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Investment cooperation as a digital economy development method for the Republic of Kazakhstan and the EU 作为哈萨克斯坦共和国和欧盟数字经济发展方法的投资合作
IF 2.2 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2024.100636
Aina B. Otarbayeva , Akimzhan A. Arupov , Madina M. Abaidullayeva , Dardana M. Dadabayeva , Gulzhakhan U. Khajiyeva
In modern conditions, the digitalisation of the economy is a vital part of any country’s development. It not only reduces costs for transactions but also increases the efficiency of many internal processes, especially managerial ones. Thus, it remains relevant in general to consider the opportunities for the development of digitalisation in a country. For this research, the study is conducted in the context of investment cooperation, using the example of Kazakhstan and the European Union. The research aims to show how this form of interaction between countries affects the development of the digital economy. The main scientific methods were analysis, abstraction, prediction, deduction. The study assessed the general features in the context of investment cooperation between the countries of the European Union and described the specifics of interaction between the countries. Subsequently, it was briefly described how the digital economy is developing in the Republic of Kazakhstan. Investment in the latest technologies has not been sufficiently effective in the country, due to general macroeconomic conditions and political instability, as well as inefficiency of state authorities. The study also assessed the relationship between Kazakhstan and the European Union in terms of the development of the digital economy and described joint projects in this area. This study brings new knowledge for the development of the digital economy, as well as a better understanding of the current development of the Republic of Kazakhstan and the European Union.
在现代条件下,经济数字化是任何国家发展的重要组成部分。它不仅降低了交易成本,还提高了许多内部流程,尤其是管理流程的效率。因此,从总体上看,考虑一个国家的数字化发展机遇仍然具有现实意义。本研究以哈萨克斯坦和欧盟的投资合作为例进行研究。研究旨在说明这种国家间的互动形式如何影响数字经济的发展。主要的科学方法是分析、抽象、预测、演绎。研究评估了欧盟国家间投资合作的总体特征,并描述了国家间互动的具体情况。随后,简要介绍了数字经济在哈萨克斯坦共和国的发展情况。由于总体宏观经济条件和政治不稳定,以及国家当局的低效率,对最新技术的投资在该国还不够有效。研究还评估了哈萨克斯坦与欧盟在发展数字经济方面的关系,并介绍了该领域的联合项目。这项研究为数字经济的发展带来了新的知识,也使人们更好地了解了哈萨克斯坦共和国和欧洲联盟的发展现状。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of LPG consumption on cooking energy efficiency: Evidence from rural Indian household panel data 液化石油气消费对烹饪能效的影响:来自印度农村家庭面板数据的证据
IF 2.2 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2024.100627
Dawit Guta , Hisham Zerriffi , Jill Baumgartner , Abhishek Jain , Sunil Mani , Darby Jack , Ellison Carter , Guofeng Shen , Jennifer Orgill-Meyer , Joshua Rosenthal , Katherine Dickinson , Rob Bailis , Yuta J. Masuda

The Indian government promoted the adoption of LPG by millions of poor households through targeted Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana connection subsidies. However, there is no empirical study on the impact of LPG adoption and usage on cooking energy efficiency. It is important to analyze the causal impact of LPG usage on cooking energy efficiency to help estimate the energy saving resulting from fuel-switching and understand the implications for the improvement of the environment, health, and socioeconomic outcomes. This paper leverages panel data on rural household energy use from the Access to Clean Cooking Energy and Electricity – Survey of States survey to evaluate the impact of the share of LPG consumption on overall cooking energy efficiency in 5,590 [n = 1,538 in 2015 and n = 4,052 in 2018] LPG adopters. To account for the potential endogeneity posed by the share of LPG consumption on our dependent variable, we used the village-level fraction of households who report the use of LPG as the main source of cooking fuel as an instrumental variable. We find a statistically significant impact of LPG consumption share on improved household cooking energy efficiency. A 10 % increase in the share of LPG reduces the total useful energy consumed by 9 % and the final energy consumed by 23 %. The extrapolated result indicates that the shift by all partial LPG user households in rural India in 2018 to exclusive (100 %) use of LPG will save about 81 million tonnes of firewood or 3.34 % of India’s primary energy consumption. A pro-poor subsidies for LPG refill and other policy measures that encourage households to shift to more exclusive use of LPG can reduce overall household energy consumption which is expected in turn to help achieve the environmental and health benefits of improved energy efficiency.

