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Perspectives of decarbonization of world economy in the context of implementation of the UN Paris Climate agreement 联合国巴黎气候协定实施背景下的世界经济脱碳展望
IF 0.9 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2022-04-02
G. Safonov, Mikhail Kozelstev, A. Stetsenko, Alexandra L. Dorina, Y.-U. I. Saphonova, A. Semakina, A. Sizonov, M. Safonov
The UN Paris Climate Agreement requires unprecedented efforts to prevent global warming above 1,5-2°C. Despite geopolitical, economic and other disruptions, cooperation in climate sphere is one of the key directions of international interaction among the world leading economies. Many countries adopted decarbonization strategies and carbon neutrality targets by 2050-2070. The economic analysis the decarbonization scenarios showed that zero-carbon technologies in energy, industries and other sectors can play a crucial role in reduction of carbon emissions worldwide. Achievement of Paris Agreement goals can be more efficient if the mechanisms of international climate cooperation, carbon pricing and regulation would be broadly applied.
联合国《巴黎气候协定》要求做出前所未有的努力,以防止全球变暖超过1.5-2°C。尽管地缘政治、经济和其他方面受到干扰,但气候领域的合作是世界领先经济体之间国际互动的关键方向之一。许多国家在2050年至1970年期间采取了脱碳战略和碳中和目标。脱碳情景的经济分析表明,能源、工业和其他部门的零碳技术可以在全球范围内减少碳排放方面发挥关键作用。如果国际气候合作、碳定价和监管机制能够得到广泛应用,那么实现《巴黎协定》目标的效率就会更高。
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引用次数: 2
Pandemic Parameters 2020-2021 by Socio-Cultural Groups of Countries - Applied Analysis 按国家社会文化群体划分的2020-2021年流行病参数-应用分析
IF 0.9 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2022-04-01
L. Grigoryev, Maria-Yana Maykhrovich, D. Serova, M. Starodubtseva, E. Filippova
Sociocultural factors have become a one of the priority areas in research within the framework of theories of long-term development. This article discusses the parameters of groups of countries (values of survival-self-expression and traditional-secular-rational values) according to the Inglehart- Welzel cultural map, along with other sociocultural and socioeconomic indicators. The significant cumulative advantage (gross domestic product (GDP) per capita) of three groups of countries - Anglo-Saxon, Protestant and Catholic - —compared to the rest reflects a long history of world progress. A number of the social parameters of these groups probably reflect their level of development, to which other factors have played a role in the long term. A key question addressed in the article. is whether sociocultural factors that have developed over long periods have a significant impact on the behaviour of countries in the context of modern crises, and in this case, on the incidence of vaccination in countries in critical conditions. To answer this question, qualitative and quantitative methods of analysis have been conducted using the instance of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020-21. The hypothesis was tested on an array of 80-94 countries for which there was relevant statistical data. The tables and calculations presented in the article indicate the following results: countries more advanced in the direction of self-expression values on the Inglehart scale demonstrate higher vaccination scores and lower disease scores, and those oriented toward secular-rational values have higher rates of suicide than countries with predominantly traditional views.
