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LAND USE, TRANSPORT, AND CARBON EMISSIONS: A COMPUTABLE URBAN ECONOMIC MODEL FOR CHANGZHOU, CHINA 土地利用、交通与碳排放:常州市可计算城市经济模型
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-11-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12052
Runsen Zhang, Kakuya Matsushima, Kiyoshi Kobayashi
Rapid economic growth and urbanization has been accompanied by the equally rapid growth of carbon dioxide emissions in China. From the perspective of urban planning, land use, transport, and carbon emissions are involved in a complex process in which they interact with each other. We need to develop a computable urban economic model for sustainable infrastructure planning strategy, which can reflect the interaction among land use, transport, and carbon emissions. Our case study of Changzhou shows that a compact city scenario generates less carbon emissions than an urban sprawl scenario, indicating that a compact urban form can be accepted as a promising solution for developing a low-carbon city.
中国经济的快速增长和城市化进程也伴随着二氧化碳排放量的快速增长。从城市规划的角度来看,土地利用、交通和碳排放是一个相互影响的复杂过程。我们需要为可持续基础设施规划战略开发一个可计算的城市经济模型,该模型可以反映土地利用、交通和碳排放之间的相互作用。我们对常州的案例研究表明,紧凑型城市情景比城市扩张情景产生的碳排放量更少,这表明紧凑型城市形式可以被接受为发展低碳城市的一种有前景的解决方案。
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引用次数: 10
OPTIMAL LIST PRICE AND DURATION OF VACANCY IN THE HOUSING MARKET IN TOKYO 东京住房市场的最优标价和空置时间
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-11-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12053
Jianping Gu, Yasushi Asami
In the housing market, the advertised list price significantly influences the final sale price and the duration a property spends on the market. With the uncertainties and complexities of the housing market, the list price can be a difficult and critical decision for home sellers. This paper develops a theoretical model for an optimal list price strategy with an information learning process to ensure a maximum expected return and a discussion of the ideal vacancy rate. The optimal list price strategy is composed of factors such as the frequency of list price revisions, the best timing to revise the price, and the value of a sequence of list prices and varies according to the market situation, and patience and prior knowledge of the seller. The results of the application in Tokyo 23 wards imply that there is an excess of houses in the sale market and potential for home sellers to improve their list price strategy and the learning process in order to shorten the time a property spends on the market without losing any return.
在住房市场上,公示价格对最终售价和房产在市场上的停留时间有显著影响。由于房地产市场的不确定性和复杂性,标价对房屋卖家来说可能是一个困难而关键的决定。本文建立了一个具有信息学习过程的最优定价策略的理论模型,以确保最大的期望收益,并讨论了理想空置率。最优定价策略由以下因素组成:修改定价的频率、修改价格的最佳时机、一系列定价的价值随市场情况而变化、卖家的耐心和先验知识。东京23区的申请结果表明,销售市场上的房屋过剩,房屋卖家有可能改进他们的标价策略和学习过程,以缩短房产在市场上花费的时间,同时又不会失去任何回报。
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引用次数: 0
COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ASSESSMENT OF A COMPOUND DISASTER IN NORTHERN TAIWAN 台湾北部一次复合灾害的可计算一般均衡评估
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12047
Michael C. Haung, Nobuhiro Hosoe
Taiwan has high-tech export-oriented industries, such as semiconductors and electronic equipment. The capital city area is home to the main industrial complex and has a major fault line running through it. Three out of four nuclear power stations in Taiwan are located close to the capital. Using a single-country computable general equilibrium model, we simulate a compound disaster consisting of a major earthquake and a power crisis induced by nuclear power shutdown in northern Taiwan to quantify its impact on the Taiwanese economy. Simulation results show that Taiwan's flagship industries, such as semiconductors and electronic equipment, would be severely affected by capital and labor losses in an earthquake but not in a power crisis. This implies that no policy intervention to allocate power to these industries is needed, although we are often tempted to do so in emergencies.
