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EU transfers and euroscepticism: can’t buy me love? 欧盟转移和欧洲怀疑论:买不到爱吗?
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-19 DOI: 10.1093/epolic/eiaa028
A. Borin, E. Macchi, Michele Mancini
This paper investigates whether EU redistributive policies improved the public attitude toward European integration, both in terms of public opinion and in terms of political preferences. We build a new dataset combining data from the European Social Survey, different data sources for political parties’ stances and transfer records from EU institutions. We focus on the regional Cohesion Policy, within which the Convergence Objective program offers a quasi-experimental framework that allows us to single out these effects by means of a regression discontinuity approach. Results show that EU transfers have mitigated the rise of Eurosceptic attitudes and reduced the political consensus for anti- EU parties in long-time recipient regions. We estimate that increasing the regional per capita EU transfers by 1000€ over the 2000-2014 period reduces the share of Eurosceptic individuals by about 8 percentage points and voters’ support for anti-EU parties by 10 percentage points. The effects are homogeneous across different socio-economic groups, including the most disadvantaged ones. Other attitudes that are often associated with Euroscepticism (i.e. anti-trade and anti-immigration stances) are not substantially affected by EU regional transfers.
本文调查了欧盟再分配政策是否在公众舆论和政治偏好方面改善了公众对欧洲一体化的态度。我们构建了一个新的数据集,结合了欧洲社会调查的数据、政党立场的不同数据来源以及欧盟机构的转移记录。我们专注于区域凝聚力政策,在该政策中,融合目标计划提供了一个准实验框架,使我们能够通过回归不连续性方法挑出这些影响。结果表明,欧盟的转移缓解了欧洲怀疑论态度的上升,并减少了长期接受地区反欧盟政党的政治共识。我们估计,在2000-2014年期间,将地区人均欧盟转移支付额增加1000欧元,将使疑欧派的比例降低约8个百分点,选民对反欧盟政党的支持率降低10个百分点。不同的社会经济群体,包括处境最不利的群体,其影响是相同的。其他经常与欧洲怀疑论有关的态度(即反贸易和反移民立场)并没有受到欧盟地区转移的实质性影响。
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引用次数: 4
Health Outcomes, Personality Traits, And Eating Disorders 健康结果、人格特征和饮食失调
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-19 DOI: 10.1093/epolic/eiaa029
J. Ham, D. Iorio, Michelle Sovinsky
Bulimia Nervosa (BN) is a detrimental persistent eating disorder that impacts millions of women, and imposes serious costs on the economy in terms of physical health, treatment costs, absence from work, and reduced human capital accumulation. One important issue in treating BN is that it is often undiagnosed, especially among disadvantaged girls. The failures to diagnose BN occur, in part, because many cases of BN are unobservable to others, and asking girls about their bingeing and purging behavior can be considered invasive. Using data on eating disorder behaviors from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Growth and Health Study, we show that information on a girl’s personality traits, along with information on her family’s socioeconomic status, can be used to impute the unobservable BN behavior. In particular, we find that personality traits are significant determinants of bulimic behavior, even after controlling for socioeconomic status. These results suggest a way to target those who are likely to suffer from BN based on identifiable personality traits. Given the costs involved in BN, and the number of individuals affected, our research suggests a practical direction for public health policy to reduce the number of undiagnosed cases.
神经性贪食症(BN)是一种有害的持续性饮食失调,影响着数百万妇女,并在身体健康、治疗费用、缺勤和人力资本积累减少方面给经济造成严重损失。治疗BN的一个重要问题是它经常被诊断出来,特别是在弱势女孩中。不能诊断BN的部分原因是,许多BN病例对其他人来说是不可见的,询问女孩的暴饮暴食和排便行为可能被认为是侵入性的。使用来自国家心脏、肺和血液研究所生长与健康研究的饮食失调行为数据,我们表明,关于女孩人格特征的信息,以及关于她家庭社会经济地位的信息,可以用来推断不可观察的BN行为。特别是,我们发现人格特质是暴食症行为的重要决定因素,即使在控制了社会经济地位之后。这些结果提示了一种基于可识别的人格特征来针对那些可能遭受BN的人的方法。考虑到BN所涉及的成本和受影响的个人数量,我们的研究为公共卫生政策提供了一个实际的方向,以减少未确诊病例的数量。
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引用次数: 1
Persuadable perceptions: the effect of media content on beliefs about corruption 可说服的观念:媒体内容对腐败信念的影响
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-12-07 DOI: 10.1093/epolic/eiaa026
L. Rizzica, Marco Tonello
We study the impact of news content on individuals’ perceptions about corruption. To this purpose, we combine individuals’ beliefs about the likelihood that corruption events may occur in everyday life, as obtained from questions introduced in a large household survey, with their as-good-as-random exposure to corruption-related news on the date of the interview. Results show that a 1 SD increase in the number of corruption news items raises corruption perceptions by 3.5%. Consistently with a mechanism of persuasion, perceptions respond mainly to news not related to specific corruption events rather than to those reporting on arrests, investigations or convictions.
