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A three-step framework for capacity planning in a nursing home context 养老院容量规划的三步框架
IF 1.8 Q4 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2022-05-21 DOI: 10.1080/20476965.2022.2062461
N. Dieleman, M. Buitink, René Bekker, Dennis Moeke
ABSTRACT This paper presents a three-step conceptual framework that can be used to structure the care-related capacity planning process in a nursing home context. The proposed framework provides a sound practical vehicle to organise client-centred care without overstretching available capacity. Within this framework, an MILP for shift scheduling and a Genetic Algorithm (GA) for task-scheduling are proposed. To investigate the performance of the proposed framework, it is benchmarked against the current situation. The results show that considerable improvements can be achieved in terms of efficiency and waiting time. More specifically, it is shown that very modest waiting times can be achieved without exceeding available capacity, despite the fluctuations in care demand across the day.
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引用次数: 1
Contactless remote monitoring of sleep: evaluating the feasibility of an under-mattress sensor mat in a real-life deployment 睡眠的非接触式远程监控:评估床垫下传感器垫在现实生活中的可行性
IF 1.8 Q4 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2022-05-08 DOI: 10.1080/20476965.2022.2072777
Ibrahim Sadek, B. Abdulrazak
ABSTRACT Sleep is so important, particularly for the elderly. The lack of sleep may increase the risk of cognitive decline. Similarly, it may also increase the risk of Alzheimer’s disease. Nonetheless, many people underestimate the importance of getting enough rest and sleep. In-laboratory polysomnography is the gold-standard method for assessing the quality of sleep. This method is considered impractical in the clinical environment, seen as labour-intensive and expensive owing to its specialised equipment, leading to long waiting lists. Hence, user-friendly (remote and non-intrusive) devices are being developed to help patients monitor their sleep at home. In this paper, we first discuss commercially-available non-wearable devices that measure sleep, in which we highlight the features associated with each device, including sensor type, interface, outputs, dimensions, power supply, and connectivity. Second, we evaluate the feasibility of a non-wearable device in a free-living environment. The deployed device comprises a sensor mat with an integrated micro-bending multimode fibre. Raw sensor data were gathered from five senior participants living in a senior activity centre over a few to several weeks. We were able to analyse the participants’ sleep quality using various sleep parameters deduced from the sensor mat. These parameters include the wake-up time, bedtime, the time in bed, nap time. Vital signs, namely heart rate, respiratory rate, and body movements, were also reported to detect abnormal sleep patterns. We have employed pre-and post-surveys reporting each volunteer’s sleep hygiene to confirm the proposed system’s outcomes for detecting the various sleep parameters. The results of the system were strongly correlated with the surveys for reporting each sleep parameter. Furthermore, the system proved to be highly effective in detecting irregular patterns that occurred during sleep.
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引用次数: 1
Feasibility analysis of a prevention programme for patients with early chronic disease using A mathematical model. 用数学模型分析早期慢性病患者预防方案的可行性。
IF 1.8 Q4 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/20476965.2020.1860654
Fanwen Meng, Aidan Lyanzhiang Tan, Bee Hoon Heng, Melvin Khee Shing Leow, Palvannan Kannapiran

The increasing prevalence of the chronic disease is of considerable concern to health-care organisations. Prevention programmes to patients with early chronic disease have the potential to improve individual health and quality of life through disease avoidance or delay and to save the medical cost of the health care system. Due to the limited budget in healthcare this study seeks to analyse the feasibility of a programme prior to implementation. A mathematical model is developed to determine incidence reduction rate at which the underlying cost break-even can be achieved; consequently, the programme would be feasible. We show the existence and uniqueness of the underlying incidence reduction and establish the feasibility frontier concerning the trade-offs between intervention effective period and incidence reduction rate. We use a diabetes prevention programme to demonstrate the efficiency and advantage of the model. The proposed model would inform decision-makers scientific principles in determining an intervention for implementation.

