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Municipal Reform in the Russian Federation and Putin's "Electoral Vertical" 俄罗斯联邦的市政改革与普京的“选举纵向”
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-04-01 DOI: 10.3200/DEMO.15.2.191-208
C. Ross
Since President Putin came to power in 2000 we have witnessed a radical assault on the principles and practices of federalism. More recently, Putin has turned his attention to politics at the subregional level. In October 2003 a new federal law, "On the Principles of Local Self Government in the Russian Federation" (hereafter, the 2003 Law), was adopted that seriously compromises local government autonomy.1 After discussing the major features of the 2003 Law and the problems of its implementation, this article examines the most recent round of municipal elections, which took place in 2004 and 2005. Municipal elections in many federal subjects have been far from free and fair. State control over local electoral commissions and the courts have dealt a serious blow to the development of grassroots democracy in Russia. The consolidation of democracy has also been undermined by a series of laws on elections and parties that Putin adopted in the wake of the Beslan hostage crisis in September 2004. These new laws, ostensibly designed to strengthen Russia's party system, have, in practice, allowed United Russia to consolidate its hold over regional and local assemblies.Federalism and Local Government in the Russian FederationIn theory, local governments in Russia operate outside the formal state hierarchy. Article 12 of the Russian Constitution states that, "In the Russian Federation local self-government is recognized and guaranteed. Within the limits of its powers local self-government is independent. Bodies of local self-government do not form part of the system of bodies of state power." However, municipalities have, in practice, been treated as a "third tier" of state power, subordinate to regional and federal administrations.2Municipal government in Russia also operates within a quasi-federal system epitomized by high levels of constitutional and political asymmetry. Thus, to fully understand local level politics, the peculiarities of the Russian federal system, and in particular the massive powers that were ceded to the federal subjects in the 1990s need to be taken into account. Between 1994 and 1998 Yeltsin signed forty-six bilateral treaties with federal subjects that granted the signatories a number of extraconstitutional powers, including the right to develop their own forms of local government. By the end of the Yeltsin era, a highly politicized form of "contract" federalism had replaced constitutional federalism. "The result," Campbell stresses, "was not decentralisation but 'autonomisation' . . . whereby the state was held together by a loose parade of treaties bargained between the centre and the individual regions."3Daniel Elazar argues that local governments in federal systems are often able to gain "a substantial measure of entrenched political power" by capitalizing on "the spirit of noncentralisation-the spirit of federalism."4 However, in Russia's quasi-federal system, regional elites have been able to subjugate local level bodies w
自普京总统2000年上台以来,我们目睹了对联邦制原则和实践的激进攻击。最近,普京将注意力转向了次区域层面的政治。2003年10月,通过了一项新的联邦法律,“关于俄罗斯联邦地方自治原则”(以下简称2003年法律),严重损害了地方政府的自治权在讨论了2003年法律的主要特点及其实施中的问题之后,本文考察了2004年和2005年举行的最近一轮市政选举。许多联邦主体的市政选举远非自由和公平。国家对地方选举委员会和法院的控制严重打击了俄罗斯基层民主的发展。2004年9月别斯兰人质危机后,普京通过了一系列关于选举和政党的法律,这也削弱了民主的巩固。这些新法律表面上是为了加强俄罗斯的政党制度,实际上却使统一俄罗斯党得以巩固其对地区和地方议会的控制。俄罗斯联邦的联邦制和地方政府理论上,俄罗斯的地方政府在正式的国家等级制度之外运作。《俄罗斯宪法》第12条规定:“在俄罗斯联邦,地方自治得到承认和保障。在其权力范围内,地方自治政府是独立的。地方自治机关不构成国家权力机关体系的一部分。”然而,在实践中,市政当局被视为国家权力的“第三层”,从属于地区和联邦行政部门。俄罗斯的市政府也在准联邦制下运作,体现在宪法和政治上的高度不对称。因此,要充分理解地方层面的政治,就必须考虑到俄罗斯联邦制度的特殊性,尤其是上世纪90年代割让给联邦主体的巨大权力。1994年至1998年间,叶利钦与联邦主体签署了46项双边条约,这些条约授予签署国一些宪法外的权力,包括发展自己的地方政府形式的权利。在叶利钦时代末期,一种高度政治化的“契约”联邦主义取代了立宪联邦主义。“结果,”坎贝尔强调,“不是权力下放,而是‘自治’……因此,国家是由中央和个别地区之间达成的一系列松散的条约维系在一起的。daniel Elazar认为,联邦制下的地方政府往往能够利用“非中央集权的精神——联邦制的精神”,从而获得“相当大程度的根深蒂固的政治权力”。然而,在俄罗斯的准联邦制中,地区精英能够不受惩罚地征服地方一级机构。在许多少数民族共和国(例如,Adygeya, Bashkortostan, Dagestan, Kalmykiya, Komi, North Ossetiya, Sakha和鞑靼斯坦),首席执行官能够开拓个人领地并煽动高度专制的政权。地方政府从属于共和政府,共和总统直接任命市政长官此外,1995年的法律“关于俄罗斯联邦地方自治原则”(以下简称1995年法律)在18个地区没有实施,43个地区只有部分实施。因此,在普京就任总统前夕,在整个联邦,地方政府的结构、职能和权力都发生了重大变化。事实上,地方一级的政治和经济不对称程度甚至高于区域。地方精英往往对哪些权力将下放给市政当局拥有最终决定权。…
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引用次数: 20
Gorbachev, Lenin, and the Break with Leninism 戈尔巴乔夫、列宁和与列宁主义决裂
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-03-22 DOI: 10.3200/DEMO.15.2.230-244
Archie Brown
