World Development Perspectives最新文献_第2页

Climate change and labor mobility: A longitudinal study of agricultural households in Indonesia 气候变化与劳动力流动：印尼农户的纵向研究

IF 2.3 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

World Development Perspectives

Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2025.100750

Hastuti , Teguh Dartanto , Alin Halimatussadiah , Amzul Rifin

Climate change presents a significant challenge to the agricultural sector. It disrupts farming processes and reduces productivity, increasing uncertainty for farming households and driving them to seek alternative livelihoods. This research undertakes an examination of the impact of climate change, proxied by variation of rainfall and temperature, on labor mobility in Indonesia using longitudinal data from three successive rounds of the Indonesia Family Life Survey (IFLS). Labor mobility refers to sectoral shifts, where a household head changes employment sectors, regardless of relocation. We employ an instrumental variable approach to ensure robust estimation by accounting for potential endogeneity of climate variables, using altitude and latitude as instruments. Our findings indicate that variation of rainfall and temperature affects labor mobility in Indonesia’s agricultural households. Specifically, a one percent increase in the coefficient of variation for rainfall and temperature significantly increases the probability of labor mobility by approximately 0.47 and 1.38 percentage point, respectively. We further demonstrate that the effect operates primarily through changes in farm production costs that influence labor mobility, especially under varying rainfall. The heterogeneity analysis indicates that impact of rainfall and temperature variability are more pronounced among farmers in Java, particularly those with higher education and smaller landholdings. Finally, this study highlights the causal link between climate change and labor mobility, emphasizing that improving agricultural efficiency is crucial to mitigating its adverse impacts. Building a cost-efficient and climate-resilient agricultural system requires combining precision agriculture, human capital development, and institutional coordination to enhance resilience and reduce labor mobility in agriculture.

气候变化对农业部门提出了重大挑战。它扰乱了农业生产过程，降低了生产力，增加了农户的不确定性，迫使他们寻求替代生计。本研究利用连续三轮印度尼西亚家庭生活调查（IFLS）的纵向数据，考察了以降雨和温度变化为代表的气候变化对印度尼西亚劳动力流动的影响。劳动力流动指的是行业转移，即户主无论搬迁与否，都会改变就业部门。我们采用工具变量方法，以高度和纬度作为工具，通过考虑气候变量的潜在内生性来确保稳健估计。我们的研究结果表明，降雨量和温度的变化会影响印尼农户的劳动力流动。具体来说，降雨和温度变化系数每增加1%，劳动力流动的可能性就会分别显著增加约0.47和1.38个百分点。我们进一步证明，这种效应主要是通过影响劳动力流动性的农业生产成本的变化来实现的，尤其是在降雨变化的情况下。异质性分析表明，降雨和温度变化对爪哇农民的影响更为明显，特别是那些受过高等教育和土地拥有量较小的农民。最后，本研究强调了气候变化与劳动力流动之间的因果关系，强调提高农业效率对减轻其不利影响至关重要。建设具有成本效益和气候适应能力的农业系统需要将精准农业、人力资本开发和制度协调结合起来，以增强农业抵御能力并减少劳动力流动。

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引用次数: 0

Corrigendum to “The push and pull of rural-to-rural migration: Insights from Northwest Benin World Development Perspectives”. [40 (2025) 100730] “农村向农村移徙的推动和拉动：来自贝宁西北部世界发展视角的见解”的勘误表。[40 (2025) 100730]

IF 2.3 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

World Development Perspectives

Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2025.100741

Solomon Geleta , David Natcher , Mohamed Nasser Baco , Derek Peak

引用次数: 0

Developing community resilience index for flood (CRIF): evidence from extreme flood-prone Jamalpur district of Bangladesh 制定社区抗洪能力指数（CRIF）：来自孟加拉国极端易发洪水的Jamalpur地区的证据

