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Property Tax Deferral: Can a Public/Private Partnership Help Provide Lifetime Income? 物业税递延:公私合伙是否有助于提供终身收入?
Pub Date : 2020-06-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3636483
A. Munnell, Wenliang Hou, Abigail N. Walters
Many retirees will not have enough money from conventional retirement programs to maintain their standard of living once they stop working. To help support themselves, they will need to tap their home equity, the major asset for most middle-income older households. Yet tapping home equity is difficult: most people are reluctant to downsize and, even when they do, they rarely reduce their housing expenses. Reverse mortgages are an option, but most households are put off by the enormity of the decision, the complexity of the product, and the high up-front costs. A statewide property tax deferral program overcomes the hurdles to accessing home equity. Property tax deferral does not provide access to as much home equity as a reverse mortgage, but the offsetting advantage is that some of the house value after the repayment of the loan and interest will be available for a bequest. At the household level, the proposed program is revenue-neutral: all taxes owed by a participating household are paid back, with interest sufficient to cover borrowing costs and administrative expenses. But because loans are made well in advance of repayments, the sponsor of the plan must cover start-up costs. In Massachusetts, if the state government simply borrowed money to cover the annual outlays, the state’s ratio of debt-to-GSP would rise from 14.0 percent to 15.1 percent. The alternative is to involve the private sector. This decision would raise the costs to homeowners, but nevertheless it may be necessary to get a broad-based program up and running.
许多退休人员一旦停止工作,将无法从传统的退休计划中获得足够的钱来维持他们的生活水平。为了养活自己,他们需要动用房屋净值,这是大多数中等收入老年家庭的主要资产。然而,利用房屋净值是困难的:大多数人不愿意缩小住房规模,即使他们这样做了,他们也很少减少住房支出。反向抵押贷款是一种选择,但大多数家庭都因为这个决定的巨大程度、产品的复杂性和高昂的前期成本而犹豫不决。一项全州范围的房产税延期计划克服了获得房屋净值的障碍。财产税递延不像反向抵押贷款那样提供那么多的房屋净值,但抵消的好处是,偿还贷款和利息后的部分房屋价值将可用于遗赠。在家庭层面,拟议中的计划是收入中性的:参与计划的家庭所欠的所有税款都将得到偿还,利息足以支付借款成本和管理费用。但由于贷款是在还款之前发放的,因此该计划的发起人必须支付启动成本。在马萨诸塞州,如果州政府只是借钱来支付年度支出,那么该州的债务与普惠制的比率将从14.0%上升到15.1%。另一种选择是让私营部门参与进来。这一决定将提高房主的成本,但可能有必要启动并运行一个基础广泛的计划。
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引用次数: 3
Assessment of Measures for Tax Regulation of Transfer Pricing from the Standpoint of National Welfare (Оценка мер по налоговому регулированию трансфертного ценообразования с точки зрения национального благосостояния)
Pub Date : 2020-06-19 DOI: 10.17323/j.jcfr.2073-0438.14.1.2020.80-90
L. Polezharova
This article is devoted to development of mathematical models for resolving an actual scientific challenge in the field of corporate finance. This involves substantiating taxation policies for the counter-acting tax planning of multinational companies (MNC), and then devising and articulating the appropriate international taxation scheme, as evaluated from the position of national welfare policy. Based on an analysis of existing models of international taxation, and on the peculiarities of the actual mechanism of capital movement tax regulation, new models with equilibrium postulated have been developed. The primary mechanisms of this research involve the following considerations: (1) examination of an approach targeted at the determination of the final outcomes of international taxation from the perspective of national economies; (2) measures of tax planning on the part of MNCs, and corresponding counter-acting measures to the tax planning applied by governments, are taken as a complex. Our results indicate that because a government uses rules of controlled transactions, in order to counter-act MNCs’ tax planning, for the government the final outcome from an application of these rules may be negative. This is due to a possibility of MNCs’ development in convenient and offshore jurisdictions. This finding is illustrated by means of an approbation of models with a case study involving a three-tier structure.Further to this point, instead of additional revenues, a government is at a risk of a shrinking tax base and a reduction in budget revenues; and moreover from the perspective of national welfare, the additional loss of revenues and capital of MNCs. Therefore there is a significant importance in forming rules for MNC taxation policies which would focus not on taxes as such, but would focus on trying to keep capital within the territory and/or would facilitate the return of earlier divested income. This could be attempted, for example, by using the secondary adjustment rule in conjunction with a minimum tax on return. The novelty of this research resides in the specificity of our investigation and the applicability of our conclusions to the practical challenges of international taxation and national revenue policies. The peculiarities of this economic moment and the crucial challenges for national governments in dealing with MNCs and the digital economy underline the significance of this study. Our results expand and develop the existing literature in this ever-crucial area be of immediate use to policymakers, academics and administrators involved in national and international taxation, finance, economics, and analysis.
