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Deviations between Government Debt and Changes in Government Deficit, Why They Tend to Persist 政府债务与政府赤字变化之间的偏差,为什么它们倾向于持续存在
IF 0.2 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.25
Václav Rybáček
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Consumption Smoothing on the Development of the Czech Economy in the Most Recent 30 Years 近30年来消费平稳对捷克经济发展的影响
IF 0.2 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.40
Stanislava Hronová, L. Marek, Richard Hindls
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引用次数: 1
Material Flows Mobilized by Motor Vehicles and Transport Equipment Manufacturing and Use in the Czech Republic: an Application of Economy Wide Material System Analysis 捷克共和国机动车辆和运输设备制造和使用动员的物流:全经济材料系统分析的应用
IF 0.2 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.28
J. Kovanda
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引用次数: 0
Approximate Valuation of Life Insurance Portfolio with the Cluster Analysis: Trade-Off Between Computation Time and Precision 基于聚类分析的寿险投资组合近似估值:计算时间和精度的权衡
IF 0.2 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.23
János Fojtik, Jiří Procházka, Pavel Zimmermann
Valuation of the insurance portfolio is one of the essential actuarial tasks. Life insurance valuation is usually based on a projection of cash flows for each policy which is demanding computation time. Furthermore, modern financial management requires multiple valuations under different scenarios or input parameters. A method to reduce computation time while preserving as much accuracy as possible based on cluster analysis is presented. The basic idea of the method is to replace the original portfolio by a smaller representative portfolio based on clusters with some weights that would ensure the similarity of the valuation results to the original portfolio. Valuation is then significantly faster but requires initial time for clustering and the results are only approximate – different from the original results. The difference is studied for a different number of clusters and the trade-off between the approximation error and calculation time is evaluated.
保险投资组合的估值是一项重要的精算任务。人寿保险估价通常基于每一份保单的现金流预测,这需要计算时间。此外,现代财务管理需要在不同的场景或输入参数下进行多次估值。提出了一种基于聚类分析的在尽可能保持精度的同时减少计算时间的方法。该方法的基本思想是用一个较小的代表性投资组合取代原始投资组合,该投资组合基于具有一定权重的聚类,以确保估值结果与原始投资组合的相似性。然后,估值明显更快,但需要初始时间进行聚类,结果只是近似的——与原始结果不同。研究了不同簇数的差异,并评估了近似误差和计算时间之间的权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Economic Growth in the European Union Countries 欧盟国家经济增长的决定因素
IF 0.2 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.16
Emília Zimková, Michaela Vidiečanová, Petra Cisková
This paper reassesses the long-debated relationship between the financial system development and economic growth. We use not only indicators for financial access, efficiency, stability and depth of the bank-oriented financial sector, but we also consider Eurozone membership, corruption perception and competitiveness of countries to examine the determinants of economic growth. We apply a panel data approach to 27 European countries over the 2004–2017 period. By splitting the time span, we examine whether the effect of financial system development, Eurozone membership, corruption perception and competitiveness on economic growth is affected by the occurrence of financial and debt crises. Our results indicate that loans to private sector do not always support economic growth. Our research also reveals that corruption perception has a negative impact on economic growth, and so does membership in Eurozone during a crisis.
本文重新评估了长期争论的金融体系发展与经济增长之间的关系。我们不仅使用金融准入、效率、稳定性和银行金融部门深度等指标,还考虑欧元区成员国、腐败认知和国家竞争力,以研究经济增长的决定因素。我们对2004-2017年期间的27个欧洲国家采用了面板数据方法。通过分割时间跨度,我们考察了金融体系发展、欧元区成员、腐败认知和竞争力对经济增长的影响是否受到金融和债务危机发生的影响。我们的研究结果表明,对私营部门的贷款并不总是支持经济增长。我们的研究还表明,腐败观念对经济增长有负面影响,危机期间欧元区成员资格也有负面影响。
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引用次数: 2
Social Progress Index for Urban and Rural Areas of a Region: Evidence from Peru 一个地区城乡社会进步指数:来自秘鲁的证据
IF 0.2 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.7
Maylee Inga-Hancco, Adamari Indigoyen-Porras, Sergio Parra-Alarcón, Juan Cerrón-Aliaga, W. Vicente-Ramos
The present study describes the methodological process proposed by the Social Progress Imperative Global Organization to calculate the Social Progress Index in urban and rural areas of the province of Huancayo, Peru, in 2020. The survey was based on 229 observations regarding basic human needs, foundations of well-being and opportunities. The result produced an index of 56.04 for urban areas and 53.98 for rural areas; results that are in the low and low middle range respectively, identifying deficiencies in the quality of economic policies, with respect to the sanitation service, where more than 30% do not have access to drinking water, and others. It was concluded that the index showed no improvement with respect to 2019, likewise the social gaps still persist and the well-being of the aforementioned population was not increased.
