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To Be or Not to Be: Great Power Dilemmas and the Iranian Nuclear Programme 生存还是毁灭:大国困境与伊朗核计划
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-03-14 DOI: 10.1177/23477970221076753
Syed Jaleel Hussain
Mark Fitzpatrick, Michael Elleman and Paulina Izewicz. 2019. Uncertain Future: The JCPOA and Iran’s Nuclear and Missile Programmes. Routledge. 168 pp. ISBN: 9780367197056. Dennis C. Jett. 2018. The Iran Nuclear Deal: Bombs, Bureaucrats, and Billionaires. Palgrave Macmillan. 481 pp. ISBN: 9783319598222. Moritz. Pieper. 2018. Hegemony and Resistance around the Iranian Nuclear Programme. Routledge. 190 pp. ISBN: 9780367173807. Farhad Rezaei. 2017. Iran’s Nuclear Program: A Study in Proliferation and Rollback. Palgrave Macmillan. 272 pp. ISBN: 9783319441191. Trita Parsi. 2017. Losing an Enemy: Obama, Iran, and the Triumph of Diplomacy. Yale University Press. 472 pp. ISBN: 9780300218169. This article looks at the competing dilemmas faced by the great powers and the reasons for their eventual cooperation concerning Iran’s nuclear programme. The great powers were divided between those who wanted a total roll back and those who supported meaningful and verifiable limits. Using the levels of analysis framework, the article looks at individual actors, structural factors and the domestic interconnections that sustained the Iranian nuclear crisis and propelled its eventual resolution in the form of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.
Mark Fitzpatrick, Michael Elleman和Paulina Izewicz, 2019。不确定的未来:全面协议与伊朗核与导弹计划。劳特利奇。168页。ISBN: 9780367197056。丹尼斯·c·杰特,2018。伊朗核协议:炸弹、官僚和亿万富翁。帕尔格雷夫·麦克米伦,481页,ISBN: 9783319598222。莫里茨。皮珀尔》2018。围绕伊朗核计划的霸权与抵抗。劳特利奇出版社。190页。ISBN: 9780367173807。Farhad Rezaei, 2017。伊朗核计划:扩散与倒退研究。帕尔格雷夫·麦克米伦,272页,ISBN: 9783319441191。特里塔·帕西,2017。失去一个敌人:奥巴马、伊朗和外交的胜利。耶鲁大学出版社,472页,ISBN: 9780300218169。本文着眼于大国面临的竞争困境,以及它们最终在伊朗核计划问题上合作的原因。大国分成两派,一派希望全面削减核武器,另一派支持有意义的、可核查的限制。本文运用层次分析框架,考察了维持伊朗核危机并推动其最终以《联合全面行动计划》(Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action)形式得到解决的个体行为者、结构性因素和国内相互联系。
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引用次数: 1
Iran–USA Relations: From Exceptionalism to Containment Policy 伊朗与美国关系:从例外论到遏制政策
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-03-11 DOI: 10.1177/23477970221076969
U. Siraj, Najimdeen Bakare
Since making it out as the most powerful nation following the Second World War, Washington has demonstrated and employed two independent yet interlocking policies of Exceptionalism and Containment in its foreign policy. American exceptionalism is ingrained in its pride as the most powerful military and economic power, and a champion of democracy. While Washington sees itself as exceptional, it also believes that the fruition of its national interest and strategic objectives depends on bestowing friendly states with exceptional code. To place the discussion in perspective, we take Iran as a case study and explore the transition of Iran from being a recipient of American exceptional code, a strategic tool of American containment policy, to becoming an object of containment itself. The article applies George Kennan’s exceptionalism and containment strategy on USA–Iran relations in both Shah’s rule and post-revolution era. We conclude that decades of US exceptionalism in the region have multiplied into regional challenges for the USA itself and raised the importance of Iran and increased its security threats.
