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China’s Economic and Currency Management Will Make It Difficult to Dethrone the Dollar 中国的经济和货币管理将使美元难以取而代之
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1353/isia.0.a922407
John Ryan
This paper focuses on the rivalry between the US and China, with particular emphasis on the renminbi (RMB) and the US dollar. It examines three related points. First, for China to upend the dominance of the US dollar and replace it, even partially, with the RMB would require major—and probably disruptive— changes in China’s financial markets and monetary policies. Is the Chinese government willing to take those steps? Second, can China overtake the US economy and provide another incentive for international investors to start switching to the RMB? And third, is it still a question of whether de-dollarisation is happening, or has the question moved on to asking how fast the RMB can rival the US dollar in the 21st century? Finally, the paper examines China’s economic problems, which are set to damage the RMB’s reputation and progress as a reserve currency.
本文重点关注中美之间的竞争,尤其是人民币与美元之间的竞争。本文探讨了三个相关问题。首先,中国要想颠覆美元的主导地位,用人民币取代美元,哪怕是部分取代,都需要对中国的金融市场和货币政策进行重大变革,而且很可能是颠覆性的变革。中国政府愿意采取这些措施吗?其次,中国能否超越美国经济,为国际投资者开始转向人民币提供另一个动力?第三,这仍然是一个 "去美元化 "是否正在发生的问题,还是说问题已经转移到了 "人民币在 21 世纪能以多快的速度与美元相抗衡"?最后,本文探讨了中国的经济问题,这些问题将损害人民币作为储备货币的声誉和进步。
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引用次数: 0
Chronicle of a Death Foretold? The War in Ukraine and the UN Security Council 预言死亡纪事?乌克兰战争与联合国安理会
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1353/isia.0.a915222
Renata Dwan
The UN Security Council’s divisions over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 have captured international headlines. There has been less attention on the implications of the war for the Security Council’s primary responsibility to maintain international peace and security. This paper examines the ways in which the Security Council has addressed conflict between states as well as civil wars and the continuities reflected in its approach to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. It then explores some of the ways in which the Council’s management of conflict-related crises might evolve in light of the Ukraine war and the implications these may have for the legitimacy and effectiveness of the Council, as well as the role of other multilateral organisations. This paper builds on remarks provided at a Royal Irish Academy seminar, ‘Ireland on the Security Council’, on 23 November 2022.
联合国安理会在俄罗斯2022年2月入侵乌克兰问题上的分歧登上了国际头条。对战争对安全理事会维持国际和平与安全的主要责任的影响的关注较少。本文考察了安理会处理国家间冲突和内战的方式,以及其处理俄罗斯入侵乌克兰问题的方法所反映的连续性。然后,它探讨了一些方式,其中安理会的冲突相关危机的管理可能演变在乌克兰战争的光和这些可能对安理会的合法性和有效性的影响,以及其他多边组织的作用。本文以2022年11月23日在爱尔兰皇家学院研讨会“安全理事会上的爱尔兰”上发表的评论为基础。
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引用次数: 0
Preserving the international rules-based order – addressing risks and meeting responsibilities 维护以规则为基础的国际秩序--应对风险和履行责任
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1353/isia.0.a915387
Micheál Martin
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引用次数: 0
The Wind That Shakes the Turbines: Analysis of Irish Energy Production and Sovereignty 震撼涡轮机的风:爱尔兰能源生产与主权分析
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1353/isia.0.a915880
Elise Lefeuvre
Ireland’s answer to transitioning, greening and securing energy production is essentially to develop offshore wind, thereby leveraging its large maritime territory. Ireland supplies and runs an all-island grid, and has export potential to other EU countries by means of interconnectors. This article argues that energy transition is an opportunity for Ireland to rank as a key energy supplier and technological leader for offshore wind. Reaching these positions requires a range of political and industrial measures to achieve strategic management of Irish waters. The Irish government, together with the national electricity company, the Electricity Supply Board, is now rolling out a roadmap of programmes and investments to dramatically increase offshore wind share in the national energy mix by 2030. A very clear governmental transition strategy, the recent launch of several infrastructure construction works and significant financial firepower, combined with strong EU support, give confidence that Ireland can deliver on its objectives.