慢性疾病的日益流行是卫生保健组织非常关注的问题。针对早期慢性疾病患者的预防规划有可能通过避免或延迟疾病改善个人健康和生活质量,并节省卫生保健系统的医疗费用。由于医疗保健预算有限,本研究旨在分析方案实施前的可行性。开发了一个数学模型,以确定发生率降低率,从而实现基本成本收支平衡;因此,该方案是可行的。我们证明了潜在发病率降低的存在性和唯一性,并建立了干预有效时间与发病率降低率权衡的可行性边界。我们用一个糖尿病预防项目来证明该模型的效率和优势。拟议的模式将为决策者提供确定执行干预措施的科学原则。
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引用次数: 0
A Systems-Based Framework for Immunisation System Design: Six Loops, Three Flows, Two Paradigms. 基于系统的免疫系统设计框架:六环、三流、两范式。
IF 1.2 Q4 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2021-10-28 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/20476965.2021.1992300
Catherine Decouttere, Nico Vandaele, Kim De Boeck, Stany Banzimana

Despite massive progress in vaccine coverage globally, the region of sub-Saharan Africa is lagging behind for Sustainable Development Goal 3 by 2030. Sub-national under-immunisation is part of the problem. In order to reverse the current immunisation system's (IMS) underperformance, a conceptual model is proposed that captures the complexity of IMSs in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) and offers directions for sustainable redesign. The IMS model was constructed based on literature and stakeholder interaction in Rwanda and Kenya. The model assembles the paradigms of planned and emergency immunisation in one system and emphasises the synchronised flows of vaccinee, vaccinator and vaccine. Six feedback loops capture the main mechanisms governing the system. Sustainability and resilience are assessed based on loop dominance and dependency on exogenous factors. The diagram invites stakeholders to share their mental models and. The framework provides a systems approach for problem structuring and policy design.

尽管全球在疫苗覆盖率方面取得了巨大进步,但撒哈拉以南非洲地区在实现 2030 年可持续发展目标 3 方面仍然落后。次国家免疫接种不足是问题的一部分。为了扭转当前免疫接种系统(IMS)表现不佳的局面,我们提出了一个概念模型,以反映中低收入国家(LMICs)免疫接种系统的复杂性,并为可持续的重新设计指明方向。综合监测系统模型是在卢旺达和肯尼亚的文献和利益相关者互动的基础上构建的。该模型将计划免疫和紧急免疫的模式集合在一个系统中,强调接种者、接种者和疫苗的同步流动。六个反馈回路体现了管理该系统的主要机制。根据循环的主导性和对外部因素的依赖性来评估可持续性和复原力。该图表邀请利益相关者分享他们的心智模式和系统。该框架为问题结构化和政策设计提供了一种系统方法。
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引用次数: 0
Establishing an SEIR-based framework for local modelling of COVID-19 infections, hospitalisations and deaths. 为 COVID-19 感染、住院和死亡的本地建模建立基于 SEIR 的框架。
IF 1.8 Q4 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2021-09-06 eCollection Date: 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/20476965.2021.1973348
R M Wood, A C Pratt, B J Murch, A L Powell, R D Booton, D G Thomas, J Twigger, E Diakou, S Coleborn, T Manning, C Davies, K M Turner

Without timely assessments of the number of COVID-19 cases requiring hospitalisation, healthcare providers will struggle to ensure an appropriate number of beds are made available. Too few could cause excess deaths while too many could result in additional waits for elective treatment. As well as supporting capacity considerations, reliably projecting future "waves" is important to inform the nature, timing and magnitude of any localised restrictions to reduce transmission. In making the case for locally owned and locally configurable models, this paper details the approach taken by one major healthcare system in founding a multi-disciplinary "Scenario Review Working Group", comprising commissioners, public health officials and academic epidemiologists. The role of this group, which met weekly during the pandemic, was to define and maintain an evolving library of plausible scenarios to underpin projections obtained through an SEIR-based compartmental model. Outputs have informed decision-making at the system's major incident Bronze, Silver and Gold Commands. This paper presents illustrated examples of use and offers practical considerations for other healthcare systems that may benefit from such a framework.