Abstract: The author examines the paradox of Mikhail Gorbachev's esteem for Lenin in combination with his growing rejection of Leninism. While Gorbachev still held the office of general secretary of the Soviet Communist Party, he embraced ideas fundamentally at odds with those of the Soviet Union's principal architect. The focus of Western writers on Gorbachev's 1987 book, Perestroika." New Thinking for Our Country and the World, as a major source has been simplistic and misleading, obscuring the radicalization of Gorbachev's political ideas from 1988 onward. Drawing, inter alia, on previously unused archival documents, the author demonstrates how Gorbachev's views moved closer to those of Eduard Bernstein, a democratic socialist thinker whom Lenin despised, than to Leninism. Given the institutional power Gorbachev wielded until late in the perestroika period, his embrace of concepts radically at odds with Leninism was of critical importance, opening doors which had remained firmly closed for decades. Keywords: Bernstein, Bolshevik, command-administrative system, democratization, Gorbachev, Lenin, Leninism, perestroika, pluralism, socialism In a highly authoritarian political system, with great power vested in the office at the top of the political hierarchy, the values, policy preferences, and personality of the holder of that office are liable to make a bigger difference to major policy outcomes than the personality, values, and preferences of the head of government within a democracy. The constraints on the latter will be far greater--not only from members of his or her party, but also from opposition parties, the legislature, the judiciary, organized interests, and public opinion, to name the most obvious. That is not to say, however, that the power of the top leader in an authoritarian system is entirely unconstrained. If the authoritarian system is a) highly institutionalized and b) highly ideologized, then there are likely to be quite serious obstacles in the path of major innovation of even the topmost leader. In particular, it will be very risky for him (I do not add "or her," for male leadership is ubiquitous in totalitarian and authoritarian regimes) to attempt to change the basic tenets of the system's legitimating ideology or its institutional norms. These factors all apply to the case of Mikhail Gorbachev and the transformation of the Soviet system. When Gorbachev became general secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union in March 1985, he attained the office which commanded greater institutional resources than any other within the country. Yet this was in a thoroughly consolidated authoritarian regime--in the classification of Linz and Stepan an example of "post-totalitarianism" (1)--in which the top leader was accorded great authority provided he played by the rules of the game. There was an important precedent in the post-Stalin Soviet Union illustrating the potential vulnerability of even the supreme leader. Although Ni
摘要:本文探讨了米哈伊尔·戈尔巴乔夫对列宁的尊重与他对列宁主义的日益排斥之间的矛盾。当戈尔巴乔夫仍然担任苏联共产党总书记时,他所接受的思想与苏联主要设计师的思想从根本上是不一致的。西方作家关注的焦点是戈尔巴乔夫1987年出版的《改革》一书。《我们国家和世界的新思维》,作为一个主要来源,过于简单化和误导,掩盖了戈尔巴乔夫1988年以来政治思想的激进化。除其他外,作者利用以前未使用的档案文件,证明戈尔巴乔夫的观点如何更接近列宁所鄙视的民主社会主义思想家爱德华·伯恩斯坦(edward Bernstein)的观点,而不是列宁主义。考虑到戈尔巴乔夫直到改革后期还掌握着体制权力,他对与列宁主义根本相悖的概念的接受至关重要,打开了几十年来一直紧闭的大门。关键词:伯恩斯坦、布尔什维克、命令管理体制、民主化、戈尔巴乔夫、列宁、列宁主义、改革、多元主义、社会主义在一个高度专制的政治体制中,权力被赋予了政治等级的顶端,这个职位的持有者的价值观、政策偏好和个性可能比民主国家政府首脑的个性、价值观和偏好对重大政策结果产生更大的影响。对后者的限制将大得多——不仅来自其所在政党的成员,而且来自反对党、立法机构、司法机构、有组织的利益集团和公众舆论,这是最明显的。然而,这并不是说,威权体制中最高领导人的权力完全不受约束。如果威权体制a)高度制度化,b)高度意识形态化,那么即使是最高领导人的重大创新之路也可能会遇到相当严重的障碍。特别是,他(我没有加上“或她”,因为男性领导在极权主义和威权主义政权中无处不在)试图改变该体系合法化意识形态或制度规范的基本原则将是非常危险的。这些因素都适用于米哈伊尔·戈尔巴乔夫和苏联体制的转型。当戈尔巴乔夫于1985年3月成为苏联共产党总书记时,他获得了一个比国内任何其他人都拥有更多制度资源的职位。然而,这是一个彻底巩固的专制政权——在林茨和斯捷潘的分类中,这是一个“后极权主义”的例子(1)——在这个政权中,最高领导人被赋予了很大的权力,只要他遵守游戏规则。斯大林后的苏联有一个重要的先例,说明即使是最高领导人也有潜在的脆弱性。尽管尼基塔·赫鲁晓夫没有像戈尔巴乔夫后来那样挑战体制的规范,但他频繁地重组党和国家结构,不愿通过已建立的官僚渠道工作,导致他在1964年10月在中央委员会作为一个整体的支持下,在政治局领导成员的煽动下被撤职。戈尔巴乔夫始终意识到赫鲁晓夫的命运,因此,他需要说服统治寡头的其他成员开始进行深远的改革。他不能简单地通过命令来引入激进的变革,尽管他拥有任命的权力,这使他能够逐步改变最高领导团队的组成。即使这种权力也绝不是不受约束的。晋升到体制内的最高执行委员会——政治局——是通过集体增选的过程,在这个过程中,人才库被限制在已经是中央委员会成员的人身上(每五年在党代表大会上被选中)。…
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引用次数: 5
A Revolution of the Mind 思想的革命
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.3200/DEMO.15.1.117-128
Yulia Malysheva
propositions. But there are virtually none that describe in the contexts of history and culture the actual emergence of these ideas. As one scholar recently noted, the word “democracy” has (since 1945) generally been “a pretext for ideological endorsement rather than a term for a historically rooted process.” This is equally true of equality. While there is “plenty of work on equality,” another commentator observes, “there is precious little in the modern literature on the background to the idea that we humans are, fundamentally, one another’s equals.” The story of the emergence of modern democratic core values as a Western and global historical phenomenon before 1789 remains—in America, Europe, Africa, and Asia alike—a gigantic yawning gap. The risk in considering our core values as purely abstract concepts that do not require examination in their historical context, or imagining the French Revolution invented them, is that we then remain blind to how, why, and where these concepts first emerged amid conflict and controversy, and the means whereby they slowly advanced in the teeth of widespread opposition and eventually became first intellectually and then politically hegemonic. Not only scholars but also the general reading, debating, and voting public need some awareness of the tremendous difficulty, struggle, and cost involved in propagating our core ideas in the face of the long-dominant monarchical, aristocratic, and religious ideologies, privi-
