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THE TWOFOLD MEANING OF BRINKMANSHIP: EXPLAINING STRATEGIC AMBIGUITY IN RUSSIA’S NUCLEAR POLICY 边缘政策的双重含义:解读俄罗斯核政策的战略模糊性
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.18524/2707-5206.2021.34.229976
A. Frasca Caccia
Discussions and debates about whether or not the role of Russia’s Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons underpins a so-called “Escalation to De-Escalation” strategy culminated in the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review, which declared the need for deploying a new low-yield nuclear warhead for submarine-launched ballistic missiles in order to prevent Russia from escalating to the limited nuclear level and successfully terminate the conflict. While unofficial evidence barely suggests that Russia may exhort to its NSNWs in order to stave off the adversary in crisis situations, common Western discussions on Escalation to De-Escalation revolve around the alleged existence of an “offensive” Escalation to De-Escalation strategy. Thereby, Moscow would pre-emptively escalate to the limited nuclear level over NATO's Eastern flank in order to take over it while leaving Western countries without no escalation options, given the doubts surrounding the ability of B61s’ delivery systems at going beyond Russian air-defence. However, while Western countries are often busy with self-deterrence, thus perceiving immediate threats at each deployment by the adversary, they tend to overlook strategic manipulation of deployed capabilities. That is why analysis of ambiguity surrounding Russian NSNWs have been less popular in Western contexts. Based upon critical analysis of Escalation to De-Escalation and classic deterrence and escalation studies, this paper argues that ambiguity surrounding Russia’s NSNWs is part of a brinkmanship strategy, which inadvertently triggered destabilizing dynamics in US-Russia relations. The article proceeds as follows. First, an introduction sets the scene and the aim of the article, as well as the methodology, including the scope and background of facts. Second, the Escalation to De-escalation debate is broken down in the attempt of shedding light on the ambiguity it builds on. Third, it is argued that ambiguity surrounding NSNWs is strategically exploited according to Schelling’s concept of brinkmanship, though exacerbating the risk of inadvertent escalation with Western countries. Finally, a conclusion wraps up the argument and indicates its implications.
关于俄罗斯非战略核武器的作用是否支持所谓的“从升级到降级”战略的讨论和辩论在2018年的《核态势评估报告》中达到高潮,该报告宣布需要为潜射弹道导弹部署一种新的低当量核弹头,以防止俄罗斯升级到有限的核水平并成功结束冲突。虽然非官方证据几乎没有表明俄罗斯可能会向其NSNWs提出劝告,以便在危机局势中避开对手,但西方关于“从升级到降级”的共同讨论围绕着所谓的“进攻性”“从升级到降级”战略的存在。因此,莫斯科将先发制人地升级到北约东翼的有限核水平,以便接管它,同时让西方国家没有升级的选择,因为人们怀疑b61的运载系统超越俄罗斯防空的能力。然而,虽然西方国家经常忙于自我威慑,因此在对手的每次部署中都能感受到直接的威胁,但他们往往忽视了对部署能力的战略操纵。这就是为什么围绕俄罗斯NSNWs的模糊性分析在西方语境中不太受欢迎的原因。基于对“从升级到降级”和经典威慑与升级研究的批判性分析,本文认为,围绕俄罗斯核不稳定武器的模糊性是其边缘政策战略的一部分,无意中引发了美俄关系的不稳定动态。文章的内容如下。首先,引言设定了场景和文章的目的,以及方法,包括事实的范围和背景。其次,在试图揭示其所建立的模糊性的过程中,从“升级到降级”的辩论被打破了。第三,有人认为,根据谢林的边缘政策概念,围绕NSNWs的模糊性在战略上被利用,尽管加剧了与西方国家无意升级的风险。最后,结论总结了论点并指出其含义。
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引用次数: 0
PECULIARITIES OF THE EU`S SOFT POWER STRATEGY TOWARDS UKRAINE 欧盟对乌克兰软实力战略的特殊性
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.18524/2707-5206.2021.34.237502
O. Brusylovska, V. T. Khakimova
Proclaiming a new world order, the leaders of Western states provided for the expansion of peace and stability by assisting with Europeanization and the integration of Central and Eastern Europe. However, the situation with Ukraine is more complicated. The aim of the paper is revealing of the EU’s soft power peculiarities towards Ukraine. The methodology is based on studies of Joseph Nye and the USC Centre of Public Diplomacy. Both have been adapted and implemented to the aims of the current study. The most important questions are: What makes the EU attractive abroad? To what extent does the EU rely on its attractiveness in its relations with Ukraine? What prevents the EU from more effectively pursuing its soft power policy towards Ukraine? As a result of this work, it became clear that the EU's influence on Ukraine and in particular on the solution of the current conflict with Russia was insignificant. This is a paradox if we consider the individual characteristics of both actors. The EU still loses to Russia in digital diplomacy. However, in terms of the attractiveness of cultural achievements, the strength of the EU is about the same as that of Russia. The strength of the diplomatic network, its contribution to global interaction in the case of the EU is relatively higher than that of Russia. Finally, the EU's strength is much higher than that of Russia in terms of the attractive economic model, business friendliness, and ability to innovate; by the level of human capital, contribution to scholarships, and attractiveness for international students; in the context of a commitment to freedom, human rights and democracy, and the quality of political institutions. In the future, it is necessary to conduct a study of this phenomenon and find out what affects the EU's inability to use its soft power advantages effectively.
