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China's “Wolf Warrior Diplomacy”: The Interaction of Formal Diplomacy and Cyber-Nationalism 中国的“战狼外交”:形式外交与网络民族主义的互动
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-14 DOI: 10.1177/18681026221079841
Jonathan Sullivan, Weixiang Wang
For all the popular interest in “wolf warrior diplomacy,” scant attention has been paid to the internal logics and mechanics of representative communications, notably the intersection with grassroots cyber-nationalism. Centring the connections between official and unofficial actors, we situate Chinese diplomatic communications within the domestic nationalist cyberspace cultures that demand and nourish the “dare to fight” orientation of formal Chinese diplomacy on the international stage. We argue that there is a synergistic interaction between officials and popular nationalism that creates bottom-up incentives to adopt a “wolf warrior” posture, distinct from simultaneous top-down pressures from the central leadership under Xi Jinping to appropriately represent China's “confident rise.” We show through case studies involving MoFA spokesperson and archetypal “wolf warrior” Zhao Lijian, that this interaction extends to sharing unofficial content and ideas in a mutually reinforcing cycle that facilitates a harder edge to diplomatic communications.
尽管大众对“战狼外交”很感兴趣,但对代表性沟通的内部逻辑和机制却很少关注,尤其是与草根网络民族主义的交集。以官方和非官方行动者之间的联系为中心,我们将中国的外交交流置于国内民族主义网络空间文化中,这种文化要求并滋养了中国在国际舞台上正式外交的“敢于战斗”取向。我们通过外交部发言人和典型的“战狼”赵立坚的案例研究表明,这种互动延伸到在一个相互加强的循环中分享非官方的内容和想法,从而促进外交沟通的更强优势。
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引用次数: 17
China's Belt and Road Initiative in Latin America: What has Changed? 中国在拉美的“一带一路”倡议:发生了什么变化?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-23 DOI: 10.1177/18681026211047871
R. Jenkins
When China invited the Latin American countries to participate in the Belt and Road Initiative, it fuelled expectations of a much closer and more productive relationship with the region. In practice, however, there is little evidence that this was happening even before the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. The article shows that neither the policy statements by China nor the trends in economic relations indicate a substantive change in Sino–Latin American relations and that the Belt and Road Initiative represents a repackaging of existing relations and the continuation of trends that have been underway since the global financial crisis.
中国邀请拉美国家参与“一带一路”建设,引发了人们对中国与拉美关系更加紧密、更加富有成效的期待。然而,在实践中,几乎没有证据表明这种情况在2019年冠状病毒大流行之前就发生了。文章表明,中国的政策声明和经济关系的趋势都没有表明中拉关系的实质性变化,“一带一路”倡议代表了对现有关系的重新包装,并延续了自全球金融危机以来一直在进行的趋势。
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引用次数: 11
Citizens’ Expectations for Crisis Management and the Involvement of Civil Society Organisations in China 中国公民对危机管理的期望与公民社会组织的参与
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3615101
Reza Hasmath, T. Hildebrandt, Jessica C. Teets, Jennifer Y. J. Hsu, Carolyn L. Hsu
Chinese citizens are relatively happy with the state's management of national disasters and emergencies. However, they are increasingly concluding that the state alone cannot manage them. Leveraging the 2018 and 2020 Civic Participation in China Surveys, we find that more educated citizens conclude that the government has a leading role in crisis management, but there is ample room for civil society organisations (CSOs) to act in a complementary fashion. On a slightly diverging path, volunteers who have meaningfully interacted with CSOs are more skeptical than non-volunteers about CSOs’ organisational ability to fulfill this crisis management function. These findings imply that the political legitimacy of the Communist Party of China is not challenged by allowing CSOs a greater role in crisis management.
