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Uncertainty assessment in climate change scenarios: a methodological proposal for management of forest ecosystem services 气候变化情景中的不确定性评估:森林生态系统服务管理的方法建议
Pub Date : 2019-06-28 DOI: 10.12899/ASR-1802
S. Sacchelli, Jacopo Bernetti, Augusto Marinelli
The work introduces a method to quantify potential impact of climate change on cultural ecosystem services in forests. The technique of Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Term Set is applied to face with the uncertainty due to climate change as well as subjective opinion of forest experts. Two forest management scenario (current practices as well as climate change-oriented silviculture) are investigated for different time horizons. Results highlight the increasing uncertainty on climate change impact evaluation related to longer time horizons. Potential losses connected to current cultural ecosystem services provision are quantified from spatial as well as economic viewpoint. The method is tested for an illustrative example in the Tuscany region - central Italy.
这项工作介绍了一种量化气候变化对森林文化生态系统服务的潜在影响的方法。针对气候变化带来的不确定性和森林专家的主观意见,采用了犹豫模糊语言术语集技术。在不同的时间范围内调查了两种森林管理情景(目前的做法以及以气候变化为导向的造林)。结果突出表明,随着时间的延长,气候变化影响评估的不确定性越来越大。从空间和经济角度量化了与当前文化生态系统服务提供相关的潜在损失。该方法在意大利中部托斯卡纳地区进行了实例验证。
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引用次数: 0
Biomass Expansion Factors (BEFs) and Carbon Stock for Brant's Oak (Quercus brantii Lindl.) Forests in West-Iran 栎(Quercus brantii Lindl.)生物量膨胀因子(BEFs)与碳储量伊朗西部的森林
Pub Date : 2019-06-28 DOI: 10.12899/ASR-1808
Y. Iranmanesh, H. Sohrabi, K. Sagheb‐Talebi, S. Hosseini, A. H. S. Kouchi
Investigating a tree’s biomass can provide basic information about forest carbon stock. The Biomass Expansion Factor (BEF) is a variable for estimating carbon stock of forests. The aim of this study was to analyse the Above Ground Biomass (AGB) allocation, developing the BEF and carbon stock for two vegetation forms of Brant’s Oak ( Quercus brantii Lindl.) based on forest inventory data. BEF is defined as the ratio of AGB to crown volume variables. The study data were taken from 30 trees that include 16 individual trees with single stem and 14 coppice shoots located in West-Iran. The trees selected were felled and separated into different components including: bole, main branches, lateral branches, twigs and leaves. The fresh weight of the trees was obtained with a portable hanging scale and several samples were taken from each tree component. The results of this study showed significant differences between component biomass proportions of the two vegetation forms of Brant’s Oak trees and determined average biomass and carbon content of the forms studied. We also conclude that BEF of Brant’s Oak could be improved by applying crown variables. According to the results, BEFs are tree-size dependent variables. Finally, this study indicates that age-dependent BEFs cannot be applied to conditions where stand development deviates from the conditions that in which the BEFs were developed.
调查树木的生物量可以提供森林碳储量的基本信息。生物量扩展因子是估算森林碳储量的一个变量。基于森林清查资料,分析了两种植被形式的栎树地上生物量(AGB)分配、BEF和碳储量。BEF定义为AGB与冠体积变量的比值。研究数据取自伊朗西部的30棵树,其中包括16棵单根树和14棵小灌木林。所选择的树木被砍伐并分成不同的组成部分,包括:洞,主树枝,侧枝,小枝和叶子。用便携式吊秤测量树木的鲜重,并从每个树的组成部分取几个样本。研究结果表明,两种植被形态的白栎组分生物量比例存在显著差异,并确定了两种植被形态的平均生物量和碳含量。我们还得出结论,应用树冠变量可以提高布兰特栎树的BEF。根据结果,bef是树大小的因变量。最后,本研究表明,年龄相关的bef不能应用于林分发育偏离bef发育条件的情况。
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引用次数: 2
Comparison between people's perceptions and preferences towards forest stand characteristics in Italy and Ukraine. 意大利和乌克兰人们对林分特征的认知和偏好的比较。
Pub Date : 2019-06-28 DOI: 10.12899/ASR-1786
O. Pelyukh, A. Paletto, L. Zahvoyska
Understanding people’s perceptions and preferences towards forest stand characteristics can bring many benefits to forest managers in the short term. This study aims to identify and compare people’s perception and preferences of forest stand characteristics in Trentino province (Italy) and Rakhiv region (Ukraine). These regions were chosen as study areas for two main reasons: both are in mountain areas and local communities are strictly dependent on the forest resource. Data were collected through a questionnaire administered to a sample of local people. The collected data were statistically analysed to highlight the preferred type of forests related to different stand characteristics. The results of comparative analysis confirmed the importance of socio-demographic characteristics in shaping respondents’ preferences. The results show that respondents in both case studies prefer mixed forests with a random distribution of trees with different diameter sizes. However, respondents from Trentino province prefer open forests, while respondents from Rakhiv region prefer closed one. The present study increased the level of knowledge about people's preferences in Italy and Ukraine for different forest stand characteristics. This information can be used by decision makers (forest managers and planners) to improve the recreational attractiveness of forest stands.
