项实验研究的结果,在这些研究中,我们向受访者展示了有关COVID-19缓解措施的新闻报道,这些报道强调党派差异或一致。这两篇报道都呈现了关于公众舆论的相同数字事实,但要么突出了研究进行时存在的党派分歧,要么突出了当时大多数共和党人和民主党人都支持这些措施的事实。我们在2020年4月下旬进行的第一项研究的结果表明,与关注党派分歧的媒体框架相比,关注党派分歧的媒体框架对社交距离限制的反应不那么两极分化。我们的研究结果表明,媒体对COVID-19意见中红蓝分歧的广泛报道加剧了党派分化。然而,这些结果在大流行很久以后进行的第二项研究中没有得到重复。这两项研究收集的定性数据表明,两极分化在美国人对COVID-19的看法中迅速成为主导叙事的程度。
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引用次数: 2
Facebook algorithm changes may have amplified local republican parties Facebook算法的改变可能扩大了当地共和党的影响力
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680221103809
K. Reuning, Anne Whitesell, A. Hannah
In this research note we document changes to the rate of comments, shares, and reactions on local Republican Facebook pages. Near the end of 2018, local Republican parties started to see a much higher degree of interactions on their posts compared to local Democratic parties. We show how this increase in engagement was unique to Facebook and happened across a range of over a thousand local parties. In addition, we use a changepoint model to identify when the change happened and find it lines up with reported information about the change in Facebook’s algorithm in 2018. We conclude that it seems possible that changes in how Facebook rated content led to a doubling of the total shares of local Republican party posts compared to local Democratic party posts in the first half of 2019 even though Democratic parties posted more often during this period. Regardless of Facebook’s motivations, their decision to change the algorithm might have given local Republican parties greater reach to connect with citizens and shape political realities for Americans. The fact that private companies can so easily control the political information flow for millions of Americans raises clear questions for the state of democracy.
在这份研究报告中,我们记录了当地共和党Facebook页面上评论、分享和反应率的变化。接近2018年底,地方共和党人在其职位上的互动程度开始比地方民主党人高得多。我们展示了这种参与率的增长是Facebook独有的,并且发生在1000多个地方派对上。此外,我们使用一个变化点模型来确定变化发生的时间,并发现它与2018年Facebook算法变化的报告信息一致。我们得出的结论是,Facebook对内容评分方式的变化似乎有可能导致2019年上半年地方共和党帖子的总份额比地方民主党帖子增加了一倍,尽管民主党在此期间发布的帖子更频繁。不管Facebook的动机是什么,他们改变算法的决定可能会让当地的共和党更容易与公民联系,并为美国人塑造政治现实。私营公司可以如此轻易地控制数百万美国人的政治信息流,这一事实为民主状况提出了明确的问题。
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引用次数: 6
Who prefers nonpartisan elections? The role of individual party ID and county partisanship 谁更喜欢无党派选举?个人政党身份和县党派关系的作用
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680221083802
Evan Crawford
To what extent does the public prefer local government officials to be selected via nonpartisan, as opposed to partisan, elections? Do preferences vary across different types of local offices? Do Democrats and Republicans systematically differ in their preference for nonpartisan versus partisan local elections? Using a novel dataset based on the 2018 and 2020 CES, I find that while nonpartisan elections are the modal preference for local offices, the proportion of voters favoring this model varies with office-type, party ID, and whether respondents live in counties with a majority of their co-partisans. Specifically, Democrats are more likely to prefer nonpartisan elections for local offices than are Republicans, but there is only evidence for these inter-party differences in Republican-leaning counties. County partisanship also has a significant effect on intra-party variation in preference for nonpartisan elections to certain local offices.