中国民众对国家对国家灾害和突发事件的管理相对满意。然而,他们越来越认识到,单靠政府是无法管理它们的。通过2018年和2020年的中国公民参与调查,我们发现受教育程度更高的公民得出结论,认为政府在危机管理中发挥主导作用,但民间社会组织(cso)有足够的空间以互补的方式发挥作用。与非志愿者相比,与公民社会组织有过有意义互动的志愿者更怀疑公民社会组织履行危机管理职能的组织能力。这些发现表明,允许公民社会组织在危机管理中发挥更大作用并不会挑战中国共产党的政治合法性。
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引用次数: 2
Chinese Economic Statecraft and China's Oil Development Finance in Brazil 中国的经济治国方略与中国在巴西的石油开发融资
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/18681026211057134
Pedro Henrique Batista Barbosa
Over the last years, Brazil and China's oil-related finance activities have expanded substantially. Between 2007 and 2019, Brazilian companies received approximately one-fourth of Chinese policy banks overseas oil-related loans, and Chinese financial institutions became Brazil's biggest oil company Petrobras’ main creditor. A deep analysis of these loans highlights their usage as economic statecraft tools, with impacts on the bilateral crude trade and investments. Loan-for-oil mechanisms, content purchase requirements, and a countercyclical lending pattern have helped to influence Brazilian players to behave in a manner conducive to the Chinese state's energy security objectives and strategic goals, namely increase of imports, diversification of sources, and internationalisation of firms. With these loans, China has satisfactorily guaranteed a stable oil supply over time and has helped Chinese equipment makers and service providers to expand their footage in Brazil.
过去几年,巴西和中国的石油相关金融活动大幅扩张。2007年至2019年,巴西企业获得了中国政策性银行约四分之一的海外石油相关贷款,中国金融机构成为巴西最大石油公司巴西国家石油公司(Petrobras)的主要债权人。对这些贷款的深入分析凸显了它们作为经济策略工具的用途,对双边原油贸易和投资产生了影响。贷款换石油机制、内容购买要求和逆周期贷款模式有助于影响巴西参与者的行为,使其有利于中国国家的能源安全目标和战略目标,即增加进口、来源多样化和公司国际化。通过这些贷款,中国令人满意地保证了长期稳定的石油供应,并帮助中国设备制造商和服务提供商扩大了在巴西的业务。
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引用次数: 2
China's Post-Cold War Economic Statecraft: A Periodization 冷战后中国的经济治国方略:一个分期
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/18681026211058186
William J. Norris
This article focuses on one of the most fascinating features of contemporary Chinese foreign policy, namely the use of economics as a tool of national power. This article seeks to provide a foundational context for the study of China's economic statecraft. The first portion of this article builds upon existing work to frame the phenomenon of China's post-Cold War economic statecraft. I then offer a rough periodization of this post-Cold War era highlighting key events and strategic turning points for China. I distinguish three major periods: integration into the global economic system following the post-Tiananmen isolation (1989–1997), a decade of win-win diplomacy (1998–2008), and emerging great power economic statecraft (2008–2017). The piece concludes with a proposition that we may be witnessing the early stages of a fourth phase as well as some considerations for the future study of Chinese economic statecraft.
本文关注当代中国外交政策最引人注目的特点之一,即把经济作为国力的工具。本文旨在为研究中国的经济治国方略提供一个基础背景。本文的第一部分建立在现有研究的基础上,构建了冷战后中国经济治国方略的现象。然后,我对后冷战时代进行了粗略的分期,重点介绍了中国的关键事件和战略转折点。我将其划分为三个主要时期:天安门事件后的孤立(1989-1997),融入全球经济体系的十年(1998-2008),以及新兴大国经济治国方略(2008-2017)。文章最后提出,我们可能正在目睹第四阶段的早期阶段,并对未来中国经济治国方略的研究提出了一些考虑。
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引用次数: 4
Beijing’s Institutionalised Economic Statecraft Towards Brazil: A Case Study 中国对巴西的制度化经济策略:一个案例研究
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/18681026211041630
S. G. Zhang, N. Chen
This study adopts an institutional approach in the case analysis of China's economic statecraft towards Brazil. In light of institutionalisation theory, it examines the institutional arrangements between Beijing and Brasilia for the purpose of facilitating bilateral economic cooperation and advancing strategic partnership. As a descriptive effort, it yields some preliminary findings: first, the institutionalisation of China's economic statecraft towards Brazil is incremental, driven largely by the desire for and belief in long-term planning; second, a set of norms, values, and principles is instituted alongside designated agencies, point persons, operational protocols, and exchange mechanisms, creating a form of institutional governance based on a multi-actor, multilevel, and network-based steering mode; third, governance remains so centralised that it falls short in empowering strategic participation; and, fourth and finally, Beijing's institution-building proves useful in the management of relations with Brazil, suggesting that economic statecraft may benefit from institutionalisation.