了解人们对林分特征的看法和偏好可以在短期内给森林管理者带来许多好处。本研究旨在确定和比较意大利Trentino省和乌克兰Rakhiv地区人们对林分特征的感知和偏好。选择这些地区作为研究区域主要有两个原因:它们都位于山区,当地社区对森林资源的依赖程度很高。数据是通过对当地居民样本进行问卷调查收集的。对收集到的数据进行统计分析,以突出与不同林分特征相关的首选林分类型。对比分析的结果证实了社会人口特征在塑造受访者偏好方面的重要性。结果表明,在这两个案例研究中,受访者更喜欢不同直径大小树木随机分布的混交林。然而,来自特伦蒂诺省的受访者更喜欢开放森林,而来自Rakhiv地区的受访者更喜欢封闭森林。本研究提高了人们对意大利和乌克兰不同林分特征偏好的认识水平。决策者(森林管理者和规划人员)可以利用这些信息来提高林分的娱乐吸引力。
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引用次数: 5
Common walnut (Juglans regia L.) wood characteristics in two Italian plantations 两个意大利种植园的普通核桃(Juglans regia L.)木材特性
Pub Date : 2019-06-28 DOI: 10.12899/ASR-1818
G. Castro, S. Bergante, D. Sansone, C. Bidini, F. Pelleri
The Woodnat project (H2020) has the goal of identifying the problems that led to poor yields in walnut plantations established under the financial support of EU 2080/92 Regulation and Rural Development Programme, and of improving the market demand for smaller assortments. Some of the plantations monitored in the framework of the project needed thinning: one,  an experimental stand with 5 plots with different layouts and species established in 1994, was thinned in spring 2018; in a second one, a polycyclic plantation established in 1996 with common walnut, hybrid poplar and nurse trees, the walnut was thinned in spring 2017.  At thinning, sample disks were taken at the base of 5 trees randomly selected at each site for the determination of density and shrinkage in the radial, tangential and longitudinal direction. The average density was 0.52g/cm 3 ; the average tangential shrinkage was 12%, while the average radial shrinkage was 6.7%. There were differences in behaviour between the samples from the two sites, probably due to different vegetal materials, age of the plantations and cultivation models.
Woodnat项目(H2020)的目标是确定在欧盟2080/92法规和农村发展计划的财政支持下建立的核桃种植园中导致产量低的问题,并改善对较小品种的市场需求。该项目框架内监测到的一些种植园需要疏伐:一个是1994年建立的一个试验林,有5个不同布局和物种的地块,于2018年春季疏伐;第二个是1996年建立的一个由普通核桃、杂交杨和护树组成的多环人工林,2017年春季对核桃进行了间伐。在间伐时,在每个地点随机选择的5棵树的底部采集样本盘,以测定径向、切向和纵向的密度和收缩率。平均密度为0.52g/cm3;平均切向收缩率为12%,而平均径向收缩率为6.7%。来自两个地点的样品之间的行为存在差异,可能是由于不同的植物材料、种植园的年龄和栽培模式。
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引用次数: 2
The influence of low-frequency variability on tree-rings based climate reconstruction: a case study from central Italy (Roman coast) 低频变率对基于树木年轮的气候重建的影响:以意大利中部(罗马海岸)为例
Pub Date : 2018-12-24 DOI: 10.12899/ASR-1599
G. Mazza, D. Sarris
Tree rings are among the best sources of proxy data for reconstructing past climatic records. In this study we explore for the first time what type of climatic signals can be reconstructed from stone pine ( Pinus pinea L.) based on tree-rings from central Italy (Roman coast). Samples from 112 stone pine trees from stands with different age classes were collected at two locations, Castel Fusano and Castelporziano. In determining the particular target variable for climate reconstruction we explored a wide range of climatic signals (from monthly to multiple year scale) for correlations with tree ring chronologies produced using a variety of detrending methods. We reconstructed short term (autumn-early winter) and long term (3 years precipitation) signals during the 150 years of available data using the “classical” detrending method but also methods preserving their low frequency variability (ABD and RCS) within the chronologies. By setting the best multiple year precipitation drivers at an annual scale and applying a simple percentile threshold approach, we identified the wettest and driest climatic events. The best accuracy in identifying the climatic thresholds was obtained with the ABD method, which also showed the best cross spectral correlation with a long precipitation record. Our reconstruction underpins that since ca. 1850 the Roman coast has experienced its driest conditions in terms of 2-3 year rainfall sums during the last 50 years of the 20 th Century. This finding may be used in the context of identifying the long-term natural variability of the region in relation to climate change as it is expected to affect the Mediterranean.