本文致力于发展数学模型,以解决公司财务领域的一个实际科学挑战。这包括为跨国公司的反税收规划制定税收政策,然后设计和阐明适当的国际税收计划,从国家福利政策的立场进行评价。在分析现有国际税收模型的基础上,根据资本流动税收调节实际机制的特点,提出了以均衡为前提的资本流动税收调节新模型。本研究的主要机制涉及以下考虑:(1)从国民经济的角度考察旨在确定国际税收最终结果的方法;(2)将跨国公司的税收筹划措施与政府对跨国公司税收筹划采取的相应应对措施作为一个综合体。我们的研究结果表明,由于政府使用控制交易规则来对抗跨国公司的税收筹划,对于政府来说,应用这些规则的最终结果可能是负面的。这是由于跨国公司有可能在便利的离岸司法管辖区发展。这一发现是通过对涉及三层结构的案例研究模型的认可来说明的。更进一步说,政府面临的不是额外收入,而是税基萎缩和预算收入减少的风险;此外,从国家福利的角度来看,跨国公司的收入和资本的额外损失。因此,制定跨国公司税收政策的规则具有重要意义,这些规则将不侧重于税收本身,而是侧重于试图将资本保留在领土内和/或促进早期剥离收入的回报。例如,可以尝试将二级调整规则与最低退税税结合使用。这项研究的新颖之处在于我们调查的特殊性和我们的结论对国际税收和国家税收政策的实际挑战的适用性。当前经济形势的特殊性,以及各国政府在应对跨国公司和数字经济方面面临的关键挑战,凸显了本研究的重要性。我们的研究结果扩展和发展了这一至关重要领域的现有文献,对参与国内和国际税收、金融、经济和分析的政策制定者、学者和管理人员有直接的帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Public Finance and Technological Development in Central Asia 中亚地区的公共财政与技术发展
Pub Date : 2020-06-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3806227
R. Mogilevskii
This paper discusses the current situation with government revenue, expenditure, and deficits in the economies of Central Asia and considers the options available to use fiscal policy to support the technological development of these economies. It analyses contemporary issues in the public finances of these countries including the size of their governments, efficiency losses due to uneven taxation of different sectors and entities, ineffective foreign aid, and government expenditure inefficiency. The paper provides recommendations for the modification of fiscal policies to promote economic diversification and productivity growth in Central Asia.
本文讨论了中亚经济体政府收入、支出和赤字的现状,并考虑了利用财政政策支持这些经济体技术发展的可行选择。它分析了这些国家公共财政中的当代问题,包括政府规模、不同部门和实体的不平衡税收导致的效率损失、无效的外国援助和政府支出效率低下。本文为中亚国家调整财政政策以促进经济多样化和生产率增长提供了建议。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact Factor of Education on the Public Sector – The Case of the U.S. 教育对公共部门的影响因素——以美国为例
Pub Date : 2020-06-13 DOI: 10.25103/ijbesar.131.07
Constantinos Challoumis Κωνσταντίνος Χαλλουμής
Purpose: To this thesis is analyzed the impact factor of education to the public sector and tax system, through a procedure of theoretical and mathematical analysis, a quantification method, an econometric method and behavioral scrutiny by a real case scenario. This work compares the cycle of money, to the one case using the impact factor of education and to the other case without it. Then, this work aims to study if the taxes for the education don’t belong to the general approach that taxes make weaker the cycle of money, but have a positive effect on the economy, are a different case as the theory of the cycle of money provides.

