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The Essence of Decisions in International Organizations: Two Cases of World Bank Reforms in 2010 and 2018 国际组织决策的本质:2010年和2018年世界银行改革的两个案例
IF 0.5 Pub Date : 2022-08-31 DOI: 10.14731/kjis.2022.08.20.2.243
Minho Lee, Byungwon Woo
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引用次数: 0
The Feasibility of Punishment and the Credibility of Threats: Case Studies on the First Moroccan and the Rhineland Crises 惩罚的可行性和威胁的可信度:第一次摩洛哥危机和莱茵兰危机个案研究
IF 0.5 Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.14731/kjis.2021.12.19.3.275
Yang Gyu Kim
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引用次数: 0
Southeast Asian Public Perceptions of China: Clusters and Gaps 东南亚公众对中国的认知:集群与差距
IF 0.5 Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.14731/kjis.2021.12.19.3.377
Yoon-Jeong Oh
This study offers an analysis of cross-country difference in Southeast Asian public opinion on China in the mid-2010s, using data from the Asian Barometer Survey (ABS). I pursue two empirical questions: (1) how China fared in perceived influence and positivity compared to the U.S. at the national level and (2) what perception gaps existed in regional and national assessments of China’s positive impact. The findings indicate that public perceptions by country are not radically different from commonly known government-level orientations toward China. Yet there are interesting patterns of clusters across countries and gaps in perceptions. First, some countries consistently regard China more influential and more beneficial than the U.S. while others face a contradiction between China being more influential but less beneficial than the U.S. Second, in all countries, Southeast Asian respondents think that the extent to which China benefits their own country is greater than the extent to which China benefits the region, implying a potential collective action problem for a coherent regional response. It is also interesting to note that the largest perception gap is reported in the Philippines, the country at the forefront of the South China Sea disputes with China. The findings contribute to the larger literature on Southeast Asia’s alignment choices in the face of the US-China strategic competition.
本研究利用亚洲晴雨表调查(Asian Barometer Survey, ABS)的数据,分析了2010年代中期东南亚国家对中国的民意差异。我追求两个实证问题:(1)与美国相比,中国在国家层面的感知影响力和积极性方面表现如何;(2)在对中国积极影响的地区和国家评估中存在哪些感知差距。研究结果表明,各国公众对中国的看法与政府层面对中国的看法并没有根本不同。然而,在不同国家之间存在着有趣的集群模式和观念上的差距。首先,一些国家一直认为中国比美国更有影响力、更有利,而另一些国家则面临着中国比美国更有影响力、但好处不如美国的矛盾。其次,在所有国家中,东南亚受访者认为中国对本国的好处大于中国对该地区的好处,这意味着在连贯的地区反应中存在潜在的集体行动问题。值得注意的是,最大的认知差距出现在菲律宾,这个国家正处于与中国南海争端的最前沿。这一发现有助于更广泛地研究东南亚在面对美中战略竞争时的结盟选择。
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引用次数: 0
What is Behind the China Rule in 2007: Motivations for the Bush Administration’s Export Control Policy Against China 2007年“中国规则”背后的原因:布什政府对华出口管制政策的动机
IF 0.5 Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.14731/kjis.2021.12.19.3.303
Sanghyun Han
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引用次数: 0
The Heterogeneous Impacts of the Ratification of CEDAW on the Adoption of Violence Against Women Laws 批准《消除对妇女一切形式歧视公约》对通过暴力侵害妇女行为法的不同影响
IF 0.5 Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.14731/kjis.2021.12.19.3.339
Byung-Deuk Woo
Even though previous literature on the impacts of the ratification of the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women (CEDAW) has broadened our understanding of the conducive influences of CEDAW on women’s rights, the impacts of the ratification of CEDAW on the adoption of women’s rights laws, especially violence against women laws, based on a diffusion mechanism have not been empirically examined. Also, the heterogeneous impacts of the ratification of CEDAW on the diffusion of violence against women laws by types of violence which such laws aim to penalize has not been academically unveiled. With unprecedentedly large time-series cross-national data on 129 countries from 1908 to 2016, this article estimating pooled event history models (PEHM) with a directed dyadic setup demonstrates that the ratification of CEDAW increases the probability of adopting violence against women laws of other countries substantially. In addition, the empirical results show that the conducive influence is conspicuous related to the diffusion of laws about sexual harassment, and domestic and intimate partner violence, while the probability of adopting laws not specifying certain forms of violence against women tends to decrease with the ratification of CEDAW. Those empirical results are robust and consistent in different model specifications.
