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Academic Atlas Mapping: Structural and Semiotic Analysis of the Main Results of Russian–Mongolian Cooperation 学术地图绘制:俄蒙合作主要成果的结构和语义分析
IF 0.3 Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1134/s1875372823050025
A. R. Batuev, D. A. Batuev

Abstract

This article presents the main results of the joint academic atlas mapping of the transboundary Baikal region obtained by the Sochava Institute of Geography, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences (SB RAS), and the Institute of Geography and Geoecology of the Mongolian Academy of Sciences with the participation of other academic institutions and universities. A structural–semiotic analysis of the created atlases is carried out, and it is shown that the number of information–semiotic modules in each atlas can vary and depends on its subject matter, territorial coverage, and purpose. The analysis of the internal semiotic structure of atlases is carried out through the prism of a unified system of syntactic classification of conventional signs and methods of graphic display on the example of a number of atlases. The system of structural–semiotic organization of atlases is proposed to be methodically and practically supported with the help of geoportal methods and technologies for their use in creating new digital atlas projects.

摘要 本文介绍了俄罗斯科学院西伯利亚分院索恰瓦地理研究所和蒙古科学院地理与地球生态研究所在其他学术机构和大学的参与下,联合绘制贝加尔湖跨境地区学术地图集的主要成果。对绘制的地图集进行了结构-符号学分析,结果表明,每本地图集中信息-符号学模块的数量各不相同,并取决于其主题、地域覆盖范围和目的。以若干地图册为例,通过统一的常规符号句法分类系统和图形显示方法,对地图册的内部符号结构进行了分析。建议在地理门户方法和技术的帮助下,有条不紊地实际支持地图集的结构-符号组织系统,以便将其用于创建新的数字地图集项目。
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引用次数: 0
Origin and Relationships of Humpback Whitefishes of Mongolia (Corgoninae) 蒙古驼背白鱼的起源与亲缘关系(珊瑚科)
IF 0.3 Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1134/s1875372823050189
N. Tuvshinzhargal, N. A. Bochkarev, D. V. Politov, Ch. Ayuushsuren, V. I. Teterina, M. M. Solovyov, A. N. Matveev, V. V. Smirnov, L. V. Sukhanova

Abstract

Questions of the evolution and taxonomic status of the humpback whitefish Coregonus pidschian and its relationships with the complex C. lavaretus sensu lato (s.n.) are as of yet unresolved problems in the study of Coregonus fauna. With the exception of the Amur basin, the only representatives of the genus Coregonus in native Mongolian fauna are humpback whitefishes (Kottelat, 2006; Dulmaa, 2015). The taxonomic status and origin of the previously described forms found in Mongolia require clarification. The study analyzes their relationships with other representatives of the Coregonus genus using phylogenetic reconstruction based on the mtDNA cytochrome b gene. It is discovered that there are two divergent mtDNA lines of humpback whitefishes coexisting in lakes of the Darkhad Depression. A potential history of their migration to Lake Dood Tsagaan through the upper reaches of the Yenisei River is proposed. The hypothesis of the Darkhad Depression being a refugium that gave birth to a quick-growing form of the Issatchenko whitefish (C. fluviatilis Isaczenko, 1925, Yenisei basin), separate from the C. lavaretus complex, is disproven. It is shown that a form conspecific with the Issatchenko whitefish definitely occurs on the territory of Mongolia, but only in the Selenga River basin, from where its range extends throughout the Angara–Yenisei basin to the Nizhnyaya Tunguska.

