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Empirical evidence of lumping and splitting: Expert ratings’ effect on wine prices 集整和分割的经验证据:专家评级对葡萄酒价格的影响
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.09.003
Omer Gokcekus , Samin Gokcekus

Categorization is essential to everyday cognition, aiding in the organization and comprehension of information and salient stimuli. In many cases, we partake in the process of “lumping” and “splitting,” where similar items are lumped together, while dissimilar items are split apart in an exaggerated manner. To test whether or not lumping and splitting plays a role in how expert ratings affect prices, we examined pinot noir wines from the Willamette Valley AVA with the Wine Spectator's ratings (1984–2008). Regression analyses revealed a sharp distinction in the relationship between price and bottle quality between wines rated below 90, and wines with 90 + ratings. Wines with ratings below 90 were lumped together in to a “single mental cluster.” Wines with 90 + ratings were similarly lumped together. Not only is getting into a higher mental cluster statistically and economically significant, but there is also a “mental quantum leap” from a rating of 89–90. Moreover, the impact of expert scores on prices was magnified by an additional premium, attributable to two status indicators—sub-AVA and single vineyard—in higher clusters.

分类对日常认知至关重要,有助于组织和理解信息和显著刺激。在很多情况下,我们参与了“集中”和“分裂”的过程,相似的项目被集中在一起,而不相似的项目被夸张地分开。为了检验集中和分割是否在专家评级对价格的影响中发挥了作用,我们用《葡萄酒观察家》(Wine Spectator)的评级(1984-2008)对威拉米特谷AVA产区的黑皮诺葡萄酒进行了研究。回归分析显示,在90分以下的葡萄酒和90分以上的葡萄酒之间,价格和瓶质量之间的关系存在明显差异。评分低于90分的葡萄酒被归为“单一心理集群”。评级在90以上的葡萄酒也同样被集中在一起。进入一个更高的智力集群不仅在统计上和经济上意义重大,而且从89-90分的评分来看,这也是一个“智力的飞跃”。此外,专家评分对价格的影响被额外的溢价所放大,这可归因于两个状态指标——ava以下和更高集群中的单个葡萄园。
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引用次数: 5
Choosing a lifestyle? Reflection of consumer extrinsic product preferences and views on important wine characteristics in Germany 选择一种生活方式?反映消费者外在产品偏好和对德国重要葡萄酒特性的看法
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.09.001
Antje Risius, Björn-Ole Klann, Stephan G.H. Meyerding

Wine is a product, in which heterogeneous facets are marketed abundantly. Quality selections like origin, ratings, sustainable productions are (increasingly) important to the sector. Little is known about how and when the common quality scale interferes with other quality attributes and how lifestyle factors determine changing preferences. Hence, the study investigates which attributes are preferred by consumers and how they attach to lifestyle and consumption habits. The consumer survey (N = 962) itself used a direct (questionnaire) and an indirect rating technique (choice experiment) to elicit preferences for selective attributes for wine and the attachment to a wine-related lifestyle. Most important factors in the wine-related lifestyle approach were used to describe different consumer segments derived from latent class analysis based on choice preference. Latent class unveiled five different consumer segments. With regard to the importance of other extrinsic attributes (e.g. organic production) growing societal demand for ethical consumption, ‘organic’, ‘medals and awards’ seem not to (yet) be of high relevance for the product wine. The geographical site of production is a quality attribution of high importance to consumers. Nonetheless the largest consumer segment found, was considered to specifically look for further information. It seems of relevance to understand information-seekers behavior better and the nature of information, they would like to get.