命题。但实际上,没有人在历史和文化背景下描述这些思想的实际出现。正如一位学者最近指出的那样,“民主”一词(自1945年以来)通常是“意识形态认可的借口,而不是历史根源过程的术语”。这同样适用于平等。另一位评论家指出,虽然“有很多关于平等的研究”,“但在现代文学中,关于我们人类从根本上是平等的这一观点的背景却很少。”1789年之前,现代民主核心价值观作为西方和全球历史现象的出现,在美国、欧洲、非洲和亚洲都是如此,这一故事仍然是一个巨大的鸿沟。将我们的核心价值观视为纯粹抽象的概念,不需要在其历史背景下进行考察,或者想象它们是法国大革命发明的,这样做的风险在于,我们仍然对这些概念在冲突和争议中首次出现的方式、原因和地点视而不见,也不知道它们是如何在广泛反对的情况下缓慢发展的,最终首先成为智力上的,然后是政治上的霸权。不仅是学者,而且一般的读者、辩论和投票公众都需要意识到,面对长期占据主导地位的君主、贵族和宗教意识形态,在宣传我们的核心思想时所涉及的巨大困难、斗争和成本
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引用次数: 0
Through an Orange-Colored Lens: Western Media, Constructed Imagery, and Color Revolutions 透过橙色的镜头:西方媒体、建构意象与颜色革命
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.3200/DEMO.15.1.87-116
Andres Schipani-Aduriz
"Watch out . . . he's a foreign journalist."-From Tintin in the Land of Soviets1IntroductionIn June 2005, Ian Traynor, a foreign correspondent of the Manchester-based newspaper The Guardian, wrote a story claiming that "from the Chinese frontier to the borders of the European Union, the vast post-Soviet space has been in the grip of revolutionary fervour over the past few years-a second wave of democratization after the 1989-91 revolutions symbolized by the fall of the Berlin Wall."2 He was referring to the "bloodless,"3 "peaceful,"4 "electoral,"5 "democratic,"6 or "color revolutions"7 that occurred in Georgia, Ukraine, and Kyrgyzstan, respectively. Those popular upheavals were based on the October 2000 Serbian election, when democratic protests toppled Slobodan Miloevic's authoritarian regime.8After Serbia, the democratic upheavals in the former Soviet Union shared the common feature of being centered on fraudulent elections with an opposition supported by key circles in the West. As a result, protests varying in size broke out in all three post-Soviet countries. Following a period of uncertainty, the incumbent president either resigned from office and/or the election outcome was overturned, resulting in a member of the opposition becoming president.9 All these situations ended without bloodshed (although looting was visible in Kyrgyzstan), the challengers embraced nonviolent tactics, and the incumbents did not call on state-security forces to repress the protests. Not even the opposition leaders predicted the scale and duration of the street protests.10 As in the 1989-91 period when, like falling dominos, socialist governments fell to the forces of democratization, Western journalists ran to the East to offer their perceptions to the West.The media not only watched, they also played a crucial role11 in the years after the then Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev came to power, as rapid developments dramatically changed the status quo. Images of influential figures in the "eastern bloc"-Mikhail Gorbachev, Lech Wal.esa, and Vaclav Havel-facing leaders from the "West"-Ronald Reagan, Margaret Thatcher, and Pope John Paul II-were mingled with those of the fall of the Berlin Wall and the Bucharest crowds that violently deposed Romanian tyrant Nicolae Ceausescu.12 In Moscow, an attempted coup by Soviet hard-liners failed in large part because the media was telling everyone around the globe what was happening with Gorbachev in Foros, while Yeltsin and putschists addressed a crowd from the top of a tank.13The perception of the world aligned along East-West lines was, arguably, simpler to understand-at least as defined by the Western press. Today, readers and viewers can know almost as much as they want about distant, formerly inaccessible places such as Georgia, Ukraine, and Kyrgyzstan. However, the window on the world is now wider, but it can be disorderly and confusing to look through it. The dimension of these changes carries implications not only for jo
“小心……他是外国记者。2005年6月,曼彻斯特《卫报》的驻外记者伊恩·特雷纳(Ian Traynor)写了一篇文章,声称“从中国边境到欧盟边境,在过去几年里,广阔的后苏联地区一直处于革命热情的控制之中——这是1989-91年革命之后的第二波民主化浪潮,标志着柏林墙的倒塌。”他指的是分别发生在格鲁吉亚、乌克兰和吉尔吉斯斯坦的“不流血革命”、“和平革命”、“选举革命”、“民主革命”或“颜色革命”。这些民众动乱是基于2000年10月的塞尔维亚选举,当时民主抗议推翻了斯洛博丹·米洛维奇(Slobodan Miloevic)的独裁政权。在塞尔维亚之后,前苏联的民主剧变有一个共同的特点,那就是以选举舞弊为中心,反对派得到西方关键集团的支持。结果,三个后苏联国家都爆发了规模不同的抗议活动。在一段不确定的时期之后,现任总统要么辞职,要么选举结果被推翻,导致反对派成员成为总统所有这些情况都没有流血(尽管在吉尔吉斯斯坦可以看到抢劫),挑战者采用了非暴力策略,现任者也没有呼吁国家安全部队镇压抗议活动。就连反对派领导人也没有预料到街头抗议的规模和持续时间在1989-91年期间,社会主义政府像多米诺骨牌一样倒在民主化的力量面前,西方记者跑到东方向西方提供他们的看法。在当时的苏联领导人米哈伊尔·戈尔巴乔夫(Mikhail Gorbachev)上台后的几年里,媒体不仅关注事态的发展,还发挥了至关重要的作用,因为事态的迅速发展极大地改变了现状。“东方集团”中有影响力的人物——米哈伊尔·戈尔巴乔夫、莱赫·瓦尔萨和瓦茨拉夫·哈维尔——面对“西方”领导人——罗纳德·里根、玛格丽特·撒切尔和教皇约翰·保罗二世——的形象与柏林墙倒塌和布加勒斯特人群暴力推翻罗马尼亚暴君尼古拉·齐奥塞斯库的形象交织在一起。一场由苏联强硬派发动的未遂政变之所以失败,很大程度上是因为媒体向全世界的人讲述了戈尔巴乔夫在福洛斯发生的事情,而叶利钦和政变分子则站在坦克顶上向人群发表讲话。可以说,按照东西方路线排列的世界观更容易理解——至少西方媒体是这样定义的。今天,读者和观众几乎可以尽可能多地了解遥远的、以前无法到达的地方,如格鲁吉亚、乌克兰和吉尔吉斯斯坦。然而,世界的窗口现在更宽了,但透过它看过去可能是混乱和令人困惑的。这些变化的规模不仅对世界各地的记者和新闻机构有影响,而且对他们所描绘的政府和公民也有影响。一些评论家认为,今天西方对待国际新闻的态度混乱,这尤其令人遗憾,因为它忽视了新闻媒体向公众提供重要信息的责任冷战“大叙事”的丧失是造成这种情况的主要原因如果公众对外国新闻不感兴趣,对外国记者来说,使他们的报道更切题、更有趣是一个挑战。从那以后,记者们发展出了准则和规范,不仅指导他们的行为,也指导他们的编辑的行为,从而塑造了新闻报道的内容在像这些革命这样的危机时刻,媒体所扮演的各种角色(监测周围环境,创造集体想象等等)具有其全部意义。因此,在危机时刻,媒体获得了前所未有的自主权。...
