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The Effects of Parametric, Non-Parametric Tests and Processes in Inferential Statistics for Business Decision Making —A Case of 7 Selected Small Business Enterprises in Uganda 推论统计中的参数、非参数检验和过程对商业决策的影响——以乌干达选定的7家小企业为例
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.4236/OJBM.2021.93081
Eldard Ssebbaale Mukasa, Wagima Christospher, Bakaki Ivan, Moses Kizito
The article gives a critique of parametric and nonparametric tests and processes of inferential statistics in forecasting customer flows in 7 selected small business enterprises in Uganda. Forecasting is one of the decision making tools in a business enterprise. This may include forecasting customer flows, volumes of sales and many others. This is a vital component of small businesses success. In the long run, what drives business success is the quality of decisions and their implementation. Decisions based on a foundation of knowledge and sound reasoning can lead the company into long-term prosperity; conversely, decisions made on the basis of flawed logic, emotionalism, or incomplete information can quickly put a business out of commission. In many instances, business decisions have been guided by parametric tests and processes and /or non-parametric tests and processes of inferential statistics, which have subsequently affected the futures of business differently. As we refer to population mean knowledge for hypothesis testing using parametric tests, we only refer to mediums for samples, for nonparametric tests. A parameter is a characteristic that describes a population. These may include μ (the Mean), δ2 (the variance) of a distribution. We commonly refer to the normal distribution, when it is symmetric, with the measures of central tendency (Mean = medium = mode). Usually these parameters are very useful, when testing hypotheses to enable researchers and decision makers infer about the population using samples. It would always be better to have knowledge of or/and about the population parameters, but more often than not, we find ourselves with very minimal, or no knowledge about the population parameters. To make the generalization about the population from the sample, statistical tests are used. In other words, we want to know if we have relationships, associations, or differences within our data and whether statistical significance exists. Inferential statistics help us make these determinations and allow us to generalize the results to a larger population. We employ parametric and nonparametric statistics to show basic inferential statistics by examining the associations among variables and tests of differences between groups. It is recommended by many scholars that business analysis uses parametric and nonparametric inferential statistics in making decisions about effects of independent variables on dependent variables. On the contrary, it is argued that the use of inferential statistics adds nothing to the complex and admittedly subjective, no statistical methods that are often employed in applied business decision making analysis. There are several attacks made on inferential statistics, perhaps with increasing frequency, by those who are not business analysts. These attackers are not in for the use of inferential statistics in research and business decision making, and commonly recommend the use of
文章给出了参数和非参数测试的批评和推理统计过程预测客户流量在乌干达7个选定的小企业企业。预测是企业决策的工具之一。这可能包括预测客流量、销售量和其他许多方面。这是小企业成功的重要组成部分。从长远来看,推动业务成功的是决策的质量及其实施。基于知识基础和合理推理的决策可以引领公司走向长期繁荣;相反,基于有缺陷的逻辑、情绪化或不完整的信息做出的决定会很快使企业陷入困境。在许多情况下,业务决策是由参数测试和流程以及(或)非参数测试和推理统计流程指导的,这随后对业务的未来产生了不同的影响。当我们使用参数检验参考假设检验的总体均值知识时,对于非参数检验,我们只参考样本的介质。参数是描述总体的特征。这些可能包括分布的μ(均值)、δ2(方差)。当正态分布对称时,我们通常用集中趋势(均值=中数=众数)来表示正态分布。通常这些参数是非常有用的,当测试假设,使研究人员和决策者推断人口使用样本。了解总体参数总是更好,但通常情况下,我们发现自己对总体参数知之甚少,甚至一无所知。为了从样本中概括出总体,使用了统计检验。换句话说,我们想知道我们的数据中是否存在关系、关联或差异,以及统计显著性是否存在。推理统计帮助我们做出这些决定,并允许我们将结果推广到更大的人群。我们采用参数和非参数统计,通过检查变量之间的关联和组间差异的检验来显示基本的推理统计。许多学者建议商业分析使用参数和非参数推理统计来决定自变量对因变量的影响。相反,有人认为,使用推理统计并没有增加复杂和公认的主观,没有统计方法,通常用于应用业务决策分析。非业务分析师对推论统计进行了几次攻击,而且攻击的频率可能越来越高。这些攻击者不赞成在研究和业务决策中使用推理统计,通常建议使用区间估计或置信区间方法。然而,区间估计与业务决策分析的基本假设是相反的。
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引用次数: 2
Systemic Model of Organizations 组织系统模型
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.4236/OJBM.2021.93066
Gustavo de Jesús Pérez Durán
A new definition of system is used, which is the foundation of a new theory called Specific Theory of Systems and based on which a hypothesis is deduced about which is the systems-based model that reliably describes how organizations are integrated and how do they work. This model is described in detail and is proposed as a hypothesis to serve as a basis for a subsequent empirical investigation that allows it to be verified for its acceptance or rejection. The purpose of the research was to use a new system theory called STS, developed by the author in previous works, to deduce in a logical way, a structure model that allows describing organizations based on systems, in this case, socio-technical systems. The method used was to deduce from the concepts of the STS, how the structure that integrates and interrelates the systems that make up an organization should be formed. The conclusion obtained was that the fundamental system of the structure is the one in which a result or final product of the organization is assembled and that this system is fed by a set of systems that provide inputs and another set that provides general services. In addition, each of the feeder systems also generates a similar structure and each of their feeder systems also does so in such a way that the structure can be developed by levels until reaching an adequate, required level or until reaching the limit of the organization that it is studied.
