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Political discussions lead to political efficacy among students in Indonesia 政治讨论引发印尼学生的政治效能
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221143674
Musta'in Mashud, Rachmah Ida, M. Saud
Student unions based on religious and political affiliations are of paramount importance in political decision-making around the globe and in Indonesia particularly. The involvement of youth in political arenas and narrative building has become a debated topic among academicians, scholars and policymakers. In the context of Indonesia, the association of youth with religious groups has been seen as very important for engaging them in capacity-building initiatives (students in particular) and in political activities by mobilizing them with general communities. The present study examines the phenomenon of political efficacy through the political participation of youth associated with different religious and political groups. In consideration of the nature of the study, the present research tried to accomplish the desired outcomes by employing a quantitative research design and carrying out surveys. For that purpose, a self-administered questionnaire was developed with the help of literature for gathering data. The data were gathered from students and the general public, focusing on the premise that political discussion and religious group affiliation can be instrumental for political efficacy. The research found that the affiliation of students with religious groups has a strong impact on their involvement in political activities. Along with various political and religious factors, social media is considered a decisive factor in forming youth's political opinions and developing a sense of community engagement as well as practising their political rights. The data also show that there is a significant relationship between political efficacy and social media, highlighting that the participation of students in political discussion leads to political efficacy by mobilizing youth with general communities to create a discursive political environment.
基于宗教和政治派别的学生会在全球政治决策中至关重要,尤其是在印度尼西亚。青年参与政治舞台和叙事建设已成为学术界、学者和政策制定者争论的话题。在印度尼西亚,青年与宗教团体的联系被视为非常重要,有助于他们参与能力建设举措(特别是学生),并通过动员他们与普通社区一起参与政治活动。本研究通过与不同宗教和政治团体有联系的青年的政治参与来考察政治效能现象。考虑到研究的性质,本研究试图通过采用定量研究设计和进行调查来达到预期的结果。为此,在收集数据的文献的帮助下,编制了一份自我管理的调查表。这些数据是从学生和公众那里收集的,重点是政治讨论和宗教团体归属有助于提高政治效能。研究发现,学生与宗教团体的关系对他们参与政治活动有很大影响。除了各种政治和宗教因素外,社交媒体被认为是形成青年政治观点、培养社区参与感以及行使政治权利的决定性因素。数据还显示,政治效能与社交媒体之间存在显著关系,突出表明学生参与政治讨论会动员青年与普通社区一起创造一个话语政治环境,从而产生政治效能。
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引用次数: 0
The persevering power of provincial dynasties in Thai electoral politics 省级王朝在泰国选举政治中的持久权力
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221142132
P. Chambers, Srisompob Jitpiromsri, Katsuyuki Takahashi
Provincial clans and dynasties have long been crucial in Thai electoral politics. Their influence was felt since before the 1969 poll. Post-1988 and post-1992 political space gave clans room to expand in power. But their sway has been interrupted by several factors, including military coups, changing constitutions, and national transformations. Thailand's March 2019 general election, December 2020 provincial administrative organization elections, and March 2021 subdistrict administrative organization elections demonstrated the persistence of provincial clan influence owing partly to the 2019 end of military dictatorship but also to the needs by national parties to partner with provincial political families to achieve success and finally because local clans saw an opportunity to revitalize their power. In 2022 Thailand, provincial clans and dynasties appear to be alive and well. This study examines the historical evolution of provincial dynasties involved in Thai electoral politics in four different provinces. The study analyzes the reasons why only some provinces have experienced clan (familial) domination, strategies for and obstacles to dynastic family control over provincial politics, and the future of dynastic provincial families in Thailand's democratic future.