西方国家的领导人宣布了新的世界秩序,通过协助欧洲化和中欧和东欧的一体化,提供了和平与稳定的扩展。然而,乌克兰的局势更为复杂。本文旨在揭示欧盟对乌克兰软实力的特殊性。该方法基于约瑟夫·奈和南加州大学公共外交中心的研究。两者都已适应和实施,以达到当前研究的目的。最重要的问题是:是什么让欧盟在海外具有吸引力?在与乌克兰的关系中,欧盟在多大程度上依赖于自身的吸引力?是什么阻碍了欧盟对乌克兰更有效地推行软实力政策?由于这项工作,很明显,欧盟对乌克兰的影响,特别是对解决目前与俄罗斯的冲突的影响是微不足道的。如果我们考虑到两个演员的个人特征,这是一个悖论。在数字外交方面,欧盟仍然输给了俄罗斯。然而,就文化成果的吸引力而言,欧盟的实力与俄罗斯大致相当。外交网络的强度,其对全球互动的贡献在欧盟的情况下相对高于俄罗斯。最后,在吸引人的经济模式、商业友好和创新能力方面,欧盟的实力远远高于俄罗斯;人力资本水平、对奖学金的贡献以及对国际学生的吸引力;在对自由、人权和民主以及政治机构质量的承诺的背景下。在未来,有必要对这一现象进行研究,找出欧盟无法有效利用其软实力优势的原因。
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引用次数: 0
IV SCIENTIFIC CONFERENCE “POLITICAL PROBLEMS OF INTERNATIONAL SYSTEMS AND GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT” 第四届科学会议“国际体系与全球发展的政治问题”
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.18524/2707-5206.2021.34.237720
D. Belinska, V. Burganova, S. Gordienko, А. Musienko, M. Pogrebnyak, Y. Shevchenko, L. Houphouet, D. Navasardian, О. Novatska, G. Palyonova, E. Polyakova, V. Zazalitinova, V. Prokhorova, А. Elkhair
Scientific conference for young teachers and masters who study in the specialty 291 International Relations, Public Communications and Regional Studies, with the participation of the Dean of the Faculty of International Relations, Political Science and Sociology V. V. Glebov, Head of the Department of International Relations O. I. Brusylovska, lectors and guests of the University, took place on May 18, 2021 at the FIRPS ONU named after I. I. Mechnikov. Among the issues considered at the conference were: the analysis of the theory of international relations (Belinska D., Burganova V., Gordienko S., Musienko A., Pogrebnyak M., Shevchenko Y.), foreign policy of the states (Houphouet L., Navasardyan D., Novatska O., Palyonova G., Polyakova E., Zazalitinova V.), systemic transformation of post-communist and post-colonial countries (Prokhorova V., Elkhair A.).