使用了系统的新定义,这是一个名为“系统具体理论”的新理论的基础,并在此基础上推导出一个假设,即哪个是基于系统的模型,它可靠地描述了组织是如何集成的以及它们是如何工作的。该模型被详细描述,并作为一个假设提出,作为后续实证调查的基础,使其能够被验证其接受或拒绝。这项研究的目的是使用作者在以前的作品中开发的一种名为STS的新系统理论,以一种逻辑的方式推断出一种结构模型,该模型允许基于系统描述组织,在这种情况下,是社会技术系统。所使用的方法是从STS的概念中推断出,组成一个组织的各个系统应如何形成整合和相互联系的结构。得出的结论是,结构的基本系统是组织的结果或最终产品组装在其中的系统,这个系统由一组提供输入的系统和另一组提供一般服务的系统提供。此外,每一个给料系统也会产生类似的结构,并且它们的每一个给料系统都是这样做的,即结构可以逐级发展,直到达到适当的、所需的水平,或者直到达到所研究的组织的极限。
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引用次数: 0
Internal Audit Practices and Financial Management Reforms: The Case of Payroll Accounting System in the Tanzania Public Sector 内部审计实践和财务管理改革:坦桑尼亚公共部门工资会计制度的案例
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.4236/OJBM.2021.93057
Nuru Kalufya, Riziki M. Nyello
Several initiatives as part of the public sector financial management reforms to improve the payroll system in Tanzania were introduced. Despite such initiatives, different cases of fraudulent were reported which raised the need for examining the influence of internal audit practices on the payroll accounting performance. The article involved 240 respondents from 321 public institutions. Stratified sampling technique and questionnaires were used as sampling technique and data collection instrument respectively while structural equation model (SEM) and Mean were used in data analysis. Focusing on the institutional theory and contingency theory, the results revealed that control environment had significantly positive influence on payroll record processing while risk-based internal audit had significantly positive influence on payroll reconciliation. Internal auditors’ professional competence had significantly positive influence on payroll reconciliation, payroll record processing and payroll accounting system coverage. Furthermore, internal audit work performance had significantly positive influence on payroll reconciliation and payroll accounting system coverage. Among others, the article recommends that managers should consider internal audit function as a strategic function and not operational to strengthen the payroll accounting system.
