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The European wine export cycle 欧洲葡萄酒出口周期
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.04.001
Leonida Correia, Sofia Gouveia, Patrícia Martins

Europe is the world's largest wine-producing and wine-exporting region. In recent decades, fostered by the liberalization of international trade, the European wine industry has witnessed an acceleration in its exports, but this increase has been far from steady. It has fluctuated considerably in the short term, where periods of rapid growth have alternated with slow or negative growth. In this context, it is of particular relevance to know the temporal dynamics of the fluctuations in wine exports and to discover whether there are cyclical co-movements with the European wine export cycle. This paper analyzes the cyclical synchronization of wine exports for the ten main European wine-producing countries with the aggregate European wine export cycle since the inception of the European Economic Community. The main objective is to investigate whether there has been a “European” wine export cycle over the last six decades. The cycles of wine exports are obtained using de-trending techniques, and Spearman's rank correlations and concordance indices are calculated to analyze the synchronization and interaction between cycles. The results for the exports, by value, revealed a strong degree of synchronization over the whole period for the majority of the countries, with a tendency to grow over time.

欧洲是世界上最大的葡萄酒生产和出口地区。近几十年来,在国际贸易自由化的推动下,欧洲葡萄酒行业的出口加速增长,但这种增长远非稳定。它在短期内波动很大,在快速增长时期与缓慢或负增长时期交替出现。在这种情况下,了解葡萄酒出口波动的时间动态并发现是否存在与欧洲葡萄酒出口周期的周期性共同运动是特别重要的。本文分析了自欧洲经济共同体成立以来,欧洲10个主要葡萄酒生产国的葡萄酒出口周期与欧洲总葡萄酒出口周期的周期性同步。主要目的是调查在过去的六十年中是否存在“欧洲”葡萄酒出口周期。利用去趋势技术获得葡萄酒出口周期,并计算Spearman秩相关指数和一致性指数来分析周期之间的同步和相互作用。按价值计算的出口结果显示,大多数国家在整个期间的出口高度同步,并有随时间增长的趋势。
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引用次数: 11
Picking out a wine: Consumer motivation behind different quality wines choice 挑选葡萄酒:不同质量葡萄酒选择背后的消费者动机
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.02.002
Giuseppe Di Vita , Francesco Caracciolo , Filippo Brun , Mario D’Amico

The quality scale of Italian wines is mainly organized in four categories: PDO, PGI, basic and bulk wine. Our analysis explicitly investigates the patterns and determinants of consumption for these four different types of wine by analyzing a representative sample of consumers from a traditional wine-producing country. This study provides for first time insights on quality perceptions of wines and verifies whether Italian consumers perceive significant differences among the different categories of wines. The overall results, obtained through a system of equation estimates, show that consumer motivations and wine consumption determinants change according to each different range of wine quality and thereby support a hierarchical scale of quality wines, as a fact consumers’ motivation progressively changes as the quality scales of the wine increase or decrease. In addition, this study highlights for first time any differences in the consumption determinants between the PDO and the PGI wines in a national context and it suggests that the influence of the two different GI labels on the wine choice of consumers is truly different. Important insights were also provided for bulk wine whose consumption seems to be closely related to wine tourism and the desire to buy locally produced wines.

意大利葡萄酒的质量等级主要分为PDO、PGI、基础酒和散装酒四大类。我们的分析通过分析来自传统葡萄酒生产国的代表性消费者样本,明确地调查了这四种不同类型葡萄酒的消费模式和决定因素。这项研究首次提供了对葡萄酒质量认知的见解,并验证了意大利消费者是否认为不同类别的葡萄酒之间存在显著差异。通过方程估计系统获得的总体结果表明,消费者动机和葡萄酒消费决定因素根据葡萄酒质量的每个不同范围而变化,从而支持优质葡萄酒的等级尺度,因为事实上消费者的动机随着葡萄酒质量尺度的增加或减少而逐渐变化。此外,本研究首次强调了在国家背景下PDO和PGI葡萄酒之间消费决定因素的差异,并表明两种不同的GI标签对消费者选择葡萄酒的影响确实不同。对于散装葡萄酒的消费似乎与葡萄酒旅游和购买当地生产的葡萄酒的愿望密切相关的散装葡萄酒也提供了重要的见解。
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引用次数: 37
Port wine, an established product a new market: A comparative analysis of perceptions of firms and consumers 波特酒,一个成熟的产品,一个新的市场:企业和消费者观念的比较分析
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2019.02.005
Ana Patricia Silva , João Rebelo