摘要关于驼背白鱼Coregonus pidschian的进化和分类地位及其与复杂的C. lavaretus sensu lato(s.n.)的关系的问题,是Coregonus动物群研究中尚未解决的问题。除阿穆尔河流域外,蒙古本地动物群中 Coregonus 属的唯一代表是驼背白鲑(Kottelat,2006 年;Dulmaa,2015 年)。之前在蒙古发现的描述形式的分类地位和起源需要澄清。本研究利用基于 mtDNA 细胞色素 b 基因的系统发育重建,分析了它们与其他 Coregonus 属代表物种的关系。研究发现,在达尔哈德洼地的湖泊中,有两个不同的驼背白鲑 mtDNA 系共存。提出了它们通过叶尼塞河上游迁徙到朵朵查干湖的潜在历史。推翻了关于达尔哈德洼地是伊萨琴科白鲑(C. fluviatilis Isaczenko,1925 年,叶尼塞河流域)快速生长的温床的假说。研究表明,蒙古境内确实存在一种与伊萨琴科白鲑同种的鱼类,但只出现在色楞格河流域,其分布范围从该流域延伸至整个安加拉河-叶尼塞河流域,直至下通古斯卡河。
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引用次数: 0
Russian–Mongolian Cooperation in the Field of Digital Ecological Monitoring of the Baikal Natural Territory and Khuvsgul region 俄罗斯与蒙古在贝加尔湖自然保护区和库夫斯古尔地区数字生态监测领域的合作
IF 0.3 Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1134/s1875372823050049
I. V. Bychkov, A. K. Popova, E. S. Fereferov, R. K. Fedorov, S. Demberel, D. Uuganbaatar

Abstract

The Baikal Natural Territory (BNT) and Khuvsgul region have similar environmental problems. It is relevant to carry out integrated scientific studies and monitor the state of the components of the natural environment in these areas. This paper presents the results of a number of joint Russian–Mongolian projects aimed at studying and developing new methods and technologies for integrated environmental monitoring and prediction. A digital platform has been created to support scientific research and environmental monitoring. This platform makes it possible to collect, store, process, and analyze large arrays of heterogeneous spatiotemporal data and predict environmental situations using a set of mathematical and information models, services, and machine learning methods. The authors have also developed methods and web services for environmental monitoring based on the processing of Earth remote sensing (RS) data. A technology for classifying multispectral Sentinel-2 satellite images has been created that makes it possible to distinguish 12 classes of the land cover using artificial intelligence methods. A service for monitoring the state of the atmosphere over large areas has been created based on the processing of Sentinel-5P satellite data. This service makes it possible to display the concentrations of SO2, NO2, CO, CH4, H2O, O3, formaldehydes, and aerosols in the air.

摘要 贝加尔湖自然保护区(BNT)和 Khuvsgul 地区存在类似的环境问题。在这些地区开展综合科学研究并监测自然环境各组成部分的状况具有重要意义。本文介绍了一系列俄罗斯-蒙古联合项目的成果,这些项目旨在研究和开发综合环境监测和预测的新方法和新技术。为支持科学研究和环境监测,创建了一个数字平台。该平台可以收集、存储、处理和分析大量异构时空数据,并利用一套数学和信息模型、服务和机器学习方法预测环境状况。作者还开发了基于地球遥感(RS)数据处理的环境监测方法和网络服务。创建了一种用于对哨兵-2 号卫星多光谱图像进行分类的技术,该技术可利用人工智能方法区分 12 类土地覆盖物。在处理哨兵-5P 卫星数据的基础上,创建了大面积大气状况监测服务。这项服务可以显示空气中二氧化硫、二氧化氮、一氧化碳、甲烷、水、氧气、甲醛和气溶胶的浓度。
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引用次数: 0
Composition and Productivity of Zooplankton as a Food Resource for Fish from Lake Dood Tsagaan (Darkhad Depression, Mongolia) 浮游动物作为 Dood Tsagaan 湖(蒙古达克哈德洼地)鱼类食物资源的组成和生产力
IF 0.3 Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1134/s1875372823050165
N. G. Sheveleva, Ch. Ayushsuren, A. V. Nepokrytykh, N. Tuvshinzhargal, L. V. Sukhanova

Abstract

The species composition, abundance, biomass, and productivity of zooplankton have been studied in different biotopes of Lake Dood Tsagaan in July 2022. Concerning to the qualitative composition, the lake community is characterized as cladoceran–copepod and almost equally represented by cladoceran and copepod crustaceans. Based on biomass data, dominant species have been identified in the nearshore and deepwater zones of the lake. The copepods Mixodiaptomus incrassatus (Sars), Arctodiaptomus paulseni (Sars), Arctodiaptomus anudarini Borutzky, Mesocyclops leuckarti (Claus), and Cyclops scutifer (Sars) were dominant in biomass in all biotopes of the lake. The mean zooplankton abundance in the lake was 86 300 ± 24 300 ind./m3 and biomass was 1463.7 ± 415 mg/m3. The qualitative and quantitative indicators of zooplankton have not significantly changed over the last 60 years. With respect to the quantitative characteristics of zooplankton, the trophic status of the lake can be considered as a-mesotrophic, with a medium food supply for planktophagous fishes.