提出了若干倡议,作为公共部门财政管理改革的一部分,以改善坦桑尼亚的薪金制度。尽管采取了这些举措,但报告了不同的欺诈案件,因此需要审查内部审计做法对薪金会计业绩的影响。这篇文章涉及了来自321个公共机构的240名受访者。采用分层抽样技术和问卷调查作为抽样技术和数据收集工具,采用结构方程模型(SEM)和Mean进行数据分析。基于制度理论和权变理论的分析结果表明,控制环境对工资记录处理具有显著的正向影响,而基于风险的内部审计对工资对账具有显著的正向影响。内部审计师的专业能力对工资对账、工资记录处理和工资会计系统覆盖率有显著的正向影响。此外,内部审计工作绩效对工资对账和工资会计系统覆盖率有显著的正向影响。除其他外,文章建议管理人员应将内部审计职能视为加强工资会计制度的战略职能,而不是业务职能。
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引用次数: 3
An Assessment of Nigerians Perception towards Chinese Foreign Direct Investments and Its Acceptability in Nigeria 尼日利亚人对中国外国直接投资的看法及其在尼日利亚的可接受性
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.4236/OJBM.2021.93062
S. A. Imanche, Tian Ze, Moses Chia Ayom, S. G. Dalibi
Perceptions play a critical role in international affairs. Politicians must be able to consider and forecast both challenges and opportunities. Public opinion has the power to change the course of politics. As the world becomes more interconnected, it’s critical to comprehend how China is perceived and how this affects China’s global effect. Although it only makes up a small part of overall Chinese OFDI, this investment class has recently drawn interest because of its sectoral and geographic diversification. Nigeria has been one of China’s top 40 trading partners for more than five decades. For some time, it has been the leading African investment destination for Chinese investment in the continent. The pursuit of multilateral agreements has a significant effect on how countries engage in the political and economic realm. This study used both quantitative and qualitative methods. The study adopted simple random sampling techniques to allow for equal and unbiased respondents’ participation in the primary data collection. The response scale was base on a 1 - 5 points Likert scale. Secondary data was sourced from archival materials, published books or scholarly works, the internet, international organization official documents, journals, press releases, newspapers. The overall research accepts the study’s alternative hypothesis, which shows that perhaps the ten outlined perceptions of Nigerians towards Chinese FDIs and its acceptability are heavily influenced by the success of FDI by Chinese investors and businesses in Nigeria’s market climate. The importance and positive outcomes of such FDI are heavily reliant on Nigerian perceptions of Chinese FDI and their acceptability and the investment target region.
观念在国际事务中起着至关重要的作用。政治家必须能够考虑和预测挑战和机遇。公众舆论具有改变政治进程的力量。随着世界变得更加相互联系,理解人们如何看待中国以及这将如何影响中国的全球效应是至关重要的。尽管它只占中国对外直接投资总额的一小部分,但由于其行业和地域的多样化,这一投资类别最近引起了人们的兴趣。50多年来,尼日利亚一直是中国前40大贸易伙伴之一。一段时间以来,非洲一直是中国在非洲投资的主要目的地。追求多边协议对各国如何参与政治和经济领域具有重大影响。本研究采用定量和定性相结合的方法。该研究采用简单的随机抽样技术,以允许平等和公正的受访者参与主要数据收集。反应量表基于1 - 5分的李克特量表。次要数据来源于档案资料、出版的书籍或学术著作、互联网、国际组织官方文件、期刊、新闻稿、报纸。整体研究接受了该研究的替代假设,该假设表明,也许尼日利亚人对中国外国直接投资及其可接受性的十种看法在很大程度上受到中国投资者和企业在尼日利亚市场环境中外国直接投资的成功的影响。这种外国直接投资的重要性和积极成果在很大程度上取决于尼日利亚对中国外国直接投资的看法及其可接受性和投资目标地区。
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引用次数: 3
Are Tax Treaties for the Benefits of Taxpayers or Maximisation of State Revenue? A Review of VAT Treaty between Lesotho and South Africa 税收协定是为了纳税人的利益还是为了国家收入的最大化?对莱索托与南非增值税条约的审查
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.4236/OJBM.2021.93078
Malefetsane E. Nketekete
The Governments of the Kingdom of Lesotho and the Republic of South Africa have entered into double taxation treaty (DTA), as a cross border strategy to prevent fiscal evasion with respect to value-added tax. DTAs, worldwide do not only address prevention of fiscal evasion of tax, but they benefit businesses and individuals against double taxation. It has however been observed that certain services between the Republic of South Africa and Lesotho are taxed twice when being imported into Lesotho. The study analysed the DTA to determine whether this was in line with the agreement. Such an analyis was based on literature review, document analysis in the form of Acts and the DTA itself. From the analysis, it was found out that recharging tax for the identified services was contrary to the DTA and Value Added Tax governing the DTA. The general conclusion is that the treatment of VAT on services is for tax revenue maximisation not in the interest of the tax payers.