Port wine industry can be considered as a case study of the effects of globalization, expressed at diverse levels, such as changes in habits of consumption and lifestyles, that lead to a decrease of consumption rates in the last years. The aim of this paper is to understand how to reverse the downward trend, proposing guidelines to increase Port wine competitiveness in the market. Therefore, the core of this research is to compare perception of wine firms and consumers, regarding the actual image and consumption of Port wine. A qualitative approach was applied including In-depth interviews with the directors of companies (n=20) and two focus groups with young consumers (n=15). Data were transcribed verbatim and content analysed. Results showed convergence between perception of wine firms and consumers regarding Port wine needs to increase its competitiveness in the market. Three main dimensions emerged, as the most important areas to develop: 1) promotion; 2) product adaptation to the market and 3) focus on innovation, mostly regarding the sensory characteristics of beverage, the packaging and the communication to consumers. This study aims to contribute to the growing field of wine marketing, which in special Port wine lacks research.

波特酒行业可以被认为是全球化影响的一个案例研究,表现在不同的层面,如消费习惯和生活方式的改变,导致过去几年消费率的下降。本文的目的是了解如何扭转下降趋势,提出指导方针,以提高波特酒在市场上的竞争力。因此,本研究的核心是比较葡萄酒企业和消费者对波特酒的实际形象和消费的认知。采用了定性方法,包括对公司董事(n=20)和两个针对年轻消费者的焦点小组(n=15)的深度访谈。资料逐字抄录,内容分析。结果表明,葡萄酒公司和消费者对波特酒需要提高其在市场上的竞争力的看法趋同。三个主要维度显现出来,成为最重要的发展领域:1)推广;2)产品适应市场;3)注重创新,主要是在饮料的感官特征、包装和与消费者的沟通方面。本研究旨在为葡萄酒营销这一新兴领域做出贡献,这一领域在特殊波特酒领域缺乏研究。
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引用次数: 3
The European Union and action on climate change, through the lens of the wine industry 欧盟和气候变化的行动,通过葡萄酒行业的镜头
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2018.06.002
Stephanie Green
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引用次数: 2
The worlds of wine: Old, new and ancient 葡萄酒的世界:旧的,新的和古老的
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2018.10.002
Hua Li , Hua Wang , Huanmei Li , Steve Goodman , Paul van der Lee , Zhimin Xu , Alessio Fortunato , Ping Yang

As the world׳s seventh largest wine producer (OIV, 2017), China plays a significant role in the world׳s wine industry. Classified as neither New or Old World it was recently classified into a “New, New World Category” (CNCCEF, 2009 Lawrence, 2016). This paper presents an overview of the Chinese wine industry using evidence from literature of archaeological finds and documents to propose a new category extending the New or Old World definitions. We propose classification of the Chinese wine industry as Ancient World, a term which might also be useful in other producing nations such as Greece and Georgia.

作为世界第七大葡萄酒生产国(OIV, 2017),中国在世界葡萄酒产业中发挥着重要作用。它既不是新世界也不是旧世界,最近被归类为“新,新世界类别”(CNCCEF, 2009劳伦斯,2016)。本文介绍了中国葡萄酒行业的概况,利用考古发现和文献的证据,提出了一个新的类别,扩展了新旧世界的定义。我们建议将中国葡萄酒行业归类为“古代世界”,这一术语可能对希腊和格鲁吉亚等其他生产国也有用。
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引用次数: 26
Using social media for consumer interaction: An international comparison of winery adoption and activity 使用社会媒体进行消费者互动:酒庄采用和活动的国际比较
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2018.07.001
Gergely Szolnoki , Rebecca Dolan , Sharon Forbes , Liz Thach , Steve Goodman