印度政府通过有针对性的 Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana 连接补贴,促进了数百万贫困家庭采用液化石油气。然而,目前还没有关于采用和使用液化石油气对烹饪能效影响的实证研究。分析液化石油气的使用对烹饪能效的因果影响非常重要,这有助于估算燃料转换带来的能源节约,并了解其对改善环境、健康和社会经济成果的影响。本文利用 "获得清洁炊事能源和电力--各州调查"(Access to Clean Cooking Energy and Electricity - Survey of States survey)中有关农村家庭能源使用情况的面板数据,对 5590 名[2015 年 n = 1538 人,2018 年 n = 4052 人]液化石油气采用者的液化石油气消费比例对整体炊事能效的影响进行了评估。为了考虑液化石油气消费比例对因变量的潜在内生性,我们使用了村级报告使用液化石油气作为主要烹饪燃料来源的家庭比例作为工具变量。我们发现,液化石油气消费比例对提高家庭烹饪能效有显著的统计影响。液化石油气消费比例每增加 10%,有用总能耗就会减少 9%,最终能耗则会减少 23%。推断结果表明,2018 年印度农村地区所有部分液化石油气用户家庭转向完全(100%)使用液化石油气,将节省约 8100 万吨木柴,占印度一次能源消耗量的 3.34%。向贫困人口提供液化石油气加气补贴和其他政策措施,鼓励家庭转向更完全地使用液化石油气,可以减少家庭的总体能源消耗,从而有助于实现提高能源效率所带来的环境和健康惠益。
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引用次数: 0
Against Democracy, Neo-totalitarianism, or What? A Cross-Country Dynamic Panel Endogenous Switching Regressing Analysis of Innovation, Economic Growth, and Political Stability 反对民主、新极权主义还是什么?对创新、经济增长和政治稳定的跨国动态面板内生转换回归分析
IF 2.2 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2024.100625
Stephen Frimpong

Innovation has long been recognized in economic literature as an important source of Schumpeterian disequilibrium for societies’ economic development, but until now, it has played no role in the debate on the political stability of countries regarding its disequilibrating and destabilization role between societal demands and government capabilities. Thus, the extent to which a country’s level of innovation disequilibrates public demands and government capabilities and leads to adverse impacts on political stability has been neglected in the literature. This paper analyzes the effects of innovation on the political stability of countries using 2013–2020 panel data for 121 countries from the World Bank and the World Intellectual Property Organization in static and dynamic simulation frameworks. The paper uses panel endogenous switching regression with control function, the robust Arellano-Bover/Blundell-Bond system dynamic panel model, and other techniques that have never been used before in this subject matter to disentangle the effects of innovation on political stability. The dependent variable is an index measuring political stability, and the explanatory variable indicates a country’s level of innovation. Controls include the country’s institutional, socioeconomic, and environmental factors. Endogeneity is controlled using a combination of traditional instrumental variables, lag variables in dynamic systems, and endogenous treatment models. The findings are that the recent rapid rise and proliferation of innovation negatively correlate with political stability, especially in countries with high levels of innovation production. On average, rising levels of uncontrolled innovation reduce political stability by 48 percent in high-innovation-producing countries relative to low-innovation-producing countries. High institutional quality factors, such as improvement in voice and accountability and the rule of law, moderate the negative relationship between innovation and political stability. The findings confirm the relevance of other-disregarded factors in sustaining and improving political stability and reinforce the importance and urgent need for enhanced regulatory mechanisms for the production, dissemination, and use of innovation.