摘要 对 2022 年 7 月多德察干湖不同生物群落中浮游动物的物种组成、丰度、生物量和生产力进行了研究。在定性组成方面,湖泊群落的特点是桡足类-甲壳类,桡足类和甲壳类几乎各占一半。根据生物量数据,确定了湖泊近岸和深水区的主要物种。桡足类中的 Mixodiaptomus incrassatus (Sars)、Arctodiaptomus paulseni (Sars)、Arctodiaptomus anudarini Borutzky、Mesocyclops leuckarti (Claus) 和 Cyclops scutifer (Sars) 在湖泊的所有生物群落中都占优势。湖中浮游动物的平均数量为 86 300 ± 24 300 个/立方米,生物量为 1463.7 ± 415 毫克/立方米。浮游动物的定性和定量指标在过去 60 年中没有发生显著变化。从浮游动物的数量特征来看,该湖的营养状态可视为中营养型,对浮游食性鱼类的食物供应量适中。
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引用次数: 0
Origin and Prospects of Practical Use of Utaat-Minchuur Hot Vapor Anomaly 乌塔特-明楚尔热蒸气异常的起源和实际应用前景
IF 0.3 Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1134/s1875372823050116
A. I. Orgilianov, P. S. Badminov, I. G. Kryukova, O. P. Smekalin, D. Surmaajav, D. Oyuntsetseg

Abstract

This paper discusses the results of a study of a rare natural phenomenon—the Utaat-Minchuur hot vapor anomaly located in the east of Mongolia. The first information about it appeared several centuries ago, but until now this phenomenon has not received due attention, and the question of its origin remains controversial. According to the authors, two main hypotheses are most likely. The first involves an underground coal fire. This is supported by the widespread occurrence of vapor-bearing coal deposits in the area and the constant formation of fresh depressions of ground. The second hypothesis suggests the presence of an endogenous heat source. This can be confirmed by the presence in the released gas of significant amounts of ammonia and carbon dioxide, which are characteristic of volcanic processes. In addition, effusive rocks are widespread in the vicinity of the vapor anomaly. At a distance of 8 km from the vapor anomaly, the ratio of 3He/4He isotopes in water samples from a self-flowing well was 1 × 10–6, which exceeds the similar ratio in many thermal springs of Mongolia. Based on the results of drilling operations, the presence of clays with a high content of organic matter, which were heated to a temperature of more than 60°C, was revealed in the upper part of the rock formation section. To clarify the conditions for the formation of a single heat source, it is planned to conduct geophysical research and drill deep exploration wells. Thanks to the combination of balneological factors (high vapor temperature and the presence of ammonia and a number of microelements), Utaat-Minchuur is a very promising object for the development of sanatorium and resort construction. Here, patients with diseases of the musculoskeletal system, peripheral nervous system, kidneys, etc., will be able to receive treatment. The experience of balneological use of natural vapor is known in a number of resorts around the world, such as Yangantau (Russia, Republic of Bashkortostan), Obygarm (Tajikistan), and Lorderello (Italy).

摘要 本文讨论了对一种罕见的自然现象--位于蒙古东部的 Utaat-Minchuur 热蒸气异常现象--的研究结果。几个世纪前首次出现了有关这一现象的信息,但直到现在,这一现象仍未得到应有的重视,其起源问题仍存在争议。作者认为,最有可能的假设主要有两种。第一种是地下煤火。该地区广泛存在的含蒸气煤层以及不断形成的新的地面凹陷都证明了这一点。第二种假设认为存在内生热源。这一点可以从释放出的气体中含有大量氨气和二氧化碳得到证实,而这正是火山过程的特征。此外,在水汽异常点附近还广泛分布着喷出岩。在距离蒸气异常点 8 公里处,自流井水样中的 3He/4He 同位素比值为 1 × 10-6,超过了蒙古许多热泉的类似比值。根据钻井作业的结果,在岩层部分的上部发现了有机物含量较高的粘土,这些粘土被加热到 60°C 以上的温度。为了弄清单一热源的形成条件,计划开展地球物理研究并钻探深井。乌塔特-明楚尔(Utaat-Minchuur)结合了各种浴场因素(水蒸气温度高、氨和多种微量元素的存在),是一个非常有前景的疗养和度假胜地建设项目。在这里,患有肌肉骨骼系统、外周神经系统、肾脏等疾病的病人可以得到治疗。世界各地的许多度假村都有利用天然蒸汽进行浴疗的经验,如扬安图(Yangantau,俄罗斯,巴什科尔托斯坦共和国)、奥比加姆(Obygarm,塔吉克斯坦)和莱德列罗(Lorderello,意大利)。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Assessment of the Manifestation of Seismicity within the Southwestern Part of the Baikal–Mongolian Region for Various Seismic and Ground Conditions of Construction 贝加尔-蒙古地区西南部在各种地震和地面建筑条件下的地震表现比较评估
IF 0.3 Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1134/s1875372823050062
V. I. Dzhurik, E. V. Bryzhak, T. Batsaikhan, S. P. Serebrennikov