Design/methodology/approach: The analysis stands on the cycle of money and the impact factor of education. Therefore, the appropriate education to the economy supports the market and in general the economy. The impact factor of education enforces the economic dynamic of any economy. The study of cases when there is the factor of education and when this factor is omitted allows the extraction of the appropriate conclusions. Moreover, this analysis is used for the Q.E. method through R.B.Q. model. The use of simulations before the real application guarantees the significance of the results. To be able to understand the way that taxes for the education system, estimated to the one case how the economy interacts with these taxes and after this examination without these taxes, following the mathematical logic of the “reductio ad absurdum”.

Finding: The education of the U.S. for the period of 2012-2017 shows that taxes for education return to the economy, enhancing it. The general approach of simulation complies with this real case scenario.

Research limitations/implications: This paper shows that according to the theory of the cycle of money the education belongs to the case of factors that the taxes return to the economy, and robust the economic dynamic of a society.

Originality/value: The findings of this study contribute to the existing knowledge regarding the concept of the cycle of money to the case of education. The taxes on education belong to the case that the money returns to the economy, on the contrary with most taxes that are not robust the economy and should be reduced.
目的:本文通过理论和数学分析、量化方法、计量经济学方法和实际案例的行为检验,分析教育对公共部门和税收制度的影响因素。这项工作将货币周期与一种使用教育影响因素的情况和另一种不使用教育影响因素的情况进行比较。然后,本工作旨在研究教育税收是否不属于税收削弱货币周期的一般方法,而是对经济产生积极影响,这是货币周期理论提供的另一种情况。设计/方法/方法:分析基于金钱的循环和教育的影响因素。因此,适当的经济教育支持市场和总体经济。教育的影响因素加强了任何经济体的经济活力。在存在教育因素和忽略这一因素的情况下,对案例的研究可以得出适当的结论。并通过R.B.Q.模型对qe.e.方法进行了分析。在实际应用之前进行仿真,保证了结果的意义。为了能够理解教育系统的税收方式,估计到一个案例中经济是如何与这些税收相互作用的,以及在没有这些税收的情况下,遵循“还原法与谬论”的数学逻辑。发现:2012-2017年期间美国的教育表明,教育税收回归经济,增强了经济。模拟的一般方法符合实际情况。研究局限/启示:根据货币周期理论,教育属于税收回归经济的因素,并增强了一个社会的经济活力。原创性/价值:本研究的发现有助于将现有的关于货币周期概念的知识运用到教育案例中。教育税属于资金回归经济的情况,与大多数对经济不强劲的税收相反,应该减少。
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引用次数: 6
The Role of Knowledge for Policy Preferences: Evidence from Argentina 知识对政策偏好的作用:来自阿根廷的证据
Pub Date : 2020-06-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3625736
Alexandra Petrachkova
In this dissertation, I study the role of knowledge in policy preferences. In democracies, voters are often criticized for not being sufficiently informed when making their political decisions. Political scientists disagree about how consequential this ignorance is for the quality of democratic government. One camp emphasizes that people are capable of learning new information and that knowledge makes them change their views. Following this line of reasoning, I suggest using fundamental knowledge relevant to a specific policy domain rather than measuring knowledge that is directly related to the political world.

