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Mercosur and Post-Neoliberal Regionalism: Brazil, Argentina, Venezuela, and the Challenges of Relaunching the Bloc 南方共同市场和后新自由主义地区主义:巴西、阿根廷、委内瑞拉以及重新启动该集团的挑战
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-03-04 DOI: 10.1111/lamp.70005
Tiago Soares Nogara

This article examines the redefinition of the Common Southern Market during the rise of Latin America's pink tide, focusing on how debates over Venezuela's accession intersect with the broader context of post-neoliberal regionalism. Drawing on literature reviews and primary sources, the study highlights the differing approaches of Brazil, Venezuela, and Argentina to reshaping Latin American regionalism. These divergent strategies influenced Mercosur's institutional reforms and underscored the challenges of reconciling key differences among leftist governments regarding broader regional objectives. Ultimately, the article concludes that conflicts surrounding Venezuela's entry were pivotal in determining Mercosur's trajectory, revealing both the potential and the limits of post-neoliberal integration at that time.

本文考察了在拉丁美洲粉红浪潮兴起期间对南方共同市场的重新定义,重点关注委内瑞拉加入的辩论如何与后新自由主义地区主义的更广泛背景相交叉。根据文献综述和第一手资料,该研究强调了巴西、委内瑞拉和阿根廷重塑拉丁美洲地区主义的不同方法。这些不同的策略影响了南方共同市场的制度改革,并强调了调和左翼政府在更广泛的区域目标上的主要分歧所面临的挑战。最后,文章得出结论,围绕委内瑞拉加入的冲突是决定南方共同市场轨迹的关键,揭示了当时后新自由主义一体化的潜力和局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond Realpolitik: Norms and Identities in Taiwan–Paraguay Relations 超越现实政治:台湾与巴拉圭关系的规范与认同
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-03-04 DOI: 10.1111/lamp.70002
Mitchell Gallagher

在地缘政治竞争的激流中, 哪些观念力量为国家间关系注入了活力?在台湾外交日益受到中国强制性修正主义围攻的时代, 台湾与巴拉圭的坚定伙伴关系是一个值得审视的异常现象。受“台湾盟友纷纷倒戈北京势力”的推动, 本文探讨了如何通过“以规范、身份和主体间性为中心的建构主义”来阐明台湾与巴拉圭的外交关系, 这种关系是一种不太可能的、超越物质激励的亲密关系。通过采用一项定性案例研究方法和解释性分析, 本研究分析了支撑这种亲密关系的观念基础。研究结果揭示, 台湾和巴拉圭的忠诚关系源于对自由民主、自决和人权理想的坚定承诺。他们的关系通过一系列体现互信和同理心的社会文化交流而培育了认知融合。台湾与之相呼应的民主认同感对志同道合的观念假设产生了磁性的“软实力”吸引力。巴拉圭拒绝北京方面的强制性收复主义反映了其对颂扬主权平等和多元国际秩序的规范的内化。台湾-巴拉圭关系凸显了建构主义在解读令人惊讶的国家亲密关系方面的理论效力。通过本研究, 我们全面了解了一系列编排全球秩序的力量——其中, 能力通过规范、身份和跨国社会化过程得以体现。

¿Qué fuerzas conceptuales dan vida a las relaciones entre estados en medio de las corrientes cargadas de rivalidad geopolítica? En una era donde la existencia diplomática de Taiwán se ve cada vez más asediada por el revisionismo coercitivo de China, su firme asociación con Paraguay se presenta como una anomalía que merece escrutinio. Impulsado por las monumentales defecciones de los aliados de Taiwán hacia la órbita de Beijing, este artículo interroga: ¿cómo puede el vínculo diplomático Taiwán-Paraguay, una afinidad improbable que trasciende los incentivos materiales, ser elucidado a través de un constructivismo centrado en normas, identidades e intersubjetividades? Adoptando una metodología de estudio de caso cualitativo y análisis interpretativo, la investigación excava las subestructuras conceptuales que sostienen este parentesco. Los hallazgos develan la fidelidad de Taiwán y Paraguay que emana de un compromiso fundamental con los ideales de la democracia liberal, la autodeterminación y los derechos humanos. Su relación nutre la convergencia cognitiva a través de intercambios socioculturales que manifiestan confianza y empatía mutuas. La resonante identidad democrática de Taiwán ejerce una atracción magnética de “poder blando” sobre una Asunción afín. El rechazo de Paraguay al irredentismo coercitivo de Beijing refleja una internalización de normas que celebran la igualdad soberana y un orden internacional pluralista. Los vínculos Taiwán-Paraguay destacan la potencia teórica del constructivismo para decodificar afinidades estatales sorprendentes. De esta investigación, obtenemos una comprensión holística de las fuerzas que coreografían el orden global—donde las capacidades se refractan a través de normas, identidades y procesos de socialización transnacional.