社会文化因素已成为长期发展理论框架下研究的重点领域之一。本文根据Inglehart- Welzel文化地图,以及其他社会文化和社会经济指标,讨论了国家群体的参数(生存-自我表达的价值观和传统-世俗-理性价值观)。与其他国家相比,盎格鲁-撒克逊、新教和天主教这三类国家的显著累积优势(人均国内生产总值)反映了世界进步的悠久历史。这些群体的一些社会参数可能反映了他们的发展水平,而其他因素长期起着作用。本文讨论的一个关键问题。在现代危机背景下,长期形成的社会文化因素是否对各国的行为产生重大影响,在这种情况下,对处于危急状况的国家的疫苗接种率产生重大影响。为了回答这个问题,以2020-21年COVID-19大流行为例,进行了定性和定量分析。这一假设在80-94个有相关统计数据的国家进行了检验。文章中的表格和计算表明了以下结果:在英格尔哈特量表上自我表达价值观方向越先进的国家,疫苗接种得分越高,疾病得分越低,而那些以世俗理性价值观为导向的国家的自杀率高于以传统观点为主的国家。
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引用次数: 0
Transformation and Implementation of Environmental and Climate Provisions in EU Trade Agreements 欧盟贸易协定中环境和气候条款的转变与实施
IF 0.9 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2022-04-04
Ksenia Dorokhina, A. Sakharov
The European Union (EU) is striving to become a world leader in the field of "green economy." It promotes its own models, standards, conditions, and related positions on climate and environmental policy in other states. Trade agreements, including provisions on climate and the environment, have become one of the instruments of influence on the policy of partners and economic relations with them in the area of climate protection. The inclusion of these provisions is of economic rather than political importance, especially in terms of eliminating tariff and non-tariff barriers. The EU has developed a chapter on trade and sustainable development, which includes commitments on environmental and climate protection. As part of its implementation, the EU provides financial and technical support to partners. Nevertheless, the content of the chapter largely depends on the position of the partner and the climate policy it pursues, and in some cases— on the administration of the country. Dispute resolution within the framework of the existing mechanism of the chapter "Trade and Sustainable Development" turned out to be difficult, which prompted the EU to include new settlement options, among which the introduction of trade sanctions is an extreme measure. The article on sustainable forest management is also of economic importance for European producers, and the inclusion of references to international environmental agreements contributes to the EU's plans to reform the World Trade Organization (WTO). The agreements leave out a number of areas of cooperation and require updating as new climate commitments are made, which has been the focus of the EU's work in recent years.
欧盟正在努力成为“绿色经济”领域的世界领导者。它在其他国家推广自己的模式、标准、条件以及气候和环境政策的相关立场。贸易协定,包括关于气候和环境的条款,已成为影响合作伙伴在气候保护领域的政策及其经济关系的工具之一。纳入这些条款具有经济而非政治重要性,特别是在消除关税和非关税壁垒方面。欧盟制定了关于贸易和可持续发展的章节,其中包括关于环境和气候保护的承诺。作为实施的一部分,欧盟向合作伙伴提供财政和技术支持。尽管如此,本章的内容在很大程度上取决于合作伙伴的立场及其所奉行的气候政策,在某些情况下,还取决于国家的管理。事实证明,在“贸易和可持续发展”一章现有机制的框架内解决争端是困难的,这促使欧盟纳入了新的解决方案,其中引入贸易制裁是一项极端措施。关于可持续森林管理的文章对欧洲生产者也具有重要的经济意义,其中提及国际环境协定有助于欧盟改革世界贸易组织(世贸组织)的计划。这些协议遗漏了一些合作领域,并需要随着新的气候承诺的做出而更新,这是欧盟近年来工作的重点。
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引用次数: 0
Emission trading systems as an instrument in decarbonization strategies’ toolkit 碳排放交易系统是脱碳战略工具箱中的一个工具
IF 0.9 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2022-04-03
I. Popova
At the 2021 Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in Glasgow, many leading economies have cemented the intention of achieving carbon neutrality by mid-century (2050-2070). However, the geopolitical and economic crisis of 2022 threatens to reduce the priority of decarbonization policy and postpone the introduction of more restrictive measures. In the face of growing constraints, the choice of climate policy instruments becomes even more complex and important. It is necessary to analyze different options from the low-carbon development policy toolkit, to understand their strengths and weaknesses, and their potential to be used to build a comprehensive policy. This article analyzes the strengths and weaknesses of emissions trading systems (ETS) as a tool for direct carbon pricing - a measure that experts from international organizations, as well as the academic community, believe is essential for achieving climate goals. Despite the fact that carbon taxes (the second option of direct pricing) is easier to implement and administer, many jurisdictions still opt for an ETS. Several factors influence the choice of ETS as a decarbonization tool: if optimally designed, a market-based mechanism provides cost-effective emission reductions, there is potential for linkage into a larger systems, the flexibility of the instrument can also provide additional benefits, China’s national ETS is a good example of exploiting the ETS’ flexibility. Political and administrative characteristics (EU, Germany, UK, California), Kyoto, Brussels, and OECD effects (Mexico and other jurisdictions) play an important role in the choice in favour of ETS. The experience of complex and comprehensive low-carbon development strategies already being implemented shows that it is not necessary to place the ETS at the center, making it the cornerstone of policy. The role of ETS in the entire set of decarbonization measures can be central, supportive, or enabling. ETS can have different objectives and stimulate not only direct emission reductions, but also technological transformation, energy transition. For Russia as a federal state, conducting pilot projects with different instruments of carbon pricing implemented in different regions seems to be the best solution for the near future and finding the right instruments for the Low Greenhouse Gas Emissions Development Strategy.