如果不能及时评估需要住院治疗的 COVID-19 病例数量,医疗服务提供者将很难确保提供适当数量的病床。病床太少可能会导致过多的死亡,而病床太多又可能导致需要等待更多的选择性治疗。除了支持能力方面的考虑外,可靠地预测未来的 "浪潮 "也很重要,这有助于确定任何旨在减少传播的地方限制措施的性质、时间和规模。本文详细介绍了一家大型医疗保健系统在建立由专员、公共卫生官员和学术流行病学家组成的多学科 "情景审查工作组 "时所采用的方法,以说明地方自主和地方可配置模型的重要性。该工作组在大流行期间每周召开一次会议,其职责是定义和维护一个不断发展的合理情景库,以支持通过基于 SEIR 的分区模型获得的预测结果。其结果为系统中重大事件铜牌、银牌和金牌指挥部的决策提供了依据。本文举例说明了这一框架的使用情况,并为其他可能受益于这一框架的医疗保健系统提供了实用的考虑因素。
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引用次数: 0
An automated machine learning tool for breast cancer diagnosis for healthcare professionals. 为医疗保健专业人员提供的用于乳腺癌诊断的自动机器学习工具。
IF 1.8 Q4 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2021-08-25 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/20476965.2021.1966324
Tawseef Ayoub Shaikh, Rashid Ali

The paper proposes a hybrid metaheuristic algorithm known as harmony search and simulated annealing (HS-SA) for accurate and precise breast malignancy disclosure by integrating harmony search (HS) and simulated annealing (SA) optimisation methods. An enhanced wavelet-based contourlet transform (WBCT) procedure for mining the highlights of the region of interest (ROI) is explored, that allows execution upgradation over other standard procedures. The anticipated HS-SA algorithm aims to reduce the feature dimensions and assemble at the unparalleled optimal feature subset. The SVM classifier fed with the picke.d feature subsets and assisted by varied kernel functions upheld its classification capacities in contrast with the conformist machine learning classification and optimisation methods. The portrayed computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) model is confronted by evaluating its learning capability on two different breast mammographic datasets i) benchmark BCDR-F03 dataset and ii) local mammographic dataset. Preliminary propagations, experimental outcomes, and quantifiable assessments likewise demonstrate that the proposed model is pragmatic and favourable for the automated breast malignancy findings with optimal performance and fewer overheads. The discoveries show that the proposed CAD system (HS-SA+Kernel SVM) is superior to various characterisation accuracy techniques with an accuracy of 99.89% for the local mammographic dataset and 99.76% for benchmark BCDR-F03 dataset, AUC of 99.41% for the local mammographic dataset and 99.21% for reference BCDR-F03 dataset while keeping the element space restricted to only seven feature subsets and computational prerequisites as low as is judicious.

本文提出了一种混合元启发式算法,即和谐搜索和模拟退火(HS-SA),将和谐搜索(HS)和模拟退火(SA)优化方法相结合,用于准确和精确的乳腺恶性肿瘤信息披露。探索了一种用于挖掘感兴趣区域(ROI)亮点的增强的基于小波的轮廓波变换(WBCT)过程,该过程允许在其他标准过程的基础上进行执行升级。预期的HS-SA算法旨在降低特征维度并在无与伦比的最优特征子集上进行组装。支持向量机分类器与拾取。与传统的机器学习分类和优化方法相比,D特征子集和不同核函数的辅助维持了其分类能力。本文对计算机辅助诊断(CAD)模型在两个不同的乳房x线摄影数据集(i)基准BCDR-F03数据集和ii)局部乳房x线摄影数据集上的学习能力进行了评估。初步的传播、实验结果和可量化的评估同样表明,所提出的模型是实用的,有利于乳腺恶性肿瘤的自动诊断,具有最佳的性能和更少的开销。研究结果表明,所提出的CAD系统(HS-SA+Kernel SVM)优于各种表征精度技术,局部乳房x线摄影数据集的准确率为99.89%,基准BCDR-F03数据集的准确率为99.76%,局部乳房x线摄影数据集的AUC为99.41%,参考BCDR-F03数据集的AUC为99.21%,同时将元素空间限制在只有七个特征子集,计算先决条件尽可能低。
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引用次数: 0
Determining the relative risk of hospitalisation and surgery of fall injury patients. 确定跌倒损伤患者住院和手术的相对风险。
IF 1.8 Q4 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2021-08-17 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/20476965.2021.1966323
Dinesh R Pai, Hengameh M Hosseini, Stephen R Rosito