在地缘政治竞争的激流中, 哪些观念力量为国家间关系注入了活力?在台湾外交日益受到中国强制性修正主义围攻的时代, 台湾与巴拉圭的坚定伙伴关系是一个值得审视的异常现象。受“台湾盟友纷纷倒戈北京势力”的推动, 本文探讨了如何通过“以规范、身份和主体间性为中心的建构主义”来阐明台湾与巴拉圭的外交关系, 这种关系是一种不太可能的、超越物质激励的亲密关系。通过采用一项定性案例研究方法和解释性分析, 本研究分析了支撑这种亲密关系的观念基础。研究结果揭示, 台湾和巴拉圭的忠诚关系源于对自由民主、自决和人权理想的坚定承诺。他们的关系通过一系列体现互信和同理心的社会文化交流而培育了认知融合。台湾与之相呼应的民主认同感对志同道合的观念假设产生了磁性的“软实力”吸引力。巴拉圭拒绝北京方面的强制性收复主义反映了其对颂扬主权平等和多元国际秩序的规范的内化。台湾-巴拉圭关系凸显了建构主义在解读令人惊讶的国家亲密关系方面的理论效力。通过本研究, 我们全面了解了一系列编排全球秩序的力量——其中, 能力通过规范、身份和跨国社会化过程得以体现。¿Qué fuerzas conceptuales dan vida a las relaciones entre estados en medio de las corrientes cargadas de rivalidad geopolítica? En una era donde la existencia diplomática de Taiwán se ve cada vez más asediada por el revisionismo coercitivo de China, su firme asociación con Paraguay se presenta como una anomalía que merece escrutinio. Impulsado por las monumentales defecciones de los aliados de Taiwán hacia la órbita de Beijing, este artículo interroga: ¿cómo puede el vínculo diplomático Taiwán-Paraguay, una afinidad improbable que trasciende los incentivos materiales, ser elucidado a través de un constructivismo centrado en normas, identidades e intersubjetividades? Adoptando una metodología de estudio de caso cualitativo y análisis interpretativo, la investigación excava las subestructuras conceptuales que sostienen este parentesco. Los hallazgos develan la fidelidad de Taiwán y Paraguay que emana de un compromiso fundamental con los ideales de la democracia liberal, la autodeterminación y los derechos humanos. Su relación nutre la convergencia cognitiva a través de intercambios socioculturales que manifiestan confianza y empatía mutuas. La resonante identidad democrática de Taiwán ejerce una atracción magnética de “poder blando” sobre una Asunción afín. El rechazo de Paraguay al irredentismo coercitivo de Beijing refleja una internalización de normas que celebran la igualdad soberana y un orden internacional pluralista. Los vínculos Taiwán-Paraguay destacan la potencia teórica del constructivismo para decodificar afinidades estatales sorprendentes. De esta investigación, obtenemos una comprensión holística de las fuerzas que coreografían el orden global—donde las capacidades se refractan a través de normas, identidades y procesos de socialización transnacional.
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引用次数: 0
Assessing Latin America's Trade Blocs and Social Policies in Andean and Southern Cone Countries, and Considering Cuban Politics 评估拉丁美洲安第斯和南锥体国家的贸易集团和社会政策,并考虑古巴政治
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-02-21 DOI: 10.1111/lamp.70007
Isidro Morales
<p>This first issue of Latin American Policy (LAC) for 2025 includes six pieces of high-quality policy research and an opinion article. Alan Fairlie Reinoso and Stacy Alvarado Paipay estimate inequality indexes and assess the presence of convergence within and among Latin American integration blocs—The Pacific Alliance, the Andean Community and the Southern Common Market. They conclude that inequality has increased from 1990 to 2021, with Mercosur exhibiting the highest levels of inequality, followed by the Andean Community and the Pacific Alliance. They also demonstrate a lack of economic convergence between the Southern Common Market and the Andean Community during periods of unilateral trade liberalization, North–South free trade agreements, and the commodities boom.</p><p>Francisco Santos-Carrillo and Bruno Theodoro Luciano review the structures, processes, and outcomes of civil society participation in regional governance in three representative regional projects—the Andean Community, The Southern Common Market, and the Central American Integration System. They argue that despite some differences in institutional design, with the Central American Integration System developing a supranational logic of membership in contrast to the intergovernmental settings of the other two cases, social participation in the three cases is limited to agenda facilitation, and its effects on regional decision-making is residual.</p><p>Tiago Soares Nogara examines the redefinition of the Common Southern Market during the rise of Latin America's pink tide, focusing on how debates over Venezuela's accession intersect with the broader context of post-neoliberal regionalism. He concludes that conflicts surrounding Venezuela's entry were pivotal in determining Mercosur's trajectory, revealing both the potential and the limits of post-neoliberal integration at that time.</p><p>Santiago Albuja argues that international organizations played a relevant role in designing the Human Development Bonus in Ecuador by imposing structural adjustment reforms, establishing the conditions for the delivery of loans, and offering technical assistance. Meanwhile, Mitchell Gallagher analyzes the Taiwan–Paraguay diplomatic bond through constructivism centering norms, identities, and intersubjectivities. He argues that Taiwan and Paraguay's fidelity flows from a bedrock commitment to ideals of liberal democracy, self-determination, and human rights.</p><p>Milva Geri, Fernanda Villarreal, and Nebel Moscoso explore the determinants of contribution density to the Argentine pension system using administrative data from 1996 to 2021. They conclude that the density of contributions is low and depends on the branch of economic activity, the jurisdiction where the company is located, the individual's income and gender, and the age of enrollment.</p><p>Finally, Armando Chaguaceda's opinion article gives insight into how the Cuban regime is now facing domestic and global challenges. His text exami
《2025年拉丁美洲政策》首期包括六篇高质量的政策研究和一篇观点文章。Alan Fairlie Reinoso和Stacy Alvarado Paipay估计了不平等指数,并评估了拉丁美洲一体化集团(太平洋联盟、安第斯共同体和南方共同市场)内部和之间趋同的存在。他们得出的结论是,从1990年到2021年,不平等现象有所加剧,南方共同市场的不平等程度最高,其次是安第斯共同体和太平洋联盟。它们还表明,在单边贸易自由化、南北自由贸易协定和大宗商品繁荣时期,南方共同市场和安第斯共同体之间缺乏经济趋同。弗朗西斯科·桑托斯-卡里略和布鲁诺·西奥多罗·卢西亚诺在三个具有代表性的区域项目——安第斯共同体、南方共同市场和中美洲一体化体系——中回顾了公民社会参与区域治理的结构、过程和结果。他们认为,尽管在制度设计上存在一些差异,与其他两个案例的政府间环境相比,中美洲一体化体系发展出一种超国家的成员逻辑,但这三个案例中的社会参与仅限于促进议程,其对区域决策的影响是残余的。Tiago Soares Nogara考察了在拉丁美洲粉红浪潮兴起期间对南方共同市场的重新定义,重点关注委内瑞拉加入的辩论如何与后新自由主义地区主义的更广泛背景相交叉。他的结论是,围绕委内瑞拉加入的冲突是决定南方共同市场轨迹的关键,揭示了当时后新自由主义一体化的潜力和局限性。Santiago Albuja认为,国际组织通过实施结构调整改革、确定提供贷款的条件和提供技术援助,在厄瓜多尔设计人类发展奖金方面发挥了相关作用。同时,Mitchell Gallagher以建构主义理论为中心,以规范、认同、主体间性为中心,分析台湾与巴拉圭的外交关系。Milva Geri、Fernanda Villarreal和Nebel Moscoso利用1996年至2021年的行政数据探讨了阿根廷养老金体系缴费密度的决定因素。他们得出的结论是,捐款的密度很低,这取决于经济活动的分支、公司所在的司法管辖区、个人的收入和性别,以及注册的年龄。最后,Armando Chaguaceda的观点文章深入分析了古巴政权目前面临的国内和全球挑战。他的文章考察了解释古巴模式的概念要素,它的变化和制度的连续性,以及质疑其合法性的动员公民的新挑战。我们希望我们的读者会喜欢我们为本卷准备的精选集。
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引用次数: 0
Inequality and Convergence in Latin American Regional Trade Agreements 拉丁美洲区域贸易协定中的不平等与趋同
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-02-21 DOI: 10.1111/lamp.70000
Alan Fairlie Reinoso, Stacy Alvarado Paipay

