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Regulating Global Stablecoins and Central Bank Digital Currencies in Selected G20 Countries 在选定的G20国家监管全球稳定币和中央银行数字货币
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-04-09
A. Shelepov
Digitalization of the global economy, which has intensified during the COVID-19 pandemic, is leading to the development of digital currencies. Financial authorities in most countries are working to design regulation aimed at minimizing the risks associated with privately issued digital assets. At the same time, research is being carried out, and several pilot projects have been launched, on the use of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs)—a new payment instrument that can potentially contribute to stimulating innovations, expanding access to financial services, simplifying cross-border payments, and maintaining financial stability. In this article, the author examines the approaches of some G20 members to regulating CBDCs and global stablecoins (GSC)—a financial instrument pegged to real assets, which is a potential alternative to traditional fiat currencies. The author then identifies general tendencies in the approaches of the considered jurisdictions to regulation and proposes recommendations on intensifying the development of Russia’s national rules and norms in this area, primarily for GSC, and strengthening international cooperation.
在新冠肺炎疫情期间,全球经济的数字化得到了加强,这导致了数字货币的发展。大多数国家的金融当局都在努力制定监管规定,以尽量减少与私人发行的数字资产相关的风险。与此同时,正在开展关于使用央行数字货币(cbdc)的研究,并启动了几个试点项目。cbdc是一种新的支付工具,可能有助于刺激创新,扩大金融服务的可及性,简化跨境支付和维护金融稳定。在本文中,作者研究了一些G20成员国监管cbdc和全球稳定币(GSC)的方法,GSC是一种与实物资产挂钩的金融工具,是传统法定货币的潜在替代品。然后,作者确定了所考虑的司法管辖区监管方法的一般趋势,并就加强俄罗斯在这一领域的国家规则和规范的发展提出建议,主要是为了GSC,并加强国际合作。
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引用次数: 1
The Transition of the World‘s Largest Economies to Carbon Neutrality: Areas of Potential Cooperation with Russia 世界最大经济体向碳中和的转变:与俄罗斯的潜在合作领域
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-04-05
T. Lanshina, Dmitry Stoyanov, Arina Loginova
In 2020, despite the global economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, it became clear that decarbonization and energy transition had become strategic goals rather than market trends. Moreover, they have become part of the broader and more ambitious plans of the world’s largest economies to move toward carbon neutrality by the middle of the 21st century. These economies include the European Union, the U.S., China, Japan and Korea. In Russia, these trends are typically viewed through the prism of risk: carbon neutrality implies a dramatic decrease in demand for fossil fuels, the production and export of which still play a key role in the Russian economy. However, apart from the risk to traditional sources of income, the global transition to carbon neutrality creates new opportunities for the development and diversification of the Russian economy, as well as for international cooperation in new areas. This article is devoted to the general identification of such opportunities. The authors perform a content analysis of the official plans of the largest economies related to achieving carbon neutrality by 2050–60. The main areas in which actions will be taken are identified. The current state of the corresponding industries in Russia and the possibilities for improvement are investigated. On the basis of this analysis, promising directions for the development of the Russian economy are proposed in which the implementation of large-scale international economic cooperation is possible in the coming decades.
2020年,尽管新冠肺炎疫情造成了全球经济危机,但很明显,脱碳和能源转型已成为战略目标,而不是市场趋势。此外,它们已成为世界最大经济体在21世纪中叶实现碳中和的更广泛、更雄心勃勃的计划的一部分。这些经济体包括欧盟、美国、中国、日本和韩国。在俄罗斯,这些趋势通常是从风险的角度来看待的:碳中和意味着对化石燃料的需求大幅减少,化石燃料的生产和出口仍然在俄罗斯经济中发挥着关键作用。然而,除了传统收入来源面临的风险外,全球向碳中和的过渡为俄罗斯经济的发展和多样化以及新领域的国际合作创造了新的机会。这篇文章致力于对此类机会的一般性识别。作者对最大经济体到2050年至60年实现碳中和的官方计划进行了内容分析。确定了将采取行动的主要领域。调查了俄罗斯相应行业的现状以及改进的可能性。在此分析的基础上,提出了俄罗斯经济发展的有希望的方向,在未来几十年内有可能开展大规模的国际经济合作。
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引用次数: 3
The Role of Digitalization in the Global Energy Transition 数字化在全球能源转型中的作用
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-04-06
V. Barinova, A. Devyatova, Denis Lomov
In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, digitalization has become a popular topic in both practical and theoretical terms. In many areas, for example, education and communications, information and communication technologies began to play a leading role, especially during the period of limited mobility. However, in some other areas that also came under close scrutiny during the pandemic, such as the field of energy transition, digitalization has not yet fully unlocked its potential. Moreover, the digitalization of energy transition has not been researched enough. The purpose of this article is to fill this gap. The authors investigate the current stage of digitalization of the energy sector and the role of information and communication technologies in the traditional energy complex and in clean energy and identify and analyze the key groups of technologies that will have a decisive impact on the energy transition in the near future. The authors also examine the process of digitalization in the Russian energy sector in order to determine whether it is giving an impetus to the energy transition of Russia.