自第二次世界大战后成为最强大的国家以来,华盛顿在其外交政策中展示并采用了两种独立但又相互关联的政策:例外论和遏制。作为最强大的军事和经济强国,以及民主的捍卫者,美国的例外论根植于其自豪感之中。尽管华盛顿认为自己与众不同,但它也认为,美国国家利益和战略目标的实现取决于赋予友好国家独特的准则。本文以伊朗为个案,探讨伊朗如何从美国例外代码的接受者、美国遏制政策的战略工具,到成为其自身的遏制对象。本文将乔治·凯南的例外论和遏制战略应用于沙阿统治时期和后革命时期的美伊关系。我们的结论是,几十年来美国在该地区的例外主义已经成倍增加,成为美国自身的地区挑战,并提高了伊朗的重要性,增加了其安全威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Culture, Religion and Strategy: The ‘Islamic’ Contours of Iran’s Nuclear Thinking 文化、宗教与战略:伊朗核思想的“伊斯兰”轮廓
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.1177/23477970221076715
Shafat Yousuf, Syed Jaleel Hussain
This article proposes a fresh explanation of Iran’s nuclear programme by using the framework of strategic culture. The core argument of this article is that Iran’s strategic restraint in not overtly weaponising its nuclear programme is primarily driven by its strategic culture despite the continuously deteriorating regional security situation and a deeply hostile neighbourhood. This has incentivised a ‘Shia way’ of looking at and practising a strategy that sees nuclear weapons as fundamentally un-Islamic. Instead of weaponisation, Iran has shown remarkable flexibility to accept restrictions on its nuclear programme under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). Security-based realist explanations fail to account for such behaviour and can be better explained using a cultural framework. The strategic culture-based framework also explains the reasons behind Iran’s policy of nuclear hedging and its acceptability by major sections of the political elite in Iran.
本文运用战略文化的框架对伊朗核计划提出了新的解释。这篇文章的核心论点是,尽管地区安全局势不断恶化,邻国充满敌意,但伊朗在不公开将其核计划武器化方面的战略克制主要是由其战略文化驱动的。这激励了“什叶派”看待和实践一种从根本上将核武器视为非伊斯兰的战略。伊朗没有将其武器化,而是表现出了非凡的灵活性,接受了《联合全面行动计划》(JCPOA)对其核计划的限制。基于安全的现实主义解释无法解释这种行为,可以用文化框架更好地解释。基于战略文化的框架还解释了伊朗核对冲政策背后的原因及其被伊朗主要政治精英阶层接受的原因。
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引用次数: 2
Transboundary River Cooperation in Mekong Basin: A Sub-regional Perspective 湄公河流域跨界河流合作:次区域视角
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-03-03 DOI: 10.1177/23477970221076746
P. Mallick
Freshwater resource management is one of the important challenges of the twenty-first century. It becomes more complicated when the river crosses a political boundary. A country can implement water resource management policies to promote more sustainable growth and development within its borders. However, it is not easy to enforce policies in the case of a transboundary river. Mekong River basin is crucial for freshwater resources and other activities like fishing, agricultural production, transportation, diverse biodiversity, hydropower generation, and so on. In addition, the basin supports the livelihoods of more than 60 million people. The massive expansion in the development of hydroelectric plants in the upper reaches of the Mekong has had a significant impact on the basin’s ecology during the previous decade. Hydropower dams are trapping the nutrients carrying sediment load and preventing it from reaching the floodplains. China’s increasing hydropower activities is a significant concern for downstream countries. Its policies are not transparent with lower Mekong basin (LMB) nations. To limit China’s influence, the USA is also attempting to engage with the basin countries. In such a situation, effective sub-regional cooperation for the sustainable development of the Mekong basin is crucial, where all stakeholders’ interests are considered.
淡水资源管理是二十一世纪的重要挑战之一。当河流跨越政治边界时,情况变得更加复杂。一个国家可以实施水资源管理政策,以促进其境内更可持续的增长和发展。然而,在跨境河流的情况下,执行政策并不容易。湄公河流域对淡水资源和渔业、农业生产、交通运输、生物多样性、水力发电等其他活动至关重要。此外,该流域还支撑着6000多万人的生计。在过去的十年里,湄公河上游水电站的大规模发展对流域生态产生了重大影响。水电站大坝将携带沉积物的营养物质困住,阻止它们到达洪泛平原。中国日益增加的水电活动是下游国家的一个重大关切。它对湄公河下游国家的政策并不透明。为了限制中国的影响力,美国也试图与盆地国家接触。在这种情况下,有效的次区域合作对湄公河流域的可持续发展至关重要,要考虑到所有利益攸关方的利益。
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引用次数: 0
Preventive or Revisionist Challenge During Power Transition? The Case of China–USA Strategic Competition 权力交接期间的预防性挑战还是修正主义挑战?中美战略竞争案例
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-03-03 DOI: 10.1177/23477970221076646
Ciwan M. Can, A. Chan
Some scholars argue that established great powers tend to launch preventive wars to halt and reverse power transition processes, while others argue that it is the rising great powers that initiate revisionist challenges. Through the application of the preventive war model and the theory of strategic competition, this article argues that we should identify the initiation of a hegemonic war in the agency of established great powers during power transition processes and that hegemonic confrontations, in the age of nuclear weapons, are limited to the diplomatic domain where great powers will compete for relative strategic influence in the world. The argument is then applied for a re-examination of China–USA relations as this provides a novel ground for testing its explanatory power. Based on our findings, the article further argues that the USA has been the instigator of a preventive strategic competition against China aimed to halt and reverse the ongoing power transition process.