葡萄酒是一种产品,它的不同方面被大量销售。原产地、评级、可持续生产等质量选择对该行业(越来越)重要。对于共同的质量量表如何以及何时干扰其他质量属性以及生活方式因素如何决定不断变化的偏好,人们知之甚少。因此,该研究调查了消费者偏好哪些属性,以及他们如何与生活方式和消费习惯联系在一起。消费者调查(N = 962)本身使用了直接(问卷调查)和间接评级技术(选择实验)来引出对葡萄酒的选择属性的偏好以及对与葡萄酒相关的生活方式的依恋。在与葡萄酒相关的生活方式方法中,最重要的因素被用来描述基于选择偏好的潜在类别分析得出的不同消费者群体。潜类揭示了五个不同的消费群体。至于其他外在属性(如有机生产)的重要性,社会对道德消费的需求日益增长,“有机”、“奖章和奖项”似乎与产品葡萄酒的相关性并不高。生产的地理位置是消费者高度重视的质量属性。尽管如此,最大的消费者群体被认为是专门寻找进一步的信息。这似乎与更好地理解信息寻求者的行为和他们想要获得的信息的性质有关。
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引用次数: 14
Assessing environments of commercialization of innovation for SMEs in the global wine industry: A market dynamics approach 评估全球葡萄酒行业中小企业创新商业化的环境:市场动态方法
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.10.001
Agostino Menna , Philip R. Walsh

Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) can play an important role in the diffusion of wine innovation. Employing a market dynamics approach where the interaction of producers (supply) and buyers (demand) are seen to influence innovation creation, a conceptual framework is applied to the global wine industry to identify commercialization strategies for SMEs. The framework identifies four commercialization environments or clusters; Innovation Nirvana, Innovation Push, Innovation Pull and Innovation Wasteland as determined by the principle market dimensions of wine supply (innovation-push) and wine demand (market-pull). A k-means cluster analysis is undertaken on twenty-two wine-producing member countries of the OECD to determine which jurisdictions occupy each of the four clusters. The study results is a diverse distribution of old world and new world wine producing countries across all of the identified commercialization environments. Conclusions about national commercialization environments and related strategies for wine industry entrepreneurs are presented. These findings have implications for wine industry SMEs, investors and agri-policy makers.

中小企业在葡萄酒创新的传播中可以发挥重要作用。采用市场动态方法,其中生产者(供应)和买方(需求)的相互作用被视为影响创新创造,一个概念框架应用于全球葡萄酒行业,以确定中小企业的商业化战略。该框架确定了四个商业化环境或集群;由葡萄酒供给(创新推动)和需求(市场拉动)的主要市场维度决定的创新涅槃、创新推动、创新拉动和创新荒地。对经济合作与发展组织的22个葡萄酒生产成员国进行k均值聚类分析,以确定哪些司法管辖区占据四个集群中的每一个。研究结果表明,在所有已确定的商业化环境中,旧世界和新世界葡萄酒生产国的分布是多样化的。最后,对我国葡萄酒产业的商业化环境及相关对策进行了总结。这些发现对葡萄酒行业的中小企业、投资者和农业政策制定者具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 9
Health warnings on wine labels: a discrete choice analysis of Italian and French Generation Y consumers 葡萄酒标签上的健康警告:对意大利和法国Y世代消费者的离散选择分析
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.03.001
Azzurra Annunziata , Lara Agnoli , Riccardo Vecchio , Steve Charters , Angela Mariani

This paper aims to analyse Generation Y consumers' preferences for, interest in and attitudes towards different formats of health warnings on wine labels in two countries with different legal approaches: France and Italy. A Discrete Choice Experiment was realized on a sample of 500 wine consumers. Three warning options were applied: the long-term effect of drinking (brain damage); a short-term effect (car crash) and no warning option. Four attributes composed the choice set: alcohol content; framing of warning statement; warning size and position. Findings reveal that both the general degree of attention to the label and the level of visibility of the warnings are low, as are their effectiveness in changing consumption. Generation Y tend to prefer the "no logo option", short-term effects warnings and a small logo posted on the back label with neutrally framed messages. Results also show some significant differences among preferences in France and Italy, providing inputs to the ongoing debate in the EU on mandatory labelling. Although findings are subject to limitations related to the use of self-reported questionnaire and prone to social-desirability bias, practical implications are clear for private companies interested in implementing marketing strategies focused on enhancing the efficacy and readability of labels.