在格拉斯哥举行的2021年《联合国气候变化框架公约》缔约方大会上,许多主要经济体巩固了到本世纪中叶(2050-2070年)实现碳中和的意图。然而,2022年的地缘政治和经济危机可能会降低脱碳政策的优先级,并推迟推出更多限制性措施。面对日益增长的制约因素,气候政策工具的选择变得更加复杂和重要。有必要分析低碳发展政策工具包中的不同选项,了解它们的优势和劣势,以及它们用于制定综合政策的潜力。本文分析了排放交易系统(ETS)作为直接碳定价工具的优势和劣势,国际组织和学术界的专家认为,这一措施对实现气候目标至关重要。尽管碳税(直接定价的第二种选择)更容易实施和管理,但许多司法管辖区仍然选择了ETS。有几个因素影响了ETS作为脱碳工具的选择:如果经过优化设计,基于市场的机制可以提供具有成本效益的减排,有可能与更大的系统挂钩,工具的灵活性也可以提供额外的好处,中国的国家ETS是利用ETS灵活性的一个很好的例子。政治和行政特征(欧盟、德国、英国、加利福尼亚)、京都、布鲁塞尔和经合组织效应(墨西哥和其他司法管辖区)在选择ETS方面发挥着重要作用。已经实施的复杂而全面的低碳发展战略的经验表明,没有必要把ETS放在中心位置,使其成为政策的基石。ETS在整套脱碳措施中的作用可以是核心的、支持性的或扶持性的。ETS可以有不同的目标,不仅可以促进直接减排,还可以促进技术转型和能源转型。对于俄罗斯作为一个联邦国家来说,在不同地区实施不同碳定价工具的试点项目似乎是近期的最佳解决方案,并为低温室气体排放发展战略找到合适的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Structure and Prospects for the Transformation of Official Development Assistance to Armenia 向亚美尼亚提供的官方发展援助的结构和转变前景
IF 0.9 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2022-04-08
V. Oksinenko
This article examines the ratio of the official development assistance (ODA) structure of Armenia to its domestic goals. For this, the author examines the structure of development assistance to Armenia and the motives of its main donors. Considering the countryʼs rather close economic cooperation with Russia and the countries of the European Union (EU), the expected political motivation of the countryʼs donors in providing and distributing ODA is revealed. However, for the most part, ODA-supported projects correspond to the real distribution of the countryʼs domestic needs: poverty reduction and support for socially vulnerable groups of the population, development of agriculture and the service sector, and support for climate initiatives. The main contribution to this is made by international organizations and the United States, which are historically the most reliable and long-standing donors of ODA to the country. The Russian Federation is also a major donor of ODA to Armenia; however, due to the peculiarities of defining development assistance at the legislative level, Russian bilateral ODA is disordered and incorrectly reflected in official statistics. In the medium term, the current structure of ODA by sector and donor can be expected to stay stable: it is based on long-term agreements on cross-country economic cooperation and the activity of a stable political structure in the United States. In the long term, the structure of Armeniaʼs ODA is likely to be most determined by the development of economic relations between the Republic of Armenia and the European Union.