2021年5月18日,国际关系、政治科学和社会学学院院长V. V.格列博夫、国际关系系主任O. I. Brusylovska、大学讲师和嘉宾参加了291国际关系、公共传播和区域研究专业青年教师和硕士的科学会议,会议在以I. I. Mechnikov命名的FIRPS ONU举行。会议讨论的问题包括:国际关系理论分析(Belinska D., Burganova V., Gordienko S., Musienko A., Pogrebnyak M., Shevchenko Y.),各国外交政策(Houphouet L., Navasardyan D., Novatska O., Palyonova G., Polyakova E., Zazalitinova V.),后共产主义和后殖民国家的系统转型(Prokhorova V., Elkhair A.)。
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引用次数: 0
DYNAMICS OF UKRAINIAN-AMERICAN RELATIONS DURING OBAMA'S ADMINISTRATION (2014-2016) 奥巴马执政时期乌克兰与美国关系动态(2014-2016)
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.18524/2707-5206.2021.34.237511
V. Pashkov
The article analyzes the dynamics, interests of the parties, priority areas of cooperation and contradictions of Ukrainian-American relations in the post-Maid period, reveals the reasons for supporting Ukraine in resisting Russian aggression from the United States. The influence of the Revolution of Dignity on the geopolitical interests of the United States in Eastern Europe and the post-Soviet space is determined. It was determined that in 2014-2016. bilateral relations between Ukraine and the United States in terms of summit meetings and diplomatic support have reached their highest development in the 30th anniversary of Ukraine's independence. At the same time, they lacked practical content - specific projects and common interests. The American strategy for Ukraine provided for limited military assistance and diplomatic containment of the Russian Federation in order to maintain the balance of power in the region. Six areas were identified that formed the bilateral agenda - military-technical cooperation, political dialogue, support for reforms, the fight against corruption, energy, support for democratic institutions. The main directions of cooperation, projects and problems within each of these areas are disclosed in detail. In the context of the formation of "strategic friendship" after 2014, the parties demonstrated different diplomatic rhetoric. Ukrainian politicians emphasized the importance of strategic partnership between countries, military assistance, and American representatives put the need for economic reforms and the fight against corruption in the first place, pushing Ukrainian leaders to take appropriate action. It was concluded that US-Ukrainian relations at this stage were more reminiscent not of a strategic partnership, but of patronage, where Kiev, as a clientele, sought protection from Russian aggression, and the United States saw the support of the pro-Western regime in Kiev as an opportunity to strengthen its positions in Eastern Europe and the post-Soviet space.
文章分析了后女佣时期乌美关系的动态、各方利益、优先合作领域和矛盾,揭示了支持乌克兰抵抗美国入侵的原因。尊严革命对美国在东欧和后苏联空间地缘政治利益的影响是确定的。确定2014-2016年。在乌克兰独立30周年之际,乌美双边关系在首脑会晤和外交支持方面达到了最高发展水平。同时,缺乏具体的项目和共同的兴趣。美国对乌克兰的战略是对俄罗斯联邦提供有限的军事援助和外交遏制,以维持该地区的力量平衡。确定了构成双边议程的六个领域- -军事技术合作、政治对话、支持改革、打击腐败、能源、支持民主体制。详细介绍了各领域的主要合作方向、项目和存在的问题。在2014年后形成“战略友谊”的背景下,各方表现出不同的外交辞藻。乌克兰政界人士强调了国家间战略伙伴关系和军事援助的重要性,美国代表则把经济改革和打击腐败的必要性放在首位,敦促乌克兰领导人采取适当行动。结论是,现阶段的美乌关系更像是一种庇护关系,而不是一种战略伙伴关系,基辅作为一个附属国,寻求保护以抵御俄罗斯的侵略,而美国则将基辅亲西方政权的支持视为加强其在东欧和后苏联地区地位的机会。
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引用次数: 0
US POLICY TOWARDS NORTH KOREA THROUGH THE PRISM OF THE THEORY OF EXTENDED NUCLEAR DETERRENCE 通过扩展核威慑理论的棱镜,美国对朝鲜的政策
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.18524/2707-5206.2021.34.237515
M. Skrypnyk
The US policy towards North Korea is shaped by the nuclear non-proliferation policy and security guarantees provided to Japan and the Republic of Korea. These guarantees have a dual purpose. On the one hand, they are a tool to deter the DPRK from aggression against other countries in the region and, above all, US allies – Japan and South Korea. On the other hand, these guarantees are also an assurance of the latter's abandonment of the policy of acquiring a nuclear arsenal. The aim of the article is to analyze the foundations of Washington's policy towards Pyongyang and its influence on relations with allies through the prism of the theory of extended nuclear deterrence. It is stated that the