拉丁美洲一体化进程既有重大进展, 也有挫折;它是由经济融合的潜力推动的, 旨在减少该地区国家之间的差距和不对称。本文旨在估计不平等指数, 并评估拉丁美洲一体化集团——太平洋联盟、安第斯共同体和南方共同市场——内部和之间的融合情况。为了实现这一目标, 计算了过去22年的不平等指标——包括西格玛离差、基尼系数和泰尔指数。研究结果表明, 在研究的大部分时期内, 不平等现象都有所加剧, 其中南方共同市场的不平等程度最高, 其次是安第斯共同体和太平洋联盟。此外, 对1990年至2021年数据的分析表明, 在单边贸易自由化、南北自由贸易协定和大宗商品繁荣时期, 南方共同市场和安第斯共同体之间缺乏经济融合。同样, 太平洋联盟也没有显示出其成员国之间经济融合的证据。尽管2012年成立的该集团表明趋势可能发生变化, 但这种变化不足以建立明确的 (经济) 融合。

拉丁美洲一体化进程既有重大进展, 也有挫折;它是由经济融合的潜力推动的, 旨在减少该地区国家之间的差距和不对称。本文旨在估计不平等指数, 并评估拉丁美洲一体化集团——太平洋联盟、安第斯共同体和南方共同市场——内部和之间的融合情况。为了实现这一目标, 计算了过去22年的不平等指标——包括西格玛离差、基尼系数和泰尔指数。研究结果表明, 在研究的大部分时期内, 不平等现象都有所加剧, 其中南方共同市场的不平等程度最高, 其次是安第斯共同体和太平洋联盟。此外, 对1990年至2021年数据的分析表明, 在单边贸易自由化、南北自由贸易协定和大宗商品繁荣时期, 南方共同市场和安第斯共同体之间缺乏经济融合。同样, 太平洋联盟也没有显示出其成员国之间经济融合的证据。尽管2012年成立的该集团表明趋势可能发生变化, 但这种变化不足以建立明确的 (经济) 融合。
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引用次数: 0
Variations in Design, But Similar Effects: Social Participation in the Andean Community, Mercosur, and the Central American Integration System 设计不同,但效果相似:安第斯共同体、南方共同市场和中美洲一体化体系中的社会参与
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-02-20 DOI: 10.1111/lamp.70004
Francisco Santos-Carrillo, Bruno Theodoro Luciano