Falls are one of the most common cause of nonfatal and fatal injuries in the U.S. costing over an estimated $54 billion annually. A significant percentage of patients presenting to hospital emergency departments (ED) for falls are hospitalised. This paper analyzes a regional hospital data pertaining to adults presenting to the ED because of falls. We use patient demographics and medical conditions to help identify patients at risk for immediate undesirable outcomes after a fall. Furthermore, we determine the relative risk of patient hospitalisation and surgery and their characteristics. Our results indicate that older patient's, patients arriving by ambulance, patients with higher severity levels and patients with pre-existing comorbidities were at a higher relative risk of hospitalisation and surgery. Furthermore, patients with medical conditions pertaining to femur and tibia fractures, pelvis, renal failure, ambulatory dysfunction, and cellulitis, among others, and non-Hispanic whites were at a much higher relative risk of hospitalisation and surgery.

在美国,跌倒是造成非致命和致命伤害的最常见原因之一,每年造成的损失估计超过540亿美元。到医院急诊科(ED)就诊的患者中有相当大比例的人住院治疗。本文分析了一个地区医院的数据有关的成年人呈现到急诊室,因为跌倒。我们使用患者的人口统计数据和医疗条件来帮助确定患者在跌倒后立即出现不良后果的风险。此外,我们确定患者住院和手术的相对风险及其特征。我们的研究结果表明,老年患者、救护车到达的患者、严重程度较高的患者和已有合并症的患者住院和手术的相对风险较高。此外,患有股骨和胫骨骨折、骨盆、肾衰竭、行走功能障碍和蜂窝组织炎等疾病的患者以及非西班牙裔白人住院和手术的相对风险要高得多。
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引用次数: 1
Home testing for COVID-19 and other virus outbreaks: The complex system of translating to communities. COVID-19 和其他病毒爆发的家庭检测:向社区转化的复杂系统。
IF 1.8 Q4 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2021-07-26 eCollection Date: 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/20476965.2021.1952905
Victoria Lyon, Cynthia LeRouge, Ann Fruhling, Matthew Thompson

Home testing is an emerging innovation that can enable nations and health care systems to safely and efficiently test large numbers of patients to manage COVID-19 and other viral outbreaks.  In this position paper, we explore the process of moving home testing across the translational continuum from labs to households, and ultimately into practice and communities for optimal public health impact. We focus on the four translational science drivers to accelerate the implementation of systems-wide home testing programmes 1) collaboration and team science, 2) technology, 3) multilevel interventions, and 4) knowledge integration. We use the Socio Ecological Model (SEM) as a framework to illustrate our vision for the ideal future state of a comprehensive system of stakeholders utilising tech-enabled home testing for COVID-19 and other virus outbreaks, and we suggest SEM as a tool to address key translational readiness and response questions.