I focus on one policy domain – economic policies. I use the Global Financial Literacy test developed by Standard & Poor’s as a proxy for economic knowledge. I ask respondents to complete this test at the end of the three original surveys that I conducted in Argentina in 2017, 2018, and 2019. In total, 10,457 individuals participated in the surveys. I choose this country to study the effect of knowledge on policy preferences because of a drastic change in economic policies in 2015.

I find that those who score higher on the test are more likely to support pro-market economic policies, such as elimination of trade barriers, elimination of subsidies, and integration into the world financial markets. My identification strategy includes using a measure of knowledge that is uncorrelated with the most important driver for policy preferences – partisan attachments- and conducting analysis in two different contexts – economic boom and recession. The latter helps address possible confoundedness between financial knowledge and other factors, such as social status, that are important both for knowledge and policy preferences.

In addition to observational evidence, I provide randomly selected respondents in the 2018 and 2019 surveys with survey treatments – passages in which consequences of economic policies in Argentina and Venezuela are discussed. The results largely support the view that information helps shape policy positions. I receive stronger results in 2018 than in 2019. In 2018, I find that respondents who received the treatment are more likely to support the open economy and the debt repayment. In 2019, the coefficients for the treatment dummies do not reach a conventional level of significance, although their signs are consistent with the hypothesis.

Overall, my findings suggest that fundamental non-partisan knowledge matters when it comes to policy preferences.
在本文中,我研究了知识在政策偏好中的作用。在民主国家,选民在做出政治决定时经常被批评没有充分了解情况。对于这种无知对民主政府的质量有多大影响,政治学家持不同意见。一个阵营强调,人们有能力学习新的信息,知识使他们改变自己的观点。按照这种推理思路,我建议使用与特定政策领域相关的基础知识,而不是衡量与政治世界直接相关的知识。我专注于一个政策领域——经济政策。我使用的是Standard &开发的全球金融素养测试。穷人是经济知识的代表。我要求受访者在我于2017年、2018年和2019年在阿根廷进行的三次原始调查结束时完成这个测试。总共有10457人参与了调查。我之所以选择这个国家来研究知识对政策偏好的影响,是因为2015年经济政策发生了巨大的变化。我发现那些在测试中得分较高的人更有可能支持亲市场的经济政策,比如消除贸易壁垒、取消补贴和融入世界金融市场。我的识别策略包括使用一种与政策偏好最重要的驱动因素——党派依恋——无关的知识衡量标准,并在两种不同的背景下——经济繁荣和衰退——进行分析。后者有助于解决金融知识与其他因素(如社会地位)之间可能存在的混淆,这些因素对知识和政策偏好都很重要。除了观察性证据外,我还为2018年和2019年调查中随机选择的受访者提供了调查处理方法——其中讨论了阿根廷和委内瑞拉经济政策的后果。研究结果在很大程度上支持了信息有助于形成政策立场的观点。我在2018年的业绩比2019年要好。2018年,我发现接受治疗的受访者更倾向于支持开放经济和债务偿还。在2019年,治疗假人的系数没有达到传统的显著性水平,尽管它们的迹象与假设一致。总的来说,我的研究结果表明,在政策偏好方面,无党派的基本知识很重要。
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引用次数: 0
Pakistan: Withholdingization of the Economic System - A Source of Revenue, Civil Strife, or Dutch Disease+? 巴基斯坦:经济体系的封闭——收入来源、内乱还是荷兰病?