台湾拥有高科技出口导向型产业,如半导体和电子设备。首都地区是主要工业园区的所在地,并有一条主要的断层线贯穿其中。台湾四分之三的核电站位于首都附近。本文采用单一国家可计算一般均衡模型,模拟北台湾地区发生大地震及因核电停运而引发电力危机的复合灾害,以量化其对台湾经济的影响。模拟结果显示,台湾的旗舰产业,如半导体和电子设备,在地震中会受到资本和劳动力损失的严重影响,但在电力危机中不会受到影响。这意味着不需要任何政策干预来将权力分配给这些行业,尽管我们经常在紧急情况下试图这样做。
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引用次数: 8
DOES REGIONAL INTEGRATION AFFECT EFFICIENCY AND PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH? EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM SOUTH ASIA 区域一体化是否影响效率和生产率增长?来自南亚的经验证据
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12048
Amirul Islam, Ruhul Salim, H. Bloch
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引用次数: 13
INTERREGIONAL MIGRATION WITHIN RUSSIA AND ITS EAST-WEST DIVIDE: EVIDENCE FROM SPATIAL PANEL REGRESSIONS 俄罗斯境内的区域间迁移及其东西分界:来自空间面板回归的证据
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12050
S. Sardadvar, E. Vakulenko
The aim of this paper is to identify the determinants of migration within Russia by distinguishing between eastern (Asian) and western (European) regions. Using Russian official data for the observation period 2001–2010, we estimate non-spatial panel and spatial panel lag of X model regressions for migration rates of 78 Russian regions with fixed effects. We apply in-migration, out-migration, and net-migration measures as dependent variables and distinguish between internal and external migration. The results indicate that migrants react to changes in labor demand in eastern regions, while wealth makes western regions attractive. Furthermore, universities hinder out-migration of eastern regions, but the share of tertiary educated persons has no measurable effect.
本文的目的是通过区分东部(亚洲)和西部(欧洲)地区来确定俄罗斯境内移民的决定因素。利用俄罗斯2001-2010年观测期的官方数据,我们估算了俄罗斯78个固定效应地区移民率的X模型回归的非空间面板和空间面板滞后。我们将迁入、迁出和净迁入措施作为因变量,并区分内部和外部迁移。结果表明,流动人口对东部地区劳动力需求的变化做出了反应,而财富使西部地区更具吸引力。此外,大学阻碍了东部地区的外迁,但高等教育人口的比例没有可衡量的影响。
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引用次数: 11
TESTING LOCALIZATION OF CHINESE FOOD INDUSTRIES: EVIDENCE FROM MICROGEOGRAPHIC DATA 中国食品产业本土化的检验:来自微地理数据的证据
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-05-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12055
Wenchao Wu, Shaosheng Jin, S. Tokunaga
Uneven distribution of economic activity is commonly observed, particularly in the food industry. Generally speaking, the food industry is transportation intensive; therefore, the extent of localization is relatively low. Previous research in China has confirmed this fact; however, analysis was based on aggregate data and discrete measurements that might contain bias. On the basis of microgeographic data, this study evaluates localization of the Chinese food industry using the Duranton–Overman index. Our results indicate that contrary to previous research, the extent of localization in China's food industry is high. Specifically, among 50 four-digit food industries, 21 exhibit localization while 15 are dispersed. The remaining 14 do not deviate significantly from randomness. Yellow wine (C1523) and aquatic products freezing (C1361) are the two most localized industries. A possible rationale for this result is that the location of the food industry follows the distribution of raw material, while the production of raw material is agglomerated in China.
经济活动分布不均是很常见的现象,特别是在食品行业。一般来说,食品工业是运输密集型的;因此,本地化程度相对较低。此前在中国的研究证实了这一事实;然而,分析是基于可能包含偏差的汇总数据和离散测量。本研究在微观地理数据的基础上,采用Duranton-Overman指数对中国食品产业本土化进行评价。我们的研究结果表明,与以往的研究相反,中国食品行业的本土化程度很高。具体来说,在50个四位数食品行业中,21个是本地化的,15个是分散的。剩下的14个没有明显偏离随机性。黄酒(C1523)和水产品冷冻(C1361)是最本地化的两个行业。这一结果的一个可能的理由是,食品工业的位置遵循原材料的分布,而原材料的生产在中国集中。
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引用次数: 2
SPATIO-FUNCTIONAL DETERMINANTS OF SMALL TOWNS: A CASE STUDY OF SELECTED INDIAN SMALL TOWNS 小城镇的空间功能决定因素:印度小城镇的个案研究
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-03-28 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12046
Ashfaque Alam, B. Choudhury
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引用次数: 7
HEALTH CARE SYSTEM EFFICIENCY: A SUB-STATE LEVEL ANALYSIS FOR ORISSA (INDIA) 医疗保健系统效率:印度奥里萨邦次邦级分析
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12044
B. C. Purohit
In recent years, there has been renewed emphasis on efficiency in resource utilization in the healthcare sector. Most studies in the Indian context have focused on state level analysis. This paper explores sub-state level health system efficiency in Orissa, a low-income state in India. Our analysis estimates the efficiency of the healthcare system at sub-state level using 2012 district level data. We explore the reasons for relative performance of different districts using a frontier estimation technique. There is a substantial difference in performance between the most efficient district of Jharsuguda and the least efficient district of Balangir, resulting from inadequate utilization of available health care resources. Our study also identifies complementarity of private health care resources and the role of other factors, such as sanitation facilities, village electrification, and rural population growth. Our results suggest a need for better utilization of budgetary resources, both under the state department of health and the National Rural Health Mission, to increase health manpower and improve quality through training and better management resources in order to improve district health systems in Orissa.