我们研究了新闻内容对个人腐败认知的影响。为此,我们将个人对日常生活中可能发生腐败事件的可能性的信念(从一项大型家庭调查中提出的问题中获得)与他们在采访当天随机接触腐败相关新闻的情况相结合。结果显示,腐败新闻项目数量增加1 SD,腐败认知就会提高3.5%。与说服机制一致,认知主要对与具体腐败事件无关的新闻做出反应,而不是对那些报道逮捕、调查或定罪的新闻做出回应。
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引用次数: 7
Does A Higher Retirement Age Reduce Youth Employment? 较高的退休年龄会减少青年就业吗?
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-10-21 DOI: 10.1093/epolic/eiaa022
Marco Bertoni, G. Brunello
Pension reforms rising minimum retirement age force some senior workers to retire later than originally expected. We evaluate the impact of a 2011 Italian reform, implemented during a recession, on youth and prime age employment. Our research design is based on difference-in-differences, and exploits the variations in the intensity of the treatment across local labor markets due to differences in the age structure of the population. We estimate that, for any 1,000 local senior workers locked into employment by the reform, local youth and prime age employment declined by 273 (-0.86%) and 199 (-0.12%) workers, and senior employment increased by 833 (+2.70%) individuals. The estimated reduction in youth employment is broadly similar to the one induced by earlier reforms, implemented when the economy was growing. We estimate that an important part of the total employment change induced by the 2011 reform is due to higher firm turnover.
养老金改革提高了最低退休年龄,迫使一些高级工人比原先预期的要晚退休。我们评估2011年意大利经济衰退期间实施的改革对青年和壮年就业的影响。我们的研究设计基于差异中的差异,并利用了由于人口年龄结构的差异而导致的当地劳动力市场待遇强度的变化。我们估计,每1000名因改革而就业的当地老年工人中,当地青年和壮年就业人数分别减少了273人(-0.86%)和199人(-0.12%),老年人就业人数增加了833人(+2.70%)。估计的青年就业减少与经济增长时实施的早期改革所导致的减少大致相似。我们估计,2011年改革导致的总就业变化的一个重要部分是由于更高的企业流动率。
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引用次数: 7
What’s in a Name? That Which We Call Capital Controls 名字里有什么?我们称之为资本控制
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-14 DOI: 10.1093/epolic/eiaa009
A. Ghosh, Jun Il Kim, M. Qureshi
This paper investigates why controls on capital inflows have a bad name by tracing how capital controls have been used and perceived since the laissez-faire era of the classical gold standard. While advanced economies often employed capital controls to tame inflows during the last century, we conjecture that several factors undermined their subsequent use—most notably, a “guilt by association” with controls on capital outflows, which have typically been employed by autocratic regimes or those with failed macroeconomic policies. We formalize the idea of a possible guilt by association between inflow controls and outflow controls in a signaling model and provide some empirics consistent with it.
本文通过追踪自古典金本位的自由放任时代以来资本控制是如何被使用和感知的,来研究为什么对资本流入的控制会有坏名声。虽然在上个世纪,发达经济体经常采用资本控制来抑制资本流入,但我们推测,有几个因素破坏了它们随后的使用——最显著的是,与资本流出控制的“关联有罪”,这种控制通常被专制政权或宏观经济政策失败的政权所采用。我们通过信号模型中流入控制和流出控制之间的关联,将可能有罪的想法形式化,并提供了一些与之一致的经验。
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引用次数: 4
Algunas diferencias entre la gran depresión y la crisis reciente: una reevaluación 大萧条和最近的危机之间的一些区别:重新评估
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.7203/IREP.2.1.17734
A. F. Díaz
In this paper we try to point out the lost opportunity on how to address the current crisis, forgetting principles and theories that were successfully applied in the Great Depression. After some considerations about the Stock Market Crash that began on October 24, 1929 and their catastrophic consequences, we analyze the reaction of European authorities to the present crisis, highlighting the financial costs and the loss of welfare that has led to the rescue of peripheral Eurozone countries. Our analysis is based on the interpretation in the framework of the present time of the work and thought of John Maynard Keynes. In this comparative analysis we find a strong contrast between the economic policy outlined in those times by our honorable English economist, and the presence of a recalcitrant single thought and the reductionist determinism that have characterized the economic policies bring about in the crisis years in our country and, in general, in the Eurozone area, given rise to an avoidable situation of austerity and recession we have suffered between 2008 and 2013. In the article we stand out the fact that the Great Depression was harsher and more terrible that the Financial Crisis of these last years, but better managed by the American Authorities, in clear contrast to what happened in our country in those times. In the present work it is valued the convenience of applying them to the difficult situation we are going through the economic policy that in those years of crisis was not wanted or we were not able to implement.