本文考察了亚美尼亚官方发展援助结构与其国内目标的比例。为此,作者审查了向亚美尼亚提供发展援助的结构及其主要捐助者的动机。考虑到该国与俄罗斯和欧盟国家之间相当密切的经济合作,该国捐助者在提供和分配官方发展援助方面的预期政治动机得以揭示。然而,在大多数情况下,官方发展援助支持的项目符合该国国内需求的实际分布:减贫和支持人口中的社会弱势群体,发展农业和服务业,以及支持气候倡议。国际组织和美国对此作出了主要贡献,它们历来是向该国提供官方发展援助的最可靠和最长期的捐助者。俄罗斯联邦也是向亚美尼亚提供官方发展援助的主要捐助国;然而,由于在立法层面定义发展援助的特殊性,俄罗斯的双边官方发展援助是无序的,并错误地反映在官方统计数据中。从中期来看,目前按部门和捐助者分列的官方发展援助结构预计将保持稳定:其基础是关于跨国经济合作的长期协议和美国稳定政治结构的活动。从长远来看,亚美尼亚官方发展援助的结构可能在很大程度上取决于亚美尼亚共和国与欧盟之间经济关系的发展。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of the Global Technological Divide on World Economic Leadership, Using Examples From a Number of Developed and Developing Countries 全球技术鸿沟对世界经济领导地位的影响,以若干发达国家和发展中国家为例
IF 0.9 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2022-04-06
V. Kuzmin, A. Portanskiy
Recent technological trends and, particularly, the global technology fracture, significantly affect power distribution in the world economy. However, the problems that arise due to these tendencies and their possible consequences for the economic world order remain understudied. This article assesses the impact of the global technology fracture on economic leadership in the context of the contradictions of the West-East development models, taking into consideration both interstate conflicts in the innovative field and the rising power of big-tech companies. Complex index construction is employed to formalize the concept of leadership in the world economy and a panel data regression model is used for estimating effects of the technology fracture on it. The sample contains data on major macroeconomic and technological indicators for 30 western and 10 Asian countries from 2010 to 2019. As a result, it is concluded that the presence of a clear plan for the implementation of information and communication technologies by the state can have a positive impact on the economic leadership of a country, and the growing importance of technology giants has a negative impact on this indicator. Finally, this article contributes to a better understanding of the economic leadership concept among scholars and draws policymakersʼ attention to the necessity of new regulations in the technological sphere.
最近的技术趋势,特别是全球技术断裂,极大地影响了世界经济中的权力分配。然而,由于这些趋势而产生的问题及其对世界经济秩序可能造成的后果仍未得到充分研究。本文在东西方发展模式矛盾的背景下,考虑到创新领域的国家间冲突和大型科技公司的崛起,评估了全球技术断裂对经济领导力的影响。采用复指数构造对世界经济中的领导地位概念进行形式化,并采用面板数据回归模型估计技术断裂对其影响。样本包含30个西方国家和10个亚洲国家2010年至2019年的主要宏观经济和技术指标数据。因此,得出的结论是,国家对信息和通信技术实施的明确计划的存在可以对一个国家的经济领导地位产生积极影响,而科技巨头日益增长的重要性对该指标产生了负面影响。最后,本文有助于学者更好地理解经济领导概念,并提请政策制定者注意技术领域新法规的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
NATO and SCO: conceptual foundations and their implementation in the work of organizations 北约和上合组织:概念基础及其在组织工作中的实施
IF 0.9 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2022-04-05
Xue Fan, K. Kondakova
On 24 February 2022, Russian president Vladimir Putin, during his address to the citizens of Russia, announced a special military operation in Ukraine. Since then, the international environment on the Eurasian continent, and the world order that has existed for 30 years after the Cold War, has changed. The armed conflict in Ukraine, which occurred as a result of North Atlantic Alliance (NATO) policy, has revealed once again the differences between the approaches of Russia, China, and western countries to world order and multilateral cooperation. This article analyzes the principles of activity, goals, and decision-making mechanisms of two key international security organizations—the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and NATO. Thus, this article defines the characteristic features of NATO and SCO approaches to ensuring regional security. In addition, in view of the suspension of Russia's membership in many international organizations and the adoption of a new NATO Strategic Concept, it seems especially relevant to intensify cooperation within the organizations in which the Russian Federation retains enduring influence. In this regard, the issues and the prospects for developing and strengthening the SCO’s role on the world stage in the context of the current geopolitical situation were also considered.