尽管以前关于批准《消除对妇女一切形式歧视公约》的影响的文献扩大了我们对《消除对歧视公约》对妇女权利的有利影响的理解,但批准《消除歧视公约》对于通过妇女权利法,特别是暴力侵害妇女法的影响,基于扩散机制的方法尚未得到实证检验。此外,《消除对妇女一切形式歧视公约》的批准对暴力侵害妇女法律的传播产生了不同的影响,这些法律旨在惩罚的暴力类型尚未在学术上公布。从1908年到2016年,129个国家的跨国家时间序列数据空前庞大,本文估计了具有定向二元设置的汇集事件历史模型(PEHM),表明批准《消除对妇女一切形式歧视公约》大大增加了其他国家通过暴力侵害妇女法律的可能性。此外,实证结果表明,有利的影响与关于性骚扰、家庭暴力和亲密伴侣暴力的法律的传播有关,而随着《消除对妇女一切形式歧视公约》的批准,通过没有具体说明某些形式暴力侵害妇女行为的法律的可能性往往会降低。这些经验结果在不同的模型规范中是稳健和一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Political Framework of Green New Deal: A comparative analysis of the EU and US proposals 绿色新政的政治框架——欧盟和美国提案的比较分析
IF 0.5 Pub Date : 2021-08-31 DOI: 10.14731/kjis.2021.08.19.2.221
Taedong Lee, Myungsung Kim, Natalie Chifamba
Green New Deal (GND) proposals are suggested as a solution to cope with climate emergency, economic recession, and social inequality. This study aims to conceptualize GNDs through the political questions of who gets what, why, and how. This research defines the politics of GND as a government’s stimulus policy to tackle climate change, economic downturn, and inequality by building up sustainable infrastructure, industries, and communities through investment, job creation, and innovation. The politics of the GND framework consists of actors, aims, contents, and measures. By applying this framework, empirical analyses examine the similarities and differences in the GND proposals of the EU and the US. This finding suggests that varying comprehensiveness and concreteness are presented in these proposals. The preliminary analysis demonstrates that measures for funding should be identified for implementing effective GND plans. Research applying the political analysis framework into recently announced Korean GND would contribute to enhancing the policy plan and implementation process. A systemic comparison of the us to identify the GND this comparative study provides a tool to identify policy implications, combining
绿色新政(GND)被认为是应对气候危机、经济衰退和社会不平等的解决方案。本研究旨在通过谁得到什么、为什么得到以及如何得到这些政治问题来概念化gdp。本研究将GND政治定义为政府通过投资、创造就业和创新建设可持续的基础设施、产业和社区来应对气候变化、经济衰退和不平等的刺激政策。GND框架的政治由行动者、目标、内容和措施组成。通过应用这一框架,实证分析了欧盟和美国的GND提案的异同。这一发现表明,这些建议的全面性和具体程度各不相同。初步分析表明,为实施有效的GND计划,应确定资金措施。将政治分析框架应用于最近公布的韩国GND的研究将有助于提高政策计划和执行过程。对美国进行系统的比较,以确定GND,这一比较研究提供了一个工具,以确定政策的影响,结合
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引用次数: 3
South Korea’s High-Level Bilateral Meetings with African Countries Concerning Nuclear North Korea 韩国与非洲国家就朝鲜核问题举行高级别双边会议
IF 0.5 Pub Date : 2021-08-31 DOI: 10.14731/kjis.2021.08.19.2.199
Miyung Yoon, Kyudeug Hwang
Many African countries have been alleged to serve North Korea as sources of hard currency, by purchasing weapons and military equipment and/or bringing military trainers and construction workers from North Korea, in violation of United Nations (UN) sanctions on North Korea. Focusing on high-level bilateral meetings between South Korea and African states during the period of October 14, 2006-December 31, 2019, this study examines the extent to which South Korea has utilized bilateral diplomacy as a tool to seek African cooperation for North Korea’s denuclearization and to dissuade African countries from helping North Korea evade sanctions. We find that North Korea’s denuclearization and UN sanctions, overall, have received only peripheral attention in South Korea’s bilateral diplomatic discourse with African states and there is no significant difference between progressive and conservative administrations