在本文中,我们试图指出在如何解决当前危机方面失去的机会,而忘记了在大萧条中成功应用的原则和理论。在对1929年10月24日开始的股市崩盘及其灾难性后果进行了一些思考之后,我们分析了欧洲当局对当前危机的反应,强调了导致欧元区外围国家得到救助的金融成本和福利损失。我们的分析是基于对约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯的工作和思想的当代框架的解释。在这一对比分析中,我们发现我们尊敬的英国经济学家在那些时期概述的经济政策与顽固的单一思想和还原论决定论之间存在强烈的对比,这些经济政策是在危机年代在我国带来的,总的来说,在欧元区,导致了我们在2008年至2013年遭受的一种可避免的紧缩和衰退局面。在这篇文章中,我们强调了这样一个事实,即大萧条比过去几年的金融危机更严重、更可怕,但美国当局管理得更好,与我们国家在那些时期发生的情况形成鲜明对比。在目前的工作中,我们重视将它们应用于我们正在经历的困难局势的便利性,这些经济政策在那些年的危机中是不希望的,或者是我们无法实施的。
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引用次数: 0
Modelos institucionales de regulación y competencia en Europa y su aplicación al caso español 欧洲监管和竞争的制度模式及其在西班牙案例中的应用
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.7203/IREP.2.1.17737
Marta Carrillo Neff
The integrated model of regulatory and competition authorities approved in 2014 in Spain has received significant criticism even before the creation of the CNMC. Much of such criticisms were based on the lack of verifiable international experience in Europe in this kind of organizational structure. Therefore, faced with a possible reform of this model in the future, it is worth asking: What would be the best institutional structure? What other institutional designs exist in the countries around? The article includes three European institutional models that could be a reference for a possible Spanish “super-regulator” future reform.
2014年在西班牙批准的监管和竞争当局的综合模式甚至在CNMC成立之前就受到了重大批评。这些批评大多是基于欧洲在这种组织结构方面缺乏可核实的国际经验。因此,面对未来这种模式可能出现的改革,值得思考的问题是:什么样的制度结构是最好的?周边国家还存在哪些其他制度设计?这篇文章包括三种欧洲机构模式,可以作为西班牙未来可能进行的“超级监管者”改革的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Requisitos para el cambio transformativo: contribuciones de Karl Polanyi 变革变革的要求:卡尔·波兰尼的贡献
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.7203/IREP.2.1.17745
P. Kirby
A key question that emerges from the coronavirus pandemic is what is required to make of this temporary phase a pathway to transformative change. Or, as largely happened following the 2008 financial crisis, will society return to a carbon-heavy, growth-dominated economy based on an ethic of radical individualism and rampant consumerism, informed by neoliberal prescriptions. This article draws on the work of Karl Polanyi (1886-1964) to offer an alternative theoretical framework to guide transformative social change in the era of climate change. It begins by identifying a key feature of the structure-agency balance in contemporary society, namely a techno-optimism and the case made for an alternative framing through the lens of political economy. The second section identifies the two key theoretical frames which informed the dominant political economy configurations since the second World War – a social democratic frame and a neoliberal frame. The argument is made that a new frame is now necessary. The third and longest section draws a range of conceptual contributions from Polanyi to offer a distinctively different theory to that offered by neoliberalism. These include market society; different meanings of economy; fictitious commodities; forms of integration; double movement; discovery of society; the human person and freedom; and the power of technology. The final section draws conclusions.