长期以来,省级部族和王朝一直是泰国选举政治的关键。他们的影响力在1969年投票之前就已经显现出来了。1988年后和1992年后的政治空间给了部族权力扩张的空间。但他们的影响力受到了一些因素的干扰,包括军事政变、宪法变化和国家转型。泰国2019年3月大选,2020年12月省级行政机构选举,2021年3月的分区行政组织选举表明,省级部族的影响力持续存在,部分原因是2019年军事独裁的结束,但也因为国家政党需要与省级政治家族合作以取得成功,最后是因为地方部族看到了重振权力的机会。2022年,泰国的省级部族和王朝似乎还很活跃。本研究考察了四个不同省份的省级王朝参与泰国选举政治的历史演变。本研究分析了只有一些省份经历了氏族(家族)统治的原因,王朝家族控制省级政治的策略和障碍,以及王朝省级家族在泰国民主未来的未来。
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引用次数: 0
“The pandemic has added to my miseries”: Bangladeshi migrant workers’ social protection revisited “疫情加重了我的痛苦”:重新审视孟加拉国移徙工人的社会保护问题
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-12 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221141759
Syeda Rozana Rashid, A. Ansar, Abu Faisal Md. Khaled
The protection of migrant workers has received renewed attention in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. This article depicts how unpreparedness, inadequate social security and support services, and pre-existing socio-economic disparities disproportionately impacted Bangladeshi migrant workers during the pandemic. Adopting a qualitative approach based on findings from existing literature and surveys and primary data collected through interviews with returnee Bangladeshi migrants from the Gulf States, the article argues that the dearth of institutional, legal, social, and political understanding of the needs of migrants remains the main impediment to a comprehensive social protection system. The findings call for designing a crisis response and recovery policy, preparing a returnee database and leveraging bilateral, regional, and global processes to ensure migrants’ uninterrupted protection at home and abroad. The article also underscores the importance of a nuanced understanding and practice of gendered social support, and above all, adopting a rights-based approach to labor migration.
在2019冠状病毒病大流行之后,对移徙工人的保护再次受到关注。本文描述了在疫情期间,准备不足、社会保障和支持服务不足以及先前存在的社会经济差距如何不成比例地影响了孟加拉国移徙工人。本文采用定性方法,基于现有文献和调查的结果,以及通过采访从海湾国家返回的孟加拉国移民收集的主要数据,认为缺乏对移民需求的制度、法律、社会和政治理解,仍然是全面社会保护体系的主要障碍。研究结果呼吁制定危机应对和恢复政策,编制返回者数据库,并利用双边、区域和全球进程,确保移民在国内外得到不间断的保护。文章还强调了细致入微地理解和实践性别社会支持的重要性,最重要的是,对劳动力迁移采取基于权利的方法。
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引用次数: 1
Quasi-civilian defence minister and civilian authority: The case study of Indonesia's Ministry of Defence during Joko Widodo’s presidency 准文职国防部长和文职当局:佐科·维多多担任总统期间印度尼西亚国防部的案例研究
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221141016
Muhamad Haripin, Adhi Priamarizki, S. Nugroho
The President of the Republic of Indonesia, Joko Widodo, appointed two former military generals, Ryamizard Ryacudu (2014–2019) and Prabowo Subianto (2019–present), for the first- and second-term defence minister positions consecutively. The appointment of military officers – either retired or active – as defence ministers has been perceived as a recipe for potential democratic setbacks. Current studies on the quasi-civilian defence minister mainly focused on explaining the logic behind such appointments. On the other hand, our study attempts to test the argument about whether the decision to select former military figures to lead the Ministry of Defence undermines civilian control. This article examines: (1) the institutional arrangement of the defence establishment; (2) the composition of the Indonesian Ministry of Defence's leadership structure; and (3) the leadership activities and key initiatives. The findings are that military officers have indeed dominated the ministry's organisational structure. Nevertheless, such domination did not automatically translate into the deterioration of civilian supremacy as the institutional arrangement limits those quasi-civilian defence ministers’ manoeuvres.