IF 2.3 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

World Development Perspectives

Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2025.100752

Raihan Riaz , Saima Ikbal Safi , Zereen Saba , Imrul Kabir

Floods pose a serious threat to human life, property, homes, agriculture, and other vital infrastructure. Recently, there has been a growing emphasis on resilience rather than vulnerability. Therefore, this study initially proposed an approach to develop a Community Resilience Index for Floods (CRIF). Resilience indicators were identified through a literature review and field surveys, and data were collected via a questionnaire administered to 333 purposively selected households in two flood-prone zones of Islampur upazila, Jamalpur district. All variables were weighted on a percentage scale from 0 to 1. The CRIF was created using primary data from a household survey, with percentage scores derived from household responses, and the average % score of experts’ opinions was then used to calculate the Resilience Factor Index (RFI) for each variable. The study found that the overall composite community resilience score indicates moderately high resilience in the Islampur Union across four dimensions. At the same time, all aspects were found to be unsatisfactory in the Noarpara Union. It also revealed that, among 17 resilience variables identified by respondents, lower age dependency, lower disability, employment status, income above the poverty line, housing proximity to riverside, pucca road network, knowledge, and early warning systems ranked highest in Islampur Union. Based on these findings, the study recommends improving the community’s socio-economic, physical, and institutional conditions by raising community awareness, strengthening structural and non-structural mitigation plans, and providing multiple income-generating activities to boost resilience to future floods. Consequently, the study’s findings, along with the identified community flood resilience indicators and CRIF framework, will help academics, policymakers, and planners assess resilience levels, enable better resource allocation and intervention prioritization, and support the goals of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015–2030).

洪水对人类生命、财产、家园、农业和其他重要基础设施构成严重威胁。最近，人们越来越重视复原力，而不是脆弱性。因此，本研究初步提出了建立社区抗洪能力指数（CRIF）的方法。通过文献综述和实地调查确定了恢复力指标，并通过问卷调查收集了数据，这些问卷调查是有目的地选择了位于贾马普尔县Islampur upazila两个洪水易发地区的333户家庭。所有变量按0到1的百分比进行加权。CRIF是使用家庭调查的原始数据创建的，百分比得分来自家庭回答，然后使用专家意见的平均百分比得分来计算每个变量的弹性因子指数（RFI）。研究发现，总体综合社区弹性得分表明，伊斯兰堡联盟在四个维度上具有中等高的弹性。与此同时，人们发现诺阿帕拉联盟的各个方面都不令人满意。调查还显示，在受访者确定的17个弹性变量中，年龄依赖性较低、残疾程度较低、就业状况、收入高于贫困线、靠近河边的住房、普卡路网、知识和预警系统在伊斯兰堡联盟排名最高。基于这些发现，该研究建议通过提高社区意识、加强结构性和非结构性减灾计划以及提供多种创收活动来提高对未来洪水的抵御能力，从而改善社区的社会经济、物质和制度条件。因此，该研究的结果以及确定的社区抗灾能力指标和CRIF框架将有助于学者、政策制定者和规划者评估抗灾能力水平，实现更好的资源分配和干预优先级，并支持《仙台减少灾害风险框架（2015-2030）》的目标。

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引用次数: 0

Corrigendum to ““Nothing for us without us”: localizing agricultural innovation systems – a case study from the feed the future innovation labs” [World Dev. Perspect. 40 (2025)100746] “没有我们就一无所有”：农业创新体系本土化——以饲料未来创新实验室为例”的勘误表[世界发展展望，40 (2025)100746]

IF 2.3 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

World Development Perspectives

Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2025.100749

Erin McGuire , Gina Rico-Mendez , Siobhan Rabsum , Penina Yumbya , David Ameyaw , Robert Jarman , Tara Steinmetz , Mwangi Thumbi , David Tschirley

引用次数: 0

The Equitable Resilience Framework: An environmental justice strategy for community-led resilience planning 公平的复原力框架：社区主导的复原力规划的环境正义战略

IF 2.3 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

World Development Perspectives

Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2025.100738

Janelle Knox-Hayes , Surbhi Agarwal , Johan Arango-Quiroga , Nicholas Ashford , David Birge , Gabriella Carolini , Shekhar Chandra , Colleen Chiu-Shee , Jungwoo Chun , Daniela Coray , Nicholas de Monchaux , Sally Haslanger , Courtney Humphries , Eric Huntley , Caroline A Jones , Deni Lopez , Miho Mazeereuw , Leslie Norford , Prudence Robinson , Haley Schilling , Rose Winer-Chan

The Equitable Resilience Framework (ERF) strives to make planning for climate change more equitable, just, and effective, and to generate long-term economic, social, cultural, and environmental transformations. “Resilience” is a desirable stance of preparedness in the likely future of unpredictable climate and weather, constituting an explicitly different approach than top-down technocratic solutions (such as hardscaping or levee engineering). The ERF is developed as a methodological guide for resilience planning that combines a capabilities approach with enhanced tradeoff analysis and knowledge convergence to bring community, academic, industry and policy stakeholders together in generating and implementing resilient solutions. The ERF addresses the technocratic shortcomings that have historically guided resilience projects. By reconceptualizing the linkages between resilience and equity in communities the ERF gives researchers and practitioners better theoretical and practical tools for applying resilience to interconnected social systems across different timescales. The ERF aims to facilitate just solutions while empowering communities that are often overburdened by environmental injustice and climate change impacts.

