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Factors Behind Legislative Duration in the European Union 欧盟立法期限背后的因素
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2022.20.1.68.3
N. Kaveshnikov, A. Domanov
This article investigates the impact of various institutional factors on the duration of legislative process negotiations in the European Union. The empirical data consists of EU secondary law directives adopted in 1990-2019 (1124 directives). We use the methodology of survival analysis (Cox model). We detected that after 2004 the rules of voting in the Council (unanimity or qualified majority) do not affect the duration of the legislative process; this conclusion changes the traditional vision of the functioning of the Council. We prove that of all the EU enlargements, only that of 1995 has influenced the legislative process and slowed it down. Other EU enlargements, including one in 2004 when 10 CEE countries joined the EU, did not show a significant impact. We demonstrate that of all basic treaty reforms that have taken place since 1990 only the Amsterdam Treaty has accelerated the decision-making process. In addition, we conclude that the Interinstitutional Agreement of 2007 between the Council and the European Parliament had a stronger impact on the legislative process than most treaty reforms. It favoured the acceleration of decision-making by consolidating cooperative practices between EU institutions based on trilogues. Besides, the study confirms some previous conclusions tested on the new dataset: more active involvement of the European Parliament in the legislative process (ordinary legislative procedure), the novelty and complexity of the act slow down the decision-making process.
本文研究了各种制度因素对欧盟立法程序谈判持续时间的影响。实证数据包括1990-2019年通过的欧盟二级法律指令(1124个指令)。我们采用生存分析方法(Cox模型)。我们发现,2004年以后,理事会的投票规则(一致同意或特定多数)不再影响立法进程的持续时间;这一结论改变了对安理会职能的传统看法。我们证明,在欧盟所有的扩大中,只有1995年的扩大影响了立法进程并减缓了立法进程。欧盟的其他扩大,包括2004年10个中东欧国家加入欧盟,并没有显示出显著的影响。我们表明,在1990年以来进行的所有基本条约改革中,只有《阿姆斯特丹条约》加速了决策进程。此外,我们得出结论,2007年理事会与欧洲议会之间的机构间协定比大多数条约改革对立法进程的影响更大。它赞成通过在三部曲基础上巩固欧盟各机构之间的合作实践来加速决策。此外,该研究证实了之前在新数据集上测试的一些结论:欧洲议会更积极地参与立法过程(普通立法程序),该法案的新颖性和复杂性减慢了决策过程。
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引用次数: 0
Center-Regional Relations in Italy 意大利的区域关系中心
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2022.20.1.68.6
O. Gaman-Golutvina, M. Dudaeva
The article examines the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the development of center-regional relations on the example of the Italian Republic. The pandemic has become a serious test of the effectiveness and strength of interaction between central governments and regions, and analysis of the socio-political results of almost two years of the difficult test makes it possible to clarify the understanding of the nature of modern Italian regionalism, and allows us to present a forecast for its further development. The study of this research is inscribed in a broad analytical and historical context. The conceptualization of analytical tools has been clarified, including the concepts of decentralization, regionalization, federalization, devolution, separatism, irredentism, autonomism. Political decentralization in Italy is considered in a historical retrospective by analyzing the goals, drivers and main milestones of the emergence and development of autonomist and separatist projects, including taking into account the study of the "North-South" issue. Various alternatives for the further evolution of center-periphery relations are considered, taking into account the negative impact of the pandemic. The conclusion is argued that the central government as a whole has demonstrated the ability to mobilize and pursue a flexible policy that meets social demand in key parameters, as a result of which society has rallied around the anti-crisis agenda and increased support for the central government. At this stage, it is considered that a relative public agreement has been reached taking into account the increase of current problems in case of active support of separatist political actors. Provided that the national government develops a further effective policy that keeps in mind the needs of the regions, it will help maintain the stability of the center-regional relations for the future.