冠状病毒大流行产生的一个关键问题是,需要什么才能使这一临时阶段成为变革的途径。或者,就像2008年金融危机后发生的那样,社会会回到一个以激进的个人主义和猖獗的消费主义为道德基础、以新自由主义处方为依据的高碳、增长主导的经济吗。本文借鉴了卡尔·波兰尼(1886-1964)的工作,为气候变化时代的变革性社会变革提供了一个可供选择的理论框架。它首先确定了当代社会结构-机构平衡的一个关键特征,即技术乐观主义和通过政治经济学的视角提出的替代框架的理由。第二部分确定了自第二次世界大战以来主导政治经济格局的两个关键理论框架——社会民主框架和新自由主义框架。有人提出,现在需要一个新的框架。第三节也是最长的一节引用了波兰尼的一系列概念贡献,提供了一个与新自由主义截然不同的理论。其中包括市场社会;经济的不同含义;虚构商品;一体化形式;双重运动;发现社会;人与自由;以及技术的力量。最后一节得出结论。
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引用次数: 0
El efecto del desempleo de la Gran Recesión en los pensionistas españoles 大衰退对西班牙养老金领取者失业的影响
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.7203/IREP.2.1.17743
Philip Arestis, P. Peinado, F. Serrano
One of the main impacts of the Great Recession has been the increase in the rate of unemployment in Spain. Unemployment has a negative impact on the wages of workers, which, in those pension systems where pensions are computed according to wages, eventually affect pension benefits. In this contribution we estimate the impact of these detrimental effects on Spain’s pensioners’ welfare. According to our estimates the average pensioner is expected to lose the equivalent to 18 monthly payments of the initial pension entitlement. Additionally, the poverty risk faced by pensioners is estimated to increase between 10.6 and 24.6 per cent due to the effect of the Great Recession.
大衰退的主要影响之一是西班牙失业率的上升。失业对工人的工资有负面影响,在养老金按工资计算的养老金制度中,这最终会影响养老金福利。在这个贡献中,我们估计了这些有害影响对西班牙养老金领取者福利的影响。根据我们的估计,预计领取养恤金的人平均每月将失去相当于18笔初始养恤金。此外,由于大衰退的影响,养老金领取者面临的贫困风险估计将增加10.6%至24.6%。
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引用次数: 0
Política económica y heterogeneidad de la universidad pública española: un enfoque desde la empleabilidad 西班牙公立大学的经济政策和异质性:一种基于就业能力的方法
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-06-30 DOI: 10.7203/IREP.2.1.17738
Miguel Cuerdo Mir, Pilar Grau Carles, J. González
The idea and some evidence that university degrees no longer serve as an effective instrument of the social elevator is spreading. On the contrary, a scenario is gaining ground in which the social, political and economic elites are  perpetuated through a very select group of universities that clearly differ from the rest of the universities. Knowing if this is a phenomenon applicable to the Spanish university is the object of this study. For this, the employability of university degrees will be used as a relevant variable. This basic information comes from the 2010 database of university graduates of the Ministry of Education and tells us what their employability was in the following years. In this work, employability will be used in 2011, that is, one year after the university graduate leaves. From these data, employability, is classified into three levels, by quartiles, with high employability (AE) being the fourth quartile, low employability (BE) being the first quartile and leaving the two central quartiles for the average employability (ME). Next, a heterogeneity coefficient (?) is constructed for each university. The main conclusion is that the Spanish public universities very majority (in number of degrees and in number of universities) offer titles of medium employability. However, a certain capacity of five universities to offer a high number of highly employable degrees is revealed. Similarly, there is a very small group of universities that offer an appreciable number of low employability degrees.
大学学位不再是提升社会地位的有效工具的观点和一些证据正在蔓延。相反,一种情况正在形成:社会、政治和经济精英通过一群非常精选的大学得以延续,这些大学与其他大学明显不同。了解这种现象是否适用于西班牙大学是本研究的对象。为此,将大学学位的就业能力作为相关变量。这些基本信息来自教育部2010年大学毕业生数据库,告诉我们他们在接下来几年的就业能力。在这项工作中,就业能力将用于2011年,即大学毕业生离开后的一年。从这些数据中,就业能力按四分位数分为三个水平,高就业能力(AE)是第四个四分位数,低就业能力(BE)是第一个四分位数,剩下的两个中心四分位数是平均就业能力(ME)。然后,为每个大学构建异质性系数(?)。主要结论是,绝大多数西班牙公立大学(在学位数量和大学数量上)提供中等就业能力的头衔。然而,调查显示,五所大学在提供大量高就业学位方面具有一定的能力。同样,也有极少数大学提供数量可观的低就业能力学位。
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Ekonomicheskaya politika
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