公平复原力框架（ERF）致力于使气候变化规划更加公平、公正和有效，并促成长期的经济、社会、文化和环境转型。“复原力”是为未来可能出现的不可预测的气候和天气做好准备的理想立场，它构成了一种明显不同于自上而下的技术官僚解决方案（如硬景观或堤坝工程）的方法。ERF是作为弹性规划的方法论指南而开发的，它将能力方法与增强的权衡分析和知识融合相结合，将社区、学术界、行业和政策利益相关者聚集在一起，制定和实施弹性解决方案。ERF解决了历史上指导弹性项目的技术官僚主义缺陷。通过重新定义复原力与社区公平之间的联系，ERF为研究人员和实践者提供了更好的理论和实践工具，以便将复原力应用于不同时间尺度的相互关联的社会系统。ERF旨在促进公正的解决方案，同时赋予那些经常因环境不公正和气候变化影响而负担过重的社区权力。

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引用次数: 0

“Nothing for US without Us”: localizing agricultural innovation systems − a case study from the feed the future innovation labs “没有我们，我们一无所有”：农业创新系统本地化——来自饲料未来创新实验室的案例研究

IF 2.3 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

World Development Perspectives

Pub Date : 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2025.100746

Erin McGuire , Gina Rico-Mendez , Siobhan Rabsum , Penina Yumbya , David Ameyaw , Robert Jarman , Tara Steinmetz , Mwangi Thumbi , David Tschirley

This paper explores the challenges and opportunities associated with locally-led agricultural research for development (AR4D) within the framework of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID)s Feed the Future Innovation Labs (FTFILs). The study gathers insights from both U.S.-based management entities and nationally based partners in low- and middle-income countries using a mixed-methods, case-study approach, which included surveys and focus groups as data collection methods. The findings highlight significant barriers, such as limited local research capacity, bureaucratic hurdles, and funding delays, which impede effective project implementation. The study also identifies critical opportunities for enhancing local leadership in AR4D through decentralized networks and improved collaboration between Global North funders and local stakeholders. Recommendations include increasing the flexibility of funding mechanisms, strengthening local research capacity, and promoting inclusive stakeholder engagement. The research underscores the importance of aligning agricultural innovation strategies with local contexts and systems to achieve sustainable development outcomes. This work contributes to ongoing debates on how to integrate national and regional expertise and leadership into global agricultural research and development agendas, ultimately supporting the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

本文在美国国际开发署（USAID）的“保障未来粮食供给创新实验室”（FTFILs）框架下，探讨了与地方主导的农业研究促进发展（AR4D）相关的挑战和机遇。该研究采用混合方法和案例研究方法，收集了来自美国管理实体和低收入和中等收入国家的国家合作伙伴的见解，其中包括调查和焦点小组作为数据收集方法。这些发现突出了阻碍项目有效实施的重大障碍，例如有限的地方研究能力、官僚主义障碍和资助延迟。该研究还确定了通过分散的网络和改善全球北方资助者与地方利益相关者之间的合作，加强AR4D地方领导的关键机会。建议包括增加筹资机制的灵活性、加强地方研究能力和促进包容性利益攸关方参与。该研究强调了将农业创新战略与当地情况和系统结合起来以实现可持续发展成果的重要性。这项工作有助于就如何将国家和区域的专业知识和领导力纳入全球农业研究与发展议程，最终支持实现可持续发展目标（sdg）进行辩论。

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引用次数: 0

The purchasing power of Non-cash food Program and household food security in Indonesia 印尼非现金粮食计划的购买力与家庭粮食安全