Pub Date : 2020-06-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3621413
M. A. Ahmed
The paper takes an incisive shot at the systemic inadequacies that have tiptoed into the economic order of the state over time via the apparently innocuous mechanism of withholding taxes. Withholding tax – a legitimate instrument of preponing the state revenues on clearly identifiable chunks of incomes – has historically been resorted to by most states, and to that extent it should be normal with Pakistan, too. However, what has happened in Pakistan is that the tool of withholding taxation has been used as a source of revenues way too large in scale, size, scope and intensity. In addition to the pulling forward of tax collection on clearly demarcated chunks of incomes, a large number of transactions have also been roped into its nexus and then charged to tax by presumptivizing gross receipts as income – a withholdingization of the sorts not only of the tax system but of the entire economic system as a weighty portion of ubiquitous withholding taxes gets stuck into the pricing structure of the final goods and services produced in the economy rendering them price-incompetitive in the international market. This overwhelming withholdingization of the economic system, it is argued, has been brought about by a numb state continually operating under, using a Freudian framework, the “pleasure principle” instead of the “reality principle” with political governments complacently choosing to continue harvesting quick bucks into the exchequer, pushing the extractive system into a total disarray, the society into burgeoning civil strife, and the economy to the Dutch Disease effect.
随着时间的推移,通过看似无害的预扣税机制,系统性的缺陷已经悄悄进入了国家的经济秩序,这篇论文对这些缺陷进行了尖锐的抨击。预扣税——一种在明确可识别的大块收入上预支国家收入的合法工具——历来被大多数国家采用,从某种程度上说,这在巴基斯坦也应该是正常的。然而,在巴基斯坦发生的事情是,预扣税的工具被用作规模、规模、范围和强度太大的收入来源。除了推动对明确划分的大块收入征税外,大量的交易也被捆绑在它的关系中,然后通过假定收入总额作为收入来征税- -这种预扣税不仅适用于税收系统,而且适用于整个经济系统,因为无处不在的预扣税的很大一部分被卡在经济中生产的最终商品和服务的定价结构中,使它们在国际市场上缺乏价格竞争力。有人认为,这种对经济体系的压倒性抵制,是由一个麻木的国家带来的,使用弗洛伊德的框架,“快乐原则”而不是“现实原则”,政治政府自满地选择继续从国库中获取快钱,将采掘系统推向完全混乱,社会陷入迅速发展的内乱,经济陷入荷兰病效应。
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引用次数: 4
Promoting Public Retirement Savings Accounts during Tax Filing: Evidence from a Field Experiment 在报税过程中促进公共退休储蓄账户:来自实地实验的证据
Pub Date : 2020-06-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3619113
S. Roll, M. Grinstein‐Weiss, O. Kondratjeva, Sam Bufe
Many U.S. households — especially those with low- to moderate-incomes (LMI) — struggle to save for retirement. To address this issue, the Department of the Treasury launched myRA, a no-fee retirement account designed primarily to help people who lacked access to employer-sponsored plans build retirement savings. In this paper, we report findings from two myRA-focused field experiments, both of which were administered to well over 100,000 LMI online tax filers before and during the 2016 tax season. The first experiment involved sending one of three different myRA-focused email messages to tax filers immediately prior to tax season, and the second experiment involved incorporating myRA-focused messages and choice architecture directly into an online tax filing platform. Messages were chosen to address different barriers to retirement savings LMI households may face. We find that, though the general level of interest in myRA was very low in this population, interest and enrollment in myRA depends heavily on the way in which the benefits of the accounts are framed. Results from both experiments indicate that messages emphasizing the possibility of receiving a larger refund in the future were the most effective at increasing interest in myRA, while messages focused around the simplicity and ease of use of the accounts were less effective. We also conduct several sub-sample analyses to investigate the extent to which these effects differed by key household characteristics.