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引用次数: 10
Revolution Is Contagious 革命具有传染性
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.3200/DEMO.15.1.133-138
M. Kapusta
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引用次数: 1
Unparalleled Reforms: China's Rise, Russia's Fall, and the Interdependence of Transition 无与伦比的改革:中国的崛起,俄罗斯的衰落,以及转型的相互依存
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.5860/choice.44-1767
James W. Warhola
Unparalleled Reforms: China's Rise, Russia's Fall, and the Interdependence of Transition, Christopher Marsh. Lanham, MD: Lexington Books, 2005. 189 pp. $75.00, cloth.Christopher Marsh's latest book, Unparalleled Reforms: China's Rise, Russia's Fall, and the Interdependence of Transition, is an ambitious attempt to both chronicle and account for the different paths of political and economic change taken by the People's Republic of China, beginning in 1978, and the USSR-turned-Russian Federation, beginning in the late 1980s. This book is an exercise in comparative politics in the very best sense: the author has selected two cases in which numerous similarities are juxtaposed with profound differences in national culture, history, policies, and results of policies. As such, the prospects for scholarly knowledge and understanding to be significantly expanded are very good. Marsh succeeds in a manner that is likely to spawn similar attempts to understand the efficacy of reform projects not only in Russia and China, but also in other geographically proximate countries (e.g., Central Asia and Mongolia).The value of the book is underscored by the paucity of works comparing reform in China and Russia, despite the fertility of intellectual soil from which meaningful, deeply informed comparison might usefully occur. This is especially so given the approach taken in Unparalleled Reforms, wherein the author undertakes his comparative analysis from the perspective of seeking to understand the manner and degree to which China and Russia's reform efforts were mutually interdependent. That paucity is traceable in large measure to the scarcity of North American scholars who have advanced research capability in both the Russian and Chinese languages, and who are deeply learned in those countries' cultures and histories and thoroughly familiar with contemporary scholarship on comparative political analysis. Fortunately for the scholarly community, Marsh possesses all of the above, and accordingly brings a wealth of insight to his readers. As such, Unparalleled Reforms appears destined for long-term noteworthiness in that it represents a truly pioneering effort, and for which the scholarly community will long remain indebted.Given the size of the topic and the book's length (less than 200 pages), it is remarkably insightful and concise. Although the bulk of the book's contribution is found, of course, in the seven substantive chapters, I found even the several-page preface to be succinctly insightful. By mentioning Foucault's concept of an "archive" of essentially distorted understandings of other cultures serving as a poor substitute for thoroughly grasping the underlying realities of those cultures, Marsh gives his readers a hint of the deep insights offered throughout Unparalleled Reforms. Marsh succeeds, in fact, in summarizing a broad array of scholarship in an engaging readable manner. Unparalleled Reforms calls not merely for a quick read, but close study by a
《无与伦比的改革:中国的崛起,俄罗斯的衰落,以及转型的相互依赖》,克里斯托弗·马什著。兰哈姆,MD: Lexington Books, 2005。189页,75美元,布。克里斯多夫·马什的新书《空前的改革:中国的崛起,俄罗斯的衰落,以及转型的相互依赖》雄心勃勃地试图记录和解释1978年开始的中华人民共和国和20世纪80年代末开始的苏联转型的俄罗斯联邦所采取的不同政治和经济变革道路。这本书是在最好的意义上比较政治学的练习:作者选择了两个案例,在这些案例中,许多相似之处与国家文化、历史、政策和政策结果的深刻差异并存。因此,学术知识和理解得到显著扩展的前景是非常好的。Marsh在某种程度上的成功可能会催生类似的尝试,以了解改革项目的有效性,不仅在俄罗斯和中国,而且在其他地理上接近的国家(例如,中亚和蒙古)。这本书的价值在于,比较中国和俄罗斯改革的作品很少,尽管知识分子的土壤肥沃,有意义的、深入的比较可能会有用。在《无与伦比的改革》一书中尤其如此,作者从寻求理解中国和俄罗斯的改革努力相互依存的方式和程度的角度进行了比较分析。这种缺乏在很大程度上可以追溯到北美学者的缺乏,这些学者在俄语和汉语方面都有先进的研究能力,他们对这些国家的文化和历史有很深的了解,对当代比较政治分析的学术研究非常熟悉。对于学术界来说,幸运的是,马什拥有上述所有条件,因此给读者带来了丰富的见解。因此,《无与伦比的改革》似乎注定要获得长期的关注,因为它代表了一项真正的开拓性努力,学术界将长期为此感激不尽。考虑到主题的大小和书的长度(不到200页),它是非常深刻和简洁的。虽然这本书的大部分贡献都体现在七个实质性的章节中,但我发现即使是几页的序言也简洁而深刻。通过提到福柯对其他文化本质上扭曲的理解的“档案”概念,作为彻底掌握这些文化的潜在现实的可怜替代品,马什给了他的读者一个暗示,即《无与伦比的改革》所提供的深刻见解。事实上,马什成功地以一种引人入胜的可读方式总结了一系列广泛的学术知识。《无与伦比的改革》不仅需要快速阅读,而且需要广大读者的深入研究,而不仅仅是那些已经精通俄罗斯或中国政治研究的人。《无与伦比的改革》一书的主题是,苏联/俄罗斯和中国的改革努力之间存在着更大程度的相互依存,这比西方学者迄今为止所承认的(或者更糟糕的是,甚至承认的)要大得多。马什认为,这一缺陷极大地削弱了我们对发生在中华人民共和国和前苏联转型的俄罗斯联邦的政治和经济转型的理解深度。马什成功地阐述了他的观点,这将有助于随后的学术研究不要忽视政治变革的这一重要方面。在《空前的改革》一书中有几个观点将被学者们仔细研究;然而,据我判断,这不会损害其整体的健全和有用性。...