长期以来,经济学文献一直认为创新是熊彼特失衡理论中社会经济发展的一个重要来源,但迄今为止,在有关国家政治稳定的讨论中,创新在社会需求和政府能力之间的失衡和不稳定作用却一直未被提及。因此,一个国家的创新水平在多大程度上使公众需求和政府能力失衡,并导致对政治稳定的不利影响,一直被文献所忽视。本文利用世界银行和世界知识产权组织提供的121个国家的2013-2020年面板数据,在静态和动态模拟框架下分析了创新对国家政治稳定的影响。本文使用了带控制函数的面板内生转换回归、稳健的阿雷拉诺-博弗/布伦戴尔-邦德系统动态面板模型以及其他在该主题领域从未使用过的技术,来析出创新对政治稳定的影响。因变量是衡量政治稳定性的指数,解释变量表示一个国家的创新水平。控制因素包括国家的制度、社会经济和环境因素。利用传统工具变量、动态系统中的滞后变量和内生处理模型的组合来控制内生性。研究结果表明,近期创新的迅速崛起和扩散与政治稳定性呈负相关,尤其是在创新生产水平较高的国家。平均而言,相对于低创新水平国家,高创新水平国家不受控制的创新水平上升会使政治稳定性降低 48%。高制度质量因素,如发言权、问责制和法治的改善,缓和了创新与政治稳定性之间的负面关系。研究结果证实了其他被忽视的因素在维持和改善政治稳定方面的相关性,并强化了加强创新生产、传播和使用的监管机制的重要性和紧迫性。
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引用次数: 0
Bride price payment and marriage Stability: An ethnographic study of the Brifors of the Upper West Region, Ghana 彩礼与婚姻稳定:对加纳上西部地区布里福尔人的人种学研究
IF 2.2 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2024.100626
Thaddeus Arkum Aasoglenang , Libanus Susan , Patrick Bonye

A bride price creates an unending bond for married couples in sub-Sahara Africa. This gesture is key within the Brifor cultural milieu in Ghana. This paper investigates the impact of bride price on marriage stability among the Brifor ethnic group. In-depth interviews were conducted with 45 Key Informants and seven defined groups. The results show that the cultural demands of high bride price payment among the Brifors stabilizes marriages, secures the entitlement right of the husband to the woman and children, but increases incidences of violence against women. From the results it is evident that apart from the high bride price payment contributing to marriage instability, there is also the indication that the abuse of the rights of wives depends largely on the character of the husbands, including the cultural mindset instilled in them through biological traits and/or family socialization in relation to their culture. The study concludes that although most participants felt that the practice of paying bride price should be reviewed, it was evident that the payment has become a double-edge sword confronting women in particular, relative to the stability or instability of marriages among the Brifors. Therefore, there is the need for traditional authority to reform the practice by reducing the bride price items and spacing out the payment period as a respite for husbands-to-be.

彩礼为撒哈拉以南非洲地区的已婚夫妇建立了一种永恒的纽带。在加纳的布里福尔文化环境中,这种姿态至关重要。本文研究了彩礼对 Brifor 族群婚姻稳定性的影响。对 45 名关键信息提供者和 7 个确定的群体进行了深入访谈。结果表明,布里福尔人对高额彩礼的文化要求能够稳定婚姻,确保丈夫对妇女和子女的应得权利,但却增加了暴力侵害妇女的发生率。研究结果表明,除了高额彩礼导致婚姻不稳定之外,还有迹象表明,对妻子权利的侵犯在很大程度上取决于丈夫的性格,包括通过生理特征和/或与文化相关的家庭社会化灌输给他们的文化思想。研究得出的结论是,尽管大多数参与者认为应审查支付彩礼的做法,但很明显,相对于布里福尔人婚姻的稳定性或不稳定性而言,支付彩礼已成为一把双刃剑,尤其是妇女所面临的问题。因此,传统权威有必要改革这种做法,减少彩礼项目,拉开彩礼支付期的间隔,让准新郎们有喘息的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding drivers of fuel stacking among pay-as-you-go LPG customers in Nairobi, Kenya 了解肯尼亚内罗毕现收现付液化石油气用户堆放燃料的驱动因素
IF 2.2 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2024.100622
Tash Perros , Ayse Lisa Allison , Willah Nabukwangwa , James Mwitari , Patricia Kavuli , Winnie Chepkirui , Ghislaine Rosa , Matthew Shupler , Daniel Pope , Elisa Puzzolo

