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Adapting P2M Framework for Innovation Program Management Through a Lean-Agile Approach 通过精益-敏捷方法将P2M框架应用于创新项目管理
Pub Date : 2023-02-10 DOI: 10.4018/ijitpm.318125
Fatima-Zahra Eddoug, R. Benabbou, J. Benhra
The commonly adopted project management approach is the stage-gate model, which is not always the convenient approach to innovation projects. The paper objective is to present a qualitative analysis of existing project management approaches and to propose a new hybrid model for effective management of innovation programs based on traditional project management approaches, agile methods to involve the customer, and then lean approach to eliminate waste. The results were illustrated by a new model based on the Japanese P2M (program and project management for enterprise innovation) guide, then combine it with Agile Industrial Scrum method and the agile 3S (scheme, system, and service) model of P2M, and finally with some lean tools and techniques oriented towards the innovation and project management context. Finally, an application case was illustrated where the researchers present the planning of the application of the proposed model on an innovation program in medical waste management field.
通常采用的项目管理方法是阶段-门模型,但这并不总是创新项目的便捷方法。本文的目的是对现有的项目管理方法进行定性分析,并提出一种新的混合模型,用于有效管理创新项目,该模型基于传统的项目管理方法、让客户参与的敏捷方法以及消除浪费的精益方法。基于日本P2M(企业创新计划和项目管理)指南,结合敏捷工业Scrum方法和P2M的敏捷3S(方案、系统和服务)模型,结合面向创新和项目管理的精益工具和技术,构建了一个新的企业创新计划和项目管理模型。最后,以一个应用案例为例,研究人员提出了该模型在医疗废物管理领域创新项目中的应用规划。
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引用次数: 0
Mining Project Failure Indicators From Big Data Using Machine Learning Mixed Methods 利用机器学习混合方法从大数据中挖掘项目失败指标
Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.4018/ijitpm.317221
K. Strang, N. Vajjhala
The literature revealed approximately 50% of IT-related projects around the world fail, which must frustrate a sponsor or decision maker since their ability to forecast success is statistically about the same as guessing with a random coin toss. Nonetheless, some project success/failure factors have been identified, but often the effect sizes were statistically negligible. A pragmatic mixed methods recursive approach was applied, using structured programming, machine learning (ML), and statistical software to mine a large data source for probable project success/failure indicators. Seven feature indicators were detected from ML, producing an accuracy of 79.9%, a recall rate of 81%, an F1 score of 0.798, and a ROCa of 0.849. A post-hoc regression model confirmed three indicators were significant with a 27% effect size. The contributions made to the body of knowledge included: A conceptual model comparing ML methods by artificial intelligence capability and research decision making goal, a mixed methods recursive pragmatic research design, application of the random forest ML technique with post hoc statistical methods, and a preliminary list of IT project failure indicators analyzed from big data.
文献显示,世界上大约有50%的it相关项目失败了,这一定会让赞助商或决策者感到沮丧,因为他们预测成功的能力在统计上与随机投掷硬币的猜测是一样的。尽管如此,已经确定了一些项目成功/失败的因素,但通常影响大小在统计上可以忽略不计。应用了实用的混合方法递归方法,使用结构化编程,机器学习(ML)和统计软件来挖掘大型数据源,以获得可能的项目成功/失败指标。从ML中检测出7个特征指标,准确率为79.9%,召回率为81%,F1得分为0.798,ROCa为0.849。事后回归模型证实三个指标显著,效应量为27%。对知识体系的贡献包括:通过人工智能能力和研究决策目标比较机器学习方法的概念模型,混合方法递归语用研究设计,随机森林机器学习技术与事后统计方法的应用,以及从大数据中分析的IT项目失败指标的初步列表。
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引用次数: 0
A Proposal for Research on the Application of AI/ML in ITPM: Intelligent Project Management AI/ML在ITPM中的应用研究建议:智能项目管理
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/ijitpm.315290
Anoop Mishra, A. Tripathi, D. Khazanchi
According to the market research firm Tractica, the global artificial intelligence software market is forecast to grow to 126 billion by 2025. Additionally, the Gartner group predicts that during the same time as much as 80% of the routine work ,  which represents the bulk of human hours spent in today's project management (PM) activities, can be eliminated because of collaboration between humans and smart machines. Today's PM practices rely heavily on human input. However, that is not the optimum use of the human project manager's intuitive, innovative, and creative abilities. Many aspects of a project manager's work could be managed by machines that utilize AI/ML approaches to address nonroutine and predictive tasks. This paper describes IT project management (ITPM) processes and associated tasks and identifies the AI/ML approaches that can support them.