本文以意大利共和国为例,考察了新冠肺炎疫情对中心地区关系发展的影响。这一流行病已成为对中央政府与地区之间相互作用的有效性和强度的严重考验,对近两年这一艰难考验的社会政治结果的分析,使我们能够澄清对现代意大利地区主义性质的理解,并使我们能够对其进一步发展作出预测。对这项研究的研究是在广泛的分析和历史背景下进行的。澄清了分析工具的概念化,包括权力下放、区域化、联邦化、权力下放、分离主义、统一主义、自治主义等概念。通过分析自治主义和分离主义项目出现和发展的目标、驱动因素和主要里程碑,包括考虑到“南北”问题的研究,在历史回顾中考虑了意大利的政治权力下放。考虑到大流行的负面影响,考虑了进一步发展中心-外围关系的各种备选方案。结论认为,中央政府作为一个整体已经显示出动员和追求灵活政策的能力,以满足关键参数的社会需求,其结果是社会团结在反危机议程周围,增加了对中央政府的支持。在这一阶段,人们认为已经达成了一项相对公开的协议,考虑到在分裂主义政治行动者积极支持的情况下目前问题的增加。如果国家政府考虑到地区的需要,进一步制定有效的政策,将有助于维持未来中央地区关系的稳定。
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引用次数: 0
Evolution of United States’ Private Military and Security Companies: The Case of Afghanistan 2001–2021 美国私营军事和安保公司的演变:2001-2021年阿富汗案例
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2022.20.1.68.7
E. Korol'kova
The withdrawal of troops on 31 August 2021 which was carried out in accordance with the Agreement signed on 29 February 2020 between the U.S. government and the Taliban (an international terrorist organization banned in the Russian Federation) marked the end of the international military campaign in Afghanistan which lasted twenty years. Assessing the preliminary outcomes of nearly a quarter-century of the US military and their NATO allies’ presence in Afghanistan, U.S. President Joseph Biden announced the end of “an era of major military operations to remake other countries”. Though the consequences of the Western coalition campaign in the area remain to be evaluated and they are unlikely to turn out to be unequivocal, the Atlantic strategy aimed at rebuilding and democratization of Afghanistan proved itself as bankrupt. Our research focuses on the way the twenty-year military campaign in Afghanistan affected the development of the U.S. private military and security companies (PMSC) industry. For these purposes, we, firstly, studied and traced the transformation of the private military and security services market in the U.S., and examined the changes of approaches and mechanisms used to contract PMSCs. Secondly, we analyzed the way the U.S. authorities addressed the challenges new market evoked, focusing on the measures of legal regulation that were applied to PMSCs, and the way the working of the U.S. institutional mechanisms was transforming. The final part of the research contains conclusions on the perspectives for the development of the American PMSC industry after the withdrawal of the U.S. troops from Afghanistan. We believe that due to its duration and continuity, the Afghan operation ensured a launchpad for the PMSC industry and provided conditions for private military and security companies to acquire and master high-end experience which in turn, contributed to the development of a certain market that goes well beyond the involvement of conventional human capital. It provided solutions for the production, utilization, and maintenance of the equipment and technologies, allowing the minimization of the direct participation of specialists in hostilities. Alongside the development of the American PMSC industry itself, the research studies the investigations conducted by the U.S. authorities into the cases of abuse committed by the contractors during their participation in Afghan war. It discusses the way this practice encouraged the transformations of United States procedures and mechanisms aimed at reducing malpractice when performing contracts and launched changes in U.S. legislation. It also demonstrates the lessons learned by the U.S. from the contractual practice with regard to the regulation of PMSCs. The research reveals the strengths and weaknesses of the American policy regarding PMSCs during the whole period of the military conflict in Afghanistan and helps to evaluate the success of the U.S. efforts in monitoring contractors ac
