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Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/rurd.12078
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引用次数: 0
FINANCIAL LINKAGES IN THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY: AN EXTENDED MULTISECTORAL MODEL ON THE SOCIAL ACCOUNTING MATRIX 尼日利亚经济中的金融联系:社会核算矩阵的一个扩展的多部门模型
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-06-07 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12081
I. Ahmed, C. Socci, F. Severini, Qaiser Rafique Yasser, R. Pretaroli
This study constructs a social accounting matrix for Nigeria for 2010. An extended multisectoral model is calibrated to analyze the backward (power) and forward (sensitivity) dispersion to identify the key industries in the economy and their importance to other industries in the economy. The study identifies financial services as one of the key industries of the Nigerian economy, highlighting its greater importance and role in boosting economic growth. Several policy options may be simulated to investigate the spillover effects in the whole economy.
本研究构建了尼日利亚2010年的社会核算矩阵。校准了一个扩展的多部门模型来分析后向(功率)和前向(灵敏度)分散,以确定经济中的关键行业及其对经济中其他行业的重要性。该研究将金融服务业确定为尼日利亚经济的关键产业之一,强调了其在促进经济增长方面的更大重要性和作用。可以模拟几种政策选择,以调查整个经济中的溢出效应。
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引用次数: 5
SPATIAL MODELING OF INDUSTRIAL LOCATION DETERMINANTS IN JAPAN: EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS USING SPATIAL ECONOMETRIC APPROACHES 日本产业区位决定因素的空间模型&基于空间计量经济学的实证分析
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12073
Keisuke Takano, M. Tsutsumi, Yasuaki Kikukawa
Recent empirical studies have shown that investigation is required to identify the determinants of industrial location on a spatially detailed scale for disaggregated regional units, such as cities or counties. The existing literature establishes the necessity for considering spatial dependence among proximal location units; however, few studies have employed this process for Japan. We empirically show the main determinants of new entries of production bases in 1,652 local municipalities in Japan from 2012 to 2015. We also address the existence of spatial dependence by adopting a spatial econometric approach, which has an impact on the location determination process. Some location determinants of neighboring municipalities, related to economic agglomeration, have a significant impact on the new entries of production bases belonging to the heavy industry, while no significant impact is observed in the light industry. Unobserved and spatially dependent determinants have a significantly positive impact on new production bases in both industries, particularly in disaster†stricken areas.
最近的实证研究表明,需要对城市或县等细分区域单位进行调查,以在空间上详细确定工业区位的决定因素。现有文献确立了考虑近端位置单元之间的空间依赖性的必要性;然而,很少有研究在日本采用这一过程。我们实证显示了2012-2015年日本1652个地方市生产基地新进入的主要决定因素。我们还通过采用空间计量方法来解决空间依赖性的存在,这对位置确定过程有影响。邻近城市的一些与经济集聚有关的区位决定因素对重工业生产基地的新进入有显著影响,而在轻工业中没有观察到显著影响。未观察到的和空间依赖的决定因素对这两个行业的新生产基地都有显著的积极影响,特别是在受灾地区。
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引用次数: 4
DO PUBLIC SECTOR BANKS PROMOTE REGIONAL GROWTH? EVIDENCE FROM AN EMERGING ECONOMY 公共部门银行是否促进了地区增长?来自新兴经济体的证据
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12076
Rashmi U. Arora, K. Wondemu
A large literature exists on the relationship between financial development and economic growth. However, the role of government and public banks in building this relationship has remained contentious. In a sub†national level analysis in the Indian context, we raise the question: What is the relative impact of public banks in economic growth in the lagging regions vis†A †vis leading regions? Do they matter more than private and foreign banks? To address these problems, we apply a dynamic generalized method of moments panel estimation to an unbalanced panel dataset drawn from 25 Indian states covering the period 1996/97 to 2008/09. Although our study focuses on the Indian context, it is relevant to developing countries for two main reasons: government ownership of banks is prevalent in developing countries; and in many large countries with a federation set†up inter†state differences may exist with multiple ownership of the financial sector.