Abstract

The intensively developed densely populated parts of the Baikal–Mongolian region (BMR) within the Selenga River basin and the southwestern part of the Baikal seismic zone have been selected for research. Geomorphologically, the territory is located within the Selenga Dauria, which merges with the mountain ranges of Mongolia. Earthquakes constantly occur here, and their strength varies widely, sometimes reaching catastrophic values. The high seismic potential of the region is due to the presence at a relatively short distance of seismically active zones in the north (Lake Baikal) and in the south (Mongolia) and the presence of earthquake epicenters with an energy class reaching 15. The main tectonic elements of the area are the faults that control the Meso-Cenozoic depressions. Fragments of these faults correspond to the zones of occurrence of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5–6.0. Therefore, the study of the seismic process, the features of the manifestation of seismicity, and the assessment of the seismic hazard of this territory are currently given special importance.The research results are aimed at developing methods for studying and predicting the seismic effects of large earthquakes in the BMR. As a result, the most probable seismic-soil models are formed for various thicknesses of loose deposits, differing in their composition and state, taking into account the depth of bedrock occurrence. The available seismogeological and geophysical information and the data obtained by us on the study of engineering and seismological conditions for the construction of a number of industrial and civil facilities are used. According to the records of the last large earthquakes by permanent seismic stations, a single initial signal was formed for the accepted level of initial seismicity. When using it for the constructed models and implementing theoretical calculations, a comparative analysis of the effect of near-surface inhomogeneities on the initial seismic signal was carried out using a set of main indicators of seismicity manifestation: seismic characteristics (accelerograms, spectra, and frequency characteristics) and their parameters (maximum accelerations and prevailing and resonant frequencies). The data presented for the prevailing varieties of soils of various conditions lead to the possibility for their use in zoning the seismic hazard of the study area.

摘要 研究选取了色楞格河流域和贝加尔湖地震带西南部贝加尔-蒙古地区(BMR)人口密集的密集开发地区。从地貌上看,该地区位于色楞格大峡谷内,与蒙古的山脉相接。这里经常发生地震,其强度变化很大,有时甚至达到灾难性的程度。北部(贝加尔湖)和南部(蒙古)的地震活跃区距离较近,且存在能量等级达到 15 级的地震震中,因此该地区具有很高的地震潜力。该地区的主要构造要素是控制中新生代洼地的断层。这些断层片段与 5.5-6.0 级地震的发生区相对应。因此,研究地震过程、地震的表现特征以及评估该地区的地震危害目前具有特别重要的意义。研究成果旨在开发研究和预测巴马科大地震的地震效应的方法。因此,针对不同厚度的松散沉积物(其成分和状态各不相同),并考虑到基岩出现的深度,形成了最可能的地震-土壤模型。我们使用了现有的地震地质和地球物理信息,以及我们在研究一些工业和民用设施建设的工程和地震条件时获得的数据。根据永久性地震台站对最近一次大地震的记录,为公认的初始地震水平形成了一个单一的初始信号。在将其用于构建模型和进行理论计算时,使用了一套地震表现的主要指标:地震特征(加速度图、频谱和频率特性)及其参数(最大加速度、主要频率和共振频率),对近地表不均匀性对初始地震信号的影响进行了比较分析。针对不同条件下的主要土壤品种所提供的数据可用于对研究区域的地震危害进行分区。
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引用次数: 0
Current Glaciation of Inner-Continental Mountain Areas within Mongolian Altai and the Baikal Rift Zone 蒙古阿尔泰和贝加尔裂谷区内大陆山地的当前冰川作用
IF 0.3 Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1134/s1875372823050074
E. N. Ivanov, V. M. Plyusnin, A. D. Kitov, D. Otgonbayar