根据2020年2月29日美国政府与塔利班(在俄罗斯联邦被禁止的国际恐怖组织)签署的协议,2021年8月31日的撤军标志着在阿富汗持续了20年的国际军事行动的结束。美国总统约瑟夫·拜登评估了近四分之一个世纪以来美军及其北约盟国在阿富汗的初步成果,宣布“以重大军事行动重塑其他国家的时代”结束。尽管西方联军在该地区的行动的后果仍有待评估,而且不太可能是明确的,但旨在重建和民主化阿富汗的大西洋战略已被证明是失败的。我们的研究重点是20年的阿富汗军事行动对美国私人军事和安全公司(PMSC)行业发展的影响。为此,我们首先研究和追踪了美国私人军事和安全服务市场的转变,并检查了用于承包私营军事服务公司的方法和机制的变化。其次,我们分析了美国当局应对新市场引发的挑战的方式,重点关注了适用于私营私营服务公司的法律监管措施,以及美国体制机制的运作方式正在转变。研究的最后一部分是对美军从阿富汗撤军后美国PMSC产业发展前景的结论。我们认为,由于阿富汗行动的持续时间和连续性,确保了PMSC工业的一个启动平台,并为私营军事和安全公司获得和掌握高端经验提供了条件,这反过来又有助于开发一个远远超出传统人力资本参与的市场。它为设备和技术的生产、利用和维护提供了解决方案,使专家直接参与敌对行动的可能性降到最低。除了美国PMSC行业本身的发展之外,该研究还研究了美国当局对承包商在参与阿富汗战争期间犯下的虐待案件进行的调查。它讨论了这种做法如何鼓励美国程序和机制的转变,以减少履行合同时的不当行为,并推动了美国立法的变化。它还展示了美国在管理私营军事服务公司方面从合同实践中吸取的教训。该研究揭示了美国在整个阿富汗军事冲突期间关于私营军事服务公司的政策的优势和弱点,并有助于评估美国在阿富汗各地监督承包商的努力的成功。总之,我们认为在阿富汗获得的大量合同经验确保了美国PMSC行业的技术和程序进步。鉴于美国、俄罗斯和中国之间的长期竞争,包括在军事和技术领域,与俄罗斯和中国相比,美国私营军事服务公司直接参与敌对行动的20年经验增强了其竞争优势,而俄罗斯和中国的私营军事服务公司仍然缺乏这种经验。
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引用次数: 0
Reforming VAT for Digital Economy in Latin America 拉丁美洲数字经济增值税改革
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2022.20.2.69.8
T. Naumenko, M. Kozyreva
The article aims at examining the issue which is both urgent and in demand in scientific space and social life: at digitalization and informatization of all spheres of modern society and, above all, in the economic sphere. In fact, digital transformations of the modern world are reflected both in the activities of businesses and in value creation processes, as the latter demands an improvement in tax policy, because the previous systems did not take into account the factor of digital commerce, thus causing the reduction of tax revenues in the budget. The main objective of the research is to analyze the specific traits of the digital transformation of Latin America economies in order to identify the features of their adjustment to the environment in order to improve the VAT collection systems. For its implementation, a systematization of the main characteristics of the digital economy was carried out noted by the OECD as urgent challenges to national fiscal systems. Among them, a special place is occupied by mobility, the development of multilateral business models, which have an impact both on the economy of the whole world in general and on Latin America in particular. The study has found that, despite a significant increase in the percentage of digital goods in total GDP, only five countries in the region, Argentina, Colombia, Costa Rica, Peru and Uruguay, have made legal changes on the issue under consideration. Besides, their different visions and some approaches to solving the problem of taxation were considered, main differences were identified, which include a definition of the digital goods and services, as well as the chosen methods of tax collection, each of them having their advantages and disadvantages. The authors explore the issue of VAT, based on the classification of the principles for applying this tax presented by the OECD – by place of origin or by purpose – since these aspects are of the utmost importance in the restructuring of national fiscal systems to the realities of the digital economy. This criterion contributed to the identification of the main models of reform, followed by highlighting their strengths and shortcomings. The chosen multifaceted analytical prism of the digital economy and the problems of taxation in the states of Latin America forms the novelty of the study, actualizing the need for the simultaneous application of various methodological approaches that identify problem areas and prove that within new standards of the digital economy there occur lots of problems, and a systematic approach to them requires further research.