印度尼西亚共和国总统佐科·维多多任命两名前军事将领里亚米扎德·里亚库杜(2014年至2019年)和普拉博沃·苏比安托(2019年至今)连续担任第一和第二届国防部长。任命退役或现役军官担任国防部长被认为是潜在的民主挫折。目前对这位准文职国防部长的研究主要集中在解释此类任命背后的逻辑。另一方面,我们的研究试图检验关于选择前军事人物领导国防部的决定是否会破坏文官控制的论点。本文考察了:(1)国防机构的制度安排;(2) 印度尼西亚国防部领导结构的组成;以及(3)领导活动和关键举措。调查结果表明,军官确实主导了国防部的组织结构。然而,这种统治并没有自动转化为平民至上主义的恶化,因为体制安排限制了这些准平民国防部长的行动。
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引用次数: 0
Democratic backsliding in illiberal Singapore 民主在不自由的新加坡倒退
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-06 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221141090
Netina Tan, Cassandra Preece
Singapore is a well-known illiberal democracy, ruled by one party, the People's Action Party (PAP), uninterruptedly since 1959. The rise of disinformation, the leadership succession crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic have posed challenges to the ruling party's technocratic, ‘soft-authoritarian’ governance style. Is it business as usual in Singapore? Or has its democracy backslid like its regional neighbours? Drawing on an established index of accountability and V-Dem's democratic indicators, our study investigates whether democratic institutions in hybrid regimes such as Singapore have changed. We find that mechanisms of diagonal accountability related to media and civil society have declined. Vertical and horizontal accountability remains weak as expected in a hybrid regime such as Singapore. The PAP government has returned to relying on the law as a ‘fist in velvet glove’ to muzzle dissent and constrain information that may last post pandemic.
新加坡是一个众所周知的不自由民主国家,自1959年以来一直由一党人民行动党(PAP)统治。虚假信息的兴起、领导人继任危机和新冠肺炎疫情对执政党的技术官僚、“软威权”治理风格构成了挑战。新加坡的生意还像往常一样吗?还是它的民主也像其地区邻国一样倒退了?根据既定的问责制指数和V-Dem的民主指标,我们的研究调查了新加坡等混合政权的民主制度是否发生了变化。我们发现,与媒体和公民社会相关的对角线问责机制有所下降。纵向和横向问责制仍然薄弱,正如新加坡等混合型制度所预期的那样。人民行动党政府又开始依靠法律作为“戴着天鹅绒手套的拳头”来钳制异议,并限制可能在大流行后持续存在的信息。
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引用次数: 1
The new era in the continuum of China and Iraq's relationship 中伊关系进入新时代
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221140690
Zana Gul
The article explores the shifts in Sino–Iraqi relations since the 1950s. The article's question is: Is China and Iraq's relationship witnessing a turning point characterised by more dependency and engagement? The article explores Sino–Iraqi interdependence throughout the last six decades through primary and secondary resources, including official documents, data on trade and Chinese and Iraqi outlets. It employs Nye and Keohane's complex interdependence to evaluate Sino–Iraqi dependency. The article finds that Sino–Iraqi interdependence was non-existent between the 1950s and 1975. At the end of the 1970s, some initial elements partially emerged but did not fully materialise; these faded in the 1990s, and since 2003 complex interdependence has gradually emerged. The bilateral relationships pre-2003 made provision for the development of the ties. This has not been without challenges, particularly from Iraq. The study shows the role of the oil sector in Sino–Iraqi interdependence, the uncertainty and extent of China's Belt and Road Initiative in Iraq and the conflicting official and public debates around it.