IF 2.3 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

World Development Perspectives

Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2025.100748

Suci Nurmaya Tangkudung , Rus’an Nasrudin

Food assistance programs are widely implemented by governments worldwide to reduce food insecurity. Each country designs its own policies and mechanisms for delivering food aid to citizens. In Indonesia, the food assistance program, known as BPNT, provides beneficiaries with a card loaded with a uniform monetary value, which can be exchanged for specific food items. However, as an archipelagic country with diverse regional food prices and consumption patterns, beneficiaries face disparities in the purchasing power of this assistance across different areas. These disparities lead to variations in the program’s real value and thus its effectiveness across regions. This study estimates the variation in BPNT’s purchasing power across regencies and municipalities in Indonesia to assess the relative impact of the program on food insecurity in regions with high and low food prices. Using a panel data fixed effects (FE) approach, we examine the relationship between the local purchasing power of the BPNT program and household food insecurity levels. In addition to identifying heterogeneous impacts of the program across regions, our analysis provides a simple cost-effectiveness illustration to inform the fiscal implications of improving food security in lagging areas. Our findings challenge the current uniform-value scheme, suggesting that a regionally adjusted approach would be more effective. Increasing the purchasing power of beneficiaries in high-cost regions significantly contributes to reducing regional disparities in household food security.

世界各国政府广泛实施粮食援助计划，以减少粮食不安全。每个国家都设计自己的政策和机制，向公民提供粮食援助。在印度尼西亚，被称为BPNT的粮食援助计划向受益人提供一张卡片，上面有统一的货币价值，可以兑换特定的食品。但是，作为一个拥有不同区域粮食价格和消费模式的群岛国家，受益者在不同地区面临这种援助的购买力差异。这些差异导致了项目实际价值的变化，从而导致了项目在不同地区的有效性。本研究估计了印尼各县和各市的BPNT购买力差异，以评估该计划对粮价高和低地区粮食不安全的相对影响。使用面板数据固定效应（FE）方法，我们检验了BPNT计划的当地购买力与家庭粮食不安全水平之间的关系。除了确定该计划在不同地区的异质影响外，我们的分析还提供了一个简单的成本效益说明，以说明改善落后地区粮食安全的财政影响。我们的研究结果挑战了当前的统一价值方案，表明区域调整方法将更有效。提高高成本地区受益人的购买力大大有助于缩小家庭粮食安全方面的区域差距。

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引用次数: 0

Village Development and Governability: A Case Study of Transmigration Village Governance in East Luwu, Indonesia 村落发展与治理：以印尼东鲁吴地区迁移村落治理为例

IF 2.3 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

World Development Perspectives

Pub Date : 2025-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2025.100747

Haryanto , Nurlinah

Village development in Indonesia has received substantial funding within a uniform good governance framework, yet the results on the ground remain highly variable. This study addresses this puzzle by proposing a shift in the analytical focus from governance to governability. This study developed and applied a new framework to assess a system’s governability and dynamic capacity to navigate governance challenges. Through a comparative analysis of transmigration villages in Indonesia, this study demonstrates that endogenous social capital is a key mediating factor, revealing that the success of rural development is determined not by formal compliance with governance structures but by the system’s ability to manage complex interactions between the state, market, and community stakeholders. The main contribution of this study is to provide a governability framework as a new, operationalizable analytical tool to explain variations in development outcomes, offering significant implications for the formulation of more context-sensitive policies.

印度尼西亚的村庄发展在统一的善治框架内获得了大量资金，但实际结果仍然存在很大差异。本研究通过提出将分析重点从治理转移到可治理性来解决这个难题。本研究开发并应用了一个新的框架来评估系统的可治理性和应对治理挑战的动态能力。通过对印度尼西亚移民村的比较分析，本研究表明，内生社会资本是一个关键的中介因素，表明农村发展的成功不是由对治理结构的正式遵守决定的，而是由系统管理国家、市场和社区利益相关者之间复杂互动的能力决定的。本研究的主要贡献是提供了一个治理框架，作为一种新的、可操作的分析工具来解释发展成果的变化，为制定更具环境敏感性的政策提供了重要启示。

引用次数: 0

Exploring the dynamic nexus between life insurance, governance, and economic development in OECD and MENA countries: a system-generalized method of moments analysis 探索经合组织和中东和北非国家人寿保险、治理和经济发展之间的动态联系：一种系统广义矩分析方法

IF 2.3 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

World Development Perspectives

Pub Date : 2025-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2025.100745

Ines Nasri , Imen Ghannouchi , Saloua Ben Ammou

This paper aims to elucidate the connection between insurance and economic growth, with a particular focus on the significance of institutional governance factors. To achieve this objective, two distinct samples from different regions are employed. The first region encompasses developed countries, referred to as the OECD region, while the second region comprises developing countries, denoted as the MENA region. Both static and dynamic analyses are conducted, utilizing Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) models for both samples. The principal findings indicate that life insurance penetration has a positive and significant impact on economic growth in OECD countries. Similarly, government effectiveness positively and significantly influences economic growth in these nations. For the MENA region, it was found that regulatory quality and the rule of law have a positive and significant effect on economic development.