树木年轮是重建过去气候记录的代理数据的最佳来源之一。在这项研究中,我们首次探索了基于意大利中部(罗马海岸)树木年轮的石松(Pinus pinea L.)可以重建哪种类型的气候信号。在福萨诺城堡和波尔齐亚诺城堡两个地点采集了112棵不同年龄等级的石松样本。在确定气候重建的特定目标变量时,我们探索了广泛的气候信号(从月尺度到多年尺度)与使用各种趋势方法产生的树木年轮年表的相关性。我们利用“经典”去趋势方法重建了150年可用数据中的短期(秋季-初冬)和长期(3年降水)信号,同时也采用了在年表中保留其低频变率(ABD和RCS)的方法。通过在年尺度上设置最佳多年降水驱动因素,并应用简单的百分位阈值方法,我们确定了最潮湿和最干燥的气候事件。ABD方法对气候阈值的识别精度最高,且与长期降水记录的交叉光谱相关性最好。我们的重建表明,自1850年以来,罗马海岸在20世纪最后50年的2-3年降雨量中经历了最干旱的条件。这一发现可用于确定该地区与气候变化有关的长期自然变率,因为预计气候变化将影响地中海。
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引用次数: 1
Statistical inferential techniques for approaching forest mapping. A review of methods 接近森林制图的统计推断技术。方法综述
Pub Date : 2018-12-24 DOI: 10.12899/ASR-1738
R. M. D. Biase, L. Fattorini, M. Marchi
The increasing availability of remote sensing data at no or low costs can be used as ancillary data in order to spatialize and improve the estimation of forest attributes and without increasing the sampling effort and costs. In this review paper, a description of the main statistical inferential techniques for approaching forest mapping is proposed. This article reviews the most used forest mapping methods based on the sole spatial information as well as techniques exploiting auxiliary information from remotely sensed data. The advantages and drawbacks of each method have been described on the basis of several factors, such as the aims of the investigation and the area under examination. Two main groups were here discussed with model-based methods on one side and model-assisted methods on the other, moving the attention from the model used to interpolate surfaces to the sampling scheme. Model-based methods include kriging, locally weighted regression, K-NN, decision trees and neural networks, while the inverse distance weighting interpolator is presented in the model-assisted group. Reliable and up-to-date information on forest characteristics are mandatory tools for any decisional process. The main input data of such systems are wall-to-wall maps depicting the spatial structures of forests and additional elements. Actually, if the original aim of forest inventories was to estimate harvestable timber amounts, a general interest towards multipurpose surveys is mandatory. Such information must deal with increased costs and more time-consuming procedures.