本研究描述了社会进步强制性全球组织提出的2020年秘鲁万卡约省城乡社会进步指数的计算方法。这项调查基于229项关于人类基本需求、福祉基础和机会的观察。结果显示,城市地区的指数为56.04,农村地区为53.98;分别处于低和中低范围的结果,确定了经济政策质量方面的不足,在卫生服务方面,超过30%的人无法获得饮用水,以及其他方面。得出的结论是,该指数与2019年相比没有改善,同样,社会差距仍然存在,上述人口的福祉也没有增加。
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引用次数: 0
A Critical View on Pension Savings in Slovakia 斯洛伐克养老金储蓄批判
IF 0.2 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.11
Jana Špirková, M. Dobrovic, Miroslava Vinczeova
In almost all countries around the world, pension systems are based on several pillars. This is also the case of Slovakia with its three-pillar pension system. The paper presents a case study underlying the risks that can seriously affect the amount of future pensions. The case study clearly indicates that current pensions in Slovakia paid under all three pillars do not correspond with the expectations from the implementation of the three-pillar pension system. The aim of the paper is to the risks that can seriously affect the amount of future pensions. Our own contribution is the determination of the amount of pension for a specific pensioner specified in the presented case study. Within the saving phase of pension contributions the development of investment fund returns, the amount of future pensioner´s contributions, as well as administrative costs are analyzed on a monthly basis. The payout phase is modelled using actuarial functions applying the mortality tables of Slovakia.
在世界上几乎所有国家,养老金制度都以几个支柱为基础。斯洛伐克的三支柱养老金制度也是如此。本文对可能严重影响未来养老金金额的风险进行了案例研究。案例研究清楚地表明,斯洛伐克目前在所有三大支柱下支付的养老金与实施三大支柱养老金制度的期望不符。本文的目的是研究可能严重影响未来养老金金额的风险。我们自己的贡献是确定本案例研究中指定的特定养老金领取者的养老金金额。在养老金缴款的储蓄阶段,投资基金回报的发展、未来养老金领取者的缴款金额以及管理成本每月进行分析。支出阶段采用精算函数,采用斯洛伐克的死亡率表进行建模。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis of the Impact of Expenditures on Education and R&D on GDP in Central European Countries 中欧国家教育和研发支出对GDP的影响分析
IF 0.2 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.20
V. Derbentsev, Y. Pasichnyk, L. Tulush, Ievgeniya Pozhar
The main purpose of this paper is to identify the impact of public spending on education and research and development (R&D) on the formation of gross domestic product (GDP) in nine Central European countries, which are divided into two clusters – "old" and "new" EU members. The study took into account official Eurostat data of both the EU and national statistical organizations for the period 2010–2019. The analysis of this impact was carried out using a system approach, statistics and econometric framework including panel data regression, Wald, Breusch-Pagan, Hausman tests. The main finding of the present study is the identification of additional income in terms of GDP in Euro per capita for selected countries, which is obtained from adequately spent public funds for education and R&D. Our results showed that the strongest influence of these expenditures for the "old" members was in Germany and Austria, and for the "new" – in Slovenia and Czechia. It is proved that this impact is different in individual countries and is determined by the public financial policy of national governments.
本文的主要目的是确定9个中欧国家在教育和研发方面的公共支出对国内生产总值形成的影响,这些国家被分为“旧”和“新”欧盟成员国。该研究考虑了欧盟统计局和国家统计组织2010-2019年期间的官方数据。对这种影响的分析采用了系统方法、统计学和计量经济学框架,包括面板数据回归、Wald、Breusch-Pagan和Hausman检验。本研究的主要发现是确定了选定国家以人均欧元计算的国内生产总值的额外收入,这些收入是从用于教育和研发的充足公共资金中获得的。我们的研究结果表明,这些支出对“旧”成员国的影响最大的是德国和奥地利,对“新”成员国——斯洛文尼亚和捷克。事实证明,这种影响在各个国家是不同的,是由各国政府的公共财政政策决定的。
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引用次数: 0
Use of Administrative Data for Waste Statistics in the Czech Republic 捷克共和国使用行政数据进行废物统计
IF 0.2 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.21
Marie Boušková, Tomáš Harák
The Czech Statistical Office (CZSO) changed the calculation of the total volume of waste and also changed the definition of municipal waste compared to the previous methodology. This was made possible by the wider use of the existing administrative data source, the Integrated Environmental Reporting System (ISPOP). The change in the definition of municipal waste was a response to recent Eurostat activities, which led to a more precise definition. The original method no longer meets this definition.
与以前的方法相比,捷克统计局改变了废物总量的计算方法,也改变了城市废物的定义。这是因为更广泛地使用了现有的行政数据来源,即综合环境报告系统。改变城市废物的定义是对欧共体统计局最近的活动作出的反应,这些活动导致了更精确的定义。原来的方法不再满足这个定义。
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引用次数: 0
Food Consumption and Availability in Czechia in the Years 1993–2019 1993-2019年捷克的食品消费和供应情况
IF 0.2 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2021-12-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.14
Marcela Mácová
The article deals with comparison of consumption of food and beverages in the Czech Republic in the years 1993 and 2019 as well as of two main sources of food and food materials, their domestic production and cross border movements.
本文比较了捷克共和国1993年和2019年的食品和饮料消费情况,以及食品和食品材料的两个主要来源、国内生产和跨境流动情况。
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引用次数: 1
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Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal
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