许多美国家庭,尤其是低收入和中等收入家庭,都在努力为退休储蓄。为了解决这个问题,财政部推出了myRA,这是一个免费的退休账户,主要是为了帮助那些无法获得雇主赞助计划的人建立退休储蓄。在本文中,我们报告了两个以myra为重点的实地实验的结果,这两个实验都是在2016年税收季节之前和期间对超过10万名LMI在线报税者进行的。第一个实验涉及在纳税季节之前立即向税务申报人发送三种不同的以myra为重点的电子邮件中的一种,第二个实验涉及将myra为重点的信息和选择架构直接纳入在线税务申报平台。选择的信息是为了解决低收入家庭可能面临的退休储蓄的不同障碍。我们发现,尽管这一人群对myRA的总体兴趣水平非常低,但对myRA的兴趣和登记在很大程度上取决于账户利益的构建方式。两个实验的结果都表明,强调未来可能获得更大退款的信息在增加对myRA的兴趣方面是最有效的,而关注于账户的简单性和易用性的信息效果较差。我们还进行了几个子样本分析,以调查这些影响在多大程度上因关键家庭特征而不同。
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引用次数: 1
The Possibility for Stateless Dynastic Wealth and the Case of China 无国籍王朝财富的可能性与中国的案例
Pub Date : 2020-06-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3619227
Mark P. Gergen
Part I of this paper explains how wealth managers have modified the trust to create the possibility for stateless dynastic wealth. By this I mean wealth that is held by a family through a trust that is established in a haven state to eliminate the power of other states to regulate and oversee transmission and management of wealth and to make it very difficult for courts in another state to levy against wealth on behalf of private creditors. These structures also permit legal tax avoidance if income and wealth is not attributed to family members. And they facilitate tax evasion by not reporting foreign income and wealth. I use the relatively novel structure of a perpetual purpose trust to illustrate. Part II is a case study of China. It draws on multiple sources of information to estimate the potential demand for wealth preservation services in China and the current extent of the use of such services. I selected China as a case study in part because it was in the remit of the conference for which this paper was written, which was sponsored by the Chinese Journal of Comparative Law. This was a happy coincidence. Several factors make China an interesting case study. Private wealth has grown exponentially in China in the last fifty years, creating large potential demand for wealth preservation services. But China has been slow in developing internal legal structures like family trusts that would enable wealth holders in China to preserve wealth using Chinese law and Chinese entities. This creates an incentive to move wealth outside of China in addition to the usual incentives canvassed in Part I. Political risk adds to the incentive to move wealth outside of China. But it seems that relatively little wealth has moved outside of China compared to other wealthy states. Some of this lack of uptake of wealth management services may be attributed to unfamiliarity with such services. I speculate that a significant part can be attributed to restrictions imposed by China on the movement of capital. These restrictions increase the cost of moving capital out of China. This would imply is that there is not strong intrinsic demand for the more exotic services wealth managers can provide, such as the structure described in Part I. This is consistent with the experience in the U.S. where a change in tax law in 1986 is thought to explain an increase in demand for perpetual trusts. If this speculation is correct, then China would expect there to be a significant increase in capital export if it liberalized capital accounts and increased taxes on wealth. And, if the U.S. adopted significant wealth taxes such as have been proposed by some progressive Democrats, then we should expect wealthy individuals to respond by increasing use of structures such as the structure described in Part I.