本文对拉丁美洲不同区域组织的社会参与空间进行了比较研究。从制度主义的角度出发, 我们述评了三个代表性区域项目 (即安第斯共同体、南方共同市场和中美洲一体化体系) 中“公民社会参与区域治理”的结构、过程和结果。本文旨在描述拉丁美洲区域组织的社会参与渠道的制度设计差异, 识别它们的异同、模式和对区域治理的影响, 以及公民社会组织在这些区域主义过程中发挥的作用。我们反思了设计差异的相关性、这种差异的原因及其对区域治理的影响。我们论证, 尽管制度设计存在一些差异, 但中美洲一体化体系与其他两个案例的政府间设置相比, 发展了一种超国家的成员资格逻辑, 因此这三个案例中的社会参与仅限于议程促进, 并且其对区域决策的影响是残余的。

本文对拉丁美洲不同区域组织的社会参与空间进行了比较研究。从制度主义的角度出发, 我们述评了三个代表性区域项目 (即安第斯共同体、南方共同市场和中美洲一体化体系) 中“公民社会参与区域治理”的结构、过程和结果。本文旨在描述拉丁美洲区域组织的社会参与渠道的制度设计差异, 识别它们的异同、模式和对区域治理的影响, 以及公民社会组织在这些区域主义过程中发挥的作用。我们反思了设计差异的相关性、这种差异的原因及其对区域治理的影响。我们论证, 尽管制度设计存在一些差异, 但中美洲一体化体系与其他两个案例的政府间设置相比, 发展了一种超国家的成员资格逻辑, 因此这三个案例中的社会参与仅限于议程促进, 并且其对区域决策的影响是残余的。
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引用次数: 0
Programmatic Ideas Adopted Through Policy Diffusion in the Design of the Human Development Bonus (HDB) in Ecuador 通过政策扩散在厄瓜多尔人类发展奖金(HDB)设计中采用的方案思想
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-02-20 DOI: 10.1111/lamp.70003
Wilson Santiago Albuja Echeverría

Cash transfer programs emerged in the mid-1990s, eventually spreading to Latin America and the Caribbean, and later, throughout the world. The contributions of international organizations have shaped, driven, and diffused these cash transfer programs. The questions guiding this research concern how the Human Development Bonus in Ecuador was designed and how the programmatic ideas of international organizations influence decision and policy makers. The hypothesis posits that international organizations’ programmatic ideas about cash transfer programs, positioned as instruments to combat poverty, are diffused throughout the national context as an instrument of compensation for the most vulnerable families, with policy makers adopting mechanisms of coercion, emulation, and learning when designing the Human Development Bonus. From a neo-institutionalist perspective, public policy networks are analyzed, demonstrating that the origin of the Human Development Bonus is endogenous; it began as an instrument of fiscal policy amid the possible elimination of the gas subsidy, which did not materialize, and it then moved to social policy. International organizations played a relevant role in designing the Human Development Bonus by imposing structural adjustment reforms, establishing the conditions for the delivery of loans, and offering technical assistance.

现金转移支付项目出现于20世纪90年代中期,最终扩展到拉丁美洲和加勒比地区,后来扩展到全世界。国际组织的贡献塑造、推动和扩散了这些现金转移计划。指导这项研究的问题涉及厄瓜多尔的人类发展奖金是如何设计的,以及国际组织的方案思想如何影响决策者。该假设假设,国际组织关于现金转移支付项目的规划理念,定位为对抗贫困的工具,作为对最脆弱家庭的补偿工具,在整个国家范围内传播,政策制定者在设计人类发展奖金时采用了强制、模仿和学习的机制。从新制度主义的角度分析公共政策网络,证明人类发展红利的来源是内生的;它最初是在可能取消天然气补贴的情况下作为财政政策工具使用的,但没有实现,然后它转向了社会政策。国际组织通过实施结构调整改革、确定提供贷款的条件和提供技术援助,在设计人力发展奖金方面发挥了相关作用。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Contribution Density to the Argentine Pension System: An Analysis by Cohorts, 1996–2021 阿根廷养老金制度缴费密度的决定因素:1996-2021年的队列分析
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-02-16 DOI: 10.1111/lamp.70001
Milva Geri, Fernanda Villarreal, Nebel Moscoso

缴费密度与劳动形式不同;它指的是在给定时期内平均每个工人可以累积的缴费金额或比例。本文旨在从1996年至2021年的行政数据中识别阿根廷养老金系统缴费密度的决定因素。使用负二项回归方法, 提出了一个计量经济模型来解释8个群体 (基于社会人口因素和工作特征) 的缴费密度。结果发现, 缴费密度较低, 并且缴费密度取决于经济活动部门、公司所在的管辖区、个人的收入和性别、以及入学年龄。结果与其他研究阿根廷和拉丁美洲国家缴费密度的论文结果相似。

缴费密度与劳动形式不同;它指的是在给定时期内平均每个工人可以累积的缴费金额或比例。本文旨在从1996年至2021年的行政数据中识别阿根廷养老金系统缴费密度的决定因素。使用负二项回归方法, 提出了一个计量经济模型来解释8个群体 (基于社会人口因素和工作特征) 的缴费密度。结果发现, 缴费密度较低, 并且缴费密度取决于经济活动部门、公司所在的管辖区、个人的收入和性别、以及入学年龄。结果与其他研究阿根廷和拉丁美洲国家缴费密度的论文结果相似。
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引用次数: 0
The arguments of El Norte's editorialists on the mandate revocation in Mexico 《北方报》的社论作者对墨西哥撤销授权的争论
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-01-06 DOI: 10.1111/lamp.12365
Eduardo E. Parrilla Sotomayor

This article analyzes a sample of editorial opinions from El Norte newspaper on the mandate revocation of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. In the March 27, 2022 edition, 2 weeks before the consultation, 46 editorialists expressed their opinions on the matter. Through Toulmin's theory of argumentation, this article analyzes the three ideological stances they took to determine whether they incur in fallacies—those who stated they would abstain from participating because they are against the President, those who stated they would participate to revoke his mandate, and those who expressed that the revocation was a valid exercise without stating how they would vote.