2022年2月24日,俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京在向俄罗斯公民发表讲话时宣布在乌克兰采取特别军事行动。从那时起,欧亚大陆的国际环境和冷战后存在了30年的世界秩序发生了变化。北大西洋公约组织(NATO)政策导致的乌克兰武装冲突再次暴露了俄罗斯、中国和西方国家对世界秩序和多边合作的态度差异。本文分析了上海合作组织和北约这两个重要国际安全组织的活动原则、目标和决策机制。因此,本文界定了北约和上合组织确保地区安全的方法的特点。此外,鉴于俄罗斯暂停了其在许多国际组织中的成员资格,并通过了一项新的北约战略概念,加强俄罗斯联邦在其中保持持久影响力的组织内部的合作似乎尤为重要。在这方面,还考虑了在当前地缘政治形势下发展和加强上海合作组织在世界舞台上的作用的问题和前景。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Analysis of the Legal Regulation of Digital Financial Assets in Russia and Other Countries 俄罗斯与其他国家数字金融资产法律监管的比较分析
IF 0.9 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2022-04-07
M. Girich, I. Ermokhin, A. Levashenko
Today, a crypto economy is actively developing throughout the globe based on the use of cryptographic technologies for the creation of new digital products, including the issuance of digital financial instruments. The topic of regulation of digital financial assets (hereinafter referred to as DFA) is relevant in the world: since 2019, some countries, including Russia, began to introduce legal norms regarding the issuance of DFA, as well as the sale and turnover of such assets on the market. This article compares approaches to the regulation of DFA in Russia and globally, including the issue of determining financial instruments that will be related to these assets, aspects of the procedure for issuing, storing, and trading them, including the basic rights and obligations of issuers and investors in such assets, and the features of the operation of trading floors and platforms for issuing DFA. In general, two approaches to the regulation of DFA can be distinguished. The first approach is the application of existing rules to tokenized assets (for example, laws on securities and financial instruments); this approach is used in the United States. The second is regulation through the introduction of a new framework for the application of distributed ledger technology in financial services, for example, in Russia, Germany, Luxembourg, the European Union (EU), and Switzerland. This article examines the second approach, which is currently implemented in Russia, to identify differences with foreign regulation, for example, the use of custodian institution for accounting and storing digital assets, converting DFA into traditional financial assets, and creating rules for trading digital financial assets.
今天,基于使用加密技术创建新的数字产品,包括发行数字金融工具,加密经济正在全球范围内积极发展。数字金融资产(以下简称DFA)监管的话题在世界范围内具有相关性:自2019年以来,包括俄罗斯在内的一些国家开始引入关于DFA发行以及此类资产在市场上的销售和交易的法律规范。本文比较了俄罗斯和全球对DFA的监管方法,包括确定与这些资产相关的金融工具的问题,发行、存储和交易这些资产的程序的各个方面,包括发行人和投资者在这些资产中的基本权利和义务,以及发行DFA的交易大厅和平台的运作特点。一般来说,可以区分两种调节DFA的方法。第一种方法是将现有规则应用于代币化资产(例如,关于证券和金融工具的法律);这种方法在美国使用。第二种是通过引入分布式账本技术在金融服务中的应用的新框架来进行监管,例如在俄罗斯、德国、卢森堡、欧盟和瑞士。本文研究了目前在俄罗斯实施的第二种方法,以确定与外国监管的差异,例如,使用托管机构进行会计和存储数字资产,将DFA转换为传统金融资产,以及创建交易数字金融资产的规则。
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引用次数: 0
China and the WTO: From Difficult Access to Partial Leadership 中国与WTO:从难以进入到部分领导
IF 0.9 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2022-03-01
Jiejin Zhu, Yuhang Wei
This paper has explored the interactions between China and the WTO, arguing that it can be divided into three different stages, ranging from difficult access to comprehensive adaptation and to partial leadership. Through the three stages, the conflict and resolution of the dilemmas of market economy status and developing country status is the driving force. In the difficult access period, the market economy dilemma embodies the optional safeguard measures and antidumping measures and the developing country dilemma embodies the access to the market of finance, insurance, and telecommunication in the negotiation of China’s entry to the GATT/WTO. In the comprehensive adaption period, China, out of defending its own market economy status, has been using the WTO rules to counter America’s demands on China such as anti-dumping proceedings and the criticism of “stagnation of China’s reform”. Meanwhile, China still has been sticking to its special and differential treatment of developing country status. In the period of partial leadership, while insisting that it is a developing country, China has strategically advocated that developing countries should realize its national interest by adopting the new policy of “open for development”, embodying its leadership in the emerging issues of WTO negotiations such as the e-commerce and investment facilitation.