根据市场研究公司Tractica的预测,到2025年,全球人工智能软件市场将增长到1260亿美元。此外,高德纳集团预测,与此同时,多达80%的日常工作(代表了当今项目管理(PM)活动中花费的大部分人力时间)可以通过人类和智能机器之间的协作而消除。今天的PM实践严重依赖于人力投入。然而,这并不是对人类项目经理的直觉、创新和创造能力的最佳利用。项目经理工作的许多方面都可以由机器来管理,这些机器利用AI/ML方法来处理非常规和预测性任务。本文描述了IT项目管理(ITPM)过程和相关任务,并确定了可以支持它们的AI/ML方法。
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引用次数: 0
Stock Recommendation and Trade Assistance 股票推荐和交易协助
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.4018/ijitpm.313423
Archana Purwar, Indu Chawla, Sarthak Jain, Rahul Malhotra, Dhanesh Chaudhary
Investing in the stock market has never been an easy task. This paper develops a stock recommendation and trade assistance that uses the past performance of the stock to predict its future performance using linear regression model. Linear regression model has given an accuracy of 99.8% as compared to support vector machine (SVM) which resulted into an accuracy of 94.6%. Data set used under the study was extracted from the historic stock data of reliance industries limited (RIL). To analyze whether to buy or sell the stock, four financial algorithms, namely Bollinger bands, moving average convergence/divergence indicator (MACD), money flow index (MFI), and relative strength index (RSI) are employed to find the composite result. Moreover, sentiment analysis of the news depending upon the earning calls and the annual general meetings is done to provide an overall stock and market sentiment analysis. In-depth balance sheet analysis of the company is also done using various instruments to make the trade assistance more accurate. The values for WACC, D/E ratio, and NPV obtained are 14.99, 0.76, and 8.9 lakh crores for RIL.
投资股市从来都不是一件容易的事。本文提出了一种股票推荐与交易辅助方法,即利用股票的过去表现,利用线性回归模型预测其未来表现。与支持向量机(SVM)相比,线性回归模型的准确率为99.8%,而支持向量机(SVM)的准确率为94.6%。本研究使用的数据集取自信实工业有限公司(reliance industries limited, RIL)的历史股票数据。为了分析该股票是买入还是卖出,我们使用了布林带、移动平均收敛/背离指标(MACD)、资金流指数(MFI)和相对强弱指数(RSI)四种金融算法来得出综合结果。此外,根据财报电话会议和年度股东大会对新闻进行情绪分析,以提供整体股票和市场情绪分析。我们还利用各种工具对公司的资产负债表进行了深入分析,以使贸易援助更加准确。获得的WACC、D/E比率和净现值分别为14.99、0.76和8.9万亿卢比。
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引用次数: 0
Perceived Website Efficacy for Life Insurance Companies: Insights From a Best-Worst Method 人寿保险公司的网站效能感知:从最佳最差方法的见解
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.4018/ijitpm.313631
Anupriya Kaur
Given the proliferation of websites which act as digital channels for life insurance companies, a competitive situation has emerged with each vying for the web user's attention and patronage. Web efficacy is vital for creating an impressive online experience and gaining customer patronage. To facilitate the understanding of website managers on specific aspects which matter the most to customers, this study employs the best-worst method to evaluate the importance of various criteria employed by the web users to assess these digital options. Additionally, using four life insurance websites (LIC, SBI Life, HDFC Life Insurance, and Max Life Insurance) as alternatives, the study helps illustrate the competitive position of the websites based on key criteria: trust, visual appeal, innovativeness, information fit-to-task, tailored information, response time, intuitive operations, and relative advantage. The results of this study are easily interpretable and can provide key insights on the specific attributes in a comparative manner for website administrators and managers.