这篇文章分析了El Norte报纸关于总统安德罗萨·曼努埃尔·López奥夫拉多尔被撤销职权的社论意见样本。在咨询前2周的2022年3月27日版中,有46位社论作者发表了对此事的意见。通过图尔敏的论证理论,本文分析了他们所采取的三种意识形态立场,以确定他们是否会产生谬论——那些声称他们会因为反对总统而弃权的人,那些声称他们会参与撤销他的授权的人,以及那些表示撤销是一个有效的练习而没有说明他们将如何投票的人。
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引用次数: 0
It takes two to tango: Electoral monitoring by and in authoritarian states, the case of Venezuela 探戈需要两个人:专制国家的选举监督和委内瑞拉的选举监督
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-12-15 DOI: 10.1111/lamp.12364
Vladimir Rouvinski, Juan Pablo Milanese

The last few decades have seen a significant increase in the study of electoral monitoring processes. This body of work underscores the crucial role of these processes in recognizing democracies and emphasizes the role of electoral monitoring in ensuring the integrity of elections, lending credibility and legitimacy to the outcomes. At the same time, it is important to note that while elections are essential to democratic norms, the mere fact that elections are held is not sufficient to distinguish between democratic and authoritarian regimes, prompting us to delve deeper into exploring the nature of political systems. Moreover, after the third wave of democratization, various forms of electoral authoritarianism proliferated, making the distinction even more difficult (Schedler 2016).

Against this background, it is not surprising that a great deal of literature on electoral monitoring focuses explicitly on the cases of electoral authoritarianism and addresses a type that Walker and Cooley (2013) describe as a “zombie” monitoring process—the election monitors pretend to adhere to international electoral observation standards, but there is a clear preference for and tolerance of undemocratic practices carried out by incumbents (Debre and Morgenbesser 2017). Recently, support for the incumbent president by observers from authoritarian regimes during Venezuela's 2024 presidential election, marked by electoral fraud, clearly highlights the continuous involvement of such actors.

At the same time, it is fundamental to point out that the scholarly contributions we revised approach the topic from a one-dimensional perspective, either from the supply (international) or the demand (domestic) level of electoral observations. In our case, we examine the incidence of zombie electoral monitoring from both sides of the transactional mechanism, combining them with either the democratic or autocratic nature of the suppliers and demanders. We call for the elaboration of a novel theoretical model that effectively pairs entities that cannot be considered separately. This model must not only enable a fertile discussion between two fields of knowledge—international relations and comparative politics—but also offer a renewed perspective on the issue of zombie electoral monitoring considering the propagation of the phenomenon around the world lately.

To illustrate the application of our proposed framework, we will examine one of the most seriously questioned and contested elections in the region in recent years, that of Venezuela. We will discuss Russia's role as a “zombie-type” electoral monitoring supplier and argue that this scenario demonstrates clearly the link we are focused on—the supply-and-demand relationship between autocracies.

Our starting point is that every electoral monitoring process must be understood within a two-tier framework—domestic and international. With this perspective, the existe