effectiveness of deterrence consists of the conviction of the willingness to react with an adequate response. At the same time, the persuasiveness of extended deterrence is lower, as the protecting state must respond to threats from the ally that is to say outside its own national borders. There is controversy among scholars who reflect on the relevance of extended deterrence during the Cold War and in the modern security environment. It is noted that the emergence of new threats and an increasing number of conflicts, if any, change the nature of extended deterrence, but this does not diminish the importance of the "nuclear umbrella" of the United States for both the NPT and the security of the region. The author analyzes the reasons for the United States' security guarantees for South Korea and Japan. Particular attention is paid to the factor of North Korea's aggressive policy and its progress in the development of the nuclear missile program. With the reduction and withdrawal of US troops from Japan and South Korea, Pyongyang's destructive policies have exacerbated the American allies' sense of danger and provoked talks about developing their own nuclear programs. This scenario threatened the NPT regime and international stability, as well as US strategic interests in the region. Therefore, Washington is stepping up cooperation with its allies in the process of resolving the problem of North Korea's nuclear missile program and is officially reaffirming its unwavering security and defense commitments, which should restore trust between the parties and increase the role of extended deterrence in general.
美国对朝鲜的政策受到核不扩散政策和向日本和韩国提供安全保障的影响。这些保证有双重目的。一方面,它们是阻止朝鲜侵略该地区其他国家的工具,尤其是美国的盟友——日本和韩国。另一方面,这些保证也是对伊朗放弃获得核武库政策的保证。这篇文章的目的是通过延伸核威慑理论的棱镜,分析美国对北韩政策的基础及其对盟国关系的影响。有人指出,威慑的有效性在于确信愿意作出适当的反应。与此同时,延伸威慑的说服力较低,因为保护国必须对来自盟友的威胁做出反应,也就是说,在自己的国界之外。对冷战时期和现代安全环境下延伸威慑的相关性进行反思的学者之间存在争议。人们注意到,新威胁的出现和越来越多的冲突(如果有的话)改变了扩大威慑的性质,但这并没有减少美国的“核保护伞”对《不扩散条约》和该区域安全的重要性。作者分析了美国对韩国和日本提供安全保障的原因。尤其值得关注的是北韩的侵略政策和核导弹开发的进展。随着美国从日本和韩国撤军,平壤的破坏性政策加剧了美国盟友的危险意识,并引发了有关发展自己核计划的谈判。这种情况威胁到《不扩散核武器条约》制度和国际稳定,以及美国在该地区的战略利益。因此,在解决北韩核导问题的过程中,美国正在加强与盟国的合作,并正式重申其坚定不移的安全和防御承诺,这将恢复各方之间的信任,并在总体上增强延伸威慑的作用。
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引用次数: 0
THEORIES OF WORLD ORDER TRANSITION AND THE CURRENT PHASE OF WORLD POLITICS 世界秩序变迁理论与世界政治的当前阶段
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.18524/2707-5206.2021.34.237903
O. Frolova, О. Kuchmiy
The article is devoted to the analysis of the benefits and challenges of public-private partnerships in the sphere of сybersecurity. Information technologies play a dominant role in the development of modern society. However, rapid progress in this area is closely linked to the emergence of more sophisticated, innovative threats. The information security system, which has developed within the framework of the modern world order, is one of the "pillars" of international stability. Therefore, it became necessary to distinguish cybersecurity as an important component of public life. The state has a particularly important role to play in the information and cybersecurity system, as it can take a number of organizational and technical measures to protect its information space. The article emphasizes that it is possible to reach significant success only by involving the private sector. There are many examples and confirmations of it in the world. Public-private partnership is one of the potential forms of effective cooperation between the representatives of public and private sectors. The overall goal of participating in PPPs, both private and public, is to increase cybersecurity. There is an obvious need to combine the capabilities, potential, experience, technical support, and funding of the public and private sectors to combat cyber threats. Each country is trying to find its own way in building a PPP, but such a partnership has already become a new effective mechanism to meet the challenges and threats in today's information society. The article explores the examples of public-private partnerships in the sphere of сybersecurity in the EU.