Abstract

Global climatic changes in recent decades cause changes in the dynamics of mountain geosystems. Of interest is the response of nival-glacial inland geosystems, which is different from those in the pre-Oceanic regions. In 2013, the authors substantiated the expediency of separating the nival-glacial mountain range geosystems within the Baikal Rift Zone and Mongolian Altai into a meridional research transect, within which it is possible to establish latitudinal patterns of modern intracontinental glacier functioning. Over the past decade of ongoing studies of glacial forms within the transect, many new data have been collected and analyzed. The present article based on systematic generalizations of these materials.

The analysis of the state of mountain glaciation in the south of Eastern Siberia and Mongolia in the last decades has revealed a number of peculiarities. The deglaciation that began in the 1970s–1980s continues in all the mountain systems under consideration. It is a reaction to global climatic changes. The greatest reduction is experienced by the near-slope glaciers and flattop glaciers and to a lesser extent by the cirque ice glaciers. They have a significant volume loss due to thinning, while changes in the area of such glaciers are less significant. This is the main difference between the intracontinental glaciers and the preoceanic glaciers. In general, many nival-glacial geosystems of transitional forms are formed.

Quantitative characteristics are based on the calculation of the volume of the East Sayan glaciers measured by geophysical radar. Thus, over 120 years, the Peretolchina (northern) Glacier has decreased in length by a factor of 1.75, in area by a factor of 2.9, and in volume by a factor of 3.71. During the same period, the area of the neighboring Radde Glacier decreased from 0.43 to 0.09 km2; its thickness by 30 m; and, accordingly, its volume by 3 times. The warming of air temperature for Western Mongolia is 0.03–0.29°C/10 years and, for the Baikal region, 0.2–0.5°C/10 years. Warming of air temperatures in the ridges of the Mongolian Altai is noted up to 48° N, and southward the trend is unstable.

摘要 近几十年来的全球气候变化引起了山区地质系统动力学的变化。值得关注的是新冰期内陆地质系统的响应,它不同于前海洋区域的地质系统。2013 年,作者证实了将贝加尔裂谷区和蒙古阿尔泰境内的新冰期山脉地质系统分离成一个经向研究横断面的适宜性,在该横断面内有可能建立现代大陆内冰川功能的纬度模式。在过去十年对该横断带内冰川形态的持续研究中,收集并分析了许多新数据。本文基于对这些资料的系统归纳。对过去几十年东西伯利亚和蒙古南部山区冰川状态的分析揭示了一些特殊性。20 世纪 70 年代至 80 年代开始的冰川消融现象在所研究的所有山系中仍在继续。这是对全球气候变化的反应。降幅最大的是近坡冰川和平顶冰川,其次是盘旋冰川。由于冰川变薄,它们的体积损失很大,而冰川面积的变化则不太明显。这是大陆内冰川与洋前冰川的主要区别。一般来说,会形成许多过渡形态的新冰川地质系统。数量特征是根据地球物理雷达测量的东萨扬冰川体积计算得出的。因此,120 年来,佩列托尔奇纳(北部)冰川的长度减少了 1.75 倍,面积减少了 2.9 倍,体积减少了 3.71 倍。同一时期,邻近的拉德冰川面积从 0.43 平方公里减少到 0.09 平方公里,厚度减少了 30 米,体积也相应减少了 3 倍。蒙古西部的气温升高幅度为 0.03-0.29°C/10 年,贝加尔地区为 0.2-0.5°C/10 年。蒙古阿尔泰山脊的气温在北纬 48 度以下有所升高,向南升高的趋势不稳定。
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引用次数: 0
Landscape Studies of Goletzes in Cisbaikalia 西斯拜卡利亚戈列茨的景观研究
IF 0.3 Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1134/s1875372823030113
V. M. Plyusnin, I. N. Bilichenko

