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The Study of Artificial Intelligent in Risk-Based Inspection Assessment and Screening: A Study Case of ILI Inspection 基于风险的检查评估与筛选中的人工智能研究——以ILI检查为例
IF 2.2 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-13 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054969
Taufik Aditiyawarman, J. Soedarsono, A. Kaban, R. Riastuti, Haryo Rahmadani
The work reports the systematic approach to the study of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in addressing the complexity of ILI data management to forecast the risk in natural gas pipelines. A recent conventional standard may not be sufficient to address the variation data of corrosion defects and inherent human subjectivity. Such methodology undermines the accuracy assessment confidence and is ineffective in reducing inspection costs. In this work, a combination of Unsupervised and Supervised Machine Learning and Deep Learning has profoundly accelerated the Probability of Failure (PoF) assessment and analysis. K-Means Clustering and Gaussian Mixture Models show direct relevance between the corrosion depth and corrosion rate, while the overlapping PoF value is scattered in three clusters. Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, k-Nearest Neighbors, and ensemble classifiers of AdaBoost, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting are constructed using particular features, labels, and hyperparameters. The algorithm correctly predicted the score of PoF from 4790 instances and confirmed the 25% metal loss at a location of 13.399 m. The Artificial Neural Network is designed with various layers (input, hidden, and output) architecture. It is optimized using an activation function to predict that 74% of the pipeline's anomalies that classified at low-medium and medium-high risk. Furthermore, it provides a quick and precise prediction about the external defects at 13.1 m and requires the personnel to conduct wrapping composite. This work can be used as a standard guideline for risk assessment based on ILI and applies to industry and academia.
该工作报告了人工智能(AI)研究的系统方法,以解决ILI数据管理的复杂性,以预测天然气管道风险。最近的常规标准可能不足以解决腐蚀缺陷的变化数据和固有的人的主观性。这种方法破坏了准确性评估的信心,在降低检查成本方面是无效的。在这项工作中,无监督和有监督机器学习与深度学习的结合极大地加速了故障概率(PoF)的评估和分析。K-Means聚类模型和高斯混合模型显示腐蚀深度与腐蚀速率直接相关,而重叠的PoF值分散在三个聚类中。使用特定的特征、标签和超参数构造逻辑回归、支持向量机、k近邻和AdaBoost、随机森林和梯度增强的集成分类器。该算法从4790个实例中正确预测了PoF的分数,并在13.399 m的位置确认了25%的金属损失。人工神经网络采用多层(输入、隐藏和输出)架构设计。利用激活函数对74%的管道异常进行了优化,这些异常被划分为中低风险和中高风险。此外,它可以快速准确地预测13.1 m处的外部缺陷,并要求人员进行包覆复合。该工作可作为基于ILI的风险评估的标准指南,并适用于工业界和学术界。
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引用次数: 5
Robust Dynamic Balancing of Dual Rotor-AMB System Through Virtual Trial Unbalances as Low and High Frequency Magnetic Excitation 基于低频和高频磁激励的虚拟试验不平衡双转子- amb系统鲁棒动平衡
IF 2.2 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054695
Gyan Ranjan, R. Tiwari, H. Nemade
The present work focuses on in-situ residual unbalance estimation of the dual rotor system with implementation of Active Magnetic Bearing (AMB) as a controller and exciter. The excessive vibration generated due to the presence of residual unbalances limits the operating speed of the system. The compact structure of the dual rotor system provides constraints to the conventional balancing procedure that requires manual addition of the trial unbalances for balancing. In order to overcome the difficulty in balancing of dual rotor system, an identification algorithm based on Modified Influence Coefficient Method (MICM) is developed for the simultaneous estimation of residual unbalances in both inner and outer rotors with generation of virtual trial unbalances as magnetic excitation through AMB. The controlling action of AMB attenuates the vibrational response of the system within the required limit and allow the safe operation of the system in the presence of rotor faults and additional excitations. The vibrational responses of the system at the limited locations and the magnitude and phase of the virtual trial unbalances are only required in the MICM for the estimation of unbalances. To numerically illustrate the present methodology, the displacement response are obtained from the developed finite element model of the dual rotor system with discrete disc unbalances and randomly distributed shaft. The robustness of the algorithm in estimation of residual unbalances is verified with the addition of different percentage of measurement noises. After balancing, the dual rotor system is found to traverse its critical speed with less vibrational response.