鉴于作为寿险公司数字渠道的网站的激增,竞争局面已经出现,每个网站都在争夺网络用户的关注和赞助。网络效能对于创造令人印象深刻的在线体验和获得客户惠顾至关重要。为了促进网站管理者对客户最重要的具体方面的理解,本研究采用最佳最差方法来评估网络用户评估这些数字选项所采用的各种标准的重要性。此外,本研究以四家寿险网站(LIC、SBI life、HDFC life insurance和Max life insurance)为研究对象,从信任度、视觉吸引力、创新性、资讯适合度、资讯定制、回应时间、操作直觉和相对优势等关键标准,说明这些网站的竞争地位。本研究的结果很容易解释,并且可以以比较的方式为网站管理员和管理者提供关于特定属性的关键见解。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting Churn of Credit Card Customers Using Machine Learning and AutoML 使用机器学习和自动化预测信用卡客户流失
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.4018/ijitpm.313422
R. Gupta, S. Bharti, Nikhlesh Pathik, Ashutosh Sharma
Nowadays, a major concern for most retail banks is the risk that originates from customer fluctuation and that increases the cost of almost every financial product. In this work, the authors compared different approaches and algorithms to predict the relevant features that affect the customer churn, which means we can find ways to reduce the customer churn and create financial inclusion. This research was conducted by applying different machine learning techniques like decision tree classifier, random forest classifier, AdaBoost classifier, extreme gradient boosting, and balancing data with random under-sampling and random oversampling. The authors have also implemented AutoML to further compare different models and improve the accuracy of the model to predict customer churn. It was observed that applying AutoML highest accuracy model gave the accuracy of 97.53% in comparison to that of the decision tree classifier, which was 93.48% with the use of low processing power. Important features were ‘total transaction amount' and ‘total transaction count' to predict customer churn for a given dataset.
如今,大多数零售银行主要担心的是客户波动带来的风险,这种风险增加了几乎所有金融产品的成本。在这项工作中,作者比较了不同的方法和算法来预测影响客户流失的相关特征,这意味着我们可以找到减少客户流失和创造普惠金融的方法。本研究采用了不同的机器学习技术,如决策树分类器、随机森林分类器、AdaBoost分类器、极端梯度增强以及随机欠采样和随机过采样平衡数据。作者还实现了AutoML来进一步比较不同的模型,并提高模型预测客户流失的准确性。结果表明,采用AutoML最高准确率模型,在处理能力较低的情况下,决策树分类器的准确率为93.48%,而采用AutoML最高准确率模型的准确率为97.53%。重要的特征是“总交易金额”和“总交易计数”,以预测给定数据集的客户流失。
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引用次数: 0
Detecting Community Structure in Financial Markets Using the Bat Optimization Algorithm 利用Bat优化算法检测金融市场社区结构
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.4018/ijitpm.313421
K. Aggarwal, Anuja Arora
A lucid representation of the hidden structure of real-world application has attracted complex network research communities and triggered a vast number of solutions in order to resolve complex network issues. In the same direction, initially, this paper proposes a methodology to act on the financial dataset and construct a stock correlation network of four stock indexes based on the closing stock price. The significance of this research work is to form an effective stock community based on their complex price pattern dependencies (i.e., simultaneous fluctuations in stock prices of companies in a time series data). This paper proposes a community detection approach for stock correlation complex networks using the BAT optimization algorithm aiming to achieve high modularity and better-correlated communities. Theoretical analysis and empirical modularity performance measure results have shown that the usage of BAT algorithm for community detection proves to transcend performance in comparison to standard network community detection algorithms – greedy and label propagation.
为了解决复杂的网络问题,对现实世界应用中隐藏结构的清晰表现吸引了复杂网络研究界,并引发了大量的解决方案。在相同的方向上,本文首先提出了一种基于金融数据集的方法,基于收盘价构建四个股票指数的股票相关网络。本研究工作的意义在于,基于它们复杂的价格模式依赖关系(即在一个时间序列数据中,公司的股价同时波动),形成一个有效的股票社区。本文提出了一种基于BAT优化算法的股票相关复杂网络社区检测方法,以实现高模块化和更好的社区关联。理论分析和实证模块化性能测量结果表明,与标准的网络社区检测算法(贪婪和标签传播)相比,使用BAT算法进行社区检测证明具有超越性能的优点。
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引用次数: 1
A Hybrid Machine Learning Approach for Credit Card Fraud Detection 信用卡欺诈检测的混合机器学习方法
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.4018/ijitpm.313420
Sonam Gupta, Tushtee Varshney, Abhinav Verma, Lipika Goel, A. Yadav, Arjun Singh
The online banking system is the new trend in the developing digital world. The transferring of a large amount of currency in a millisecond is leading to fast accessing of the banking system as it saves more time at the online payment and digital shopping. The increase in rate of use of banking credit and debit card leads to a large amount of fraud in the field of finance. Machine learning has the new discovering faces in the field of the finance. So, this research work proposed a hybrid model using the logistic regression, multilayer perceptron, and the XgBoost. The study involves both the balance and imbalance dataset to conclude the result based on the accuracy precision and recall. The results show that accuracy of the model is 100%, and precision, recall, and F1-scores are 95.63%, 99.99%, and 97.76% respectively.