在新冠肺炎疫情背景下,数字化已成为实践和理论的热门话题。在许多领域,例如教育和通信,信息和通信技术开始发挥主导作用,特别是在流动性有限的时期。然而,在大流行期间也受到密切关注的其他一些领域,如能源转型领域,数字化尚未充分释放其潜力。此外,能源转型的数字化研究还不够。本文的目的就是填补这一空白。作者调查了能源部门数字化的当前阶段,以及信息和通信技术在传统能源综合体和清洁能源中的作用,并确定和分析了在不久的将来对能源转型产生决定性影响的关键技术组。作者还研究了俄罗斯能源部门的数字化进程,以确定它是否正在推动俄罗斯的能源转型。
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引用次数: 1
Pandemic-induced changes in the SDG priorities and implementation mechanisms in the international cooperation system (analytical review) 疫情引发的可持续发展目标优先事项和国际合作体系实施机制的变化(分析审查)
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-03-13
A. Sakharov
The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted a rethinking of the approaches to the implementation of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the UN Sustainable Development Goals, both nationally and within the multilateral system. The crisis has forced international actors not only to reassess humanity's capability to achieve the Goals by 2030, but to question the relevance of the Agenda's priorities in the new environment. This work reviews the positions of key international institutions on sustainable pathways to global economic recovery.
新冠肺炎疫情促使人们重新思考在国家和多边体系内执行《2030年可持续发展议程》和联合国可持续发展目标的方法。这场危机迫使国际行为体不仅要重新评估人类到2030年实现千年发展目标的能力,还要质疑《议程》优先事项在新环境中的相关性。这项工作审查了主要国际机构对全球经济复苏可持续途径的立场。
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引用次数: 0
The Green Deal and the Resilience of EU-Russian Energy Relations 绿色协议与欧俄能源关系的弹性
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-03-05
T. Romanova
In this article, the influence of the European Union’s (EU) Green Deal on its energy relations with Russia is analyzed. Two models of resilience are identified in the EU’s discourse. One aims at achieving resilience at the level of the EU’s energy sector (the “microsystem” for the purpose of this study) while destroying the system of EU-Russia relations (the “macrosystem”). The other aims at achieving resilience in the micro- and macrosystem at the same time. Empirically, the study relies on EU documents and speeches by its national and supranational representatives. Three cases are studied. The first covers competition of two models of resilience in the principles that the EU defined for its relations with Russia. The second case involves investments that slow down the development of renewable sources of energy in favour of natural gas. This case demonstrates how resilience can be achieved as a return to the previous pattern (bouncing back). Although it can be achieved both at the EU-only level and at the level of the EU and its relations with Russia, it clearly favours the latter. The third case involves the import of hydrogen, which creates possibilities for resilience both at the microsystem alone and at the micro- and macrosystems at the same time. This latter option is achieved through adaptation to new challenges (bouncing forward). The author concludes by comparing the two models of resilience. The model that prioritizes the microsystem’s resilience and challenges the macrosystem is based on the synthesis of environmental and geopolitical logics. The other model is based on economic and market logics, but the EU’s normative leadership is a prerequisite. The EU’s discourse demonstrates the viability of both models and related governance practices. Most likely, the two models will co-exist, but their relative importance will vary over time. This variation will be primarily determined by the EU’s internal constraints. However, Russia’s policy can facilitate the model of resilience, achieved in both the micro- and macrosystem.