本研究采用制度方法对中国对巴西的经济策略进行个案分析。以制度化理论为基础,探讨北京与巴西利亚之间为促进双边经济合作和推进战略伙伴关系而进行的制度性安排。作为一种描述性的努力,它得出了一些初步发现:首先,中国对巴西的经济治国方略的制度化是渐进式的,这在很大程度上是由对长期规划的渴望和信念推动的;二是在指定机构、定点人员、操作规程、交流机制等方面,形成一套规范、价值观、原则,形成多主体、多层次、网络化的制度治理模式;第三,治理仍然过于集中,无法增强战略参与的能力;第四,也是最后一点,北京的制度建设在处理与巴西的关系方面被证明是有用的,这表明经济治国方略可能受益于制度化。
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引用次数: 1
Economic Statecraft with Chinese Characteristics: Strange, New, and Different, or Old Wine in New Bottles? 中国特色的经济治国:奇、新、异,还是新瓶装旧酒?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/18681026211061750
P. Roberts
The term “economic statecraft” is increasingly employed to describe China's use of economic resources to pursue objectives spanning the political, economic, and strategic spheres. One recent study suggests that “China's sophisticated use of economics in its foreign policy is still a fairly recent phenomenon.” Yet close scrutiny of how since at least the early 1900s Chinese leaders sought to use economic leverage as a foreign policy instrument suggests that the antecedents of contemporary Chinese economic statecraft date back to the founding of the People's Republic of China and even before. This special issue represents an effort to explore in some depth in what ways post-Cold War Chinese economic statecraft does indeed represent a novel phenomenon, as opposed to the simple continuation of earlier trends; to identify its most important features and follow its evolution over time; and to investigate in detail several specific recent case studies.
“经济治国方略”一词越来越多地被用来描述中国利用经济资源来追求跨越政治、经济和战略领域的目标。最近的一项研究表明,“中国在外交政策中对经济学的复杂运用仍然是一个相当新的现象。”然而,对至少自20世纪初以来中国领导人如何将经济杠杆作为外交政策工具的仔细研究表明,当代中国经济治国方略的前身可以追溯到中华人民共和国成立甚至更早。本期特刊旨在深入探讨冷战后中国的经济治国方略在哪些方面确实代表了一种新现象,而不是简单地延续早先的趋势;识别其最重要的特征并跟踪其随时间的演变;并详细调查最近几个具体的案例研究。
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引用次数: 5
The New Triangular Relationship between the US, China, and Latin America: The Case of Trade in the Autoparts-Automobile Global Value Chain (2000–2019) 美国、中国和拉丁美洲的新三角关系:以汽车零部件贸易为例——汽车全球价值链(2000-2019)
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-10 DOI: 10.1177/18681026211024667
Enrique Dussel Peters
During 2000–2019, the autoparts-automobile global value chain (AAGVC) underwent significant structural changes from a number of perspectives: micro, meso, or inter-firm relations, macroeconomic, and territorial shifts. This document will focus on recent trade debates on the “new triangular relationship” between the US–China and Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), and Mexico, and specifically on trade in the AAGVC during 2000–2019. In addition to the discussion on global value chains (GVCs) and its implications, the document analyses in detail qualitative and quantitative global changes in the AAGVC and specifically in US imports during 2000–2019, highlighting the performance of Mexico and China in trade, tariffs, and transportation costs. Conclusions include a set of future research topics.