网上银行系统是发展中的数字世界的新趋势。在一毫秒内转移大量货币将导致银行系统的快速访问,因为它节省了在线支付和数字购物的更多时间。银行信用卡和借记卡使用率的增加导致了金融领域大量的欺诈行为。机器学习在金融领域有了新的发现。因此,本研究提出了一个使用逻辑回归、多层感知器和XgBoost的混合模型。该研究涉及平衡和不平衡数据集,以准确度、精密度和召回率为基础得出结果。结果表明,该模型的准确率为100%,准确率为95.63%,召回率为99.99%,f1得分为97.76%。
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引用次数: 0
FDI Inflow in BRICS and G7: An Empirical Analysis 金砖国家和七国集团FDI流入的实证分析
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.4018/ijitpm.313443
Somesh Sharma, Manmohan Bansal, A. K. Saxena
A change in FDI inflow is noticed across the globe. G-7 economies, as representative of developed economies, are fronting with a sharp decline in foreign direct investment inflows in the entire world's FDI inflow, while BRICS, a representative of developing economies, is getting more of the world as a whole's FDI inflow. FDI is a significant economic development variable that has substantially impacted the economic growth of economies. Past trends of FDI inflow into BRICS and G-7 economies showed that BRICS economies had noticed a higher compounded average annual growth rate in FDI compared to G-7 economies in the preceding periods. The best-suited ARIMA model's anticipated value of FDI inflow shows an increasing trend in BRICS and a steady and dropping trend in the G-7. Comparative results of the predicted values of FDI inflow showed that BRICS would have positive FDI inflow while the G-7 would follow a declining trend. The study's findings shall help foreign investors identify the investment opportunities and their future course of action in selecting an investment destination.
全球各地都注意到外国直接投资流入的变化。七国集团作为发达经济体的代表,在全球FDI流入量中面临着外国直接投资急剧下降的问题,而金砖国家作为发展中经济体的代表,在全球FDI流入量中所占的比重正在上升。外国直接投资是一个重要的经济发展变量,对各经济体的经济增长产生了重大影响。过去流入金砖国家和七国集团经济体的外国直接投资趋势表明,金砖国家经济体的外国直接投资复合年均增长率高于七国集团经济体。最适合ARIMA模型的FDI流入预测值显示,金砖国家FDI流入呈上升趋势,七国集团FDI流入呈稳定下降趋势。FDI流入预测值对比结果显示,金砖国家FDI流入为正,而七国集团FDI流入呈下降趋势。研究结果将有助于外国投资者确定投资机会和他们在选择投资目的地时的未来行动方针。
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引用次数: 0
"Soar" or "Sore": Examining and Reflecting on Bank Performance During Global Financial Crisis - An Indian Scenario "翱翔 "还是 "痛苦"?审视和反思全球金融危机期间的银行业绩--印度的情况
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.4018/ijitpm.313662
S. Mohanty, A. Mahendra, Santosh Gopalkrishnan
The study examines the factors affecting the performances of the Indian banking sector, especially after the global financial crisis. The sample constitutes a total of 33 scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) that were operative in India during the period extending from 2002 to 2016 by employing a panel data model. It also reports that leverage and management efficiency as internal determinants do have a significant impact, while inflation as an external determinant affects the bank's profitability. The Indian banking industry has been less affected by the influence of external factors as compared to profitability.
本研究探讨了影响印度银行业业绩的因素,尤其是在全球金融危机之后。研究采用面板数据模型,样本包括 2002 年至 2016 年期间在印度运营的 33 家在册商业银行(SCB)。报告还指出,作为内部决定因素的杠杆率和管理效率确实会产生重大影响,而作为外部决定因素的通货膨胀则会影响银行的盈利能力。与盈利能力相比,印度银行业受外部因素的影响较小。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Int. J. Inf. Technol. Proj. Manag.
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