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引用次数: 15
The diffusion of Revolutions. A Comparison of regime turnovers in 5 Countries 革命的扩散。5个国家政权更替的比较
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.3200/DEMO.15.1.5-28
M. Fenger
Abstract: The recent revolutions or near-revolutions in Serbia, Georgia, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, and Ukraine share the following characteristics: stolen elections triggered them, there were massive, nonviolent demonstrations, and the opposition united behind a single, often charismatic, leader. This article combines two theoretical perspectives on the recent revolutions in southeast Europe and Central Asia: a state failure perspective that focuses on the domestic characteristics that helps explain these events, and a diffusion perspective that focuses on the interrelatedness between these events by means of the interchange of financial resources, activists, and knowledge. It concludes that foreign interventions aimed at the democratization of unstable states might facilitate regime change by democratic or undemocratic means, but it is never a sufficient condition for regime change. Keywords: democratization, policy diffusion, revolutions, state failure Introduction The latest wave of revolutions in southeast Europe and Central Asia illustrates the vulnerability of oppressive, authoritarian, and nondemocratic regimes. This wave started in Serbia in 2000, and ended in Kyrgyzstan in early 2005. (1) Almost all of these revolutions share the following characteristics: stolen elections triggered them, there were massive, nonviolent demonstrations, and the opposition united behind a single, often charismatic, leader. Revolutions are often linked to the concept of failing states. However, various sources cite the role of foreign nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) that help build and sustain a coalition of opposition parties, train volunteers in campaigning and monitoring election results, and even formulate and implement strategies to overthrow the regime. (2) Singh even speaks of franchised revolutions. (3) This article combines two theoretical perspectives on the recent revolutions in southeast Europe and Central Asia: a state failure perspective that focuses on the domestic characteristics that helps explain these events and a diffusion perspective that focuses on the interrelatedness between these events by means of the interchange of financial resources, activists, and knowledge. This article contributes to the explanatory and--perhaps more important--predictive power of the state failure approach by taking into account the deliberate strategies of foreign actors to overthrow regimes. This analysis is based on a review of existing literature and databases, except for the Moldovan case, which is based on a series of interviews from March 2005. The literature on revolutions is elaborate and does not provide a consensus on how to define a revolution. I follow Goodwin, (4) who defines a revolution as any and all instances in which a state or government is overthrown and thereby transformed by a popular movement in an irregular, extraconstitutional, or violent manner. However, whether an event is labeled a revolution is not a matter of a simple dichotomy.
摘要:最近发生在塞尔维亚、格鲁吉亚、摩尔多瓦、吉尔吉斯斯坦和乌克兰的革命或接近革命的革命有以下几个共同特点:选举舞弊引发了这些革命,有大规模的非暴力示威,反对派团结在一个通常具有魅力的领导人的领导下。本文结合了关于东南欧和中亚近期革命的两种理论视角:一种是国家失败视角,关注有助于解释这些事件的国内特征;另一种是扩散视角,通过金融资源、活动家和知识的交换,关注这些事件之间的相互关系。本文的结论是,旨在使不稳定国家民主化的外国干预可能通过民主或非民主手段促进政权更迭,但绝不是政权更迭的充分条件。最近在东南欧和中亚发生的革命浪潮说明了压迫性、威权主义和非民主政权的脆弱性。这一浪潮始于2000年的塞尔维亚,并于2005年初在吉尔吉斯斯坦结束。几乎所有这些革命都有以下特点:被窃取的选举引发了它们,有大规模的非暴力示威,反对派团结在一个单一的、通常是有魅力的领导人的领导下。革命常常与失败国家的概念联系在一起。然而,各种消息来源都提到了外国非政府组织的作用,它们帮助建立和维持反对党联盟,培训竞选和监督选举结果的志愿者,甚至制定和实施推翻政权的战略。辛格甚至谈到了特许革命。(3)本文结合了研究东南欧和中亚近期革命的两种理论视角:一种是国家失败视角,关注有助于解释这些事件的国内特征;另一种是扩散视角,通过金融资源、活动家和知识的交换,关注这些事件之间的相互关系。本文通过考虑到外国行为体推翻政权的蓄意策略,有助于解释和(也许更重要的是)预测国家失败方法的能力。这一分析是基于对现有文献和数据库的回顾,除了摩尔多瓦的案例,它是基于2005年3月以来的一系列访谈。关于革命的文献是详尽的,并没有就如何定义革命提供共识。我赞同古德温(4)对革命的定义,他将革命定义为国家或政府被推翻,并因此被一场非常规的、违反宪法的或暴力的民众运动所改造的任何和所有事例。然而,一个事件是否被贴上革命的标签并不是一个简单的二分法问题。根据Yinger和Katz的观点,(5)有人可能会认为,在一场革命中,“无革命性”的程度可能是多种多样的。因此,在使用古德温的广义定义时,我强调了个别革命的多样性。下一节简要概述了国家失败和政策扩散文献的现状,并将它们整合到一个分析框架中。以下部分对塞尔维亚的十月革命、格鲁吉亚的玫瑰革命、乌克兰的橙色革命、摩尔多瓦的无声革命和吉尔吉斯斯坦的郁金香革命进行了描述和分析。(6)然后通过对这五次革命的比较分析得出结论。最后一节讨论了在本文分析的案例之外,可以从针对非民主政权的非暴力行动中吸取的教训。本文描述了用于分析塞尔维亚、格鲁吉亚、乌克兰、摩尔多瓦和吉尔吉斯斯坦的革命(及其相互关系)的分析框架。…
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引用次数: 5