2000-2019年期间,汽车零部件-汽车全球价值链(AAGVC)从微观、中观或企业间关系、宏观经济和地域转移等多个角度发生了重大结构性变化。本文件将重点关注最近关于美中与拉丁美洲和加勒比地区(LAC)以及墨西哥之间“新三角关系”的贸易辩论,特别是2000-2019年期间AAGVC的贸易。除了对全球价值链及其影响的讨论外,该文件还详细分析了2000-2019年全球价值链的定性和定量变化,特别是美国进口的变化,重点介绍了墨西哥和中国在贸易、关税和运输成本方面的表现。结论包括一系列未来的研究课题。
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引用次数: 4
Overstretching or Overreaction? China’s Rise in Latin America and the US Response 过度拉伸还是过度反应?中国在拉美的崛起及美国的回应
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.1177/18681026211028248
Xiaoyu Pu, M. Myers
This article examines how the Chinese elites are interpreting China’s growing presence in the Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) region and the various ways in which the United States is responding to China’s expanding activity in the region. Some of China’s elites caution that China’s international posturing could be overly assertive. Regarding China’s growing role in the LAC, they have made a note of US sensitivities, in addition to China’s challenges and limitations in various Latin American countries. Regarding the US response, some US concerns may be legitimate, and others are less valid. Looking ahead, even though US–China interactions in the LAC will remain competitive, the US and China could potentially avoid counterproductive policies while also pursuing pragmatic co-operation. While China does not yet face a serious problem of strategic overstretching in the LAC, China’s domestic debate on the topic will provide feedback to China’s policymakers and promote fruitful China–LAC relations.
本文考察了中国精英如何解读中国在拉丁美洲和加勒比地区(LAC)日益增长的存在,以及美国对中国在该地区不断扩大的活动做出反应的各种方式。一些中国精英警告说,中国的国际姿态可能过于自信。对于中国在拉美地区日益增长的作用,他们注意到美国的敏感,以及中国在拉美各国面临的挑战和限制。对于美方的回应,美方的一些担忧可能是合理的,但也有一些不那么合理。展望未来,尽管美中在拉美和加勒比地区的互动仍将是竞争性的,但美国和中国在寻求务实合作的同时,可能会避免适得其反的政策。虽然中国在拉美尚未面临战略过度扩张的严重问题,但中国国内关于这一主题的辩论将为中国的决策者提供反馈,并促进中拉关系取得丰硕成果。
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引用次数: 4
Mexico’s Trade Relationship with China in the Context of the United States–China Trade war 中美贸易战背景下的墨西哥对华贸易关系
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-04 DOI: 10.1177/18681026211038339
Juan Carlos Gachúz Maya
The Mexico–China economic relationship is highly asymmetric, although the amount of total trade between the two countries has grown rapidly in the last ten years. Chinese exports to Mexico have grown exponentially and have diversified into different economic sectors. In contrast, Mexican exports to China have also grown but at a much slower pace and the pattern shows more concentration in fewer products. Paradoxically, in the context of the United States–China trade war, the Mexican economy has benefitted from the increase in tariffs that the United States has imposed on Chinese products. In 2019, for the first time, Mexico displaced China as a main trade partner of the United States. In this context, this article analyses the current economic relationship of Mexico with China and the United States in a triangular scheme, the impact of the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement on the China–Mexico relationship, and Mexico's trade relationship with both economies in the context of the trade war.
墨中两国的经济关系是高度不对称的,尽管两国之间的贸易总额在过去十年中迅速增长。中国对墨西哥的出口呈指数级增长,并已进入不同的经济领域。相比之下,墨西哥对中国的出口也有所增长,但速度要慢得多,而且这种模式显示出更集中于更少的产品。矛盾的是,在中美贸易战的背景下,墨西哥经济受益于美国对中国产品加征的关税。2019年,墨西哥首次取代中国成为美国的主要贸易伙伴。在此背景下,本文分析了当前墨西哥与中国和美国的三角经济关系,美墨加协定对中墨关系的影响,以及贸易战背景下墨西哥与这两个经济体的贸易关系。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Journal of Current Chinese Affairs
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