Abstract

The results of terrestrial landscape studies obtained in the goletzes of the Barguzin Range and Baikal Range are presented. Modern exogenous processes of relief formation, which change the structure of glacial geosystems, are considered. Profiles for further large-scale research into geosystems have been laid in the key areas. It has been revealed that, on the Barguzin Range, rocky watershed and corrie complexes and steep-slope rocky–coarse-clastic, slope–shrubby dwarf mountain pine–steppe complexes predominate. On the Baikal Ridge, the landscape structure of the key area consists of rocky, steep-slope rocky–coarse-clastic, and slope dark coniferous complexes of reduced and limited development. Using satellite images, topographic maps, and the results of ground route surveys, landscape maps of key areas were created. The basic unit of mapping at a scale of 1 : 50 000 is represented by a group of facies which is characterized by the similarity of locations and by the belonging of plant associations to one group and soil phases to one genus, which represent homogeneous natural and natural–anthropogenic geosystems of topological level. Groups of facies are differentiated with respect to the regime of moistening in different areas, the geological and structural features of rocks, the position in the relief (the relation to the altitudinal belts, steepness of slopes and exposure, and the effects of barrier shade and insolation), and the altitudinal-belt differentiation of soil and vegetation cover. It is concluded that the modern structure of goletz geosystems of Cisbaikalia is experiencing changes associated mainly with climate warming. Conditions are being created for soil formation; the overgrowth of rubbly areas with pioneer vegetation; and the expansion of dwarf mountain pine–clastic, yernik, and alder shrub habitats.

摘要 介绍了在巴尔古津山脉和贝加尔湖山脉的格列茨山进行的陆地景观研究结果。研究考虑了改变冰川地质系统结构的现代外源地貌形成过程。为在关键地区进一步开展大规模地质系统研究奠定了基础。研究结果表明,在巴尔古津山脉,岩石分水岭和角砾岩群以及陡坡岩石-粗碎屑岩-斜坡灌木矮山松林-草原群占据主导地位。在贝加尔山脊,关键地区的地貌结构由岩石、陡坡岩石-粗碎屑岩和坡地暗针叶林复合体组成,发育程度较低且有限。利用卫星图像、地形图和地面路线勘测结果,绘制了重点地区的地貌图。以 1 : 50 000 的比例绘制地图的基本单位是地貌群,其特点是位置相似,植物群属于一个群,土相属于一个属,代表了同质的自然地理系统和自然-人类活动地质系统的地形水平。根据不同地区的湿润程度、岩石的地质和结构特征、在地形中的位置(与海拔带的关系、斜坡的陡度和暴露程度、屏障遮荫和日照的影响)以及土壤和植被的海拔带分异,对地貌组进行了区分。结论是,西斯拜卡利亚戈列兹地质系统的现代结构正在经历主要与气候变暖有关的变化。这为土壤的形成创造了条件;在碎石地区生长了大量先锋植被;矮小的山松-碎石、叶尼克和赤杨灌木栖息地不断扩大。
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引用次数: 0
Probabilistic Models of Extreme Flood Water Discharges in Rivers of Cisbaikalia 西斯拜卡利亚河流极端洪水排量的概率模型
IF 0.3 Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1134/s1875372823030101
N. V. Osipova, M. V. Bolgov, N.V. Kichigina

Abstract

This article considers the possibility of using probabilistic models to analyze the maximal flow discharges of rivers in order to obtain reliable calculated statistical characteristics for basins with poorly studied hydrological features. The research was performed by the example of Cisbaikalia, which is characterized by a flood regime of river flow. It is found that floods in the study area most often occur in summer (July−August), are associated with the climatic characteristics of the region, and are often destructive. The analysis of the maximal flow of rivers is based on data from the Roshydromet observation network. The series of maximal water discharges are checked for homogeneity and, in general, no disturbances in the steady state of runoff caused by climate changes are detected. A generalized distribution of extremes is proposed as the main probabilistic model; it is recommended to determine its parameters on the basis of the group analysis. The integrated approach has been applied for the first time; it combines conventional methods of hydrological calculations, which are most often used to refine the characteristics obtained for the runoff in the zone of extreme values: the apparatus for truncation of distributions; joint analysis of data; a reduction formula with the reduction of the drain modulus value not only to the area of 200 km2, but also to the mean height of basins in the region; and the frequency probability method for estimation of obtained results. These methods are recommended by regulatory documents for discharge calculations and are most often individually used. The comprehensive approach described by the authors enables us to take into account the features of the runoff formation in the zone of extreme values and obtain more accurate values of characteristic quantiles of a given probability of excess for use in design on poorly studied rivers of the region.