Orange People: A Brief History of Transnational Liberation Networks in East Central Europe 橙色人民:中欧东部跨国解放网络简史
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.3200/DEMO.15.1.29-72
Fredo Arias-King
"We have underestimated completely the processes taking place in Poland, Hungary and especially recently in East Germany, and their effect and influence on our society."1-Milos JakesDeposed Czechoslovak communist leaderNovember 25, 1989IntroductionThis article broadly traces a specific aspect of the transnational "effect and influence" (in Jake.'s words) of the processes of liberation in the past half-century in central and eastern Europe. It explores the origin of the transnational Orange networks, their interactions behind the Iron Curtain, their zenith in 1989 through 1991, reappearance in the partially reformed postcommunist space, and ends with their latest activities, before outlining a few generalizations in search of a theory for their origins and motivation. Undoubtedly, the contagion effect from abroad is but one in the constellation of factors (mostly domestic) that make these liberations possible.2 And within this factor, the transnational Orange networks are also but one element. This article will focus on this specific aspect-the main Orange people that transcended borders to reach out to other Orange people.Because the numerous individuals and groups that have organized to overthrow communist and neocommunist regimes have a multiplicity of ideologies and goals-from liberal to patriotic to anarchist to religious to social-democratic to reformed-communist to simply outraged citizens-for simplicity, and despite its recent discomfiture, the label "Orange" to describe them collectively is used for this article. Besides Ukraine's event in late 2004, orange has been used by several opposition forces in the region, the most evident being Poland's "Orange Alternative" as well as Hungary's "Orange Appeal" and the journal Magyar narancs (Hungarian Orange).Similarly, because the regimes targeted by the Orange people also span different categorizations- from communist to pseudo-fascist to corrupt neocommunist to sultanistic to ultra-etatist to simply illiberal-in this article I also continue with an earlier hypothesis that the nature of such regimes cannot be easily defined by ideology or any well-constructed system of values. Their common denominator instead is a compulsion to engage in illiberal and antisocial behavior, perhaps carried over from a combination of Marxist-Leninist ideology and self-selection to and training in their respective nomenklatury. Not all Communist Party members engaged in antisocial behavior and some were quite constructive to the reform process and human rights (in fact, regime moderates who played key liberating roles are also defined as Orange people here). It is also true that, with few known exceptions, the key individuals conforming the antisocial regimes were either communists or had actively participated in antisocial activities from within the apparat even after the liberalizing trends began. Such individuals change ideology and political orientations quite rapidly (the most common venue is from communist to
“我们完全低估了波兰、匈牙利,尤其是最近在东德发生的进程,以及它们对我们社会的影响和影响。”——米洛什·杰克被废黜的捷克斯洛伐克共产党领导人1989年11月25日引言本文宽泛地追溯了跨国“影响和影响”的一个具体方面(在杰克。在过去的半个世纪中,中欧和东欧的解放进程。它探讨了跨国橙色网络的起源,他们在铁幕背后的互动,他们在1989年至1991年的顶峰,在部分改革的后共产主义空间中重现,并以他们的最新活动结束,然后概述了一些概括,以寻找他们的起源和动机的理论。毫无疑问,来自国外的传染效应只是使这些解放成为可能的众多因素之一(主要是国内因素)在这个因素中,跨国Orange网络也只是其中一个因素。这篇文章将关注这一特定的方面——主要的橙色人超越了边界,与其他橙色人接触。因为组织起来推翻共产主义和新共产主义政权的众多个人和团体有着多种多样的意识形态和目标——从自由主义到爱国主义到无政府主义,从宗教到社会民主主义再到改革派——从共产主义到仅仅是愤怒的公民——为了简单起见,尽管最近出现了混乱,但本文还是使用了“橙色”这个标签来描述他们。除了2004年底的乌克兰事件外,该地区的一些反对派力量也使用了橙色,最明显的是波兰的“橙色选择”、匈牙利的“橙色呼吁”和《匈牙利橙色》杂志。同样,因为橙色人民所针对的政权也跨越了不同的类别——从共产主义到伪法西斯主义,到腐败的新共产主义,到苏丹主义,到极端专制主义,再到简单的反自由主义——在本文中,我还将继续一个先前的假设,即这些政权的性质不能轻易地通过意识形态或任何精心构建的价值体系来定义。相反,他们的共同点是强迫自己从事不自由和反社会的行为,这可能是马克思列宁主义意识形态和自我选择的结合,并在各自的术语中进行训练。并非所有的共产党员都从事反社会行为,有些人对改革进程和人权相当有建设性(事实上,在这里发挥关键解放作用的政权温和派也被定义为橙色人)。此外,除了少数已知的例外,符合反社会政权的关键人物要么是共产主义者,要么是在自由化趋势开始之后从机器内部积极参与反社会活动的人。这些人的意识形态和政治取向变化非常快(最常见的是从共产主义者到极端民族主义者或无意识形态的腐败网络),我用“反社会”这个标签来描述这些人及其政权的本质,而不是“共产主义者”或其他标签,因为它抓住了他们的集体本质。美国精神病学协会将反社会定义为:不符合社会规范的合法行为…例如破坏财产、骚扰他人、偷窃或从事非法职业。患有这种疾病的人无视他人的愿望、权利或感受。他们经常欺骗和操纵,以获得个人利益或快乐. . . .他们可能反复撒谎,使用化名,欺骗他人,或装病. . . .他们可能有一种傲慢和膨胀的自我评价,可能过于固执己见、自信和自大,但也可能表现出油嘴滑舌、肤浅的魅力,而且可能非常健谈、语言流畅。瓦茨拉夫·哈维尔(vaclav Havel)在反思十年后的天鹅绒革命(Velvet Revolution)时,抓住了橙色人民与反社会分子之间非意识形态斗争的本质:“我不会回答说,这是一种意识形态对另一种意识形态的胜利,是一个国家对另一个国家的胜利。...