本文旨在阐明保险与经济增长之间的联系，并特别关注制度治理因素的意义。为了实现这一目标，采用了来自不同地区的两个不同样本。第一个区域包括发达国家，称为经合发组织区域，而第二个区域包括发展中国家，称为中东和北非区域。采用普通最小二乘（OLS）和广义矩量法（GMM）模型对两个样本进行了静态和动态分析。研究结果表明，寿险渗透率对经合组织国家的经济增长具有显著的正向影响。同样，政府效率对这些国家的经济增长也有积极而显著的影响。对于中东和北非地区，我们发现监管质量和法治对经济发展有积极而显著的影响。

引用次数: 0

Voices from Iranian Farmers: Balancing livelihood and sustainability in the climate change Era 伊朗农民之声：在气候变迁时代平衡生计与永续发展

IF 2.3 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

World Development Perspectives

Pub Date : 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.wdp.2025.100742

Khadijeh Soleimani , Azadeh Bakhshi , Mansour Ghanian

Climate change, recognized as one of the most pressing global threats, has profound implications for the agricultural sector, which is most vulnerable due to its heavy reliance on water resources. Agriculture consumes over 70% of the world’s water, making the sustainable management of these resources critical, especially in the context of increasing drought conditions. This management is heavily influenced by farmers’ perceptions and understanding of climate change. Despite the clear benefits of conservation programs, negative attitudes and misconceptions can significantly impede the adoption of effective water conservation measures. Therefore, understanding farmers’ attitudes and perceptions toward sustainable water management is essential for developing and implementing effective strategies that align with their needs and realities. This study employs the Q methodology to explore farmers’ perceptions of sustainable groundwater resource management in South Khorasan Province. The study involved 21 farmers whose viewpoints were categorized into four distinct groups: consumerist (22.77%), egalitarian (16.10%), science-oriented (14.35%), and fatalist (13%). These classifications collectively explain 66.23% of the variance in sustainable agricultural water management. The findings show that farmers are primarily concerned about balancing their livelihoods with sustainable water management. While they recognize the importance of sustainability, immediate worries about economic survival and family well-being often take priority. Climate change’s direct effects on agricultural productivity and water availability intensify these challenges. The study also highlights that farmers’ approaches to water management are heavily influenced by their personal experiences and knowledge of the impacts of climate change. Farmers with better access to resources and information are more likely to adopt sustainable practices, whereas those with limited access tend to prioritize economic necessity over sustainability. This highlights the value of educational programs and extension services in bridging the knowledge gap and equipping farmers with tools for sustainable water management. Policymakers should take these insights into account to develop strategies that promote environmental sustainability while ensuring the economic stability of farming communities.

气候变化被认为是最紧迫的全球威胁之一，对农业部门有着深远的影响，农业部门由于严重依赖水资源而最脆弱。农业消耗了世界70%以上的水，因此对这些资源的可持续管理至关重要，特别是在干旱条件日益严重的背景下。这种管理在很大程度上受到农民对气候变化的看法和理解的影响。尽管节水计划有明显的好处，但消极的态度和误解会严重阻碍有效节水措施的采用。因此，了解农民对可持续水资源管理的态度和看法对于制定和实施符合其需求和现实的有效战略至关重要。本研究采用Q方法探讨南呼罗珊省农民对可持续地下水资源管理的看法。该研究涉及21名农民，他们的观点被分为四个不同的群体：消费主义者（22.77%）、平等主义者（16.10%）、科学主义者（14.35%）和宿命论者（13%）。这些分类共同解释了66.23%的农业可持续水资源管理差异。研究结果表明，农民主要关心的是如何平衡他们的生计和可持续的水资源管理。虽然他们认识到可持续性的重要性，但对经济生存和家庭福祉的直接担忧往往是优先考虑的。气候变化对农业生产力和水资源供应的直接影响加剧了这些挑战。该研究还强调，农民的水资源管理方法在很大程度上受到他们个人经验和对气候变化影响的认识的影响。获得更多资源和信息的农民更有可能采取可持续做法，而获得资源和信息有限的农民往往优先考虑经济必要性而不是可持续性。这突出了教育方案和推广服务在弥合知识差距和为农民提供可持续水资源管理工具方面的价值。决策者应该考虑到这些见解，以制定促进环境可持续性的战略，同时确保农业社区的经济稳定。

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引用次数: 0