与党派选举相比,公众在多大程度上更喜欢通过无党派选举选出地方政府官员?不同类型的地方办事处的偏好是否不同?民主党和共和党在无党派与党派地方选举的偏好上是否存在系统性差异?使用一个基于2018年和2020年消费电子展的新数据集,我发现,虽然无党派选举是对地方办公室的模式偏好,但支持这种模式的选民比例因办公室类型、政党身份以及受访者是否居住在其共同党派占多数的县而异。具体而言,民主党人比共和党人更倾向于无党派选举地方公职,但只有证据表明倾向共和党的县存在这些党派间差异。县党派之争也对某些地方办公室的无党派选举偏好的党内差异产生了重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Does digital advertising affect vote choice? Evidence from a randomized field experiment 数字广告会影响投票选择吗?来自随机现场实验的证据
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680221076901
A. Coppock, D. Green, Ethan Porter
Despite the increasing sums devoted to online political advertising, our understanding of the persuasive effects of such advertising is limited. We report the results of a ZIP code level randomized field experiment conducted over Facebook and Instagram during the 2018 U.S. midterm elections in Florida. The ads, produced by a Democratic-leaning political action committee, were designed to spur Democratic vote share and were seen more than 1.1 million times with over 100,000 full views. This wide saturation notwithstanding, we find that these advertisements had very small estimated effects on Democratic vote share at the precinct level (−0.04 percentage points, SE: 0.85 points). Our results underline the challenges of political persuasion via digital advertisements, particularly in competitive electoral contexts.
尽管在线政治广告投入的资金越来越多,但我们对此类广告的说服效果的理解有限。我们报告了2018年美国佛罗里达州中期选举期间在Facebook和Instagram上进行的邮政编码级别随机现场实验的结果。这些广告是由一个倾向民主党的政治行动委员会制作的,旨在提高民主党的选票份额,被观看了110多万次,总观看次数超过10万次。尽管这种广泛的饱和,我们发现这些广告对民主党在选区一级的投票份额的影响非常小(- 0.04个百分点,标准差:0.85个百分点)。我们的研究结果强调了通过数字广告进行政治说服的挑战,特别是在竞争激烈的选举环境中。
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引用次数: 14
Cash-based aid and civil war violence: New evidence from Myanmar (2012–2020) 现金援助与内战暴力:来自缅甸的新证据(2012-2020)
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680221076246
H. Choi, Jiyoun Park
Why do some aid projects in conflict environments improve the welfare of local communities and reduce insurgent violence, whereas other projects place them in greater danger? This study investigates this question by testing the effects of aid projects on the intensity of civil war using subnational data on violence and service provision in Myanmar (2012–2020). We find that small-scale, cash-based aid projects significantly reduce battlefield violence at the township level, and the effects of such projects are larger than those of other projects aimed at reducing violence (e.g., peacebuilding). These results provide support for recent counterinsurgency theories, which argue that smaller projects can reduce violence by motivating civilians to share information about rebels with the government (or pro-government) forces. This analysis offers a unique insight into the way cash-based services, though small and relatively inexpensive, can foster stability in conflict zones and save more lives.
为什么在冲突环境中的一些援助项目改善了当地社区的福利并减少了叛乱暴力,而另一些项目却将他们置于更大的危险之中?本研究通过测试援助项目对内战强度的影响来调查这个问题,使用了缅甸(2012-2020年)的次国家暴力和服务提供数据。我们发现,以现金为基础的小规模援助项目显著减少了乡镇一级的战场暴力,此类项目的效果比旨在减少暴力的其他项目(如建设和平)的效果更大。这些结果为最近的反叛乱理论提供了支持,该理论认为,较小的项目可以通过激励平民与政府(或亲政府)部队分享有关叛乱分子的信息来减少暴力。这一分析提供了一个独特的视角,让我们了解以现金为基础的服务虽然规模小且相对便宜,但却可以促进冲突地区的稳定,挽救更多的生命。
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引用次数: 0
The life, death and diversity of pro-government militias: The fully revised pro-government militias database version 2.0 亲政府民兵的生、死和多样性:经过全面修订的亲政府民兵数据库2.0版
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680211062772
Sabine C. Carey, Neil J. Mitchell, Katrin Paula
This article presents version 2.0 of the Pro-Government Militias Database (PGMD). It is increasingly clear that it is untenable to assume a unified security sector, as states often rely on militias to carry out security tasks. The PGMD 2.0 provides new opportunities for studying questions such as when states rely on militias, how they chose among different types and the consequences for stability and peace. We detail how the PGMD 2.0 provides new information on the characteristics, behaviour, life cycle and organization of 504 pro-government militias across the globe between 1981 and 2014.