家庭检测是一项新兴的创新,它能使国家和医疗保健系统安全、高效地检测大量患者,以控制 COVID-19 和其他病毒的爆发。 在本立场文件中,我们探讨了将家庭检测从实验室到家庭,最终到实践和社区的整个转化过程,以达到最佳的公共卫生效果。我们将重点放在四个转化科学驱动因素上,以加快全系统家庭检测计划的实施:1)协作和团队科学;2)技术;3)多层次干预;4)知识整合。我们将社会生态模型(SEM)作为一个框架,说明我们对未来理想状态的设想,即利益相关者利用技术辅助的家庭检测来应对 COVID-19 和其他病毒爆发,我们还建议将社会生态模型作为解决关键转化准备和响应问题的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Offering transportation services to economically disadvantaged patients at a family health center: a case study. 在家庭保健中心为经济困难的病人提供交通服务:个案研究。
IF 1.8 Q4 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2021-07-25 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/20476965.2021.1936658
Jia Guo, Jonathan F Bard, Douglas J Morrice, Carlos R Jaén, Ramin Poursani

It has been established that high no-show rates of publicly supported health systems in economically depressed areas are largely due to a lack of inexpensive, reliable transportation. The purpose of this paper is to determine the financial feasibility of offering transportation and investigate the net cost savings by reducing no-show rates. The approach starts with a data analysis on 636 patients at the Family Health Center (FHC) in San Antonio, Texas, followed by logistic regression to determine the impact of various transportation factors on cancellations/no-shows and late arrivals. We then investigate the costs savings that could be realised by reducing the no-show rate from 24.3% by up to 60%. Finally, we analyse the expenses that would be incurred should the FHC provide transportation. The full analysis indicates a cost reduction of more than $15,000 per month can be achieved when the no-show rate is reduced by 25% down to 18.2%.

已经确定的是,在经济萧条地区,公共卫生系统的高缺勤率主要是由于缺乏廉价、可靠的交通工具。本文的目的是确定提供运输的财务可行性,并调查通过减少缺勤率节省的净成本。该方法首先对德克萨斯州圣安东尼奥市家庭健康中心(FHC)的636名患者进行数据分析,然后进行逻辑回归,以确定各种交通因素对取消/缺席和迟到的影响。然后,我们调查了通过将缺勤率从24.3%降低到60%可以实现的成本节约。最后,我们分析了如果FHC提供运输将产生的费用。完整的分析表明,当缺勤率降低25%,降至18.2%时,每月可减少15,000美元以上的成本。
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引用次数: 0
Incorporating the six aims for quality in the analysis of trauma care 将六个目标纳入创伤护理质量分析
IF 1.8 Q4 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES Pub Date : 2021-07-20 DOI: 10.1080/20476965.2021.1906763
Lucy G. Aragon, K. Schieman, Laila Cure
ABSTRACT The Institute of Medicine proposed six aims for healthcare quality improvement. Nevertheless, trauma care quality research still focuses on one aim at a time. This research investigates how to incorporate all aims into trauma care quality assessments using data from the Michigan Trauma Quality Improvement Program. Through a literature review, we identified quantifiable metrics for most aims, except for equity and patient-centeredness. We proposed two approaches to build composite scores accounting for equity via an adjustment procedure based on observed disparities. The single- and multi-aim approaches were compared through correlation, concordance of trauma centre categorisations, and hypothetical incentives. The differences in the approaches stemmed mainly from the weights allocated to the different aims. Results indicated the potential value of multi-aim quality assessment and provided insights about implementation challenges and opportunities. The methods are applicable to the preferred metrics; nevertheless, further research is needed in measuring patient-centeredness.
医学研究所提出了提高医疗质量的六大目标。然而,创伤护理质量的研究仍然集中在一个时间的一个目标。本研究探讨了如何利用密歇根创伤质量改进计划的数据将所有目标纳入创伤护理质量评估。通过文献回顾,我们确定了大多数目标的可量化指标,除了公平和以患者为中心。我们提出了两种方法,通过基于观察到的差异的调整程序来构建考虑公平的综合得分。通过创伤中心分类的相关性、一致性和假设激励,比较了单目标和多目标方法。方法的差异主要源于分配给不同目标的权重。结果表明了多目标质量评估的潜在价值,并提供了实施挑战和机遇的见解。所述方法适用于优选度量;然而,在以患者为中心的测量方面还需要进一步的研究。
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引用次数: 0
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