本文旨在探讨科学空间和社会生活中迫切需要的问题:现代社会各个领域,尤其是经济领域的数字化和信息化。事实上,现代世界的数字化转型既反映在商业活动中,也反映在价值创造过程中,因为后者要求改善税收政策,因为以前的系统没有考虑到数字商务的因素,从而导致预算中的税收减少。本研究的主要目的是分析拉丁美洲经济体数字化转型的具体特征,以确定其适应环境的特征,从而改善增值税征收制度。在实施过程中,对数字经济的主要特征进行了系统化分析,经合组织将其视为国家财政体系面临的紧迫挑战。其中,流动性,多边商业模式的发展占据了一个特殊的位置,它对整个世界的经济,特别是对拉丁美洲的经济都有影响。该研究发现,尽管数字商品占GDP总量的比例显著增加,但该地区只有五个国家(阿根廷、哥伦比亚、哥斯达黎加、秘鲁和乌拉圭)对正在考虑的问题进行了法律修改。此外,他们的不同愿景和解决税收问题的一些方法被考虑,主要的差异被确定,其中包括数字商品和服务的定义,以及选择的税收方法,每一个都有自己的优点和缺点。作者根据经合组织提出的适用增值税的原则分类(按原产地或按目的分类)探讨了增值税问题,因为这些方面在根据数字经济的现实调整国家财政体系方面至关重要。这一标准有助于确定改革的主要模式,然后突出其优点和缺点。选择数字经济的多方面分析棱镜和拉丁美洲国家的税收问题形成了研究的新颖性,实现了同时应用各种方法方法的需要,这些方法方法可以识别问题领域,并证明在数字经济的新标准下存在许多问题,需要进一步研究系统的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-Political Cleavages in France and Germany 法国和德国的社会政治分裂
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2022.20.2.69.4
M. Sigachev, S. Arteev
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引用次数: 0
Future from the Past 过去与未来
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2022.20.2.69.9
I. Bolgova
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引用次数: 0
The Biden Administration’s Climate Policy toward China 拜登政府对中国的气候政策
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2022.20.2.69.2
Y. Golub, S. Shenin
The article is devoted to the analysis of the contemporary US-Chinese relations in the climate sphere and forecasting the prospects for their development in the near future. In the context of the evolution of the problem in the past, as well as taking into account the differences in approaches to the problem in the United States from the two leading parties and the most influential political and ideological groups, the authors investigate the causes of the aggravation of climate relations between Washington and Beijing. It is noted that having occupied the White House, the Democratic administration of J. Biden began to increase pressure on the Chinese government in order to force it to accelerate the passage of "green transit", i.e. the transition from the use of fossil fuels in the economy to renewable energy sources. It is assumed that such a strategy should slow down China's economic development, thus giving America time for internal reforms aimed at achieving its global "green" leadership, which, in turn, should ensure economic dominance in the post-crisis period. Tactically, the administration uses a "separate" methodology, i.e. declares the need to isolate from each other the climate and all other components of the Chinese policy of the United States. This approach is not supported by most political and ideological groups. Thus, the progressive wing of the Democratic Party insists on close climate cooperation with China, which implies a possibility of geopolitical concessions. Moderate Republicans ("realists") consider "constructive competition" with Beijing in the climate sphere possible. Conservatives are confident that China will not fulfill its promises, and therefore they advocate "climate realism", which means carrying out internal reforms in the United States only taking into account what has been done by other countries, primarily China. The neoconservative group demands to abandon climate pressure and rely on tough geopolitical steps against Beijing. It is concluded that disagreement within the ruling elite with Biden's Chinese policy will greatly complicate the approval of the climate reform program in Congress, therefore the "containment" of the PRC will be primarily economic and geopolitical in nature.