莱索托王国和南非共和国两国政府签订了双重征税条约,作为防止在增值税方面逃税的跨边界战略。在世界范围内,dta不仅可以防止逃税,还可以使企业和个人免受双重征税。然而,有人指出,南非共和国和莱索托之间的某些服务在进口到莱索托时要付两次税。该研究分析了DTA,以确定这是否符合协议。这种分析是基于文献回顾,以act形式的文献分析和DTA本身。从分析中发现,对确定的服务征收附加税与DTA和管理DTA的增值税相违背。总的结论是,服务增值税的处理是为了税收收入最大化,而不是为了纳税人的利益。
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引用次数: 1
Entrepreneurial Orientations and Business Financial Performance: The Case of Micro Businesses in Tanzania 创业取向与企业财务绩效:以坦桑尼亚微型企业为例
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.4236/OJBM.2021.93068
Riziki M. Nyello, Nuru Kalufya
Micro business in Africa including Tanzania does not perform well financially due to various business environmental challenges. In this line, entrepreneurial orientations are said to improve micro business financial performance regardless of unfavourable business environment. Despite such importance of entrepreneurial orientations, there was scanty knowledge on the influence of proactive and risk taking behaviour on business sales and costs. Focusing from the Contingency perspective, this article aimed at filling in such knowledge gap. Most studies examined the influence of entrepreneurial orientations on firm performance from the resource-based perspective. However, the influence of entrepreneurial orientations on firm performance depends on the match between entrepreneurial orientations and firm performance goals. The article involved 388 micro businesses from Dar-es-salaam, Mbeya, Morogoro, and Manyara. The questionnaire was used to collect data while Mean and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) were used as data analysis techniques. The results revealed that proactive behavior had significantly positive influence on business sales and significantly negative influence on business costs. Furthermore, the risk-taking behaviour was found to have significantly positive influence on business costs. Among others, the article recommends that the micro business owners/operators should strengthen their entrepreneurial capacity together with their employees. It will be achieved by establishing sectoral associations in accordance with their business categories, i.e., trade, services and manufacturing in order to organize and access professional entrepreneurial trainings.
由于各种商业环境挑战,包括坦桑尼亚在内的非洲微型企业在财务上表现不佳。在这条线上,创业取向被认为可以提高微企业的财务绩效,而不管不利的商业环境。尽管企业导向如此重要,但人们对主动和冒险行为对企业销售和成本的影响知之甚少。本文从权变视角出发,旨在填补这一知识空白。大多数研究是从资源基础的角度考察创业取向对企业绩效的影响。然而,创业取向对企业绩效的影响取决于创业取向与企业绩效目标的匹配程度。这篇文章涉及来自达累斯萨拉姆、姆贝亚、莫罗戈罗和曼雅拉的388家微型企业。采用问卷调查法收集数据,采用均值模型和结构方程模型(SEM)进行数据分析。结果显示,主动行为对企业销售有显著的正向影响,对企业成本有显著的负向影响。此外,风险承担行为对企业成本有显著的正向影响。其中,文章建议微企业主/经营者应与员工一起加强创业能力。为了实现这一目标,将根据其业务类别,即贸易、服务和制造业,建立部门协会,以便组织和获得专业企业培训。
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引用次数: 3
Impact of FDI on Economic Growth, Employment, and Poverty Reduction in Ghana 外国直接投资对加纳经济增长、就业和减贫的影响
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.4236/OJBM.2021.93069
Shadrach Ato-Mensah, W. Long
The Republic of Ghana is one of the most economically developed countries in West Africa. In the past 10 years, Ghana’s economy has maintained a sound momentum and strong economic growth. The Republic of Ghana regards foreign direct investment (FDI) as a key factor in promoting its economic growth. This article separates economic growth, employment and poverty reduction, and focuses on the single impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on Ghana’s economic growth, employment and poverty. The research in this article shows that foreign direct investment can promote the economic development of Ghana, and foreign direct investment can increase employment opportunities in Ghana and reduce poverty at the same time. Finally, this article gives corresponding recommendations based on the research conclusions: In maintaining sustainable economic growth, favorable policies should be adopted to encourage and support Ghana, so as to attract more foreign direct investment to stimulate economic growth.
加纳共和国是西非经济最发达的国家之一。10年来,加纳经济保持良好发展势头,经济增长势头强劲。加纳共和国认为外国直接投资是促进其经济增长的一个关键因素。本文将经济增长、就业和减贫分离开来,重点关注外国直接投资(FDI)对加纳经济增长、就业和贫困的单一影响。本文的研究表明,外国直接投资可以促进加纳的经济发展,外国直接投资可以增加加纳的就业机会,同时减少贫困。最后,本文根据研究结论给出了相应的建议:在保持经济可持续增长的过程中,应采取有利的政策来鼓励和支持加纳,以吸引更多的外国直接投资来刺激经济增长。
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引用次数: 2
Analysis on the Contribution of Agricultural Sector on the Economic Development of Ghana 农业对加纳经济发展的贡献分析
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.4236/OJBM.2021.93070
Abban Priscilla Nyamekye, Z. Tian, Fangfang Cheng
The study empirically examines the impact of agricultural sector on the economic GDP growth of Ghana, using time series data from 1984 to 2018. The cointegration test results showed the non-existence of long-run relationships existing between the overall GDP and agricultural output. In its set-up, the error correction method estimates the long-run relationship between economic growth and agricultural output as well as fluctuation in the short-run. Based on the basic regression model, agricultural output exhibits a significantly positive impact on the overall GDP growth of the country. Similarly, the industrial and service sector also contributed positively to overall GDP growth. The results indicate the need to promote value added agricultural export expansion policies to achieve high economic GDP growth.