Fuel stacking perpetuates the negative impacts of polluting fuels and limits the potential of clean cooking transitions. The study aims to identify drivers of fuel stacking amongst customers of a pay-as-you-go (PAYG) LPG product provided by MGas in the greater Nairobi area as a basis for designing interventions that reduce fuel stacking. We developed a quantitative telephonic survey tool (n = 1323) to holistically investigate fuel stacking, which was validated by a smaller number of qualitative semi-structured interviews (n = 18). Both the survey and interview designs were informed by Perros et al.’s 2022 taxonomy of fuel stacking drivers. Results showed that the main driver of fuel stacking was the incompatibility of PAYG LPG with specific cooking processes that were conducted regularly. This was most frequently due to the expense of heating large quantities of water and cooking long-boiling foods with PAYG LPG – tasks that participants reported are better performed by other stoves and fuels. Participants also faced technical and service-related issues with broken equipment, payment delays and incompatible personal cookware that sometimes rendered them unable to use PAYG LPG. We found weak correlation between self-reported stacking and actual PAYG LPG fuel use. These findings show that a single fuel or cooking technology is unlikely to efficiently and consistently meet all a household’s cooking and water heating needs, and that fuel consumption is not solely driven by stacking practices. Clean energy providers should consider incorporating multiple modern energy cooking services comprising of fuel, stoves and compatible cooking utensils (e.g., pots and pans).

堆放燃料使污染燃料的负面影响长期存在,并限制了清洁烹饪过渡的潜力。本研究旨在确定 MGas 公司在大内罗毕地区提供的 "现收现付"(PAYG)液化石油气产品的客户堆放燃料的驱动因素,并以此为基础设计减少燃料堆放的干预措施。我们开发了一种定量电话调查工具(n = 1323)来全面调查燃料堆放情况,并通过数量较少的定性半结构式访谈(n = 18)对其进行验证。调查和访谈设计均参考了 Perros 等人的 2022 年燃料堆放驱动因素分类法。结果显示,堆放燃料的主要驱动因素是付费石油气与定期进行的特定烹饪过程不相容。最常见的原因是使用 "付费代用 "液化石油气加热大量的水和烹饪长时间沸腾的食物所需的费用--据参与者称,使用其他炉灶和燃料能更好地完成这些任务。参与者还面临设备损坏、付款延迟和个人炊具不兼容等与技术和服务相关的问题,这些问题有时会导致他们无法使用 "付费代用 "石油气。我们发现,自我报告的堆叠与实际使用付费石油气燃料之间的相关性很弱。这些研究结果表明,单一燃料或烹饪技术不太可能有效且持续地满足家庭的所有烹饪和热水需求,而且燃料消耗量也并非完全由堆放方式决定。清洁能源提供商应考虑纳入多种现代能源烹饪服务,包括燃料、炉灶和兼容的炊具(如锅碗瓢盆)。
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引用次数: 0
Post-COVID economic crisis, citizen-state relations, and the Electronic Transactions Levy (E-levy) controversy in Ghana 后 COVID 经济危机、公民与国家关系以及加纳电子交易税(E-levy)争议
IF 2.2 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2024.100621
Kofi Takyi Asante , Emmanuel Kumi , Michael Kodom