本文致力于分析网络安全领域公私伙伴关系的好处和挑战。信息技术在现代社会的发展中起着主导作用。然而,这一领域的快速进展与更复杂、更具创新性的威胁的出现密切相关。信息安全体系是在现代世界秩序框架下发展起来的,是国际稳定的“支柱”之一。因此,有必要将网络安全作为公共生活的重要组成部分加以区分。国家在信息和网络安全体系中发挥着特别重要的作用,它可以采取一系列组织和技术措施来保护其信息空间。这篇文章强调,只有让私营部门参与进来,才有可能取得重大成功。世界上有很多这样的例子和证实。公私伙伴关系是公私部门代表之间有效合作的潜在形式之一。参与公私合作伙伴关系的总体目标,无论是私人的还是公共的,都是为了提高网络安全。显然,需要将公共和私营部门的能力、潜力、经验、技术支持和资金结合起来,以应对网络威胁。各国都在努力探索各自的PPP模式,但这种伙伴关系已经成为应对当今信息社会挑战和威胁的一种新的有效机制。本文探讨了欧盟网络安全领域公私伙伴关系的例子。
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引用次数: 0
INHIBITORS AGAINST INNOVATORS: THE EFFECT OF DELAYED TRANSIT TRANSFORMATIONS 阻碍创新者的因素:延迟交通转变的影响
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.18524/2707-5206.2021.34.230875
S. Nazarenko
The article is devoted to the consideration of the complex issue of the reasons for the «delay» of political transit in the post-Soviet countries in general and in Ukraine in particular. The main author's hypothesis is the assumption that it is the activities of differently motivated subjects (inhibitors and innovators) in combination with the fundamental features of the cultural background of a particular country that determine the pace, overall trajectory and intermediate results of the democratization process. Particular attention is paid to the discussion around the question of whether transit is the only evolutionary trajectory or can be interpreted as a number of alternative directions of progress towards the standards of democratic governance. The object of this article is the features of the socio-political transformation of the post-Soviet countries. In turn, the subject of the article arises a ratio of the socio-political activity of innovators and inhibitors that is unique in national conditions, which directly affects the content and results of the democratic transition. The complex nature of the central research problem presupposes the use of an appropriate methodology, the central place in which is occupied by: a systemic approach, comparative and structural-functional methods, institutional analysis. From the author's point of view, it is this arsenal of methods and research procedures that helps to clarify the nature of the negative results of the socio-political transformation of the transit process in such post-Soviet countries as Ukraine. An analysis of the characteristic features of socio-political transformation in Ukraine indicates that the elite is motivated to conserve political informal practices and postpone changes in any way, and imitation reforms act as a legitimizer of the elite in the eyes of Western investors, creating a positive reputation for progressive reformers for its representatives. The migration of reformers from the state of innovators to the state of inhibitors is due to their desire to become an elite in order to extract economic rent with the help of power. The idea is substantiated that the way out of the vicious circle of quasi-substitution of the elite is associated with the painstaking work of the real supporters of reforms to diagnose the vulnerable elements of the national trajectory of democratization and education of new generations - carriers of innovative types of thinking and supporters of values ​​and procedures of democracy.