爱尔兰要实现能源生产的转型、绿化和安全,主要是发展海上风能,从而利用其广阔的海洋领土。爱尔兰提供并运行着一个全岛电网,并有潜力通过互联互通向其他欧盟国家出口能源。本文认为,能源转型是爱尔兰跻身主要能源供应国和海上风电技术领先者行列的契机。要取得这些地位,需要采取一系列政治和工业措施来实现爱尔兰水域的战略管理。爱尔兰政府与国家电力公司--电力供应委员会(Electricity Supply Board)一起,目前正在推出一个计划和投资路线图,以在 2030 年之前大幅提高海上风能在国家能源结构中的比例。非常明确的政府过渡战略、最近启动的几项基础设施建设工程和强大的财力,再加上欧盟的大力支持,让人们相信爱尔兰能够实现其目标。
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引用次数: 0
Building Global Health Solidarity in a Permacrisis: Legal Impacts of a Pandemic Treaty 在灾难中建立全球健康团结:大流行病条约的法律影响
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1353/isia.0.a915221
Mina Hosseini
Covid-19 has revealed the urgent need for global solidarity in an era of interconnected crises (permacrisis). The World Health Organization (WHO) aims to improve pandemic prevention, preparedness and response through a ‘convention, agreement or another international instrument under the constitution of WHO’ (‘pandemic treaty’). This study analyses shortcomings in global health solidarity during Covid-19, investigates legal impacts of the pandemic treaty and navigates the arguments for and against a pandemic treaty. The treaty’s potential legal implications for human rights, intellectual property law, tort law, global health law, competition law and public procurement are examined, as well as some challenges to its implementation. The treaty’s success depends on overcoming differences and learning from global failure in order to prepare better for the next pandemic. The pandemic treaty must ensure equity, transparency, accountability and human rights while facilitating access to vaccines and other pandemic-related products, especially for low- and middle-income countries.
2019冠状病毒病表明,在危机相互关联的时代,迫切需要全球团结一致。世界卫生组织(世卫组织)的目标是通过一项“公约、协定或世卫组织组织法下的另一项国际文书”(“大流行病条约”)来改进大流行病的预防、防备和应对。本研究分析了2019冠状病毒病期间全球卫生团结方面的不足,调查了大流行病条约的法律影响,并对支持和反对大流行病条约的论点进行了梳理。审查了该条约对人权、知识产权法、侵权法、全球卫生法、竞争法和公共采购的潜在法律影响,以及条约实施方面的一些挑战。该条约的成功取决于克服分歧并从全球失败中吸取教训,以便更好地为下一次大流行做好准备。大流行病条约必须确保公平、透明度、问责制和人权,同时促进获得疫苗和其他与大流行病有关的产品,特别是低收入和中等收入国家。
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引用次数: 0
The ‘Lost Book’ of Conor Cruise O’brien 康纳-克鲁斯-奥布莱恩的 "失落之书
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1353/isia.0.a915223
Hugh Hanley
This article reconstructs the context in which the manuscript of Conor Cruise O’Brien’s ‘lost book’ came to be written and the unfruitful effort to get it into the public domain. Through an examination of documentary evidence held in the National Archives of Ireland, it is shown that previous accounts have been wide of the mark. The attribution of sole authorship of the manuscript to O’Brien is challenged, replacing it with the idea that the text was a collective endeavour. Furthermore, it is demonstrated that Joseph Brennan, a counsellor at the Irish Embassy in Washington, DC, rather than O’Brien was the driving force behind the supposed ‘lost book of O’Brien’, and especially in later efforts to revive the work. It is hoped that future scholars will make claims about O’Brien’s ‘lost book’ and its potential implications for his early thought with greater circumspection than has hitherto been the case.
本文重建了康纳克鲁斯奥布莱恩的“丢失的书”手稿的写作背景,以及将其纳入公共领域的徒劳努力。通过对爱尔兰国家档案馆持有的文件证据的检查,表明之前的说法是大错特错的。奥布莱恩手稿唯一作者的归属受到挑战,取而代之的是文本是集体努力的想法。此外,它证明了约瑟夫·布伦南,爱尔兰驻华盛顿大使馆的顾问,而不是奥布莱恩,是所谓的“奥布莱恩丢失的书”背后的驱动力,特别是在后来努力恢复工作。人们希望未来的学者们能够以比以往更谨慎的态度,对奥布莱恩这本“丢失的书”及其对他早期思想的潜在影响提出主张。
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引用次数: 0
Unsettling Human (In)Security: Challenging Neglect and Making the Unapparent Appear 颠覆人类(不)安全:挑战忽视,让不透明显现出来
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1353/isia.0.a915388
Lorraine Elliott
The concept of human security, introduced to the global public policy lexicon in 1994, did two things. First, it challenged conventional and dominant state-centric approaches to security to rethink security in universal people-centred terms. Second, in its focus on human life and dignity, it called for a profound transition in security thinking to make all people everywhere matter. This article argues that the development of human security within the UN system has not sufficiently met these objectives. Through an analysis of three key human security sectors— food security, health security and disaster events—it reveals how conventional approaches to human security can be implicated in neglect, invisibility and marginalisation such that those already facing insecurity are made worse off still. A critical human security lens demonstrates that foregrounding recognition, solidarity and agency can help to expose invisibilities and encourage strategies to make people count.