本文致力于分析当代中美关系在气候领域的发展,并预测其近期的发展前景。在过去气候问题演变的背景下,并考虑到美国两个主要政党和最有影响力的政治和意识形态团体在解决问题的方法上的差异,作者调查了华盛顿和北京之间气候关系恶化的原因。值得注意的是,民主党拜登政府入主白宫后,开始加大对中国政府的压力,迫使其加快“绿色交通”的进程,即从经济中使用化石燃料转向使用可再生能源。人们认为,这样的战略应该减缓中国的经济发展,从而给美国时间进行内部改革,以实现其全球“绿色”领导地位,从而确保后危机时期的经济主导地位。从战术上讲,政府使用了一种“单独”的方法,即宣布需要将气候和美国对华政策的所有其他组成部分相互隔离。这种做法不受大多数政治和意识形态团体的支持。因此,民主党的进步派坚持与中国进行密切的气候合作,这意味着地缘政治让步的可能性。温和派共和党人(“现实主义者”)认为有可能在气候领域与北京展开“建设性竞争”。保守派相信中国不会履行承诺,因此他们提倡“气候现实主义”,这意味着在美国进行内部改革时,只考虑其他国家(主要是中国)已经做过的事情。这个新保守主义团体要求放弃气候压力,转而依靠强硬的地缘政治措施来对付北京。结论是,执政精英内部对拜登中国政策的分歧将极大地使国会对气候改革计划的批准复杂化,因此对中国的“遏制”将主要是经济和地缘政治性质的。
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引用次数: 0
Legal Framework of Regional Organizations’ Participation in Peacekeeping 区域组织参与维和行动的法律框架
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2022.20.1.68.2
K. Golub
The article analyzes the international legal framework for the participation of regional organizations in peacekeeping operations. Based on a review of scientific literature, the author examines the evolution of the legal approaches of the United Nations to international peacekeeping operations, considering the changes in their content in recent decades. The author explores the coupling between the peacekeeping mechanisms of the UN and regional organizations. The main object of the study is the peacekeeping activity of the Collective Security Treaty Organization based on the relevant international treaty. The article is an attempt to assess the political capabilities of a regional organization to expand its influence in the world using formal legal research methods. Three possible formats of a peacekeeping operation based on the Agreement on Peacekeeping Activities of the CSTO are revealed by the author. First, a peacekeeping operation by decision of the Organization within the borders of its member states. Its parameters correspond to the traditional (first generation) peacekeeping missions. Secondly, a peacekeeping operation by decision of the UN Security Council. Its deployment requires a mandate of the international community to endow the CSTO, which allows the implementation of multidimensional (second generation) peacekeeping operation by the forces of a regional organization. The third format of the CSTO peacekeeping operations is the participation of the CSTO in UN peacekeeping operations. The necessary legal framework is established by the recent Protocol on Amendments to the Agreement on the Peacekeeping Activities of the CSTO. The Organization is to endow one of the member states with the mandate to apply its multinational (consolidated) peacekeeping forces to the UN Peacekeeping Capability Readiness System. Thus applied CSTO peacekeeping forces can be involved in solving tasks during the UN peacekeeping operations under the CSTO flag. Based on the analysis of the legal framework for interaction between the United Nations and regional organizations in the field of peacekeeping, the author concludes that the potential for regional organizations to independently conduct multidimensional peacekeeping missions without direct violating state sovereignty or the UN Security Council mandate is significantly limited. The main opportunity for the collective use of the CSTO peacekeeping potential lies in its involvement in UN peacekeeping operations based on the approaches applied within the UN system to the organization of international peacekeeping activities.