摘要 本文探讨了使用概率模型分析河流最大流量的可能性,以便为水文特征研究不足的流域获得可靠的计算统计特征。研究以西斯拜卡利亚(Cisbaikalia)为例进行,该地区的河流特点是洪水泛滥。研究发现,研究地区的洪水最常发生在夏季(7 月至 8 月),与该地区的气候特征有关,而且往往具有破坏性。对河流最大流量的分析以 Roshydromet 观测网的数据为基础。对最大排水量系列进行了同质性检查,总体上没有发现气候变化对径流稳定状态造成的干扰。建议将极值的广义分布作为主要概率模型;建议在分组分析的基础上确定其参数。首次采用了综合方法;该方法结合了水文计算的常规方法,这些方法通常用于完善极值区的径流特征:截断分布的仪器;数据联合分析;排水模数值还原公式,该公式不仅可将排水模数值还原为 200 平方公里的面积,还可将其还原为区域内流域的平均高度;以及频率概率法,用于估算所得结果。这些方法都是排水计算规范性文件所推荐的,也是最常用的单独方法。作者所述的综合方法使我们能够考虑到极端值区域的径流形成特征,并获得更准确的给定超标概率特征量值,用于该地区研究不足的河流的设计。
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引用次数: 0
Accuracy Analysis of Estimates of Total Solar Radiation in Databases and Regression Models for Eastern Russia 俄罗斯东部地区数据库和回归模型中太阳辐射总量估算的准确性分析
IF 0.3 Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1134/s1875372823030058
I. Yu. Ivanova, V. A. Shakirov, N. A. Khalgaeva

Abstract

The efficient use of solar energy requires an accurate assessment of the incoming solar radiation. The study involves comparing the accuracy of monthly means of the global solar radiation flux from the ERA5 reanalysis database, the SYN1deg satellite-based observation database, climate reference data, and data of regression models for seven settlements in the east of Russia. The study employs two well-known regression models, including parameters of extraterrestrial solar radiation, total cloudiness, air humidity, minimum and maximum air temperature, atmospheric pressure, and a new regression model, which additionally includes parameters of low-level cloudiness and sun elevation angle. The accuracy of databases and regression models is evaluated by comparing their data with ground measurements of weather stations. The indices of the mean absolute error, root-mean-square error, and mean bias error are calculated. The comparison shows that the data of climate reference books for the period from 1937–1957 to 1980 have the smallest deviation from the estimates of the monthly mean flux of global solar radiation for 2006–2020 at most of the points discussed. The ERA5 monthly mean estimates of the global solar radiation flux are more accurate than the SYN1deg data at five of the seven points considered. The new regression model proposed in the study makes it possible to provide greater accuracy of monthly estimates of the global solar radiation flux compared to the data of SYN1deg and ERA5 for most of the points considered.

摘要有效利用太阳能需要对进入的太阳辐射进行准确评估。本研究比较了来自ERA5再分析数据库、SYN1deg卫星观测数据库、气候参考数据和俄罗斯东部七个居民点回归模型数据的全球太阳辐射通量月平均值的准确性。研究采用了两个著名的回归模型,包括地外太阳辐射、总云量、空气湿度、最低和最高气温、大气压力参数,以及一个新的回归模型,其中还包括低层云量和太阳仰角参数。通过将数据库和回归模型的数据与气象站的地面测量数据进行比较,评估了数据库和回归模型的准确性。计算了平均绝对误差、均方根误差和平均偏差等指标。比较结果表明,1937-1957 年至 1980 年期间的气候参考书数据在大多数讨论点上与 2006-2020 年全球太阳辐射月平均通量估计值的偏差最小。ERA5对全球太阳辐射通量月平均值的估算在所考虑的七个点中的五个点上比SYN1deg数据更准确。与 SYN1deg 和 ERA5 的数据相比,本研究中提出的新回归模型可以在大部分考虑的点上提供更准确的全球太阳辐射通量月度估计值。
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Geography and Natural Resources
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