本文主要研究以主动磁轴承(AMB)作为控制器和励磁器的双转子系统的原位剩余不平衡估计。由于存在残余不平衡而产生的过度振动限制了系统的运行速度。双转子系统的紧凑结构为传统的平衡过程提供了约束,传统的平衡过程需要手动添加试验不平衡进行平衡。为了克服双转子系统的平衡困难,提出了一种基于修正影响系数法(修正影响系数法,MICM)的内转子和外转子剩余不平衡辨识算法,并通过磁激励产生虚拟试验不平衡。AMB的控制作用将系统的振动响应衰减到要求的范围内,并允许系统在转子故障和附加激励存在的情况下安全运行。在MICM中,只需要系统在有限位置的振动响应以及虚拟试验不平衡的大小和相位来估计不平衡。为了在数值上说明该方法,建立了具有离散盘不平衡和随机分布轴的双转子系统的有限元模型,得到了系统的位移响应。通过加入不同比例的测量噪声,验证了该算法在残差不平衡估计中的鲁棒性。平衡后,双转子系统能以较小的振动响应穿越临界转速。
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引用次数: 1
Rolling Bearing Damage Evaluation by the Dynamic Process From Self-Induced Resonance to System Resonance of a Duffing System 基于自激共振到系统共振动态过程的滚动轴承损伤评估
IF 2.2 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054694
Shuai Zhang, Zhongqiu Wang, Jianhua Yang
The dynamic response of a Duffing system from self-induced resonance to system resonance is studied in this paper. From numerical simulation, it is found that the system response gradually transits from self-induced resonance to system resonance with the increase of the pulse amplitude of the signal. In order to describe this process, we define the quality factor of the system response. With the evolution from self-induced resonance to system resonance, the quality factor gradually increases from 0 to 1. Then, based on the evolution, a novel method is developed to evaluate the severity of rolling bearing early damage. The results show that the method can not only be used to describe the process of a rolling bearing from healthy to damaged, but also to evaluate the severity of the early damage of a rolling bearing. The quality factor is a key index to reflect the severity of a rolling bearing. In addition, the sensitivity of the quality factor is superior to other traditional indices former used in the early damage evaluation. The effective method gives a new way for rolling bearing early damage evaluation.
本文研究了Duffing系统从自激共振到系统共振的动态响应。通过数值模拟发现,随着信号脉冲幅度的增大,系统响应逐渐从自激共振过渡到系统共振。为了描述这一过程,我们定义了系统响应的质量因子。随着自激共振向系统共振的演化,质量因子由0逐渐增大到1。然后,在此基础上,提出了一种新的滚动轴承早期损伤严重程度评估方法。结果表明,该方法不仅可以用来描述滚动轴承从健康到损坏的过程,而且可以用来评价滚动轴承早期损伤的严重程度。质量因子是反映滚动轴承严重程度的关键指标。此外,质量因子的灵敏度优于以往用于早期损伤评价的其他传统指标。该方法为滚动轴承早期损伤评估提供了一条新的途径。
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引用次数: 0
A Recent Review of Risk-Based Inspection Development to Support Service Excellence in the Oil and Gas Industry: An Artificial Intelligence Perspective 基于风险的检测发展以支持油气行业的卓越服务:人工智能的视角
IF 2.2 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-16 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054558
Taufik Aditiyawarman, A. Kaban, J. Soedarsono
Inspection and Maintenance methods development have a pivotal role in preventing the uncertainty-induced risks in the oil and gas industry. A key aspect of inspection is evaluating the risk of equipment from the scheduled and monitored assessment in the dynamic system. This activity includes assessing the modification factor's Probability of Failure (PoF) and calculating the equipment's remaining useful life (RUL). The traditional inspection model constitutes a partial solution to grouping the vast amount of real-data inspection and observations at equal intervals. This literature review aims to offer a comprehensive review concerning the benefit of Machine Learning (ML) in managing the risk while incorporating time-series forecasting studies and an overview of Risk-Based Inspection (RBI) methods (e.g. quantitative, semi-quantitative, and qualitative). A literature review with a deductive approach is used to discuss the improvement of the clustering Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to overcome the non-circular shape data that may show in the K-Means models. Machine Learning classifiers such as Decision Trees, Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machines, K-nearest neighbours, and Random Forests were selected to provide a platform for risk assessment and give a promising prediction towards the actual condition and their severity level of equipment. This work approaches complementary tools and grows interest in embedded artificial intelligence in Risk Management systems and can be used as the basis of more robust guidance to organize complexity in handling inspection data, but further and future research is required.