关于金融发展与经济增长之间的关系,已有大量文献。然而,政府和公共银行在建立这种关系中的作用仍然存在争议。在印度背景下的次国家层面分析中,我们提出了一个问题:落后地区的公共银行对领先地区的经济增长的相对影响是什么?它们比私人银行和外国银行更重要吗?为了解决这些问题,我们将矩面板估计的动态广义方法应用于1996/97年至2008/09年期间来自印度25个邦的不平衡面板数据集。尽管我们的研究侧重于印度背景,但它与发展中国家相关,主要有两个原因:发展中国家普遍存在政府对银行的所有权;在许多拥有联邦的大国,金融部门的多重所有权可能存在国家间的差异。
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引用次数: 2
Economic Analysis Of Population Migration Factors Caused By The Great East Japan Earthquake And Tsunami 东日本大地震和海啸造成人口迁移因素的经济学分析
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12075
Yasuo Kawawaki
Population outflow is one of the greatest challenges faced in the areas affected by the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami. This study developed a location choice model to analyze the factors underlying population migration in the disaster areas. Individual data was collected from residents who were living in disaster areas at the time of the earthquake and tsunami. The main factors of location choice behavior, suggested by the estimation result, were residential social networks, severity of damage, and greater income opportunities in new locations. The results also suggested that high income and younger age are factors of ordinary out†migration from these areas, regardless of the occurrence of a disaster. However, residence in a municipality with a small population that offers limited employment opportunities is a particular factor that accelerates out†migration when that area is impacted by a disaster.
人口外流是2011年东日本大地震和海啸受灾地区面临的最大挑战之一。本文建立了灾区人口迁移区位选择模型,分析了影响灾区人口迁移的因素。个人数据是从地震和海啸发生时居住在灾区的居民中收集的。区位选择行为的主要影响因素为居民社会网络、破坏程度和新区位的收入机会。研究结果还表明,无论是否发生灾害,高收入和较年轻的年龄都是这些地区普通向外迁移的因素。然而,居住在人口少的城市,就业机会有限,这是一个特别的因素,当该地区受到灾难影响时,加速了向外迁移。
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引用次数: 6
REGIONAL GROWTH AND BUSINESS CYCLES IN JAPAN 日本的区域增长和商业周期
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12072
Yoshihiro Ohtsuka, Kazuhiko Kakamu
This study examines the consistency and gaps in national and regional business cycles in Japan from a Bayesian point of view. The Tokyo monopolar system started in the mid†1970s, and recent descriptive statistics, such as migration and per capita income, show that the system continues, despite severe crises such as the burst of the 1990s economic bubble and the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy. We explore the relationship between national and regional business cycles in the system using a spatio†temporal Markov†switching model with the Markov chain Monte Carlo method. Our empirical results show that overall, the regional business cycle in the Kanto region, including Tokyo, is identical to the national business cycle. Moreover, we find that switches in the degree of spatial dependency occur around the turning points of business cycles, and that the degree of spatial dependency tends to be higher during a recession.
本研究从贝叶斯的角度考察了日本国家和地区经济周期的一致性和差距。东京单极体制始于20世纪70年代中期,最近的移民和人均收入等描述性统计数据表明,尽管经历了上世纪90年代经济泡沫破裂和雷曼兄弟(Lehman Brothers)破产等严重危机,该体制仍在继续。我们利用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法的时空马尔可夫交换模型来探索系统中国家和地区经济周期之间的关系。我们的实证结果表明,总体而言,包括东京在内的关东地区的区域经济周期与全国经济周期相同。此外,我们发现空间依赖程度的变化发生在经济周期拐点附近,并且在经济衰退期间空间依赖程度往往更高。
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引用次数: 2
HOW COULD THE CREDIBILITY OF THE HARRIS–TODARO MODEL BE IMPROVED? 如何提高哈里斯-托达罗模型的可信度?
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-11-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12071
Sarbajit Chaudhuri
A damaging property of the two‐sector, mobile capital Harris–Todaro model (known as the Corden–Findlay model) is that growth in capital (labor) endowment accentuates (mitigates) urban unemployment in a dual economy, limiting the model's applicability to the field of trade and development. To resolve this problem, we introduce the informal credit market, which provides consumption loans to rural workers during the lean season. The informal interest rate is endogenously determined from the maximizing behavior of the informal sector lender. Factor accumulations produce their expected results on the absolute level of urban unemployment, while poverty eradication programs raise the informal interest rate and diminish borrowers' welfare under a wide range of parametric values. Finally, a wage subsidy policy to the urban sector unambiguously lowers the informal interest rate. Urban unemployment decreases while worker welfare improves under reasonable conditions. The result on unemployment is contrary to results of the Corden–Findlay model.