本文致力于审议后苏联国家,特别是乌克兰政治过渡“延迟”的原因这一复杂问题。主要作者的假设是,不同动机主体(抑制者和革新者)的活动与特定国家文化背景的基本特征相结合,决定了民主化进程的速度、总体轨迹和中间结果。特别注意的是围绕过境是否是唯一的进化轨迹,或者是否可以解释为朝着民主治理标准的若干其他进展方向的问题进行的讨论。本文的研究对象是后苏联国家社会政治转型的特点。反过来,本文的主题产生了创新者和抑制剂的社会政治活动的比例,这种比例在国情中是独特的,它直接影响到民主转型的内容和结果。中心研究问题的复杂性要求使用一种适当的方法,其中心地位是:系统方法、比较和结构功能方法、制度分析。从作者的观点来看,正是这些方法和研究程序有助于澄清乌克兰等后苏联国家过境过程的社会政治转变的负面结果的性质。对乌克兰社会政治转型特征的分析表明,精英们有动机保留政治非正式做法,并以任何方式推迟变革,而模仿改革在西方投资者眼中扮演着精英合法化者的角色,为其代表创造了进步改革者的积极声誉。改革者从创新者状态向抑制剂状态的迁移,是因为他们渴望成为精英,以便借助权力提取经济租金。这一想法得到了证实,即摆脱精英准替代的恶性循环的途径与改革的真正支持者的艰苦工作有关,这些改革旨在诊断国家民主化轨迹和新一代教育的脆弱因素-创新思维类型的载体和民主价值观和程序的支持者。
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引用次数: 0
THE EVOLUTION OF BILATERAL RELATIONS BETWEEN THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS THE BOLIVARIAN REPUBLIC OF VENEZUELA IN THE EARLY 21ST CENTURY 白俄罗斯共和国和委内瑞拉玻利瓦尔共和国在21世纪初双边关系的演变
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.18524/2707-5206.2021.34.237495
П. А. Sinovets, M. R. Nerez
The article is dedicated to the exploration of the Russian strategic culture and its influence on the major foreign and security policy trends of the Russian Federation. In particular, we suggest dividing Russian strategic culture into the three domains, taking roots from the historic, geographic, and religious foundations of the Moscow state. Those are, first, the Third Rome doctrine, having laid the background for the Russian imperial messianism, the immanent rivalry with the West as well as the Russian World idea and the further annexation of Crimea. Second, the “gathering lands” principle added the sacral meaning to the idea of strategic depth and the territory of Russia. As the result, the breakup of the Soviet Union and the enlargement of NATO to the East became the most painful episodes in Russian history, causing the reaction, which led to the confrontational role of Russia in the international system. And “the besieged fortress” principle serves as the element of integrating the Russian state and society as it is based on the idea that only the existence of rivals makes Russia the great state.
本文致力于探讨俄罗斯战略文化及其对俄罗斯联邦主要外交和安全政策趋势的影响。特别是,我们建议将俄罗斯战略文化分为三个领域,从莫斯科国家的历史,地理和宗教基础中扎根。首先是第三罗马学说,它为俄罗斯帝国的救世主主义,与西方的内在竞争以及俄罗斯世界的理念以及对克里米亚的进一步吞并奠定了基础。其次,“集土”原则为俄罗斯的战略纵深和领土观念增添了神圣的意义。因此,苏联解体和北约东扩成为俄罗斯历史上最痛苦的事件,引起了反应,导致了俄罗斯在国际体系中的对抗角色。“围城”原则是俄罗斯国家与社会整合的要素,因为它基于这样一种理念,即只有对手的存在才能使俄罗斯成为伟大的国家。
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引用次数: 0
ENHANCING EUROPEAN SECURITY: MODERN CHALLENGES POSED BY NUCLEAR WEAPONS 加强欧洲安全:核武器带来的现代挑战
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.18524/2707-5206.2021.34.229954
Удк, Mariia Kurando, Teona Patussi
The proposal of Europeanising French deterrence was revived by French President Emmanuel Macron, who declared in February 2020 that French nuclear forces reinforce European security simply by existing and suggested a strategic dialogue with all EU partners regarding the role of French nuclear weapons in European security. Macron further reasoned that this issue is increasingly urgent nowadays as the EU must jointly realise that, because of the lack of a legal structure, they may easily find themselves vulnerable to the resumption of a traditional, even nuclear, arms race on their land. The prospects of global control of weapons and disarmament efforts are very blurry in the times of rising political tensions, revived nuclear arms races, and weakening trust in multilateralism. Nevertheless, this all leads to the necessity to support active actions towards nuclear risk reductions, whichhave recently appeared in some of the multilateral forums. The elimination of nuclear risk is nothing but an intermediate measure to reduce nuclear proliferation dangers until they are liquidated. It is essential to review the risks of accidents involving nuclear weapons and their influence on European security, along with focusing on the role of European nuclear weapon states (NWS), their place in global security and possible scenarios for their future: the authors considered the possible prospects of the EU as another entity with nuclear weapons, as well as the likelihood of the EU as another regional nuclear-free zone and discussed whether the real change is possible.