With the rapid adoption of social media by consumers, it is increasingly important for retailers to investigate and consider their use and adoption of social media, and to know which activities are most effective. This can differ by product line and geographical location. Further, for complex products such as wine, with specific consideration of higher price segments, consumers frequently search for more information before purchase. This study investigates the social media adoption and activities of 1173 wineries located in Germany, the USA, New Zealand and Australia. The results show that Facebook is the main platform that wineries use to engage with consumers, but that the actual reasons social media is used vary. Winery size and the number of hours spent working on social media also varies across respondents and countries. The findings suggest that wineries need to develop a clear purpose for using social media and then adapt to the needs of the consumers in their respective markets.

随着消费者对社交媒体的迅速采用,零售商调查和考虑他们对社交媒体的使用和采用,以及了解哪些活动最有效,变得越来越重要。这可能因产品线和地理位置而异。此外,对于复杂的产品,如葡萄酒,消费者在购买前经常会搜索更多的信息,具体考虑到更高的价格区间。本研究调查了位于德国、美国、新西兰和澳大利亚的1173家酒庄的社交媒体使用和活动。结果显示,Facebook是酒庄与消费者互动的主要平台,但使用社交媒体的实际原因各不相同。酒厂的规模和在社交媒体上花费的时间也因受访者和国家而异。研究结果表明,酒庄需要明确使用社交媒体的目的,然后适应各自市场中消费者的需求。
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引用次数: 42
Designations of origin and organic wines in Italy: Standardisation and differentiation in market dynamics 意大利原产地和有机葡萄酒的名称:市场动态的标准化和差异化
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2018.11.003
Silvio Menghini
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引用次数: 5
An economic model of wineries and enotourism 酿酒厂和生态旅游的经济模式
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2018.06.001
Jason Winfree , Christopher McIntosh , Timothy Nadreau

This paper uses a theoretical model to analyze the interaction between general wine sales and enotourism since many wineries sell wine through wine tours as well as wine to non-tourists. We assume that consumers of wine tours, or enotourists, are wine connoisseurs whereas naive wine drinkers drive non-tourism sales. In our model, enotourists use wine tours to judge the quality of the wine, which forms a reputation that is then used by naive wine consumers. We show that wineries may want to decrease (increase) the price of wine via enotourism if their quality is higher (lower) than expected. We analyze this under both exogenous and endogenous quality. We also show that if wineries share a collective reputation, then minimum quality standards can benefit all wineries.

本文运用理论模型分析了一般葡萄酒销售与非游客旅游之间的互动关系,因为许多酒庄通过葡萄酒旅游和向非游客销售葡萄酒。我们假设葡萄酒旅游的消费者或游客是葡萄酒鉴赏家,而天真的葡萄酒饮用者推动非旅游销售。在我们的模型中,游客通过葡萄酒之旅来判断葡萄酒的质量,这形成了一种声誉,然后被天真的葡萄酒消费者使用。我们表明,如果葡萄酒的质量高于(低于)预期,酿酒厂可能希望通过生态旅游降低(提高)葡萄酒的价格。我们在外生质量和内生质量两种情况下进行了分析。我们还表明,如果酒庄共享集体声誉,那么最低质量标准可以使所有酒庄受益。
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引用次数: 14
Adaptive capacity to climate change in the wine industry: A Bayesian Network approach 葡萄酒行业对气候变化的适应能力:贝叶斯网络方法
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2018.11.002
Eva Merloni , Luca Camanzi , Luca Mulazzani , Giulio Malorgio

This study assesses the main factors influencing the behavior of wine producers and the strategies implemented by them with regard to changing climatic conditions. To do so, we adopted a Bayesian Network combining climatic, technical, and economic factors, as well as farmer perception and environmental actions. Based on the scientific literature reviewed, a set of research hypotheses was formulated and compared with empirical evidence collected in the Italian region of Emilia-Romagna. Climatic data, both at the regional and vineyard levels were collected and primary information on wine growing and wine making firms was gathered by means of a producer survey, including 56 wine farms. The results showed that the probability to be negatively affected by the effects of climate change is influenced by structural and technical farm characteristics and by farmer readiness to embrace change. Local climatic conditions, particularly temperature and water surplus, are the factors that most affect both wine production and adaptation behavior in the study area. We conclude that the adoption of focused management and appropriate adaptation strategies, as well as appropriate policies with regard to regulation, incentives and support, are crucial issues for farmers to face the ongoing climatic challenge.