本文分析了欧盟绿色协议对其与俄罗斯能源关系的影响。欧盟的讨论中确定了两种恢复力模式。其中一个目标是在破坏欧盟与俄罗斯关系体系(“宏观体系”)的同时,在欧盟能源部门层面实现弹性(本研究中称为“微观体系”)。另一个目标是同时在微观和宏观系统中实现弹性。从经验上讲,这项研究依赖于欧盟国家和超国家代表的文件和演讲。研究了三个案例。第一个涵盖了欧盟为其与俄罗斯关系定义的原则中两种韧性模式的竞争。第二种情况是投资减缓可再生能源的发展,转而使用天然气。这个案例展示了如何通过恢复到以前的模式(反弹)来实现弹性。尽管这既可以在欧盟层面实现,也可以在欧盟及其与俄罗斯关系层面实现,但它显然支持后者。第三种情况涉及氢气的进口,这为单在微系统和同时在微观和宏观系统中的弹性创造了可能性。后一种选择是通过适应新的挑战(向前跳)来实现的。作者通过比较这两种弹性模型得出结论。优先考虑微观系统的弹性并挑战宏观系统的模型是基于环境和地缘政治逻辑的综合。另一种模式是基于经济和市场逻辑,但欧盟的规范领导是前提。欧盟的论述表明了这两种模式和相关治理实践的可行性。这两种模式很可能会共存,但它们的相对重要性会随着时间的推移而变化。这种变化将主要由欧盟的内部制约因素决定。然而,俄罗斯的政策可以促进在微观和宏观系统中实现的韧性模式。
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引用次数: 0
Networked G20 Governance of COVID-19 and its Transversal Crisis Effect 二十国集团网络治理新冠肺炎及其横向危机效应
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-03-02
J. Luckhurst
In this article, the Group of 20’s (G20) networked pluralism and transversal policy practices in the governance of COVID-19 and the pandemic crisis effect are analyzed. The G20 is an important global governance hub, with the strategic capacities and authority to improve cooperation on the pandemic and economic recovery efforts. The forum’s increasingly pluralistic networkedgovernance processes have been crucial for recent shifts in global governance practices and authority. They were augmented by transversal consequences of the pandemic crisis effect, the latter denoting the consequences of new evidence during a crisis leading to a heightened perception of uncertainty and the repoliticization of background knowledge. The analysis combines a “practice-relational” social constructivist analytical approach with discourse-analytic and sociological insights. It integrates empirical evidence from semi-structured interviews, informal discussions, participant observation, and documentary analysis of G20 engagement on transversal policy dimensions of the COVID-19 pandemic, especially with its interlocutors and governance networks. This indicates the growing significance of networked G20 governance, involving engagement with increasingly pluralistic networks of actors from the Global North and Global South.
本文分析了二十国集团(G20)在治理新冠肺炎和大流行危机效应方面的网络化多元化和横向政策实践。二十国集团是重要的全球治理枢纽,有战略能力和权威加强抗疫合作和经济复苏。该论坛日益多元化的网络化治理进程对近期全球治理实践和权威的转变至关重要。大流行病危机影响的横向后果加剧了这种影响,后者指的是危机期间新证据的后果,导致对不确定性的认识加剧,背景知识重新政治化。该分析将“实践-关系”社会建构主义分析方法与话语分析和社会学见解相结合。该报告整合了来自半结构化访谈、非正式讨论、参与性观察和G20参与COVID-19大流行横向政策层面的文献分析的经验证据,特别是与对话者和治理网络的接触。这表明网络化的G20治理日益重要,包括与来自全球北方和全球南方的行动者组成的日益多元化的网络进行接触。
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引用次数: 0
U.S. & China Approaches to Global Internet Governance: "New Bipolarity" in Terms of "the Network Society" 美国和中国的全球互联网治理方法:“网络社会”视角下的“新两极”
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-03-01
D. Degterev, M. Ramich, D. Piskunov
From the perspective of power transition theory, international relations system is gradually entering the phase of "power transition" where the United States, as a global hegemon, seeks to maintain the existing world order, and China establishes alternative international formats to reorganize the system of international relations and strengthen its structural power. Cyberspace and technological sphere are becoming the field of non-violent competition between states, which makes the study of global governance of cyberspace critical for the understanding of the outlines of the "new bipolarity". The analysis in the paper is focused on U.S. & China approaches to global governance of cyberspace through the prism of Manuel Castells' theory of "network society". The authors aimed to determine the directions of the U.S. and China policy in the course of four types of "power" in cyberspace: networking power, network power, networked power and network-making power. Present analysis concludes that the United States play crucial role in the course of all four types of "power" at the expense of decentralized model of Internet governance which is based on the idea of "multistakeholderism". NGO and other entities play a decisive role in such a model. Nonetheless, China has already developed necessary tools for reforming the present system of global governance of cyberspace based on centralized model with the leading role of United Nations as an international governance organization and state as a basic actor. The main beneficiaries of the centralized model are developing countries, which are unable to influence the global governance of cyberspace under the dominance of private companies from developed countries.