本文旨在分析Y世代消费者的偏好,兴趣和态度对不同格式的酒标上的健康警告在两个国家的不同法律途径:法国和意大利。对500名葡萄酒消费者进行了离散选择实验。采用了三种警告选项:饮酒的长期影响(脑损伤);短期影响(车祸),没有警告选项。四个属性组成了选择集:酒精含量;警告语句的构建;警告大小和位置。调查结果显示,对标签的一般关注程度和警告的可见性水平都很低,它们在改变消费方面的有效性也很低。Y一代倾向于选择“无标识选项”、短期效果警告以及在背面标签上贴上带有中性框信息的小标识。结果还显示,法国和意大利的偏好存在一些显著差异,为欧盟正在进行的关于强制性标签的辩论提供了投入。尽管研究结果受到与自我报告问卷的使用有关的限制,并且容易产生社会可取性偏见,但对于有意实施以提高标签功效和可读性为重点的营销策略的私营公司来说,实际意义是明确的。
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引用次数: 14
The age dynamics of vineyards: Past trends affecting the future 葡萄园的年龄动态:影响未来的过去趋势
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.02.004
Anna Carbone , Luisangela Quici , Giovanni Pica

The paper introduces a modified version of the demographic balance equation commonly used in human demography in the study of populations of permanent crops. The proposed methodology is then applied to analyzing the evolution of the Italian vineyard.

In short, the study measures different factors that have had an impact on the extension of the Italian vineyard and on its age structure such as the reduced investments in new plantations; the massive early explant and also the extended life of the vineyards since they are kept in production well beyond the conventional limit of their economic life. Results show that the reduction of the area cultivated with grapes in Italy is due to different reasons, some of which relate to the past while others mirror more recent behaviors of vine growers.

The methodology also allows the prediction of tendencies in the future. Three scenarios are built, based on different hypothesis about new investments and explantation rates that account for the wine EU CMO 2013–2030. Projections show, that in the next decades, both the extension of cultivated area and plant age will be deeply influenced by choices that had been made even decades before. Comparing the results obtained under the different hypothesis, helps to assess the range of possible impacts of the new policy framework.

In an increasingly global and competitive market, the analysis proposed provides original insights on some future waves in the wine industry both to policy makers and stakeholders. This awareness is especially needed in order to put in place strategies aimed at avoiding supply-demand mismatches in a sector where supply moves slowly while demand trends are fast and almost unpredictable.

本文介绍了常住作物种群研究中人口学中常用的人口平衡方程的一个修正版本。然后将提出的方法应用于分析意大利葡萄园的演变。简而言之,该研究衡量了影响意大利葡萄园扩张及其年龄结构的不同因素,如减少对新种植园的投资;大量的早期外植体,也延长了葡萄园的寿命,因为它们的生产远远超出了它们的经济寿命的传统限制。结果表明,意大利葡萄种植面积的减少是由于不同的原因,其中一些与过去有关,而另一些则反映了葡萄种植者最近的行为。该方法还可以预测未来的趋势。本文基于不同的新投资和外销率假设,构建了三种情景,这些新投资和外销率决定了欧盟葡萄酒2013-2030年的CMO。预测表明,在未来几十年里,耕地面积的扩大和植物的年龄都将受到几十年前做出的选择的深刻影响。比较在不同假设下获得的结果,有助于评估新政策框架可能产生的影响范围。在日益全球化和竞争激烈的市场中,所提出的分析为政策制定者和利益相关者提供了一些关于葡萄酒行业未来浪潮的原始见解。在一个供应缓慢而需求趋势迅速且几乎不可预测的行业,这种意识尤其需要,以便制定旨在避免供需不匹配的战略。
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引用次数: 13
The effects of mandatory ingredient and nutrition labelling for wine consumers – A qualitative study 强制性成分和营养标签对葡萄酒消费者的影响-一项定性研究
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.02.001
Evelyn Pabst , Gergely Szolnoki , Simone Mueller Loose

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to examine how wine consumers react to ingredient and nutrition labelling. It examines how important this information is to consumers, how it affects their attitudes to wine as a natural product and whether it influences consumer demand for wine.