in this regard. and UN on Korea. The purpose of this study is to examine South Korea’s bilateral diplomatic engagement with African countries for African support on North Korea’s denuclearization and UN sanctions on North Korea, focusing on high-level face-to-face meetings involving heads of government and ministers of foreign affairs of South Korea and African states. The study covers the period ensuing UN Security Council Resolution 1718, passed on October 14, 2006 in response to North Korea’s first nuclear test, up to December 31, 2019. Specifically, we examine (1) the overall significance of North Korea’s denuclearization and UN Security Council sanctions in high-level bilateral meetings between South Korea and African countries and (2) whether the different approaches of the progressive and conservative South Korean administrations to North Korea have had any effect on addressing those
许多非洲国家被指违反联合国对朝制裁,从朝鲜购买武器和军事装备,以及(或)从朝鲜引进军事训练人员和建筑工人,成为朝鲜的硬通货来源。本研究以2006年10月14日至2019年12月31日期间韩国和非洲国家之间的高级别双边会晤为重点,考察了韩国在多大程度上利用双边外交作为工具,寻求非洲在朝鲜无核化方面的合作,并劝阻非洲国家不要帮助朝鲜逃避制裁。我们发现,总体而言,朝鲜无核化和联合国制裁在韩国与非洲国家的双边外交话语中只受到外围关注,在这方面,进步和保守政府之间没有显著差异。和联合国在朝鲜问题上。本研究的目的是考察韩国与非洲国家的双边外交接触,以获得非洲对朝鲜无核化和联合国对朝鲜制裁的支持,重点是韩国和非洲国家政府首脑和外交部长参加的高层面对面会议。这项研究涵盖了联合国安理会2006年10月14日通过第1718号决议后至2019年12月31日这段时间,该决议是对朝鲜首次核试验的回应。具体而言,我们将研究(1)朝鲜无核化和联合国安理会制裁在韩国和非洲国家高级别双边会议中的总体意义,以及(2)韩国进步和保守政府对朝鲜的不同做法是否对解决这些问题产生了任何影响
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引用次数: 0
Alliance Vulnerability and its Remedies: Tracing the Abandonment of Kurds and South Korea Under the Trump Administration 联盟的脆弱性及其补救措施:追踪特朗普政府下库尔德人和韩国的放弃
IF 0.5 Pub Date : 2021-08-31 DOI: 10.14731/kjis.2021.08.19.2.167
K. Ban
Alliances serve as a security guarantor but this is not always the case in the sense that allies struggle with the of abandonment and entrapment. The U.S. abandoned its local ally in northern Syria, the Kurds, by withdrawing its soldiers in October 2019, allowing the Turkish military to bomb them. An asymmetric partner vows to ally with a strong partner even in a situation where the former is aware of the latter’s potential betrayal. This bond can only result in tragedy. Which condition makes abandonment and/or entrapment more likely? Two key variables serve as the mechanism for alliances between actors-power parity and the nature of the bond, both of which lead to four different outcomes. A symmetric and institutionalized alliance is the most stable and thus, least likely to result in abandonment and entrapment. By contrast, an asymmetric and non-institutionalized alliance is likely to be the most tragic. This analysis offers insight into political and policy implications. In particular, the lessons learned from the U.S.’s abandonment of the Kurds might help provide the Republic of Korea (ROK) to avoid this tragic step a scenario they experienced once before in 1950 shortly before the outbreak of the Korean War.
联盟是安全保障,但并非总是如此,因为盟友在与被抛弃和陷入困境的斗争中挣扎。美国于2019年10月撤军,放弃了其在叙利亚北部的当地盟友库尔德人,允许土耳其军方轰炸他们。一个不对称的伙伴发誓与一个强大的伙伴结盟,即使在前者意识到后者可能背叛的情况下。这种联系只会导致悲剧。哪种情况更有可能导致遗弃和/或诱捕?两个关键变量作为行为体之间联盟的机制——权力平价和联盟的性质,这两者都会导致四种不同的结果。对称的和制度化的联盟是最稳定的,因此,最不可能导致放弃和陷阱。相比之下,不对称和非制度化的联盟可能是最悲惨的。这种分析提供了对政治和政策影响的洞察。特别是,从美国放弃库尔德人的教训中吸取的教训,可能有助于大韩民国避免这一悲惨的步骤,这是他们在1950年朝鲜战争爆发前不久经历的情况。
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引用次数: 0
Moralizing Pandemic: How Was HIV/AIDS Prioritized in Foreign Aid in the United States? 流行病的道德化:美国如何在对外援助中优先考虑艾滋病毒/艾滋病?