In 2021, the Government of Ghana sparked controversy by introducing the Electronic Transactions Levy (E-Levy) as part of an aggressive programme of revenue mobilisation in response to the debt-induced economic crisis that swept through the Global South in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper contributes to the literature on the politics of economic crisis by demonstrating the consequences of prioritising revenue mobilisation over social protection during times of economic shocks. Drawing on in-depth interviews with a range of respondents, we argue that the outrage triggered by the introduction of the E-levy was rooted in longstanding grievances against the lack of reciprocity in citizen-state relations and an apparent breakdown of the fiscal contract. The tax provoked denunciatory narratives of economic mismanagement and government insensitivity, thereby underscoring the crisis of political legtimacy in Ghana. By ‘loosening the safety net’ and ‘tightening the tax net’ at a time when the country was battling an economic crisis and still grappling with the fallouts of the COVID-19 pandemic, the government created the conditions that exacerbated the already fraught citizen-state relations. Given the low tax morale, citizens are actively adopting various strategies to avoid paying the tax, including reverting to the use of cash and reducing the value and frequency of transactions.

2021 年,加纳政府推出了电子交易税(E-Levy),作为积极调动财政收入计划的一部分,以应对 COVID-19 大流行后席卷全球南部的债务引发的经济危机,从而引发了争议。本文通过展示在经济震荡时期优先调动财政收入而非社会保障的后果,为有关经济危机政治的文献做出了贡献。通过对一系列受访者的深入访谈,我们认为,电子税的引入所引发的愤怒源于对公民与国家关系中缺乏互惠以及财政契约明显破裂的长期不满。电子税引发了对经济管理不善和政府麻木不仁的谴责,从而凸显了加纳的政治合法性危机。在国家面临经济危机、仍在努力应对 COVID-19 大流行病的影响之际,政府 "放松安全网"、"收紧税网",创造了条件,加剧了本已紧张的公民与国家关系。由于纳税士气低落,公民积极采取各种策略逃避纳税,包括重新使用现金,减少交易额和交易频率。
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引用次数: 0
How do governance mechanisms between farmer and traders advance sustainability goals and enhance the resilience of agricultural value chains? 农民和贸易商之间的治理机制如何推进可持续性目标并增强农业价值链的复原力?
IF 2.2 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2024.100618
Angela Navarrete-Cruz, Athena Birkenberg

Despite the importance of traders in Agricultural Value Chains (AVCs), empirical evidence about the interaction and networking between them and farmers in producing countries is scant. The role of traders in general, and exporters in particular, in championing sustainability goals and enhancing the resilience of AVCs is rarely addressed in the literature, as they are usually depicted as unproductive and predatory brokers that increase price gaps between farmers and consumers. This paper focuses on the case of the coffee sector in Colombia and the governance mechanisms in the segment Farmers − Export Companies (ECs) for the adoption of Voluntary Sustainability Standards (VSSs) oriented to spur environmental, economic, and social sustainability practices in AVCs. By conducting semi-structured interviews and Process Net-Maps, an innovative method for analyzing governance challenges in agriculture, four governance schemes between farmers and ECs were identified, entailing different degrees of centralization and support provided by the EC. Each scheme was the result of the type of supplier available in coffee growing zones (individual farmers, informal groups of farmers, coffee grower associations, or a mix of these suppliers known as ‘baskets’) and the level of trust among actors. The paper hypothesizes that hybrid forms of coordination in the segment ranging from markets to vertical integration, the combination of different procurement strategies, a phenomenon known as plural forms, and complex incentive structures to adopt sustainability practices enhance both the implementation of sustainability approaches and resilience.