文章探讨了自20世纪50年代以来,中伊关系的变化。这篇文章的问题是:中国和伊拉克的关系是否正在经历一个转折点,其特点是更多的依赖和接触?文章通过主要和次要资源,包括官方文件、贸易数据以及中国和伊拉克的渠道,探讨了过去60年中伊拉克的相互依存关系。它利用奈伊和基奥汉复杂的相互依存关系来评估中伊的依存关系。文章发现,在20世纪50年代至1975年间,中伊之间并不存在相互依存关系。20世纪70年代末,一些最初的元素部分出现,但没有完全实现;这些在20世纪90年代逐渐消失,自2003年以来,复杂的相互依存关系逐渐显现。2003年以前的双边关系为两国关系的发展作出了规定。这并非没有挑战,特别是来自伊拉克的挑战。该研究显示了石油部门在中伊相互依存关系中的作用,中国“一带一路”倡议倡议在伊拉克的不确定性和范围,以及围绕该倡议的官方和公众争论。
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引用次数: 0
The recent violation of Thai airspace by a Myanmar MiG-29 fighter jet: Understanding Thailand's unusual response 缅甸米格-29战斗机最近侵犯泰国领空:了解泰国的异常反应
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-04 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221140798
Kridsana Chotisut, P. Bunyavejchewin, Nattaraporn Promprasit
Foreign aircraft trespassing national airspace is considered a violation of state sovereignty and tends to precipitate serious responses, ranging from shooting down offenders to diplomatic protests. In late June 2022, a Myanmar MiG-29 fighter jet flew over Thailand's Phop Phra district, made a low pass, and fired at ethnic-minority armed groups stationed along the border. The incident was a clear-cut airspace incursion, apparently intended to incite retaliation from Bangkok. However, despite the harshly worded initial response in a press release issued promptly by the Royal Thai Air Force, the Prayut government attempted to minimize the seriousness of the Myanmar fighter jet's actions. This unexpected reaction triggered considerable public criticism. Nevertheless, given Thailand's complex positioning in the Thai–Myanmar borderlands, the mitigated response might have had a certain logic, especially if, as some onlookers suggested, the intrusion was intentional.
外国飞机侵入国家领空被视为侵犯国家主权,往往会引发严重反应,从击落罪犯到外交抗议。2022年6月下旬,一架缅甸米格-29战斗机飞越泰国Phop Phra区,低开,向驻扎在边境的少数民族武装组织开火。这起事件明显是对领空的入侵,显然是为了煽动曼谷方面的报复。然而,尽管泰国皇家空军在迅速发布的新闻稿中做出了措辞严厉的初步回应,巴育政府仍试图将缅甸战斗机行动的严重性降至最低。这种出乎意料的反应引发了公众的强烈批评。尽管如此,考虑到泰国在泰缅边境的复杂位置,缓和的反应可能有一定的逻辑,特别是如果像一些旁观者所说的那样,入侵是故意的。
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引用次数: 0
Time pressures under international crises reconsidered: Integrating real and experimental time 重新考虑国际危机下的时间压力:整合真实时间和实验时间
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221108798
Hiroyuki Hoshiro
This study discusses the relationship between the time pressure faced by policymakers when an international military-security crisis breaks out and the consequences of the crisis. If a policy is decided too quickly, decision-makers do not have the ability to consider enough alternatives and information, which lowers the chances of averting a crisis. Moreover, if too much time is taken in deliberating, an international crisis may heat up and the chance to potentially come up with an optimal policy at the right time may be missed. The article takes a mixed methods approach using quantitative data and three case studies. The International Crisis Behavior (ICB, version 13) dataset was used to identify the time spent in making policy decisions to respond to an international crisis and the consequences of the crisis, for the period 1918–2013. Also, three actual international crises were analyzed: Russia's annexation of Crimea and Donbas, the Cuban Missile Crisis, and the Korean War. The quantitative results and the case analyses indicate that a third alternative, a medium time span, allows for careful deliberation and sufficient information gathering to occur, and decision-makers may thereby avoid an international crisis.