Methodology

A qualitative approach with focus group discussions and an observation of back label usage was utilised to assess consumers’ reactions to this new information. Bias from artificial attention to back label information was thereby reduced compared to that found in direct quantitative research. Three focus groups, consisting of twenty-one wine-involved participants, were run in three different cities in Germany in September 2017.

Findings

Only one-third of consumers who looked at the back label detected new-to-them nutrition or ingredient information. Most consumers overestimated the caloric value of wine, and nutritional information was largely not perceived as useful. Consumers’ first reaction was to be insecure and confused about ingredient information. Ingredient lists negatively affected the degree to which consumers perceived wine as a natural product. Even though some consumers preferred wines with shorter ingredient lists, most would not exclude a wine when shopping because of labelling that gave nutritional values and ingredients.

Practical implications

Nutrition labelling will likely not affect consumers’ wine choices, except when it competes for space with more meaningful back label information such as food pairings and sensory descriptions. There is a niche for wine producers to offer wine with short or no ingredient lists to concerned, high-involved wine consumers. Average or low-involved wine consumers are expected to be less concerned. The industry should inform consumers about typical production procedures before ingredient lists are introduced.

Limitations

Although the observational qualitative study has high external validity, its results cannot be generalised due to the small non-representative sample involved. Thus, further validation is required.

目的本研究的目的是研究葡萄酒消费者对成分和营养标签的反应。它研究了这些信息对消费者的重要性,它如何影响他们对葡萄酒作为天然产品的态度,以及它是否影响消费者对葡萄酒的需求。方法采用焦点小组讨论和观察背面标签使用情况的定性方法来评估消费者对这一新信息的反应。因此,与直接定量研究中发现的偏差相比,人为注意背面标签信息的偏差减少了。2017年9月,由21名与葡萄酒有关的参与者组成的三个焦点小组在德国三个不同的城市开展了研究。研究结果:只有三分之一的消费者在查看背面标签时发现了新的营养或成分信息。大多数消费者高估了葡萄酒的热量值,而营养信息在很大程度上被认为是没有用的。消费者的第一反应是不安全,对成分信息感到困惑。成分表对消费者认为葡萄酒是天然产品的程度产生了负面影响。尽管一些消费者更喜欢成分表较短的葡萄酒,但大多数消费者在购物时不会因为标签上标注的营养价值和成分而拒绝购买葡萄酒。实际意义营养标签可能不会影响消费者对葡萄酒的选择,除非它与更有意义的背面标签信息(如食品搭配和感官描述)竞争空间。对于葡萄酒生产商来说,有一个利基市场,那就是向关心此事、高度参与的葡萄酒消费者提供成分表较短或没有成分表的葡萄酒。一般或低参与度的葡萄酒消费者预计不会那么担心。在介绍成分表之前,行业应该告知消费者典型的生产程序。局限性虽然观察性定性研究具有很高的外部效度,但由于涉及的非代表性样本较少,其结果无法推广。因此,需要进一步的验证。
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引用次数: 18
Will sustainability shape the future wine market? 可持续发展会塑造未来的葡萄酒市场吗?
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.05.001
Eugenio Pomarici , Riccardo Vecchio

Technical improvements in the sustainability of wine making will likely proceed thorough a progressive refinement of processing strategies without substantial discontinuities. The new varieties obtained through interspecific crossings represent a new technological paradigm with remarkable effects on cropping conditions. Indeed, vineyards planted with these new varieties require few treatments and result in a dramatic reduction in the pesticide use, production costs and carbon footprint. Wine consumption scholars should closely examine how the media will communicate these varieties to the general public, as we anticipate that this will influence consumers’ perception of risk and, in turn, directly affect the market.