尽管贸易商在农业价值链(AVCs)中十分重要,但有关他们与生产国农民之间的互动和网络的经验证据却很少。一般而言,贸易商,尤其是出口商,在支持可持续发展目标和提高农业价值链复原力方面的作用很少在文献中涉及,因为他们通常被描述为非生产性和掠夺性的中间商,加剧了农民和消费者之间的价格差距。本文重点关注哥伦比亚咖啡行业的案例,以及农民-出口公司(ECs)采用自愿可持续发展标准(VSSs)的治理机制,该标准旨在促进农业和农产品加工企业的环境、经济和社会可持续发展实践。通过开展半结构式访谈和流程网络图(一种分析农业治理挑战的创新方法),确定了农民和出口公司之间的四种治理方案,这些方案涉及不同程度的集中化和出口公司提供的支持。每种方案都是咖啡种植区供应商类型(个体农民、非正式农民团体、咖啡种植者协会或这些供应商的混合体,称为 "篮子")和参与者之间信任程度的结果。本文假定,从市场到纵向一体化的混合协调形式、不同采购战略的组合(一种被称为多元形式的现象)以及采用可持续做法的复杂激励结构,都会加强可持续方法的实施和复原力。
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引用次数: 0
How much growth is required to achieve good lives for all? Insights from needs-based analysis 实现人人过上美好生活需要多少增长?基于需求的分析得出的见解
IF 2.2 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2024.100612
Jason Hickel , Dylan Sullivan

Some narratives in international development hold that ending poverty and achieving good lives for all will require every country to reach the levels of GDP per capita that currently characterise high-income countries. However, this would require increasing total global output and resource use several times over, dramatically exacerbating ecological breakdown. Furthermore, universal convergence along these lines is unlikely within the imperialist structure of the existing world economy. Here we demonstrate that this dilemma can be resolved with a different approach, rooted in recent needs-based analyses of poverty and development. Strategies for development should not pursue capitalist growth and increased aggregate production as such, but should rather increase the specific forms of production that are necessary to improve capabilities and meet human needs at a high standard, while ensuring universal access to key goods and services through public provisioning and decommodification. At the same time, in high-income countries, less-necessary production should be scaled down to enable faster decarbonization and to help bring resource use back within planetary boundaries. With this approach, good lives can be achieved for all without requiring large increases in total global throughput and output. Provisioning decent living standards (DLS) for 8.5 billion people would require only 30% of current global resource and energy use, leaving a substantial surplus for additional consumption, public luxury, scientific advancement, and other social investments. Such a future requires planning to provision public services, to deploy efficient technology, and to build sovereign industrial capacity in the global South.

国际发展领域的一些观点认为,要消除贫困和实现人人过上美好生活,每个国家都必须达到目前高收入国家的人均国内生产总值水平。然而,这需要将全球总产出和资源使用量提高数倍,大大加剧生态破坏。此外,在现有世界经济的帝国主义结构中,不可能按照这些思路实现普遍趋同。在此,我们要说明的是,这一困境可以通过一种不同的方法来解决,这种方法植根于最近对贫困和发展进行的基于需求的分析。发展战略不应追求资本主义增长和生产总量的增加,而应增加提高能力和高标准满足人类需求所需的具体生产形式,同时通过公共供给和非商品化确保关键商品和服务的普及。与此同时,在高收入国家,应减少不那么必要的生产,以便更快地实现去碳化,并帮助将资源的使用控制在地球极限之内。采用这种方法,无需大幅增加全球总产量和产出,就能让所有人过上好日子。为 85 亿人提供体面的生活标准(DLS)只需要目前全球资源和能源使用量的 30%,剩下的大量盈余将用于额外消费、公共奢侈品、科学进步和其他社会投资。这样的未来需要进行规划,以提供公共服务,部署高效技术,并在全球南部建立主权工业能力。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial typology for food system analysis: Taking stock and setting a research agenda 粮食系统分析的空间类型学:评估和制定研究议程
IF 2.2 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2024.100623
Wim Marivoet , John M. Ulimwengu

The objective of this paper is to review an existing tool for geographic targeting of food and nutrition security interventions, take stock of the latest methodological advances, and propose three extensions to help inform food system transformation policies in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). Whereas the first extension pursues a broader and more comprehensive perspective, the second and third extensions aim to accommodate the dynamic nature of food systems and the need of policymakers to analyze trade-offs between competing interventions. Compared to other (potential) food system methods, the main added value of the proposed tool resides in its flexible but integrated analytical framework combined with its focus on sub-national areas, both which allow for the design of discretionary regional policies in challenging data environments. Drawing on key lessons from fourteen African country applications, the analytical and policy relevance of this spatial tool is illustrated and areas of further research and improvement are discussed.