过去几十年来,对选举监测过程的研究有了显著的增加。这项工作强调了这些进程在承认民主方面的关键作用,并强调了选举监督在确保选举的完整性、使结果具有可信性和合法性方面的作用。与此同时,值得注意的是,虽然选举对民主规范至关重要,但仅仅举行选举这一事实并不足以区分民主和专制政权,这促使我们更深入地探索政治制度的本质。此外,在第三波民主化浪潮之后,各种形式的选举威权主义激增,使得区分更加困难(Schedler 2016)。在这种背景下,毫不奇怪,大量关于选举监督的文献明确地关注选举威权主义的案例,并解决了Walker和Cooley(2013)描述为“僵尸”监督过程的类型——选举监督人员假装遵守国际选举观察标准,但对现任者实施的非民主做法有明显的偏好和容忍(Debre和Morgenbesser 2017)。最近,在以选举舞弊为标志的委内瑞拉2024年总统选举期间,专制政权观察员对现任总统的支持,清楚地凸显了这些行为者的持续参与。与此同时,有必要指出,我们修订的学术贡献从一维的角度来看待这个主题,要么从选举观察的供应(国际)层面,要么从需求(国内)层面。在我们的案例中,我们从交易机制的双方考察了僵尸选举监控的发生率,将它们与供应商和需求方的民主或专制性质结合起来。我们呼吁制定一种新的理论模型,有效地将不能单独考虑的实体配对起来。这一模式不仅可以在两个知识领域——国际关系和比较政治——之间进行丰富的讨论,而且考虑到最近在世界各地蔓延的现象,还可以为僵尸选举监督问题提供一个新的视角。为了说明我们提议的框架的适用情况,我们将审查近年来该地区受到最严重质疑和最具争议的选举之一,即委内瑞拉的选举。我们将讨论俄罗斯作为一个“僵尸型”选举监督供应商的角色,并认为这种情况清楚地表明了我们所关注的联系——专制国家之间的供需关系。我们的出发点是,必须在国内和国际两层框架内理解每一个选举监督进程。从这个角度看,这种监测的供应和需求的存在,虽然可以观察到,但更具有分析意义。要做到这一点,就需要研究为什么有些州允许第三方监督他们的选举,而另一些州则提供或赞助这类“服务”。这两个概念在民主国家都很明显,特别是从规范的角度来看,规范被定义为“用于评估特定社会环境中行为的集体期望”(Wiener 2018)。在民主情况下,供应方的选举监测与促进和维持公平和自由选举的国际准则是联系在一起的。这种联系在拉丁美洲可以观察到,在那里有几个案例突出了规范的影响(Planchuelo 2017;圣克鲁斯2013)。考虑到上述观察并遵循Carothers(1997)的方法,Rouvinski和Milanese(2023)强调,在和平与民主理想的激励下,选举过程的完整性已成为民主国家外交政策的核心方面。在过去的几十年里,这种政策重点促进了选举监督的广泛采用,作为促进民主社会承诺的一部分(Hyde 2011a)。它还为建立监督选举的国际制度作出了贡献。此外,在许多情况下,民主政府都需要派出观察团。在这些以自由、公平和竞争性选举为特征的情况下,监督项目的作用往往相对没有争议。通常,它的重点是“证明”选举的可接受质量。参见Freidenberg(2017)关于拉丁美洲的案例。此外,观察团可以帮助解决争端。例如,在高度两极分化和仇恨言论泛滥的背景下,每次选举往往被视为“存在主义” ——这样的监测可以帮助减轻“输家效应”,减少或最小化选举被争夺的可能性(Dahlberg和Linde 2016;Nadeau, Daoust, and Dassonneville 2021)。这些争议可能由国内选举管理机构(EMB)解决,该机构具有坚实的自主权,确保选举的完整性(Dahlberg和Linde 2016)。如图1所示,自20世纪末以来,新兴市场银行对政府的独立性显著提高,在欧洲取得了优异的成绩,在亚洲、美洲和大洋洲也取得了可喜的成果。在质量较低的民主国家,情况并非总是如此,在这些国家,外部监督项目可以在弥补选举管理机构的弱点和帮助确保接受选举结果方面发挥关键作用。总之,在谈到民主国家时,供给和需求之间的互补性创造了一种共生关系。这种关系允许在国际层面构建规范,以补充选举过程的合法化,从而补充国内层面的治理(见图2)。然而,正如我们所知,选举并不是严格意义上的民主现象。如果是这样的话,对选举监督的供应和需求就会少得多。在非竞争性制度中,这些过程变得更加相关,主要是因为它们的主要目标之一是阻止选举欺诈或放大社会反应(Bush and Prather 2018;海德2007;凯利2012年)。事实上,国际观察员的存在往往会使抵制“肮脏”选举的事件增加一倍(Kelley 2011)。从这个角度来看,为什么一个非民主或有问题的民主政府会(1)允许这种监控,(2)积极寻求这种监控?这些问题是我们讨论的核心。第一个问题的答案我们转向国际民主的执行。民主国家构建规范的期望是迫使观察员进入的强大机制(Daxecker和Schneider 2014)。这个悖论与第二个问题有关,即最初看似非理性的“邀请”(需求)(Hyde 2011b)。邀请多个选举观察组织对于半竞争性的制度来说可以发挥作用,特别是在僵尸特派团的情况下。尽管有证据表明,包括宽松的观察并不能提高有缺陷的选举的声誉,但它允许政府抵消严格监督的调查性影响(Bush, Cottiero, and Prather 2024;Daxecker and Schneider 2014;Donno 2013),通过对比报告淡化批判性评价(Hyde and Marinov 2014)。正如Hyde(2007)所指出的那样,如果高质量的监督给伪民主政权带来了更高的成本,那么这些成本可以通过邀请僵尸监督来减轻,这些僵尸监督尽管看起来是民主的,但却追求专制的目的(Bush, Cottiero, and Prather 2024)。这就是与非民主国家相关的供给和需求相交的地方。当需求者出于先前概述的原因(如中和)转向“影子市场”时,供应商通过“劫持”相关规范来做到这一点,这可以被理解为一个模仿的过程,通过这个过程,自由话语和实践的形式被采用,同时被赋予非自由的内容(Bettiza和Lewis 2020)。僵尸监视器挑战了规范,但不是废除它(Panke和Petersohn 2011)。换句话说,既然选举观察是内化的规范,就没有动机去试图废除它们,反而导致它们被劫持。规范劫持的结果是削弱了国际和高质量选举监督机制的可信度(Bush, Cottiero, and Prather 2024;Daxecker and Schneider 2014)。正如Bettiza和Lewis(2020,第9页)所指出的,这一战略旨在“相对化西方在世界政治中的伦理地位,否认西方构建价值和主张规范的普遍性”。尽管俄罗斯在20世纪90年代表现出参与选举监督的早期兴趣,但在弗拉基米尔·普京(Vladimir Putin)的领导下,这些特派团在拉丁美洲的数量和规模都有了明显的增加(见表1)。如果这些特派团中有相当一部分没有被用来使拉丁美洲独裁者的选举胜利合法化,那就没有问题了(Rouvinski和Milanese 2023)。类似于俄罗斯在非洲(Shekhovtsov 2020)
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引用次数: 0
The challenges of Latin American democracy: Coexistence, inclusion, and diversity 拉丁美洲民主的挑战:共存、包容和多样性
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-12-08 DOI: 10.1111/lamp.12371
Pablo de la Peña Sánchez