在油气行业中,检测和维护方法的开发对于预防不确定性风险起着关键作用。检查的一个关键方面是从动态系统的计划和监测评估中评估设备的风险。这项活动包括评估修改因素的失效概率(PoF)和计算设备的剩余使用寿命(RUL)。传统的检测模型是对大量实际数据的检测和观测数据进行等间隔分组的部分解决方案。本文献综述旨在全面回顾机器学习(ML)在管理风险方面的益处,同时结合时间序列预测研究和基于风险的检查(RBI)方法的概述(例如定量,半定量和定性)。通过文献综述和演绎方法讨论了聚类高斯混合模型(GMM)的改进,以克服K-Means模型中可能出现的非圆形数据。选择决策树、逻辑回归、支持向量机、k近邻和随机森林等机器学习分类器,为风险评估提供平台,并对设备的实际状况及其严重程度给出有希望的预测。这项工作接近补充工具,并增加了对风险管理系统中嵌入式人工智能的兴趣,可以用作更强大的指导基础,以组织处理检查数据的复杂性,但需要进一步和未来的研究。
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引用次数: 9
Mechanics Informed Neutron Noise Monitoring to Perform Remote Condition Assessment for Reactor Vessel Internals 力学信息中子噪声监测对反应堆容器内部进行远程状态评估
IF 2.2 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-29 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054444
G. Banyay, Matthew J. Palamara, Jessica Preston, Stephen D. Smith
Use of neutron noise analysis in pressurized water reactors to detect and diagnose degradation represents the practice of proactive structural health monitoring for reactor vessel internals. Recent enhancements to this remote condition monitoring and diagnostic computational framework quantify the sensitivity of the structural dynamics to different degradation scenarios. This methodology leverages benchmarked computational structural mechanics models and machine learning methods to enhance interpretability of neutron noise measurement results. The novelty of the methodology lies not in the particular technologies and algorithms but in our amalgamation into a holistic computational framework for structural health monitoring. Recent experience revealed successful deployment of this methodology to proactively diagnose different degradation scenarios, thus enabling prognostic asset management for reactor structures.
在压水堆中使用中子噪声分析来检测和诊断退化,代表了对反应堆容器内部结构进行主动健康监测的实践。最近对这种远程状态监测和诊断计算框架的改进量化了结构动力学对不同退化情景的敏感性。该方法利用基准计算结构力学模型和机器学习方法来提高中子噪声测量结果的可解释性。该方法的新颖之处不在于特定的技术和算法,而在于我们将其融合为一个整体的结构健康监测计算框架。最近的经验表明,该方法的成功部署可以主动诊断不同的退化情况,从而实现反应堆结构的预测资产管理。
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引用次数: 0
Special Section on Risk, Resilience and Reliability for Autonomous Vehicle Technologies: Trend, Techniques and Challenges 自动驾驶汽车技术的风险、弹性和可靠性专题:趋势、技术和挑战
IF 2.2 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-21 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054384
M. Pourgol-Mohammad, A. Veeramany, B. Ayyub
N/A
N/A
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引用次数: 0
Decommissioning of Nuclear Submarines and the Interim Storage of Their Reactor Compartments 核潜艇退役及其反应堆舱室的临时储存
IF 2.2 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-21 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054385
Y. L. Maia, P. F. F. Frutuoso e Melo, T.Q. de Linhares, B. Pinho
At the end of the nuclear-powered submarines (NS) operational life, they have to be defueled, decommissioned and their nuclear reactors have to be safely disposed of. Their specific decommis-sioning process may be adapted to suit the needs of the decommissioning and storage process of small modular reactors (SMR) and reactors installed in floating devices. This paper addres-ses: 1- the decommissioning of NS, 2- the safe interim storage of their reactor compartments (RC), and 3- proposes a multicriteria decision-making (MCDM) approach for the RC interim storage facility site selection process, all focused on the Brazilian case. This approach is based on the application of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP).
在核动力潜艇(NS)的使用寿命结束时,它们必须进行除燃料、退役和核反应堆的安全处理。它们的具体退役过程可以进行调整,以适应小型模块化反应堆(SMR)和安装在浮动装置中的反应堆的退役和储存过程的需要。本文讨论:1-核反应堆的退役,2-反应堆室(RC)的安全临时储存,3-提出了RC临时储存设施选址过程的多标准决策(MCDM)方法,所有这些都集中在巴西的情况下。该方法基于层次分析法(AHP)的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Connectedness Efficiency Analysis of Weighted U. S. Freight Railroad Networks 加权美国货运铁路网连通性效率分析
IF 2.2 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-09 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054326
Majed Hamed, Yujie Mao, B. Ayyub, Magdy Elsibaie, Tarek Omar
Freight rail networks serve a key role in transporting bulk goods to accommodate changing market demands and to serve public needs. Network analyses of such systems can provide important insights into enhancing transportation efficiency and system resilience. This paper develops and investigates a topological analysis model for network efficiency, which is associated with the connectedness of a network's nodes by its links and their corresponding network attributes. This model allows analyzing network topologies with or without assigned weights to their nodes and links based on different attributes. Key attributes include physical length of links, dwell-time at nodes, types of goods moved, and origins and destination of goods. The model presented here enables (1) defining distinctions that may be employed for the assignment of node and link weights, (2) gaining an understanding of node and link criticality, and (3) providing methods for objectively maintaining and enhancing network performance. Such analyses can inform rail managers and executives in planning expansions, route or freight changes, or preparations for potential node or link failures. A case study of an aggregated U.S. freight rail network along with other example topologies is presented to demonstrate the use of selected network attributes and their influence on connectedness efficiency and the impacts of node and link failures on the overall transport efficiency.