本文分析了区域组织参与维和行动的国际法律框架。在回顾科学文献的基础上,作者考察了联合国国际维持和平行动的法律方法的演变,并考虑了近几十年来其内容的变化。作者探讨了联合国维和机制与区域组织之间的耦合关系。本研究的主要对象是基于相关国际条约的集体安全条约组织的维和活动。这篇文章试图用正式的法律研究方法来评估一个区域组织扩大其在世界上的影响力的政治能力。基于《集体安全条约组织维持和平活动协定》,作者提出了三种可能的维持和平行动形式。第一,由本组织决定在其成员国境内开展维和行动。其参数符合传统的(第一代)维和任务。第二,联合国安理会决定开展维和行动。它的部署需要国际社会授权给集体安全条约组织,它允许一个区域组织的部队实施多层面(第二代)维持和平行动。集体安全条约组织维和行动的第三种形式是集体安全条约组织参与联合国维和行动。最近通过的《关于修正集体安全条约组织维持和平活动协定的议定书》建立了必要的法律框架。本组织将授权一个成员国将其多国(合并)维和部队纳入联合国维持和平能力准备系统。因此,适用集体安全条约组织的维持和平部队可以参与解决在集体安全条约组织旗帜下的联合国维持和平行动期间的任务。在对联合国与区域组织在维和领域互动的法律框架进行分析的基础上,作者得出结论,区域组织在不直接侵犯国家主权或联合国安理会授权的情况下独立开展多维维和任务的潜力非常有限。集体利用集体安全条约组织维持和平潜力的主要机会在于根据联合国系统内用于组织国际维持和平活动的方法参与联合国维持和平行动。
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引用次数: 0
The World of Pre-National States 前民族国家的世界
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2022.20.1.68.9
T. Alekseeva
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引用次数: 0
Economic Development and Internal Sovereignty of Transnistria and Abkhazia 德涅斯特河沿岸和阿布哈兹的经济发展和内部主权
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2022.20.2.69.5
V. Kolosov, M. Zotova
For more than 30 years, Transnistria and Abkhazia separated from their parent states and proclaimed independence. Generations born and raised in unrecognized states have already entered an active age. In this regard, the question of how citizens of the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic and the Republic of Abkhazia understand independence, how important it is for them, how do they see the prospects of their states and what life strategies do they choose, becomes especially relevant. In the article, the authors compare the results of 13 focus groups conducted in Transnistria and Abkhazia in the fall of 2020 with the main socio-economic indicators of de facto states and their neighbors. This approach made it possible to connect the perception of the problems of everyday life with changes in the identity of citizens and the internal sovereignty of unrecognized states, to highlight the factors uniting and dividing various social groups, to assess their attitude to the current results and prospects of state building. The different composition of the groups made it possible to compare the opinions, firstly, of citizens who were socialized after the collapse of the Soviet Union and in Soviet times, secondly, different ethnic groups, men and women, and, thirdly, residents of different districts of de-facto states. It was revealed that the main economic indicators of Abkhazia and Transnistria lag behind the average values of neighboring countries. The lack of significant economic progress can potentially affect the loyalty of citizens to the political regime and negatively change the viability of the republics. In this context, signs of fatigue from the inconveniences of life in the unrecognized republic and low-income levels compared to neighboring countries and the mother state were revealed in the Abkhaz and Transnistrian societies.
30多年来,德涅斯特河沿岸和阿布哈兹从母国分离出来,宣布独立。在未被承认的州出生和长大的几代人已经进入了活跃的年龄。在这方面,摩尔多瓦共和国和阿布哈兹共和国的公民如何理解独立,独立对他们有多重要,他们如何看待各自国家的前景,以及他们选择什么样的生活战略,这些问题变得特别重要。在这篇文章中,作者将2020年秋季在德涅斯特河沿岸和阿布哈兹进行的13个焦点小组的结果与实际国家及其邻国的主要社会经济指标进行了比较。这种方法使人们有可能将对日常生活问题的看法与公民身份的变化和未被承认的国家的内部主权联系起来,突出团结和分裂各种社会群体的因素,评估他们对当前国家建设结果和前景的态度。这些群体的不同组成使得比较意见成为可能,首先,苏联解体后和苏联时期社会化的公民,其次,不同的种族群体,男人和女人,第三,不同地区的居民事实上的国家。据调查,阿布哈兹和德涅斯特河沿岸地区的主要经济指标落后于周边国家的平均水平。缺乏显著的经济进步可能会影响公民对政治制度的忠诚,并对共和国的生存能力产生负面影响。在这种情况下,阿布哈兹和德涅斯特河沿岸社会出现了由于未被承认的共和国生活的不便和与邻国和母国相比的低收入水平而产生的疲劳迹象。
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