一些学者认为,老牌大国倾向于发动预防性战争,以阻止和扭转权力过渡进程,而另一些学者则认为,正是崛起的大国发起了修正主义挑战。通过运用预防性战争模型和战略竞争理论,本文认为,在权力过渡过程中,我们应该识别在已建立的大国的代理下发起的霸权战争,仅限于大国在世界上争夺相对战略影响力的外交领域。然后,这一论点被应用于重新审视中美关系,因为这为检验其解释力提供了一个新的基础。基于我们的研究结果,文章进一步认为,美国一直是针对中国的预防性战略竞争的煽动者,旨在阻止和扭转正在进行的权力过渡进程。
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引用次数: 0
The Evolution of Turkey’s ‘South Asia Policy’: Continuities and Ruptures in Outlook, Roles, Actors and Constraints 土耳其“南亚政策”的演变:展望、角色、参与者和约束的连续性与断裂
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-03-03 DOI: 10.1177/23477970221076754
Ömer Aslan
Turkey’s South Asia policy remains an underexplored area of research in Turkish foreign policy literature despite a rich history of Turkish activism in the region. While bringing to surface Turkey’s perception of South Asia, this article utilises insights from foreign policy analysis literature to make sense of international and domestic drivers behind Turkey’s South Asia policies during and after the Cold War. Using primary resources drawn from Turkish, American, Indian and Australian archives, memoirs by retired Turkish generals and diplomats, and interviews the author conducted with retired Turkish diplomats serving previously as ambassadors to New Delhi and Islamabad, the article argues that Turkey has felt most motivated to be involved in the region when encouraged by and had the ability to coordinate its policies with its western partners. I highlight Turkey’s mediation missions in inter- and intra-state disputes in the region, attempts to shift its South Asia policy and discuss Turkey’s approach to various hot conflicts within and between states in the region. I finally provide the place of South Asia in Turkey’s recent ‘Asia Anew Initiative’ and seek to explain an actor-based evolution of Turkey’s South Asia policy under the AKP governments over the last two decades.
尽管土耳其在该地区有着丰富的激进主义历史,但土耳其的南亚政策仍然是土耳其外交政策文献中一个未被充分探索的研究领域。在揭示土耳其对南亚的看法的同时,本文利用外交政策分析文献的见解来理解冷战期间和冷战后土耳其南亚政策背后的国际和国内驱动因素。文章引用了土耳其、美国、印度和澳大利亚的档案资料、土耳其退休将军和外交官的回忆录,以及作者对曾担任驻新德里和伊斯兰堡大使的土耳其退休外交官的采访,认为土耳其在受到西方伙伴的鼓励并有能力与西方伙伴协调政策时,才最有动力参与该地区的事务。我强调了土耳其在该地区国家间和国家内部争端中的调解任务,试图改变其南亚政策,并讨论了土耳其对该地区国家内部和国家之间各种热点冲突的态度。最后,我提供了南亚在土耳其最近的“亚洲新倡议”中的地位,并试图解释过去二十年来,在正义与发展党政府的领导下,土耳其南亚政策基于行动者的演变。
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引用次数: 0
Terrorism and International Humanitarian Law (IHL): Defining the Status of Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) 恐怖主义与国际人道法:界定伊拉克和叙利亚伊斯兰国(ISIS)的地位
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.3126/ajia.v1i1.44759
Zahirul Bashar
The wings of terror of ISIS has started since 2014. By 2019, ISIS the terrorist organization, spreading its wings over Syria, Iraq, and many other states around the world causing the death of thousands. The suffering due to acts of terrorism is innumerable. The conflict in Syria has reached a threshold that triggered the application of the Geneva Conventions and its Additional Protocols. ISIS is violating the International Humanitarian Law in every phase of its operation. Though ISIS is not a party to the aforesaid Conventions, the rules of IHL apply to it. This paper has envisaged the conflict in the Syrian Arab Republic and the classification of the armed conflicts. In addition, it has shown the origin of ISIS and their terrorist attacks during the last five years and how the parties in the conflicts including ISIS have responsibilities under the IHL. In doing so, the paper has relied on existing scholarly articles, books, newspaper reports as well as other international instruments.