This special issue of Latin American Policy features selected academic articles from our First Latin American Congress on Social Sciences and Government, sponsored by three of the most prestigious universities in Latin America Universidad Católica de Chile; Universidad de los Andes in Bogotá, Colombia; and Tecnológico de Monterrey, Mexico. The congress, focused on The Challenges of Latin American Democracy: Coexistence, Inclusion, and Diversity, gathered more than 50 scholars who shared their insight on events that have shaped democracy in our region and on the emerging challenges to the democratic consolidation of our institutions.

Our conclusions highlight the need for new forms of coexistence and dialog among political actors and underscore the importance of recognizing the diversity that defines our society. We also believe our political systems must enhance representation and find ways to ensure inclusion in political life for all social groups.

The 8 articles explore a wide range of themes from the unique perspectives of their authors, inviting us to reexamine the concept of democracy in Latin America and the challenges to achieving prosperous governments and societies.

This article reflects on the importance of intersectionality in strengthening democracy, especially in contexts like the Mexican one. The central idea is that for democracy to be truly inclusive, affirmative action must not only focus on the political participation of women but also address the needs of other historically marginalized groups, particularly those in vulnerable situations.

Intersectionality, which originated in Afro-descendant feminism, reminds us that experiences of discrimination are not one-dimensional. People can face multiple, interconnected forms of oppression, which highlights the need for a more pluralistic and comprehensive approach to public policy design. This perspective not only enriches democracy but also allows previously excluded voices to be heard and considered in decision-making processes.

The article highlights how affirmative action in Mexico has evolved from a women-centered approach to a broader inclusion that encompasses various vulnerable communities, a significant step toward a more representative and unbiased democracy.

This study indicates a need to rethink how we understand and apply democracy. By integrating intersectionality into affirmative actions, greater equity is promoted, and the social fabric is strengthened by empowering all citizens to participate actively in building a more inclusive future, regardless of identity or situation.

Carlos Cerda Dueñas invites us to examine the interconnection between democracy and the rule of law as fundamental concepts that ensure social justice. The idea that democracy and the rule of law are intrinsically linked emphasizes the importance of strong and fair institutions that guarantee rights for all citizens. The establishment of the Sust