本研究讨论了国际军事安全危机爆发时决策者面临的时间压力与危机后果之间的关系。如果一项政策决定得太快,决策者就没有能力考虑足够的替代方案和信息,这就降低了避免危机的机会。此外,如果花太多时间进行审议,国际危机可能会加剧,可能会错过在正确的时间制定最佳政策的机会。本文采用了一种混合方法,使用定量数据和三个案例研究。国际危机行为(ICB,第13版)数据集用于确定1918年至2013年期间为应对国际危机而做出政策决策所花费的时间以及危机的后果。此外,还分析了三个实际的国际危机:俄罗斯吞并克里米亚和顿巴斯、古巴导弹危机和朝鲜战争。定量结果和案例分析表明,第三种选择,即中等时间跨度,可以进行仔细的审议和充分的信息收集,决策者因此可以避免国际危机。
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引用次数: 0
Democratic backsliding in the Philippines: Are voters becoming illiberal? 菲律宾民主倒退:选民变得不自由了吗?
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221136263
Yuko Kasuya, Cleo Calimbahin
Democratic backsliding by incumbents is one of the most prevalent forms of backsliding in recent global trends of democratic erosion. Understanding the attitude of voters toward backsliding incumbents is crucial because popular support is the basis of legitimacy for these incumbents. This article studies voter attitudes in the Philippines, where democracy was subverted by the incumbent president, Rodrigo Duterte, who served from 2016 to 2022. Specifically, we examine the validity of the claim that Filipino voters are acquiring a “taste for illiberal rule” made by some scholars. First, we analyzed the survey data regarding the support for various types of political systems, where part of the data comes from our originally commissioned survey at the Social Weather Stations. Second, we explored Pulse Asia's longitudinal survey data on martial-rule support. Our investigation of these survey data did not find substantive support for the “taste for illiberal rule” proposition. Further, we argue that Filipino voters are contingent supporters of illiberal politics while supporting the procedural principles of democracy at the baseline.
现任者的民主倒退是最近全球民主侵蚀趋势中最普遍的倒退形式之一。了解选民对倒退的现任者的态度至关重要,因为民众的支持是这些现任者合法性的基础。本文研究了菲律宾选民的态度,2016年至2022年任职的现任总统罗德里戈·杜特尔特颠覆了菲律宾的民主。具体来说,我们检验了一些学者提出的菲律宾选民正在获得“非自由统治的品味”的说法的有效性。首先,我们分析了有关支持各种类型政治制度的调查数据,其中部分数据来自我们最初委托社会气象站进行的调查。其次,我们研究了Pulse Asia关于军事统治支持的纵向调查数据。我们对这些调查数据的调查没有发现“品味非自由规则”主张的实质性支持。此外,我们认为,菲律宾选民是非自由政治的临时支持者,同时在基线上支持民主的程序原则。
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引用次数: 0
Declining opportunities for speaking out: The impact of Vietnam's new leadership on grassroots collective action 发声机会减少:越南新领导层对基层集体行动的影响
IF 0.7 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.1177/20578911221139764
M. Truong
This article examines how Vietnam's 13th Politburo elected in 2021 affects citizens’ willingness to raise their voices about policy issues through extra-institutional channels such as protests, petitions, and social media. I argue that an exceptionally high number of public security figures in the Politburo reflected the concerns of the Communist Party's Central Committee over regime-destabilizing grassroots activism. Using an online survey experiment administered to 1500 Vietnamese citizens, which manipulates the information on the repressive nature of the public security institution and police representatives’ backgrounds, I find that a heavy police representation in the 13th Politburo makes respondents less likely to sign petitions, share their concerns on social media, and take to the streets to voice their discontent with the government. My findings suggest that single-party regimes can reverse democratic development, particularly the participation dimension, through strategic leadership arrangements.
本文探讨了2021年当选的越南第十三届政治局如何影响公民通过抗议、请愿和社交媒体等体制外渠道就政策问题发声的意愿。我认为,政治局中人数异常之多的公共安全人物反映了共产党中央委员会对破坏政权稳定的基层活动的担忧。通过对1500名越南公民进行的一项在线调查实验,我发现,第十三届政治局中大量的警察代表使受访者不太可能签署请愿书,在社交媒体上分享他们的担忧,走上街头表达他们对政府的不满。我的研究结果表明,一党政权可以通过战略领导安排扭转民主发展,特别是参与层面。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Journal of Comparative Politics
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