越来越多的免费或低成本遥感数据可用作辅助数据,以便对森林属性进行空间化和改进估计,而无需增加采样工作和成本。本文综述了森林制图的主要统计推断技术。本文综述了目前最常用的基于单一空间信息的森林制图方法以及利用遥感数据辅助信息的森林制图技术。每种方法的优点和缺点都在几个因素的基础上进行了描述,例如调查的目的和审查的领域。这里讨论了两个主要组,一方面是基于模型的方法,另一方面是模型辅助方法,将注意力从用于插值曲面的模型转移到采样方案上。基于模型的方法包括kriging、局部加权回归、K-NN、决策树和神经网络,而在模型辅助组中提出了逆距离加权插值器。关于森林特征的可靠和最新信息是任何决策过程的必备工具。这种系统的主要输入数据是描绘森林空间结构和其他元素的完整地图。实际上,如果森林清查的最初目的是估计可采伐木材的数量,那么对多用途调查的普遍兴趣是强制性的。这些信息必须处理成本增加和程序更耗时的问题。
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引用次数: 13
Site quality assessment for Pinus sylvestris L. in mixed forests of the central part of "Rhodope Mountains" in northeastern Greece 希腊东北部“罗多比山脉”中部混交林西尔维斯松立地质量评价
Pub Date : 2018-12-24 DOI: 10.12899/ASR-1614
E. Milios, K. Kitikidou, E. Pipinis, Athanasios Stampoulidis, Sofia Akritidou, Pavlos Smiris
In this work, site index curves are developed for Pinus sylvestris in Greece, because of the ecological, social and economic importance of the species. Data from the forest of the Central Rhodope Mountains of north-eastern Greece are used. Thirty one dominant trees, which had the mean height of the 100 tallest trees per hectare were randomly selected and cut, in the 1990s. For each sampled tree a stem analysis was conducted. The selected height-age model for Pinus sylvestris was . The mean annual increment from stem analyses was equal to 0.212 m, corresponding to a base age of 68 years. The height estimation, calculated by the selected model, for a 68 year-old tree, is 23 m (SI23). Using the quadratic model as the guide curve for the development of anamorphic site index curves, we produced two more curves, SI20 and SI27. The main findings of this research are that Pinus sylvestris seems to grow faster in height in the productive site of the present study compared with that of Sweden, its growth is similar to that of the two most productive sites in forests in northwestern Spain, and it seems comparable to the fairly productive sites of northwestern Turkey.
在这项工作中,由于该物种的生态、社会和经济重要性,我们为希腊的西尔维斯特松(Pinus sylvestris)开发了场地指数曲线。数据来自希腊东北部中部罗多彼山脉的森林。20世纪90年代,随机抽取31棵优势树,每公顷最高的100棵树的平均高度进行采伐。对每棵采样树进行茎分析。选取的松林高龄模型为。茎干分析的年平均增量为0.212 m,对应于68岁的基本年龄。所选模型计算的树高估计为23 m (SI23)。利用二次模型作为变形位点指数曲线发展的指导曲线,我们又生成了两条曲线SI20和SI27。本研究的主要发现是,与瑞典的生产地点相比,在本研究的生产地点,sylvestris似乎在高度上生长得更快,它的生长与西班牙西北部森林中两个最多产的地点相似,它似乎与土耳其西北部相当多产的地点相当。
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引用次数: 1
How different management regimes of chestnut forests affect diversity and abundance of moth communities 板栗林的不同管理制度如何影响蛾类群落的多样性和丰度
Pub Date : 2018-12-24 DOI: 10.12899/ASR-1503
S. Greco, M. Infusino, A. Ienco, S. Scalercio
Chestnut forests were exploited from centuries for several uses and are still nowadays managed under coppice and orchard regimes. The different management practices created a typical mosaic-like structure in landscapes in which alternate different kind of habitat represented by young and mature coppices, old thinned coppices with the physiognomy of high forest,  and managed or abandoned orchards. The aim of our study was to evaluate how the different kind of management could affect the hosted biodiversity. We used nocturnal Lepidoptera as indicators, sampled in different woodlots along an altitudinal gradient in the chestnut forests of the Catena Costiera Mountains, southern Italy. We analyzed a published dataset concerning 15 stands subjected to different management regimes. We found that the main variables affecting moth communities distribution were (i) the elevation at which the stands were located and (ii) the time elapsed from the last human intervention. In fact, the stands subjected to recent intervention (young coppices and managed orchards) showed low values of moth richness and abundance, on the contrary the stands subjected to old interventions (mature and old coppices and abandoned orchards) registered a high number of species and individuals, mainly due to their greater structural complexity. Despite the quantitative differences, in woodlots recently managed were collected exclusive species that increased the diversity at a landscape level. Our results underlined the importance to maintain a mosaic-like landscape taking into account also the altitude when interventions are planned in order to improve the ecological sustainability of chestnut forest exploitation.