本期《拉丁美洲政策》特刊精选了由拉丁美洲三所最负盛名的大学赞助的第一届拉丁美洲社会科学和政府大会的学术文章;哥伦比亚波哥大<e:1>洛斯安第斯大学;墨西哥蒙特雷Tecnológico。大会以“拉丁美洲民主的挑战:共存、包容和多样性”为主题,聚集了50多位学者,他们就影响我们地区民主的事件以及巩固我们制度的民主所面临的新挑战分享了自己的见解。我们的结论强调需要在政治行为者之间建立新的共存和对话形式,并强调承认界定我们社会的多样性的重要性。我们还认为,我们的政治制度必须加强代表性,并设法确保所有社会群体都能参与政治生活。这8篇文章从作者独特的视角探讨了广泛的主题,邀请我们重新审视拉丁美洲的民主概念以及实现繁荣政府和社会的挑战。这篇文章反映了加强民主的交叉性的重要性,特别是在墨西哥这样的情况下。其核心思想是,要使民主真正具有包容性,平权行动不仅必须关注妇女的政治参与,还必须解决其他历史上被边缘化群体的需求,特别是那些处于弱势地位的群体。交叉性(Intersectionality)这个概念起源于非洲裔女性主义,它提醒我们,歧视的经历不是一维的。人们可能面临多种相互关联的压迫形式,这突出表明需要采取更加多元化和全面的方法来制定公共政策。这一观点不仅丰富了民主,而且使以前被排除在外的声音能够在决策过程中得到倾听和考虑。这篇文章强调了墨西哥的平权行动是如何从以妇女为中心的方式发展到更广泛地包容各种弱势群体的,这是向更具代表性和不偏不偏的民主迈出的重要一步。这项研究表明,我们需要重新思考如何理解和应用民主。通过将交叉性纳入平权行动,促进了更大的公平,并通过赋予所有公民权力,使其无论身份或处境如何都能积极参与建设更具包容性的未来,从而加强了社会结构。Carlos Cerda Dueñas邀请我们审查民主和法治之间的相互联系,作为确保社会正义的基本概念。民主与法治具有内在联系的观点强调了保障所有公民权利的强大和公平机构的重要性。可持续发展目标(SDG)的确立,特别是关注和平与强大机构的可持续发展目标16的确立,是朝着促进和平与包容社会迈出的重要一步。然而,这一目标在制定和执行方面都遇到了挑战。由于在沟通和实现可持续发展目标16方面存在困难,有必要对围绕司法和法治的政治和社会复杂性进行评估。正如本目标所强调的那样,把重点放在获得司法救助上是至关重要的,因为这不仅是一项基本权利,而且对发展和保护人权也是必不可少的。此外,当前的全球挑战,如Covid-19大流行和国际冲突,威胁到2030年议程所确定的目标。联合国秘书长的一份声明引起了强烈的共鸣,它提醒我们,可持续发展的愿望受到威胁,必须采取协调和有效的行动来克服这些挑战。这一案文鼓励我们认识到加强法治和确保诉诸司法作为健康民主和可持续发展的重要支柱的重要性。各国之间的政治意愿和合作对于推进这些目标和为所有人建立一个更公平、更公平的未来至关重要。作者有效地强调了迫切需要更严格地监测墨西哥人权建议的执行情况,特别是关于国民警卫队和安全机构。显然,目前的局势带来了重大挑战,因为公共安全的军事化引起了人们对尊重人权的关切。美洲人权委员会关于逐步从这些任务中撤出武装部队和加强民警的建议是朝着恢复对安全机构的信任迈出的关键一步。 同时,这些建议仍有待遵守,这一事实表明缺乏可能对人民造成严重后果的进展。此外,案文还提到了侵犯人权的具体案件,强调了解决这些问题的紧迫性。格雷罗43名年轻人被迫失踪的事件痛苦地提醒我们,需要问责制和更人道的公共安全措施。总而言之,执行一个特别监测机制不仅是必要的,而且还可以作为通向更有效地保护人权的桥梁。必须认真对待这些建议,并采取果断行动,确保安全机构在优先考虑所有个人尊严和权利的框架内运作。为每个人建立一个更安全、更公平的未来取决于它。胡安·卡洛斯·蒙特罗提出了一个深刻的观点,说明一个最初不被视为有组织犯罪暴力热点的国家如何不得不适应和应对重大挑战。值得注意的是,尽管该区域是犯罪组织的金融中心,但基本上保持了和平,只是偶尔发生暴力事件。2006年至2011年期间的暴力危机推动了Nuevo León安全政策的转变,凸显了民间社会参与创建新警察机构的重要性。这种合作方法不仅能够更有效地应对暴力,而且还引入了以前未被考虑的观点。它提醒我们,公共政策的创新可以来自政府和社区之间的合作,从而产生适合当地实际情况的更全面的解决方案。此外,州政府在资源和改善警察方面的投资表明了对解决危机的积极承诺。以社会参与为基础的新警察模式的建立和有关行为者网络的重组说明了如何在应对危机时实施重大变革。最后的反思是,尽管暴力和有组织犯罪是复杂的问题,但安全政策的合作和创新可以为更有效的解决办法提供途径。Nuevo León的经验可以作为墨西哥和世界各地面临类似挑战的其他州的典范。关键在于认识到行动者多样化参与的重要性,并愿意调整战略以满足社会不断变化的需求。本文对安德列·曼努尔·López奥夫拉多尔(奥夫拉多尔总统)推动的撤销授权案中辩论的重要性进行了深刻的分析。通过研究El Norte报纸社论家的观点,它探讨了意识形态立场如何影响所提出论点的质量和可信度。在投票前两周,《纽约时报》高管提出了一个问题:“参与还是不参与?”对编辑们说。这项工作提供了一个机会来分析由社论作者的意识形态立场所塑造的论点的质量和可信度。将回答分为三类,显示出意见的多样性,这是民主辩论的基础。在这里,核心的收获是评估这些论点的力量的重要性。Toulmin(在Toulmin, et al. 1984)的理论提供了一个有用的框架来理解论点是如何构建的,以及什么元素是有效的必要条件。这一分析不仅鼓励进一步审议围绕奥夫拉多撤销授权的意见,而且提醒我们,负责任地辩论和建立坚实基础的重要性,特别是在与社会如此相关的问题上。在本文中,Daniela González深入研究了自1948年《世界人权宣言》通过以来国际人权机制的演变。尽管这些机制的有效性受到批评,但它们为国家和民间社会行动者之间的合作创造了空间,这对促进人权至关重要。对墨西哥和保护所有移徙工人及其家庭成员权利委员会(移徙工人及其家庭成员权利委员会)的关注尤为重要。作为一个“移民国家”,墨西哥提供了一个独特的背景来分析国际机制如何与移民的现实联系起来。在人权问题上转向更加开放的外交政策是一个积极的发展,但矛盾仍然存在。民间社会可以通过提供替代资料和扩大委员会的行动发挥关键作用的想法令人鼓舞。 报告指出,尽管在移民治理方面缺乏国际共识,但民间社会行为体仍有机会影响对移民权利的保护。本文邀请大家思考如何通过协作和信息交换来解决移民领域的新挑战。民间社会与国际机制之间的互动可以成为促进捍卫人权的机会之窗,即使在全球分歧中也是如此。Fabiola Cortez-Monroy Muñoz和她的合著者强调了加强智利初级保健服务卫生政策的重要性。这组作者认为,智利的精神障碍不仅是一个健康问题,而且是一个影响大部分人口的社会挑战。令人震惊的是,一些答复者表现出精神健康问题的症状,其中受影响最大的是妇女。这种情况突出表明迫切需要改善获得精神卫生服务的机会,特别是考虑到近39%认为需要寻求帮助的人由于缺乏预约或时间而无法这样做。儿童和青少年的情况更为严重,他
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Latin American Policy
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