“伊斯兰国”的恐怖之翼从2014年开始出现。到2019年,恐怖组织ISIS在叙利亚、伊拉克和世界上许多其他国家蔓延,造成数千人死亡。恐怖主义行为造成的苦难是无数的。叙利亚冲突已达到触发适用《日内瓦公约》及其《附加议定书》的临界点。ISIS在其行动的每个阶段都违反了国际人道法。虽然ISIS不是上述公约的缔约国,但国际人道法规则适用于ISIS。本文设想了阿拉伯叙利亚共和国的冲突和武装冲突的分类。此外,它还展示了ISIS的起源及其在过去五年中发动的恐怖袭击,以及包括ISIS在内的冲突各方如何根据国际人道法承担责任。在这样做的过程中,该论文依赖于现有的学术文章、书籍、报纸报道以及其他国际文书。
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引用次数: 0
The Contours of Saudi Arabia-Pakistan Relations and its Impact on India 沙特阿拉伯-巴基斯坦关系的轮廓及其对印度的影响
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.3126/ajia.v1i1.44758
Z. Mir, Reshmi Kazi
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia’s relations have been historically substantial in the economic, political, strategic, and cultural spheres. Both countries have shared diplomatic platforms at bilateral, regional, and global levels, including the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC). Saudi Arabia has traditionally been the major exporter of petroleum and a crucial market for Pakistani services and products. The study is an attempt to evaluate the recent trends and the phenomenal changes that have undergone and the dynamics of the new emerging shifts in Saudi-Pakistan relations. The worsening relations between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan provide an opportunity for India to expand its influence in the Gulf region and counter Pakistan’s narrative on Kashmir at different international forums. It has further been assumed that India seeks to materialise new opportunities for the expansion of strategic objectives while trying to reduce Saudi security dependence on Pakistan.
巴基斯坦和沙特阿拉伯的关系在经济、政治、战略和文化领域具有历史意义。两国在双边、地区和全球层面都有共同的外交平台,包括伊斯兰合作组织。沙特阿拉伯传统上一直是石油的主要出口国,也是巴基斯坦服务和产品的重要市场。这项研究试图评估沙特-巴基斯坦关系中最近的趋势和已经发生的显著变化以及新出现的变化的动态。沙特阿拉伯和巴基斯坦之间不断恶化的关系为印度提供了一个扩大其在海湾地区影响力的机会,并在不同的国际论坛上反驳巴基斯坦在克什米尔问题上的说法。还有人认为,印度在寻求实现扩大战略目标的新机会的同时,试图减少沙特在安全方面对巴基斯坦的依赖。
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引用次数: 0
Nature of the State: Marxist Critique and its Divergences in Contemporary World 国家的本质:马克思主义批判及其在当代世界的分歧
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.3126/ajia.v1i1.44756
Mahendra Sapkota
This paper seeks to synthesize the scientific issues of the Marxist critique of the State. Taking insights from secondary literature, it discusses the concept and characteristics of the State in general and then specifies the contestations of the Marxist perspective on the nature of the State. The paper illustrates how classical Marxism perceives State as a unilinear product of class struggle and serves the welfare of the dominant class. However, the recent developments in Marxism have raised questions to the realist and structural perspective of the State. The Neo-Marxist and post-Marxist scholars contributed along with the concepts of ideology, changing relations of base-structure, hegemony, State apparatus, and crisis in the purist form of class. This paper concludes that these developments are unavoidable in the present-day Marxist discourse which can be theoretically levelled as multi-realist and post-structural critiques of the State. It is expected that the implication of the paper lies to foster the Marxist critique of the state, primarily in different social science disciplines including political science, international relations, economics, and development studies.
本文试图综合马克思主义国家批判的科学问题。从二手文献中获得见解,它讨论了国家的概念和特征,然后详细说明了马克思主义观点对国家本质的争论。本文阐述了古典马克思主义如何将国家视为阶级斗争的线性产物,并为统治阶级的福利服务。然而,马克思主义最近的发展对国家的现实主义和结构观点提出了问题。新马克思主义和后马克思主义学者以纯粹的阶级形式带来了意识形态、基础结构变化关系、霸权、国家机器、危机等概念。本文的结论是,这些发展在当今的马克思主义话语中是不可避免的,在理论上可以被视为对国家的多元现实主义和后结构主义批评。预计这篇论文的意义在于促进马克思主义对国家的批判,主要是在不同的社会科学学科,包括政治学、国际关系、经济学和发展研究。
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引用次数: 0
Book Title: Nepal India China, Relations in the 21st Century 书名:尼泊尔、印度、中国,21世纪的关系
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.3126/ajia.v1i1.44766
Purushottam Poudel
Book on the vitality and complexity of Nepal’s foreign relations by Shambhu Ram Simkhada.
Shambhu Ram Simkhada撰写的关于尼泊尔外交关系的活力和复杂性的书。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs
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