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引用次数: 5
The Institutional Design of Russian Federalism: A Comparative Study of Three Republics; Tatarstan, Dagestan, and Chechnya 俄罗斯联邦制制度设计:三个共和国的比较研究鞑靼斯坦,达吉斯坦和车臣
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.3200/DEMO.15.1.139-152
S. Kaloudıs
IntroductionOver the course of the past decade federalism has, for the most part, allowed Russia to temporarily stave off ethnically motivated separatism by granting varying levels of autonomy to the regions. The question follows as to why this has worked successfully in certain non-Russian areas, specifically the republics of Tatarstan and Dagestan, which have joined with Moscow under this federalist arrangement, while other ethnic groups and states, most notably the Chechens, have pushed for secession and violence. Moreover, is instability inherent to an ethnically diverse federation or can agreement on the breakdown of power be achieved that will pacify all parties involved?Following the resignation of Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev, the Russian rump state lost the coercive and persuasive ability to rule a centrally controlled empire. Instead, the Russian masses were bequeathed a decentralized nation devoid of a coherent national identity and ethos.1 As Daniel Kempton and others show, the collapse of the Soviet Union let loose ". . . the centrifugal forces of ethnic nationalism, religious animosity, and regional self-interest."2 Adding to the exacerbation of the already deep ethnic and economic cleavages present in Russian society was the political tug-of-war developing between President Boris Yeltsin and the leaders of the Russian Supreme Soviet, who possessed the legal authority to run the country. In his attempt to build internal alliances against this legislative body, Yeltsin brokered numerous deals with the constituent republics over the levels of autonomy they could acquire.3 At this time, he uttered the now infamous and subsequently disastrous statement to the republics, "grab all the sovereignty you can."4 Between 1994 and 1998, the federal government signed forty-two power sharing treaties with forty-six of the eighty-nine regions.5 In many instances, the federal government ceded lucrative privileges within the economic and political arena to the local governors.The historical case studies within this article depict how interpersonal relations among the political elite played a key role in the development of asymmetry leading to either the occurrence or avoidance of conflict within Tatarstan, Dagestan, and Chechnya. Furthermore, by focusing on the erratic evolution of the institutional set up, the path discussed shows how political and economic incentives within a federalist framework can be used to incorporate all regions and republics into a unified state.6 The process denotes how the would-be disastrous remnants of asymmetry can be substantially reduced and replaced with political and economic motivators to incorporate the regions into the dominant regime.Federalism DefinedThe ripple effect set off by the attempts of the ethnic republics to assert greater sovereign control caused an ever-increasing move toward decentralization and confusion across the reigns of government. This process tested the limits of the new, however amb
在过去的十年中,联邦制在很大程度上允许俄罗斯通过赋予各地区不同程度的自治权来暂时避免民族分裂主义。接下来的问题是,为什么在某些非俄罗斯地区,特别是根据这种联邦制安排加入莫斯科的鞑靼斯坦共和国和达吉斯坦共和国,这种做法成功了,而其他民族和国家,尤其是车臣人,却在推动分离和暴力。此外,不稳定是一个种族多样化的联邦所固有的,还是可以就权力的崩溃达成协议,以安抚所有有关各方?在苏联总统米哈伊尔·戈尔巴乔夫(Mikhail Gorbachev)辞职后,俄罗斯的残余政权失去了统治一个中央控制的帝国的强制和说服能力。相反,留给俄罗斯民众的是一个分散的国家,缺乏连贯的民族认同和民族精神正如丹尼尔·肯普顿(Daniel Kempton)和其他人所表明的那样,苏联的解体让“……种族民族主义、宗教仇恨和地区私利的离心力。俄罗斯社会中业已存在的深刻的种族和经济分裂进一步加剧,鲍里斯·叶利钦总统与拥有管理国家法律权力的俄罗斯最高苏维埃领导人之间正在进行的政治拉锯战。叶利钦试图建立内部联盟来反对这个立法机构,他与各组成共和国就其可获得的自治权达成了许多协议此时,他向各共和国发表了现在臭名昭著的、后来灾难性的声明:“尽可能地攫取所有主权。”1994年至1998年间,联邦政府与89个地区中的46个签署了42项权力分享条约在许多情况下,联邦政府在经济和政治领域把有利可图的特权让给了地方州长。本文中的历史案例研究描述了政治精英之间的人际关系如何在不对称的发展中发挥关键作用,从而导致鞑靼斯坦、达吉斯坦和车臣内部冲突的发生或避免。此外,通过关注机构设置的不稳定演变,所讨论的路径显示了如何利用联邦主义框架内的政治和经济激励将所有地区和共和国纳入一个统一的国家这一过程表明,不对称可能造成灾难性后果的残余因素可以大大减少,并被政治和经济动机所取代,从而将这些地区纳入主导政权。联邦主义的定义少数民族共和国试图主张更大的主权控制所引发的连锁反应,导致了政府统治日益分散和混乱。这一进程考验了俄罗斯联邦内部新的、尽管含糊不清的权力划分规则的限度。当局几乎没有指导,因为苏联的联邦设计更多的是纸面上的形象结构,而不是实践的现实。其结果是,尽管联邦制的概念和应用似乎是俄罗斯国家的自然设计,但其实施却充满了半途而废。尽管如此,由于其幅员辽阔;该地区的经济、气候和地理多样性;大量的土著人民构成了它的多民族性质,联邦制是必要的。联邦制允许政治精英在单一的总体治理结构下和平地整合不同的种族群体和国家然而,目前的问题是需要什么样的平衡来满足不同地区和共和国的不同要求。不幸的是,正如Dmitry Gorenburg报道的那样,苏联试图建立联邦制的持久遗产之一是在苏联解体后创造了强大的、次民族的、以种族为动机的身份认同,要求领土、独立和资源。…