从权力转移理论的角度来看,国际关系体系正逐渐进入“权力转移”阶段,美国作为全球霸主,寻求维护现有的世界秩序,而中国则建立替代性的国际模式,以重组国际关系体系,增强其结构性权力。网络空间和技术领域正在成为国家间非暴力竞争的领域,这使得研究网络空间的全球治理对于理解“新两极”的轮廓至关重要。本文以曼努埃尔·卡斯特尔斯的“网络社会”理论为视角,重点分析了中美网络空间全球治理的方法。作者旨在确定美国和中国在网络空间四种“权力”过程中的政策方向:网络权力、网络权力、联网权力和网络制造权力。目前的分析得出结论,美国在所有四种类型的“权力”过程中都发挥着至关重要的作用,而牺牲了基于“多利益相关者主义”理念的去中心化互联网治理模式。非政府组织和其他实体在这种模式中发挥着决定性作用。尽管如此,中国已经开发出必要的工具,以联合国作为国际治理组织的主导作用和国家作为基本行动者,在集中模式的基础上改革当前的全球网络空间治理体系。集中式模式的主要受益者是发展中国家,它们无法在发达国家私营公司的主导下影响网络空间的全球治理。
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引用次数: 5
The Collapse of the Appellate Body as a Determining Factor of the WTO’s Future 上诉机构的崩溃是世贸组织未来的决定性因素
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-03-11
H. Kalachyhin
The World Trade Organization (WTO) is one of the leading institutions involved in global economic regulation. Its purposes are to ensure multilateral cooperation on the liberalization of international trade, harmonize existing standards and requirements, and peacefully resolve trade disputes between countries. Since 11 December 2019, dispute resolution has been handicapped due to the consistent blocking of the appointment of members to the WTO Appellate Body (AB) by the United States. This has reduced the multilateral trading system’s (MTS) predictability and threatens its final decay. In this article, the fundamental and formal causes of the collapse are described, and its circumvention mechanisms and effectiveness are discussed. At the same time, an assessment is given of the possibility to overcome the collapse in 2021, considering the change of the U.S. president and other events. Special attention is paid to Russia’s position and its current and potential losses. Finally, the issue of dispute resolution through regional trade agreements is proposed for discussion. The fundamental reasons for the collapse were the shifting balance of power in the world order and the WTO’s inflexibility in adjusting the rulebook and its procedures. The main reasons for the U.S.’ dissatisfaction are objective but based on formalities; the blockage of the AB is an overreaction. Moreover, the U.S.’ position on this issue has not changed with the new president. As a result, there is abuse of the current situation as WTO members file appeals “into the void.” Existing tools to circumvent the collapse are partial and not yet popular among WTO members. Russia needs to resume the AB’s work to complete previously started high-profile disputes and to defend its interests in the future.