人类安全的概念于1994年被引入全球公共政策词典,它做了两件事。首先,它挑战了传统的和占主导地位的以国家为中心的安全方法,以普遍以人民为中心的方式重新思考安全。第二,在关注人的生命和尊严方面,它呼吁深刻转变安全思想,使世界各地的所有人都重要。本文认为,联合国系统内人类安全的发展并没有充分实现这些目标。通过对三个关键的人类安全部门——粮食安全、卫生安全和灾害事件——的分析,它揭示了传统的人类安全方法是如何被忽视、忽视和边缘化的,从而使那些已经面临不安全的人的处境更加糟糕。关键的人类安全镜头表明,突出的承认、团结和能动性有助于揭露不可见的现象,并鼓励采取使人有价值的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Review of Irish Overseas Development Aid Programme 2021–22 2021-22 年爱尔兰海外发展援助计划审查
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1353/isia.0.a916207
Patrick Paul Walsh, Ciara Whelan
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引用次数: 0
Homeland Insecurity: Why Anti-Terrorism Laws are Here to Stay 国土安全:为什么反恐法会继续存在
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1353/isia.0.a910877
Conor Gearty
In this paper I argue that the self-evident sustainability of the changes wrought by anti-terrorism law since the 11 September 2001 attacks are rooted in our colonial past, a past that is littered with such laws. I further argue that in the post-colonial period those laws were then carried over into the Cold War era, where they were too useful in the struggle against radical dissent ever to be completely jettisoned—even by those newly liberated countries whose leaders had suffered under their coercive power. The paper ends with some brief reflections on how the ‘problem’ of ‘terrorism’ became globalised in the post-colonial period. My examination of its origins led me to believe that the ‘War on Terror’ was easy to entrench because liberal democracies had had decades of practice at it.
在本文中,我认为,自2001年9月11日恐怖袭击以来,反恐法所带来的变化的不证自明的可持续性根植于我们的殖民历史,这一历史中充斥着此类法律。我进一步认为,在后殖民时期,这些法律被延续到冷战时期,在与激进异见的斗争中,它们太有用了,以至于无法被完全抛弃——即使是那些领导人在强制权力下受苦的新解放国家。文章最后简要反思了“恐怖主义”这个“问题”在后殖民时期是如何全球化的。我对其起源的研究让我相信,“反恐战争”很容易巩固,因为自由民主国家在这方面有几十年的实践经验。
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引用次数: 0
From Rights to Beliefs: The Geopolitics of Securitising AIDS 从权利到信仰:证券化艾滋病的地缘政治
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1353/isia.0.a907655
Gerry Kearns, Andrew Tucker
This essay extends research on the relationships between human security, biopolitics and geopolitics by examining the securitisation of HIV/AIDS. Taking the geopolitical moment of the end of the Cold War, we put forward two competing framings of AIDS as a geopolitical concern. One of these was liberal multiculturalism via an acceptance of a multilateral rights-based international framework, while the other was a form of unipolar colonialism whereby global governance was based on a subset of US national values. We then critically engage with both in relation to the development of international AIDS policies throughout the 1990s and into the 2000s. We conclude by reflecting on the wide-ranging implications of these pathways today.
本文通过考察艾滋病毒/艾滋病的证券化,扩展了对人类安全、生物政治和地缘政治之间关系的研究。以冷战结束的地缘政治时刻为背景,我们提出了艾滋病作为地缘政治问题的两种相互竞争的框架。其中之一是通过接受以多边权利为基础的国际框架实现的自由多元文化主义,而另一种则是一种单极殖民主义,即全球治理基于美国国家价值观的子集。然后,我们批判性地参与到20世纪90年代和21世纪初国际艾滋病政策的发展中。我们通过反思这些途径今天的广泛影响来结束。
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Irish Studies in International Affairs
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