本文第一部分解释了财富管理者如何修改信托以创造无国籍王朝财富的可能性。我指的是由一个家族通过在一个避风港州建立的信托基金持有的财富,以消除其他州监管和监督财富转移和管理的权力,并使另一个州的法院很难代表私人债权人征收财富。如果收入和财富不归属于家庭成员,这些结构也允许合法避税。他们还通过不报告海外收入和财富,为逃税提供便利。我用一个相对新颖的永久目的信托结构来说明。第二部分是中国的案例研究。它利用多种信息来源来估计中国对财富保值服务的潜在需求以及目前这种服务的使用程度。我之所以选择中国作为案例研究,部分原因是这篇论文是由《中国比较法杂志》(Chinese Journal of Comparative Law)主办的。这是一个令人愉快的巧合。有几个因素使中国成为一个有趣的研究案例。在过去的50年里,中国的私人财富呈指数级增长,对财富保值服务产生了巨大的潜在需求。但中国在发展家族信托等国内法律结构方面进展缓慢,这些法律结构将使中国的财富持有者能够利用中国法律和中国实体来保护财富。这就产生了一种将财富转移到中国境外的动机,除了第一部分中讨论的通常的动机之外。政治风险增加了将财富转移到中国境外的动机。但与其他富裕国家相比,中国转移到海外的财富似乎相对较少。缺乏财富管理服务的部分原因可能是对此类服务不熟悉。我推测,很大一部分原因可以归因于中国对资本流动的限制。这些限制增加了资本流出中国的成本。这意味着,对于财富管理公司可以提供的更奇特的服务,如第一部分中描述的结构,并没有强烈的内在需求。这与美国的经验是一致的,1986年税法的变化被认为是永久信托需求增加的原因。如果这种猜测是正确的,那么,如果中国放开资本账户并提高财富税,那么中国预计资本输出将大幅增加。而且,如果美国采纳了一些进步的民主党人提出的重要的财富税,那么我们应该期待富有的个人通过增加使用第一部分中描述的结构来回应。
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引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic Effects of Capital Tax Rate Changes 资本税率变动的宏观经济效应
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.24149/GWP391
Saroj Bhattarai, Jae Won Lee, Woong Yong Park, Choongryul Yang
We study aggregate, distributional, and welfare effects of a permanent reduction in the capital tax rate in a quantitative model with capital-skill complementarity and household heterogeneity. Such a tax reform leads to expansionary long-run aggregate output and investment effects, but those are coupled with increases in wage, consumption, and income inequality. The tax reform is not self-financing and its effects depend crucially on whether the government cuts lump-sum transfers or raises distortionary labor or consumption tax rates for financing. The former results in a larger aggregate expansion, but at the expense of a greater rise in inequality. As a result, the latter is relatively more beneficial for unskilled households. We find that the tax reform, when the consumption tax rate adjusts, leads to a Pareto improvement in terms of life-time welfare. For transition dynamics, monetary policy, in addition to the fiscal adjustments, matters. In particular, if monetary policy inflates away a portion of the public debt, the economy can avoid the short-run contraction that would arise otherwise.
我们在一个具有资本技能互补性和家庭异质性的定量模型中研究了资本税率永久降低的总体、分配和福利效应。这样的税收改革会带来扩张性的长期总产出和投资效应,但这些都伴随着工资、消费和收入不平等的增加。税收改革不是自我融资的,其效果关键取决于政府是削减一次性转移支付,还是提高扭曲的劳动或消费税率来融资。前者导致了更大的总体扩张,但代价是不平等加剧。因此,后者相对更有利于非熟练家庭。我们发现,当消费税税率调整时,税制改革导致终身福利的帕累托改善。对于转型动力,除了财政调整之外,货币政策也很重要。特别是,如果货币政策通过通胀消除了一部分公共债务,经济就可以避免否则可能出现的短期收缩。
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引用次数: 7
Discrete Labor Supply: Empirical Evidence and Implications 离散劳动力供给:经验证据及其启示
Pub Date : 2020-05-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3609866
Tuomas Kosonen, Tuomas Matikka
We provide novel evidence of discrete labor supply responses to tax incentives and study the broader implications of discrete rather than continuous labor supply. We utilize an income notch and a reform that shifted the location of the notch in order to study the labor supply mechanisms. We find transparent evidence of discrete labor supply responses, revealing that wage earners even in the part-time labor market can face significant restrictions in their available labor supply choices. As an implication of discrete labor supply, we show that the conventional differencesin-differences and bunching elasticity estimates can be downward-biased when labor supply is discrete.
我们提供了离散劳动力供给对税收激励的反应的新证据,并研究了离散而不是连续劳动力供给的更广泛含义。我们利用收入缺口和缺口位置转移的改革来研究劳动力供给机制。我们发现了离散劳动力供给反应的透明证据,揭示了即使在兼职劳动力市场上,工薪阶层在可用的劳动力供给选择上也可能面临重大限制。作为离散劳动力供给的暗示,我们表明,当劳动力供给是离散的时,传统的差异-差异和聚类弹性估计可能是向下偏倚的。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Public Economics: Taxation
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