本文探讨了中国与WTO的互动关系,认为它可以分为三个不同的阶段,从难以进入到全面适应和部分领导。通过这三个阶段,市场经济地位与发展中国家地位困境的冲突与解决是其动力。在中国加入GATT/WTO谈判中,在准入困难时期,市场经济困境表现为可选择的保障措施和反倾销措施,发展中国家困境表现为金融、保险、电信等市场的准入。在全面适应期,出于维护自身市场经济地位的考虑,中国一直在利用WTO规则来反击美国对中国的反倾销诉讼、“中国改革停滞”的批评等要求。同时,中国仍然坚持给予发展中国家特殊和差别待遇。在部分领导时期,中国在坚持自己是发展中国家的同时,战略性地倡导发展中国家通过“开放发展”的新政策来实现国家利益,体现了中国在WTO谈判中出现的电子商务、投资便利化等问题上的领导地位。
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引用次数: 0
Approaches of BRICS Countries to Data Regulation 金砖国家数据监管的途径
IF 0.9 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2022-03-09
A. Shelepov
Data are not a new economic resource, but their level is now growing at an unprecedented rate as a result of digital devices and services proliferation. Analysis of emerging national data regulatory systems shows significant differences in country approaches, especially in relation to cross-border data flows, depending on economic specifics and national interests. Differences in approaches between major actors pose challenges for other countries, increase the fragmentation of the global regulatory environment, create uncertainty, and multiply compliance costs for businesses. These factors determine the importance of international cooperation on data governance. The author reviews the approaches of four BRICS countries – China, India, Brazil and South Africa – to data governance, primarily regulations of cross-border flows, as well as data localization requirements. Based on the results of the review, general trends of the reviewed countries’ approaches to data governance have been identified, leading to the conclusion that BRICS cooperation can be strengthened, primarily in the area of mutual recognition of the existing and discussed data protection measures adequacy to ensure mutually beneficial cross-border data movement.
数据并不是一种新的经济资源,但由于数字设备和服务的激增,数据的水平正在以前所未有的速度增长。对新兴国家数据管理系统的分析表明,各国的做法存在显著差异,特别是在跨境数据流动方面,这取决于经济具体情况和国家利益。主要参与者之间方法的差异给其他国家带来了挑战,增加了全球监管环境的碎片化,造成了不确定性,并增加了企业的合规成本。这些因素决定了数据治理国际合作的重要性。作者回顾了四个金砖国家——中国、印度、巴西和南非——在数据治理方面的做法,主要是对跨境流动的监管,以及数据本地化要求。根据审查结果,确定了受审查国家数据治理方法的总体趋势,得出结论认为金砖国家可以加强合作,主要是在相互承认现有和讨论的数据保护措施是否充分,以确保互利的跨境数据流动方面。
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引用次数: 0
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Vestnik Mezhdunarodnykh Organizatsii-International Organisations Research Journal
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