法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙(Emmanuel Macron)重新提出了将法国威慑欧洲化的建议,他于2020年2月宣布,法国核力量仅以现有方式加强欧洲安全,并建议与所有欧盟伙伴就法国核武器在欧洲安全中的作用进行战略对话。马克龙进一步解释说,这个问题现在变得越来越紧迫,因为欧盟必须共同意识到,由于缺乏法律结构,他们很容易发现自己很容易受到在他们的土地上恢复传统的,甚至是核军备竞赛的影响。在政治紧张局势加剧、核军备竞赛死而复生、对多边主义的信任减弱之际,全球控制武器和裁军努力的前景非常模糊。然而,这一切都导致有必要支持减少核风险的积极行动,最近在一些多边论坛上出现了这种行动。消除核风险只是减少核扩散危险直至消除的中间措施。必须审查涉及核武器的事故风险及其对欧洲安全的影响,同时关注欧洲核武器国家(NWS)的作用、它们在全球安全中的地位以及它们未来的可能情景:作者考虑了欧盟作为另一个拥有核武器的实体的可能前景,以及欧盟作为另一个区域无核区的可能性,并讨论了真正的变化是否可能。
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引用次数: 0
SOCIO-ECONOMIC POLICY OF UKRAINE: PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS 乌克兰的社会经济政策:问题和解决办法
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-21 DOI: 10.18524/2707-5206.2021.34.237493
О. О. Nikogosyan
The article defines the priorities of the social policy of Ukraine at the present stage. The socio-economic problems of Ukraine are analyzed, their causes and solutions are identified. It is shown that the main reason for the failures of the socio-economic policy of independent Ukraine is the uncritical attitude of Ukrainian reformers to the consequences of neoliberal policies in other countries, as a result of which foreign experience of socio-economic reforms began to be introduced without taking into account domestic specifics. The decline in the role of the state in socio-economic policy, the increase in the role of private business, the privatization of "everything and everyone" led to a sharp social stratification, an economic crisis, which became a trigger for crises in all spheres of Ukrainian society. One of the fundamental principles of neoliberal economics, deregulation, has also collapsed. It turned out that the market is not efficient in areas in which the business cannot make quick and large profits. The so-called "market failures" demonstrated the need for state regulation in the spheres of education, health care, ecology, etc. Conclusions of the study and prospects for further research in this direction. Thus, if the new government really wants to build a successful country of happy people, it must make social and economic policy its top priority. Its primary tasks at the present stage should be: reduction of tariffs for utilities by eliminating from them the corruption component and excess profits of suppliers; revision of the principles of granting subsidies for utility bills. Exclusion from the number of subsidies of those who do not need state aid, but have a formal right to receive it (they work unofficially); the fight against the shadow economy, with the concealment of income from taxation; reforming the system of wages and pensions; creation of jobs with decent wages; establishing interaction between the state and private business in order to increase the social responsibility of the latter.
文章明确了现阶段乌克兰社会政策的重点。分析了乌克兰的社会经济问题,确定了其原因和解决办法。本文表明,独立的乌克兰的社会经济政策失败的主要原因是乌克兰改革者对其他国家的新自由主义政策的后果持不批判的态度,其结果是开始在不考虑国内具体情况的情况下引进外国的社会经济改革经验。国家在社会经济政策中的作用下降,私营企业的作用增加,“一切和所有人”的私有化导致了急剧的社会分层,经济危机,这成为乌克兰社会所有领域危机的导火索。新自由主义经济学的基本原则之一——放松管制——也已经崩溃。事实证明,在企业无法迅速获得巨额利润的领域,市场是无效的。所谓的"市场失灵"表明有必要在教育、保健、生态等领域实行国家管制。本研究的结论及对本方向进一步研究的展望。因此,如果新政府真的想建立一个幸福的国家,它必须把社会和经济政策放在首位。其现阶段的主要任务应是:通过消除公用事业的腐败成分和供应商的超额利润来降低公用事业的关税;修订水电费补贴原则。排除那些不需要国家援助,但有正式权利接受补贴的人(他们非正式地工作);打击影子经济,以税收收入为掩护;改革工资和养老金制度;创造工资体面的就业机会;建立国有企业与民营企业的互动关系,增强民营企业的社会责任。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Civic, Political, and Community Studies
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