世界贸易组织(WTO)是参与全球经济监管的主要机构之一。其宗旨是确保国际贸易自由化的多边合作,协调现有标准和要求,和平解决国家间的贸易争端。自2019年12月11日以来,由于美国一直阻挠任命世贸组织上诉机构成员,争端解决受到阻碍。这降低了多边贸易体系(MTS)的可预测性,并威胁到其最终的衰落。在本文中,描述了崩溃的根本原因和形式原因,并讨论了其规避机制和有效性。与此同时,考虑到美国总统换届等因素,对2021年克服崩溃的可能性进行了评估。特别关注俄罗斯的立场及其当前和潜在的损失。最后,提出了通过区域贸易协定解决争端的问题以供讨论。崩溃的根本原因是世界秩序中力量平衡的变化,以及世贸组织在调整规则手册和程序方面缺乏灵活性。美国不满的主要原因是客观的,但基于形式;AB的阻塞是一种过度反应。而且,美国在这个问题上的立场并没有随着新总统的上任而改变。其结果是,由于世贸组织成员提出的上诉“无效”,滥用了目前的情况。现有的规避崩溃的工具是片面的,而且在WTO成员国中还不受欢迎。俄罗斯需要恢复该机构的工作,以完成之前引发的引人注目的争端,并在未来捍卫自己的利益。
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引用次数: 2
Unresolved Issues of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement – Is a Compromise Possible in Glasgow 《巴黎协定》第6条未解决的问题——格拉斯哥会议是否可能达成妥协
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-03-03
D. Gershinkova
Article 6 of the Paris Climate Agreement, adopted in 2015, defines three mechanisms that stimulate reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. These are the trading of the results of emission reductions, the implementation of climate projects, and so-called non-market approaches. However, the rules for the application of Article 6 have not been agreed so far. Among the remaining contradictions in the positions of the participating countries are different understandings of approaches to prevent double counting of the results of project activities, mandatory deductions for adaptation purposes, and the transfer of unused carbon units under the Kyoto Protocol. At the same time, some countries have already initiated pilot projects under Article 6 with the intention that, in the coming years, they will become Article 6 projects. In November 2021, the 26th United Nations (UN) Climate Conference will be held in Glasgow. Experts link the effectiveness of forthcoming forum with completion of Article 6 negotiations. In this article, the main problematic issues in the negotiations are considered and proposals for the Russian position at the upcoming conference are formulated.
2015年通过的《巴黎气候协定》第6条规定了刺激减少温室气体排放的三种机制。这些是减排结果的交易、气候项目的实施以及所谓的非市场方法。然而,到目前为止,第六条的适用规则尚未达成一致。参与国的立场仍然存在矛盾,其中包括对防止重复计算项目活动结果的方法的不同理解、为适应目的的强制性扣除以及根据《京都议定书》转让未使用的碳单位。与此同时,一些国家已经启动了第六条下的试点项目,目的是在未来几年成为第六条项目。2021年11月,第26届联合国气候大会将在格拉斯哥举行。专家们将即将举行的论坛的有效性与第六条谈判的完成联系起来。在这篇文章中,审议了谈判中的主要问题,并就俄罗斯在即将举行的会议上的立场提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Energy transition and asset specificity transformation of the European gas market 欧洲天然气市场的能源转型和资产专用性转型
IF 0.9 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2021-03-07
D. Medzhidova
In 2021, the European Union (EU) is entering a new phase of energy transition, reducing the use of fossil fuels to achieve climate neutrality by the mid-century. For a qualitative assessment of the impact of the EU gas market’s green policy, transaction cost theory and the concept of asset specificity is referenced in this article. During the first stage of market development, the level of asset specificity was high, while a decline can be observed with market liberalization. However, at the current stage, a radical transformation of specificity in the context of energy transition can be seen. Assets that used to guarantee higher profitability (gas pipelines, gas processing plants, liquified natural gas (LNG) terminals) will soon be disqualified. In this article, the long-term prospects for the natural gas market in Europe, and what will happen to key assets if the climate agenda dominates the issue of energy security, are considered; qualitative assessment of the changes and of the future of the assets on the European gas market is undertaken.
2021年,欧盟(EU)正进入能源转型的新阶段,减少化石燃料的使用,以在本世纪中叶实现气候中立。为了对欧盟天然气市场绿色政策的影响进行定性评估,本文引用了交易成本理论和资产专用性概念。在市场发展的第一阶段,资产的特殊性水平很高,而随着市场自由化,可以观察到这种程度的下降。然而,在目前阶段,可以看到能量转换背景下特异性的根本转变。用于保证更高盈利能力的资产(天然气管道、天然气处理厂、液化天然气接收站)将很快被取消资格。在这篇文章中,考虑了欧洲天然气市场的长期前景,以及如果气候议程主导能源安全问题,关键资产会发生什么;对欧洲天然气市场资产的变化和未来进行了定性评估。
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引用次数: 1
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Vestnik Mezhdunarodnykh Organizatsii-International Organisations Research Journal
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