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引用次数: 5
Russia's Political Youths 俄罗斯的政治青年
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2007-01-01 DOI: 10.3200/DEMO.15.1.73-86
M. Schwirtz
Abstract: Although most Russian youths are politically apathetic, a small cross section is engaged in political activity--mostly consisting of protest actions--in preparation for the upcoming parliamentary and presidential elections. Youth-based political and civic organizations can be defined generally by their support for, or opposition to, President Vladimir Putin and the party of power. Ideological differences between opposition youth organizations have prevented the formation of an effective civic movement. Putin's administration has employed a number of tactics, including the creation of the pro-Kremlin youth organization Nashi (Ours) to counteract anti-Kremlin youth groups such as Youth Yabloko, The National Bolshevik Party, and Oborona. Western nongovernmental organizations, along with youth alumni of the "colored revolutions," have been helping Russian opposition youth to overcome these difficulties, much to the dismay of the Putin administration. Keywords: democracy assistance, elections, Orange Revolution, politics, youths ********** Russia's youths are preparing for battle. With the State Duma and presidential elections approaching, youth-based civic and political organizations, aided by Western nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) and alumni of the so-called colored revolutions in Ukraine, Georgia, and Serbia have been gearing up for a contest against the firmly entrenched United Russia Party (YeR) and the administration of President Vladimir Putin. Meanwhile, the Kremlin has been pumping millions of rubles into its own youth groups with the hope of thwarting a Ukrainian-style revolution. Enhanced focus on youths in Russia has come mainly in response to the Orange Revolution in Ukraine. Youth-based organizations have played an important role in the colored revolutions that have swept across the postcommunist space in the last five years. The knowledge of organizational techniques and movement management developed in Serbia by Otpor and a host of Western-based NGOs has infiltrated into Georgia and Ukraine, helping to fuel the rise of democratic culture if only in response to flagrant infringements on democratic principles. In Ukraine, organizations such as Pora and Znayu not only provided the passion and sense of purpose that contributed to the spirit of the Orange Revolution, they also played a major role in mobilizing the Ukrainian people to challenge the authorities. Following their success, activist youths from Ukraine have joined their colleagues from Georgia and Serbia, along with a number of Western-based NGOs, in exporting organizational knowledge and democratic participation to other countries in the former Soviet Union. Many of these organizations have focused on Russia as a small number of youth-ased political and civic organizations prepare for parliamentary elections in 2007 and presidential elections in 2008. Activists from Pora and Znayu have held seminars on organizational techniques and movement development with their
摘要:尽管大多数俄罗斯年轻人对政治漠不关心,但有一小部分人从事政治活动——主要由抗议活动组成——为即将到来的议会和总统选举做准备。以青年为基础的政治和公民组织通常可以根据他们对普京总统和执政党的支持或反对来定义。反对青年组织之间的意识形态差异阻碍了有效的公民运动的形成。普京政府采取了许多策略,包括创建亲克里姆林宫的青年组织“我们的”(Nashi),以对抗反克里姆林宫的青年组织,如青年Yabloko、国家布尔什维克党和Oborona。西方非政府组织,以及“颜色革命”的青年校友,一直在帮助俄罗斯反对派青年克服这些困难,这让普京政府非常沮丧。关键词:民主援助,选举,橙色革命,政治,青年**********俄罗斯的青年正在准备战斗。随着国家杜马和总统选举的临近,在西方非政府组织(ngo)和乌克兰、格鲁吉亚和塞尔维亚所谓的“颜色革命”的校友的帮助下,以青年为基础的公民和政治组织已经准备好与牢固的统一俄罗斯党(YeR)和弗拉基米尔·普京总统的政府进行竞争。与此同时,克里姆林宫一直在向自己的青年团体投入数百万卢布,希望能挫败一场乌克兰式的革命。俄罗斯加强对年轻人的关注主要是为了应对乌克兰的橙色革命。青年组织在过去五年席卷后共产主义空间的颜色革命中发挥了重要作用。Otpor和许多西方非政府组织在塞尔维亚发展的组织技术和运动管理知识已经渗透到格鲁吉亚和乌克兰,帮助推动了民主文化的兴起,即使只是对公然侵犯民主原则的回应。在乌克兰,像Pora和Znayu这样的组织不仅提供了激情和使命感,促成了橙色革命的精神,他们还在动员乌克兰人民挑战当局方面发挥了重要作用。在取得成功之后,来自乌克兰的激进青年加入了格鲁吉亚和塞尔维亚的同行,以及一些西方的非政府组织,向前苏联其他国家输出组织知识和民主参与。这些团体中,有很多都把目光投向了俄罗斯,因为在2007年的议会选举和2008年的总统选举中,有少数以青年为基础的政治和市民团体在做准备。来自波拉和兹纳尤的活动人士与他们在俄罗斯的同行举行了关于组织技术和运动发展的研讨会。美国和欧洲的非政府组织除了为俄罗斯青年开办自己的项目外,还为这些活动提供了资金。这些努力引起了普京政府的愤怒,普京政府已经发起了针对俄罗斯年轻人的运动,试图抵消俄罗斯可能发生的橙色革命。我调查了俄罗斯以青年为基础的政治和公民组织的活动,以及他们对西方非政府组织和颜色革命校友的支持网络,以评估他们在2007年和2008年对抗普京政府和青年党政治垄断的政治有效性。尽管俄罗斯的反对派青年运动已经发展出一些元素,使塞尔维亚的Otpor和乌克兰的Pora等团体成为成功的公民动员者,但内部分裂、公众冷漠、资源匮乏和当局的对策都削弱了其发动成功公民运动的能力。…
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引用次数: 24
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Demokratizatsiya
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