本文介绍亲政府民兵数据库(PGMD)的2.0版本。越来越明显的是,建立一个统一的安全部门是站不住脚的,因为各州经常依赖民兵来执行安全任务。PGMD 2.0为研究国家何时依赖民兵、他们如何在不同类型中进行选择以及对稳定与和平的影响等问题提供了新的机会。我们详细介绍了PGMD 2.0如何提供关于1981年至2014年间全球504名亲政府民兵的特征、行为、生命周期和组织的新信息。
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引用次数: 2
Conspiratorial thinking in the Latino community on the 2020 election 拉丁裔社区对2020年大选的阴谋思维
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680221083535
J. Cortina, Brandon Rottinghaus
Political knowledge is the cornerstone of a functional representative democracy, but belief in conspiracy theories disrupts that connection and may be dangerous with consequences for democracy. Pundits and politicians have speculated about the cause and effect of misinformation and conspiracy theories, but no work has examined what causes beliefs in conspiracy theories or misinformation among Latinos specifically. In a unique survey of Texas Latinos prior to the 2020 election, we find belief in conspiracy theories is most related to support for Donald Trump and greater reliance on Spanish-language media and social media. The results highlight how conspiratorial thinking manifests in specific ethnic groups and the need to counter those beliefs in Spanish-language media.
政治知识是功能代议制民主的基石,但相信阴谋论会破坏这种联系,并可能对民主产生危险后果。专家和政客们推测了错误信息和阴谋论的因果关系,但没有任何工作专门研究是什么导致了拉丁裔人对阴谋论或错误信息的信仰。在2020年大选前对得克萨斯州拉丁裔进行的一项独特调查中,我们发现对阴谋论的信仰与对唐纳德·特朗普的支持以及对西班牙语媒体和社交媒体的更大依赖最为相关。研究结果强调了阴谋思维在特定种族群体中的表现,以及在西班牙语媒体中对抗这些信仰的必要性。
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引用次数: 2
Partisan news versus party cues: The effect of cross-cutting party and partisan network cues on polarization and persuasion 党派新闻与党派线索:跨党派和党派网络线索对极化和说服的影响
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680221075455
Adam L. Ozer, Jamie M. Wright
The pervasiveness of partisan media and the 24/7 news cycle allow ample opportunity for partisan-motivated reasoning and selective exposure. Nonetheless, individuals still frequently encounter out-party media outlets and expert pundits through mainstream news and social media. We seek to examine the effects of cross-cutting partisan outlet cues (e.g. Fox News, MSNBC) and direct party cues (e.g. Republican, Democrat) on citizens’ perceptions of ideology, source credibility, and news consumption. Using an experiment that pits outlet cues against direct party cues, we find that cross-cutting outlet and direct party cues lead citizens to perceive pundits as more ideologically moderate. As a result, respondents find out-party pundits on in-party outlets to be less biased, increasing interest in the pundits’ perspectives. However, while cross-cutting pundits gain among the out-party, they lose among the in-party. This trade-off holds important normative implications for individual news consumption and the ability of outlets and pundits to appear unbiased while garnering the largest possible audience.