该研究使用1984年至2018年的时间序列数据,实证检验了农业部门对加纳经济GDP增长的影响。协整检验结果表明,总体GDP与农业产出之间不存在长期关系。在误差修正方法的建立中,既估计了经济增长与农业产出之间的长期关系,也估计了短期波动。基于基本回归模型,农业产出对国家整体GDP增长表现出显著的正影响。同样,工业和服务业也对整体GDP增长做出了积极贡献。研究结果表明,要实现经济GDP的高速增长,需要推进农产品出口扩大政策。
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引用次数: 7
Supplier Association Relationship and Cost Stickiness —Analysis of Cooperation Effect Based on Environmental Uncertainty 供应商关联关系与成本粘性——基于环境不确定性的合作效应分析
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.4236/OJBM.2021.93065
Yuchen Yan
From different perspectives with supplier relationships as the entry point, this paper explores the impact of external enterprises on the cost stickiness of listed companies based on the data of listed manufacturing companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen from 2016 to 2019. The results show that when the main suppliers are the associated companies of the listed company, the suppliers’ correlation degree and the influence of the associated suppliers will significantly reduce the cost stickiness, while the suppliers’ volatility degree will significantly increase the cost stickiness. Further researches show that in the samples with high environmental uncertainty, associated suppliers can exert more cooperative effects. State-owned enterprises can better deal with the cooperative relationship with associated suppliers, thus reducing cost stickiness. This study enriches the related research on the correlation relationship of supply chain to cost stickiness. Under the current background of economic transformation and upgrading, choosing the right supplier relationship can effectively deal with the negative impact of environmental uncertainty, reflecting the “alliance effect”.
本文以2016 - 2019年沪深两市制造业上市公司数据为基础,以供应商关系为切入点,从不同角度探讨外部企业对上市公司成本粘性的影响。结果表明,当主要供应商为上市公司的关联公司时,供应商的关联度和关联供应商的影响会显著降低成本粘性,而供应商的波动度会显著增加成本粘性。进一步研究表明,在环境不确定性较高的样本中,关联供应商更能发挥合作效应。国有企业可以更好地处理与关联供应商的合作关系,从而降低成本粘性。本研究丰富了供应链与成本粘性相关关系的相关研究。在当前经济转型升级的背景下,选择合适的供应商关系可以有效应对环境不确定性带来的负面影响,体现“联盟效应”。
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引用次数: 0
Feasibility Study on Listing of Pharmaceutical Enterprises Based on Financial Analysis: Take Company Y as an Example 基于财务分析的医药企业上市可行性研究——以Y公司为例
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.4236/OJBM.2021.93072
Yan Ma
Health has always been one of people’s demands for a high quality of life. For thousands of years, both Chinese and Western medicine have accumulated a lot of medical knowledge and ideas. However, due to the weakness of China in the past century, Chinese medicine has become irrelevant. However, with the outbreak and persistence of COVID-19 and China’s actions in the fight against the epidemic, people have further realized the importance of health, and TCM has again entered people’s field of vision. Taking Company Y as an example, this paper analyzes the listing feasibility of Company Y from its macro environment, basic overview, advantages and disadvantages in the industry, financial indicators, enterprise valuation and other aspects. Then, based on the above analysis and combined with the development trend and recent development goals of the enterprise, it concludes that under the current macro and micro environment, Company Y can and should be encouraged to list on the New Third Board, with a stock price of about 7 yuan and a price-earnings ratio of about 25 times.
健康一直是人们对高品质生活的诉求之一。几千年来,中西医都积累了大量的医学知识和思想。然而,由于中国在过去一个世纪的软弱,中医已经变得无关紧要。然而,随着新冠肺炎疫情的爆发和持续,以及中国抗击疫情的行动,人们进一步认识到健康的重要性,中医再次进入人们的视野。本文以Y公司为例,从Y公司的宏观环境、基本概况、行业优劣势、财务指标、企业估值等方面分析其上市可行性。然后,基于上述分析,结合企业的发展趋势和近期发展目标,得出在当前的宏观和微观环境下,Y公司可以并且应该鼓励在新三板上市,股价约为7元,市盈率约为25倍。
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引用次数: 2
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Open Journal of Business and Management
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