两部门流动资本哈里斯-托达罗模型(又称科登-芬德利模型)的一个破坏性特性是,资本(劳动力)禀赋的增长会加重(减轻)二元经济中的城市失业,从而限制了该模型在贸易和发展领域的适用性。为了解决这个问题,我们引入了非正规信贷市场,在淡季向农民工提供消费贷款。非正式利率是由非正式部门贷款人的最大化行为内生决定的。要素积累在城市失业的绝对水平上产生预期结果,而消除贫困计划在广泛的参数值下提高了非正式利率并减少了借款人的福利。最后,针对城市部门的工资补贴政策明确降低了非正式利率。在合理条件下,城镇失业率下降,职工福利得到改善。关于失业率的结果与科登-芬德利模型的结果相反。
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引用次数: 6
Some Correlates Of Rural-Urban Led Urbanization In Lagos, Nigeria 尼日利亚拉各斯城乡主导型城市化的一些相关性
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-09-30 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12067
D. Oke, Koye Gerry Bokana, O. Shobande
In this paper, we analyze some correlates of urbanization in Lagos resulting from rural-urban migration. We provide empirical evidence to show that the gross domestic product of Lagos State is insignificant in determining the pace of rural-urban led urbanization. However, urbanization significantly reduces as state government expenditure on housing and modern health is increased. Conversely, urbanization rises when the state government increases spending on education and transportation. Therefore, education and modern transportation provisions by the government of Lagos are critical toward urbanization drive of the State.
本文分析了城乡人口迁移对拉各斯城市化的影响因素。我们提供的经验证据表明,拉各斯州的国内生产总值在决定农村-城市主导的城市化速度方面是微不足道的。然而,随着州政府在住房和现代保健方面的支出增加,城市化大大减少。相反,当州政府增加教育和交通方面的支出时,城市化就会上升。因此,拉各斯政府提供的教育和现代交通对该州的城市化进程至关重要。
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引用次数: 6
CENTRAL PLACE THEORY: AN EVALUATION 中心地点理论:一种评价
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-08-13 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12066
J. Parr
By way of a background to this commentary, the recent history of central place theory is briefly reviewed. Drawing on the work of Christaller and Losch, attention is initially focused on the particular characteristics of central place goods and on the spatial distribution of their supply. With the aid of export-base analysis, a distinction is made between central places and specialized function centers, leading to the contention that in contemporary urban systems the central place structure represents one component of a more extensive urban system. Further perspectives on central place theory are revealed by examining some of its deficiencies. In this connection, a distinction is made between limitations inherent to the theory and areas where the theory is deemed to be incomplete or otherwise inadequate. While central place theory is in need of elaboration and extension, it continues to represent a valuable framework within location theory and urban and regional analysis.
作为这篇评论的背景,简要回顾了中心地理论的近代史。根据Christaller和Losch的工作,注意力最初集中在中心地商品的特殊特征及其供应的空间分布上。在出口基础分析的帮助下,对中心场所和专业功能中心进行了区分,导致了这样一种论点,即在当代城市系统中,中心场所结构代表了更广泛的城市系统的一个组成部分。通过考察中心地理论的一些不足,揭示了对中心地理论进一步的认识。在这方面,对理论固有的局限性和理论被认为不完整或不充分的领域进行了区分。虽然中心位置理论需要进一步完善和扩展,但它仍然是区位理论、城市和区域分析中的一个有价值的框架。
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引用次数: 20
DO PREFERENCES FOR AMENITIES DIFFER AMONG HOME BUYERS? A HEDONIC PRICE APPROACH 购房者对便利设施的偏好不同吗?享乐价格方法
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-05 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12061
P. Araujo, K. Cheng
Prior studies estimating the impact of amenity accessibility on residential property prices have largely treated housing as a homogenous commodity; however, there is strong evidence that differentiation in metropolitan housing submarkets matters. Using a hedonic pricing approach and controlling for spatial effects, this paper examines the preferences of house and apartment buyers regarding amenity accessibility in Brooklyn, New York, between 2008 and 2013. Amenity preferences between the two types of homebuyers are indeed different. The marginal implicit value of accessibility to cultural amenities is greater to apartment than house buyers, while the marginal implicit value of workplace amenity accessibility is greater to house than apartment buyers. The results illustrate the importance of differentiating housing submarkets when estimating these impacts. Urban policy-makers and real estate developers can use these results to inform land use planning in metropolitan areas aimed at further increasing residential property values.
先前的研究估计舒适设施可达性对住宅物业价格的影响,在很大程度上将住房视为一种同质商品;然而,有强有力的证据表明,大都市住房次级市场的差异很重要。本文采用享乐定价方法并控制空间效应,研究了2008年至2013年间纽约布鲁克林的住宅和公寓买家对便利设施可达性的偏好。两类购房者对舒适设施的偏好确实不同。文化设施可达性对公寓的边际隐含价值大于对住宅的边际隐含价值,而工作场所设施可达性对住宅的边际隐含价值大于对公寓的边际隐含价值。结果表明,在估计这些影响时,区分住房子市场的重要性。城市决策者和房地产开发商可以利用这些结果为大都市地区的土地利用规划提供信息,旨在进一步提高住宅物业价值。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies
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