近年来,卫生保健部门再次强调资源利用的效率。大多数关于印度的研究都集中在州一级的分析上。本文探讨了印度低收入邦奥里萨邦的次邦级卫生系统效率。我们的分析使用2012年区级数据估计了次邦级医疗保健系统的效率。我们使用边界估计技术探讨了不同地区相对性能的原因。效率最高的贾尔苏古达区与效率最低的巴兰吉尔区在绩效上存在巨大差异,原因是现有保健资源利用不足。我们的研究还确定了私人医疗保健资源的互补性和其他因素的作用,如卫生设施、村庄电气化和农村人口增长。我们的研究结果表明,为了改善奥里萨邦的地区卫生系统,需要更好地利用国家卫生部和国家农村卫生特派团的预算资源,通过培训和更好的管理资源来增加卫生人力和提高质量。
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引用次数: 7
REGIONAL HUMAN CAPITAL DISTRIBUTION AND DISPARITIES IN TURKEY 土耳其的区域人力资本分布和差异
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12043
U. Erdem
Human capital is a major driver of regional growth and provides insight into degrees of regional disparity (Barro & Lee 1993). Addressing these disparities is crucial to economic stability and cohesion in Turkey; therefore, we investigated the regional distribution of human capital and its evolution between 2008 and 2012. We used district level address-based population registration system data from 957 districts to analyze regional human capital disparities and report significant results. Specifically, regional disparities in human capital are decreasing in Turkey, but enormous regional district level disparities persist. A disparity exists between the western and eastern regions in human capital at both primary and secondary educational levels. However, this east–west dualism almost disappears with regard to human capital at the tertiary educational level, which is heavily concentrated in Turkey's major cities (Istanbul, Ankara, Izmir, Kocaeli, and Bursa).
人力资本是区域增长的主要驱动力,并提供了对区域差异程度的洞察(Barro & Lee 1993)。解决这些差异对土耳其的经济稳定和凝聚力至关重要;因此,我们对2008 - 2012年人力资本的区域分布及其演变进行了研究。我们使用来自957个县的区级基于地址的人口登记系统数据来分析区域人力资本差异,并报告了显著的结果。具体而言,土耳其人力资本的地区差异正在缩小,但巨大的地区差异仍然存在。在初等教育和中等教育水平上,西部和东部地区的人力资本都存在差距。然而,在高等教育水平的人力资本方面,这种东西二元论几乎消失了,高等教育主要集中在土耳其的主要城市(伊斯坦布尔、安卡拉、伊兹密尔、科恰埃利和布尔萨)。
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引用次数: 14
Investigating The Interdependency Of Agricultural Production Volatility Spillovers Between Bangladesh, India, And Pakistan 调查孟加拉国、印度和巴基斯坦之间农业生产波动溢出的相互依赖关系
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/RURD.12045
A. Rezitis, S. Ahammad
This paper investigates the dynamics of agricultural production volatility spillovers between Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. These countries were selected because of their agricultural economic importance to the South Asian region. This study uses per capita agricultural production data for the period 1961–2012, obtained from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) statistical database, to construct and estimate a multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) model. The MGARCH model is estimated utilizing the maximum likelihood method. Volatility impulse response functions are also applied to quantify the effects of independent shocks on expected conditional volatility. The model provides good statistical fit and the empirical results indicate significant cross-country per capita agricultural production volatility spillovers among these countries.
本文研究了孟加拉国、印度和巴基斯坦之间农业生产波动溢出的动态。选择这些国家是因为它们的农业经济对南亚地区的重要性。本文利用联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)统计数据库中1961-2012年的人均农业生产数据,构建并估计了一个多元广义自回归条件异方差(MGARCH)模型。利用极大似然法对MGARCH模型进行估计。波动性脉冲响应函数也被用于量化独立冲击对预期条件波动的影响。该模型提供了良好的统计拟合,实证结果表明,这些国家的人均农业生产波动率存在显著的跨国溢出效应。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies
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