党派媒体的无所不在和全天候的新闻周期为党派动机的推理和选择性曝光提供了充足的机会。尽管如此,个人仍然经常通过主流新闻和社交媒体遇到党外媒体和专家专家。我们试图研究跨党派渠道线索(如福克斯新闻,MSNBC)和直接政党线索(如共和党,民主党)对公民意识形态,来源可信度和新闻消费的看法的影响。通过将出口线索与直接政党线索进行对比的实验,我们发现,交叉出口和直接政党线索导致公民认为专家在意识形态上更温和。因此,受访者发现党内媒体上的党外专家偏见较少,这增加了对专家观点的兴趣。然而,尽管跨领域专家在党外获得了好处,但在党内却失去了好处。这种权衡对于个人新闻消费以及媒体和权威人士在获得尽可能多的受众的同时表现出公正的能力具有重要的规范性意义。
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引用次数: 2
Shame, endorse, or remain silent?: State response to human rights violations in other countries 羞耻,支持,还是保持沉默?:国家对其他国家侵犯人权行为的反应
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680211070344
Omer Zarpli, Hüseyin Zengin
Naming and shaming has been widely used by governments and non-governmental organizations to address human rights violations. Yet despite the prevalence of this foreign policy instrument, the question of when states publicly denounce norm-violators received relatively little scholarly attention. We examine this question in the context of China’s repression of its Uyghur minority. This case offers a unique opportunity to study not only when countries engage in naming and shaming but also when they explicitly defend or endorse rights violations. We analyze the official positions of 174 countries between 2019 and 2021. We find that while geopolitical alignment is a significant predictor of both shaming and defending, a nation’s strong trade links with China has a less straightforward effect. Similarly, while democracies are significantly less likely to defend China’s Uyghur policy, they are not more likely to denounce it. We also find that identity-related factors have a muted effect. The paper advances our understanding of a broader spectrum of government behavior vis-a-vis human rights violations in other countries, and has implications for the role of identity in inter-state shaming.
各国政府和非政府组织广泛使用点名羞辱来处理侵犯人权的行为。然而,尽管这种外交政策工具很普遍,但国家何时公开谴责违反规范的人的问题在学术上相对较少受到关注。我们在中国镇压维吾尔族少数民族的背景下研究这个问题。这起案件提供了一个独特的机会,不仅可以研究各国何时进行点名和羞辱,还可以研究它们何时明确捍卫或支持侵犯权利的行为。我们分析了174个国家在2019年至2021年间的官方立场。我们发现,虽然地缘政治结盟是羞辱和防御的重要预测因素,但一个国家与中国的强大贸易联系却没有那么直接。同样,尽管民主国家捍卫中国维吾尔政策的可能性要小得多,但他们也不太可能谴责中国的维吾尔政策。我们还发现,与身份相关的因素影响较小。这篇论文加深了我们对其他国家政府侵犯人权行为的更广泛理解,并对身份在国家间羞辱中的作用产生了影响。
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引用次数: 2
Motions to instruct conferees as a majoritarian tool in the U.S. house 在美国众议院中,指示与会者作为多数主义工具的动议
IF 2.7 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/20531680221083798
J. Ryan
The extent to which the policymaking process is majoritarian, rather than controlled by the majority party, is a fundamental question in U.S. congressional politics, and in collective choice institutions broadly. Previous research has examined whether some House rules empower the minority party to propose alternative legislation to the floor and circumvent the majority party’s agenda power. I argue the motion to instruct conferees allows the minority to influence policy during the conference process. Motions to instruct are the prerogative of the minority party, are frequently offered, and are frequently passed by the chamber. They substantially moderate conference bills as compared to those bills without a motion to instruct, suggesting that the procedure weakens majority party agenda power. Further, the minority may offer a motion to instruct intended to fail as a way of demonstrating policy extremity to voters, consistent with blame-game bargaining models.
政策制定过程在多大程度上是多数主义的,而不是由多数党控制的,这是美国国会政治和广泛的集体选择制度中的一个基本问题。之前的研究考察了一些众议院规则是否赋予少数党提出替代立法的权力,从而规避多数党的议程权力。我认为,指示与会者的动议允许少数人在会议过程中影响政策。指示动议是少数党的特权,经常被提出,并经常被众议院通过。与没有指示动议案的国会法案相比,这一程序大大缓和了国会法案,从而削弱了多数党的议事权。此外,少数派可能会提出一项意在失败的指令动议,作为向选民展示政策极端的一种方式,这与指责游戏讨价还价模式是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
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