在葡萄酒制造的可持续性的技术改进将可能进行彻底的加工策略的逐步细化,没有实质性的中断。通过种间杂交获得的新品种代表了一种新的技术范式,对种植条件有显著影响。事实上,种植这些新品种的葡萄园几乎不需要任何处理,而且大大减少了农药的使用、生产成本和碳足迹。葡萄酒消费学者应该仔细研究媒体将如何向公众宣传这些品种,因为我们预计这将影响消费者对风险的感知,进而直接影响市场。
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引用次数: 53
Analysis of heterogeneity in the preferences of wine consumption 葡萄酒消费偏好的异质性分析
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.02.006
M. Carolina Rodríguez-Donate, Margarita E. Romero-Rodríguez, Víctor J. Cano-Fernández, Ginés Guirao-Pérez

The general decline in per capita consumption of wine worldwide over recent decades reveals the need to apply effective marketing strategies to capture segments of the population, such as young people or women, who tend to consume wine sporadically and in small amounts, even among traditional wine-producing countries. However, until now these strategies have been designed considering these segments as homogeneous groups, when in fact they are not. In this paper, several discrete choice models are used to incorporate the unobserved heterogeneity present in individuals’ decisions, such as mixed or latent class models, with the aim of identify the socio-demographics profiles of individuals who consume a certain amount of wine per week. The results highlights the superiority of these models and the variability individuals׳ characteristics due to heterogeneity.

近几十年来,全世界人均葡萄酒消费量普遍下降,这表明需要采用有效的营销战略,以吸引人口的各个部分,例如年轻人或妇女,他们往往偶尔少量消费葡萄酒,即使在传统的葡萄酒生产国也是如此。然而,到目前为止,这些策略都是将这些细分视为同质群体而设计的,而事实上它们并非如此。在本文中,使用几个离散选择模型来合并个人决策中存在的未观察到的异质性,例如混合或潜在类别模型,目的是确定每周消费一定量葡萄酒的个人的社会人口统计学概况。结果突出了这些模型的优越性和由于异质性而导致的个体变化特征。
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引用次数: 6
Grapevine or informed selection: Significance of quality attributes in India’s emerging wine market 葡萄藤或知情选择:质量属性在印度新兴葡萄酒市场的重要性
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.02.003
Satish Y. Deodhar , Swati Singh , Nikita Tank
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引用次数: 6
The benefits of country-specific non-tariff measures in world wine trade 世界葡萄酒贸易中针对特定国家的非关税措施的好处
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2018.12.001
Fabio Gaetano Santeramo, Emilia Lamonaca, Gianluca Nardone, Antonio Seccia

During the last decades, significant changes in trade regulations are modifying the global trade of wine. The number of non-tariff measures (NTMs) implemented in the wine sector is relevant: a large number of country-specific NTMs, set in the occasion of trade agreements, have been adopted. The impact of these policy instruments on trade is not always clear, nor quantified at global scale. We investigate the effects that country-specific NTMs are showing on global imports of wine. In particular, we estimate a gravity model to explain how and to what extent country-specific NTMs influence wine trade, and we disentangle these effects for different segments of the international market of wine.

Our results suggest that country-specific NTMs tend to favour imports of wine. Differences emerge across market segments and types of regulations. In particular, the Technical Barriers to Trade favour (friction) bottled (bulk) wine; pre-shipment inspections enhance imports of bottled wine; the Sanitary and Phytosanitary Standards and the export-related measures are the most trade-enhancing NTMs, regardless of the market segment.

在过去的几十年里,贸易法规的重大变化正在改变全球葡萄酒贸易。在葡萄酒行业实施的非关税措施(ntm)的数量是相关的:在贸易协定的背景下,已经采用了大量针对特定国家的非关税措施。这些政策工具对贸易的影响并不总是明确的,也不能在全球范围内量化。我们调查了特定国家的ntm对全球葡萄酒进口的影响。特别地,我们估计了一个重力模型来解释特定国家的ntm如何以及在多大程度上影响葡萄酒贸易,并对国际葡萄酒市场的不同部分进行了分析。我们的研究结果表明,特定国家的ntm倾向于支持进口葡萄酒。不同市场和不同类型的法规之间存在差异。特别是,技术性贸易壁垒有利于(摩擦)瓶装(散装)葡萄酒;装运前检查加强进口瓶装葡萄酒;卫生与植物检疫标准和与出口有关的措施是最能促进贸易的非关税措施,无论其细分市场如何。
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引用次数: 24
期刊
Wine Economics and Policy
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