货运铁路网络在运输散装货物以适应不断变化的市场需求和满足公众需要方面发挥着关键作用。对此类系统的网络分析可以为提高运输效率和系统弹性提供重要见解。本文建立并研究了一个网络效率的拓扑分析模型,该模型与网络节点的连通性及其相应的网络属性有关。该模型允许对网络拓扑进行分析,并根据不同的属性为节点和链路分配权重。关键属性包括链接的物理长度、在节点上的停留时间、移动的货物类型以及货物的起源和目的地。本文提出的模型能够(1)定义可用于分配节点和链路权重的区别,(2)获得对节点和链路临界性的理解,以及(3)提供客观维护和增强网络性能的方法。这种分析可以为铁路管理人员和高管规划扩建、路线或货运变化,或为潜在的节点或链路故障做准备提供信息。本文提出了一个美国货运铁路网络的案例研究以及其他拓扑示例,以展示所选网络属性的使用及其对连通性效率的影响,以及节点和链路故障对整体运输效率的影响。
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引用次数: 3
End-of-Life Corrosion Estimation and Profile of Ship Hull Structure: Non-Parametric Statistical Analysis of Medium Endurance Cutters 船舶船体结构的终寿命腐蚀估计和轮廓:中耐久刀具的非参数统计分析
IF 2.2 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-04-09 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054325
B. Ayyub, K. Stambaugh, William L. McGill
Corrosion in hull structure of Coast Guard cutters is a primary degradation mode that accounts for a significant portion of depot budgets and the occasional unavailability of ships in general. Corrosion exhibits great variability spatially and temporally. This paper presents, summarizes, and analyzes a one-of-a-kind data set for end-of-life corrosion estimation and profile of ship hull structure. The data set was created over several years and on several vessels, and collected by maintenance personnel at several geographic locations. This study analyzes wastage data due to corrosion that were systematically collected in 2007 to 2008 from twelve 210-foot Medium Endurance Cutters, commissioned in 1964 to 1969, in the form of thickness measurement using visual inspection and ultrasonic testing methods. A total of 76,091 thickness measurements were analyzed at positions covering the entire hulls. The measured corrosion levels mean is about 0.02 to 0.04 inches (1 in. = 25.4 mm), i.e., 6 to 14% of the as-built thicknesses after no more than 43 years of use of these 12 cutters as of 2007; however, the analysis of outliers indicates that the average wastage values can be misleading in predicting extreme corrosion. A method is proposed for estimating the counts and intensity of outliers. Examining geographic locations of the operations of these cutters and corrosion revealed that southern warm water led to appreciably larger corrosion compared to the northern colder waters, at a ratio of about 1.25 to 1.5.
海岸警卫队切割机船体结构的腐蚀是一种主要的退化模式,它占了仓库预算的很大一部分,并且偶尔会导致船舶不可用。腐蚀表现出很大的时空变异性。本文介绍、总结和分析了一套独一无二的用于船体结构寿命终止腐蚀估计和剖面的数据集。该数据集是在几年内在几艘船上创建的,由几个地理位置的维护人员收集。本研究分析了2007年至2008年系统收集的12个210英尺中型切削齿的腐蚀损耗数据,这些切削齿于1964年至1969年投入使用,采用目视检查和超声波测试方法测量厚度。在覆盖整个船体的位置,总共分析了76,091个厚度测量值。测量的腐蚀水平平均为0.02至0.04英寸(1英寸)。= 25.4 mm),即截至2007年,在使用这12种刀具不超过43年后,其厚度占建成厚度的6%至14%;然而,异常值分析表明,平均损耗值在预测极端腐蚀时可能会产生误导。提出了一种估计异常值数量和强度的方法。研究这些切削齿作业的地理位置和腐蚀情况发现,与北部较冷的水域相比,南部温暖的水域造成的腐蚀明显更大,其比例约为1.25比1.5。
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引用次数: 1
Developing Climate Resilience Technologies for Infrastructure: Perspectives On Some Strategic Needs in Mechanical Engineering 发展基础设施的气候适应技术:机械工程的一些战略需求的观点
IF 2.2 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-24 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054180
B. Ayyub, D. Walker
N/A
N/A
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引用次数: 0
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ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems Part B-Mechanical Engineering
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