IF 0.5 Pub Date : 2021-08-31 DOI: 10.14731/kjis.2021.08.19.2.247
Youngsoo Kim
A dramatic foreign aid policy development in the US, the proclamation of the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), has been ascribed to the perception of a security threat. The securitizing scheme, however, has been debunked as a factoid not supported by empirical evidence. Despite the flaws of securitization as a causal theory, alternative explanations remain unexplored. This research seeks to address an alternative explanation, "moralization." The article begins with a brief history of changes in the US response to the global AIDS crisis since the 1980s, followed by a description of securitization theory as an alleged explanation for the aid increase in the early 2000s. Next, this research problematizes the AIDS-security nexus and proceeds to show how a humanitarian approach to the epidemic invoked a moral obligation to respond urgently to the catastrophic epidemic. The moralizing rationalization entails the explication of perception changes among significant individuals within and outside of policy circles from the theoretical framework of agenda setting, namely the garbage can model. The research closes with the theoretical and empirical implications for the international relations discipline and foreign policy analysis, as well as for the current health crisis caused by COVID-19.
美国对外援助政策的一个戏剧性发展,即宣布总统艾滋病紧急救援计划(PEPFAR),被认为是出于对安全威胁的认识。然而,证券化计划已经被揭穿为一个没有经验证据支持的事实。尽管证券化作为一种因果理论存在缺陷,但替代解释仍未被探索。这项研究试图解决另一种解释,“道德化”。本文首先简要介绍了自20世纪80年代以来美国应对全球艾滋病危机的变化历史,然后描述了证券化理论,称其为21世纪初援助增加的一种解释。接下来,本研究对艾滋病与安全的关系提出了问题,并进一步表明,对这一流行病采取人道主义做法如何引发了对这一灾难性流行病作出紧急反应的道德义务。道德合理化需要从议程设置的理论框架即垃圾桶模型来解释政策圈内外重要个体的感知变化。该研究对国际关系学科和外交政策分析以及当前由COVID-19引起的卫生危机具有理论和实证意义。
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引用次数: 0
Diverging Response to the Rohingya Refugee Crisis since 2017 Military Crackdown: Comparative Analysis of Bangladesh and Malaysia 2017年军事镇压以来对罗兴亚难民危机的不同反应:孟加拉国和马来西亚的比较分析
IF 0.5 Pub Date : 2021-04-30 DOI: 10.14731/KJIS.2021.04.19.1.133
Y. Jeong
In this paper, I examine the diverging responses of neighboring countries in response to the Rohingya Refugee Crisis in order to answer the question of what made Bangladesh more accepting of Rohingya refugees. In light of the existing literature, two tentative explanations are proposed. One concerns the external economic inducement, and the other focuses on the political leeway enjoyed by the incumbent. Drawing on the comparative analysis of Bangladesh and Malaysia, I find support for the political leeway explanation. Bangladesh has accepted the Rohingya refugees as its political leeway allowed the government to turn the crisis to its political advantage. Bangladesh’s domestic political environment, including a robust ruling party and a weak opposition party, has ensured the government to dominate the issue framing of Rohingya refugees that benefits the government’s position. On the other hand, Malaysia’s political environment limited its government’s ability to influence the issue framing; facing domestic political opposition, it hardly accepted the Rohingya refugees.
在本文中,我研究了邻国对罗兴亚难民危机的不同反应,以回答是什么让孟加拉国更容易接受罗兴亚人难民的问题。结合现有文献,提出了两种初步的解释。一个关注外部经济诱因,另一个关注现任者享有的政治回旋余地。通过对孟加拉国和马来西亚的比较分析,我发现对政治回旋余地的解释是支持的。孟加拉国接纳了罗兴亚难民,因为其政治回旋余地使政府能够将危机转化为政治优势。孟加拉国国内的政治环境,包括一个强大的执政党和一个软弱的反对党,确保了政府在罗兴亚难民的问题框架上占据主导地位,这有利于政府的立场。另一方面,马来西亚的政治环境限制了其政府影响问题框架的能力;面对国内的政治反对,它几乎不接受罗兴亚难民。
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引用次数: 0
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Korean Journal of International Studies
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