本研究评估了影响葡萄酒生产商行为的主要因素,以及他们在气候条件变化方面实施的策略。为此,我们采用了一个贝叶斯网络,结合了气候、技术和经济因素,以及农民的看法和环境行动。在文献综述的基础上,提出了一套研究假设,并与意大利艾米利亚-罗马涅地区的实证证据进行了比较。收集了区域和葡萄园层面的气候数据,并通过生产者调查收集了葡萄酒种植和酿酒公司的主要信息,其中包括56个葡萄酒农场。结果表明,受到气候变化负面影响的可能性受到农业结构和技术特征以及农民接受变化的准备程度的影响。当地的气候条件,特别是温度和水分过剩,是影响研究区域葡萄酒生产和适应行为的最重要因素。我们的结论是,采取有针对性的管理和适当的适应战略,以及适当的监管、激励和支持政策,是农民面对持续气候挑战的关键问题。
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引用次数: 24
Reach for the stars: The impact on consumer preferences of introducing a new top-tier typology into a PDO wine 摘星:在PDO葡萄酒中引入新的顶级类型对消费者偏好的影响
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.wep.2018.09.001
Gabriele Scozzafava, Francesca Gerini, Andrea Dominici, Caterina Contini, Leonardo Casini

In a world characterized by a significant evolution in wine consumption, Protected Designations of Origin (PDO) wines have constituted a valid strategy of marketing and competitiveness for producers. In 2014, the Consorzio Vino Chianti Classico created the "Chianti Classico Gran Selezione" DOCG (Denominazione di Origine Controllata e Garantita) to strengthen and expand the quality range of its productions. This is a new typology of Chianti Classico placed at the top of the quality production pyramid. The aim of this study is to verify whether the introduction of a higher-tier certification within a PDO denomination can represent an effective strategy to leverage brand value and strengthen the relationship between quality production and territory. With this purpose in mind, we performed a choice experiment on Italian wine consumers. A Latent Class Model allowed us to identify three distinct classes of consumers that differ in their preferences for price and PDO. Moreover, we performed a Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection technique and a Principal Component Factor Analysis for describing these classes according to consumers’ attitudes and personal characteristics. Our results show the existence of a segment that appreciates the introduction of the new label and therefore support the effectiveness of developing this strategy.

在一个以葡萄酒消费显著演变为特征的世界里,受保护的原产地名称(PDO)葡萄酒已经构成了一种有效的营销策略和生产商的竞争力。2014年,意大利古典基安蒂葡萄酒协会(Consorzio Vino Chianti Classico Gran Selezione)创立了“古典基安蒂Gran Selezione”DOCG (Denominazione di Origine Controllata e Garantita),以加强和扩大其产品的质量范围。这是一种新的经典基安蒂类型,位于质量生产金字塔的顶端。本研究的目的是验证在PDO面额内引入更高层次的认证是否可以代表一种有效的策略,以利用品牌价值并加强质量生产与领土之间的关系。带着这个目的,我们对意大利葡萄酒消费者进行了一个选择实验。潜在类别模型使我们能够识别出三个不同类别的消费者,他们对价格和PDO的偏好不同。此外,我们执行了卡方自动交互检测技术和主成分因子分析,根据消费者的态度和个人特征来描述这些类别。我们的研究结果表明,存在一个赞赏新标签引入的细分市场,因此支持开发这一战略的有效性。
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引用次数: 17
期刊
Wine Economics and Policy
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