几个世纪以来,栗子林被开发用于多种用途,如今仍以灌木林和果园制度进行管理。不同的管理实践在景观中创造了一个典型的马赛克状结构,在这个结构中,不同类型的栖息地交替存在,以年轻和成熟的乔木、具有高林地貌的老乔木、管理或废弃的果园为代表。本研究的目的是评估不同管理方式对寄主生物多样性的影响。以夜间鳞翅目为指标,在意大利南部Catena Costiera山区不同林地沿海拔梯度取样。我们分析了一个公开的数据集,涉及15个不同管理制度的林分。我们发现影响飞蛾群落分布的主要变量是(i)林分所在的海拔高度和(ii)距离上次人为干预的时间。事实上,经过近期干预的林分(幼林和管理果园)蛾类丰富度和丰度较低,而经过长期干预的林分(成熟林、老林和废弃果园)蛾类丰富度和丰度较高,这主要是由于林分结构复杂所致。尽管数量上存在差异,但在最近管理的林地中收集到的特有物种增加了景观水平上的多样性。我们的研究结果强调了在规划干预措施时,为了提高栗树林开发的生态可持续性,在考虑海拔的情况下保持马赛克状景观的重要性。
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引用次数: 12
Assessing seed regeneration in chestnut coppices: a methodological approach 板栗小枝种子再生评估:一种方法学方法
Pub Date : 2018-12-24 DOI: 10.12899/ASR-1670
M. Manetti, C. Becagli, F. Pelleri, G. Pezzatti, M. Pividori, M. Conedera, Enrico Marcolin
Over the last decades, the abandonment of the traditional management due to many adverse factors caused a general aging of chestnut coppices; this led to an increased mortality of the chestnut stools and a consequent replacement with the entry of other species. Preservation and improvement of the chestnut coppice emphasize the importance of natural regeneration for future forest management: seed regeneration contributes to provide new stools for future coppice generations and promotes a proper development of the stand in terms of specific and structural diversity. In this study, we propose a method for investigating the relationship between density, diversity, development of natural regeneration and possible driving forces in terms of site conditions and stand parameters. At this purpose, a survey based on mixed sampling plots was conducted in different coppice systems (simple coppice, coppice with standards), 4÷8 years after the coppicing: measurements on stools, shoots and standards, as well as seed regeneration were carried out. Chestnut seed regeneration was characterized by taller individuals in simple coppice plots, even though the seedlings were fewer than those in coppice with standards treatment. Canopy cover and amount of standards, density of stools and resprouting shoots negatively influenced the establishment of chestnut seed regeneration: likewise, within the same treatment, plots with greater site index promoted the development of chestnut regeneration. The proposed methods allowed a characterization of the dynamics related to the natural regeneration of classical chestnut coppice systems, identifying the main controlling factors. Among them, factors modifiable by management, such as stand structure and amount of standards, offer forest managers multiple silvicultural options to control seed regeneration processes.
近几十年来,由于诸多不利因素的影响,传统的管理方式被抛弃,导致板栗普遍老化;这导致栗子粪便的死亡率增加,随之而来的是其他物种的进入。栗树林的保护和改善强调了自然更新对未来森林管理的重要性:种子更新有助于为未来的乔木世代提供新的粪便,并促进林分在特定和结构多样性方面的适当发展。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种方法来调查密度、多样性、自然更新的发展和可能的驱动因素在立地条件和林分参数的关系。为此,在不同的灌木林系统(简单灌木林、带标准灌木林)中进行了混合采样,在灌木林覆膜4÷8年后进行了测量,测量了粪便、芽和标准以及种子再生情况。栗子种子再生的特点是,在简单的乔木样地,尽管幼苗数量少于标准处理的乔木样地。冠层盖度、标准苗数量、粪便密度和再生芽密度对板栗种子再生的建立有负向影响;同样,在相同处理下,立地指数较大的样地促进板栗种子再生的发展。所提出的方法可以表征与经典栗木系统自然再生相关的动力学,确定主要控制因素。其中,林分结构和标准数量等可通过经营方式改变的因素为森林管理者提供了多种造林选择,以控制种子更新过程。
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引用次数: 3
Communicating facts, findings and thinking to support evidence-based strategies and decisions 沟通事实、发现和想法,以支持基于证据的战略和决策
Pub Date : 2018-06-20 DOI: 10.12899/ASR-1617
P. Corona
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引用次数: 22
期刊
Annals of Silvicultural Research
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