本文旨在回顾现有的粮食和营养安全干预措施地理定位工具,总结最新的方法论进展,并提出三项扩展建议,以帮助中低收入国家(LMIC)制定粮食系统转型政策。第一种扩展方法追求更广泛、更全面的视角,而第二和第三种扩展方法则旨在适应粮食系统的动态性质以及决策者分析相互竞争的干预措施之间的权衡的需要。与其他(潜在的)粮食系统方法相比,拟议工具的主要附加值在于其灵活而综合的分析框架,以及其对国家以下地区的关注,这两点使其能够在具有挑战性的数据环境中设计自由裁量的区域政策。从 14 个非洲国家的应用中汲取的主要经验教训,说明了这一空间工具的分析和政策相关性,并讨论了进一步研究和改进的领域。
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引用次数: 0
Social mobility and CCT programs: The Bolsa Família program in Brazil 社会流动性和 CCT 计划:巴西的家庭补助金计划
IF 2.2 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2024.100624
Eloah Fassarella , Sergio Ferreira , Samuel Franco , Valdemar Pinho Neto , Giovanna Ribeiro , Vinicius Schuabb , Paulo Tafner

We investigate long-term outcomes related to social mobility and their determinants for low-income Brazilian households. More precisely, the first cohorts of beneficiaries of the Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) program Bolsa Família (BFP); children aged between 7 and 16 in 2005, who are tracked for over a decade, until 2019. We use individual-level administrative data to analyze our two indicators of social mobility: (i) future emancipation from federal government social programs, and (ii) access to the formal labor market. We observe that formerly vulnerable children, beneficiaries of the CCT, find themselves in better socioeconomic conditions in adulthood. While 64 % of them, aged between 21 and 30 years in 2019, were no longer beneficiaries of federal government social programs, 45 % accessed the formal labor market at least once between 2015 and 2019. We also compare the characteristics of the formal employment they access with those of non-BFP beneficiaries during the same period. They have worse employment conditions, although better than informal positions typical of their parents. Furthermore, we investigate the association between local sociodemographic characteristics and individual social mobility. We find significant territorial heterogeneity associated with differences in better health and education infrastructures, and local economic activity.

我们调查了巴西低收入家庭与社会流动性相关的长期结果及其决定因素。更确切地说,是有条件现金转移(CCT)计划 Bolsa Família (BFP) 的第一批受益者;他们是 2005 年 7 至 16 岁的儿童,我们对他们进行了长达十多年的跟踪,直至 2019 年。我们利用个人层面的行政数据分析社会流动性的两个指标:(i) 未来从联邦政府社会项目中解放出来的情况,以及 (ii) 进入正规劳动力市场的情况。我们发现,以前的弱势儿童,即 CCT 的受益者,成年后的社会经济条件更好。在 2019 年 21 岁至 30 岁的儿童中,64% 的人不再是联邦政府社会项目的受益人,45% 的人在 2015 年至 2019 年期间至少进入过一次正规劳动力市场。我们还比较了他们与同期非 BFP 受益人的正规就业特征。他们的就业条件较差,尽管好于其父辈典型的非正式职位。此外,我们还调查了地方社会人口特征与个人社会流动性之间的关联。我们发现,与较好的卫生和教育基础设施以及当地经济活动的差异有关的地区异质性非常明显。
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World Development Perspectives
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